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MMA Handicapper Stats: Evil Scotsman

Evil Scotsman (TheEvilScotsman)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Evil Scotsman

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 92 (39%) Right 59 (52%) Right 12 (24%) Right 21 (29%)
Wrong 143 (61%) Wrong 54 (48%) Wrong 37 (76%) Wrong 52 (71%)
Avg Odds 2.83 Avg Odds 2.17 Avg Odds 4.39 Avg Odds 3.64
Units Bet 377.8 Units Bet 229.9 Units Bet 42.7 Units Bet 105.3
Avg Bet 1.61 Avg Bet 2.03 Avg Bet 0.87 Avg Bet 1.44
Units Profit 54.69 Units Profit 47.32 Units Profit -9.60 Units Profit 16.97
ROI % 14% ROI % 21% ROI % -22% ROI % 16%
View Handicapper's Profile

Evil Scotsman: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 11.5 -9.3 -81% -5.8 / 8 (-73%) -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%) -2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 16.1 2.0 13% 1.5 / 8.5 (17%) -2.1 / 2.1 (-100%) 2.7 / 5.5 (48%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 9.25 6.3 68% 4.3 / 7.75 (56%) 2.0 / 1.5 (132%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 12 2.0 17% -2.8 / 7.5 (-38%) 4.9 / 4.5 (108%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 10.4 -10.4 -100% -7.6 / 7.55 (-100%) -1.1 / 1.05 (-100%) -1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 4.5 3.0 67% 3.0 / 4.5 (67%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 7.8 7.5 96% -0.7 / 3.6 (-21%) 8.2 / 4.2 (196%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 13.3 -2.3 -17% 0.8 / 7.5 (11%) -0.7 / 3.35 (-19%) -2.5 / 2.45 (-100%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 15 -2.9 -20% 0.1 / 4.5 (3%) -3.1 / 10.5 (-29%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 14.5 9.2 64% 8.7 / 9.5 (91%) 0.6 / 5 (12%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 13 5.1 39% 5.1 / 13 (39%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 13.5 -2.2 -16% -2.4 / 3.75 (-63%) 1.9 / 8 (24%) -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 17 -11.2 -66% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -6.2 / 12 (-51%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 8 -8.0 -100% -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 13.6 -2.4 -17% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 0.1 / 11.1 (1%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 13.5 1.8 13% -0.3 / 8.25 (-4%) 2.1 / 5.25 (41%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 8.1 4.3 54% 1.5 / 1.3 (115%) -2.8 / 2.8 (-100%) 5.6 / 4 (141%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 15.1 10.2 67% 10.8 / 7 (154%) 2.9 / 4.65 (61%) -3.5 / 3.45 (-100%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 11.5 -3.0 -26% 0.7 / 7.75 (10%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 4 3.2 80% 3.2 / 4 (80%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 10 -3.5 -35% 4.0 / 2.5 (162%) -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 5.23 -0.3 -6% -0.3 / 5.23 (-6%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 21 10.0 48% 6.5 / 15.5 (42%) -1.7 / 3.5 (-50%) 5.3 / 2 (267%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 15.75 -14.2 -90% -9.2 / 10.75 (-85%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 6.4 11.3 176% 1.2 / 3.85 (32%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 11.6 / 1.05 (1,100%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 18.81 6.7 35% 7.2 / 18.31 (39%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
7th Aug '18 DWTNCS 16 1.75 -0.6 -36% -0.4 / 1.5 (-25%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 14.75 18.5 125% 8.2 / 10.75 (77%) 10.2 / 4 (256%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 26.85 19.1 71% 20.3 / 25.7 (79%) -1.2 / 1.15 (-100%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 25.62 4.6 18% 3.3 / 20.35 (16%) 3.3 / 3.25 (102%) -2.0 / 2.02 (-100%)


Winning Events: 17 (57%)
Losing Events: 13 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.59 units
Most Staked On One Event: 26.85 units
Best Event: 19.10 units
Worst Event: -14.17 units
Average Event: 1.82 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 42.21
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -23.74

Evil Scotsman: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 99.85 -4.0 -4% -10.3 / 50.4 (-20%) -4.5 / 11.8 (-38%) 10.7 / 37.65 (29%) 5 / 4 (56%) -0.45
2018 277.96 58.7 21% 57.6 / 179.49 (32%) -5.1 / 30.85 (-17%) 6.2 / 67.62 (9%) 12 / 9 (57%) 2.80

Evil Scotsman: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Evil Scotsman: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 362.33 49.4 14% 44.8 / 219.16 (20%) -9.6 / 42.65 (-22%) 14.2 / 100.52 (14%)
Bellator 13.73 5.9 43% 2.9 / 9.23 (31%) 3.0 / 4.5 (67%)
Other 1.75 -0.6 -36% -0.4 / 1.5 (-25%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)

Evil Scotsman: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 8 (7%) 7 88 % 36.25 10.15 1.27 28%
Slight Favorites 31 (27%) 21 68 % 81.55 2.61 0.08 3%
Slight Underdogs 46 (41%) 20 43 % 80.19 20.01 0.43 25%
Big Underdogs 28 (25%) 11 39 % 31.90 14.55 0.52 46%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 10 (9%) 6 60 % 23.66 -0.76 -0.08 -3%
Co-Main Event 13 (12%) 7 54 % 35.45 2.12 0.16 6%
Position 3-5 30 (27%) 14 47 % 59.03 13.44 0.45 23%
6+ (Undercard) 60 (53%) 32 53 % 111.75 32.52 0.54 29%

Evil Scotsman: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 9 (8%) 3 33 % 29.20 -12.13 -1.35 -42%
Light Heavy 13 (12%) 9 69 % 31.25 18.88 1.45 60%
Middleweight 13 (12%) 8 62 % 22.85 11.16 0.86 49%
Welterweight 20 (18%) 9 45 % 37.13 11.49 0.57 31%
Lightweight 18 (16%) 10 56 % 35.96 2.85 0.16 8%
Featherweight 9 (8%) 5 56 % 18.75 8.60 0.96 46%
Bantamweight 14 (12%) 6 43 % 22.00 -5.05 -0.36 -23%
Flyweight 8 (7%) 5 63 % 12.90 5.71 0.71 44%
               
Women's Fights 9 (8%) 4 44 % 19.85 5.82 0.65 29%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 2.75 -0.25 -0.08 -9%
Strawweight 6 (5%) 3 50 % 17.10 6.07 1.01 36%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 98 (60%) 78 80 %
Slight Favorites 47 (29%) 28 60 %
Slight Underdogs 12 (7%) 6 50 %
Big Underdogs 7 (4%) 2 29 %
164 114 70 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 11 (12%) 6 55 %
50-65% 13 (14%) 6 46 %
35-50% 12 (13%) 5 42 %
<35% chance 57 (61%) 14 25 %
93 31 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.28 1.28Pick was correct 1.28Pick was correct 0.3 (28%)
Does not go to Decision 5 (5%) 3 60 % 1.37 1.44Pick was incorrect 1.22Pick was correct -1.0 (-20%)
X Wins by KO 23 (25%) 8 35 % 3.04 9.50Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct -0.9 (-4%)
X Wins by Sub 10 (11%) 5 50 % 4.59 14.00Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was correct 8.9 (89%)
X Wins by Decision 15 (16%) 5 33 % 2.84 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect 3.3 (22%)
X Wins Inside Distance 12 (13%) 4 33 % 2.75 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct -1.2 (-10%)
X Wins in Round X 9 (10%) 1 11 % 4.46 26.00Pick was incorrect 1.51Pick was incorrect -5.5 (-61%)
Others 18 (19%) 4 22 % 5.15 90.99Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -4.8 (-27%)
93 31 33 % 3.17     -1.0 (-1%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Evil Scotsman's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 25.62 4.6 18% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,046.33
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 26.85 19.1 71% $10.46 $1,046.33 $1,246.20
4th Aug UFC 227 14.75 18.5 125% $12.46 $1,246.20 $1,476.41
7th Aug DWTNCS 16 1.75 -0.6 -36% $14.76 $1,476.41 $1,467.19
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 18.81 6.7 35% $14.67 $1,467.19 $1,564.76
8th Sep UFC 228 6.4 11.3 176% $15.65 $1,564.76 $1,741.27
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 15.75 -14.2 -90% $17.41 $1,741.27 $1,494.44
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 21 10.0 48% $14.94 $1,494.44 $1,644.55
29th Sep Bellator 206 5.23 -0.3 -6% $16.45 $1,644.55 $1,639.22
6th Oct UFC 229 10 -3.5 -35% $16.39 $1,639.22 $1,582.66
13th Oct Bellator 208 4 3.2 80% $15.83 $1,582.66 $1,633.31
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 11.5 -3.0 -26% $16.33 $1,633.31 $1,584.31
3rd Nov UFC 230 15.1 10.2 67% $15.84 $1,584.31 $1,745.19
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 8.1 4.3 54% $17.45 $1,745.19 $1,820.98
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 13.5 1.8 13% $18.21 $1,820.98 $1,854.09
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 13.6 -2.4 -17% $18.54 $1,854.09 $1,810.15
30th Nov TUF Finale 8 -8.0 -100% $18.10 $1,810.15 $1,665.34
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 17 -11.2 -66% $16.65 $1,665.34 $1,479.51
8th Dec UFC 231 13.5 -2.2 -16% $14.80 $1,479.51 $1,446.78
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 13 5.1 39% $14.47 $1,446.78 $1,520.56
29th Dec UFC 232 14.5 9.2 64% $15.21 $1,520.56 $1,661.18
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 15 -2.9 -20% $16.61 $1,661.18 $1,612.30
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 13.3 -2.3 -17% $16.12 $1,612.30 $1,576.02
9th Feb UFC 234 7.8 7.5 96% $15.76 $1,576.02 $1,694.24
16th Feb Bellator 216 4.5 3.0 67% $16.94 $1,694.24 $1,745.42
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 10.4 -10.4 -100% $17.45 $1,745.42 $1,563.90
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 12 2.0 17% $15.64 $1,563.90 $1,595.62
2nd Mar UFC 235 9.25 6.3 68% $15.96 $1,595.62 $1,696.35
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 16.1 2.0 13% $16.96 $1,696.35 $1,730.74
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 11.5 -9.3 -81% $17.31 $1,730.74 $1,569.13


ROI % from starting bank balance: 56.91% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Evil Scotsman: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Jack Marshman John Phillips 1.73 1.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Curtis Millender 2.00 4.2 Sub, R1 (2:35) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Matt Schnell Louis Smolka 2.10 0.75 Sub, R1 (3:18) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Diego Sanchez Mickey Gall 3.50 0.75 TKO, R2 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Johnny Walker Misha Cirkunov 1.72 5.5 TKO, R1 (0:36) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '19 Damir Hadzovic Marco Polo Reyes 1.83 1.25 TKO, R2 (2:3) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '19 Thiago Santos Jan Blachowicz 1.90 1.25 TKO, R3 (0:39) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '19 Ricky Simon Rani Yahya 1.90 0.4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '19 Ricky Simon Rani Yahya 1.91 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '19 Rogerio Bontorin Magomed Bibulatov 4.20 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '19 Mara Romero Borella Taila Santos 2.50 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Markus Perez Anthony Hernandez 2.50 1.5 Sub, R2 (1:7) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '18 Walt Harris Andrei Arlovski 1.62 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '18 Corey Anderson Ilir Latifi 2.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '18 Jack Hermansson Gerald Meerschaert 1.62 5 Sub, R1 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '18 Edson Barboza Daniel Hooker 2.00 5 TKO, R3 (2:19) MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '18 Elias Theodorou Eryk Anders 1.85 0.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Ricardo Lamas Darren Elkins 1.57 3.5 TKO, R3 (4:9) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '18 Johnny Walker Khalil Rountree 3.25 0.75 TKO, R1 (1:57) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '18 Mike Trizano Luis Pena 3.50 0.8 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '19 Danny Roberts Claudio Silva 2.30 0.75 Sub, R3 (2:37) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Joseph Duffy Marc Diakiese 1.53 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Gunnar Nelson Leon Edwards 2.30 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Zak Ottow Alex Morono 2.62 0.6 TKO, R1 (3:34) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Tim Boetsch Omari Akhmedov 2.27 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Dan Moret Alex White 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Ben Rothwell Blagoy Ivanov 2.10 1.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Robbie Lawler Ben Askren 3.25 1.5 Sub, R1 (3:20) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '19 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Stefan Struve 1.90 5 Sub, R2 (2:21) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '19 Scott Holtzman Nik Lentz 1.57 2.7 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '19 Alexandra Albu Emily Whitmire 1.80 1.15 Sub, R1 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Scott Holtzman Nik Lentz 1.57 3.7 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 Wuliji Buren Jonathan Martinez 2.40 0.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 Dong Hyun Kim (2) Devonte Smith 3.00 0.5 TKO, R1 (3:53) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 Wuliji Buren Jonathan Martinez 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '19 Sarah Frota Livia Renata Souza 2.75 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '19 David Teymur Charles Oliveira 2.00 4 Sub, R2 (0:55) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '18 Carlos Condit Michael Chiesa 2.50 1 Sub, R2 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '18 Jordan Griffin Dan Ige 2.38 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '18 Kyle Bochniak Hakeem Dawodu 2.50 0.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Evil Scotsman: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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