MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1432
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 577

MMA Handicapper Stats: PaperPicks

PaperPicks (jseed)

MMA MHandicapper - PaperPicks

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	32 (52%)	Right	15 (68%)	Right	3 (38%)	Right	14 (44%)
Wrong	30 (48%)	Wrong	7 (32%)	Wrong	5 (63%)	Wrong	18 (56%)
Avg Odds	2.00	Avg Odds	1.57	Avg Odds	1.51	Avg Odds	2.72
Units Bet	146.6	Units Bet	57.2	Units Bet	22.0	Units Bet	67.5
Avg Bet	2.36	Avg Bet	2.60	Avg Bet	2.75	Avg Bet	2.11
Units Profit	18.78	Units Profit	0.40	Units Profit	-9.47	Units Profit	27.85
ROI %	13%	ROI %	1%	ROI %	-43%	ROI %	41%

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	5.05	15.4	305%	4.3 / 3.85 (112%)		11.1 / 1.2 (925%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	1	0.8	82%			0.8 / 1 (82%)
15th Dec '18	Fight Night Milwaukee	6	-6.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	6.5	2.3	36%	2.3 / 6.5 (36%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	12.5	-5.4	-43%	1.0 / 3.5 (29%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-3.9 / 6.5 (-59%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	5.5	-5.5	-100%		-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
25th Nov '18	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	6	1.3	22%		1.3 / 6 (22%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	9	2.0	22%	0.4 / 2 (22%)		1.5 / 7 (22%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	6	-0.7	-12%	1.3 / 4 (31%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	6.05	19.8	328%	1.0 / 1.55 (65%)		18.8 / 4.5 (418%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	12	5.4	45%			5.4 / 12 (45%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	7.6	-7.6	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)		-3.6 / 3.6 (-100%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	10.15	-7.8	-77%	-2.3 / 4.65 (-49%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18	Bellator 206	8.6	3.3	39%	3.3 / 8.6 (39%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	19	-2.3	-12%	-3.5 / 7 (-50%)	-0.8 / 6 (-13%)	2.0 / 6 (34%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	4.6	1.0	22%	-1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)		2.6 / 3 (87%)
17th Aug '18	Bellator 204	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	7.92	7.8	99%	-1.4 / 2.92 (-46%)		9.2 / 5 (184%)
28th Jul '18	UFC on Fox 30	0.9	0.5	56%			0.5 / 0.9 (56%)
22nd Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 134	5.45	1.1	19%	2.5 / 4 (63%)		-1.5 / 1.45 (-100%)
14th Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 133	1.8	-1.8	-100%			-1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)

Winning Events: 12 (55%)
Losing Events: 10 (45%)

Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	5.05	15.4	305%	4.3 / 3.85 (112%)		11.1 / 1.2 (925%)	1 / (100%)	15.40
2018	141.57	3.4	2%	-3.9 / 53.32 (-7%)	-9.5 / 22 (-43%)	16.7 / 66.25 (25%)	11 / 10 (52%)	0.16

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	129.02	17.1	13%	-2.9 / 48.57 (-6%)	-10.8 / 16 (-68%)	30.8 / 64.45 (48%)
Bellator	11.6	0.3	3%	3.3 / 8.6 (39%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
Other	6	1.3	22%		1.3 / 6 (22%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	12 (55%)	10	83 %	36.50	4.54	0.38	12%
Slight Favorites	5 (23%)	3	60 %	11.00	-2.12	-0.42	-19%
Slight Underdogs	3 (14%)	2	67 %	8.00	-0.35	-0.12	-4%
Big Underdogs	2 (9%)	0	0 %	1.67	-1.67	-0.84	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (32%)	3	43 %	23.60	-9.95	-1.42	-42%
Co-Main Event	2 (9%)	2	100 %	9.10	3.27	1.63	36%
Position 3-5	4 (18%)	3	75 %	7.82	2.37	0.59	30%
6+ (Undercard)	9 (41%)	7	78 %	16.65	4.72	0.52	28%

by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (5%)	1	100 %	3.00	1.15	1.15	38%
Light Heavy	3 (14%)	2	67 %	7.60	-1.70	-0.57	-22%
Middleweight	3 (14%)	3	100 %	8.00	2.84	0.95	36%
Welterweight	4 (18%)	3	75 %	12.85	-2.39	-0.60	-19%
Lightweight	5 (23%)	2	40 %	10.80	-2.95	-0.59	-27%
Featherweight	1 (5%)		0 %	1.27	-1.27	-1.27	-100%
Bantamweight	3 (14%)	2	67 %	3.65	1.39	0.46	38%
Flyweight	1 (5%)	1	100 %	3.50	1.00	1.00	29%

Women's Fights	1 (5%)	1	100 %	6.50	2.32	2.32	36%
Bantamweight	1 (5%)	1	100 %	6.50	2.32	2.32	36%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	38 (52%)	32	84 %
Slight Favorites	16 (22%)	12	75 %
Slight Underdogs	16 (22%)	6	38 %
Big Underdogs	3 (4%)	0	0 %
	73	50	68 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	6 (50%)	2	33 %
50-65%	0 (0%)	0	0 %
35-50%	5 (42%)	1	20 %
<35% chance	1 (8%)	0	0 %
	12	3	25 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (8%)	0	0 %	2.65	2.65	2.65	-1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (8%)	1	100 %	1.22	1.22	1.22	0.2 (22%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	2 (17%)	0	0 %	1.42	1.42	1.42	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (8%)	0	0 %	9.00	9.00	9.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	3 (25%)	2	67 %	1.49	2.20	1.17	0.4 (12%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (8%)	0	0 %	1.53	1.53	1.53	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	3 (25%)	0	0 %	2.72	2.75	2.65	-3.0 (-100%)
	12	3	25 %	1.85			-7.4 (-62%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
14th Jul	UFC Fight Night 133	1.8	-1.8	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$982.00
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night 134	5.45	1.1	19%		$9.82	$982.00	$992.35
28th Jul	UFC on Fox 30	0.9	0.5	56%		$9.92	$992.35	$997.31
4th Aug	UFC 227	7.92	7.8	99%		$9.97	$997.31	$1,075.60
17th Aug	Bellator 204	3	-3.0	-100%		$10.76	$1,075.60	$1,043.33
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	4.6	1.0	22%		$10.43	$1,043.33	$1,053.99
8th Sep	UFC 228	19	-2.3	-12%		$10.54	$1,053.99	$1,029.87
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.30	$1,029.87	$1,009.27
29th Sep	Bellator 206	8.6	3.3	39%		$10.09	$1,009.27	$1,043.03
6th Oct	UFC 229	10.15	-7.8	-77%		$10.43	$1,043.03	$961.82
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	7.6	-7.6	-100%		$9.62	$961.82	$888.72
3rd Nov	UFC 230	12	5.4	45%		$8.89	$888.72	$936.89
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	6.05	19.8	328%		$9.37	$936.89	$1,122.66
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	6	-0.7	-12%		$11.23	$1,122.66	$1,114.24
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	9	2.0	22%		$11.14	$1,114.24	$1,136.16
25th Nov	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	6	1.3	22%		$11.36	$1,136.16	$1,151.31
30th Nov	TUF Finale	5.5	-5.5	-100%		$11.51	$1,151.31	$1,087.99
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	12.5	-5.4	-43%		$10.88	$1,087.99	$1,029.70
8th Dec	UFC 231	6.5	2.3	36%		$10.30	$1,029.70	$1,053.60
15th Dec	Fight Night Milwaukee	6	-6.0	-100%		$10.54	$1,053.60	$990.39
29th Dec	UFC 232	1	0.8	82%		$9.90	$990.39	$998.49
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	5.05	15.4	305%		$9.98	$998.49	$1,152.26

ROI % from starting bank balance: 15.23% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jan '19	Donald Cerrone	Alexander Hernandez	2.65	2	TKO, R2 (3:43)
2.	Jan '19	Geoff Neal	Belal Muhammad	1.54	1.85	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Dec '18	Kai Kara-France	Elias Garcia	1.29	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Nov '18	Kevin Holland	John Phillips	1.22	2	Sub, R3 (4:5)
5.	Nov '18	Santiago Ponzinibbio	Neil Magny	1.31	4	TKO, R4 (2:22)
6.	Nov '18	Beneil Dariush	Thiago Moises	1.65	1.55	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Dec '18	Valentina Shevchenko	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	1.36	6.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
8.	Sep '18	Quinton Jackson	Wanderlei Silva	1.36	2.6	TKO, R2 (4:32)
9.	Sep '18	Gegard Mousasi	Rory MacDonald	1.40	3.5	TKO, R2 (3:23)
10.	Oct '18	Vicente Luque	Jalin Turner	1.18	2	TKO, R1 (3:52)
11.	Sep '18	Gegard Mousasi	Rory MacDonald	1.40	2.5	TKO, R2 (3:23)
12.	Sep '18	Jimmie Rivera	John Dodson	1.74	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Aug '18	Marlon Vera	Wuliji Buren	1.25	1.25	TKO, R2 (4:53)
14.	Jul '18	Aleksandar Rakic	Justin Ledet	2.35	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jul '18	Marcin Tybura	Stefan Struve	1.38	3	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '18	Kevin Lee	Al Iaquinta	1.35	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	Oct '18	Volkan Oezdemir	Anthony Smith	1.59	4	Sub, R3 (4:26)	No
3.	Oct '18	Alan Patrick	Scott Holtzman	1.38	2.65	TKO, R3 (3:42)	No
4.	Sep '18	Darren Till	Tyron Woodley	2.00	5	Sub, R2 (4:19)	No
5.	Aug '18	James Vick	Justin Gaethje	1.63	1.6	TKO, R1 (1:27)	No
6.	Aug '18	Brett Johns	Pedro Munhoz	3.05	0.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Aug '18	Cub Swanson	Renato Moicano	4.25	1.27	Sub, R1 (4:15)	Yes

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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