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MMA Handicapper Stats: Chris Palma

Chris Palma (See_Palms_MMA)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Chris Palma

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 22 (49%) Right 18 (62%) Right 2 (29%) Right 2 (22%)
Wrong 23 (51%) Wrong 11 (38%) Wrong 5 (71%) Wrong 7 (78%)
Avg Odds 1.91 Avg Odds 1.72 Avg Odds 1.71 Avg Odds 3.47
Units Bet 309.0 Units Bet 223.5 Units Bet 24.5 Units Bet 61.0
Avg Bet 6.87 Avg Bet 7.71 Avg Bet 3.50 Avg Bet 6.78
Units Profit 8.88 Units Profit 24.81 Units Profit -14.45 Units Profit -1.47
ROI % 3% ROI % 11% ROI % -59% ROI % -2%
View Handicapper's Profile

Chris Palma: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 22 -22.0 -100% -22.0 / 22 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 48 -6.8 -14% -7.1 / 45 (-16%) 0.3 / 3 (10%)
5th Oct '18 PFL 8 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 30 -10.2 -34% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) -0.2 / 20 (-1%)
14th Sep '18 LFA 49 11 4.4 40% 4.4 / 11 (40%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 35 19.2 55% 19.2 / 35 (55%)
7th Aug '18 DWTNCS 16 49 -10.1 -21% -5.1 / 44 (-12%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 19 0.8 4% 7.8 / 12 (65%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Jul '18 DWTNCS 15 11 3.1 28% 3.1 / 11 (28%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 42 4.7 11% 6.5 / 33.5 (19%) 1.3 / 5.5 (23%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 12 -12.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 20 47.8 239% 13.1 / 15 (88%) 34.7 / 5 (694%)


Winning Events: 6 (50%)
Losing Events: 6 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 25.75 units
Most Staked On One Event: 49.00 units
Best Event: 47.83 units
Worst Event: -22.00 units
Average Event: 0.74 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 47.83
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -48.96

Chris Palma: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2018 309 8.9 3% 24.8 / 223.5 (11%) -14.4 / 24.5 (-59%) -1.5 / 61 (-2%) 6 / 6 (50%) 0.74

Chris Palma: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Chris Palma: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 228 21.6 9% 32.5 / 147.5 (22%) -14.4 / 24.5 (-59%) 3.5 / 56 (6%)
PFL 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
Other 71 -2.7 -4% 2.3 / 66 (4%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)

Chris Palma: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 9 (30%) 7 78 % 82.00 2.95 0.33 4%
Slight Favorites 10 (33%) 7 70 % 84.00 16.75 1.68 20%
Slight Underdogs 10 (33%) 5 50 % 52.50 10.10 1.01 19%
Big Underdogs 1 (3%) 0 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 9 (30%) 7 78 % 78.00 23.20 2.58 30%
Co-Main Event 4 (13%) 2 50 % 36.00 -0.83 -0.21 -2%
Position 3-5 10 (33%) 6 60 % 82.00 -6.57 -0.66 -8%
6+ (Undercard) 7 (23%) 4 57 % 27.50 9.00 1.29 33%

Chris Palma: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (13%) 2 50 % 41.00 -12.25 -3.06 -30%
Light Heavy 4 (13%) 3 75 % 28.50 4.57 1.14 16%
Middleweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 11.00 3.06 3.06 28%
Welterweight 4 (13%) 2 50 % 29.00 7.40 1.85 26%
Lightweight 7 (23%) 4 57 % 39.00 -17.60 -2.51 -45%
Featherweight 3 (10%) 2 67 % 21.00 4.59 1.53 22%
Bantamweight 4 (13%) 3 75 % 33.00 19.96 4.99 60%
Flyweight 2 (7%) 1 50 % 11.00 11.50 5.75 105%
               
Women's Fights 1 (3%) 1 100 % 10.00 3.57 3.57 36%
Strawweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 10.00 3.57 3.57 36%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 13 (45%) 10 77 %
Slight Favorites 8 (28%) 4 50 %
Slight Underdogs 7 (24%) 4 57 %
Big Underdogs 1 (3%) 1 100 %
29 19 66 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (29%) 1 50 %
50-65% 2 (29%) 0 0 %
35-50% 3 (43%) 1 33 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
7 2 29 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (29%) 0 0 % 1.91 2.20Pick was incorrect 1.69Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (29%) 1 50 % 2.30 2.70Pick was correct 2.00Pick was incorrect 0.7 (35%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (14%) 1 100 % 1.10 1.10Pick was correct 1.10Pick was incorrect 0.1 (10%)
X Wins by KO 2 (29%) 0 0 % 1.57 1.80Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
7 2 29 % 1.71     -3.2 (-46%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Chris Palma's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 20 47.8 239% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,478.27
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 12 -12.0 -100% $14.78 $1,478.27 $1,300.88
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 42 4.7 11% $13.01 $1,300.88 $1,362.34
31st Jul DWTNCS 15 11 3.1 28% $13.62 $1,362.34 $1,403.96
4th Aug UFC 227 19 0.8 4% $14.04 $1,403.96 $1,415.19
7th Aug DWTNCS 16 49 -10.1 -21% $14.15 $1,415.19 $1,271.87
8th Sep UFC 228 35 19.2 55% $12.72 $1,271.87 $1,515.60
14th Sep LFA 49 11 4.4 40% $15.16 $1,515.60 $1,582.29
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 30 -10.2 -34% $15.82 $1,582.29 $1,421.42
5th Oct PFL 8 10 -10.0 -100% $14.21 $1,421.42 $1,279.28
6th Oct UFC 229 48 -6.8 -14% $12.79 $1,279.28 $1,192.36
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 22 -22.0 -100% $11.92 $1,192.36 $930.04


ROI % from starting bank balance: -7.00% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Chris Palma: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Oct '18 Dominick Reyes Ovince St Preux 1.54 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '18 Jussier Formiga Sergio Pettis 2.25 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '18 Sean Brady Gilbert Urbina 1.40 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '18 Jimmie Rivera John Dodson 1.67 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '18 Aljamain Sterling Cody Stamann 1.65 10 Sub, R2 (3:42) MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '18 Tyron Woodley Darren Till 2.10 10 Sub, R2 (4:19) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '18 Bobby Moffett Jacob Kilburn 1.24 11 Sub, R2 (1:2) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '18 Kennedy Nzechukwu Dennis Bryant 1.15 11 TKO, R1 (1:48) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '18 Greg Hardy Tebaris Gordon 1.15 11 TKO, R1 (0:17) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '18 T.J. Dillashaw Cody Garbrandt 1.80 11 TKO, R1 (4:10) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '18 Ian Heinisch Justin Sumter 1.28 11 TKO, R1 (3:37) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '18 John Makdessi Ross Pearson 1.53 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '18 Ion Cutelaba Gadzhimurad Antigulov 2.00 2.5 TKO, R1 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '18 Alexander Hernandez Olivier Aubin-Mercier 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '18 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Tecia Torres 1.36 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '18 Dustin Poirier Eddie Alvarez 1.63 5 TKO, R2 (4:5) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '18 Dustin Poirier Eddie Alvarez 1.63 5 TKO, R2 (4:5) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '18 Raoni Barcelos Kurt Holobaugh 2.40 5 TKO, R3 (1:39) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '18 Junior dos Santos Blagoy Ivanov 1.61 10 U Decision (5 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Oct '18 Anthony Pettis Tony Ferguson 4.20 5 TKO, R2 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '18 Alexander Volkov Derrick Lewis 1.63 10 TKO, R3 (4:49) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '18 Conor McGregor Khabib Nurmagomedov 2.60 10 Sub, R4 (3:2) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '18 Kelvin Tiller Jared Rosholt 1.50 10 U Decision (2 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '18 Craig White Diego Sanchez 1.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '18 Joseph Lowry Devonte Smith 1.70 11 TKO, R1 (2:52) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '18 Jose Torres Alex Perez 2.20 1 TKO, R1 (3:36) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '18 Alex Morono Jordan Mein 2.05 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '18 Jeremy Stephens Jose Aldo 2.00 5 TKO, R1 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '18 Damian Stasiak Pingyuan Liu 1.91 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '18 Mauricio Rua Anthony Smith 2.80 5 TKO, R1 (1:29) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Chris Palma: Progress Chart
Chart

 
 
 
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