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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1432
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 577

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: PaperPicks

PaperPicks (jseed)


MMA MHandicapper - PaperPicks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 32 (52%) Right 15 (68%) Right 3 (38%) Right 14 (44%)
Wrong 30 (48%) Wrong 7 (32%) Wrong 5 (63%) Wrong 18 (56%)
Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 1.57 Avg Odds 1.51 Avg Odds 2.72
Units Bet 146.6 Units Bet 57.2 Units Bet 22.0 Units Bet 67.5
Avg Bet 2.36 Avg Bet 2.60 Avg Bet 2.75 Avg Bet 2.11
Units Profit 18.78 Units Profit 0.40 Units Profit -9.47 Units Profit 27.85
ROI % 13% ROI % 1% ROI % -43% ROI % 41%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.05 15.4 305% 4.3 / 3.85 (112%) 11.1 / 1.2 (925%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 1 0.8 82% 0.8 / 1 (82%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 6 -6.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 6.5 2.3 36% 2.3 / 6.5 (36%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 12.5 -5.4 -43% 1.0 / 3.5 (29%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -3.9 / 6.5 (-59%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 5.5 -5.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 6 1.3 22% 1.3 / 6 (22%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 9 2.0 22% 0.4 / 2 (22%) 1.5 / 7 (22%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 6 -0.7 -12% 1.3 / 4 (31%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 6.05 19.8 328% 1.0 / 1.55 (65%) 18.8 / 4.5 (418%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 12 5.4 45% 5.4 / 12 (45%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 7.6 -7.6 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -3.6 / 3.6 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 10.15 -7.8 -77% -2.3 / 4.65 (-49%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 8.6 3.3 39% 3.3 / 8.6 (39%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 19 -2.3 -12% -3.5 / 7 (-50%) -0.8 / 6 (-13%) 2.0 / 6 (34%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 4.6 1.0 22% -1.6 / 1.6 (-100%) 2.6 / 3 (87%)
17th Aug '18 Bellator 204 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 7.92 7.8 99% -1.4 / 2.92 (-46%) 9.2 / 5 (184%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 0.9 0.5 56% 0.5 / 0.9 (56%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 5.45 1.1 19% 2.5 / 4 (63%) -1.5 / 1.45 (-100%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 1.8 -1.8 -100% -1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)


Winning Events: 12 (55%)
Losing Events: 10 (45%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 5.05 15.4 305% 4.3 / 3.85 (112%) 11.1 / 1.2 (925%) 1 / (100%) 15.40
2018 141.57 3.4 2% -3.9 / 53.32 (-7%) -9.5 / 22 (-43%) 16.7 / 66.25 (25%) 11 / 10 (52%) 0.16

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 129.02 17.1 13% -2.9 / 48.57 (-6%) -10.8 / 16 (-68%) 30.8 / 64.45 (48%)
Bellator 11.6 0.3 3% 3.3 / 8.6 (39%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
Other 6 1.3 22% 1.3 / 6 (22%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 12 (55%) 10 83 % 36.50 4.54 0.38 12%
Slight Favorites 5 (23%) 3 60 % 11.00 -2.12 -0.42 -19%
Slight Underdogs 3 (14%) 2 67 % 8.00 -0.35 -0.12 -4%
Big Underdogs 2 (9%) 0 0 % 1.67 -1.67 -0.84 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (32%) 3 43 % 23.60 -9.95 -1.42 -42%
Co-Main Event 2 (9%) 2 100 % 9.10 3.27 1.63 36%
Position 3-5 4 (18%) 3 75 % 7.82 2.37 0.59 30%
6+ (Undercard) 9 (41%) 7 78 % 16.65 4.72 0.52 28%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (5%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.15 1.15 38%
Light Heavy 3 (14%) 2 67 % 7.60 -1.70 -0.57 -22%
Middleweight 3 (14%) 3 100 % 8.00 2.84 0.95 36%
Welterweight 4 (18%) 3 75 % 12.85 -2.39 -0.60 -19%
Lightweight 5 (23%) 2 40 % 10.80 -2.95 -0.59 -27%
Featherweight 1 (5%) 0 % 1.27 -1.27 -1.27 -100%
Bantamweight 3 (14%) 2 67 % 3.65 1.39 0.46 38%
Flyweight 1 (5%) 1 100 % 3.50 1.00 1.00 29%
               
Women's Fights 1 (5%) 1 100 % 6.50 2.32 2.32 36%
Bantamweight 1 (5%) 1 100 % 6.50 2.32 2.32 36%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 38 (52%) 32 84 %
Slight Favorites 16 (22%) 12 75 %
Slight Underdogs 16 (22%) 6 38 %
Big Underdogs 3 (4%) 0 0 %
73 50 68 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 6 (50%) 2 33 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 5 (42%) 1 20 %
<35% chance 1 (8%) 0 0 %
12 3 25 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (8%) 0 0 % 2.65 2.65Pick was incorrect 2.65Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (8%) 1 100 % 1.22 1.22Pick was correct 1.22Pick was correct 0.2 (22%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 2 (17%) 0 0 % 1.42 1.42Pick was incorrect 1.42Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (8%) 0 0 % 9.00 9.00Pick was incorrect 9.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 3 (25%) 2 67 % 1.49 2.20Pick was correct 1.17Pick was correct 0.4 (12%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (8%) 0 0 % 1.53 1.53Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 3 (25%) 0 0 % 2.72 2.75Pick was incorrect 2.65Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
12 3 25 % 1.85     -7.4 (-62%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 1.8 -1.8 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $982.00
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 5.45 1.1 19% $9.82 $982.00 $992.35
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 0.9 0.5 56% $9.92 $992.35 $997.31
4th Aug UFC 227 7.92 7.8 99% $9.97 $997.31 $1,075.60
17th Aug Bellator 204 3 -3.0 -100% $10.76 $1,075.60 $1,043.33
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 4.6 1.0 22% $10.43 $1,043.33 $1,053.99
8th Sep UFC 228 19 -2.3 -12% $10.54 $1,053.99 $1,029.87
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 2 -2.0 -100% $10.30 $1,029.87 $1,009.27
29th Sep Bellator 206 8.6 3.3 39% $10.09 $1,009.27 $1,043.03
6th Oct UFC 229 10.15 -7.8 -77% $10.43 $1,043.03 $961.82
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 7.6 -7.6 -100% $9.62 $961.82 $888.72
3rd Nov UFC 230 12 5.4 45% $8.89 $888.72 $936.89
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 6.05 19.8 328% $9.37 $936.89 $1,122.66
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 6 -0.7 -12% $11.23 $1,122.66 $1,114.24
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 9 2.0 22% $11.14 $1,114.24 $1,136.16
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 6 1.3 22% $11.36 $1,136.16 $1,151.31
30th Nov TUF Finale 5.5 -5.5 -100% $11.51 $1,151.31 $1,087.99
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 12.5 -5.4 -43% $10.88 $1,087.99 $1,029.70
8th Dec UFC 231 6.5 2.3 36% $10.30 $1,029.70 $1,053.60
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 6 -6.0 -100% $10.54 $1,053.60 $990.39
29th Dec UFC 232 1 0.8 82% $9.90 $990.39 $998.49
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.05 15.4 305% $9.98 $998.49 $1,152.26


ROI % from starting bank balance: 15.23% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jan '19 Donald Cerrone Alexander Hernandez 2.65 2 TKO, R2 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '19 Geoff Neal Belal Muhammad 1.54 1.85 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Kai Kara-France Elias Garcia 1.29 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '18 Kevin Holland John Phillips 1.22 2 Sub, R3 (4:5) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '18 Santiago Ponzinibbio Neil Magny 1.31 4 TKO, R4 (2:22) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Beneil Dariush Thiago Moises 1.65 1.55 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Valentina Shevchenko Joanna Jedrzejczyk 1.36 6.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '18 Quinton Jackson Wanderlei Silva 1.36 2.6 TKO, R2 (4:32) MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '18 Gegard Mousasi Rory MacDonald 1.40 3.5 TKO, R2 (3:23) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '18 Vicente Luque Jalin Turner 1.18 2 TKO, R1 (3:52) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '18 Gegard Mousasi Rory MacDonald 1.40 2.5 TKO, R2 (3:23) MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '18 Jimmie Rivera John Dodson 1.74 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '18 Marlon Vera Wuliji Buren 1.25 1.25 TKO, R2 (4:53) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '18 Aleksandar Rakic Justin Ledet 2.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '18 Marcin Tybura Stefan Struve 1.38 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 Kevin Lee Al Iaquinta 1.35 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '18 Volkan Oezdemir Anthony Smith 1.59 4 Sub, R3 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '18 Alan Patrick Scott Holtzman 1.38 2.65 TKO, R3 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '18 Darren Till Tyron Woodley 2.00 5 Sub, R2 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '18 James Vick Justin Gaethje 1.63 1.6 TKO, R1 (1:27) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '18 Brett Johns Pedro Munhoz 3.05 0.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '18 Cub Swanson Renato Moicano 4.25 1.27 Sub, R1 (4:15) Yes View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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