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MMA Handicapper Stats: Toddy Picks

Toddy Picks (MMArvin)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - Toddy Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 78 (48%) Right 58 (51%) Right 6 (35%) Right 14 (44%)
Wrong 84 (52%) Wrong 55 (49%) Wrong 11 (65%) Wrong 18 (56%)
Avg Odds 2.11 Avg Odds 2.04 Avg Odds 2.17 Avg Odds 2.34
Units Bet 607.9 Units Bet 417.5 Units Bet 67.7 Units Bet 122.7
Avg Bet 3.75 Avg Bet 3.69 Avg Bet 3.98 Avg Bet 3.84
Units Profit -4.34 Units Profit 22.28 Units Profit -26.44 Units Profit -0.18
ROI % -1% ROI % 5% ROI % -39% ROI % -0%
View Handicapper's Profile

Toddy Picks : Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 20 9.3 47% 5.8 / 15 (39%) 3.5 / 5 (70%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 20 3.6 18% -2.7 / 15 (-18%) 6.4 / 5 (128%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 20 -10.2 -51% -5.2 / 15 (-35%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 15 -4.5 -30% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 0.5 / 10 (5%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 15 0.2 2% 5.2 / 10 (52%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 35 5.5 16% 3.5 / 25 (14%) 2.0 / 10 (20%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 25 0.2 1% 15.2 / 10 (152%) -15.0 / 15 (-100%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 25 -1.3 -5% 8.7 / 15 (58%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 30 9.4 31% 2.6 / 25 (11%) 6.7 / 5 (135%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 27 8.1 30% -2.1 / 15 (-14%) 10.2 / 12 (85%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 27 -0.5 -2% 6.5 / 20 (32%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 15 -15.0 -100% -15.0 / 15 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 30 -30.0 -100% -20.0 / 20 (-100%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 35 27.3 78% 19.8 / 15 (132%) 7.5 / 20 (38%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 12 7.7 64% 7.7 / 12 (64%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 15 -5.0 -33% 5.0 / 5 (100%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 27 -8.2 -30% 0.8 / 18 (4%) -9.0 / 9 (-100%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 19 6.8 36% 6.8 / 19 (36%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 15 -7.1 -48% -7.1 / 15 (-48%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 11 -11.0 -100% -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 11 -4.7 -42% -4.7 / 11 (-42%)
17th Aug '18 Bellator 204 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
7th Aug '18 DWTNCS 16 6 1.2 20% 1.2 / 6 (20%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 16 8.6 54% 3.6 / 11 (33%) 5.0 / 5 (100%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 8.89 -1.7 -19% 1.0 / 4.19 (23%) 1.1 / 1 (105%) -3.7 / 3.7 (-100%)
24th Jul '18 DWTNCS 14 5 4.2 85% 4.2 / 5 (85%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 18.2 -0.2 -1% -0.9 / 8.2 (-11%) 0.8 / 10 (8%)
17th Jul '18 DWTNCS 13 2.02 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2.02 (-100%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 9 3.6 40% 0.1 / 7 (2%) 3.4 / 2 (171%)
10th Jul '18 DWTNCS 12 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 8 0.4 5% 0.4 / 8 (5%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 2 -2.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
26th Jun '18 DWTNCS 11 2 4.3 216% 4.3 / 2 (216%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 9.03 -2.1 -23% -1.1 / 8.03 (-13%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Jun '18 DWTNCS 10 3 3.1 105% 3.1 / 3 (105%)
12th Jun '18 DWTNCS 9 3 3.2 108% 3.2 / 3 (108%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 29.32 12.4 42% 9.4 / 24.65 (38%) 1.0 / 0.67 (150%) 2.0 / 4 (51%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 10.4 8.9 86% 5.6 / 8.4 (66%) 3.3 / 2 (166%)


Winning Events: 20 (49%)
Losing Events: 21 (51%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.83 units
Most Staked On One Event: 35.00 units
Best Event: 27.26 units
Worst Event: -30.00 units
Average Event: -0.11 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 34.96
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -60.53

Toddy Picks : Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2019 237 15.4 6% 26.1 / 150 (17%) -10.7 / 87 (-12%) 7 / 4 (64%) 1.40
2018 370.86 -19.7 -5% -3.8 / 267.47 (-1%) -26.4 / 67.67 (-39%) 10.5 / 35.72 (29%) 13 / 17 (43%) -0.66

Toddy Picks : Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Toddy Picks : Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 579.84 -11.4 -2% 21.8 / 401.47 (5%) -26.4 / 67.67 (-39%) -6.9 / 110.7 (-6%)
Bellator 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
Other 23.02 12.1 53% 5.4 / 11 (49%) 6.7 / 12.02 (55%)

Toddy Picks : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 8 (7%) 6 75 % 39.35 1.76 0.22 4%
Slight Favorites 44 (39%) 23 52 % 172.79 -17.68 -0.40 -10%
Slight Underdogs 49 (43%) 26 53 % 172.83 49.15 1.00 28%
Big Underdogs 12 (11%) 3 25 % 32.50 -10.95 -0.91 -34%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 22 (19%) 8 36 % 91.29 -34.58 -1.57 -38%
Co-Main Event 14 (12%) 6 43 % 47.68 1.83 0.13 4%
Position 3-5 26 (23%) 14 54 % 97.00 5.24 0.20 5%
6+ (Undercard) 51 (45%) 30 59 % 181.50 49.78 0.98 27%

Toddy Picks : Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 8 (7%) 2 25 % 26.50 -12.20 -1.52 -46%
Light Heavy 13 (12%) 7 54 % 49.03 -6.85 -0.53 -14%
Middleweight 14 (12%) 9 64 % 55.45 21.79 1.56 39%
Welterweight 17 (15%) 8 47 % 57.30 8.02 0.47 14%
Lightweight 12 (11%) 8 67 % 45.44 15.92 1.33 35%
Featherweight 19 (17%) 7 37 % 75.85 -14.74 -0.78 -19%
Bantamweight 10 (9%) 5 50 % 32.00 3.39 0.34 11%
Flyweight 3 (3%) 2 67 % 13.00 0.68 0.23 5%
               
Women's Fights 17 (15%) 10 59 % 62.90 6.27 0.37 10%
Featherweight 3 (3%) 3 100 % 15.00 14.54 4.85 97%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 6.00 -4.11 -2.05 -68%
Flyweight 4 (4%) 2 50 % 17.90 -4.10 -1.02 -23%
Strawweight 8 (7%) 4 50 % 24.00 -0.07 -0.01 -0%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 41 (58%) 31 76 %
Slight Favorites 24 (34%) 17 71 %
Slight Underdogs 6 (8%) 2 33 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
71 50 70 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (12%) 2 100 %
50-65% 2 (12%) 0 0 %
35-50% 11 (65%) 4 36 %
<35% chance 2 (12%) 0 0 %
17 6 35 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (6%) 0 0 % 2.14 2.14Pick was incorrect 2.14Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (6%) 0 0 % 2.55 2.55Pick was incorrect 2.55Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 1 (6%) 1 100 % 2.50 2.50Pick was correct 2.50Pick was correct 1.5 (150%)
Does not go to Decision 3 (18%) 2 67 % 1.51 1.87Pick was incorrect 1.38Pick was correct -0.2 (-8%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (6%) 0 0 % 1.86 1.86Pick was incorrect 1.86Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 2 (12%) 0 0 % 3.11 3.50Pick was incorrect 2.80Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 8 (47%) 3 38 % 2.33 2.97Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct -1.2 (-15%)
17 6 35 % 2.17     -4.9 (-29%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Toddy Picks 's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 10.4 8.9 86% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,088.96
9th Jun UFC 225 29.32 12.4 42% $10.89 $1,088.96 $1,224.19
12th Jun DWTNCS 9 3 3.2 108% $12.24 $1,224.19 $1,263.68
19th Jun DWTNCS 10 3 3.1 105% $12.64 $1,263.68 $1,303.45
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 9.03 -2.1 -23% $13.03 $1,303.45 $1,276.68
26th Jun DWTNCS 11 2 4.3 216% $12.77 $1,276.68 $1,331.79
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 2 -2.0 -100% $13.32 $1,331.79 $1,305.16
7th Jul UFC 226 8 0.4 5% $13.05 $1,305.16 $1,310.38
10th Jul DWTNCS 12 2 -2.0 -100% $13.10 $1,310.38 $1,284.17
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 9 3.6 40% $12.84 $1,284.17 $1,329.94
17th Jul DWTNCS 13 2.02 -2.0 -100% $13.30 $1,329.94 $1,303.08
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 18.2 -0.2 -1% $13.03 $1,303.08 $1,300.99
24th Jul DWTNCS 14 5 4.2 85% $13.01 $1,300.99 $1,356.12
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 8.89 -1.7 -19% $13.56 $1,356.12 $1,333.06
4th Aug UFC 227 16 8.6 54% $50 $13.33 $1,333.06 $1,397.40
7th Aug DWTNCS 16 6 1.2 20% $13.97 $1,397.40 $1,414.17
17th Aug Bellator 204 5 -5.0 -100% $14.14 $1,414.17 $1,343.46
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 11 -4.7 -42% $50 $13.43 $1,343.46 $1,230.72
8th Sep UFC 228 11 -11.0 -100% $12.31 $1,230.72 $1,095.34
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 15 -7.1 -48% $10.95 $1,095.34 $1,017.10
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 19 6.8 36% $10.17 $1,017.10 $1,086.43
6th Oct UFC 229 27 -8.2 -30% $10.86 $1,086.43 $997.27
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 15 -5.0 -33% $9.97 $997.27 $947.40
3rd Nov UFC 230 12 7.7 64% $9.47 $947.40 $1,020.34
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 35 27.3 78% $10.20 $1,020.34 $1,298.49
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 30 -30.0 -100% $12.98 $1,298.49 $908.94
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 15 -15.0 -100% $9.09 $908.94 $772.60
30th Nov TUF Finale 27 -0.5 -2% $7.73 $772.60 $768.49
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 5 -5.0 -100% $7.68 $768.49 $730.07
8th Dec UFC 231 10 -10.0 -100% $7.30 $730.07 $657.06
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 27 8.1 30% $6.57 $657.06 $710.21
11th May UFC 237 30 9.4 31% $7.10 $710.21 $776.64
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 25 -1.3 -5% $7.77 $776.64 $766.93
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 25 0.2 1% $7.67 $766.93 $768.85
8th Jun UFC 238 35 5.5 16% $7.69 $768.85 $811.11
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 15 0.2 2% $8.11 $811.11 $813.14
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 15 -4.5 -30% $8.13 $813.14 $776.56
6th Jul UFC 239 5 -5.0 -100% $7.77 $776.56 $737.73
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 20 -10.2 -51% $7.38 $737.73 $662.20
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 20 3.6 18% $6.62 $662.20 $686.25
27th Jul UFC 240 20 9.3 47% $6.86 $686.25 $750.10


ROI % from starting bank balance: -24.99% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Toddy Picks : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '19 Erik Koch Kyle Stewart 2.45 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Deiveson Figueiredo Alexandre Pantoja 1.71 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Andre Fili Sheymon da Silva Moraes 1.95 5 TKO, R1 (3:7) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '19 Andrei Arlovski Ben Rothwell 2.45 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '19 Randy Brown Bryan Barberena 3.05 5 TKO, R3 (2:54) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Alexa Grasso Karolina Kowalkiewicz 2.35 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Tony Ferguson Donald Cerrone 1.61 5 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Aljamain Sterling Pedro Munhoz 1.74 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '19 Christos Giagos Damir Hadzovic 2.55 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '19 Bea Malecki Duda Santana 2.50 5 Sub, R2 (1:59) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Ian Heinisch Antonio Carlos Junior 2.60 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Zak Cummings Trevin Giles 2.15 5 Sub, R3 (4:1) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Luana Carolina Priscila Cachoeira 1.68 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. May '19 Ryan Spann Rogerio Nogueira 1.65 5 TKO, R1 (2:7) MMA Bookmaker
15. May '19 Alex Volkanovski Jose Aldo 2.20 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. May '19 Cole Smith Mitch Gagnon 1.97 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. May '19 Merab Dvalishvili Brad Katona 1.68 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. May '19 Derek Brunson Elias Theodorou 1.93 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '18 Macy Chiasson Pannie Kianzad 2.00 5 Sub, R2 (2:11) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '18 Kamaru Usman Rafael dos Anjos 1.38 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '19 Darren Elkins Ryan Hall 1.95 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Frankie Edgar Max Holloway 4.10 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Steven Peterson Alex Caceres 1.91 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '19 Aleksei Oleinik Walt Harris 2.65 5 TKO, R1 (0:12) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '19 Aspen Ladd Germaine de Randamie 1.67 5 TKO, R1 (0:16) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '19 Paul Craig Alonzo Menifield 3.00 5 TKO, R1 (3:19) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '19 Montana De La Rosa Andrea Lee 2.70 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '19 Ricardo Lamas Calvin Kattar 2.20 5 TKO, R1 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '19 Marlon Moraes Henry Cejudo 1.80 5 TKO, R3 (4:51) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '19 Kevin Lee Rafael dos Anjos 1.80 5 Sub, R4 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '19 Anderson Silva Jared Cannonier 2.35 5 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
12. May '19 Rose Namajunas Jessica Andrade 2.05 5 TKO, R2 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '19 Al Iaquinta Donald Cerrone 1.87 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. May '19 Juan Adams Arjan Bhullar 1.76 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '18 Eryk Anders Elias Theodorou 1.80 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '18 Brian Ortega Max Holloway 2.10 5 TKO, R4 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Alex Perez Joseph Benavidez 1.80 5 TKO, R1 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Kenan Song Alex Morono 1.78 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '18 Hu Yaozong Rashad Coulter 2.61 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '18 Curtis Blaydes Francis Ngannou 1.53 5 TKO, R1 (0:45) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Toddy Picks : Progress Chart
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