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MMA Handicapper Stats: MAck’s MMA picks

MAck’s MMA picks (MackPicks)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	64 (48%)	Right	42 (51%)	Right	21 (48%)	Right	1 (17%)
Wrong	68 (52%)	Wrong	40 (49%)	Wrong	23 (52%)	Wrong	5 (83%)
Avg Odds	2.09	Avg Odds	1.98	Avg Odds	2.28	Avg Odds	2.45
Units Bet	309.8	Units Bet	230.5	Units Bet	57.5	Units Bet	21.8
Avg Bet	2.35	Avg Bet	2.81	Avg Bet	1.31	Avg Bet	3.63
Units Profit	37.94	Units Profit	24.09	Units Profit	16.28	Units Profit	-2.43
ROI %	12%	ROI %	10%	ROI %	28%	ROI %	-11%

MAck’s MMA picks : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	18	-5.5	-31%	-2.5 / 11 (-23%)	-3.0 / 7 (-43%)
9th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 146	7	-0.1	-1%	1.9 / 5 (38%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	13.25	3.4	25%	8.6 / 8 (108%)	-5.3 / 5.25 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	11.5	11.9	104%	4.0 / 5 (80%)	8.5 / 6 (141%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	4.5	3.2	70%	1.6 / 3.5 (46%)	1.5 / 1 (155%)
16th Feb '19	Bellator 216	7	2.1	30%	3.1 / 6 (52%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	9.25	7.6	82%	2.3 / 3 (78%)	5.2 / 6.25 (83%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	9.5	1.6	17%	0.4 / 4.5 (10%)	1.2 / 5 (23%)
26th Jan '19	Bellator Los Angeles	1	0.5	53%		0.5 / 1 (53%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	1.25	-1.3	-100%			-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	12	8.3	69%	8.3 / 12 (69%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	1	1.3	130%	1.3 / 1 (130%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	7	-2.0	-29%		-2.0 / 7 (-29%)
15th Nov '18	Bellator 209	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	18	19.2	106%	19.2 / 18 (106%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	14	-10.6	-76%	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)	-1.6 / 5 (-32%)
12th Oct '18	Bellator 207	3	5.5	185%	5.5 / 3 (185%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	31	4.5	15%	2.8 / 21 (13%)	6.7 / 5 (134%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18	Bellator 206	29	13.2	45%	4.0 / 17 (24%)	-0.2 / 2 (-8%)	9.3 / 10 (93%)
22nd Sep '18	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	11	-11.0	-100%	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	12	-0.8	-7%	-1.0 / 7 (-14%)	3.2 / 2 (160%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	10	-7.3	-73%	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)	1.7 / 1 (170%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	26	14.8	57%	14.1 / 23 (61%)	2.7 / 1 (275%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Aug '18	DWTNCS 16	5	2.2	44%	2.2 / 5 (44%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	12	-12.0	-100%	-12.0 / 12 (-100%)
24th Jul '18	DWTNCS 14	8	-8.0	-100%	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
22nd Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 134	9.5	-4.1	-43%	-4.1 / 9.5 (-43%)
14th Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 133	14	6.3	45%	6.3 / 14 (45%)

Winning Events: 16 (57%)
Losing Events: 12 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.06 units
Most Staked On One Event: 31.00 units
Best Event: 19.16 units
Worst Event: -12.00 units
Average Event: 1.36 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 30.26
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -24.10

MAck’s MMA picks : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	82.25	23.4	28%	19.5 / 46 (42%)	5.7 / 34.5 (16%)	-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)	7 / 3 (70%)	2.34
2018	227.5	14.6	6%	4.6 / 184.5 (2%)	10.6 / 23 (46%)	-0.7 / 20 (-3%)	9 / 9 (50%)	0.81

MAck’s MMA picks : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MAck’s MMA picks : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	251.75	27.4	11%	22.2 / 186.5 (12%)	16.9 / 53.5 (32%)	-11.8 / 11.75 (-100%)
Bellator	45	16.3	36%	7.7 / 31 (25%)	-0.6 / 4 (-16%)	9.3 / 10 (93%)
Other	13	-5.8	-45%	-5.8 / 13 (-45%)

MAck’s MMA picks : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	8 (10%)	8	100 %	44.00	16.24	2.03	37%
Slight Favorites	32 (39%)	19	59 %	93.00	1.19	0.04	1%
Slight Underdogs	33 (40%)	15	45 %	80.50	19.66	0.60	24%
Big Underdogs	9 (11%)	0	0 %	13.00	-13.00	-1.44	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	19 (23%)	7	37 %	57.50	-0.22	-0.01	-0%
Co-Main Event	11 (13%)	8	73 %	36.00	14.50	1.32	40%
Position 3-5	24 (29%)	16	67 %	63.00	20.80	0.87	33%
6+ (Undercard)	27 (33%)	10	37 %	67.00	-16.79	-0.62	-25%

MAck’s MMA picks : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (7%)	4	67 %	19.00	-0.59	-0.10	-3%
Light Heavy	10 (12%)	5	50 %	27.50	-0.47	-0.05	-2%
Middleweight	8 (10%)	3	38 %	22.00	-2.37	-0.30	-11%
Welterweight	20 (24%)	10	50 %	56.50	2.81	0.14	5%
Lightweight	10 (12%)	2	20 %	21.50	-9.67	-0.97	-45%
Featherweight	11 (13%)	5	45 %	32.00	17.05	1.55	53%
Bantamweight	8 (10%)	6	75 %	23.00	6.59	0.82	29%
Flyweight	2 (2%)	1	50 %	5.00	0.04	0.02	1%

Women's Fights	7 (9%)	6	86 %	24.00	10.70	1.53	45%
Bantamweight	3 (4%)	3	100 %	13.00	9.27	3.09	71%
Strawweight	4 (5%)	3	75 %	11.00	1.43	0.36	13%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	8 (73%)	7	88 %
Slight Favorites	2 (18%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (9%)	1	100 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	11	8	73 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	4 (8%)	3	75 %
50-65%	14 (29%)	8	57 %
35-50%	24 (49%)	9	38 %
<35% chance	7 (14%)	3	43 %
	49	23	47 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (6%)	3	100 %	1.92	2.60	1.69	3.0 (100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	17 (35%)	7	41 %	2.05	2.60	1.53	-3.3 (-20%)
Goes to Decision	2 (4%)	0	0 %	1.98	2.40	1.69	-2.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	12 (24%)	8	67 %	1.85	3.75	1.20	5.8 (49%)
X Wins by Sub	5 (10%)	0	0 %	3.04	11.00	2.20	-5.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (2%)	0	0 %	2.75	2.75	2.75	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	6 (12%)	3	50 %	2.54	3.45	1.83	1.9 (32%)
X Wins in Round X	3 (6%)	2	67 %	2.68	2.80	2.55	2.2 (75%)
	49	23	47 %	2.15			1.7 (3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MAck’s MMA picks 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
14th Jul	UFC Fight Night 133	14	6.3	45%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,063.23
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night 134	9.5	-4.1	-43%		$10.63	$1,063.23	$1,019.64
24th Jul	DWTNCS 14	8	-8.0	-100%		$10.20	$1,019.64	$938.07
4th Aug	UFC 227	12	-12.0	-100%		$9.38	$938.07	$825.50
7th Aug	DWTNCS 16	5	2.2	44%		$8.25	$825.50	$843.66
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	26	14.8	57%		$8.44	$843.66	$968.79
8th Sep	UFC 228	10	-7.3	-73%		$9.69	$968.79	$898.07
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	12	-0.8	-7%		$8.98	$898.07	$890.89
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	11	-11.0	-100%		$8.91	$890.89	$792.89
29th Sep	Bellator 206	29	13.2	45%		$7.93	$792.89	$897.18
6th Oct	UFC 229	31	4.5	15%		$8.97	$897.18	$937.63
12th Oct	Bellator 207	3	5.5	185%		$9.38	$937.63	$989.67
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	14	-10.6	-76%		$9.90	$989.67	$884.96
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	18	19.2	106%		$8.85	$884.96	$1,054.55
15th Nov	Bellator 209	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.55	$1,054.55	$1,001.82
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	7	-2.0	-29%		$10.02	$1,001.82	$981.79
30th Nov	TUF Finale	1	1.3	130%		$9.82	$981.79	$994.55
29th Dec	UFC 232	12	8.3	69%		$9.95	$994.55	$1,077.10
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	1.25	-1.3	-100%		$10.77	$1,077.10	$1,063.63
26th Jan	Bellator Los Angeles	1	0.5	53%		$10.64	$1,063.63	$1,069.23
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	9.5	1.6	17%		$10.69	$1,069.23	$1,086.32
9th Feb	UFC 234	9.25	7.6	82%		$10.86	$1,086.32	$1,168.41
16th Feb	Bellator 216	7	2.1	30%		$11.68	$1,168.41	$1,193.07
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	4.5	3.2	70%		$11.93	$1,193.07	$1,230.77
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	11.5	11.9	104%		$12.31	$1,230.77	$1,377.69
2nd Mar	UFC 235	13.25	3.4	25%		$13.78	$1,377.69	$1,424.10
9th Mar	UFC Fight Night 146	7	-0.1	-1%		$14.24	$1,424.10	$1,422.61
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	18	-5.5	-31%		$14.23	$1,422.61	$1,344.20

ROI % from starting bank balance: 34.42% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MAck’s MMA picks : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '19	Claudio Silva	Danny Roberts	1.68	2	Sub, R3 (2:37)
2.	Mar '19	Leon Edwards	Gunnar Nelson	1.71	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Mar '19	Omari Akhmedov	Tim Boetsch	1.67	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '19	Blagoy Ivanov	Ben Rothwell	1.78	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Mar '19	Weili Zhang	Tecia Torres	1.71	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Mar '19	Kamaru Usman	Tyron Woodley	2.65	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Mar '19	Kamaru Usman	Tyron Woodley	2.60	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
8.	Feb '19	Michal Oleksiejczuk	Gian Villante	1.53	3	TKO, R1 (1:34)
9.	Feb '19	Stefan Struve	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	2.20	2	Sub, R2 (2:21)
10.	Feb '19	Mirko Filipovic	Roy Nelson	1.63	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Feb '19	Michael Page	Paul Daley	1.47	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
12.	Feb '19	Emily Whitmire	Alexandra Albu	2.56	1	Sub, R1 (1:1)
13.	Feb '19	Aljamain Sterling	Jimmie Rivera	2.55	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Feb '19	Jim Crute	Sam Alvey	1.74	1	TKO, R1 (2:49)
15.	Feb '19	Ricky Simon	Rani Yahya	1.80	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Feb '19	Marlon Moraes	Raphael Assuncao	1.65	3	Sub, R1 (3:17)
17.	Dec '18	Montel Jackson	Brian Kelleher	1.71	5	Sub, R1 (1:40)
18.	Dec '18	Alex Volkanovski	Chad Mendes	2.35	5	TKO, R2 (4:14)
19.	Nov '18	Edmen Shahbazyan	Darren Stewart	2.30	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Nov '18	Germaine de Randamie	Raquel Pennington	1.57	5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '19	Nad Narimani	Mike Grundy	1.69	2	TKO, R2 (4:42)	No
2.	Mar '19	Jordan Rinaldi	Arnold Allen	2.35	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Mar '19	John Phillips	Jack Marshman	2.60	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Mar '19	Derrick Lewis	Junior dos Santos	2.95	1	TKO, R2 (1:58)	No
5.	Mar '19	Alejandro Perez	Cody Stamann	2.65	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Feb '19	Bryan Barberena	Vicente Luque	3.90	1.5	TKO, R3 (4:54)	No
7.	Feb '19	David Teymur	Charles Oliveira	2.05	1.5	Sub, R2 (0:55)	No
8.	Dec '18	Carlos Condit	Michael Chiesa	2.55	2	Sub, R2 (0:56)	No
9.	Nov '18	Emmanuel Sanchez	Patricio Freire	2.60	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
10.	Nov '18	Emmanuel Sanchez	Patricio Freire	2.50	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
11.	Nov '18	Emmanuel Sanchez	Patricio Freire	2.35	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
12.	Oct '18	Alex Garcia	Court McGee	1.58	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Oct '18	Nordine Taleb	Sean Strickland	2.05	2	TKO, R2 (3:10)	No
14.	Oct '18	Volkan Oezdemir	Anthony Smith	1.61	1	Sub, R3 (4:26)	No
15.	Oct '18	Alex Garcia	Court McGee	1.71	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Sep '18	Andrey Koreshkov	Douglas Lima	1.64	2	Sub, R5 (3:4)	No
17.	Oct '18	Alexander Volkov	Derrick Lewis	1.58	7	TKO, R3 (4:49)	No
18.	Sep '18	Hector Lombard	Thales Leites	2.10	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Sep '18	Luis Henrique	Ryan Spann	2.35	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Sep '18	Ben Saunders	Sergio Moraes	3.30	2	Sub, R2 (4:42)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MAck’s MMA picks : Progress Chart

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