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Total MMA Handicappers: 1367 Profitable MMA Handicappers: 578 |
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Profit / Loss by Organization |
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Straight Pick Stats |
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Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
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| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Main Event | 4 (13%) | 2 | 50 % | 10.00 | -0.57 | -0.14 | -6% |
| Co-Main Event | 5 (17%) | 3 | 60 % | 8.00 | 6.29 | 1.26 | 79% |
| Position 3-5 | 10 (33%) | 5 | 50 % | 26.50 | -3.88 | -0.39 | -15% |
| 6+ (Undercard) | 11 (37%) | 8 | 73 % | 25.00 | 17.55 | 1.60 | 70% |
by Weight Class
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Heavyweight | 5 (17%) | 3 | 60 % | 7.50 | 6.40 | 1.28 | 85% |
| Light Heavy | 2 (7%) | 1 | 50 % | 5.00 | -0.92 | -0.46 | -18% |
| Middleweight | 2 (7%) | 1 | 50 % | 4.00 | -0.40 | -0.20 | -10% |
| Welterweight | 6 (20%) | 2 | 33 % | 15.00 | -2.02 | -0.34 | -13% |
| Lightweight | 8 (27%) | 6 | 75 % | 19.00 | 12.30 | 1.54 | 65% |
| Featherweight | 2 (7%) | 2 | 100 % | 6.00 | 2.49 | 1.25 | 42% |
| Bantamweight | 1 (3%) | 0 % | 2.00 | -2.00 | -2.00 | -100% | |
| Flyweight | 1 (3%) | 1 | 100 % | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.00 | 150% |
| Women's Fights | 3 (10%) | 2 | 67 % | 9.00 | 0.54 | 0.18 | 6% |
| Bantamweight | 1 (3%) | 1 | 100 % | 3.00 | 2.70 | 2.70 | 90% |
| Bantamweight | 1 (3%) | 0 % | 3.00 | -3.00 | -3.00 | -100% | |
| Strawweight | 1 (3%) | 1 | 100 % | 3.00 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 28% |
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)
Straight picks within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| Big Favorites | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| Slight Favorites | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| Slight Underdogs | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| Big Underdogs | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 0 | 0 | 0 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| >65% chance | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 50-65% | 2 (7%) | 2 | 100 % |
| 35-50% | 10 (34%) | 9 | 90 % |
| <35% chance | 17 (59%) | 3 | 18 % |
| 29 | 14 | 48 % |
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
| Prop Type | Picks | Correct | % Correct | Avg Odds |
Longest Odds |
Shortest Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) | 4 (14%) | 4 | 100 % | 2.21 | 2.50 |
2.10 |
4.9 (122%) |
| Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) | 1 (3%) | 1 | 100 % | 2.25 | 2.25 |
2.25 |
1.3 (125%) |
| Does not go to Decision | 3 (10%) | 2 | 67 % | 2.07 | 2.40 |
1.72 |
1.1 (37%) |
| X Wins by KO | 3 (10%) | 1 | 33 % | 2.76 | 7.00 |
1.67 |
-1.3 (-44%) |
| X Wins by Sub | 12 (41%) | 5 | 42 % | 4.80 | 21.00 |
2.00 |
12.3 (102%) |
| X Wins by Decision | 3 (10%) | 1 | 33 % | 3.74 | 6.00 |
2.30 |
-0.7 (-23%) |
| X Wins Inside Distance | 2 (7%) | 0 | 0 % | 4.34 | 6.00 |
3.40 |
-2.0 (-100%) |
| X Wins in Round X | 1 (3%) | 0 | 0 % | 6.00 | 6.00 |
6.00 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
| 29 | 14 | 48 % | 3.33 | 14.5 (50%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.
Tail handicapper's bets
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date | Event | Bet | Won | ROI | Fee | 1 unit = | Start | End |
| 1st Jun | UFC Fight Night 131 | 6.75 | -0.4 | -6% | $10.00 | $1,000.00 | $996.25 | |
| 9th Jun | UFC 225 | 6.25 | -2.1 | -33% | $9.96 | $996.25 | $975.83 | |
| 23rd Jun | UFC Fight Night 132 | 8 | 1.7 | 21% | $9.76 | $975.83 | $992.42 | |
| 7th Jul | UFC 226 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 77% | $9.92 | $992.42 | $1,042.04 | |
| 14th Jul | UFC Fight Night 133 | 6.5 | 3.7 | 57% | $10.42 | $1,042.04 | $1,080.59 | |
| 22nd Jul | UFC Fight Night 134 | 7.5 | 1.4 | 18% | $10.81 | $1,080.59 | $1,095.50 | |
| 28th Jul | UFC on Fox 30 | 8.5 | 5.2 | 61% | $10.96 | $1,095.50 | $1,152.14 | |
| 4th Aug | UFC 227 | 3 | 0.9 | 30% | $11.52 | $1,152.14 | $1,162.51 | |
| 25th Aug | UFC Fight Night 135 | 6 | 6.6 | 110% | $10 | $11.63 | $1,162.51 | $1,229.24 |
| 8th Sep | UFC 228 | 4 | 0.5 | 13% | $10 | $12.29 | $1,229.24 | $1,225.38 |
| 15th Sep | UFC FIght Night Moscow | 2.5 | 3.2 | 128% | $10 | $12.25 | $1,225.38 | $1,254.60 |
| 22nd Sep | UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo | 5.25 | 3.5 | 67% | $10 | $12.55 | $1,254.60 | $1,288.63 |
| 6th Oct | UFC 229 | 6 | 0.6 | 10% | $10 | $12.89 | $1,288.63 | $1,286.36 |
| 12th Oct | Bellator 207 | 3 | 6.7 | 223% | $10 | $12.86 | $1,286.36 | $1,362.55 |
| 27th Oct | UFC Fight Night 138 | 3 | -3.0 | -100% | $10 | $13.63 | $1,362.55 | $1,311.67 |
| 3rd Nov | UFC 230 | 4 | 2.6 | 65% | $10 | $13.12 | $1,311.67 | $1,335.78 |
| 10th Nov | UFC Fight Night Denver | 4 | 5.4 | 135% | $10 | $13.36 | $1,335.78 | $1,397.91 |
| 17th Nov | UFC Fight Night 140 | 3 | 1.6 | 53% | $10 | $13.98 | $1,397.91 | $1,410.14 |
| 1st Dec | UFC Fight Night 142 | 3 | -3.0 | -100% | $10 | $14.10 | $1,410.14 | $1,357.83 |
| 8th Dec | UFC 231 | 4 | 1.0 | 25% | $13.58 | $1,357.83 | $1,371.14 | |
| 15th Dec | Fight Night Milwaukee | 4.5 | 0.5 | 11% | $13.71 | $1,371.14 | $1,377.99 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 37.80% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.
Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | |||
| 1. | Dec '18 | Gunnar Nelson | Alex Oliveira | 1.66 | 3 | Sub, R2 (4:17) | 
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| 2. | Nov '18 |  Ricardo Lamas |
Darren Elkins | 1.53 | 3 | TKO, R3 (4:9) |
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| 3. | Oct '18 | Sergei Kharitonov |
Roy Nelson | 3.50 | 1 | TKO, R1 (4:59) |
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| 4. | Oct '18 | Sergei Kharitonov |
Roy Nelson | 3.10 | 2 | TKO, R1 (4:59) |
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| 5. | Sep '18 | Thales Leites |
Hector Lombard | 1.80 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 6. | Aug '18 | Justin Gaethje |
James Vick | 2.30 | 2 | TKO, R1 (1:27) |
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| 7. | Aug '18 | James Krause |
Warlley Alves | 4.00 | 2 | TKO, R2 (2:28) |
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| 8. | Aug '18 | Renato Moicano | Cub Swanson | 1.30 | 3 | Sub, R1 (4:15) |
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| 9. | Jul '18 | Dustin Poirier | Eddie Alvarez | 1.61 | 3 | TKO, R2 (4:5) |
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| 10. | Jul '18 | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Tecia Torres | 1.28 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 11. | Jul '18 | Dustin Ortiz | Matheus Nicolau | 2.50 | 2 | TKO, R1 (3:49) |
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| 12. | Jul '18 | Darko Stosic | Jeremy Kimball | 1.36 | 3 | TKO, R1 (3:13) |
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| 13. | Jul '18 | Nasrat Haqparast | Marc Diakiese | 2.40 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 14. | Jul '18 | Cat Zingano | Marion Reneau | 1.90 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 15. | Jul '18 | Drakkar Klose | Lando Vannata | 2.50 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 16. | Jun '18 | Yadong Song | Felipe Arantes | 1.90 | 3 | TKO, R2 (4:59) |
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| 17. | Jun '18 | Tai Tuivasa | Andrei Arlovski | 1.40 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 18. | Jun '18 | David Teymur | Nik Lentz | 1.29 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) | 
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Last 20 Losses
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | Hedge? | |||
| 1. | Dec '18 | Gerald Meerschaert | Jack Hermansson | 2.30 | 2 | Sub, R1 (4:25) | No |
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| 2. | Dec '18 | Jake Matthews |
Tony Martin | 1.91 | 3 | Sub, R3 (1:19) | No | 
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| 3. | Oct '18 | Anthony Pettis |
Tony Ferguson | 3.60 | 2 | TKO, R2 (5:0) | No |
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| 4. | Sep '18 | Darren Till |
Tyron Woodley | 1.70 | 3 | Sub, R2 (4:19) | No |
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| 5. | Aug '18 | Luke Sanders |
Rani Yahya | 1.95 | 2 | Sub, R1 (1:31) | No |
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| 6. | Jul '18 | Stefan Struve | Marcin Tybura | 2.87 | 0.5 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 7. | Jul '18 | Mauricio Rua | Anthony Smith | 2.62 | 2 | TKO, R1 (1:29) | No |
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| 8. | Jul '18 | Paul Felder | Mike Perry | 1.61 | 3 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 9. | Jun '18 | Jessica-Rose Clark | Jessica Eye | 1.61 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 10. | Jun '18 | Alistair Overeem | Curtis Blaydes | 2.50 | 1 | TKO, R3 (2:56) | No |
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| 11. | Jun '18 | Rafael dos Anjos | Colby Covington | 2.10 | 1 | U Decision (5 rounds) | No |
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| 12. | Jun '18 | Vinc Pichel | Gregor Gillespie | 4.00 | 1 | Sub, R2 (4:6) | No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
Progress Chart
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