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Total MMA Handicappers: 1765
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 724

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: PaperPicks

PaperPicks (jseed)


MMA MHandicapper - PaperPicks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 70 (54%) Right 43 (72%) Right 7 (47%) Right 20 (37%)
Wrong 59 (46%) Wrong 17 (28%) Wrong 8 (53%) Wrong 34 (63%)
Avg Odds 1.95 Avg Odds 1.62 Avg Odds 1.69 Avg Odds 2.67
Units Bet 362.4 Units Bet 196.1 Units Bet 36.5 Units Bet 129.8
Avg Bet 2.81 Avg Bet 3.27 Avg Bet 2.43 Avg Bet 2.40
Units Profit 43.26 Units Profit 31.51 Units Profit -10.21 Units Profit 21.96
ROI % 12% ROI % 16% ROI % -28% ROI % 17%
View Handicapper's Profile

PaperPicks : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 2 1.2 61% 1.2 / 2 (61%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 1.5 2.1 140% 2.1 / 1.5 (140%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 12 -12.0 -100% -12.0 / 12 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 2.6 0.8 30% 0.8 / 2.6 (30%)
14th Jun '19 Bellator 222 1.75 1.0 57% 1.0 / 1.75 (57%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 27 9.4 35% 9.4 / 27 (35%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 2 0.4 18% 0.9 / 1.5 (57%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 22 9.7 44% 6.1 / 17 (36%) 3.6 / 5 (73%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 4 -4.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th May '19 Bellator 221 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 5 -0.6 -11% -0.6 / 5 (-11%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 10 3.6 36% 3.6 / 10 (36%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 31.5 -3.6 -11% 1.6 / 16 (10%) -5.2 / 15.5 (-33%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 6 16.6 277% 16.6 / 6 (277%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 7.5 -7.5 -100% -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 2.5 1.0 38% 1.0 / 2.5 (38%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 23.5 -0.5 -2% -1.2 / 19.5 (-6%) 0.7 / 4 (17%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 6.5 -1.0 -15% 1.5 / 4 (38%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 6 4.4 73% 2.1 / 3.5 (61%) 2.3 / 2.5 (90%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 18.35 5.7 31% 1.7 / 11 (15%) 4.4 / 7 (63%) -0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 13.6 2.8 20% 2.8 / 13.6 (20%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.05 15.4 305% 4.3 / 3.85 (112%) 11.1 / 1.2 (925%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 1 0.8 82% 0.8 / 1 (82%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 6 -6.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 6.5 2.3 36% 2.3 / 6.5 (36%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 12.5 -5.4 -43% 1.0 / 3.5 (29%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -3.9 / 6.5 (-59%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 5.5 -5.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 6 1.3 22% 1.3 / 6 (22%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 9 2.0 22% 0.4 / 2 (22%) 1.5 / 7 (22%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 6 -0.7 -12% 1.3 / 4 (31%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 6.05 19.8 328% 1.0 / 1.55 (65%) 18.8 / 4.5 (418%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 12 5.4 45% 5.4 / 12 (45%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 7.6 -7.6 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -3.6 / 3.6 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 10.15 -7.8 -77% -2.3 / 4.65 (-49%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 8.6 3.3 39% 3.3 / 8.6 (39%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 19 -2.3 -12% -3.5 / 7 (-50%) -0.8 / 6 (-13%) 2.0 / 6 (34%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 4.6 1.0 22% -1.6 / 1.6 (-100%) 2.6 / 3 (87%)
17th Aug '18 Bellator 204 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 7.92 7.8 99% -1.4 / 2.92 (-46%) 9.2 / 5 (184%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 0.9 0.5 56% 0.5 / 0.9 (56%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 5.45 1.1 19% 2.5 / 4 (63%) -1.5 / 1.45 (-100%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 1.8 -1.8 -100% -1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)


Winning Events: 25 (57%)
Losing Events: 19 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.17 units
Most Staked On One Event: 31.50 units
Best Event: 19.83 units
Worst Event: -12.00 units
Average Event: 0.93 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 29.09
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -15.39

PaperPicks : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 217.85 37.4 17% 35.4 / 142.8 (25%) -0.7 / 14.5 (-5%) 2.8 / 60.55 (5%) 14 / 9 (61%) 1.63
2018 141.57 3.4 2% -3.9 / 53.32 (-7%) -9.5 / 22 (-43%) 16.7 / 66.25 (25%) 11 / 10 (52%) 0.16

PaperPicks : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

To view these stats, you need to be a VIP

PaperPicks : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 336.57 41.6 12% 27.2 / 185.77 (15%) -11.5 / 30.5 (-38%) 26.0 / 120.3 (22%)
Bellator 16.85 -2.2 -13% 4.3 / 10.35 (42%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
Other 6 1.3 22% 1.3 / 6 (22%)

PaperPicks : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 27 (45%) 24 89 % 122.50 28.87 1.07 24%
Slight Favorites 17 (28%) 10 59 % 44.35 -10.12 -0.60 -23%
Slight Underdogs 14 (23%) 9 64 % 27.60 14.43 1.03 52%
Big Underdogs 2 (3%) 0 0 % 1.67 -1.67 -0.84 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 14 (23%) 8 57 % 53.35 -1.04 -0.07 -2%
Co-Main Event 6 (10%) 5 83 % 37.60 2.87 0.48 8%
Position 3-5 18 (30%) 14 78 % 44.52 17.90 0.99 40%
6+ (Undercard) 22 (37%) 16 73 % 60.65 11.78 0.54 19%

PaperPicks : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (5%) 3 100 % 9.00 4.78 1.59 53%
Light Heavy 6 (10%) 5 83 % 21.60 5.94 0.99 28%
Middleweight 8 (13%) 6 75 % 32.60 5.93 0.74 18%
Welterweight 7 (12%) 5 71 % 29.10 0.21 0.03 1%
Lightweight 10 (17%) 4 40 % 22.40 -5.80 -0.58 -26%
Featherweight 9 (15%) 7 78 % 28.77 5.57 0.62 19%
Bantamweight 8 (13%) 7 88 % 20.15 10.02 1.25 50%
Flyweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 4.50 -0.00 -0.00 -0%
               
Women's Fights 7 (12%) 5 71 % 28.00 4.85 0.69 17%
Featherweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 5.00 2.00 2.00 40%
Bantamweight 4 (7%) 3 75 % 19.50 3.70 0.93 19%
Strawweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 3.50 -0.85 -0.42 -24%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 75 (58%) 60 80 %
Slight Favorites 29 (22%) 17 59 %
Slight Underdogs 20 (16%) 8 40 %
Big Underdogs 5 (4%) 0 0 %
129 85 66 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 8 (38%) 4 50 %
50-65% 1 (5%) 1 100 %
35-50% 9 (43%) 3 33 %
<35% chance 3 (14%) 0 0 %
21 8 38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (19%) 2 50 % 2.30 2.65Pick was incorrect 2.05Pick was correct 0.1 (3%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (10%) 2 100 % 1.30 1.38Pick was correct 1.22Pick was correct 0.6 (30%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (5%) 1 100 % 1.40 1.40Pick was correct 1.40Pick was incorrect 0.4 (40%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 3 (14%) 1 33 % 1.46 1.57Pick was correct 1.42Pick was incorrect -1.4 (-48%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (10%) 0 0 % 5.82 9.00Pick was incorrect 4.30Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 4 (19%) 2 50 % 1.76 3.80Pick was incorrect 1.17Pick was correct -0.6 (-16%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (5%) 0 0 % 1.53 1.53Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 4 (19%) 0 0 % 2.66 2.75Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
21 8 38 % 1.94     -8.0 (-38%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail PaperPicks 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 1.8 -1.8 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $982.00
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 5.45 1.1 19% $9.82 $982.00 $992.35
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 0.9 0.5 56% $9.92 $992.35 $997.31
4th Aug UFC 227 7.92 7.8 99% $9.97 $997.31 $1,075.60
17th Aug Bellator 204 3 -3.0 -100% $10.76 $1,075.60 $1,043.33
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 4.6 1.0 22% $10.43 $1,043.33 $1,053.99
8th Sep UFC 228 19 -2.3 -12% $10.54 $1,053.99 $1,029.87
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 2 -2.0 -100% $10.30 $1,029.87 $1,009.27
29th Sep Bellator 206 8.6 3.3 39% $10.09 $1,009.27 $1,043.03
6th Oct UFC 229 10.15 -7.8 -77% $10.43 $1,043.03 $961.82
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 7.6 -7.6 -100% $9.62 $961.82 $888.72
3rd Nov UFC 230 12 5.4 45% $8.89 $888.72 $936.89
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 6.05 19.8 328% $9.37 $936.89 $1,122.66
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 6 -0.7 -12% $11.23 $1,122.66 $1,114.24
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 9 2.0 22% $11.14 $1,114.24 $1,136.16
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 6 1.3 22% $11.36 $1,136.16 $1,151.31
30th Nov TUF Finale 5.5 -5.5 -100% $11.51 $1,151.31 $1,087.99
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 12.5 -5.4 -43% $10.88 $1,087.99 $1,029.70
8th Dec UFC 231 6.5 2.3 36% $10.30 $1,029.70 $1,053.60
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 6 -6.0 -100% $10.54 $1,053.60 $990.39
29th Dec UFC 232 1 0.8 82% $9.90 $990.39 $998.49
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.05 15.4 305% $9.98 $998.49 $1,152.26
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 13.6 2.8 20% $11.52 $1,152.26 $1,184.01
9th Feb UFC 234 18.35 5.7 31% $11.84 $1,184.01 $1,251.89
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 6 4.4 73% $12.52 $1,251.89 $1,306.76
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 6.5 -1.0 -15% $13.07 $1,306.76 $1,294.19
2nd Mar UFC 235 23.5 -0.5 -2% $12.94 $1,294.19 $1,287.25
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 2.5 1.0 38% $12.87 $1,287.25 $1,299.63
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 7.5 -7.5 -100% $13.00 $1,299.63 $1,202.15
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 6 16.6 277% $12.02 $1,202.15 $1,402.05
13th Apr UFC 236 31.5 -3.6 -11% $14.02 $1,402.05 $1,351.64
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 10 3.6 36% $13.52 $1,351.64 $1,400.28
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 5 -0.6 -11% $14.00 $1,400.28 $1,392.58
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 4 -4.0 -100% $13.93 $1,392.58 $1,336.88
11th May Bellator 221 3.5 -3.5 -100% $13.37 $1,336.88 $1,290.08
11th May UFC 237 4 -4.0 -100% $12.90 $1,290.08 $1,238.48
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 22 9.7 44% $12.38 $1,238.48 $1,358.95
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 2 0.4 18% $13.59 $1,358.95 $1,363.81
8th Jun UFC 238 27 9.4 35% $13.64 $1,363.81 $1,492.54
14th Jun Bellator 222 1.75 1.0 57% $14.93 $1,492.54 $1,507.47
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 2.6 0.8 30% $15.07 $1,507.47 $1,519.22
6th Jul UFC 239 12 -12.0 -100% $10 $15.19 $1,519.22 $1,326.91
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 1.5 2.1 140% $13.27 $1,326.91 $1,354.78
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 2 1.2 61% $13.55 $1,354.78 $1,371.20


ROI % from starting bank balance: 37.12% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

PaperPicks : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '19 Alexander Hernandez Francisco Trinaldo 1.61 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Josh Emmett Mirsad Bektic 2.40 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '19 Rory MacDonald Neiman Gracie 1.57 1.75 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '19 Andrea Lee Montana De La Rosa 1.69 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '19 Calvin Kattar Ricardo Lamas 1.67 3 TKO, R1 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Blagoy Ivanov Tai Tuivasa 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Calvin Kattar Ricardo Lamas 1.61 2 TKO, R1 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Valentina Shevchenko Jessica Eye 1.10 10 TKO, R2 (0:26) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '19 Petr Yan Jimmie Rivera 1.33 9 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '19 Petr Yan Jimmie Rivera 1.36 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Aspen Ladd Sijara Eubanks 1.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Rafael dos Anjos Kevin Lee 2.30 7 Sub, R4 (3:47) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '19 Glover Teixeira Ion Cutelaba 2.25 1 Sub, R2 (3:37) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '19 Cory Sandhagen John Lineker 2.20 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '19 Movsar Evloev Seung Woo Choi 1.29 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '19 Alistair Overeem Aleksei Oleinik 1.43 5 TKO, R1 (4:45) MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '19 Montel Jackson Andre Soukhamthath 1.29 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '19 Nathaniel Wood Jose Quinonez 1.38 2.5 Sub, R2 (2:46) MMA Bookmaker
19. Apr '19 Israel Adesanya Kelvin Gastelum 1.50 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '19 Weili Zhang Tecia Torres 1.77 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jun '19 Alessio Di Chirico Kevin Holland 2.85 0.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Rose Namajunas Jessica Andrade 2.00 2 TKO, R2 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Mike Trizano Grant Dawson 1.74 5 Sub, R2 (2:27) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '19 Ronaldo Souza Jack Hermansson 1.53 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '19 Wilson Reis Alexandre Pantoja 2.30 1 TKO, R1 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '19 Jalin Turner Matt Frevola 1.80 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Tyron Woodley Kamaru Usman 1.56 7.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '19 Ashlee Evans-Smith Andrea Lee 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '19 David Teymur Charles Oliveira 1.91 1.1 Sub, R2 (0:55) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '19 David Teymur Charles Oliveira 1.91 1.5 Sub, R2 (0:55) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Kevin Lee Al Iaquinta 1.35 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '18 Volkan Oezdemir Anthony Smith 1.59 4 Sub, R3 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '18 Alan Patrick Scott Holtzman 1.38 2.65 TKO, R3 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '18 Darren Till Tyron Woodley 2.00 5 Sub, R2 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '18 James Vick Justin Gaethje 1.63 1.6 TKO, R1 (1:27) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '18 Brett Johns Pedro Munhoz 3.05 0.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '18 Cub Swanson Renato Moicano 4.25 1.27 Sub, R1 (4:15) Yes View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

PaperPicks : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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