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Profitable MMA Handicappers: 586

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: IAm TheDuder

IAm TheDuder (IAmTheDuder)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - IAm TheDuder

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 31 (52%) Right 25 (60%) Right 4 (44%) Right 2 (22%)
Wrong 29 (48%) Wrong 17 (40%) Wrong 5 (56%) Wrong 7 (78%)
Avg Odds 2.41 Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 3.43 Avg Odds 7.15
Units Bet 83.0 Units Bet 65.5 Units Bet 9.0 Units Bet 8.5
Avg Bet 1.38 Avg Bet 1.56 Avg Bet 1.00 Avg Bet 0.94
Units Profit 17.00 Units Profit 16.90 Units Profit 2.99 Units Profit -2.89
ROI % 20% ROI % 26% ROI % 33% ROI % -34%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 5.5 3.8 68% 4.3 / 5 (85%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 11 4.8 44% 2.1 / 9 (24%) 2.7 / 2 (135%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 10 -6.6 -66% -3.6 / 7 (-52%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 6 -6.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 10.5 9.5 90% 6.4 / 6 (106%) 0.8 / 4 (21%) 2.3 / 0.5 (452%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 6.5 -4.0 -62% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -0.5 / 3 (-18%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 4 0.8 20% 0.8 / 4 (20%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 2 5.5 275% 5.5 / 2 (275%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 2 2.8 140% 2.8 / 2 (140%)
12th Jun '18 DWTNCS 9 5 2.2 44% 0.3 / 4 (9%) 1.8 / 1 (185%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 6.5 -3.8 -58% -2.8 / 5.5 (-51%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)


Winning Events: 7 (64%)
Losing Events: 4 (36%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 69 8.9 13% 7.8 / 52.5 (15%) 3.0 / 9 (33%) -1.9 / 7.5 (-25%) 7 / 4 (64%) 0.81

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 64 6.7 11% 7.5 / 48.5 (15%) 3.0 / 9 (33%) -3.7 / 6.5 (-58%)
Other 5 2.2 44% 0.3 / 4 (9%) 1.8 / 1 (185%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (12%) 4 80 % 3.50 -0.24 -0.05 -7%
Slight Favorites 16 (38%) 11 69 % 29.00 9.08 0.57 31%
Slight Underdogs 13 (31%) 8 62 % 21.00 8.60 0.66 41%
Big Underdogs 8 (19%) 2 25 % 12.00 -0.55 -0.07 -5%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 8 (19%) 7 88 % 12.00 9.87 1.23 82%
Co-Main Event 9 (21%) 6 67 % 12.50 7.18 0.80 57%
Position 3-5 10 (24%) 5 50 % 15.00 -3.48 -0.35 -23%
6+ (Undercard) 15 (36%) 7 47 % 26.00 3.32 0.22 13%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (14%) 4 67 % 12.00 5.50 0.92 46%
Light Heavy 3 (7%) 3 100 % 7.50 7.07 2.36 94%
Middleweight 4 (10%) 2 50 % 5.50 -1.18 -0.29 -21%
Welterweight 10 (24%) 4 40 % 13.50 -4.79 -0.48 -35%
Lightweight 7 (17%) 5 71 % 9.00 8.30 1.19 92%
Featherweight 4 (10%) 3 75 % 6.00 3.97 0.99 66%
Bantamweight 2 (5%) 2 100 % 2.00 1.00 0.50 50%
Flyweight 3 (7%) 1 33 % 5.00 -1.26 -0.42 -25%
               
Women's Fights 3 (7%) 1 33 % 5.00 -1.71 -0.57 -34%
Bantamweight 3 (7%) 1 33 % 5.00 -1.71 -0.57 -34%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 16 (43%) 12 75 %
Slight Favorites 14 (38%) 9 64 %
Slight Underdogs 6 (16%) 1 17 %
Big Underdogs 1 (3%) 0 0 %
37 22 59 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 1 (11%) 1 100 %
35-50% 3 (33%) 3 100 %
<35% chance 5 (56%) 0 0 %
9 4 44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO 3 (33%) 1 33 % 3.59 7.15Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was correct -1.2 (-39%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (22%) 1 50 % 2.73 3.25Pick was incorrect 2.35Pick was correct 0.4 (18%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (22%) 1 50 % 3.38 6.00Pick was incorrect 2.35Pick was correct 0.4 (18%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (11%) 0 0 % 19.00 19.00Pick was incorrect 19.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 1 (11%) 1 100 % 2.45 2.45Pick was correct 2.45Pick was correct 1.5 (145%)
9 4 44 % 3.43     -0.0 (-0%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
9th Jun UFC 225 6.5 -3.8 -58% $10.00 $1,000.00 $962.22
12th Jun DWTNCS 9 5 2.2 44% $9.62 $962.22 $983.30
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 2 2.8 140% $9.83 $983.30 $1,010.83
7th Jul UFC 226 2 5.5 275% $10.11 $1,010.83 $1,066.43
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 4 0.8 20% $10.66 $1,066.43 $1,075.15
3rd Nov UFC 230 6.5 -4.0 -62% $10.75 $1,075.15 $1,031.61
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 10.5 9.5 90% $10.32 $1,031.61 $1,129.45
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 6 -6.0 -100% $11.29 $1,129.45 $1,061.68
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 10 -6.6 -66% $10.62 $1,061.68 $991.39
8th Dec UFC 231 11 4.8 44% $9.91 $991.39 $1,039.26
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 5.5 3.8 68% $10.39 $1,039.26 $1,078.41


ROI % from starting bank balance: 7.84% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jan '19 Dennis Bermudez Te Edwards 2.15 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '19 Donald Cerrone Alexander Hernandez 2.65 2 TKO, R2 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '19 Glover Teixeira Karl Roberson 1.83 5 Sub, R1 (3:21) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '19 Paige VanZant Rachael Ostovich 1.65 2 Sub, R2 (1:50) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Dan Ige Jordan Griffin 1.57 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Rob Font Sergio Pettis 1.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Edson Barboza Daniel Hooker 2.10 1 TKO, R3 (2:19) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Al Iaquinta Kevin Lee 3.95 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Elias Theodorou Eryk Anders 1.80 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Gunnar Nelson Alex Oliveira 1.71 2 Sub, R2 (4:17) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Max Holloway Brian Ortega 2.05 2 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Junior dos Santos Tai Tuivasa 1.69 2 TKO, R2 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Eric Shelton Joseph Morales 1.87 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Donald Cerrone Mike Perry 2.70 1 Sub, R1 (4:46) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Mike Trizano Luis Pena 1.65 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '18 Yair Rodriguez Chan Sung Jung 2.15 2 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '18 Derrick Lewis Francis Ngannou 3.75 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '18 Ovince St Preux Tyson Pedro 2.40 2 Sub, R1 (2:54) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '18 Junior dos Santos Blagoy Ivanov 1.61 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '18 Montel Jackson Rico DiSciullo 1.36 1 TKO, R3 (2:15) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jan '19 Ariane Lipski Joanne Calderwood 1.54 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '19 Belal Muhammad Geoff Neal 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Jim Miller Charles Oliveira 3.75 1 Sub, R1 (1:15) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Olivier Aubin-Mercier Gilbert Burns 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Valentina Shevchenko 3.85 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Jake Matthews Tony Martin 1.89 2 Sub, R3 (1:19) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Ben Nguyen Wilson Reis 1.71 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Mark Hunt Justin Willis 2.05 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 2.55 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Yuta Sasaki Alexandre Pantoja 4.25 2 Sub, R1 (2:18) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Neil Magny Santiago Ponzinibbio 3.60 1 TKO, R4 (2:22) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 Chris Weidman Ronaldo Souza 1.64 2 TKO, R3 (2:46) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Jason Knight Jordan Rinaldi 1.41 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '18 Zak Ottow Sage Northcutt 2.15 1 TKO, R2 (3:13) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '18 Will Santiago Jr Kevin Holland 7.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '18 Alistair Overeem Curtis Blaydes 2.30 2 TKO, R3 (2:56) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '18 Phil Brooks Mike Jackson 3.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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