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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1432
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 577

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Evil Scotsman

Evil Scotsman (TheEvilScotsman)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Evil Scotsman

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 70 (41%) Right 47 (56%) Right 11 (31%) Right 12 (24%)
Wrong 100 (59%) Wrong 37 (44%) Wrong 24 (69%) Wrong 39 (76%)
Avg Odds 2.79 Avg Odds 2.18 Avg Odds 3.86 Avg Odds 3.80
Units Bet 293.0 Units Bet 179.5 Units Bet 35.4 Units Bet 78.1
Avg Bet 1.72 Avg Bet 2.14 Avg Bet 1.01 Avg Bet 1.53
Units Profit 55.79 Units Profit 57.63 Units Profit -5.00 Units Profit 3.16
ROI % 19% ROI % 32% ROI % -14% ROI % 4%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 15 -2.9 -20% 0.1 / 4.5 (3%) -3.1 / 10.5 (-29%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 14.5 9.2 64% 8.7 / 9.5 (91%) 0.6 / 5 (12%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 13 5.1 39% 5.1 / 13 (39%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 13.5 -2.2 -16% -2.4 / 3.75 (-63%) 1.9 / 8 (24%) -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 17 -11.2 -66% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -6.2 / 12 (-51%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 8 -8.0 -100% -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 13.6 -2.4 -17% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 0.1 / 11.1 (1%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 13.5 1.8 13% -0.3 / 8.25 (-4%) 2.1 / 5.25 (41%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 8.1 4.3 54% 1.5 / 1.3 (115%) -2.8 / 2.8 (-100%) 5.6 / 4 (141%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 15.1 10.2 67% 10.8 / 7 (154%) 2.9 / 4.65 (61%) -3.5 / 3.45 (-100%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 11.5 -3.0 -26% 0.7 / 7.75 (10%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 4 3.2 80% 3.2 / 4 (80%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 10 -3.5 -35% 4.0 / 2.5 (162%) -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 5.23 -0.3 -6% -0.3 / 5.23 (-6%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 21 10.0 48% 6.5 / 15.5 (42%) -1.7 / 3.5 (-50%) 5.3 / 2 (267%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 15.75 -14.2 -90% -9.2 / 10.75 (-85%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 6.4 11.3 176% 1.2 / 3.85 (32%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 11.6 / 1.05 (1,100%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 18.81 6.7 35% 7.2 / 18.31 (39%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
7th Aug '18 DWTNCS 16 1.75 -0.6 -36% -0.4 / 1.5 (-25%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 14.75 18.5 125% 8.2 / 10.75 (77%) 10.2 / 4 (256%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 26.85 19.1 71% 20.3 / 25.7 (79%) -1.2 / 1.15 (-100%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 25.62 4.6 18% 3.3 / 20.35 (16%) 3.3 / 3.25 (102%) -2.0 / 2.02 (-100%)


Winning Events: 12 (55%)
Losing Events: 10 (45%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 15 -2.9 -20% 0.1 / 4.5 (3%) -3.1 / 10.5 (-29%) / 1 (0%) -2.94
2018 277.96 58.7 21% 57.6 / 179.49 (32%) -5.1 / 30.85 (-17%) 6.2 / 67.62 (9%) 12 / 9 (57%) 2.80

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 281.98 53.5 19% 55.1 / 168.76 (33%) -5.0 / 35.35 (-14%) 3.4 / 77.87 (4%)
Bellator 9.23 2.9 31% 2.9 / 9.23 (31%)
Other 1.75 -0.6 -36% -0.4 / 1.5 (-25%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 7 (8%) 7 100 % 33.75 12.65 1.81 37%
Slight Favorites 21 (25%) 15 71 % 58.25 6.77 0.32 12%
Slight Underdogs 32 (38%) 16 50 % 58.84 25.13 0.79 43%
Big Underdogs 24 (29%) 9 38 % 28.65 13.07 0.54 46%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 9 (11%) 5 56 % 22.41 -1.89 -0.21 -8%
Co-Main Event 10 (12%) 6 60 % 22.75 6.42 0.64 28%
Position 3-5 24 (29%) 12 50 % 50.08 19.53 0.81 39%
6+ (Undercard) 41 (49%) 24 59 % 84.25 33.56 0.82 40%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 7 (8%) 3 43 % 23.00 -5.93 -0.85 -26%
Light Heavy 11 (13%) 7 64 % 24.50 13.79 1.25 56%
Middleweight 10 (12%) 6 60 % 19.35 8.75 0.88 45%
Welterweight 14 (17%) 7 50 % 25.83 11.76 0.84 46%
Lightweight 11 (13%) 9 82 % 20.31 16.21 1.47 80%
Featherweight 9 (11%) 5 56 % 18.75 8.60 0.96 46%
Bantamweight 10 (12%) 4 40 % 18.90 -4.81 -0.48 -25%
Flyweight 6 (7%) 3 50 % 11.65 3.28 0.55 28%
               
Women's Fights 6 (7%) 3 50 % 17.20 5.97 1.00 35%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 0 % 1.75 -1.75 -0.88 -100%
Strawweight 4 (5%) 3 75 % 15.45 7.72 1.93 50%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 68 (58%) 52 76 %
Slight Favorites 35 (30%) 21 60 %
Slight Underdogs 9 (8%) 5 56 %
Big Underdogs 6 (5%) 2 33 %
118 80 68 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 7 (10%) 4 57 %
50-65% 13 (19%) 6 46 %
35-50% 9 (13%) 4 44 %
<35% chance 38 (57%) 14 37 %
67 28 42 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.28 1.28Pick was correct 1.28Pick was correct 0.3 (28%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (3%) 2 100 % 1.29 1.36Pick was correct 1.22Pick was correct 0.6 (29%)
X Wins by KO 22 (33%) 8 36 % 2.98 9.50Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct 0.1 (0%)
X Wins by Sub 6 (9%) 4 67 % 3.86 8.00Pick was correct 2.50Pick was correct 10.2 (171%)
X Wins by Decision 11 (16%) 5 45 % 2.55 5.50Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect 7.3 (66%)
X Wins Inside Distance 6 (9%) 3 50 % 2.78 4.00Pick was correct 2.62Pick was incorrect 3.2 (54%)
X Wins in Round X 8 (12%) 1 13 % 4.15 26.00Pick was incorrect 1.51Pick was incorrect -4.5 (-56%)
Others 11 (16%) 4 36 % 3.69 9.00Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect 2.2 (20%)
67 28 42 % 2.96     19.3 (29%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 25.62 4.6 18% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,046.33
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 26.85 19.1 71% $10.46 $1,046.33 $1,246.20
4th Aug UFC 227 14.75 18.5 125% $12.46 $1,246.20 $1,476.41
7th Aug DWTNCS 16 1.75 -0.6 -36% $14.76 $1,476.41 $1,467.19
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 18.81 6.7 35% $14.67 $1,467.19 $1,564.76
8th Sep UFC 228 6.4 11.3 176% $15.65 $1,564.76 $1,741.27
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 15.75 -14.2 -90% $17.41 $1,741.27 $1,494.44
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 21 10.0 48% $14.94 $1,494.44 $1,644.55
29th Sep Bellator 206 5.23 -0.3 -6% $16.45 $1,644.55 $1,639.22
6th Oct UFC 229 10 -3.5 -35% $16.39 $1,639.22 $1,582.66
13th Oct Bellator 208 4 3.2 80% $15.83 $1,582.66 $1,633.31
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 11.5 -3.0 -26% $16.33 $1,633.31 $1,584.31
3rd Nov UFC 230 15.1 10.2 67% $15.84 $1,584.31 $1,745.19
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 8.1 4.3 54% $17.45 $1,745.19 $1,820.98
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 13.5 1.8 13% $18.21 $1,820.98 $1,854.09
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 13.6 -2.4 -17% $18.54 $1,854.09 $1,810.15
30th Nov TUF Finale 8 -8.0 -100% $18.10 $1,810.15 $1,665.34
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 17 -11.2 -66% $16.65 $1,665.34 $1,479.51
8th Dec UFC 231 13.5 -2.2 -16% $14.80 $1,479.51 $1,446.78
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 13 5.1 39% $14.47 $1,446.78 $1,520.56
29th Dec UFC 232 14.5 9.2 64% $15.21 $1,520.56 $1,661.18
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 15 -2.9 -20% $16.61 $1,661.18 $1,612.30


ROI % from starting bank balance: 61.23% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Walt Harris Andrei Arlovski 1.62 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Corey Anderson Ilir Latifi 2.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Jack Hermansson Gerald Meerschaert 1.62 5 Sub, R1 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Edson Barboza Daniel Hooker 2.00 5 TKO, R3 (2:19) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Elias Theodorou Eryk Anders 1.85 0.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Ricardo Lamas Darren Elkins 1.57 3.5 TKO, R3 (4:9) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Johnny Walker Khalil Rountree 3.25 0.75 TKO, R1 (1:57) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Mike Trizano Luis Pena 3.50 0.8 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Adam Wieczorek 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Jordan Rinaldi Jason Knight 3.25 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Ronaldo Souza Chris Weidman 2.50 2 TKO, R3 (2:46) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '18 Sean Strickland Nordine Taleb 2.20 2.5 TKO, R2 (3:10) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '18 Anatoly Tokov Alexander Shlemenko 1.80 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '18 Douglas Lima Andrey Koreshkov 2.20 2.23 Sub, R5 (3:4) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '18 Tony Martin Ryan LaFlare 2.62 2.5 TKO, R3 (1:0) MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '18 Sergio Moraes Ben Saunders 1.36 7.5 Sub, R2 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Francisco Trinaldo Evan Dunham 1.50 2.5 TKO, R2 (4:12) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '18 Rogerio Nogueira Sam Alvey 4.00 2 TKO, R2 (0:35) MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '18 Jan Blachowicz Nikita Krylov 2.10 0.75 Sub, R2 (2:41) MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '18 Jimmie Rivera John Dodson 1.73 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 Carlos Condit Michael Chiesa 2.50 1 Sub, R2 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Jordan Griffin Dan Ige 2.38 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Kyle Bochniak Hakeem Dawodu 2.50 0.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Matthew Lopez Brad Katona 3.00 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Valentina Shevchenko 3.75 0.75 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Alex Perez Joseph Benavidez 1.80 1.25 TKO, R1 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Bryan Caraway Pedro Munhoz 3.25 1.5 TKO, R1 (2:39) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Rick Glenn Kevin Aguilar 2.00 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Alex Perez Joseph Benavidez 1.80 2.25 TKO, R1 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Darren Stewart Edmen Shahbazyan 2.37 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Sumudaerji Sumudaerji Louis Smolka 2.80 1.4 Sub, R2 (2:7) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 David Zawada Li Jingliang 2.40 1.1 TKO, R3 (4:7) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 2.50 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Bartosz Fabinski Michel Prazeres 3.00 0.75 Sub, R1 (1:2) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '18 Guido Cannetti Marlon Vera 3.50 0.75 Sub, R2 (1:31) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Hannah Cifers Maycee Barber 4.00 0.5 TKO, R2 (2:1) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Jack Marshman Karl Roberson 3.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '18 Ed Herman Gian Villante 3.25 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '18 Marcelo Golm Arjan Bhullar 2.87 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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