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MMA Handicapper Stats: MAck’s MMA picks

MAck’s MMA picks (MackPicks)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - MAck’s MMA picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 84 (46%) Right 61 (50%) Right 21 (43%) Right 2 (18%)
Wrong 97 (54%) Wrong 60 (50%) Wrong 28 (57%) Wrong 9 (82%)
Avg Odds 2.14 Avg Odds 2.04 Avg Odds 2.28 Avg Odds 2.82
Units Bet 394.5 Units Bet 307.3 Units Bet 61.8 Units Bet 25.5
Avg Bet 2.18 Avg Bet 2.54 Avg Bet 1.26 Avg Bet 2.32
Units Profit 53.00 Units Profit 45.27 Units Profit 12.03 Units Profit -4.30
ROI % 13% ROI % 15% ROI % 19% ROI % -17%
View Handicapper's Profile

MAck’s MMA picks : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 8 -5.3 -66% -5.0 / 7.75 (-65%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 5.5 3.1 56% 3.1 / 5.5 (56%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 7.5 -5.5 -73% -4.5 / 6.5 (-69%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 10.5 4.3 41% 4.8 / 10 (48%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 4 0.3 7% 0.4 / 2 (20%) -0.1 / 2 (-6%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 13.25 -13.3 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 13 10.6 81% 11.6 / 12 (97%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 19 18.0 95% 18.0 / 19 (95%)
22nd Mar '19 Bellator 218 4 2.9 72% 2.9 / 4 (72%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 18 -5.5 -31% -2.5 / 11 (-23%) -3.0 / 7 (-43%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 7 -0.1 -1% 1.9 / 5 (38%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 13.25 3.4 25% 8.6 / 8 (108%) -5.3 / 5.25 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 11.5 11.9 104% 4.0 / 5 (80%) 8.5 / 6 (141%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 4.5 3.2 70% 1.6 / 3.5 (46%) 1.5 / 1 (155%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 7 2.1 30% 3.1 / 6 (52%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 9.25 7.6 82% 2.3 / 3 (78%) 5.2 / 6.25 (83%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 9.5 1.6 17% 0.4 / 4.5 (10%) 1.2 / 5 (23%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 1 0.5 53% 0.5 / 1 (53%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 1.25 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 12 8.3 69% 8.3 / 12 (69%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 1 1.3 130% 1.3 / 1 (130%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 7 -2.0 -29% -2.0 / 7 (-29%)
15th Nov '18 Bellator 209 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 18 19.2 106% 19.2 / 18 (106%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 14 -10.6 -76% -9.0 / 9 (-100%) -1.6 / 5 (-32%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 3 5.5 185% 5.5 / 3 (185%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 31 4.5 15% 2.8 / 21 (13%) 6.7 / 5 (134%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 29 13.2 45% 4.0 / 17 (24%) -0.2 / 2 (-8%) 9.3 / 10 (93%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 11 -11.0 -100% -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 12 -0.8 -7% -1.0 / 7 (-14%) 3.2 / 2 (160%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 10 -7.3 -73% -9.0 / 9 (-100%) 1.7 / 1 (170%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 26 14.8 57% 14.1 / 23 (61%) 2.7 / 1 (275%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Aug '18 DWTNCS 16 5 2.2 44% 2.2 / 5 (44%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 12 -12.0 -100% -12.0 / 12 (-100%)
24th Jul '18 DWTNCS 14 8 -8.0 -100% -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 9.5 -4.1 -43% -4.1 / 9.5 (-43%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 14 6.3 45% 6.3 / 14 (45%)


Winning Events: 22 (59%)
Losing Events: 15 (41%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.66 units
Most Staked On One Event: 31.00 units
Best Event: 19.16 units
Worst Event: -13.25 units
Average Event: 1.43 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 31.43
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -24.10

MAck’s MMA picks : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 167 38.4 23% 40.7 / 122.75 (33%) 1.4 / 38.75 (4%) -3.6 / 5.5 (-66%) 13 / 6 (68%) 2.02
2018 227.5 14.6 6% 4.6 / 184.5 (2%) 10.6 / 23 (46%) -0.7 / 20 (-3%) 9 / 9 (50%) 0.81

MAck’s MMA picks : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MAck’s MMA picks : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 332.5 39.6 12% 40.5 / 259.25 (16%) 12.7 / 57.75 (22%) -13.6 / 15.5 (-88%)
Bellator 49 19.2 39% 10.5 / 35 (30%) -0.6 / 4 (-16%) 9.3 / 10 (93%)
Other 13 -5.8 -45% -5.8 / 13 (-45%)

MAck’s MMA picks : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 11 (9%) 10 91 % 56.00 15.96 1.45 28%
Slight Favorites 44 (36%) 25 57 % 123.00 -3.14 -0.07 -3%
Slight Underdogs 50 (41%) 25 50 % 105.50 31.96 0.64 30%
Big Underdogs 16 (13%) 1 6 % 22.75 0.50 0.03 2%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 25 (21%) 10 40 % 73.50 12.48 0.50 17%
Co-Main Event 16 (13%) 11 69 % 44.00 18.13 1.13 41%
Position 3-5 34 (28%) 20 59 % 86.50 18.33 0.54 21%
6+ (Undercard) 45 (37%) 19 42 % 96.25 -9.47 -0.21 -10%

MAck’s MMA picks : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 8 (7%) 6 75 % 24.00 3.69 0.46 15%
Light Heavy 14 (12%) 6 43 % 37.50 -4.87 -0.35 -13%
Middleweight 18 (15%) 8 44 % 34.00 0.42 0.02 1%
Welterweight 23 (19%) 13 57 % 64.50 25.71 1.12 40%
Lightweight 17 (14%) 4 24 % 35.00 -19.67 -1.16 -56%
Featherweight 16 (13%) 8 50 % 41.50 23.00 1.44 55%
Bantamweight 10 (8%) 7 70 % 28.00 8.17 0.82 29%
Flyweight 3 (2%) 1 33 % 10.00 -4.96 -1.65 -50%
               
Women's Fights 12 (10%) 8 67 % 32.75 13.78 1.15 42%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 0 % 0.75 -0.75 -0.75 -100%
Bantamweight 3 (2%) 3 100 % 13.00 9.27 3.09 71%
Strawweight 8 (7%) 5 63 % 19.00 5.26 0.66 28%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 11 (55%) 8 73 %
Slight Favorites 7 (35%) 3 43 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (10%) 2 100 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
20 13 65 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 7 (12%) 5 71 %
50-65% 19 (32%) 9 47 %
35-50% 25 (42%) 9 36 %
<35% chance 9 (15%) 3 33 %
60 26 43 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (5%) 3 100 % 1.92 2.60Pick was correct 1.69Pick was correct 3.0 (100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 21 (35%) 7 33 % 2.01 2.60Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct -7.3 (-35%)
Goes to Decision 2 (3%) 0 0 % 1.98 2.40Pick was incorrect 1.69Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 16 (27%) 10 63 % 1.75 3.75Pick was correct 1.20Pick was correct 4.6 (29%)
X Wins by Sub 5 (8%) 0 0 % 3.04 11.00Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (2%) 0 0 % 2.75 2.75Pick was incorrect 2.75Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 8 (13%) 3 38 % 2.90 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was correct -0.1 (-1%)
X Wins in Round X 4 (7%) 3 75 % 2.43 2.80Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was correct 3.2 (79%)
60 26 43 % 2.10     -4.7 (-8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MAck’s MMA picks 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 14 6.3 45% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,063.23
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 9.5 -4.1 -43% $10.63 $1,063.23 $1,019.64
24th Jul DWTNCS 14 8 -8.0 -100% $10.20 $1,019.64 $938.07
4th Aug UFC 227 12 -12.0 -100% $9.38 $938.07 $825.50
7th Aug DWTNCS 16 5 2.2 44% $8.25 $825.50 $843.66
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 26 14.8 57% $8.44 $843.66 $968.79
8th Sep UFC 228 10 -7.3 -73% $9.69 $968.79 $898.07
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 12 -0.8 -7% $8.98 $898.07 $890.89
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 11 -11.0 -100% $8.91 $890.89 $792.89
29th Sep Bellator 206 29 13.2 45% $7.93 $792.89 $897.18
6th Oct UFC 229 31 4.5 15% $8.97 $897.18 $937.63
12th Oct Bellator 207 3 5.5 185% $9.38 $937.63 $989.67
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 14 -10.6 -76% $9.90 $989.67 $884.96
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 18 19.2 106% $8.85 $884.96 $1,054.55
15th Nov Bellator 209 5 -5.0 -100% $10.55 $1,054.55 $1,001.82
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 7 -2.0 -29% $10.02 $1,001.82 $981.79
30th Nov TUF Finale 1 1.3 130% $9.82 $981.79 $994.55
29th Dec UFC 232 12 8.3 69% $9.95 $994.55 $1,077.10
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 1.25 -1.3 -100% $10.77 $1,077.10 $1,063.63
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 1 0.5 53% $10.64 $1,063.63 $1,069.23
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 9.5 1.6 17% $10.69 $1,069.23 $1,086.32
9th Feb UFC 234 9.25 7.6 82% $10.86 $1,086.32 $1,168.41
16th Feb Bellator 216 7 2.1 30% $11.68 $1,168.41 $1,193.07
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 4.5 3.2 70% $11.93 $1,193.07 $1,230.77
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 11.5 11.9 104% $12.31 $1,230.77 $1,377.69
2nd Mar UFC 235 13.25 3.4 25% $13.78 $1,377.69 $1,424.10
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 7 -0.1 -1% $14.24 $1,424.10 $1,422.61
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 18 -5.5 -31% $14.23 $1,422.61 $1,344.20
22nd Mar Bellator 218 4 2.9 72% $13.44 $1,344.20 $1,382.89
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 19 18.0 95% $13.83 $1,382.89 $1,631.23
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 13 10.6 81% $16.31 $1,631.23 $1,804.00
13th Apr UFC 236 13.25 -13.3 -100% $18.04 $1,804.00 $1,564.97
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 4 0.3 7% $15.65 $1,564.97 $1,569.36
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 10.5 4.3 41% $15.69 $1,569.36 $1,636.32
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 7.5 -5.5 -73% $16.36 $1,636.32 $1,546.32
11th May UFC 237 5.5 3.1 56% $15.46 $1,546.32 $1,594.00
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 8 -5.3 -66% $15.94 $1,594.00 $1,510.32


ROI % from starting bank balance: 51.03% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MAck’s MMA picks : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '19 Ian Heinisch Antonio Carlos Junior 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Thiago Moises Kurt Holobaugh 1.83 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Alex Volkanovski Jose Aldo 2.25 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Derek Brunson Elias Theodorou 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '19 Jack Hermansson Ronaldo Souza 2.75 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '19 Jack Hermansson Ronaldo Souza 2.70 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '19 Jim Miller Jason Gonzalez 1.67 1 Sub, R1 (2:12) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '19 Dhiego Lima Court McGee 2.45 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '19 Mike Perry Alex Oliveira 2.65 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '19 Shamil Abdurakhimov Marcin Tybura 2.40 1 TKO, R2 (3:15) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '19 Sodiq Yusuff Sheymon da Silva Moraes 1.74 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '19 Kevin Holland Gerald Meerschaert 1.53 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '19 Sodiq Yusuff Sheymon da Silva Moraes 1.74 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '19 Michelle Waterson Karolina Kowalkiewicz 2.35 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '19 Paul Craig Kennedy Nzechukwu 2.80 2 Sub, R3 (4:20) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '19 Valentin Moldavsky Linton Vassell 1.72 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '19 Maycee Barber J.J. Aldrich 1.43 5 TKO, R2 (3:1) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '19 Marlon Vera Frankie Saenz 1.65 4 TKO, R1 (1:25) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '19 Anthony Pettis Stephen Thompson 4.65 5 TKO, R2 (4:55) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '19 Claudio Silva Danny Roberts 1.68 2 Sub, R3 (2:37) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '19 Charles Jourdain Desmond Green 5.75 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Kevin Lee Rafael dos Anjos 2.00 3 Sub, R4 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Sijara Eubanks Aspen Ladd 3.45 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 B.J. Penn Clay Guida 6.25 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '19 Anderson Silva Jared Cannonier 2.10 1 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '19 Kyle Nelson Matt Sayles 3.00 0.5 Sub, R3 (3:16) No MMA Bookmaker
7. May '19 Aiemann Zahabi Vincent Morales 1.67 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '19 Marc-Andre Barriault Andrew Sanchez 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. May '19 Al Iaquinta Donald Cerrone 1.87 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '19 Cub Swanson Shane Burgos 2.45 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Trevin Giles Zak Cummings 1.91 1 Sub, R3 (4:1) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '19 Ion Cutelaba Glover Teixeira 2.05 2 Sub, R2 (3:37) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '19 Jodie Esquibel Angela Hill 4.90 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '19 Jodie Esquibel Angela Hill 3.60 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '19 Ion Cutelaba Glover Teixeira 1.61 1 Sub, R2 (3:37) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '19 Alen Amedovski Krzysztof Jotko 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '19 Max Holloway Dustin Poirier 1.50 4 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '19 Kelvin Gastelum Israel Adesanya 2.60 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '19 Eryk Anders Khalil Rountree 1.65 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '19 Deiveson Figueiredo Jussier Formiga 1.74 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MAck’s MMA picks : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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