| |
MMA Handicapper Stats: GuaranteedMMA |
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GuaranteedMMA : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
| 27th Jul '19 |
UFC 240 |
3.2 |
-3.2 |
-100% |
-2.2 / 2.2 (-100%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
| 13th Apr '19 |
UFC 236 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
| 16th Mar '19 |
UFC Fight Night 147 |
38 |
12.0 |
32% |
8.8 / 31 (28%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
6.2 / 4 (155%) |
| 9th Feb '19 |
UFC 234 |
10.3 |
2.0 |
19% |
2.0 / 10.3 (19%) |
|
|
| 3rd Nov '18 |
UFC 230 |
1.35 |
1.0 |
74% |
1.0 / 1.35 (74%) |
|
|
| 6th Oct '18 |
UFC 229 |
10.8 |
-4.2 |
-38% |
-1.2 / 7.8 (-15%) |
|
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
| 6th Oct '18 |
KSW 45 |
1.1 |
-1.1 |
-100% |
-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%) |
|
|
| 5th Oct '18 |
PFL 8 |
2.85 |
-2.9 |
-100% |
-1.9 / 1.85 (-100%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
| 22nd Sep '18 |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
|
| 21st Sep '18 |
Bellator 205 |
2.45 |
1.0 |
41% |
1.0 / 2.45 (41%) |
|
|
| 15th Sep '18 |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
3.22 |
0.6 |
18% |
0.6 / 3.22 (18%) |
|
|
| 8th Sep '18 |
UFC 228 |
4.22 |
0.8 |
20% |
2.0 / 3.05 (66%) |
-1.2 / 1.17 (-100%) |
|
| 4th Aug '18 |
UFC 227 |
5.6 |
3.0 |
54% |
3.0 / 5.6 (54%) |
|
|
| 28th Jul '18 |
UFC on Fox 30 |
2.4 |
1.0 |
42% |
|
1.0 / 2.4 (42%) |
|
| 22nd Jul '18 |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
1.55 |
1.0 |
65% |
1.0 / 1.55 (65%) |
|
|
| 17th Jul '18 |
DWTNCS 13 |
3.52 |
2.0 |
57% |
1.0 / 1.42 (70%) |
1.0 / 2.1 (48%) |
|
| 14th Jul '18 |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
3.35 |
2.0 |
60% |
1.0 / 1.3 (77%) |
1.0 / 2.05 (49%) |
|
| 7th Jul '18 |
UFC 226 |
4.97 |
1.8 |
37% |
1.0 / 1.35 (74%) |
0.8 / 3.62 (23%) |
|
| 7th Jul '18 |
TUF 27 Finale |
4.7 |
0.8 |
17% |
-0.2 / 2.5 (-8%) |
1.0 / 2.2 (45%) |
|
| 5th Jul '18 |
PFL 3 |
3.5 |
1.0 |
29% |
1.0 / 3.5 (29%) |
|
|
Winning Events: 14 (70%)
Losing Events: 6 (30%)
Average Staked Per Event: 5.60 units
Most Staked On One Event: 38.00 units
Best Event: 12.02 units
Worst Event: -4.15 units
Average Event: 0.69 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 11, Units: 15.05
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -10.10 |
GuaranteedMMA : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2019 |
54.5 |
7.8 |
14% |
8.6 / 43.5 (20%) |
-6.0 / 6 (-100%) |
5.2 / 5 (104%) |
2 / 2 (50%) |
1.95 |
| 2018 |
57.58 |
5.9 |
10% |
6.3 / 40.04 (16%) |
3.7 / 13.54 (27%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
12 / 4 (75%) |
0.37 |
|
GuaranteedMMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
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GuaranteedMMA : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
98.66 |
13.7 |
14% |
14.8 / 73.22 (20%) |
-3.3 / 17.44 (-19%) |
2.2 / 8 (28%) |
|
Bellator |
2.45 |
1.0 |
41% |
1.0 / 2.45 (41%) |
|
|
|
PFL |
6.35 |
-1.9 |
-29% |
-0.9 / 5.35 (-16%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
| Other |
4.62 |
0.9 |
19% |
-0.1 / 2.52 (-4%) |
1.0 / 2.1 (48%) |
|
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GuaranteedMMA : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
12 (26%) |
11 |
92 % |
28.80 |
8.65 |
0.72 |
30% |
| Slight Favorites |
22 (47%) |
15 |
68 % |
37.62 |
6.80 |
0.31 |
18% |
| Slight Underdogs |
7 (15%) |
1 |
14 % |
7.12 |
-5.41 |
-0.77 |
-76% |
| Big Underdogs |
6 (13%) |
2 |
33 % |
10.00 |
4.85 |
0.81 |
49% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
5 (11%) |
4 |
80 % |
6.33 |
6.10 |
1.22 |
96% |
| Co-Main Event |
7 (15%) |
4 |
57 % |
10.65 |
0.75 |
0.11 |
7% |
| Position 3-5 |
14 (30%) |
10 |
71 % |
28.22 |
5.03 |
0.36 |
18% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
21 (45%) |
11 |
52 % |
38.34 |
3.01 |
0.14 |
8% |
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GuaranteedMMA : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
4 (9%) |
1 |
25 % |
5.13 |
-3.42 |
-0.86 |
-67% |
| Light Heavy |
4 (9%) |
3 |
75 % |
5.95 |
2.00 |
0.50 |
34% |
| Middleweight |
7 (15%) |
4 |
57 % |
9.34 |
1.31 |
0.19 |
14% |
| Welterweight |
9 (19%) |
8 |
89 % |
18.82 |
10.80 |
1.20 |
57% |
| Lightweight |
7 (15%) |
5 |
71 % |
13.40 |
7.65 |
1.09 |
57% |
| Featherweight |
8 (17%) |
1 |
13 % |
16.10 |
-9.05 |
-1.13 |
-56% |
| Bantamweight |
2 (4%) |
2 |
100 % |
4.40 |
2.00 |
1.00 |
45% |
| Flyweight |
4 (9%) |
3 |
75 % |
6.85 |
1.60 |
0.40 |
23% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
2 (4%) |
2 |
100 % |
3.55 |
2.00 |
1.00 |
56% |
| Bantamweight |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.05 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
95% |
| Strawweight |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.50 |
1.00 |
1.00 |
40% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
10 (53%) |
7 |
70 % |
| Slight Favorites |
8 (42%) |
2 |
25 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
1 (5%) |
0 |
0 % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
19 |
9 |
47 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
4 (29%) |
4 |
100 % |
| 50-65% |
3 (21%) |
1 |
33 % |
| 35-50% |
1 (7%) |
1 |
100 % |
| <35% chance |
6 (43%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
14 |
6 |
43 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail GuaranteedMMA 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 5th Jul |
PFL 3 |
3.5 |
1.0 |
29% |
$5 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,005.00 |
| 7th Jul |
TUF 27 Finale |
4.7 |
0.8 |
17% |
$5 |
$10.05 |
$1,005.00 |
$1,008.04 |
| 7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
4.97 |
1.8 |
37% |
$5 |
$10.08 |
$1,008.04 |
$1,021.49 |
| 14th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
3.35 |
2.0 |
60% |
$5 |
$10.21 |
$1,021.49 |
$1,036.92 |
| 17th Jul |
DWTNCS 13 |
3.52 |
2.0 |
57% |
$5 |
$10.37 |
$1,036.92 |
$1,052.65 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
1.55 |
1.0 |
65% |
$5 |
$10.53 |
$1,052.65 |
$1,058.18 |
| 28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
2.4 |
1.0 |
42% |
$5 |
$10.58 |
$1,058.18 |
$1,063.76 |
| 4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
5.6 |
3.0 |
54% |
$5 |
$10.64 |
$1,063.76 |
$1,090.68 |
| 8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
4.22 |
0.8 |
20% |
$5 |
$10.91 |
$1,090.68 |
$1,094.73 |
| 15th Sep |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
3.22 |
0.6 |
18% |
$5 |
$10.95 |
$1,094.73 |
$1,096.17 |
| 21st Sep |
Bellator 205 |
2.45 |
1.0 |
41% |
$5 |
$10.96 |
$1,096.17 |
$1,102.13 |
| 22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.02 |
$1,102.13 |
$1,075.08 |
| 5th Oct |
PFL 8 |
2.85 |
-2.9 |
-100% |
$5 |
$10.75 |
$1,075.08 |
$1,039.44 |
| 6th Oct |
KSW 45 |
1.1 |
-1.1 |
-100% |
$5 |
$10.39 |
$1,039.44 |
$1,023.01 |
| 6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
10.8 |
-4.2 |
-38% |
$5 |
$10.23 |
$1,023.01 |
$975.56 |
| 3rd Nov |
UFC 230 |
1.35 |
1.0 |
74% |
$5 |
$9.76 |
$975.56 |
$980.31 |
| 9th Feb |
UFC 234 |
10.3 |
2.0 |
19% |
$5 |
$9.80 |
$980.31 |
$994.92 |
| 16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 147 |
38 |
12.0 |
32% |
$5 |
$9.95 |
$994.92 |
$1,109.48 |
| 13th Apr |
UFC 236 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$11.09 |
$1,109.48 |
$1,071.20 |
| 27th Jul |
UFC 240 |
3.2 |
-3.2 |
-100% |
$5 |
$10.71 |
$1,071.20 |
$1,031.92 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 3.19% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
GuaranteedMMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Mar '19 |
 Arnold Allen |
Jordan Rinaldi |
1.74 |
4.05 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 2. |
Mar '19 |
Claudio Silva |
Danny Roberts |
1.71 |
2.8 |
Sub, R3 (2:37) |
|
|
| 3. |
Mar '19 |
Leon Edwards |
Gunnar Nelson |
1.83 |
2.4 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 4. |
Mar '19 |
Jorge Masvidal |
Darren Till |
3.00 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:5) |
|
|
| 5. |
Mar '19 |
Dominick Reyes |
Volkan Oezdemir |
1.40 |
2.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 6. |
Mar '19 |
Leon Edwards |
Gunnar Nelson |
1.63 |
1.6 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 7. |
Mar '19 |
Marc Diakiese |
Joseph Duffy |
2.95 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 8. |
Mar '19 |
Claudio Silva |
Danny Roberts |
1.63 |
1.6 |
Sub, R3 (2:37) |
|
|
| 9. |
Feb '19 |
Jalin Turner |
Callan Potter |
1.45 |
2.2 |
TKO, R1 (0:53) |
|
|
| 10. |
Feb '19 |
Kai Kara-France |
Raulian Paiva |
1.44 |
2.25 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 11. |
Feb '19 |
Montana De La Rosa |
Nadia Kassem |
1.40 |
2.5 |
Sub, R2 (2:37) |
|
|
| 12. |
Feb '19 |
Jim Crute |
Sam Alvey |
1.74 |
1.35 |
TKO, R1 (2:49) |
|
|
| 13. |
Oct '18 |
Nik Lentz |
Gray Maynard |
1.50 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (1:19) |
|
|
| 14. |
Sep '18 |
Rafael Lovato |
John Salter |
1.41 |
2.45 |
Sub, R3 (4:27) |
|
|
| 15. |
Sep '18 |
Aleksei Oleinik |
Mark Hunt |
2.80 |
0.61 |
Sub, R1 (4:26) |
|
|
| 16. |
Oct '18 |
Tony Ferguson |
Anthony Pettis |
1.38 |
2.65 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
|
|
| 17. |
Sep '18 |
Jan Blachowicz |
Nikita Krylov |
1.91 |
1.1 |
Sub, R2 (2:41) |
|
|
| 18. |
Sep '18 |
Jarred Brooks |
Roberto Sanchez |
1.50 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 19. |
Sep '18 |
Irene Aldana |
Lucie Pudilova |
1.95 |
1.05 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 20. |
Nov '18 |
Israel Adesanya |
Derek Brunson |
1.74 |
1.35 |
TKO, R1 (4:51) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Jul '19 |
Kyle Stewart |
Erik Koch |
1.91 |
2.2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Mar '19 |
Danny Henry |
Dan Ige |
2.40 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (1:17) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Mar '19 |
Nad Narimani |
Mike Grundy |
1.74 |
2.7 |
TKO, R2 (4:42) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Mar '19 |
Jose Quinonez |
Nathaniel Wood |
3.50 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (2:46) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Mar '19 |
John Phillips |
Jack Marshman |
2.55 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Mar '19 |
Nad Narimani |
Mike Grundy |
1.43 |
2.35 |
TKO, R2 (4:42) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Mar '19 |
Danny Henry |
Dan Ige |
2.30 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:17) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Feb '19 |
Austin Arnett |
Shane Young |
3.75 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Feb '19 |
Teruto Ishihara |
Kyung Ho Kang |
4.15 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (3:59) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Oct '18 |
Damian Janikowski |
Michal Materla |
1.91 |
1.1 |
TKO, R1 (3:10) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Oct '18 |
Kelvin Tiller |
Jared Rosholt |
1.54 |
1.85 |
U Decision (2 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Sep '18 |
Eryk Anders |
Thiago Santos |
2.25 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Sep '18 |
Christos Giagos |
Charles Oliveira |
3.50 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (3:22) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Oct '18 |
Alexander Volkov |
Derrick Lewis |
1.57 |
1.75 |
TKO, R3 (4:49) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Sep '18 |
Andrei Arlovski |
Shamil Abdurakhimov |
2.20 |
0.92 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Sep '18 |
Adam Yandiev |
Jordan Johnson |
2.85 |
0.59 |
Sub, R2 (0:42) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Oct '18 |
Sergio Pettis |
Jussier Formiga |
1.71 |
1.4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Jul '18 |
Joe Giannetti |
Mike Trizano |
1.83 |
1.2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
GuaranteedMMA : Progress Chart |
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