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Total MMA Handicappers: 1432
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 577

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: SubliminalMMA

SubliminalMMA (jpcity)


MMA MHandicapper - SubliminalMMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 78 (44%) Right 32 (63%) Right 10 (31%) Right 36 (38%)
Wrong 101 (56%) Wrong 19 (37%) Wrong 22 (69%) Wrong 60 (63%)
Avg Odds 2.58 Avg Odds 1.88 Avg Odds 4.36 Avg Odds 2.75
Units Bet 338.5 Units Bet 111.0 Units Bet 28.2 Units Bet 199.3
Avg Bet 1.89 Avg Bet 2.18 Avg Bet 0.88 Avg Bet 2.08
Units Profit 36.94 Units Profit 19.11 Units Profit 15.07 Units Profit 2.77
ROI % 11% ROI % 17% ROI % 53% ROI % 1%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 24.1 -9.5 -39% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 0.9 / 3.6 (25%) -8.9 / 19 (-47%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 22.5 -4.2 -19% -1.5 / 6.5 (-23%) 1.7 / 1 (175%) -4.4 / 15 (-30%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 12 12.1 101% 8.3 / 9.5 (87%) 1.6 / 0.5 (320%) 2.3 / 2 (114%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 12 -3.8 -32% 1.0 / 3 (33%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -3.8 / 8 (-47%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 19.5 -3.1 -16% -1.8 / 6 (-30%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.3 / 12.5 (-2%)
1st Dec '18 KSW 46 2 1.9 97% 1.9 / 2 (97%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 5.5 0.8 15% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.8 / 4.5 (40%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 5 3.0 60% 3.0 / 5 (60%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 11 5.6 51% 5.0 / 2.5 (199%) 1.8 / 1.5 (117%) -1.1 / 7 (-16%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 9.1 -4.0 -44% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%) 0.6 / 4.5 (13%)
15th Nov '18 Bellator 209 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 13 6.2 48% 4.9 / 4.5 (108%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.8 / 8 (23%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 15 11.7 78% 7.8 / 8 (97%) 3.9 / 7 (56%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 10.5 -7.8 -74% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.3 / 3 (-10%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 1 1.7 175% 1.7 / 1 (175%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 28.5 1.0 4% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 11.0 / 9.5 (115%) -4.9 / 14 (-35%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 11.5 1.1 10% 1.6 / 4 (40%) -0.5 / 7.5 (-6%)
29th Sep '18 Cage Warriors 97 3 1.6 53% 1.6 / 3 (53%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 22.5 0.4 2% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.4 / 20.5 (12%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 12 -3.3 -27% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.3 / 10 (-13%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 14 4.6 33% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 6.5 / 1 (650%) 3.1 / 8 (39%)
1st Sep '18 Cage Warriors 96 2 1.4 72% 1.4 / 2 (72%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 8 5.8 72% 1.3 / 3.5 (36%) 4.5 / 4.5 (100%)
17th Aug '18 Bellator 204 4 2.1 52% 0.8 / 2 (40%) 1.3 / 2 (63%)
7th Aug '18 DWTNCS 16 3 2.0 67% 2.0 / 3 (67%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 3.3 -3.3 -100% -3.3 / 3.3 (-100%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 29 12.0 41% -0.6 / 7 (-8%) 12.6 / 22 (57%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 31 5.2 17% 5.2 / 31 (17%)


Winning Events: 19 (66%)
Losing Events: 10 (34%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 24.1 -9.5 -39% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 0.9 / 3.6 (25%) -8.9 / 19 (-47%) / 1 (0%) -9.48
2018 314.4 46.4 15% 20.6 / 109.5 (19%) 14.2 / 24.6 (58%) 11.7 / 180.3 (6%) 19 / 9 (68%) 1.66

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 302.5 26.5 9% 12.9 / 98 (13%) 15.1 / 28.2 (53%) -1.5 / 176.3 (-1%)
Bellator 21 0.4 2% 3.1 / 8 (39%) -2.7 / 13 (-21%)
Other 15 10.0 67% 3.0 / 5 (61%) 7.0 / 10 (70%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 17 (33%) 13 76 % 49.00 0.95 0.06 2%
Slight Favorites 7 (14%) 4 57 % 15.50 -0.30 -0.04 -2%
Slight Underdogs 21 (41%) 13 62 % 37.00 17.83 0.85 48%
Big Underdogs 6 (12%) 2 33 % 9.50 0.63 0.10 7%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (14%) 4 57 % 15.50 1.11 0.16 7%
Co-Main Event 10 (20%) 7 70 % 25.00 7.55 0.76 30%
Position 3-5 9 (18%) 6 67 % 18.00 3.25 0.36 18%
6+ (Undercard) 25 (49%) 15 60 % 52.50 7.20 0.29 14%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (10%) 3 60 % 7.50 0.97 0.19 13%
Light Heavy 4 (8%) 2 50 % 11.00 0.75 0.19 7%
Middleweight 6 (12%) 5 83 % 15.50 7.13 1.19 46%
Welterweight 6 (12%) 2 33 % 13.50 -5.20 -0.87 -39%
Lightweight 16 (31%) 12 75 % 38.50 11.55 0.72 30%
Featherweight 5 (10%) 3 60 % 8.00 3.24 0.65 40%
Bantamweight 4 (8%) 1 25 % 7.00 -4.20 -1.05 -60%
Flyweight 3 (6%) 2 67 % 6.00 -0.30 -0.10 -5%
               
Women's Fights 2 (4%) 2 100 % 4.00 5.17 2.59 129%
Bantamweight 2 (4%) 2 100 % 4.00 5.17 2.59 129%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 91 (67%) 70 77 %
Slight Favorites 36 (26%) 21 58 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (3%) 2 50 %
Big Underdogs 5 (4%) 0 0 %
136 93 68 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 74 (46%) 60 81 %
50-65% 26 (16%) 9 35 %
35-50% 28 (17%) 13 46 %
<35% chance 33 (20%) 9 27 %
161 91 57 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (4%) 3 50 % 1.55 2.20Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct -1.9 (-31%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 8 (5%) 4 50 % 2.20 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was incorrect 1.6 (20%)
Goes to Decision 14 (9%) 12 86 % 1.45 2.90Pick was incorrect 1.17Pick was correct 3.0 (21%)
Does not go to Decision 55 (34%) 43 78 % 1.38 3.10Pick was correct 1.10Pick was correct 6.1 (11%)
Fight Starts Round X 4 (2%) 3 75 % 1.23 1.61Pick was incorrect 1.10Pick was incorrect -0.6 (-15%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 2 (1%) 0 0 % 1.57 1.57Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 16 (10%) 6 38 % 2.76 13.00Pick was incorrect 1.20Pick was correct 11.6 (73%)
X Wins by Sub 12 (7%) 4 33 % 3.08 9.00Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct -4.2 (-35%)
X Wins by Decision 19 (12%) 5 26 % 2.43 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was incorrect -6.6 (-35%)
X Wins Inside Distance 17 (11%) 8 47 % 1.86 5.00Pick was correct 1.20Pick was correct 1.2 (7%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (1%) 0 0 % 4.10 23.00Pick was incorrect 2.25Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 6 (4%) 3 50 % 2.44 23.00Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was correct -1.7 (-29%)
161 91 57 % 1.76     4.4 (3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 31 5.2 17% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,051.70
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 29 12.0 41% $10.52 $1,051.70 $1,178.17
4th Aug UFC 227 3.3 -3.3 -100% $11.78 $1,178.17 $1,139.29
7th Aug DWTNCS 16 3 2.0 67% $11.39 $1,139.29 $1,162.21
17th Aug Bellator 204 4 2.1 52% $11.62 $1,162.21 $1,186.21
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 8 5.8 72% $11.86 $1,186.21 $1,254.69
1st Sep Cage Warriors 96 2 1.4 72% $12.55 $1,254.69 $1,272.88
8th Sep UFC 228 14 4.6 33% $12.73 $1,272.88 $1,331.39
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 12 -3.3 -27% $13.31 $1,331.39 $1,287.93
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 22.5 0.4 2% $12.88 $1,287.93 $1,293.33
29th Sep Cage Warriors 97 3 1.6 53% $12.93 $1,293.33 $1,313.90
29th Sep Bellator 206 11.5 1.1 10% $13.14 $1,313.90 $1,328.71
6th Oct UFC 229 28.5 1.0 4% $13.29 $1,328.71 $1,342.43
12th Oct Bellator 207 1 1.7 175% $13.42 $1,342.43 $1,365.92
13th Oct Bellator 208 3.5 -3.5 -100% $13.66 $1,365.92 $1,318.12
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 10.5 -7.8 -74% $13.18 $1,318.12 $1,215.30
3rd Nov UFC 230 15 11.7 78% $12.15 $1,215.30 $1,357.32
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 13 6.2 48% $13.57 $1,357.32 $1,441.25
15th Nov Bellator 209 1 -1.0 -100% $14.41 $1,441.25 $1,426.84
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 9.1 -4.0 -44% $14.27 $1,426.84 $1,369.49
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 11 5.6 51% $13.69 $1,369.49 $1,446.03
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 5 3.0 60% $14.46 $1,446.03 $1,489.41
30th Nov TUF Finale 5.5 0.8 15% $14.89 $1,489.41 $1,501.33
1st Dec KSW 46 2 1.9 97% $15.01 $1,501.33 $1,530.53
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 19.5 -3.1 -16% $15.31 $1,530.53 $1,483.76
8th Dec UFC 231 12 -3.8 -32% $14.84 $1,483.76 $1,427.57
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 12 12.1 101% $14.28 $1,427.57 $1,600.82
29th Dec UFC 232 22.5 -4.2 -19% $16.01 $1,600.82 $1,533.61
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 24.1 -9.5 -39% $15.34 $1,533.61 $1,388.19


ROI % from starting bank balance: 38.82% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Alex Volkanovski Chad Mendes 2.50 2 TKO, R2 (4:14) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Edson Barboza Daniel Hooker 2.00 3 TKO, R3 (2:19) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Joaquim Silva Jared Gordon 2.50 2 TKO, R3 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Mike Rodriguez Adam Milstead 2.70 2.5 TKO, R1 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Elias Theodorou Eryk Anders 2.00 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Wilson Reis Ben Nguyen 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Alistair Overeem Sergey Pavlovich 2.10 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:21) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Yanan Wu Lauren Mueller 4.33 1 Sub, R1 (4:0) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Bobby Moffett Chas Skelly 2.38 1.5 Sub, R2 (2:43) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Donald Cerrone Mike Perry 2.90 2 Sub, R1 (4:46) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Karl Roberson Jack Marshman 1.53 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Adam Wieczorek 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Ronaldo Souza Chris Weidman 2.50 1 TKO, R3 (2:46) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Ronaldo Souza Chris Weidman 2.20 2 TKO, R3 (2:46) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '18 Mandel Nallo Carrington Banks 2.75 1 TKO, R2 (0:57) MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '18 Mason Jones Kacper Formela 1.53 3 TKO, R1 (4:3) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Gegard Mousasi Rory MacDonald 1.40 4 TKO, R2 (3:23) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '18 Soren Bak Paddy Pimblett 1.72 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '18 Darrion Caldwell Noad Lahat 1.40 2 TKO, R2 (2:45) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '18 Justin Gaethje James Vick 2.38 2 TKO, R1 (1:27) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jan '19 Vinicius Moreira Alonzo Menifield 3.25 1.5 TKO, R1 (3:56) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Andre Ewell Nathaniel Wood 2.10 2 Sub, R3 (4:12) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Bevon Lewis Urijah Hall 2.20 2.5 TKO, R3 (1:32) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Jim Miller Charles Oliveira 3.50 2 Sub, R1 (1:15) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Matthew Lopez Brad Katona 3.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Emmanuel Sanchez Patricio Freire 2.30 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Tyson Pedro Mauricio Rua 1.53 4 TKO, R3 (0:43) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Bartosz Fabinski Michel Prazeres 3.50 2 Sub, R1 (1:2) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Thiago Moises Beneil Dariush 2.38 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '18 Marcelo Golm Arjan Bhullar 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '18 Alan Patrick Scott Holtzman 1.40 3 TKO, R3 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '18 Alexander Volkov Derrick Lewis 1.61 2 TKO, R3 (4:49) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '18 Alex White Jim Miller 1.73 2.5 Sub, R1 (1:29) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '18 Darren Till Tyron Woodley 2.00 2.5 Sub, R2 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '18 Andre Fili Michael Johnson 2.00 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '18 Matheus Nicolau Dustin Ortiz 1.53 3 TKO, R1 (3:49) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '18 Jake Ellenberger Ben Saunders 1.53 3 TKO, R1 (1:56) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '18 Jimmie Rivera Marlon Moraes 1.83 2 TKO, R1 (0:33) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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