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MMA Handicapper Stats: ceelogreen

ceelogreen (ceelogreen)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - ceelogreen

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 13 (42%) Right 13 (46%) Right 0 (0%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 18 (58%) Wrong 15 (54%) Wrong 1 (100%) Wrong 2 (100%)
Avg Odds 1.89 Avg Odds 1.74 Avg Odds 8.00 Avg Odds 12.16
Units Bet 59.2 Units Bet 56.2 Units Bet 1.0 Units Bet 2.0
Avg Bet 1.91 Avg Bet 2.01 Avg Bet 1.00 Avg Bet 1.00
Units Profit -14.21 Units Profit -11.21 Units Profit -1.00 Units Profit -2.00
ROI % -24% ROI % -20% ROI % -100% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

ceelogreen : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 11 10.5 95% 10.5 / 11 (95%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 11 -11.0 -100% -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
19th Jun '18 DWTNCS 10 11 -3.7 -34% -2.7 / 10 (-27%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 5.2 -5.2 -100% -5.2 / 5.2 (-100%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 5 1.3 26% 1.3 / 5 (26%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 5.5 -1.7 -30% -1.7 / 5.5 (-30%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 7.5 -1.4 -18% 0.6 / 5.5 (12%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)


Winning Events: 2 (25%)
Losing Events: 6 (75%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.40 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.00 units
Best Event: 10.48 units
Worst Event: -11.00 units
Average Event: -1.78 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 10.48
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -22.93

ceelogreen : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 59.2 -14.2 -24% -11.2 / 56.2 (-20%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2 / 6 (25%) -1.78

ceelogreen : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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ceelogreen : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 48.2 -10.5 -22% -8.5 / 46.2 (-18%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
Other 11 -3.7 -34% -2.7 / 10 (-27%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)

ceelogreen : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 10 (36%) 7 70 % 16.00 -1.82 -0.18 -11%
Slight Favorites 8 (29%) 5 63 % 19.20 9.20 1.15 48%
Slight Underdogs 7 (25%) 1 14 % 17.00 -14.60 -2.09 -86%
Big Underdogs 3 (11%) 0 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -1.33 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 5 (18%) 4 80 % 26.00 0.94 0.19 4%
Co-Main Event 3 (11%) 0 0 % 4.20 -4.20 -1.40 -100%
Position 3-5 8 (29%) 3 38 % 13.00 -5.31 -0.66 -41%
6+ (Undercard) 12 (43%) 6 50 % 13.00 -2.64 -0.22 -20%

ceelogreen : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (11%) 1 33 % 3.00 -0.60 -0.20 -20%
Light Heavy 3 (11%) 1 33 % 5.00 -2.67 -0.89 -53%
Middleweight 2 (7%) 1 50 % 2.50 0.11 0.06 4%
Welterweight 5 (18%) 2 40 % 8.20 -2.85 -0.57 -35%
Lightweight 4 (14%) 1 25 % 15.00 -13.67 -3.42 -91%
Featherweight 3 (11%) 2 67 % 14.00 10.02 3.34 72%
Bantamweight 3 (11%) 1 33 % 4.00 -2.20 -0.73 -55%
Flyweight 2 (7%) 2 100 % 1.50 1.02 0.51 68%
               
Women's Fights 3 (11%) 2 67 % 3.00 -0.38 -0.13 -13%
Bantamweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.00 0.12 0.12 12%
Bantamweight 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.00 0.50 0.50 50%
Strawweight 1 (4%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 4 (44%) 3 75 %
Slight Favorites 1 (11%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (22%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 2 (22%) 0 0 %
9 4 44 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 1 (100%) 0 0 %
1 0 0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins in Round X 1 (100%) 0 0 % 8.00 8.00Pick was incorrect 8.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
1 0 0 % 8.00     -1.0 (-100%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail ceelogreen 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
12th May UFC 224 7.5 -1.4 -18% $10.00 $1,000.00 $986.36
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 5.5 -1.7 -30% $9.86 $986.36 $969.82
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 5 1.3 26% $9.70 $969.82 $982.22
9th Jun UFC 225 5.2 -5.2 -100% $9.82 $982.22 $931.14
19th Jun DWTNCS 10 11 -3.7 -34% $9.31 $931.14 $896.45
8th Sep UFC 228 3 -3.0 -100% $8.96 $896.45 $869.55
6th Oct UFC 229 11 -11.0 -100% $8.70 $869.55 $773.90
8th Dec UFC 231 11 10.5 95% $7.74 $773.90 $854.98


ROI % from starting bank balance: -14.50% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

ceelogreen : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Max Holloway Brian Ortega 1.95 11 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '18 Dwight Grant Tyler Hill 1.20 2 TKO, R2 (2:8) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '18 Ryan Spann Emiliano Sordi 1.17 2 TKO, R1 (0:26) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '18 Matt Sayles Yazan Hajeh 1.27 2 TKO, R1 (1:57) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '18 Jose Torres Jarred Brooks 1.65 1 TKO, R2 (2:55) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '18 Sijara Eubanks Lauren Murphy 1.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '18 David Teymur Nik Lentz 1.33 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '18 Marlon Moraes Jimmie Rivera 1.80 1 TKO, R1 (0:33) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '18 Alexandre Pantoja Brandon Moreno 1.74 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. May '18 Vicente Luque Chad Laprise 1.48 2 TKO, R1 (4:16) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '18 Aleksei Oleinik Junior Albini 2.40 1 Sub, R1 (1:45) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '18 Amanda Nunes Raquel Pennington 1.12 1 TKO, R5 (2:36) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '18 Jack Hermansson Thales Leites 1.74 1.5 TKO, R3 (2:10) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '18 Craig White Diego Sanchez 1.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '18 John Dodson Jimmie Rivera 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '18 Conor McGregor Khabib Nurmagomedov 2.85 11 Sub, R4 (3:2) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '18 Giga Chikadze Austin Springer 1.27 2 Sub, R3 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '18 Jordan Wright Anthony Hernandez 3.30 2 TKO, R1 (0:40) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '18 Rafael dos Anjos Colby Covington 2.00 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '18 Andrei Arlovski Tai Tuivasa 3.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jun '18 Alistair Overeem Curtis Blaydes 2.40 1 TKO, R3 (2:56) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jun '18 Ricardo Lamas Mirsad Bektic 2.75 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '18 Rafael dos Anjos Colby Covington 1.83 1.2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '18 Gian Villante Sam Alvey 2.30 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. May '18 Felipe Silva Claudio Puelles 1.32 1 Sub, R3 (2:23) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '18 Diego Rivas Guido Cannetti 1.59 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. May '18 Karl Roberson Cezar Ferreira 1.87 1 Sub, R1 (4:45) No MMA Bookmaker
15. May '18 Amanda Cooper Mackenzie Dern 3.00 1 Sub, R1 (2:27) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

ceelogreen : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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