MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1765
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 724

MMA Handicapper Stats: Papa Legba

Papa Legba (bero4666)

MMA MHandicapper - Papa Legba

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	79 (41%)	Right	58 (51%)	Right	7 (25%)	Right	14 (27%)
Wrong	114 (59%)	Wrong	55 (49%)	Wrong	21 (75%)	Wrong	38 (73%)
Avg Odds	2.44	Avg Odds	1.87	Avg Odds	4.96	Avg Odds	3.95
Units Bet	401.6	Units Bet	254.8	Units Bet	54.7	Units Bet	92.1
Avg Bet	2.08	Avg Bet	2.26	Avg Bet	1.95	Avg Bet	1.77
Units Profit	87.03	Units Profit	27.26	Units Profit	20.82	Units Profit	38.95
ROI %	22%	ROI %	11%	ROI %	38%	ROI %	42%

Papa Legba : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	10	1.1	11%	1.1 / 10 (11%)
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	4	5.2	130%	5.2 / 4 (130%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	10	-3.2	-32%			-3.2 / 10 (-32%)
29th Jun '19	UFC on ESPN 3	16	5.1	32%	5.1 / 11 (46%)	0.0 / 5 (0%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	17	-10.3	-61%	-9.3 / 16 (-58%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 153	13.35	10.1	75%	1.4 / 6 (24%)	3.4 / 6 (57%)	5.2 / 1.35 (386%)
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	6	3.0	50%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	5.0 / 4 (125%)
18th May '19	KSW 49	4	1.3	33%	1.3 / 4 (33%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	22	-8.3	-38%	-8.3 / 22 (-38%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	28	5.7	20%	11.7 / 22 (53%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	33.6	33.6	100%	15.1 / 20.6 (73%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	19.5 / 12 (163%)
20th Apr '19	UFC Fight Night 149	5	-1.9	-37%	0.1 / 3 (5%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	16.6	16.1	97%	20.1 / 12.6 (160%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	6.5	-0.1	-2%	1.4 / 5 (28%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	18.5	-7.2	-39%	-3.7 / 15 (-25%)		-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	27.7	-5.0	-18%	-3.3 / 15.7 (-21%)		-1.6 / 12 (-13%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	14	1.6	11%	-1.2 / 7 (-18%)		2.8 / 7 (40%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	16	-0.2	-1%	-0.2 / 16 (-1%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	14.5	8.2	57%		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	10.7 / 12 (89%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	4.4	35.2	800%		35.2 / 4.4 (800%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	9.02	-5.4	-60%	-0.8 / 4.42 (-18%)	-0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	5.3	-5.3	-100%	-4.3 / 4.3 (-100%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	3.2	-3.2	-100%		-0.7 / 0.7 (-100%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	3.5	2.8	79%	1.7 / 2.5 (67%)		1.1 / 1 (109%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	2.9	2.9	100%	2.9 / 2.9 (100%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	4.5	-1.9	-43%	-1.7 / 4.3 (-40%)		-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	0.5	-0.5	-100%			-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	25	-25.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)	-12.0 / 12 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Sep '18	Bellator 206	5	2.0	40%	2.0 / 5 (40%)
22nd Sep '18	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	16.5	-13.3	-81%	-3.3 / 6.5 (-51%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	3	3.5	117%			3.5 / 3 (117%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	11	11.0	100%	3.3 / 3 (110%)	7.5 / 5 (150%)	0.2 / 3 (7%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	15	39.4	263%	13.0 / 10 (130%)		26.4 / 5 (528%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)

Winning Events: 18 (53%)
Losing Events: 16 (47%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.81 units
Most Staked On One Event: 33.60 units
Best Event: 39.40 units
Worst Event: -25.00 units
Average Event: 2.56 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 53.93
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -27.41

Papa Legba : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	296.17	84.6	29%	33.7 / 196.32 (17%)	32.0 / 31 (103%)	18.9 / 68.85 (27%)	12 / 9 (57%)	4.03
2018	105.4	2.4	2%	-6.4 / 58.5 (-11%)	-11.2 / 23.7 (-47%)	20.0 / 23.2 (86%)	6 / 7 (46%)	0.18

Papa Legba : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Papa Legba : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	392.57	83.7	21%	23.9 / 245.82 (10%)	20.8 / 54.7 (38%)	38.9 / 92.05 (42%)
Bellator	5	2.0	40%	2.0 / 5 (40%)
Other	4	1.3	33%	1.3 / 4 (33%)

Papa Legba : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	29 (26%)	15	52 %	42.14	-1.43	-0.05	-3%
Slight Favorites	28 (25%)	16	57 %	81.57	-13.51	-0.48	-17%
Slight Underdogs	43 (38%)	24	56 %	103.91	37.61	0.87	36%
Big Underdogs	13 (12%)	3	23 %	27.20	4.60	0.35	17%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	27 (24%)	16	59 %	87.07	44.66	1.65	51%
Co-Main Event	20 (18%)	5	25 %	33.37	-10.46	-0.52	-31%
Position 3-5	29 (26%)	19	66 %	55.37	0.74	0.03	1%
6+ (Undercard)	37 (33%)	18	49 %	79.01	-7.69	-0.21	-10%

Papa Legba : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	11 (10%)	5	45 %	22.97	0.60	0.05	3%
Light Heavy	8 (7%)	1	13 %	9.17	-5.83	-0.73	-64%
Middleweight	13 (12%)	10	77 %	31.90	20.62	1.59	65%
Welterweight	16 (14%)	7	44 %	23.07	5.22	0.33	23%
Lightweight	21 (19%)	16	76 %	62.87	37.11	1.77	59%
Featherweight	15 (13%)	5	33 %	39.80	-15.15	-1.01	-38%
Bantamweight	14 (12%)	8	57 %	34.60	-13.70	-0.98	-40%
Flyweight	3 (3%)	1	33 %	6.07	0.53	0.18	9%

Women's Fights	12 (11%)	5	42 %	24.37	-2.13	-0.18	-9%
Bantamweight	3 (3%)	3	100 %	8.00	11.12	3.71	139%
Bantamweight	3 (3%)	1	33 %	4.87	-3.95	-1.32	-81%
Strawweight	6 (5%)	1	17 %	11.50	-9.30	-1.55	-81%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	82 (49%)	63	77 %
Slight Favorites	42 (25%)	25	60 %
Slight Underdogs	36 (22%)	18	50 %
Big Underdogs	7 (4%)	0	0 %
	167	106	63 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (8%)	2	67 %
50-65%	1 (3%)	1	100 %
35-50%	3 (8%)	3	100 %
<35% chance	30 (81%)	3	10 %
	37	9	24 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (5%)	2	100 %	2.39	5.00	1.57	4.6 (229%)
Does not go to Decision	3 (8%)	2	67 %	1.33	1.44	1.25	-0.4 (-15%)
X Wins by KO	9 (24%)	3	33 %	5.74	11.00	2.00	9.0 (100%)
X Wins by Sub	17 (46%)	1	6 %	5.21	21.00	2.50	-14.5 (-85%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (5%)	0	0 %	3.73	4.00	3.50	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	4 (11%)	1	25 %	5.37	101.01	2.50	-1.5 (-38%)
	37	9	24 %	4.02			-4.9 (-13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Papa Legba 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
4th Aug	UFC 227	10	-10.0	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$900.00
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	15	39.4	263%		$9.00	$900.00	$1,254.56
8th Sep	UFC 228	11	11.0	100%	$0	$12.55	$1,254.56	$1,392.72
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	3	3.5	117%		$13.93	$1,392.72	$1,441.77
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	16.5	-13.3	-81%		$14.42	$1,441.77	$1,250.01
29th Sep	Bellator 206	5	2.0	40%		$12.50	$1,250.01	$1,275.01
6th Oct	UFC 229	25	-25.0	-100%		$12.75	$1,275.01	$956.26
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$9.56	$956.26	$951.48
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	4.5	-1.9	-43%		$9.51	$951.48	$933.27
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	2.9	2.9	100%		$9.33	$933.27	$960.33
30th Nov	TUF Finale	3.5	2.8	79%		$9.60	$960.33	$986.86
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	3.2	-3.2	-100%		$9.87	$986.86	$955.28
8th Dec	UFC 231	5.3	-5.3	-100%		$9.55	$955.28	$904.65
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	9.02	-5.4	-60%		$9.05	$904.65	$855.80
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	4.4	35.2	800%		$8.56	$855.80	$1,157.04
9th Feb	UFC 234	14.5	8.2	57%		$11.57	$1,157.04	$1,252.13
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	16	-0.2	-1%		$12.52	$1,252.13	$1,249.63
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	14	1.6	11%		$12.50	$1,249.63	$1,269.03
2nd Mar	UFC 235	27.7	-5.0	-18%		$12.69	$1,269.03	$1,206.17
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	18.5	-7.2	-39%		$12.06	$1,206.17	$1,119.45
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	6.5	-0.1	-2%		$11.19	$1,119.45	$1,118.33
13th Apr	UFC 236	16.6	16.1	97%		$11.18	$1,118.33	$1,298.38
20th Apr	UFC Fight Night 149	5	-1.9	-37%		$12.98	$1,298.38	$1,274.23
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	33.6	33.6	100%		$12.74	$1,274.23	$1,702.37
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	28	5.7	20%		$17.02	$1,702.37	$1,799.06
11th May	UFC 237	22	-8.3	-38%		$17.99	$1,799.06	$1,650.46
18th May	KSW 49	4	1.3	33%		$16.50	$1,650.46	$1,672.25
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	6	3.0	50%		$16.72	$1,672.25	$1,722.41
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 153	13.35	10.1	75%		$17.22	$1,722.41	$1,895.63
8th Jun	UFC 238	17	-10.3	-61%		$18.96	$1,895.63	$1,700.00
29th Jun	UFC on ESPN 3	16	5.1	32%		$17.00	$1,700.00	$1,786.02
6th Jul	UFC 239	10	-3.2	-32%		$17.86	$1,786.02	$1,729.12
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	4	5.2	130%		$17.29	$1,729.12	$1,819.04
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	10	1.1	11%		$18.19	$1,819.04	$1,839.59

ROI % from starting bank balance: 83.96% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Papa Legba : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '19	Greg Hardy	Juan Adams	1.91	3	TKO, R1 (0:45)
2.	Jul '19	Leon Edwards	Rafael dos Anjos	1.80	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
3.	Jul '19	Germaine de Randamie	Aspen Ladd	2.30	4	TKO, R1 (0:16)
4.	Jun '19	Demian Maia	Tony Martin	1.53	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jun '19	Vinc Pichel	Roosevelt Roberts	3.25	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jun '19	Calvin Kattar	Ricardo Lamas	1.67	4	TKO, R1 (4:6)
7.	Jun '19	Joel Alvarez	Danilo Belluardo	1.80	2	TKO, R2 (2:22)
8.	Jun '19	Frank Camacho	Nick Hein	1.91	2	TKO, R2 (4:56)
9.	May '19	Scott Askham	Michal Materla	1.33	4	TKO, R3 (1:23)
10.	May '19	Laureano Staropoli	Thiago Alves	1.91	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	May '19	Viviane Araujo	Talita Bernardo	3.60	2	TKO, R3 (0:48)
12.	May '19	Irene Aldana	Bethe Correia	1.36	2	Sub, R3 (3:24)
13.	May '19	Cole Smith	Mitch Gagnon	1.91	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	May '19	Donald Cerrone	Al Iaquinta	2.01	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
15.	May '19	Walt Harris	Sergey Spivak	1.57	2	TKO, R1 (0:50)
16.	May '19	Merab Dvalishvili	Brad Katona	1.53	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	May '19	Cole Smith	Mitch Gagnon	2.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	May '19	Derek Brunson	Elias Theodorou	1.90	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	May '19	Donald Cerrone	Al Iaquinta	2.00	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
20.	Apr '19	Jack Hermansson	Ronaldo Souza	2.50	5	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '19	Steven Peterson	Alex Caceres	2.20	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jun '19	Dan Moret	Jared Gordon	3.50	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jun '19	Jussier Formiga	Joseph Benavidez	2.50	2.5	TKO, R2 (4:47)	No
4.	Jun '19	Pedro Munhoz	Aljamain Sterling	2.20	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jun '19	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Alexa Grasso	1.80	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jun '19	Marlon Moraes	Henry Cejudo	1.80	2	TKO, R3 (4:51)	No
7.	Jun '19	Donald Cerrone	Tony Ferguson	2.37	4	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
8.	Jun '19	Darko Stosic	Devin Clark	1.95	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	May '19	Mike Trizano	Grant Dawson	2.00	2	Sub, R2 (2:27)	No
10.	May '19	Rogerio Nogueira	Ryan Spann	2.20	2	TKO, R1 (2:7)	No
11.	May '19	Anderson Silva	Jared Cannonier	2.10	2	TKO, R1 (4:47)	No
12.	May '19	Jose Aldo	Alex Volkanovski	1.73	8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	May '19	Juan Adams	Arjan Bhullar	1.80	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Apr '19	Ion Cutelaba	Glover Teixeira	1.67	2	Sub, R2 (3:37)	No
15.	Apr '19	Andrei Arlovski	Augusto Sakai	2.20	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Apr '19	Ronaldo Souza	Jack Hermansson	1.56	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	Yes
17.	Apr '19	Arman Tsarukyan	Islam Makhachev	3.60	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	May '19	Rose Namajunas	Jessica Andrade	2.20	1.8	TKO, R2 (2:58)	No
19.	May '19	Rose Namajunas	Jessica Andrade	2.20	2.2	TKO, R2 (2:58)	No
20.	Mar '19	David Branch	Jack Hermansson	2.00	2	Sub, R1 (0:49)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Papa Legba : Progress Chart

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