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MMA Handicapper Stats: Evil Scotsman

Evil Scotsman (TheEvilScotsman)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Evil Scotsman

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 119 (41%) Right 77 (53%) Right 16 (29%) Right 26 (29%)
Wrong 173 (59%) Wrong 69 (47%) Wrong 40 (71%) Wrong 64 (71%)
Avg Odds 2.73 Avg Odds 2.12 Avg Odds 4.28 Avg Odds 3.61
Units Bet 476.7 Units Bet 298.9 Units Bet 52.7 Units Bet 125.2
Avg Bet 1.63 Avg Bet 2.05 Avg Bet 0.94 Avg Bet 1.39
Units Profit 86.60 Units Profit 53.99 Units Profit 12.90 Units Profit 19.71
ROI % 18% ROI % 18% ROI % 25% ROI % 16%
View Handicapper's Profile

Evil Scotsman: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 11.65 29.6 254% 6.0 / 3 (200%) 19.5 / 2.5 (780%) 4.1 / 6.15 (67%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 15 -3.4 -22% -2.4 / 14 (-17%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 15.5 -9.4 -61% -4.4 / 10.5 (-42%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 KSW 48 3.5 1.4 39% 1.4 / 3.5 (39%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 11 5.8 53% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 3.2 / 4 (80%) 5.1 / 4.5 (113%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 16 -1.9 -12% -1.2 / 12 (-10%) 1.3 / 2 (65%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 13.25 5.0 38% 4.0 / 11.5 (35%) 1.0 / 1.75 (57%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 13 4.7 37% 5.7 / 12 (48%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 11.5 -9.3 -81% -5.8 / 8 (-73%) -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%) -2.7 / 2.7 (-100%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 16.1 2.0 13% 1.5 / 8.5 (17%) -2.1 / 2.1 (-100%) 2.7 / 5.5 (48%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 9.25 6.3 68% 4.3 / 7.75 (56%) 2.0 / 1.5 (132%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 12 2.0 17% -2.8 / 7.5 (-38%) 4.9 / 4.5 (108%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 10.4 -10.4 -100% -7.6 / 7.55 (-100%) -1.1 / 1.05 (-100%) -1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 4.5 3.0 67% 3.0 / 4.5 (67%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 7.8 7.5 96% -0.7 / 3.6 (-21%) 8.2 / 4.2 (196%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 13.3 -2.3 -17% 0.8 / 7.5 (11%) -0.7 / 3.35 (-19%) -2.5 / 2.45 (-100%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 15 -2.9 -20% 0.1 / 4.5 (3%) -3.1 / 10.5 (-29%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 14.5 9.2 64% 8.7 / 9.5 (91%) 0.6 / 5 (12%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 13 5.1 39% 5.1 / 13 (39%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 13.5 -2.2 -16% -2.4 / 3.75 (-63%) 1.9 / 8 (24%) -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 17 -11.2 -66% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -6.2 / 12 (-51%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 8 -8.0 -100% -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 13.6 -2.4 -17% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 0.1 / 11.1 (1%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 13.5 1.8 13% -0.3 / 8.25 (-4%) 2.1 / 5.25 (41%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 8.1 4.3 54% 1.5 / 1.3 (115%) -2.8 / 2.8 (-100%) 5.6 / 4 (141%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 15.1 10.2 67% 10.8 / 7 (154%) 2.9 / 4.65 (61%) -3.5 / 3.45 (-100%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 11.5 -3.0 -26% 0.7 / 7.75 (10%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 4 3.2 80% 3.2 / 4 (80%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 10 -3.5 -35% 4.0 / 2.5 (162%) -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 5.23 -0.3 -6% -0.3 / 5.23 (-6%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 21 10.0 48% 6.5 / 15.5 (42%) -1.7 / 3.5 (-50%) 5.3 / 2 (267%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 15.75 -14.2 -90% -9.2 / 10.75 (-85%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 6.4 11.3 176% 1.2 / 3.85 (32%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 11.6 / 1.05 (1,100%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 18.81 6.7 35% 7.2 / 18.31 (39%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
7th Aug '18 DWTNCS 16 1.75 -0.6 -36% -0.4 / 1.5 (-25%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 14.75 18.5 125% 8.2 / 10.75 (77%) 10.2 / 4 (256%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 26.85 19.1 71% 20.3 / 25.7 (79%) -1.2 / 1.15 (-100%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 25.62 4.6 18% 3.3 / 20.35 (16%) 3.3 / 3.25 (102%) -2.0 / 2.02 (-100%)


Winning Events: 22 (58%)
Losing Events: 16 (42%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.55 units
Most Staked On One Event: 26.85 units
Best Event: 29.64 units
Worst Event: -14.17 units
Average Event: 2.28 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 42.21
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -23.74

Evil Scotsman: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 198.75 27.9 14% -3.6 / 119.4 (-3%) 18.0 / 21.8 (83%) 13.5 / 57.55 (23%) 10 / 7 (59%) 1.64
2018 277.96 58.7 21% 57.6 / 179.49 (32%) -5.1 / 30.85 (-17%) 6.2 / 67.62 (9%) 12 / 9 (57%) 2.80

Evil Scotsman: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Evil Scotsman: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 457.73 80.0 17% 50.1 / 284.66 (18%) 12.9 / 52.65 (25%) 16.9 / 120.42 (14%)
Bellator 13.73 5.9 43% 2.9 / 9.23 (31%) 3.0 / 4.5 (67%)
Other 5.25 0.7 14% 1.0 / 5 (20%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)

Evil Scotsman: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 11 (8%) 9 82 % 45.75 10.02 0.91 22%
Slight Favorites 47 (32%) 29 62 % 121.05 -4.20 -0.09 -3%
Slight Underdogs 56 (38%) 26 46 % 92.69 21.12 0.38 23%
Big Underdogs 32 (22%) 13 41 % 39.40 27.05 0.85 69%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 14 (10%) 7 50 % 34.66 -0.76 -0.05 -2%
Co-Main Event 17 (12%) 10 59 % 43.95 6.06 0.36 14%
Position 3-5 40 (27%) 21 53 % 79.03 17.44 0.44 22%
6+ (Undercard) 75 (51%) 39 52 % 141.25 31.25 0.42 22%

Evil Scotsman: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 9 (6%) 3 33 % 29.20 -12.13 -1.35 -42%
Light Heavy 15 (10%) 10 67 % 35.25 23.88 1.59 68%
Middleweight 17 (12%) 11 65 % 32.35 14.10 0.83 44%
Welterweight 25 (17%) 14 56 % 46.63 26.83 1.07 58%
Lightweight 23 (16%) 10 43 % 46.96 -8.15 -0.35 -17%
Featherweight 17 (12%) 10 59 % 36.25 9.18 0.54 25%
Bantamweight 19 (13%) 7 37 % 36.50 -12.75 -0.67 -35%
Flyweight 10 (7%) 6 60 % 14.90 5.96 0.60 40%
               
Women's Fights 11 (8%) 6 55 % 20.85 7.07 0.64 34%
Bantamweight 3 (2%) 1 33 % 2.75 -0.25 -0.08 -9%
Strawweight 8 (5%) 5 63 % 18.10 7.32 0.92 40%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 126 (59%) 103 82 %
Slight Favorites 66 (31%) 35 53 %
Slight Underdogs 13 (6%) 7 54 %
Big Underdogs 7 (3%) 2 29 %
212 147 69 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 11 (10%) 6 55 %
50-65% 16 (15%) 8 50 %
35-50% 14 (13%) 6 43 %
<35% chance 65 (61%) 19 29 %
106 39 37 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.28 1.28Pick was correct 1.28Pick was correct 0.3 (28%)
Does not go to Decision 5 (5%) 3 60 % 1.37 1.44Pick was incorrect 1.22Pick was correct -1.0 (-20%)
X Wins by KO 31 (29%) 13 42 % 3.39 14.00Pick was correct 1.53Pick was correct 32.5 (105%)
X Wins by Sub 10 (9%) 5 50 % 4.59 14.00Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was correct 8.9 (89%)
X Wins by Decision 16 (15%) 6 38 % 2.86 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect 5.6 (35%)
X Wins Inside Distance 16 (15%) 6 38 % 2.42 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct -1.6 (-10%)
X Wins in Round X 9 (8%) 1 11 % 4.46 26.00Pick was incorrect 1.51Pick was incorrect -5.5 (-61%)
Others 18 (17%) 4 22 % 5.15 90.99Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -4.8 (-27%)
106 39 37 % 3.17     34.3 (32%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Evil Scotsman's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 25.62 4.6 18% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,046.33
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 26.85 19.1 71% $10.46 $1,046.33 $1,246.20
4th Aug UFC 227 14.75 18.5 125% $12.46 $1,246.20 $1,476.41
7th Aug DWTNCS 16 1.75 -0.6 -36% $14.76 $1,476.41 $1,467.19
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 18.81 6.7 35% $14.67 $1,467.19 $1,564.76
8th Sep UFC 228 6.4 11.3 176% $15.65 $1,564.76 $1,741.27
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 15.75 -14.2 -90% $17.41 $1,741.27 $1,494.44
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 21 10.0 48% $14.94 $1,494.44 $1,644.55
29th Sep Bellator 206 5.23 -0.3 -6% $16.45 $1,644.55 $1,639.22
6th Oct UFC 229 10 -3.5 -35% $16.39 $1,639.22 $1,582.66
13th Oct Bellator 208 4 3.2 80% $15.83 $1,582.66 $1,633.31
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 11.5 -3.0 -26% $16.33 $1,633.31 $1,584.31
3rd Nov UFC 230 15.1 10.2 67% $15.84 $1,584.31 $1,745.19
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 8.1 4.3 54% $17.45 $1,745.19 $1,820.98
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 13.5 1.8 13% $18.21 $1,820.98 $1,854.09
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 13.6 -2.4 -17% $18.54 $1,854.09 $1,810.15
30th Nov TUF Finale 8 -8.0 -100% $18.10 $1,810.15 $1,665.34
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 17 -11.2 -66% $16.65 $1,665.34 $1,479.51
8th Dec UFC 231 13.5 -2.2 -16% $14.80 $1,479.51 $1,446.78
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 13 5.1 39% $14.47 $1,446.78 $1,520.56
29th Dec UFC 232 14.5 9.2 64% $15.21 $1,520.56 $1,661.18
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 15 -2.9 -20% $16.61 $1,661.18 $1,612.30
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 13.3 -2.3 -17% $16.12 $1,612.30 $1,576.02
9th Feb UFC 234 7.8 7.5 96% $15.76 $1,576.02 $1,694.24
16th Feb Bellator 216 4.5 3.0 67% $16.94 $1,694.24 $1,745.42
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 10.4 -10.4 -100% $17.45 $1,745.42 $1,563.90
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 12 2.0 17% $15.64 $1,563.90 $1,595.62
2nd Mar UFC 235 9.25 6.3 68% $15.96 $1,595.62 $1,696.35
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 16.1 2.0 13% $16.96 $1,696.35 $1,730.74
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 11.5 -9.3 -81% $17.31 $1,730.74 $1,569.13
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 13 4.7 37% $15.69 $1,569.13 $1,643.66
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 13.25 5.0 38% $16.44 $1,643.66 $1,725.95
13th Apr UFC 236 16 -1.9 -12% $17.26 $1,725.95 $1,693.25
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 11 5.8 53% $16.93 $1,693.25 $1,791.39
27th Apr KSW 48 3.5 1.4 39% $17.91 $1,791.39 $1,815.84
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 15.5 -9.4 -61% $18.16 $1,815.84 $1,645.33
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 15 -3.4 -22% $16.45 $1,645.33 $1,589.89
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 11.65 29.6 254% $15.90 $1,589.89 $2,061.19


ROI % from starting bank balance: 106.12% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Evil Scotsman: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '19 Ed Herman Patrick Cummins 3.00 3 TKO, R1 (3:39) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Merab Dvalishvili Brad Katona 1.70 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Shane Burgos Cub Swanson 1.61 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '19 Dhiego Lima Court McGee 2.62 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '19 Shamil Musaev Hubert Szymajda 1.39 3.5 TKO, R1 (3:41) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '19 Dhiego Lima Court McGee 2.40 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '19 Israel Adesanya Kelvin Gastelum 1.62 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '19 Max Griffin Zelim Imadaev 1.91 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '19 Israel Adesanya Kelvin Gastelum 1.58 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '19 Sodiq Yusuff Sheymon da Silva Moraes 1.73 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '19 Michelle Waterson Karolina Kowalkiewicz 2.25 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '19 Josh Emmett Michael Johnson 2.00 1.5 TKO, R3 (4:14) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '19 Sodiq Yusuff Sheymon da Silva Moraes 1.61 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '19 Michelle Waterson Karolina Kowalkiewicz 2.25 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '19 Jack Hermansson David Branch 1.80 2.5 Sub, R1 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '19 Chris Gutierrez Ryan MacDonald 1.50 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '19 Jussier Formiga Deiveson Figueiredo 2.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '19 Anthony Pettis Stephen Thompson 5.50 2 TKO, R2 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '19 Jack Marshman John Phillips 1.73 1.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '19 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Curtis Millender 2.00 4.2 Sub, R1 (2:35) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '19 Aiemann Zahabi Vincent Morales 1.67 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Al Iaquinta Donald Cerrone 1.70 4 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '19 Jason Gonzalez Jim Miller 2.25 1.5 Sub, R1 (2:12) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '19 Ion Cutelaba Glover Teixeira 1.90 1 Sub, R2 (3:37) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '19 John Lineker Cory Sandhagen 1.70 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '19 Ronaldo Souza Jack Hermansson 1.57 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '19 Rafael Fiziev Magomed Mustafaev 2.25 1.5 TKO, R1 (1:26) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '19 Arman Tsarukyan Islam Makhachev 4.33 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '19 Boston Salmon Khalid Taha 1.73 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:25) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '19 Wilson Reis Alexandre Pantoja 2.75 1 TKO, R1 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '19 Max Holloway Dustin Poirier 1.50 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '19 Enrique Barzola Kevin Aguilar 1.80 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '19 Bobby Moffett Bryce Mitchell 1.61 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '19 Frankie Saenz Marlon Vera 2.25 2.5 TKO, R1 (1:25) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '19 Steven Peterson Luis Pena 3.00 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '19 Danny Roberts Claudio Silva 2.30 0.75 Sub, R3 (2:37) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '19 Joseph Duffy Marc Diakiese 1.53 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '19 Gunnar Nelson Leon Edwards 2.30 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '19 Zak Ottow Alex Morono 2.62 0.6 TKO, R1 (3:34) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '19 Tim Boetsch Omari Akhmedov 2.27 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Evil Scotsman: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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