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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1663
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 687
 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Papa Legba

Papa Legba (bero4666)

MMA MHandicapper - Papa Legba

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 67 (41%) Right 50 (52%) Right 5 (23%) Right 12 (26%)
Wrong 98 (59%) Wrong 47 (48%) Wrong 17 (77%) Wrong 34 (74%)
Avg Odds 2.42 Avg Odds 1.84 Avg Odds 5.14 Avg Odds 4.08
Units Bet 331.2 Units Bet 207.8 Units Bet 43.7 Units Bet 79.7
Avg Bet 2.01 Avg Bet 2.14 Avg Bet 1.99 Avg Bet 1.73
Units Profit 79.09 Units Profit 23.77 Units Profit 17.40 Units Profit 37.92
ROI % 24% ROI % 11% ROI % 40% ROI % 48%
View Handicapper's Profile

Papa Legba: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 6 3.0 50% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 5.0 / 4 (125%)
18th May '19 KSW 49 4 1.3 33% 1.3 / 4 (33%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 22 -8.3 -38% -8.3 / 22 (-38%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 28 5.7 20% 11.7 / 22 (53%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 33.6 33.6 100% 15.1 / 20.6 (73%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 19.5 / 12 (163%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 5 -1.9 -37% 0.1 / 3 (5%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 16.6 16.1 97% 20.1 / 12.6 (160%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 6.5 -0.1 -2% 1.4 / 5 (28%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 18.5 -7.2 -39% -3.7 / 15 (-25%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 27.7 -5.0 -18% -3.3 / 15.7 (-21%) -1.6 / 12 (-13%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 14 1.6 11% -1.2 / 7 (-18%) 2.8 / 7 (40%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 16 -0.2 -1% -0.2 / 16 (-1%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 14.5 8.2 57% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 10.7 / 12 (89%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 4.4 35.2 800% 35.2 / 4.4 (800%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 9.02 -5.4 -60% -0.8 / 4.42 (-18%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 5.3 -5.3 -100% -4.3 / 4.3 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 3.2 -3.2 -100% -0.7 / 0.7 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 3.5 2.8 79% 1.7 / 2.5 (67%) 1.1 / 1 (109%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 2.9 2.9 100% 2.9 / 2.9 (100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 4.5 -1.9 -43% -1.7 / 4.3 (-40%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 25 -25.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) -12.0 / 12 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 5 2.0 40% 2.0 / 5 (40%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 16.5 -13.3 -81% -3.3 / 6.5 (-51%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 3 3.5 117% 3.5 / 3 (117%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 11 11.0 100% 3.3 / 3 (110%) 7.5 / 5 (150%) 0.2 / 3 (7%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 15 39.4 263% 13.0 / 10 (130%) 26.4 / 5 (528%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)


Winning Events: 14 (50%)
Losing Events: 14 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.83 units
Most Staked On One Event: 33.60 units
Best Event: 39.40 units
Worst Event: -25.00 units
Average Event: 2.82 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 53.93
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -27.41

Papa Legba: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2019 225.82 76.7 34% 30.2 / 149.32 (20%) 28.6 / 20 (143%) 17.9 / 56.5 (32%) 8 / 7 (53%) 5.11
2018 105.4 2.4 2% -6.4 / 58.5 (-11%) -11.2 / 23.7 (-47%) 20.0 / 23.2 (86%) 6 / 7 (46%) 0.18

Papa Legba: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Papa Legba: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 322.22 75.8 24% 20.5 / 198.82 (10%) 17.4 / 43.7 (40%) 37.9 / 79.7 (48%)
Bellator 5 2.0 40% 2.0 / 5 (40%)
Other 4 1.3 33% 1.3 / 4 (33%)

Papa Legba: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 28 (29%) 14 50 % 40.14 -2.49 -0.09 -6%
Slight Favorites 20 (21%) 11 55 % 59.57 -16.74 -0.84 -28%
Slight Underdogs 38 (39%) 23 61 % 87.41 44.91 1.18 51%
Big Underdogs 11 (11%) 2 18 % 20.70 -1.90 -0.17 -9%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 24 (25%) 14 58 % 78.07 39.06 1.63 50%
Co-Main Event 19 (20%) 5 26 % 30.87 -7.96 -0.42 -26%
Position 3-5 25 (26%) 16 64 % 42.37 -8.05 -0.32 -19%
6+ (Undercard) 29 (30%) 15 52 % 56.51 0.71 0.02 1%

Papa Legba: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 10 (10%) 4 40 % 19.97 -2.13 -0.21 -11%
Light Heavy 7 (7%) 1 14 % 7.17 -3.83 -0.55 -53%
Middleweight 13 (13%) 10 77 % 31.90 20.62 1.59 65%
Welterweight 14 (14%) 5 36 % 18.07 1.76 0.13 10%
Lightweight 16 (16%) 13 81 % 48.37 31.19 1.95 64%
Featherweight 13 (13%) 4 31 % 31.80 -13.83 -1.06 -43%
Bantamweight 12 (12%) 8 67 % 30.60 -9.70 -0.81 -32%
Flyweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 3.57 3.03 1.51 85%
               
Women's Fights 10 (10%) 4 40 % 16.37 -3.33 -0.33 -20%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 2 100 % 4.00 5.92 2.96 148%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 4.87 -3.95 -1.32 -81%
Strawweight 5 (5%) 1 20 % 7.50 -5.30 -1.06 -71%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 74 (50%) 57 77 %
Slight Favorites 33 (22%) 18 55 %
Slight Underdogs 34 (23%) 18 53 %
Big Underdogs 7 (5%) 0 0 %
148 93 63 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 3 (10%) 2 67 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 3 (10%) 3 100 %
<35% chance 25 (81%) 2 8 %
31 7 23 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Does not go to Decision 3 (10%) 2 67 % 1.33 1.44Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct -0.4 (-15%)
X Wins by KO 5 (16%) 3 60 % 4.81 9.00Pick was correct 2.00Pick was correct 13.0 (260%)
X Wins by Sub 17 (55%) 1 6 % 5.21 21.00Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was correct -14.5 (-85%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (6%) 0 0 % 3.73 4.00Pick was incorrect 3.50Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 4 (13%) 1 25 % 5.37 101.01Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was correct -1.5 (-38%)
31 7 23 % 3.95     -5.5 (-18%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Papa Legba's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Aug UFC 227 10 -10.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $900.00
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 15 39.4 263% $9.00 $900.00 $1,254.56
8th Sep UFC 228 11 11.0 100% $0 $12.55 $1,254.56 $1,392.72
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 3 3.5 117% $13.93 $1,392.72 $1,441.77
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 16.5 -13.3 -81% $14.42 $1,441.77 $1,250.01
29th Sep Bellator 206 5 2.0 40% $12.50 $1,250.01 $1,275.01
6th Oct UFC 229 25 -25.0 -100% $12.75 $1,275.01 $956.26
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.56 $956.26 $951.48
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 4.5 -1.9 -43% $9.51 $951.48 $933.27
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 2.9 2.9 100% $9.33 $933.27 $960.33
30th Nov TUF Finale 3.5 2.8 79% $9.60 $960.33 $986.86
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 3.2 -3.2 -100% $9.87 $986.86 $955.28
8th Dec UFC 231 5.3 -5.3 -100% $9.55 $955.28 $904.65
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 9.02 -5.4 -60% $9.05 $904.65 $855.80
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 4.4 35.2 800% $8.56 $855.80 $1,157.04
9th Feb UFC 234 14.5 8.2 57% $11.57 $1,157.04 $1,252.13
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 16 -0.2 -1% $12.52 $1,252.13 $1,249.63
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 14 1.6 11% $12.50 $1,249.63 $1,269.03
2nd Mar UFC 235 27.7 -5.0 -18% $12.69 $1,269.03 $1,206.17
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 18.5 -7.2 -39% $12.06 $1,206.17 $1,119.45
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 6.5 -0.1 -2% $11.19 $1,119.45 $1,118.33
13th Apr UFC 236 16.6 16.1 97% $11.18 $1,118.33 $1,298.38
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 5 -1.9 -37% $12.98 $1,298.38 $1,274.23
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 33.6 33.6 100% $12.74 $1,274.23 $1,702.37
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 28 5.7 20% $17.02 $1,702.37 $1,799.06
11th May UFC 237 22 -8.3 -38% $17.99 $1,799.06 $1,650.46
18th May KSW 49 4 1.3 33% $16.50 $1,650.46 $1,672.25
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 6 3.0 50% $16.72 $1,672.25 $1,722.41


ROI % from starting bank balance: 72.24% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Papa Legba: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '19 Scott Askham Michal Materla 1.33 4 TKO, R3 (1:23) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Laureano Staropoli Thiago Alves 1.91 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Viviane Araujo Talita Bernardo 3.60 2 TKO, R3 (0:48) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Irene Aldana Bethe Correia 1.36 2 Sub, R3 (3:24) MMA Bookmaker
5. May '19 Cole Smith Mitch Gagnon 1.91 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '19 Donald Cerrone Al Iaquinta 2.01 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '19 Walt Harris Sergey Spivak 1.57 2 TKO, R1 (0:50) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '19 Merab Dvalishvili Brad Katona 1.53 2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. May '19 Cole Smith Mitch Gagnon 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. May '19 Derek Brunson Elias Theodorou 1.90 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Donald Cerrone Al Iaquinta 2.00 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '19 Jack Hermansson Ronaldo Souza 2.50 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '19 Jack Hermansson Ronaldo Souza 2.50 3.6 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '19 Jack Hermansson Ronaldo Souza 2.50 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '19 Cory Sandhagen John Lineker 2.10 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '19 Alexander Yakovlev Alex da Silva 1.57 2 Sub, R2 (3:10) MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '19 Dustin Poirier Max Holloway 2.75 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '19 Belal Muhammad Curtis Millender 1.73 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '19 Dustin Poirier Max Holloway 2.75 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '19 Dustin Poirier Max Holloway 2.75 2.6 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '19 Mike Trizano Grant Dawson 2.00 2 Sub, R2 (2:27) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Rogerio Nogueira Ryan Spann 2.20 2 TKO, R1 (2:7) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Anderson Silva Jared Cannonier 2.10 2 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Jose Aldo Alex Volkanovski 1.73 8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '19 Juan Adams Arjan Bhullar 1.80 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '19 Ion Cutelaba Glover Teixeira 1.67 2 Sub, R2 (3:37) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '19 Andrei Arlovski Augusto Sakai 2.20 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '19 Ronaldo Souza Jack Hermansson 1.56 2 U Decision (5 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '19 Arman Tsarukyan Islam Makhachev 3.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '19 Rose Namajunas Jessica Andrade 2.20 1.8 TKO, R2 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Rose Namajunas Jessica Andrade 2.20 2.2 TKO, R2 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '19 David Branch Jack Hermansson 2.00 2 Sub, R1 (0:49) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '19 Justin Willis Curtis Blaydes 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '19 Bobby Moffett Bryce Mitchell 1.57 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '19 Steven Peterson Luis Pena 3.30 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '19 Mickey Gall Diego Sanchez 1.25 2 TKO, R2 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '19 Polyana Viana Hannah Cifers 1.25 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '19 Cody Garbrandt Pedro Munhoz 1.50 2 TKO, R1 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '19 Tyron Woodley Kamaru Usman 1.53 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '19 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Stefan Struve 1.80 2 Sub, R2 (2:21) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Papa Legba: Progress Chart
Chart

 
 
 
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