MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1877
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 766

MMA Handicapper Stats: PaperPicks

PaperPicks (jseed)

MMA MHandicapper - PaperPicks

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	83 (55%)	Right	50 (70%)	Right	7 (35%)	Right	26 (43%)
Wrong	69 (45%)	Wrong	21 (30%)	Wrong	13 (65%)	Wrong	35 (57%)
Avg Odds	1.96	Avg Odds	1.65	Avg Odds	1.77	Avg Odds	2.60
Units Bet	435.0	Units Bet	235.6	Units Bet	49.5	Units Bet	149.9
Avg Bet	2.86	Avg Bet	3.32	Avg Bet	2.48	Avg Bet	2.46
Units Profit	52.96	Units Profit	38.39	Units Profit	-23.21	Units Profit	37.78
ROI %	12%	ROI %	16%	ROI %	-47%	ROI %	25%

PaperPicks : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
14th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 158	10	-10.0	-100%		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
7th Sep '19	UFC 242	9	0.1	1%	0.1 / 9 (1%)
31st Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 157	5.1	9.3	182%	5.4 / 3.75 (145%)		3.8 / 1.35 (285%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	11.75	0.4	3%	0.1 / 8.75 (1%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	2.3 / 1 (235%)
10th Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 156	24.75	5.7	23%	3.3 / 16 (21%)		2.4 / 8.75 (27%)
3rd Aug '19	UFC on ESPN 5	1.5	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
27th Jul '19	UFC 240	10.5	5.7	55%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	7.2 / 9 (80%)
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	2	1.2	61%	1.2 / 2 (61%)
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	1.5	2.1	140%	2.1 / 1.5 (140%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	12	-12.0	-100%			-12.0 / 12 (-100%)
22nd Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 154	2.6	0.8	30%	0.8 / 2.6 (30%)
14th Jun '19	Bellator 222	1.75	1.0	57%	1.0 / 1.75 (57%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	27	9.4	35%	9.4 / 27 (35%)
1st Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 153	2	0.4	18%		0.9 / 1.5 (57%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	22	9.7	44%	6.1 / 17 (36%)		3.6 / 5 (73%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	4	-4.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th May '19	Bellator 221	3.5	-3.5	-100%			-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	4	-4.0	-100%		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	5	-0.6	-11%	-0.6 / 5 (-11%)
20th Apr '19	UFC Fight Night 149	10	3.6	36%	3.6 / 10 (36%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	31.5	-3.6	-11%	1.6 / 16 (10%)		-5.2 / 15.5 (-33%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	6	16.6	277%			16.6 / 6 (277%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	7.5	-7.5	-100%			-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	2.5	1.0	38%	1.0 / 2.5 (38%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	23.5	-0.5	-2%	-1.2 / 19.5 (-6%)		0.7 / 4 (17%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	6.5	-1.0	-15%	1.5 / 4 (38%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	6	4.4	73%	2.1 / 3.5 (61%)		2.3 / 2.5 (90%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	18.35	5.7	31%	1.7 / 11 (15%)	4.4 / 7 (63%)	-0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	13.6	2.8	20%	2.8 / 13.6 (20%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	5.05	15.4	305%	4.3 / 3.85 (112%)		11.1 / 1.2 (925%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	1	0.8	82%			0.8 / 1 (82%)
15th Dec '18	Fight Night Milwaukee	6	-6.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	6.5	2.3	36%	2.3 / 6.5 (36%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	12.5	-5.4	-43%	1.0 / 3.5 (29%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-3.9 / 6.5 (-59%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	5.5	-5.5	-100%		-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
25th Nov '18	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	6	1.3	22%		1.3 / 6 (22%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	9	2.0	22%	0.4 / 2 (22%)		1.5 / 7 (22%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	6	-0.7	-12%	1.3 / 4 (31%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	6.05	19.8	328%	1.0 / 1.55 (65%)		18.8 / 4.5 (418%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	12	5.4	45%			5.4 / 12 (45%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	7.6	-7.6	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)		-3.6 / 3.6 (-100%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	10.15	-7.8	-77%	-2.3 / 4.65 (-49%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18	Bellator 206	8.6	3.3	39%	3.3 / 8.6 (39%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	19	-2.3	-12%	-3.5 / 7 (-50%)	-0.8 / 6 (-13%)	2.0 / 6 (34%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	4.6	1.0	22%	-1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)		2.6 / 3 (87%)
17th Aug '18	Bellator 204	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	7.92	7.8	99%	-1.4 / 2.92 (-46%)		9.2 / 5 (184%)
28th Jul '18	UFC on Fox 30	0.9	0.5	56%			0.5 / 0.9 (56%)
22nd Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 134	5.45	1.1	19%	2.5 / 4 (63%)		-1.5 / 1.45 (-100%)
14th Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 133	1.8	-1.8	-100%			-1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)

Winning Events: 30 (59%)
Losing Events: 21 (41%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.47 units
Most Staked On One Event: 31.50 units
Best Event: 19.83 units
Worst Event: -12.00 units
Average Event: 0.99 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 29.09
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -15.39

PaperPicks : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	290.45	47.1	16%	42.3 / 182.3 (23%)	-13.7 / 27.5 (-50%)	18.6 / 80.65 (23%)	19 / 11 (63%)	1.57
2018	141.57	3.4	2%	-3.9 / 53.32 (-7%)	-9.5 / 22 (-43%)	16.7 / 66.25 (25%)	11 / 10 (52%)	0.16

PaperPicks : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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PaperPicks : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	409.17	51.3	13%	34.0 / 225.27 (15%)	-24.5 / 43.5 (-56%)	41.8 / 140.4 (30%)
Bellator	16.85	-2.2	-13%	4.3 / 10.35 (42%)		-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
Other	6	1.3	22%		1.3 / 6 (22%)

PaperPicks : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	30 (42%)	27	90 %	145.50	34.26	1.14	24%
Slight Favorites	19 (27%)	10	53 %	51.35	-17.12	-0.90	-33%
Slight Underdogs	19 (27%)	13	68 %	36.60	23.43	1.23	64%
Big Underdogs	3 (4%)	0	0 %	2.17	-2.17	-0.72	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	20 (28%)	12	60 %	81.60	1.06	0.05	1%
Co-Main Event	8 (11%)	7	88 %	44.60	7.09	0.89	16%
Position 3-5	19 (27%)	15	79 %	46.27	20.97	1.10	45%
6+ (Undercard)	24 (34%)	16	67 %	63.15	9.28	0.39	15%

PaperPicks : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (6%)	3	75 %	14.00	-0.22	-0.05	-2%
Light Heavy	6 (8%)	5	83 %	21.60	5.94	0.99	28%
Middleweight	9 (13%)	7	78 %	34.35	8.99	1.00	26%
Welterweight	11 (15%)	7	64 %	39.60	0.94	0.09	2%
Lightweight	11 (15%)	5	45 %	29.40	-3.74	-0.34	-13%
Featherweight	10 (14%)	7	70 %	29.27	5.07	0.51	17%
Bantamweight	8 (11%)	7	88 %	20.15	10.02	1.25	50%
Flyweight	2 (3%)	1	50 %	4.50	-0.00	-0.00	-0%

Women's Fights	10 (14%)	8	80 %	42.75	11.39	1.14	27%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	5.00	2.00	2.00	40%
Bantamweight	5 (7%)	4	80 %	30.50	4.80	0.96	16%
Strawweight	4 (6%)	3	75 %	7.25	4.59	1.15	63%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	82 (58%)	67	82 %
Slight Favorites	32 (23%)	18	56 %
Slight Underdogs	22 (16%)	10	45 %
Big Underdogs	5 (4%)	0	0 %
	141	95	67 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	11 (41%)	5	45 %
50-65%	1 (4%)	1	100 %
35-50%	10 (37%)	3	30 %
<35% chance	5 (19%)	0	0 %
	27	9	33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (15%)	2	50 %	2.30	2.65	2.05	0.1 (3%)
Does not go to Decision	2 (7%)	2	100 %	1.30	1.38	1.22	0.6 (30%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.40	1.40	1.40	0.4 (40%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	4 (15%)	2	50 %	1.44	1.57	1.37	-1.1 (-26%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (11%)	0	0 %	5.62	9.00	4.30	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	8 (30%)	2	25 %	1.78	3.80	1.17	-4.6 (-58%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (4%)	0	0 %	1.53	1.53	1.53	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	4 (15%)	0	0 %	2.66	2.75	2.50	-4.0 (-100%)
	27	9	33 %	1.93			-12.6 (-47%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail PaperPicks 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
14th Jul	UFC Fight Night 133	1.8	-1.8	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$982.00
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night 134	5.45	1.1	19%		$9.82	$982.00	$992.35
28th Jul	UFC on Fox 30	0.9	0.5	56%		$9.92	$992.35	$997.31
4th Aug	UFC 227	7.92	7.8	99%		$9.97	$997.31	$1,075.60
17th Aug	Bellator 204	3	-3.0	-100%		$10.76	$1,075.60	$1,043.33
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	4.6	1.0	22%		$10.43	$1,043.33	$1,053.99
8th Sep	UFC 228	19	-2.3	-12%		$10.54	$1,053.99	$1,029.87
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	2	-2.0	-100%		$10.30	$1,029.87	$1,009.27
29th Sep	Bellator 206	8.6	3.3	39%		$10.09	$1,009.27	$1,043.03
6th Oct	UFC 229	10.15	-7.8	-77%		$10.43	$1,043.03	$961.82
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	7.6	-7.6	-100%		$9.62	$961.82	$888.72
3rd Nov	UFC 230	12	5.4	45%		$8.89	$888.72	$936.89
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	6.05	19.8	328%		$9.37	$936.89	$1,122.66
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	6	-0.7	-12%		$11.23	$1,122.66	$1,114.24
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	9	2.0	22%		$11.14	$1,114.24	$1,136.16
25th Nov	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	6	1.3	22%		$11.36	$1,136.16	$1,151.31
30th Nov	TUF Finale	5.5	-5.5	-100%		$11.51	$1,151.31	$1,087.99
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	12.5	-5.4	-43%		$10.88	$1,087.99	$1,029.70
8th Dec	UFC 231	6.5	2.3	36%		$10.30	$1,029.70	$1,053.60
15th Dec	Fight Night Milwaukee	6	-6.0	-100%		$10.54	$1,053.60	$990.39
29th Dec	UFC 232	1	0.8	82%		$9.90	$990.39	$998.49
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	5.05	15.4	305%		$9.98	$998.49	$1,152.26
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	13.6	2.8	20%		$11.52	$1,152.26	$1,184.01
9th Feb	UFC 234	18.35	5.7	31%		$11.84	$1,184.01	$1,251.89
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	6	4.4	73%		$12.52	$1,251.89	$1,306.76
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	6.5	-1.0	-15%		$13.07	$1,306.76	$1,294.19
2nd Mar	UFC 235	23.5	-0.5	-2%		$12.94	$1,294.19	$1,287.25
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	2.5	1.0	38%		$12.87	$1,287.25	$1,299.63
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	7.5	-7.5	-100%		$13.00	$1,299.63	$1,202.15
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	6	16.6	277%		$12.02	$1,202.15	$1,402.05
13th Apr	UFC 236	31.5	-3.6	-11%		$14.02	$1,402.05	$1,351.64
20th Apr	UFC Fight Night 149	10	3.6	36%		$13.52	$1,351.64	$1,400.28
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	5	-0.6	-11%		$14.00	$1,400.28	$1,392.58
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	4	-4.0	-100%		$13.93	$1,392.58	$1,336.88
11th May	Bellator 221	3.5	-3.5	-100%		$13.37	$1,336.88	$1,290.08
11th May	UFC 237	4	-4.0	-100%		$12.90	$1,290.08	$1,238.48
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	22	9.7	44%		$12.38	$1,238.48	$1,358.95
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 153	2	0.4	18%		$13.59	$1,358.95	$1,363.81
8th Jun	UFC 238	27	9.4	35%		$13.64	$1,363.81	$1,492.54
14th Jun	Bellator 222	1.75	1.0	57%		$14.93	$1,492.54	$1,507.47
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night 154	2.6	0.8	30%		$15.07	$1,507.47	$1,519.22
6th Jul	UFC 239	12	-12.0	-100%	$10	$15.19	$1,519.22	$1,326.91
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	1.5	2.1	140%		$13.27	$1,326.91	$1,354.78
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	2	1.2	61%		$13.55	$1,354.78	$1,371.20
27th Jul	UFC 240	10.5	5.7	55%		$13.71	$1,371.20	$1,449.97
3rd Aug	UFC on ESPN 5	1.5	-1.5	-100%		$14.50	$1,449.97	$1,428.22
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night 156	24.75	5.7	23%		$14.28	$1,428.22	$1,509.55
17th Aug	UFC 241	11.75	0.4	3%		$15.10	$1,509.55	$1,515.75
31st Aug	UFC Fight Night 157	5.1	9.3	182%		$15.16	$1,515.75	$1,656.48
7th Sep	UFC 242	9	0.1	1%		$16.56	$1,656.48	$1,657.46
14th Sep	UFC Fight Night 158	10	-10.0	-100%		$16.57	$1,657.46	$1,491.71

ROI % from starting bank balance: 49.17% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

PaperPicks : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '19	Khabib Nurmagomedov	Dustin Poirier	1.29	7	Sub, R3 (2:6)
2.	Aug '19	Weili Zhang	Jessica Andrade	2.45	1.75	TKO, R1 (0:42)
3.	Aug '19	Valentina Shevchenko	Liz Carmouche	1.10	11	U Decision (5 rounds)
4.	Aug '19	Vicente Luque	Mike Perry	1.44	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Aug '19	Derek Brunson	Ian Heinisch	2.75	1.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Aug '19	Nate Diaz	Anthony Pettis	2.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Aug '19	Weili Zhang	Jessica Andrade	2.45	2	TKO, R1 (0:42)
8.	Jul '19	Alexander Hernandez	Francisco Trinaldo	1.61	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jul '19	Josh Emmett	Mirsad Bektic	2.40	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:25)
10.	Jun '19	Rory MacDonald	Neiman Gracie	1.57	1.75	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Jun '19	Andrea Lee	Montana De La Rosa	1.69	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jun '19	Calvin Kattar	Ricardo Lamas	1.67	3	TKO, R1 (4:6)
13.	Jun '19	Blagoy Ivanov	Tai Tuivasa	2.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jun '19	Calvin Kattar	Ricardo Lamas	1.61	2	TKO, R1 (4:6)
15.	Jun '19	Valentina Shevchenko	Jessica Eye	1.10	10	TKO, R2 (0:26)
16.	Jun '19	Petr Yan	Jimmie Rivera	1.33	9	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Jun '19	Petr Yan	Jimmie Rivera	1.36	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	May '19	Aspen Ladd	Sijara Eubanks	1.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	May '19	Rafael dos Anjos	Kevin Lee	2.30	7	Sub, R4 (3:47)
20.	Apr '19	Glover Teixeira	Ion Cutelaba	2.25	1	Sub, R2 (3:37)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '19	Nordine Taleb	Muslim Salikhov	1.83	2	TKO, R1 (4:26)	No
2.	Aug '19	Daniel Cormier	Stipe Miocic	1.69	5	TKO, R4 (4:9)	No
3.	Aug '19	Robbie Lawler	Colby Covington	2.80	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
4.	Jul '19	Yoshinori Horie	Hakeem Dawodu	4.00	0.5	TKO, R3 (4:9)	No
5.	Jun '19	Alessio Di Chirico	Kevin Holland	2.85	0.6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	May '19	Rose Namajunas	Jessica Andrade	2.00	2	TKO, R2 (2:58)	No
7.	May '19	Mike Trizano	Grant Dawson	1.74	5	Sub, R2 (2:27)	No
8.	Apr '19	Ronaldo Souza	Jack Hermansson	1.53	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '19	Wilson Reis	Alexandre Pantoja	2.30	1	TKO, R1 (2:58)	No
10.	Apr '19	Jalin Turner	Matt Frevola	1.80	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Mar '19	Tyron Woodley	Kamaru Usman	1.56	7.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
12.	Feb '19	Ashlee Evans-Smith	Andrea Lee	2.55	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Feb '19	David Teymur	Charles Oliveira	1.91	1.1	Sub, R2 (0:55)	No
14.	Feb '19	David Teymur	Charles Oliveira	1.91	1.5	Sub, R2 (0:55)	No
15.	Dec '18	Kevin Lee	Al Iaquinta	1.35	3	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	Oct '18	Volkan Oezdemir	Anthony Smith	1.59	4	Sub, R3 (4:26)	No
17.	Oct '18	Alan Patrick	Scott Holtzman	1.38	2.65	TKO, R3 (3:42)	No
18.	Sep '18	Darren Till	Tyron Woodley	2.00	5	Sub, R2 (4:19)	No
19.	Aug '18	James Vick	Justin Gaethje	1.63	1.6	TKO, R1 (1:27)	No
20.	Aug '18	Brett Johns	Pedro Munhoz	3.05	0.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

PaperPicks : Progress Chart

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