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MMA Handicapper Stats: RoganMMA |
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RoganMMA : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 13 (39%) Losing Events: 20 (61%)
Average Staked Per Event: 10.41 units Most Staked On One Event: 24.00 units Best Event: 77.26 units Worst Event: -16.00 units Average Event: 1.59 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 77.26 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -32.40 |
RoganMMA : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2019 |
119.5 |
-46.9 |
-39% |
-1.0 / 32 (-3%) |
-1.3 / 8.5 (-15%) |
-44.7 / 79 (-57%) |
5 / 12 (29%) |
-2.76 |
2018 |
224 |
99.4 |
44% |
51.9 / 197.5 (26%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
50.5 / 23.5 (215%) |
8 / 8 (50%) |
6.21 |
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RoganMMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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RoganMMA : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
339 |
57.0 |
17% |
55.4 / 225 (25%) |
-4.3 / 11.5 (-37%) |
5.9 / 102.5 (6%) |
Other |
4.5 |
-4.5 |
-100% |
-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) |
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RoganMMA : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
3 (6%) |
3 |
100 % |
20.00 |
8.96 |
2.99 |
45% |
Slight Favorites |
26 (49%) |
19 |
73 % |
128.50 |
23.62 |
0.91 |
18% |
Slight Underdogs |
23 (43%) |
10 |
43 % |
76.00 |
8.31 |
0.36 |
11% |
Big Underdogs |
1 (2%) |
1 |
100 % |
5.00 |
10.00 |
10.00 |
200% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
9 (17%) |
5 |
56 % |
38.50 |
3.84 |
0.43 |
10% |
Co-Main Event |
3 (6%) |
2 |
67 % |
10.00 |
5.49 |
1.83 |
55% |
Position 3-5 |
13 (25%) |
8 |
62 % |
62.00 |
5.26 |
0.40 |
8% |
6+ (Undercard) |
27 (51%) |
18 |
67 % |
116.50 |
38.80 |
1.44 |
33% |
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RoganMMA : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
7 (13%) |
6 |
86 % |
42.00 |
18.68 |
2.67 |
44% |
Light Heavy |
5 (9%) |
3 |
60 % |
25.00 |
-0.20 |
-0.04 |
-1% |
Middleweight |
3 (6%) |
2 |
67 % |
16.00 |
1.40 |
0.47 |
9% |
Welterweight |
10 (19%) |
4 |
40 % |
40.50 |
4.60 |
0.46 |
11% |
Lightweight |
9 (17%) |
6 |
67 % |
28.00 |
10.92 |
1.21 |
39% |
Featherweight |
5 (9%) |
3 |
60 % |
17.00 |
5.24 |
1.05 |
31% |
Bantamweight |
5 (9%) |
3 |
60 % |
29.00 |
1.37 |
0.27 |
5% |
Flyweight |
2 (4%) |
2 |
100 % |
8.00 |
7.02 |
3.51 |
88% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Women's Fights |
7 (13%) |
4 |
57 % |
24.00 |
1.86 |
0.27 |
8% |
Bantamweight |
2 (4%) |
1 |
50 % |
4.50 |
-0.40 |
-0.20 |
-9% |
Flyweight |
3 (6%) |
2 |
67 % |
15.00 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
0% |
Strawweight |
2 (4%) |
1 |
50 % |
4.50 |
2.25 |
1.13 |
50% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
32 (64%) |
23 |
72 % |
Slight Favorites |
14 (28%) |
7 |
50 % |
Slight Underdogs |
4 (8%) |
4 |
100 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
50 |
34 |
68 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
2 (8%) |
1 |
50 % |
50-65% |
8 (32%) |
6 |
75 % |
35-50% |
5 (20%) |
1 |
20 % |
<35% chance |
10 (40%) |
4 |
40 % |
|
25 |
12 |
48 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail RoganMMA 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
9th Jun |
UFC 225 |
24 |
3.8 |
16% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,038.20 |
23rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night 132 |
11.5 |
13.1 |
114% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,038.20 |
$1,174.01 |
7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
10 |
10.3 |
103% |
|
$11.74 |
$1,174.01 |
$1,294.46 |
14th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
18.5 |
11.3 |
61% |
|
$12.94 |
$1,294.46 |
$1,440.09 |
17th Jul |
DWTNCS 13 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$14.40 |
$1,440.09 |
$1,418.49 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
20.25 |
77.3 |
382% |
|
$14.18 |
$1,418.49 |
$2,514.46 |
24th Jul |
DWTNCS 14 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$25.14 |
$2,514.46 |
$2,439.02 |
28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
20.75 |
-3.7 |
-18% |
|
$24.39 |
$2,439.02 |
$2,348.05 |
4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
14 |
8.1 |
58% |
|
$23.48 |
$2,348.05 |
$2,538.70 |
25th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
20 |
9.4 |
47% |
|
$25.39 |
$2,538.70 |
$2,776.21 |
8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
16 |
-2.4 |
-15% |
|
$27.76 |
$2,776.21 |
$2,709.58 |
15th Sep |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
16 |
-16.0 |
-100% |
|
$27.10 |
$2,709.58 |
$2,276.04 |
22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
12 |
-12.0 |
-100% |
|
$22.76 |
$2,276.04 |
$2,002.92 |
6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
12.5 |
-2.0 |
-16% |
|
$20.03 |
$2,002.92 |
$1,962.86 |
3rd Nov |
UFC 230 |
11 |
8.2 |
75% |
|
$19.63 |
$1,962.86 |
$2,124.01 |
1st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
13 |
-1.3 |
-10% |
|
$21.24 |
$2,124.01 |
$2,095.80 |
20th Apr |
UFC Fight Night 149 |
10 |
-6.5 |
-65% |
|
$20.96 |
$2,095.80 |
$1,958.74 |
27th Apr |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$19.59 |
$1,958.74 |
$1,880.39 |
4th May |
UFC Fight Night 150 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
|
$18.80 |
$1,880.39 |
$1,729.96 |
11th May |
UFC 237 |
7 |
0.2 |
3% |
|
$17.30 |
$1,729.96 |
$1,733.42 |
1st Jun |
UFC Fight Night 153 |
5.5 |
1.7 |
31% |
|
$17.33 |
$1,733.42 |
$1,762.89 |
8th Jun |
UFC 238 |
12 |
14.9 |
124% |
|
$17.63 |
$1,762.89 |
$2,025.50 |
22nd Jun |
UFC Fight Night 154 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
|
$20.25 |
$2,025.50 |
$1,863.46 |
29th Jun |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
5 |
9.0 |
180% |
|
$18.63 |
$1,863.46 |
$2,031.26 |
6th Jul |
UFC 239 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
|
$20.31 |
$2,031.26 |
$1,868.76 |
13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 155 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$18.69 |
$1,868.76 |
$1,794.01 |
20th Jul |
UFC on ESPN 4 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
|
$17.94 |
$1,794.01 |
$1,686.37 |
27th Jul |
UFC 240 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$16.86 |
$1,686.37 |
$1,602.05 |
3rd Aug |
UFC on ESPN 5 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
|
$16.02 |
$1,602.05 |
$1,473.89 |
10th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 156 |
7 |
6.8 |
97% |
|
$14.74 |
$1,473.89 |
$1,574.32 |
17th Aug |
UFC 241 |
12 |
-12.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.74 |
$1,574.32 |
$1,385.40 |
31st Aug |
UFC Fight Night 157 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.85 |
$1,385.40 |
$1,343.84 |
7th Sep |
UFC 242 |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
$13.44 |
$1,343.84 |
$1,249.77 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 24.98% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
RoganMMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Aug '19 |
Volkan Oezdemir |
Ilir Latifi |
1.70 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (4:31) |
|
|
2. |
Jun '19 |
Calvin Kattar |
Ricardo Lamas |
1.67 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (4:6) |
|
|
3. |
Jun '19 |
Eddie Wineland |
Grigory Popov |
1.74 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:47) |
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|
4. |
Jun '19 |
Frank Camacho |
Nick Hein |
1.80 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (4:56) |
|
|
5. |
Apr '19 |
Alexander Yakovlev |
Alex da Silva |
1.73 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (3:10) |
|
|
6. |
Dec '18 |
Junior dos Santos |
Tai Tuivasa |
1.74 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (2:30) |
|
|
7. |
Dec '18 |
Wilson Reis |
Ben Nguyen |
2.15 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Nov '18 |
Israel Adesanya |
Derek Brunson |
1.37 |
8 |
TKO, R1 (4:51) |
|
|
9. |
Nov '18 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
Adam Wieczorek |
2.75 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
10. |
Oct '18 |
Dominick Reyes |
Ovince St Preux |
1.50 |
7 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Sep '18 |
Jimmie Rivera |
John Dodson |
1.70 |
8 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Aug '18 |
Joanne Wood |
Kalindra Faria |
1.67 |
6 |
Sub, R1 (4:59) |
|
|
13. |
Aug '18 |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
John Moraga |
1.71 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:8) |
|
|
14. |
Aug '18 |
Drew Dober |
Jon Tuck |
1.54 |
7 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Aug '18 |
Sheymon da Silva Moraes |
Matt Sayles |
2.10 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Jul '18 |
Katlyn Chookagian |
Alexis Davis |
1.67 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Jul '18 |
Jose Aldo |
Jeremy Stephens |
1.83 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:19) |
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|
18. |
Jul '18 |
Dustin Poirier |
Eddie Alvarez |
1.63 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (4:5) |
|
|
19. |
Jul '18 |
Aleksandar Rakic |
Justin Ledet |
2.50 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Jul '18 |
Bartosz Fabinski |
Emil Meek |
2.70 |
8 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Sep '19 |
Nordine Taleb |
Muslim Salikhov |
2.00 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:26) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Aug '19 |
Yoel Romero |
Paulo Costa |
1.70 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Aug '19 |
Darko Stosic |
Kennedy Nzechukwu |
1.80 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '19 |
Court McGee |
Dhiego Lima |
1.57 |
4 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Oct '18 |
Tonya Evinger |
Aspen Ladd |
2.10 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:26) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Oct '18 |
Conor McGregor |
Khabib Nurmagomedov |
2.65 |
3 |
Sub, R4 (3:2) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Sep '18 |
Gillian Robertson |
Mayra Bueno Silva |
2.00 |
6 |
Sub, R1 (4:55) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Sep '18 |
Renan Barao |
Andre Ewell |
1.80 |
6 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Sep '18 |
Mark Hunt |
Aleksei Oleinik |
1.83 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (4:26) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Sep '18 |
Niko Price |
Abdul Razak Alhassan |
2.20 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (0:43) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Sep '18 |
Cody Stamann |
Aljamain Sterling |
2.05 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (3:42) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Aug '18 |
Andre Fili |
Michael Johnson |
2.35 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Jul '18 |
Gadzhimurad Antigulov |
Ion Cutelaba |
1.80 |
8 |
TKO, R1 (4:25) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Jul '18 |
Canaan Kawaihae |
Chase Hooper |
2.75 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Jul '18 |
Nick Newell |
Alex Munoz |
2.00 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Jul '18 |
Angelo Trevino |
Austin Vanderford |
2.25 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (2:42) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Jul '18 |
Jodie Esquibel |
Jessica Aguilar |
1.88 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Jul '18 |
Max Griffin |
Curtis Millender |
2.50 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Jun '18 |
Mike Santiago |
Dan Ige |
2.10 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (0:50) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Jun '18 |
Phil Brooks |
Mike Jackson |
2.50 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
RoganMMA : Progress Chart |
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