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MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA EXPERT

MMA EXPERT (mmaexpert)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - MMA  EXPERT

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 53 (73%) Right 16 (62%) Right 37 (79%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 20 (27%) Wrong 10 (38%) Wrong 10 (21%) Wrong 0 (0%)
Avg Odds 1.44 Avg Odds 1.73 Avg Odds 1.32 Avg Odds 0.00
Units Bet 409.0 Units Bet 119.0 Units Bet 290.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 5.60 Avg Bet 4.58 Avg Bet 6.17 Avg Bet 0.00
Units Profit 48.27 Units Profit 25.70 Units Profit 22.56 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 12% ROI % 22% ROI % 8% ROI % 0%
View Handicapper's Profile

MMA EXPERT : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 10 2.5 25% 2.5 / 10 (25%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 25 3.7 15% 3.7 / 25 (15%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 10 16.7 167% 16.7 / 10 (167%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 12 3.5 29% 0.3 / 2 (14%) 3.2 / 10 (32%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 15 -8.0 -53% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) 2.0 / 5 (40%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 5 2.3 47% 2.3 / 5 (47%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 10 1.5 15% 6.5 / 5 (130%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 15 -2.5 -17% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 2.5 / 10 (25%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 30 -3.2 -11% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) 6.8 / 20 (34%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 5 1.5 30% 1.5 / 5 (30%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 15 4.9 33% 4.9 / 15 (33%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 24 -12.9 -54% -2.9 / 14 (-21%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 20 0.2 1% 0.2 / 20 (1%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 14 -2.6 -19% 1.1 / 4 (29%) -3.8 / 10 (-38%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 10 3.0 30% 3.0 / 10 (30%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 15 -2.5 -17% -2.5 / 15 (-17%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 10 -10.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 12 20.0 167% 20.0 / 12 (167%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 10 2.3 23% 2.3 / 10 (23%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 10 2.9 29% 2.9 / 10 (29%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 20 7.7 39% 5.4 / 10 (54%) 2.4 / 10 (24%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 45 14.6 32% 6.6 / 15 (44%) 7.9 / 30 (26%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 50 4.6 9% 4.6 / 50 (9%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 10 5.0 50% 5.0 / 10 (50%)


Winning Events: 17 (65%)
Losing Events: 9 (35%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.73 units
Most Staked On One Event: 50.00 units
Best Event: 19.99 units
Worst Event: -12.92 units
Average Event: 1.86 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 57.03
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -12.92

MMA EXPERT : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 79 18.8 24% 7.5 / 34 (22%) 11.2 / 45 (25%) 5 / 2 (71%) 2.68
2018 330 29.5 9% 18.2 / 85 (21%) 11.3 / 245 (5%) 12 / 7 (63%) 1.55

MMA EXPERT : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MMA EXPERT : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 407 50.3 12% 27.7 / 117 (24%) 22.6 / 290 (8%)
Bellator 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)

MMA EXPERT : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 10 (38%) 7 70 % 44.00 -7.21 -0.72 -16%
Slight Favorites 6 (23%) 3 50 % 29.00 -5.18 -0.86 -18%
Slight Underdogs 8 (31%) 5 63 % 37.00 27.50 3.44 74%
Big Underdogs 2 (8%) 1 50 % 9.00 10.60 5.30 118%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 8 (31%) 5 63 % 35.00 6.68 0.84 19%
Co-Main Event 5 (19%) 2 40 % 24.00 8.10 1.62 34%
Position 3-5 8 (31%) 5 63 % 35.00 -0.01 -0.00 -0%
6+ (Undercard) 5 (19%) 4 80 % 25.00 10.93 2.19 44%

MMA EXPERT : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (19%) 3 60 % 21.00 11.01 2.20 52%
Light Heavy 1 (4%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
Middleweight 3 (12%) 2 67 % 12.00 -3.16 -1.05 -26%
Welterweight 6 (23%) 3 50 % 30.00 -3.14 -0.52 -10%
Lightweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 4.00 1.14 1.14 29%
Featherweight 5 (19%) 3 60 % 24.00 -0.71 -0.14 -3%
Bantamweight 3 (12%) 3 100 % 14.00 14.96 4.99 107%
Flyweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 4.00 15.60 15.60 390%
               
Women's Fights 1 (4%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
Strawweight 1 (4%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
0 0 0 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 43 (91%) 33 77 %
50-65% 4 (9%) 4 100 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
47 37 79 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 19 (40%) 16 84 % 1.32 1.62Pick was correct 1.17Pick was correct 2.4 (12%)
Does not go to Decision 28 (60%) 21 75 % 1.32 1.62Pick was correct 1.11Pick was correct -0.1 (-0%)
47 37 79 % 1.32     2.2 (5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MMA EXPERT 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
9th Jun UFC 225 10 5.0 50% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,050.00
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 50 4.6 9% $10.50 $1,050.00 $1,097.92
7th Jul UFC 226 45 14.6 32% $10.98 $1,097.92 $1,257.73
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 20 7.7 39% $12.58 $1,257.73 $1,354.70
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 10 2.9 29% $13.55 $1,354.70 $1,393.97
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 10 2.3 23% $13.94 $1,393.97 $1,426.25
4th Aug UFC 227 12 20.0 167% $14.26 $1,426.25 $1,711.36
8th Sep UFC 228 10 -10.0 -100% $17.11 $1,711.36 $1,540.23
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 15 -2.5 -17% $15.40 $1,540.23 $1,502.01
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 10 3.0 30% $15.02 $1,502.01 $1,547.69
6th Oct UFC 229 14 -2.6 -19% $15.48 $1,547.69 $1,507.34
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 20 0.2 1% $15.07 $1,507.34 $1,509.71
3rd Nov UFC 230 24 -12.9 -54% $5 $15.10 $1,509.71 $1,309.59
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 15 4.9 33% $13.10 $1,309.59 $1,374.15
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 5 -5.0 -100% $13.74 $1,374.15 $1,305.44
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 5 1.5 30% $13.05 $1,305.44 $1,325.04
8th Dec UFC 231 30 -3.2 -11% $13.25 $1,325.04 $1,283.25
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 15 -2.5 -17% $12.83 $1,283.25 $1,251.17
29th Dec UFC 232 10 1.5 15% $12.51 $1,251.17 $1,269.94
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 5 2.3 47% $12.70 $1,269.94 $1,299.47
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 15 -8.0 -53% $12.99 $1,299.47 $1,195.51
9th Feb UFC 234 12 3.5 29% $11.96 $1,195.51 $1,237.69
16th Feb Bellator 216 2 -2.0 -100% $12.38 $1,237.69 $1,212.94
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 10 16.7 167% $12.13 $1,212.94 $1,416.10
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 25 3.7 15% $14.16 $1,416.10 $1,468.00
2nd Mar UFC 235 10 2.5 25% $14.68 $1,468.00 $1,504.70


ROI % from starting bank balance: 50.47% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MMA EXPERT : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Kamaru Usman Tyron Woodley 2.50 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '19 Aljamain Sterling Jimmie Rivera 2.60 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '19 Francis Ngannou Cain Velasquez 2.75 5 TKO, R1 (0:26) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '19 Israel Adesanya Anderson Silva 1.14 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Alex Volkanovski Chad Mendes 2.30 5 TKO, R2 (4:14) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Alexey Kunchenko Yushin Okami 1.30 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Daniel Cormier Derrick Lewis 1.13 4 Sub, R2 (2:14) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Paid Pick Israel Adesanya Derek Brunson 1.31 5 TKO, R1 (4:51) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '18 Tony Ferguson Anthony Pettis 1.29 4 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '18 Henry Cejudo Demetrious Johnson 4.90 4 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '18 Renato Moicano Cub Swanson 1.25 4 Sub, R1 (4:15) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '18 T.J. Dillashaw Cody Garbrandt 1.85 4 TKO, R1 (4:10) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '18 Said Nurmagomedov Justin Scoggins 1.71 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '18 Alex Volkanovski Darren Elkins 1.36 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '18 Curtis Millender Max Griffin 1.57 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '18 Daniel Cormier Stipe Miocic 2.75 5 TKO, R1 (4:33) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '19 Roy Nelson Mirko Filipovic 2.62 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Anthony Smith Jon Jones 6.50 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '19 Lyman Good Demian Maia 2.50 5 Sub, R1 (2:38) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '19 Renato Moicano Jose Aldo 1.73 5 TKO, R2 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Dwight Grant Zak Ottow 1.33 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Claudia Gadelha Nina Ansaroff 1.30 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Brian Ortega Max Holloway 2.10 5 TKO, R4 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Chris Weidman Ronaldo Souza 1.57 5 TKO, R3 (2:46) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '18 Darren Till Tyron Woodley 1.80 5 Sub, R2 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '18 Francis Ngannou Derrick Lewis 1.29 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MMA EXPERT : Progress Chart

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