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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1659
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 688

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: PaperPicks

PaperPicks (jseed)


MMA MHandicapper - PaperPicks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 58 (51%) Right 33 (67%) Right 6 (43%) Right 19 (38%)
Wrong 55 (49%) Wrong 16 (33%) Wrong 8 (57%) Wrong 31 (62%)
Avg Odds 1.98 Avg Odds 1.61 Avg Odds 1.70 Avg Odds 2.73
Units Bet 310.6 Units Bet 161.3 Units Bet 35.0 Units Bet 114.3
Avg Bet 2.75 Avg Bet 3.29 Avg Bet 2.50 Avg Bet 2.29
Units Profit 37.92 Units Profit 16.98 Units Profit -11.07 Units Profit 32.01
ROI % 12% ROI % 11% ROI % -32% ROI % 28%
View Handicapper's Profile

PaperPicks : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 22 9.7 44% 6.1 / 17 (36%) 3.6 / 5 (73%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 4 -4.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th May '19 Bellator 221 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 5 -0.6 -11% -0.6 / 5 (-11%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 10 3.6 36% 3.6 / 10 (36%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 31.5 -3.6 -11% 1.6 / 16 (10%) -5.2 / 15.5 (-33%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 6 16.6 277% 16.6 / 6 (277%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 7.5 -7.5 -100% -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 2.5 1.0 38% 1.0 / 2.5 (38%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 23.5 -0.5 -2% -1.2 / 19.5 (-6%) 0.7 / 4 (17%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 6.5 -1.0 -15% 1.5 / 4 (38%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 6 4.4 73% 2.1 / 3.5 (61%) 2.3 / 2.5 (90%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 18.35 5.7 31% 1.7 / 11 (15%) 4.4 / 7 (63%) -0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 13.6 2.8 20% 2.8 / 13.6 (20%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.05 15.4 305% 4.3 / 3.85 (112%) 11.1 / 1.2 (925%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 1 0.8 82% 0.8 / 1 (82%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 6 -6.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 6.5 2.3 36% 2.3 / 6.5 (36%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 12.5 -5.4 -43% 1.0 / 3.5 (29%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -3.9 / 6.5 (-59%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 5.5 -5.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 6 1.3 22% 1.3 / 6 (22%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 9 2.0 22% 0.4 / 2 (22%) 1.5 / 7 (22%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 6 -0.7 -12% 1.3 / 4 (31%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 6.05 19.8 328% 1.0 / 1.55 (65%) 18.8 / 4.5 (418%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 12 5.4 45% 5.4 / 12 (45%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 7.6 -7.6 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -3.6 / 3.6 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 10.15 -7.8 -77% -2.3 / 4.65 (-49%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 8.6 3.3 39% 3.3 / 8.6 (39%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 19 -2.3 -12% -3.5 / 7 (-50%) -0.8 / 6 (-13%) 2.0 / 6 (34%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 4.6 1.0 22% -1.6 / 1.6 (-100%) 2.6 / 3 (87%)
17th Aug '18 Bellator 204 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 7.92 7.8 99% -1.4 / 2.92 (-46%) 9.2 / 5 (184%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 0.9 0.5 56% 0.5 / 0.9 (56%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 5.45 1.1 19% 2.5 / 4 (63%) -1.5 / 1.45 (-100%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 1.8 -1.8 -100% -1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)


Winning Events: 19 (51%)
Losing Events: 18 (49%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.39 units
Most Staked On One Event: 31.50 units
Best Event: 19.83 units
Worst Event: -7.79 units
Average Event: 1.02 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 29.09
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -15.39

PaperPicks : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 169 34.5 20% 20.9 / 107.95 (19%) -1.6 / 13 (-12%) 15.3 / 48.05 (32%) 8 / 8 (50%) 2.16
2018 141.57 3.4 2% -3.9 / 53.32 (-7%) -9.5 / 22 (-43%) 16.7 / 66.25 (25%) 11 / 10 (52%) 0.16

PaperPicks : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

To view these stats, you need to be a VIP

PaperPicks : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 289.47 39.7 14% 13.6 / 152.67 (9%) -12.4 / 29 (-43%) 38.5 / 107.8 (36%)
Bellator 15.1 -3.2 -21% 3.3 / 8.6 (39%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
Other 6 1.3 22% 1.3 / 6 (22%)

PaperPicks : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 24 (49%) 21 88 % 101.50 24.15 1.01 24%
Slight Favorites 12 (24%) 5 42 % 33.60 -16.92 -1.41 -50%
Slight Underdogs 11 (22%) 7 64 % 24.50 11.43 1.04 47%
Big Underdogs 2 (4%) 0 0 % 1.67 -1.67 -0.84 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 13 (27%) 7 54 % 51.60 -2.04 -0.16 -4%
Co-Main Event 5 (10%) 4 80 % 27.60 1.87 0.37 7%
Position 3-5 11 (22%) 8 73 % 26.42 8.59 0.78 32%
6+ (Undercard) 20 (41%) 14 70 % 55.65 8.57 0.43 15%

PaperPicks : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (4%) 2 100 % 8.00 3.28 1.64 41%
Light Heavy 6 (12%) 5 83 % 21.60 5.94 0.99 28%
Middleweight 7 (14%) 6 86 % 32.00 6.53 0.93 20%
Welterweight 5 (10%) 3 60 % 20.35 -9.89 -1.98 -49%
Lightweight 10 (20%) 4 40 % 27.40 2.09 0.21 8%
Featherweight 6 (12%) 4 67 % 22.27 0.26 0.04 1%
Bantamweight 6 (12%) 5 83 % 9.15 6.29 1.05 69%
Flyweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 4.50 -0.00 -0.00 -0%
               
Women's Fights 5 (10%) 3 60 % 16.00 2.48 0.50 15%
Featherweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 5.00 2.00 2.00 40%
Bantamweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 7.50 1.32 0.66 18%
Strawweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 3.50 -0.85 -0.42 -24%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 64 (56%) 50 78 %
Slight Favorites 27 (23%) 16 59 %
Slight Underdogs 20 (17%) 8 40 %
Big Underdogs 4 (3%) 0 0 %
115 74 64 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 8 (40%) 4 50 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 9 (45%) 3 33 %
<35% chance 3 (15%) 0 0 %
20 7 35 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (20%) 2 50 % 2.30 2.65Pick was incorrect 2.05Pick was correct 0.1 (3%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (10%) 2 100 % 1.30 1.38Pick was correct 1.22Pick was correct 0.6 (30%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (5%) 1 100 % 1.40 1.40Pick was correct 1.40Pick was incorrect 0.4 (40%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 2 (10%) 0 0 % 1.42 1.42Pick was incorrect 1.42Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (10%) 0 0 % 5.82 9.00Pick was incorrect 4.30Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 4 (20%) 2 50 % 1.76 3.80Pick was incorrect 1.17Pick was correct -0.6 (-16%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (5%) 0 0 % 1.53 1.53Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 4 (20%) 0 0 % 2.66 2.75Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
20 7 35 % 1.96     -8.5 (-43%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail PaperPicks 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 1.8 -1.8 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $982.00
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 5.45 1.1 19% $9.82 $982.00 $992.35
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 0.9 0.5 56% $9.92 $992.35 $997.31
4th Aug UFC 227 7.92 7.8 99% $9.97 $997.31 $1,075.60
17th Aug Bellator 204 3 -3.0 -100% $10.76 $1,075.60 $1,043.33
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 4.6 1.0 22% $10.43 $1,043.33 $1,053.99
8th Sep UFC 228 19 -2.3 -12% $10.54 $1,053.99 $1,029.87
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 2 -2.0 -100% $10.30 $1,029.87 $1,009.27
29th Sep Bellator 206 8.6 3.3 39% $10.09 $1,009.27 $1,043.03
6th Oct UFC 229 10.15 -7.8 -77% $10.43 $1,043.03 $961.82
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 7.6 -7.6 -100% $9.62 $961.82 $888.72
3rd Nov UFC 230 12 5.4 45% $8.89 $888.72 $936.89
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 6.05 19.8 328% $9.37 $936.89 $1,122.66
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 6 -0.7 -12% $11.23 $1,122.66 $1,114.24
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 9 2.0 22% $11.14 $1,114.24 $1,136.16
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 6 1.3 22% $11.36 $1,136.16 $1,151.31
30th Nov TUF Finale 5.5 -5.5 -100% $11.51 $1,151.31 $1,087.99
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 12.5 -5.4 -43% $10.88 $1,087.99 $1,029.70
8th Dec UFC 231 6.5 2.3 36% $10.30 $1,029.70 $1,053.60
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 6 -6.0 -100% $10.54 $1,053.60 $990.39
29th Dec UFC 232 1 0.8 82% $9.90 $990.39 $998.49
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.05 15.4 305% $9.98 $998.49 $1,152.26
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 13.6 2.8 20% $11.52 $1,152.26 $1,184.01
9th Feb UFC 234 18.35 5.7 31% $11.84 $1,184.01 $1,251.89
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 6 4.4 73% $12.52 $1,251.89 $1,306.76
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 6.5 -1.0 -15% $13.07 $1,306.76 $1,294.19
2nd Mar UFC 235 23.5 -0.5 -2% $12.94 $1,294.19 $1,287.25
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 2.5 1.0 38% $12.87 $1,287.25 $1,299.63
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 7.5 -7.5 -100% $13.00 $1,299.63 $1,202.15
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 6 16.6 277% $12.02 $1,202.15 $1,402.05
13th Apr UFC 236 31.5 -3.6 -11% $14.02 $1,402.05 $1,351.64
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 10 3.6 36% $13.52 $1,351.64 $1,400.28
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 5 -0.6 -11% $14.00 $1,400.28 $1,392.58
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 4 -4.0 -100% $13.93 $1,392.58 $1,336.88
11th May Bellator 221 3.5 -3.5 -100% $13.37 $1,336.88 $1,290.08
11th May UFC 237 4 -4.0 -100% $12.90 $1,290.08 $1,238.48
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 22 9.7 44% $12.38 $1,238.48 $1,358.95


ROI % from starting bank balance: 35.90% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

PaperPicks : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '19 Aspen Ladd Sijara Eubanks 1.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Rafael dos Anjos Kevin Lee 2.30 7 Sub, R4 (3:47) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '19 Glover Teixeira Ion Cutelaba 2.25 1 Sub, R2 (3:37) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '19 Cory Sandhagen John Lineker 2.20 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '19 Movsar Evloev Seung Woo Choi 1.29 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '19 Alistair Overeem Aleksei Oleinik 1.43 5 TKO, R1 (4:45) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '19 Montel Jackson Andre Soukhamthath 1.29 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Nathaniel Wood Jose Quinonez 1.38 2.5 Sub, R2 (2:46) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '19 Israel Adesanya Kelvin Gastelum 1.50 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '19 Weili Zhang Tecia Torres 1.77 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '19 Johnny Walker Misha Cirkunov 1.71 3 TKO, R1 (0:36) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '19 Zabit Magomedsharipov Jeremy Stephens 1.40 7.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 Damir Ismagulov Joel Alvarez 1.38 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 Aljamain Sterling Jimmie Rivera 2.25 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 Israel Adesanya Anderson Silva 1.15 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '19 Israel Adesanya Anderson Silva 1.14 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '19 Jose Aldo Renato Moicano 2.10 1 TKO, R2 (0:44) MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '19 Johnny Walker Justin Ledet 1.43 10 TKO, R1 (0:15) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jan '19 Donald Cerrone Alexander Hernandez 2.65 2 TKO, R2 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '19 Geoff Neal Belal Muhammad 1.54 1.85 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '19 Rose Namajunas Jessica Andrade 2.00 2 TKO, R2 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Mike Trizano Grant Dawson 1.74 5 Sub, R2 (2:27) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '19 Ronaldo Souza Jack Hermansson 1.53 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '19 Wilson Reis Alexandre Pantoja 2.30 1 TKO, R1 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '19 Jalin Turner Matt Frevola 1.80 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Tyron Woodley Kamaru Usman 1.56 7.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '19 Ashlee Evans-Smith Andrea Lee 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '19 David Teymur Charles Oliveira 1.91 1.1 Sub, R2 (0:55) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '19 David Teymur Charles Oliveira 1.91 1.5 Sub, R2 (0:55) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Kevin Lee Al Iaquinta 1.35 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '18 Volkan Oezdemir Anthony Smith 1.59 4 Sub, R3 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '18 Alan Patrick Scott Holtzman 1.38 2.65 TKO, R3 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '18 Darren Till Tyron Woodley 2.00 5 Sub, R2 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '18 James Vick Justin Gaethje 1.63 1.6 TKO, R1 (1:27) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '18 Brett Johns Pedro Munhoz 3.05 0.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '18 Cub Swanson Renato Moicano 4.25 1.27 Sub, R1 (4:15) Yes View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

PaperPicks : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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