MMA Handicapper Stats: fightoftheday |
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fightoftheday : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
| 23rd Mar '19 |
UFC Fight Night 148 |
9 |
-5.0 |
-56% |
-3.5 / 7.5 (-47%) |
|
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
| 3rd Nov '18 |
UFC 230 |
14.25 |
1.1 |
8% |
1.1 / 14.25 (8%) |
|
|
| 13th Oct '18 |
Bellator 208 |
6.5 |
-6.5 |
-100% |
-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) |
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| 6th Oct '18 |
UFC 229 |
26 |
-3.9 |
-15% |
-3.9 / 26 (-15%) |
|
|
| 29th Sep '18 |
Bellator 206 |
18.5 |
3.9 |
21% |
-1.4 / 12 (-11%) |
|
5.3 / 6.5 (81%) |
| 22nd Sep '18 |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
33.5 |
22.8 |
68% |
14.9 / 21 (71%) |
2.2 / 10 (22%) |
5.7 / 2.5 (228%) |
| 15th Sep '18 |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
38.5 |
-22.4 |
-58% |
-14.9 / 31 (-48%) |
|
-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%) |
| 25th Aug '18 |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
38.7 |
0.5 |
1% |
1.3 / 27.2 (5%) |
3.2 / 7.5 (43%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
| 4th Aug '18 |
UFC 227 |
43 |
5.1 |
12% |
4.1 / 35 (12%) |
|
1.0 / 8 (12%) |
| 28th Jul '18 |
UFC on Fox 30 |
19 |
2.8 |
15% |
2.8 / 19 (15%) |
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| 22nd Jul '18 |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
23.95 |
5.6 |
23% |
5.6 / 23.95 (23%) |
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| 14th Jul '18 |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
10.4 |
3.5 |
34% |
3.5 / 10.4 (34%) |
|
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| 10th Jul '18 |
DWTNCS 12 |
2.25 |
2.6 |
115% |
2.6 / 2.25 (115%) |
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| 7th Jul '18 |
UFC 226 |
20.5 |
5.5 |
27% |
9.5 / 16.5 (57%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
|
| 7th Jul '18 |
TUF 27 Finale |
8 |
-1.5 |
-19% |
1.5 / 5 (30%) |
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-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
| 23rd Jun '18 |
UFC Fight Night 132 |
20 |
-5.1 |
-25% |
0.4 / 14.5 (3%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
| 9th Jun '18 |
UFC 225 |
19 |
5.8 |
31% |
5.8 / 19 (31%) |
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| 1st Jun '18 |
UFC Fight Night 131 |
9 |
-9.0 |
-100% |
-9.0 / 9 (-100%) |
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| 27th May '18 |
UFC Fight Night 130 |
26.25 |
-2.9 |
-11% |
4.1 / 19.25 (21%) |
-3.0 / 3 (-100%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
Winning Events: 11 (58%)
Losing Events: 8 (42%)
Average Staked Per Event: 20.33 units
Most Staked On One Event: 43.00 units
Best Event: 22.79 units
Worst Event: -22.40 units
Average Event: 0.16 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 26.71
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -22.40 |
fightoftheday : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2019 |
9 |
-5.0 |
-56% |
-3.5 / 7.5 (-47%) |
|
-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) |
/ 1 (0%) |
-5.00 |
| 2018 |
377.3 |
8.0 |
2% |
21.6 / 311.8 (7%) |
-4.6 / 27.5 (-17%) |
-9.1 / 38 (-24%) |
11 / 7 (61%) |
0.44 |
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fightoftheday : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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fightoftheday : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
359.05 |
3.0 |
1% |
23.4 / 298.55 (8%) |
-4.6 / 27.5 (-17%) |
-15.9 / 33 (-48%) |
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Bellator |
25 |
-2.6 |
-10% |
-7.9 / 18.5 (-42%) |
|
5.3 / 6.5 (81%) |
| Other |
2.25 |
2.6 |
115% |
2.6 / 2.25 (115%) |
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fightoftheday : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
29 (43%) |
24 |
83 % |
182.40 |
25.96 |
0.90 |
14% |
| Slight Favorites |
15 (22%) |
6 |
40 % |
59.90 |
-14.69 |
-0.98 |
-25% |
| Slight Underdogs |
12 (18%) |
6 |
50 % |
46.25 |
2.51 |
0.21 |
5% |
| Big Underdogs |
12 (18%) |
3 |
25 % |
30.75 |
4.35 |
0.36 |
14% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
12 (18%) |
7 |
58 % |
61.95 |
-1.19 |
-0.10 |
-2% |
| Co-Main Event |
7 (10%) |
2 |
29 % |
32.00 |
-17.11 |
-2.44 |
-53% |
| Position 3-5 |
22 (32%) |
12 |
55 % |
104.95 |
-1.48 |
-0.07 |
-1% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
27 (40%) |
18 |
67 % |
120.40 |
37.91 |
1.40 |
31% |
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fightoftheday : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
8 (12%) |
4 |
50 % |
49.45 |
-2.06 |
-0.26 |
-4% |
| Light Heavy |
7 (10%) |
3 |
43 % |
38.20 |
-9.81 |
-1.40 |
-26% |
| Middleweight |
9 (13%) |
7 |
78 % |
49.75 |
19.04 |
2.12 |
38% |
| Welterweight |
12 (18%) |
6 |
50 % |
33.75 |
7.53 |
0.63 |
22% |
| Lightweight |
9 (13%) |
7 |
78 % |
54.50 |
7.45 |
0.83 |
14% |
| Featherweight |
8 (12%) |
6 |
75 % |
34.70 |
11.06 |
1.38 |
32% |
| Bantamweight |
6 (9%) |
4 |
67 % |
24.20 |
8.42 |
1.40 |
35% |
| Flyweight |
4 (6%) |
1 |
25 % |
19.75 |
-14.91 |
-3.73 |
-76% |
| |
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| Women's Fights |
5 (7%) |
1 |
20 % |
15.00 |
-8.60 |
-1.72 |
-57% |
| Flyweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
| Strawweight |
4 (6%) |
1 |
25 % |
13.00 |
-6.60 |
-1.65 |
-51% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
14 (64%) |
12 |
86 % |
| Slight Favorites |
4 (18%) |
1 |
25 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
4 (18%) |
2 |
50 % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
22 |
15 |
68 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
6 (67%) |
4 |
67 % |
| 50-65% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 35-50% |
3 (33%) |
0 |
0 % |
| <35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
9 |
4 |
44 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Does not go to Decision |
8 (89%) |
4 |
50 % |
1.47 |
2.05 |
1.20 |
-2.7 (-34%) |
| X Wins by KO |
1 (11%) |
0 |
0 % |
2.05 |
2.05 |
2.05 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
|
9 |
4 |
44 % |
1.51 |
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-3.7 (-41%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail fightoftheday 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 27th May |
UFC Fight Night 130 |
26.25 |
-2.9 |
-11% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$971.00 |
| 1st Jun |
UFC Fight Night 131 |
9 |
-9.0 |
-100% |
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$9.71 |
$971.00 |
$883.61 |
| 9th Jun |
UFC 225 |
19 |
5.8 |
31% |
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$8.84 |
$883.61 |
$935.21 |
| 23rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night 132 |
20 |
-5.1 |
-25% |
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$9.35 |
$935.21 |
$887.80 |
| 7th Jul |
TUF 27 Finale |
8 |
-1.5 |
-19% |
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$8.88 |
$887.80 |
$874.48 |
| 7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
20.5 |
5.5 |
27% |
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$8.74 |
$874.48 |
$922.14 |
| 10th Jul |
DWTNCS 12 |
2.25 |
2.6 |
115% |
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$9.22 |
$922.14 |
$946.00 |
| 14th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
10.4 |
3.5 |
34% |
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$9.46 |
$946.00 |
$979.36 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
23.95 |
5.6 |
23% |
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$9.79 |
$979.36 |
$1,033.88 |
| 28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
19 |
2.8 |
15% |
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$10.34 |
$1,033.88 |
$1,063.09 |
| 4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
43 |
5.1 |
12% |
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$10.63 |
$1,063.09 |
$1,117.10 |
| 25th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
38.7 |
0.5 |
1% |
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$11.17 |
$1,117.10 |
$1,122.89 |
| 15th Sep |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
38.5 |
-22.4 |
-58% |
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$11.23 |
$1,122.89 |
$871.37 |
| 22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
33.5 |
22.8 |
68% |
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$8.71 |
$871.37 |
$1,069.95 |
| 29th Sep |
Bellator 206 |
18.5 |
3.9 |
21% |
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$10.70 |
$1,069.95 |
$1,111.90 |
| 6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
26 |
-3.9 |
-15% |
|
$11.12 |
$1,111.90 |
$1,068.54 |
| 13th Oct |
Bellator 208 |
6.5 |
-6.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,068.54 |
$999.08 |
| 3rd Nov |
UFC 230 |
14.25 |
1.1 |
8% |
|
$9.99 |
$999.08 |
$1,010.57 |
| 23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night 148 |
9 |
-5.0 |
-56% |
|
$10.11 |
$1,010.57 |
$960.04 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.00% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
fightoftheday : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
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| 1. |
Mar '19 |
Anthony Pettis |
Stephen Thompson |
4.00 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (4:55) |
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| 2. |
Oct '18 |
Tony Martin |
Ryan LaFlare |
2.90 |
4 |
TKO, R3 (1:0) |
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| 3. |
Sep '18 |
Quinton Jackson |
Wanderlei Silva |
1.52 |
7 |
TKO, R2 (4:32) |
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| 4. |
Sep '18 |
Thales Leites |
Hector Lombard |
2.10 |
8 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 5. |
Sep '18 |
Francisco Trinaldo |
Evan Dunham |
1.30 |
7.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:12) |
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| 6. |
Sep '18 |
Thiago Santos |
Eryk Anders |
1.70 |
5.5 |
TKO, R3 (5:0) |
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| 7. |
Nov '18 |
Israel Adesanya |
Derek Brunson |
1.40 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (4:51) |
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| 8. |
Oct '18 |
Tony Ferguson |
Anthony Pettis |
1.40 |
7.5 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
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| 9. |
Sep '18 |
Alexey Kunchenko |
Thiago Alves |
1.22 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 10. |
Sep '18 |
Mairbek Taisumov |
Desmond Green |
1.25 |
8 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 11. |
Aug '18 |
Mickey Gall |
George Sullivan |
1.36 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (1:11) |
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| 12. |
Aug '18 |
Andrew Sanchez |
Markus Perez |
2.15 |
6 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 13. |
Aug '18 |
Cory Sandhagen |
Yuri Alcantara |
1.42 |
3.2 |
TKO, R2 (1:1) |
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| 14. |
Aug '18 |
Michael Johnson |
Andre Fili |
1.70 |
2.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 15. |
Aug '18 |
Sheymon da Silva Moraes |
Matt Sayles |
1.95 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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| 16. |
Aug '18 |
Ricardo Ramos |
Kyung Ho Kang |
1.40 |
7 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
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| 17. |
Aug '18 |
Renato Moicano |
Cub Swanson |
1.28 |
8 |
Sub, R1 (4:15) |
|
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| 18. |
Aug '18 |
T.J. Dillashaw |
Cody Garbrandt |
1.88 |
6 |
TKO, R1 (4:10) |
|
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| 19. |
Jul '18 |
John Makdessi |
Ross Pearson |
1.50 |
8.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 20. |
Jul '18 |
Dustin Poirier |
Eddie Alvarez |
1.65 |
5.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:5) |
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Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Mar '19 |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
Jussier Formiga |
1.65 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Mar '19 |
Angela Hill |
Randa Markos |
1.65 |
1.5 |
Sub, R1 (4:24) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Nov '18 |
Julio Arce |
Sheymon da Silva Moraes |
1.35 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Nov '18 |
Derrick Lewis |
Daniel Cormier |
5.40 |
1.25 |
Sub, R2 (2:14) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Oct '18 |
Chael Sonnen |
Fedor Emelianenko |
3.00 |
6.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:45) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Oct '18 |
Alexander Volkov |
Derrick Lewis |
1.57 |
4.5 |
TKO, R3 (4:49) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Sep '18 |
Rory MacDonald |
Gegard Mousasi |
3.20 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:23) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Oct '18 |
Conor McGregor |
Khabib Nurmagomedov |
2.40 |
10 |
Sub, R4 (3:2) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Sep '18 |
Mark Hunt |
Aleksei Oleinik |
1.47 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (4:26) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Sep '18 |
Nikita Krylov |
Jan Blachowicz |
1.91 |
7 |
Sub, R2 (2:41) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Aug '18 |
John Moraga |
Deiveson Figueiredo |
2.30 |
4.5 |
TKO, R2 (3:8) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Aug '18 |
Jake Ellenberger |
Bryan Barberena |
5.45 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:14) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Aug '18 |
Angela Hill |
Cortney Casey |
1.72 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Aug '18 |
Brett Johns |
Pedro Munhoz |
2.90 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Aug '18 |
Demetrious Johnson |
Henry Cejudo |
1.15 |
8 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Jul '18 |
Kajan Johnson |
Islam Makhachev |
5.25 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (4:43) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Jul '18 |
Tecia Torres |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
3.35 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Jul '18 |
Jeremy Stephens |
Jose Aldo |
2.05 |
2.5 |
TKO, R1 (4:19) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Jul '18 |
Justin Ledet |
Aleksandar Rakic |
1.87 |
2.2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Jul '18 |
David Zawada |
Danny Roberts |
4.10 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
fightoftheday : Progress Chart |
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