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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1432
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 577

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Toddy Picks

Toddy Picks (MMArvin)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Toddy Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 53 (47%) Right 40 (49%) Right 6 (35%) Right 7 (47%)
Wrong 60 (53%) Wrong 41 (51%) Wrong 11 (65%) Wrong 8 (53%)
Avg Odds 2.12 Avg Odds 2.03 Avg Odds 2.17 Avg Odds 2.72
Units Bet 370.9 Units Bet 267.5 Units Bet 67.7 Units Bet 35.7
Avg Bet 3.28 Avg Bet 3.30 Avg Bet 3.98 Avg Bet 2.38
Units Profit -19.73 Units Profit -3.80 Units Profit -26.44 Units Profit 10.51
ROI % -5% ROI % -1% ROI % -39% ROI % 29%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 27 -0.5 -2% 6.5 / 20 (32%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 15 -15.0 -100% -15.0 / 15 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 30 -30.0 -100% -20.0 / 20 (-100%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 35 27.3 78% 19.8 / 15 (132%) 7.5 / 20 (38%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 12 7.7 64% 7.7 / 12 (64%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 15 -5.0 -33% 5.0 / 5 (100%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 27 -8.2 -30% 0.8 / 18 (4%) -9.0 / 9 (-100%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 19 6.8 36% 6.8 / 19 (36%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 15 -7.1 -48% -7.1 / 15 (-48%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 11 -11.0 -100% -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 11 -4.7 -42% -4.7 / 11 (-42%)
17th Aug '18 Bellator 204 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
7th Aug '18 DWTNCS 16 6 1.2 20% 1.2 / 6 (20%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 16 8.6 54% 3.6 / 11 (33%) 5.0 / 5 (100%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 8.89 -1.7 -19% 1.0 / 4.19 (23%) 1.1 / 1 (105%) -3.7 / 3.7 (-100%)
24th Jul '18 DWTNCS 14 5 4.2 85% 4.2 / 5 (85%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 18.2 -0.2 -1% -0.9 / 8.2 (-11%) 0.8 / 10 (8%)
17th Jul '18 DWTNCS 13 2.02 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2.02 (-100%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 9 3.6 40% 0.1 / 7 (2%) 3.4 / 2 (171%)
10th Jul '18 DWTNCS 12 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 8 0.4 5% 0.4 / 8 (5%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 2 -2.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
26th Jun '18 DWTNCS 11 2 4.3 216% 4.3 / 2 (216%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 9.03 -2.1 -23% -1.1 / 8.03 (-13%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Jun '18 DWTNCS 10 3 3.1 105% 3.1 / 3 (105%)
12th Jun '18 DWTNCS 9 3 3.2 108% 3.2 / 3 (108%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 29.32 12.4 42% 9.4 / 24.65 (38%) 1.0 / 0.67 (150%) 2.0 / 4 (51%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 10.4 8.9 86% 5.6 / 8.4 (66%) 3.3 / 2 (166%)


Winning Events: 13 (43%)
Losing Events: 17 (57%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 370.86 -19.7 -5% -3.8 / 267.47 (-1%) -26.4 / 67.67 (-39%) 10.5 / 35.72 (29%) 13 / 17 (43%) -0.66

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 342.84 -26.8 -8% -4.2 / 251.47 (-2%) -26.4 / 67.67 (-39%) 3.8 / 23.7 (16%)
Bellator 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
Other 23.02 12.1 53% 5.4 / 11 (49%) 6.7 / 12.02 (55%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 8 (10%) 6 75 % 39.35 1.76 0.22 4%
Slight Favorites 28 (35%) 14 50 % 102.79 -12.26 -0.44 -12%
Slight Underdogs 36 (44%) 18 50 % 107.83 17.90 0.50 17%
Big Underdogs 9 (11%) 2 22 % 17.50 -11.20 -1.24 -64%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 16 (20%) 8 50 % 61.29 -4.58 -0.29 -7%
Co-Main Event 9 (11%) 3 33 % 26.68 -7.35 -0.82 -28%
Position 3-5 21 (26%) 10 48 % 74.00 -8.58 -0.41 -12%
6+ (Undercard) 35 (43%) 19 54 % 105.50 16.71 0.48 16%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (6%) 1 20 % 13.50 -11.45 -2.29 -85%
Light Heavy 11 (14%) 6 55 % 39.03 -5.08 -0.46 -13%
Middleweight 10 (12%) 6 60 % 39.45 12.10 1.21 31%
Welterweight 14 (17%) 6 43 % 42.30 -4.48 -0.32 -11%
Lightweight 9 (11%) 6 67 % 30.44 10.14 1.13 33%
Featherweight 13 (16%) 5 38 % 45.85 -5.50 -0.42 -12%
Bantamweight 6 (7%) 2 33 % 16.00 -0.27 -0.04 -2%
Flyweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 8.00 -2.89 -1.44 -36%
               
Women's Fights 11 (14%) 7 64 % 32.90 3.61 0.33 11%
Featherweight 2 (2%) 2 100 % 10.00 7.04 3.52 70%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.00 0.89 0.89 89%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 7.90 -2.50 -1.25 -32%
Strawweight 6 (7%) 3 50 % 14.00 -1.82 -0.30 -13%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 15 (43%) 13 87 %
Slight Favorites 14 (40%) 10 71 %
Slight Underdogs 6 (17%) 2 33 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35 25 71 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (12%) 2 100 %
50-65% 2 (12%) 0 0 %
35-50% 11 (65%) 4 36 %
<35% chance 2 (12%) 0 0 %
17 6 35 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (6%) 0 0 % 2.14 2.14Pick was incorrect 2.14Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (6%) 0 0 % 2.55 2.55Pick was incorrect 2.55Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 1 (6%) 1 100 % 2.50 2.50Pick was correct 2.50Pick was correct 1.5 (150%)
Does not go to Decision 3 (18%) 2 67 % 1.51 1.87Pick was incorrect 1.38Pick was correct -0.2 (-8%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (6%) 0 0 % 1.86 1.86Pick was incorrect 1.86Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 2 (12%) 0 0 % 3.11 3.50Pick was incorrect 2.80Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 8 (47%) 3 38 % 2.33 2.97Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct -1.2 (-15%)
17 6 35 % 2.17     -4.9 (-29%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 10.4 8.9 86% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,088.96
9th Jun UFC 225 29.32 12.4 42% $10.89 $1,088.96 $1,224.19
12th Jun DWTNCS 9 3 3.2 108% $12.24 $1,224.19 $1,263.68
19th Jun DWTNCS 10 3 3.1 105% $12.64 $1,263.68 $1,303.45
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 9.03 -2.1 -23% $13.03 $1,303.45 $1,276.68
26th Jun DWTNCS 11 2 4.3 216% $12.77 $1,276.68 $1,331.79
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 2 -2.0 -100% $13.32 $1,331.79 $1,305.16
7th Jul UFC 226 8 0.4 5% $13.05 $1,305.16 $1,310.38
10th Jul DWTNCS 12 2 -2.0 -100% $13.10 $1,310.38 $1,284.17
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 9 3.6 40% $12.84 $1,284.17 $1,329.94
17th Jul DWTNCS 13 2.02 -2.0 -100% $13.30 $1,329.94 $1,303.08
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 18.2 -0.2 -1% $13.03 $1,303.08 $1,300.99
24th Jul DWTNCS 14 5 4.2 85% $13.01 $1,300.99 $1,356.12
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 8.89 -1.7 -19% $13.56 $1,356.12 $1,333.06
4th Aug UFC 227 16 8.6 54% $50 $13.33 $1,333.06 $1,397.40
7th Aug DWTNCS 16 6 1.2 20% $13.97 $1,397.40 $1,414.17
17th Aug Bellator 204 5 -5.0 -100% $14.14 $1,414.17 $1,343.46
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 11 -4.7 -42% $50 $13.43 $1,343.46 $1,230.72
8th Sep UFC 228 11 -11.0 -100% $12.31 $1,230.72 $1,095.34
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 15 -7.1 -48% $10.95 $1,095.34 $1,017.10
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 19 6.8 36% $10.17 $1,017.10 $1,086.43
6th Oct UFC 229 27 -8.2 -30% $10.86 $1,086.43 $997.27
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 15 -5.0 -33% $9.97 $997.27 $947.40
3rd Nov UFC 230 12 7.7 64% $9.47 $947.40 $1,020.34
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 35 27.3 78% $10.20 $1,020.34 $1,298.49
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 30 -30.0 -100% $12.98 $1,298.49 $908.94
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 15 -15.0 -100% $9.09 $908.94 $772.60
30th Nov TUF Finale 27 -0.5 -2% $7.73 $772.60 $768.49
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 5 -5.0 -100% $7.68 $768.49 $730.07
8th Dec UFC 231 10 -10.0 -100% $7.30 $730.07 $657.06


ROI % from starting bank balance: -34.29% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Nov '18 Macy Chiasson Pannie Kianzad 2.00 5 Sub, R2 (2:11) MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '18 Kamaru Usman Rafael dos Anjos 1.38 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '18 Edmen Shahbazyan Darren Stewart 1.91 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '18 Mike Trizano Luis Pena 2.65 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '18 Bobby Moffett Chas Skelly 2.05 5 Sub, R2 (2:43) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Yair Rodriguez Chan Sung Jung 2.25 5 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Ronaldo Souza Chris Weidman 2.58 5 TKO, R3 (2:46) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '18 Sean Strickland Nordine Taleb 2.00 5 TKO, R2 (3:10) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Israel Adesanya Derek Brunson 1.36 5 TKO, R1 (4:51) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '18 Tony Martin Ryan LaFlare 2.20 5 TKO, R3 (1:0) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '18 Thales Leites Hector Lombard 2.20 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '18 Thiago Santos Eryk Anders 1.71 5 TKO, R3 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '18 Andre Ewell Renan Barao 2.09 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '18 Jordan Johnson Adam Yandiev 1.57 5 Sub, R2 (0:42) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '18 Dominick Reyes Ovince St Preux 1.56 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '18 Cortney Casey Angela Hill 2.11 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '18 Devonte Smith Joseph Lowry 2.40 3 TKO, R1 (2:52) MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '18 Alex Perez Jose Torres 1.70 3 TKO, R1 (3:36) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '18 T.J. Dillashaw Cody Garbrandt 1.89 5 TKO, R1 (4:10) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '18 Alex Munoz Nick Newell 1.85 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 Eryk Anders Elias Theodorou 1.80 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Brian Ortega Max Holloway 2.10 5 TKO, R4 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '18 Alex Perez Joseph Benavidez 1.80 5 TKO, R1 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '18 Kenan Song Alex Morono 1.78 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '18 Hu Yaozong Rashad Coulter 2.61 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Curtis Blaydes Francis Ngannou 1.53 5 TKO, R1 (0:45) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Poliana Botelho Cynthia Calvillo 1.75 5 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Cezar Ferreira Ian Heinisch 2.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Darren Elkins Ricardo Lamas 3.20 5 TKO, R3 (4:9) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Bartosz Fabinski Michel Prazeres 3.25 5 Sub, R1 (1:2) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Derrick Lewis Daniel Cormier 6.75 2 Sub, R2 (2:14) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '18 Carlo Pedersoli Jr. Alex Oliveira 4.20 1 TKO, R1 (0:39) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '18 Sam Alvey Rogerio Nogueira 1.37 5 TKO, R2 (0:35) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '18 Andrei Arlovski Shamil Abdurakhimov 2.18 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '18 Nikita Krylov Jan Blachowicz 1.95 5 Sub, R2 (2:41) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '18 Cody Stamann Aljamain Sterling 2.18 3 Sub, R2 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Niko Price Abdul Razak Alhassan 2.38 3 TKO, R1 (0:43) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '18 Felice Herrig Michelle Waterson 1.88 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '18 James Gallagher Ricky Bandejas 1.57 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '18 Andre Fili Michael Johnson 2.21 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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