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MMA Handicapper Stats: SubliminalMMA

SubliminalMMA (jpcity)


MMA MHandicapper - SubliminalMMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 106 (43%) Right 40 (62%) Right 20 (31%) Right 46 (40%)
Wrong 139 (57%) Wrong 25 (38%) Wrong 44 (69%) Wrong 70 (60%)
Avg Odds 2.69 Avg Odds 1.99 Avg Odds 4.18 Avg Odds 2.70
Units Bet 434.8 Units Bet 134.5 Units Bet 53.5 Units Bet 246.8
Avg Bet 1.77 Avg Bet 2.07 Avg Bet 0.84 Avg Bet 2.13
Units Profit 66.81 Units Profit 32.87 Units Profit 21.19 Units Profit 12.76
ROI % 15% ROI % 24% ROI % 40% ROI % 5%
View Handicapper's Profile

SubliminalMMA : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 11.5 6.6 58% 7.2 / 5 (145%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 0.9 / 5 (18%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 10.3 -2.4 -24% 0.2 / 2.5 (8%) 1.4 / 3.8 (36%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 17 12.6 74% 4.4 / 2 (220%) -1.7 / 5.5 (-31%) 9.9 / 9.5 (104%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 19.1 12.6 66% 4.6 / 5.5 (84%) -1.0 / 3.1 (-32%) 8.9 / 10.5 (85%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 9.5 -4.8 -51% 2.7 / 2 (133%) -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 1.4 4.1 293% 4.1 / 1.4 (293%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 12.8 8.3 65% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 2.5 / 5.8 (43%) 7.3 / 5.5 (133%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 14.7 -7.0 -48% -1.2 / 7 (-17%) -0.3 / 2.2 (-14%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 24.1 -9.5 -39% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 0.9 / 3.6 (25%) -8.9 / 19 (-47%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 22.5 -4.2 -19% -1.5 / 6.5 (-23%) 1.7 / 1 (175%) -4.4 / 15 (-30%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 12 12.1 101% 8.3 / 9.5 (87%) 1.6 / 0.5 (320%) 2.3 / 2 (114%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 12 -3.8 -32% 1.0 / 3 (33%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -3.8 / 8 (-47%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 19.5 -3.1 -16% -1.8 / 6 (-30%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.3 / 12.5 (-2%)
1st Dec '18 KSW 46 2 1.9 97% 1.9 / 2 (97%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 5.5 0.8 15% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.8 / 4.5 (40%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 5 3.0 60% 3.0 / 5 (60%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 11 5.6 51% 5.0 / 2.5 (199%) 1.8 / 1.5 (117%) -1.1 / 7 (-16%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 9.1 -4.0 -44% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%) 0.6 / 4.5 (13%)
15th Nov '18 Bellator 209 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 13 6.2 48% 4.9 / 4.5 (108%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.8 / 8 (23%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 15 11.7 78% 7.8 / 8 (97%) 3.9 / 7 (56%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 10.5 -7.8 -74% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.3 / 3 (-10%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 1 1.7 175% 1.7 / 1 (175%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 28.5 1.0 4% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 11.0 / 9.5 (115%) -4.9 / 14 (-35%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 11.5 1.1 10% 1.6 / 4 (40%) -0.5 / 7.5 (-6%)
29th Sep '18 Cage Warriors 97 3 1.6 53% 1.6 / 3 (53%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 22.5 0.4 2% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.4 / 20.5 (12%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 12 -3.3 -27% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.3 / 10 (-13%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 14 4.6 33% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 6.5 / 1 (650%) 3.1 / 8 (39%)
1st Sep '18 Cage Warriors 96 2 1.4 72% 1.4 / 2 (72%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 8 5.8 72% 1.3 / 3.5 (36%) 4.5 / 4.5 (100%)
17th Aug '18 Bellator 204 4 2.1 52% 0.8 / 2 (40%) 1.3 / 2 (63%)
7th Aug '18 DWTNCS 16 3 2.0 67% 2.0 / 3 (67%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 3.3 -3.3 -100% -3.3 / 3.3 (-100%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 29 12.0 41% -0.6 / 7 (-8%) 12.6 / 22 (57%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 31 5.2 17% 5.2 / 31 (17%)


Winning Events: 24 (65%)
Losing Events: 13 (35%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.75 units
Most Staked On One Event: 31.00 units
Best Event: 12.57 units
Worst Event: -9.48 units
Average Event: 1.81 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 25.12
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -20.69

SubliminalMMA : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 120.4 20.4 17% 12.3 / 25 (49%) 7.0 / 28.9 (24%) 1.1 / 66.5 (2%) 5 / 4 (56%) 2.27
2018 314.4 46.4 15% 20.6 / 109.5 (19%) 14.2 / 24.6 (58%) 11.7 / 180.3 (6%) 19 / 9 (68%) 1.66

SubliminalMMA : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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SubliminalMMA : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 397.4 52.3 13% 26.7 / 121.5 (22%) 17.1 / 52.1 (33%) 8.5 / 223.8 (4%)
Bellator 22.4 4.5 20% 3.1 / 8 (39%) 4.1 / 1.4 (293%) -2.7 / 13 (-21%)
Other 15 10.0 67% 3.0 / 5 (61%) 7.0 / 10 (70%)

SubliminalMMA : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 18 (28%) 14 78 % 52.00 2.45 0.14 5%
Slight Favorites 8 (12%) 4 50 % 17.50 -2.30 -0.29 -13%
Slight Underdogs 28 (43%) 16 57 % 47.50 18.30 0.65 39%
Big Underdogs 11 (17%) 6 55 % 17.50 14.42 1.31 82%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (11%) 4 57 % 15.50 1.11 0.16 7%
Co-Main Event 12 (18%) 8 67 % 27.00 8.20 0.68 30%
Position 3-5 13 (20%) 8 62 % 25.00 3.45 0.27 14%
6+ (Undercard) 33 (51%) 20 61 % 67.00 20.11 0.61 30%

SubliminalMMA : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (8%) 3 60 % 7.50 0.97 0.19 13%
Light Heavy 7 (11%) 4 57 % 17.00 4.99 0.71 29%
Middleweight 7 (11%) 6 86 % 17.50 10.93 1.56 62%
Welterweight 12 (18%) 6 50 % 22.00 1.02 0.09 5%
Lightweight 16 (25%) 11 69 % 38.00 9.16 0.57 24%
Featherweight 7 (11%) 5 71 % 12.00 8.63 1.23 72%
Bantamweight 6 (9%) 1 17 % 10.50 -7.70 -1.28 -73%
Flyweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 6.00 -0.30 -0.10 -5%
               
Women's Fights 2 (3%) 2 100 % 4.00 5.17 2.59 129%
Bantamweight 2 (3%) 2 100 % 4.00 5.17 2.59 129%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 110 (67%) 87 79 %
Slight Favorites 45 (27%) 26 58 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (2%) 2 50 %
Big Underdogs 5 (3%) 0 0 %
164 115 70 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 79 (38%) 64 81 %
50-65% 33 (16%) 15 45 %
35-50% 35 (17%) 16 46 %
<35% chance 60 (29%) 16 27 %
207 111 54 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (3%) 3 50 % 1.55 2.20Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct -1.9 (-31%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (4%) 4 44 % 2.24 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was incorrect 0.6 (6%)
Goes to Decision 14 (7%) 12 86 % 1.45 2.90Pick was incorrect 1.17Pick was correct 3.0 (21%)
Does not go to Decision 65 (31%) 50 77 % 1.40 3.10Pick was correct 1.10Pick was correct 6.9 (11%)
Fight Starts Round X 5 (2%) 4 80 % 1.26 1.61Pick was incorrect 1.10Pick was incorrect -0.2 (-4%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 2 (1%) 0 0 % 1.57 1.57Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 23 (11%) 7 30 % 3.11 13.00Pick was incorrect 1.20Pick was correct 7.7 (33%)
X Wins by Sub 22 (11%) 7 32 % 3.35 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct -6.3 (-29%)
X Wins by Decision 27 (13%) 9 33 % 2.76 6.50Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was incorrect 3.3 (12%)
X Wins Inside Distance 21 (10%) 10 48 % 1.97 5.50Pick was incorrect 1.20Pick was correct 1.6 (8%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (1%) 0 0 % 4.10 23.00Pick was incorrect 2.25Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 11 (5%) 5 45 % 2.92 23.00Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was correct 0.2 (1%)
207 111 54 % 1.92     10.9 (5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail SubliminalMMA 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 31 5.2 17% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,051.70
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 29 12.0 41% $10.52 $1,051.70 $1,178.17
4th Aug UFC 227 3.3 -3.3 -100% $11.78 $1,178.17 $1,139.29
7th Aug DWTNCS 16 3 2.0 67% $11.39 $1,139.29 $1,162.21
17th Aug Bellator 204 4 2.1 52% $11.62 $1,162.21 $1,186.21
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 8 5.8 72% $11.86 $1,186.21 $1,254.69
1st Sep Cage Warriors 96 2 1.4 72% $12.55 $1,254.69 $1,272.88
8th Sep UFC 228 14 4.6 33% $12.73 $1,272.88 $1,331.39
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 12 -3.3 -27% $13.31 $1,331.39 $1,287.93
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 22.5 0.4 2% $12.88 $1,287.93 $1,293.33
29th Sep Cage Warriors 97 3 1.6 53% $12.93 $1,293.33 $1,313.90
29th Sep Bellator 206 11.5 1.1 10% $13.14 $1,313.90 $1,328.71
6th Oct UFC 229 28.5 1.0 4% $13.29 $1,328.71 $1,342.43
12th Oct Bellator 207 1 1.7 175% $13.42 $1,342.43 $1,365.92
13th Oct Bellator 208 3.5 -3.5 -100% $13.66 $1,365.92 $1,318.12
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 10.5 -7.8 -74% $13.18 $1,318.12 $1,215.30
3rd Nov UFC 230 15 11.7 78% $12.15 $1,215.30 $1,357.32
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 13 6.2 48% $13.57 $1,357.32 $1,441.25
15th Nov Bellator 209 1 -1.0 -100% $14.41 $1,441.25 $1,426.84
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 9.1 -4.0 -44% $14.27 $1,426.84 $1,369.49
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 11 5.6 51% $13.69 $1,369.49 $1,446.03
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 5 3.0 60% $14.46 $1,446.03 $1,489.41
30th Nov TUF Finale 5.5 0.8 15% $14.89 $1,489.41 $1,501.33
1st Dec KSW 46 2 1.9 97% $15.01 $1,501.33 $1,530.53
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 19.5 -3.1 -16% $15.31 $1,530.53 $1,483.76
8th Dec UFC 231 12 -3.8 -32% $14.84 $1,483.76 $1,427.57
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 12 12.1 101% $14.28 $1,427.57 $1,600.82
29th Dec UFC 232 22.5 -4.2 -19% $16.01 $1,600.82 $1,533.61
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 24.1 -9.5 -39% $15.34 $1,533.61 $1,388.19
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 14.7 -7.0 -48% $13.88 $1,388.19 $1,290.88
9th Feb UFC 234 12.8 8.3 65% $12.91 $1,290.88 $1,398.16
16th Feb Bellator 216 1.4 4.1 293% $13.98 $1,398.16 $1,455.49
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 9.5 -4.8 -51% $14.55 $1,455.49 $1,384.89
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 19.1 12.6 66% $13.85 $1,384.89 $1,558.93
2nd Mar UFC 235 17 12.6 74% $15.59 $1,558.93 $1,754.69
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 10.3 -2.4 -24% $17.55 $1,754.69 $1,712.14
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 11.5 6.6 58% $17.12 $1,712.14 $1,825.46


ROI % from starting bank balance: 82.55% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

SubliminalMMA : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Saparbek Safarov Nick Negumereanu 2.87 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Mike Grundy Nad Narimani 3.25 2 TKO, R2 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Niko Price Tim Means 2.70 1 TKO, R1 (4:50) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Diego Sanchez Mickey Gall 3.75 1 TKO, R2 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Kamaru Usman Tyron Woodley 2.65 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '19 Michal Oleksiejczuk Gian Villante 1.50 3 TKO, R1 (1:34) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '19 Dwight Grant Carlo Pedersoli Jr. 2.25 2.5 TKO, R1 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '19 Markus Perez Anthony Hernandez 2.90 2 Sub, R2 (1:7) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Alex Volkanovski Chad Mendes 2.50 2 TKO, R2 (4:14) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Edson Barboza Daniel Hooker 2.00 3 TKO, R3 (2:19) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Joaquim Silva Jared Gordon 2.50 2 TKO, R3 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Mike Rodriguez Adam Milstead 2.70 2.5 TKO, R1 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '18 Elias Theodorou Eryk Anders 2.00 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '18 Wilson Reis Ben Nguyen 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Alistair Overeem Sergey Pavlovich 2.10 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:21) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '18 Yanan Wu Lauren Mueller 4.33 1 Sub, R1 (4:0) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Bobby Moffett Chas Skelly 2.38 1.5 Sub, R2 (2:43) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Donald Cerrone Mike Perry 2.90 2 Sub, R1 (4:46) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '18 Karl Roberson Jack Marshman 1.53 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '18 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Adam Wieczorek 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '19 Gunnar Nelson Leon Edwards 2.30 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Dan Moret Alex White 2.50 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '19 Wuliji Buren Jonathan Martinez 2.62 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '19 Justin Ledet Johnny Walker 3.25 1 TKO, R1 (0:15) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '19 Lyman Good Demian Maia 2.60 2 Sub, R1 (2:38) Yes MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '19 Ricardo Ramos Said Nurmagomedov 1.91 2 TKO, R1 (2:28) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '19 Vinicius Moreira Alonzo Menifield 3.25 1.5 TKO, R1 (3:56) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Andre Ewell Nathaniel Wood 2.10 2 Sub, R3 (4:12) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Bevon Lewis Urijah Hall 2.20 2.5 TKO, R3 (1:32) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Jim Miller Charles Oliveira 3.50 2 Sub, R1 (1:15) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Matthew Lopez Brad Katona 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 Emmanuel Sanchez Patricio Freire 2.30 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '18 Tyson Pedro Mauricio Rua 1.53 4 TKO, R3 (0:43) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Bartosz Fabinski Michel Prazeres 3.50 2 Sub, R1 (1:2) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '18 Thiago Moises Beneil Dariush 2.38 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '18 Marcelo Golm Arjan Bhullar 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '18 Alan Patrick Scott Holtzman 1.40 3 TKO, R3 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '18 Alexander Volkov Derrick Lewis 1.61 2 TKO, R3 (4:49) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '18 Alex White Jim Miller 1.73 2.5 Sub, R1 (1:29) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

SubliminalMMA : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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