MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Hard Work Beats Talent

Hard Work Beats Talent (ruzhinovmarian)

MMA MHandicapper - Hard Work Beats Talent

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	51 (76%)	Right	24 (86%)	Right	18 (72%)	Right	9 (64%)
Wrong	16 (24%)	Wrong	4 (14%)	Wrong	7 (28%)	Wrong	5 (36%)
Avg Odds	1.45	Avg Odds	1.41	Avg Odds	1.46	Avg Odds	1.54
Units Bet	258.5	Units Bet	144.0	Units Bet	54.5	Units Bet	60.0
Avg Bet	3.86	Avg Bet	5.14	Avg Bet	2.18	Avg Bet	4.29
Units Profit	39.21	Units Profit	39.36	Units Profit	3.40	Units Profit	-3.55
ROI %	15%	ROI %	27%	ROI %	6%	ROI %	-6%

Hard Work Beats Talent : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
22nd Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 168	1	0.5	48%			0.5 / 1 (48%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	20	-13.4	-67%	-1.4 / 8 (-17%)		-12.0 / 12 (-100%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	11	-5.4	-49%	-0.4 / 6 (-7%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
15th Dec '18	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	10	2.4	24%	2.9 / 8 (36%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.5 / 1 (51%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	14.5	1.4	10%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	5.4 / 10.5 (52%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	15	2.6	17%	3.2 / 6 (53%)	-0.6 / 9 (-7%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	6	-2.0	-34%		-2.0 / 6 (-34%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	2.5	-2.5	-100%			-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	7	3.6	52%			3.6 / 7 (52%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	23	9.2	40%	4.4 / 11 (40%)	0.6 / 1 (61%)	4.2 / 11 (38%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	27	0.2	1%	7.2 / 20 (36%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
12th Oct '18	Bellator 207	8	3.0	37%	3.0 / 8 (37%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	7	2.0	28%		0.3 / 4 (6%)	1.7 / 3 (57%)
29th Sep '18	Bellator 206	4.5	2.1	46%			2.1 / 4.5 (46%)
22nd Sep '18	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	5	2.1	43%			2.1 / 5 (43%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	7	-5.6	-80%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	0.4 / 1 (38%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	20	7.1	36%	3.3 / 11 (30%)	0.6 / 3 (19%)	3.2 / 6 (54%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	7.5	2.1	28%	1.1 / 4.5 (25%)	1.0 / 3 (33%)
17th Aug '18	Bellator 204	4	1.6	40%	1.6 / 4 (40%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	1.5	0.5	33%	0.5 / 1.5 (33%)
31st Jul '18	DWTNCS 15	3	1.8	61%	1.8 / 3 (61%)
22nd Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 134	3	1.6	54%		1.6 / 3 (54%)
14th Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 133	13	7.8	60%	7.4 / 11 (67%)	0.4 / 2 (19%)
29th Jun '18	Bellator 201	1	0.3	27%	0.3 / 1 (27%)
26th Jun '18	DWTNCS 11	1	0.1	10%	0.1 / 1 (10%)
23rd Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 132	1	0.1	8%		0.1 / 1 (8%)
9th Jun '18	UFC 225	21	10.9	52%	9.3 / 17 (55%)	1.6 / 4 (40%)
1st Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 131	14	5.1	37%	5.1 / 13 (39%)	0.1 / 1 (8%)

Winning Events: 23 (82%)
Losing Events: 5 (18%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.23 units
Most Staked On One Event: 27.00 units
Best Event: 10.94 units
Worst Event: -13.36 units
Average Event: 1.40 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 12, Units: 39.05
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -18.76

Hard Work Beats Talent : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2020	1	0.5	48%			0.5 / 1 (48%)	1 / 0 (100%)	0.48
2019	20	-13.4	-67%	-1.4 / 8 (-17%)		-12.0 / 12 (-100%)	/ 1 (0%)	-13.36
2018	237.5	52.1	22%	40.7 / 136 (30%)	3.4 / 54.5 (6%)	8.0 / 47 (17%)	22 / 4 (85%)	2.00

Hard Work Beats Talent : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Hard Work Beats Talent : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	237	30.4	13%	32.6 / 127 (26%)	3.4 / 54.5 (6%)	-5.6 / 55.5 (-10%)
Bellator	17.5	6.9	40%	4.9 / 13 (37%)		2.1 / 4.5 (46%)
Other	4	1.9	48%	1.9 / 4 (48%)

Hard Work Beats Talent : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	20 (69%)	19	95 %	97.00	29.23	1.46	30%
Slight Favorites	9 (31%)	6	67 %	47.00	10.13	1.13	22%
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (24%)	6	86 %	40.00	12.25	1.75	31%
Co-Main Event	2 (7%)	2	100 %	19.00	5.22	2.61	27%
Position 3-5	9 (31%)	8	89 %	36.00	11.33	1.26	31%
6+ (Undercard)	11 (38%)	9	82 %	49.00	10.56	0.96	22%

Hard Work Beats Talent : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	5 (17%)	4	80 %	29.00	7.07	1.41	24%
Light Heavy	2 (7%)	2	100 %	14.00	5.66	2.83	40%
Middleweight	4 (14%)	4	100 %	32.00	13.95	3.49	44%
Welterweight	5 (17%)	4	80 %	13.50	-0.03	-0.01	-0%
Lightweight	4 (14%)	3	75 %	20.00	3.60	0.90	18%
Featherweight	4 (14%)	3	75 %	14.50	2.24	0.56	15%
Bantamweight	2 (7%)	2	100 %	8.00	3.20	1.60	40%
Flyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.27	0.27	27%

Women's Fights	2 (7%)	2	100 %	12.00	3.40	1.70	28%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.10	0.10	10%
Strawweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	11.00	3.30	3.30	30%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	15 (94%)	13	87 %
Slight Favorites	1 (6%)	0	0 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	16	13	81 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	33 (80%)	28	85 %
50-65%	5 (12%)	3	60 %
35-50%	2 (5%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	1 (2%)	0	0 %
	41	31	76 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.29	1.29	1.29	0.3 (29%)
Goes to Decision	6 (15%)	3	50 %	1.61	2.75	1.33	-1.7 (-29%)
Fight Starts Round X	17 (41%)	13	76 %	1.28	1.72	1.08	-0.4 (-3%)
X Does NOT Win by KO	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.05	1.05	1.05	0.1 (5%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (5%)	0	0 %	2.81	3.20	2.50	-2.0 (-100%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision	3 (7%)	3	100 %	1.07	1.08	1.06	0.2 (7%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance	7 (17%)	6	86 %	1.23	1.42	1.07	0.6 (8%)
X Doesn't Win in Round X	4 (10%)	4	100 %	1.31	1.61	1.15	1.3 (33%)
	41	31	76 %	1.32			-1.7 (-4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Hard Work Beats Talent 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 131	14	5.1	37%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,051.40
9th Jun	UFC 225	21	10.9	52%		$10.51	$1,051.40	$1,166.42
23rd Jun	UFC Fight Night 132	1	0.1	8%		$11.66	$1,166.42	$1,167.36
26th Jun	DWTNCS 11	1	0.1	10%		$11.67	$1,167.36	$1,168.52
29th Jun	Bellator 201	1	0.3	27%		$11.69	$1,168.52	$1,171.68
14th Jul	UFC Fight Night 133	13	7.8	60%		$11.72	$1,171.68	$1,262.48
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night 134	3	1.6	54%		$12.62	$1,262.48	$1,282.94
31st Jul	DWTNCS 15	3	1.8	61%		$12.83	$1,282.94	$1,306.41
4th Aug	UFC 227	1.5	0.5	33%		$13.06	$1,306.41	$1,312.88
17th Aug	Bellator 204	4	1.6	40%		$13.13	$1,312.88	$1,333.89
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	7.5	2.1	28%		$13.34	$1,333.89	$1,362.10
8th Sep	UFC 228	20	7.1	36%		$13.62	$1,362.10	$1,458.99
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	7	-5.6	-80%		$14.59	$1,458.99	$1,376.99
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	5	2.1	43%		$13.77	$1,376.99	$1,406.42
29th Sep	Bellator 206	4.5	2.1	46%		$14.06	$1,406.42	$1,435.69
6th Oct	UFC 229	7	2.0	28%		$14.36	$1,435.69	$1,463.88
12th Oct	Bellator 207	8	3.0	37%		$14.64	$1,463.88	$1,507.50
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	27	0.2	1%		$15.08	$1,507.50	$1,510.52
3rd Nov	UFC 230	23	9.2	40%		$15.11	$1,510.52	$1,649.43
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	7	3.6	52%		$16.49	$1,649.43	$1,709.03
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$17.09	$1,709.03	$1,666.31
30th Nov	TUF Finale	6	-2.0	-34%		$16.66	$1,666.31	$1,632.82
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	15	2.6	17%		$16.33	$1,632.82	$1,674.94
8th Dec	UFC 231	14.5	1.4	10%		$16.75	$1,674.94	$1,698.90
15th Dec	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	10	2.4	24%		$16.99	$1,698.90	$1,739.49
29th Dec	UFC 232	11	-5.4	-49%		$17.39	$1,739.49	$1,645.56
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	20	-13.4	-67%		$16.46	$1,645.56	$1,425.71
22nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 168	1	0.5	48%		$14.26	$1,425.71	$1,432.51

ROI % from starting bank balance: 43.25% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Hard Work Beats Talent : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jan '19	Geoff Neal	Belal Muhammad	1.66	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Dec '18	Petr Yan	Douglas Silva de Andrade	1.40	4	TKO, R2 (5:0)
3.	Dec '18	Zak Cummings	Trevor Smith	1.36	8	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Dec '18	Jim Crute	Paul Craig	1.53	6	Sub, R3 (4:51)
5.	Oct '18	Stevie Ray	Jessin Ayari	1.70	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Oct '18	Misha Cirkunov	Patrick Cummins	1.31	8	Sub, R1 (2:40)
7.	Oct '18	Michael Johnson	Artem Lobov	1.24	8	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Nov '18	Israel Adesanya	Derek Brunson	1.40	11	TKO, R1 (4:51)
9.	Oct '18	Lorenz Larkin	Ion Pascu	1.17	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Oct '18	Ryan Bader	Matt Mitrione	1.44	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Sep '18	Jessica Andrade	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	1.30	11	TKO, R1 (1:58)
12.	Aug '18	Eryk Anders	Tim Williams	1.20	2	TKO, R3 (4:42)
13.	Aug '18	Bryan Barberena	Jake Ellenberger	1.29	2.5	TKO, R1 (2:14)
14.	Aug '18	Darrion Caldwell	Noad Lahat	1.40	4	TKO, R2 (2:45)
15.	Aug '18	Renato Moicano	Cub Swanson	1.33	1.5	Sub, R1 (4:15)
16.	Jul '18	Jordan Griffin	Maurice Mitchell	1.61	3	Sub, R1 (3:57)
17.	Jul '18	Junior dos Santos	Blagoy Ivanov	1.67	11	U Decision (5 rounds)
18.	Jun '18	Ilima-Lei Macfarlane	Alejandra Lara	1.27	1	Sub, R3 (3:55)
19.	Jun '18	Antonina Shevchenko	Jaimelene Nievera	1.10	1	TKO, R2 (3:22)
20.	Jun '18	Tai Tuivasa	Andrei Arlovski	1.46	4	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jan '19	Alexander Hernandez	Donald Cerrone	1.58	4	TKO, R2 (3:43)	No
2.	Dec '18	Chad Mendes	Alex Volkanovski	1.70	2	TKO, R2 (4:14)	No
3.	Dec '18	Chad Laprise	Dhiego Lima	1.33	4	TKO, R1 (1:37)	No
4.	Sep '18	Mark Hunt	Aleksei Oleinik	1.84	6	Sub, R1 (4:26)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Hard Work Beats Talent : Progress Chart

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