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MMA Handicapper Stats: Papa Legba

Papa Legba (bero4666)


MMA MHandicapper - Papa Legba

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 79 (41%) Right 58 (51%) Right 7 (25%) Right 14 (27%)
Wrong 114 (59%) Wrong 55 (49%) Wrong 21 (75%) Wrong 38 (73%)
Avg Odds 2.44 Avg Odds 1.87 Avg Odds 4.96 Avg Odds 3.95
Units Bet 401.6 Units Bet 254.8 Units Bet 54.7 Units Bet 92.1
Avg Bet 2.08 Avg Bet 2.26 Avg Bet 1.95 Avg Bet 1.77
Units Profit 87.03 Units Profit 27.26 Units Profit 20.82 Units Profit 38.95
ROI % 22% ROI % 11% ROI % 38% ROI % 42%
View Handicapper's Profile

Papa Legba : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 10 1.1 11% 1.1 / 10 (11%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 4 5.2 130% 5.2 / 4 (130%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 10 -3.2 -32% -3.2 / 10 (-32%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 16 5.1 32% 5.1 / 11 (46%) 0.0 / 5 (0%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 17 -10.3 -61% -9.3 / 16 (-58%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 13.35 10.1 75% 1.4 / 6 (24%) 3.4 / 6 (57%) 5.2 / 1.35 (386%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 6 3.0 50% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 5.0 / 4 (125%)
18th May '19 KSW 49 4 1.3 33% 1.3 / 4 (33%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 22 -8.3 -38% -8.3 / 22 (-38%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 28 5.7 20% 11.7 / 22 (53%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 33.6 33.6 100% 15.1 / 20.6 (73%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 19.5 / 12 (163%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 5 -1.9 -37% 0.1 / 3 (5%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 16.6 16.1 97% 20.1 / 12.6 (160%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 6.5 -0.1 -2% 1.4 / 5 (28%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 18.5 -7.2 -39% -3.7 / 15 (-25%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 27.7 -5.0 -18% -3.3 / 15.7 (-21%) -1.6 / 12 (-13%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 14 1.6 11% -1.2 / 7 (-18%) 2.8 / 7 (40%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 16 -0.2 -1% -0.2 / 16 (-1%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 14.5 8.2 57% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 10.7 / 12 (89%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 4.4 35.2 800% 35.2 / 4.4 (800%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 9.02 -5.4 -60% -0.8 / 4.42 (-18%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 5.3 -5.3 -100% -4.3 / 4.3 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 3.2 -3.2 -100% -0.7 / 0.7 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 3.5 2.8 79% 1.7 / 2.5 (67%) 1.1 / 1 (109%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 2.9 2.9 100% 2.9 / 2.9 (100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 4.5 -1.9 -43% -1.7 / 4.3 (-40%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 25 -25.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) -12.0 / 12 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 5 2.0 40% 2.0 / 5 (40%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 16.5 -13.3 -81% -3.3 / 6.5 (-51%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 3 3.5 117% 3.5 / 3 (117%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 11 11.0 100% 3.3 / 3 (110%) 7.5 / 5 (150%) 0.2 / 3 (7%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 15 39.4 263% 13.0 / 10 (130%) 26.4 / 5 (528%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)


Winning Events: 18 (53%)
Losing Events: 16 (47%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.81 units
Most Staked On One Event: 33.60 units
Best Event: 39.40 units
Worst Event: -25.00 units
Average Event: 2.56 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 53.93
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -27.41

Papa Legba : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 296.17 84.6 29% 33.7 / 196.32 (17%) 32.0 / 31 (103%) 18.9 / 68.85 (27%) 12 / 9 (57%) 4.03
2018 105.4 2.4 2% -6.4 / 58.5 (-11%) -11.2 / 23.7 (-47%) 20.0 / 23.2 (86%) 6 / 7 (46%) 0.18

Papa Legba : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Papa Legba : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 392.57 83.7 21% 23.9 / 245.82 (10%) 20.8 / 54.7 (38%) 38.9 / 92.05 (42%)
Bellator 5 2.0 40% 2.0 / 5 (40%)
Other 4 1.3 33% 1.3 / 4 (33%)

Papa Legba : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 29 (26%) 15 52 % 42.14 -1.43 -0.05 -3%
Slight Favorites 28 (25%) 16 57 % 81.57 -13.51 -0.48 -17%
Slight Underdogs 43 (38%) 24 56 % 103.91 37.61 0.87 36%
Big Underdogs 13 (12%) 3 23 % 27.20 4.60 0.35 17%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 27 (24%) 16 59 % 87.07 44.66 1.65 51%
Co-Main Event 20 (18%) 5 25 % 33.37 -10.46 -0.52 -31%
Position 3-5 29 (26%) 19 66 % 55.37 0.74 0.03 1%
6+ (Undercard) 37 (33%) 18 49 % 79.01 -7.69 -0.21 -10%

Papa Legba : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 11 (10%) 5 45 % 22.97 0.60 0.05 3%
Light Heavy 8 (7%) 1 13 % 9.17 -5.83 -0.73 -64%
Middleweight 13 (12%) 10 77 % 31.90 20.62 1.59 65%
Welterweight 16 (14%) 7 44 % 23.07 5.22 0.33 23%
Lightweight 21 (19%) 16 76 % 62.87 37.11 1.77 59%
Featherweight 15 (13%) 5 33 % 39.80 -15.15 -1.01 -38%
Bantamweight 14 (12%) 8 57 % 34.60 -13.70 -0.98 -40%
Flyweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 6.07 0.53 0.18 9%
               
Women's Fights 12 (11%) 5 42 % 24.37 -2.13 -0.18 -9%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 3 100 % 8.00 11.12 3.71 139%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 4.87 -3.95 -1.32 -81%
Strawweight 6 (5%) 1 17 % 11.50 -9.30 -1.55 -81%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 82 (49%) 63 77 %
Slight Favorites 42 (25%) 25 60 %
Slight Underdogs 36 (22%) 18 50 %
Big Underdogs 7 (4%) 0 0 %
167 106 63 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 3 (8%) 2 67 %
50-65% 1 (3%) 1 100 %
35-50% 3 (8%) 3 100 %
<35% chance 30 (81%) 3 10 %
37 9 24 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (5%) 2 100 % 2.39 5.00Pick was correct 1.57Pick was correct 4.6 (229%)
Does not go to Decision 3 (8%) 2 67 % 1.33 1.44Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct -0.4 (-15%)
X Wins by KO 9 (24%) 3 33 % 5.74 11.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct 9.0 (100%)
X Wins by Sub 17 (46%) 1 6 % 5.21 21.00Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was correct -14.5 (-85%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (5%) 0 0 % 3.73 4.00Pick was incorrect 3.50Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 4 (11%) 1 25 % 5.37 101.01Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was correct -1.5 (-38%)
37 9 24 % 4.02     -4.9 (-13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Papa Legba 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Aug UFC 227 10 -10.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $900.00
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 15 39.4 263% $9.00 $900.00 $1,254.56
8th Sep UFC 228 11 11.0 100% $0 $12.55 $1,254.56 $1,392.72
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 3 3.5 117% $13.93 $1,392.72 $1,441.77
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 16.5 -13.3 -81% $14.42 $1,441.77 $1,250.01
29th Sep Bellator 206 5 2.0 40% $12.50 $1,250.01 $1,275.01
6th Oct UFC 229 25 -25.0 -100% $12.75 $1,275.01 $956.26
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.56 $956.26 $951.48
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 4.5 -1.9 -43% $9.51 $951.48 $933.27
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 2.9 2.9 100% $9.33 $933.27 $960.33
30th Nov TUF Finale 3.5 2.8 79% $9.60 $960.33 $986.86
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 3.2 -3.2 -100% $9.87 $986.86 $955.28
8th Dec UFC 231 5.3 -5.3 -100% $9.55 $955.28 $904.65
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 9.02 -5.4 -60% $9.05 $904.65 $855.80
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 4.4 35.2 800% $8.56 $855.80 $1,157.04
9th Feb UFC 234 14.5 8.2 57% $11.57 $1,157.04 $1,252.13
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 16 -0.2 -1% $12.52 $1,252.13 $1,249.63
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 14 1.6 11% $12.50 $1,249.63 $1,269.03
2nd Mar UFC 235 27.7 -5.0 -18% $12.69 $1,269.03 $1,206.17
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 18.5 -7.2 -39% $12.06 $1,206.17 $1,119.45
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 6.5 -0.1 -2% $11.19 $1,119.45 $1,118.33
13th Apr UFC 236 16.6 16.1 97% $11.18 $1,118.33 $1,298.38
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 5 -1.9 -37% $12.98 $1,298.38 $1,274.23
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 33.6 33.6 100% $12.74 $1,274.23 $1,702.37
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 28 5.7 20% $17.02 $1,702.37 $1,799.06
11th May UFC 237 22 -8.3 -38% $17.99 $1,799.06 $1,650.46
18th May KSW 49 4 1.3 33% $16.50 $1,650.46 $1,672.25
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 6 3.0 50% $16.72 $1,672.25 $1,722.41
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 13.35 10.1 75% $17.22 $1,722.41 $1,895.63
8th Jun UFC 238 17 -10.3 -61% $18.96 $1,895.63 $1,700.00
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 16 5.1 32% $17.00 $1,700.00 $1,786.02
6th Jul UFC 239 10 -3.2 -32% $17.86 $1,786.02 $1,729.12
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 4 5.2 130% $17.29 $1,729.12 $1,819.04
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 10 1.1 11% $18.19 $1,819.04 $1,839.59


ROI % from starting bank balance: 83.96% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Papa Legba : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '19 Greg Hardy Juan Adams 1.91 3 TKO, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Leon Edwards Rafael dos Anjos 1.80 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Germaine de Randamie Aspen Ladd 2.30 4 TKO, R1 (0:16) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '19 Demian Maia Tony Martin 1.53 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '19 Vinc Pichel Roosevelt Roberts 3.25 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Calvin Kattar Ricardo Lamas 1.67 4 TKO, R1 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Joel Alvarez Danilo Belluardo 1.80 2 TKO, R2 (2:22) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Frank Camacho Nick Hein 1.91 2 TKO, R2 (4:56) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '19 Scott Askham Michal Materla 1.33 4 TKO, R3 (1:23) MMA Bookmaker
10. May '19 Laureano Staropoli Thiago Alves 1.91 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Viviane Araujo Talita Bernardo 3.60 2 TKO, R3 (0:48) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Irene Aldana Bethe Correia 1.36 2 Sub, R3 (3:24) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Cole Smith Mitch Gagnon 1.91 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. May '19 Donald Cerrone Al Iaquinta 2.01 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. May '19 Walt Harris Sergey Spivak 1.57 2 TKO, R1 (0:50) MMA Bookmaker
16. May '19 Merab Dvalishvili Brad Katona 1.53 2 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. May '19 Cole Smith Mitch Gagnon 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. May '19 Derek Brunson Elias Theodorou 1.90 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. May '19 Donald Cerrone Al Iaquinta 2.00 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Apr '19 Jack Hermansson Ronaldo Souza 2.50 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '19 Steven Peterson Alex Caceres 2.20 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '19 Dan Moret Jared Gordon 3.50 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '19 Jussier Formiga Joseph Benavidez 2.50 2.5 TKO, R2 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '19 Pedro Munhoz Aljamain Sterling 2.20 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '19 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Alexa Grasso 1.80 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Marlon Moraes Henry Cejudo 1.80 2 TKO, R3 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Donald Cerrone Tony Ferguson 2.37 4 TKO, R2 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Darko Stosic Devin Clark 1.95 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. May '19 Mike Trizano Grant Dawson 2.00 2 Sub, R2 (2:27) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '19 Rogerio Nogueira Ryan Spann 2.20 2 TKO, R1 (2:7) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Anderson Silva Jared Cannonier 2.10 2 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Jose Aldo Alex Volkanovski 1.73 8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Juan Adams Arjan Bhullar 1.80 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '19 Ion Cutelaba Glover Teixeira 1.67 2 Sub, R2 (3:37) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '19 Andrei Arlovski Augusto Sakai 2.20 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '19 Ronaldo Souza Jack Hermansson 1.56 2 U Decision (5 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '19 Arman Tsarukyan Islam Makhachev 3.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. May '19 Rose Namajunas Jessica Andrade 2.20 1.8 TKO, R2 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
19. May '19 Rose Namajunas Jessica Andrade 2.20 2.2 TKO, R2 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '19 David Branch Jack Hermansson 2.00 2 Sub, R1 (0:49) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Papa Legba : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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