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MMA Handicapper Stats: vegeta

vegeta (annen)


MMA MHandicapper - vegeta

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 42 (27%) Right 7 (37%) Right 6 (22%) Right 29 (27%)
Wrong 113 (73%) Wrong 12 (63%) Wrong 21 (78%) Wrong 80 (73%)
Avg Odds 3.57 Avg Odds 2.45 Avg Odds 3.93 Avg Odds 3.79
Units Bet 309.8 Units Bet 41.9 Units Bet 31.5 Units Bet 236.3
Avg Bet 2.00 Avg Bet 2.21 Avg Bet 1.17 Avg Bet 2.17
Units Profit 20.91 Units Profit -0.41 Units Profit 1.84 Units Profit 19.49
ROI % 7% ROI % -1% ROI % 6% ROI % 8%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
31st Dec '18 PFL 11: Finals 4.75 -4.8 -100% -4.8 / 4.75 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 4.07 -4.1 -100% -1.0 / 1.01 (-100%) -3.1 / 3.06 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 6.25 -6.3 -100% -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 8.5 1.5 17% 1.2 / 4 (31%) 3.5 / 1.25 (280%) -3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 8.75 -8.8 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -6.3 / 6.25 (-100%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 5.25 -5.3 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 11.46 -0.3 -3% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.7 / 9.46 (18%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 4.5 4.1 91% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 5.6 / 3 (186%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 21.04 -16.3 -78% -3.0 / 3.04 (-100%) -0.5 / 5.25 (-10%) -12.8 / 12.75 (-100%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 26.5 3.7 14% 4.2 / 3 (140%) 0.5 / 2.5 (20%) -1.0 / 21 (-5%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 7.38 -7.4 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -6.4 / 6.38 (-100%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 16.87 7.7 46% 2.4 / 1.48 (162%) 5.4 / 10.89 (50%) -0.1 / 4.5 (-3%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 2.5 2.1 83% 2.1 / 2.5 (83%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 7.25 3.7 51% 3.7 / 7.25 (51%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 14.97 -8.0 -54% -4.2 / 4.2 (-100%) -3.8 / 10.77 (-36%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 15 1.1 7% 1.1 / 15 (7%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 17.23 -7.9 -46% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -6.9 / 16.23 (-43%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 27.51 51.3 186% 9.2 / 5.5 (167%) 42.1 / 22.01 (191%)
31st Jul '18 DWTNCS 15 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 12.46 2.4 19% -2.5 / 2.46 (-100%) 4.9 / 10 (49%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 3 2.9 98% 3.4 / 2.5 (137%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 11.18 5.3 48% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 9.3 / 7.18 (130%)
10th Jul '18 DWTNCS 12 1.5 1.5 101% 1.5 / 1.5 (101%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 15.89 -11.3 -71% 1.1 / 3.5 (31%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -10.9 / 10.89 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 5 5.4 107% 5.4 / 5 (107%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 5.5 -5.5 -100% -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 12.47 -5.7 -46% -5.7 / 12.47 (-46%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 6.27 8.2 131% 8.2 / 6.27 (131%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 6.84 9.2 134% -1.8 / 1.84 (-100%) 11.0 / 5 (220%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 12.87 9.6 74% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 10.1 / 12.37 (82%)


Winning Events: 16 (52%)
Losing Events: 15 (48%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 309.76 20.9 7% -0.4 / 41.94 (-1%) 1.8 / 31.48 (6%) 19.5 / 236.34 (8%) 16 / 15 (52%) 0.67

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 294.01 29.1 10% -0.4 / 41.94 (-1%) -0.2 / 28.98 (-1%) 29.7 / 223.09 (13%)
Bellator 7.5 -2.9 -39% 2.1 / 2.5 (83%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
PFL 4.75 -4.8 -100% -4.8 / 4.75 (-100%)
Other 3.5 -0.5 -14% -0.5 / 3.5 (-14%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0%
Slight Favorites 2 (11%) 2 100 % 6.75 5.67 2.84 84%
Slight Underdogs 13 (68%) 4 31 % 30.44 -8.84 -0.68 -29%
Big Underdogs 4 (21%) 1 25 % 4.75 2.75 0.69 58%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 1 (5%) 1 100 % 2.75 2.47 2.47 90%
Co-Main Event 2 (11%) 2 100 % 4.50 10.20 5.10 227%
Position 3-5 9 (47%) 1 11 % 20.24 -15.64 -1.74 -77%
6+ (Undercard) 7 (37%) 3 43 % 14.45 2.55 0.36 18%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (5%) 0 % 4.20 -4.20 -4.20 -100%
Middleweight 2 (11%) 1 50 % 6.00 1.20 0.60 20%
Welterweight 6 (32%) 2 33 % 9.49 -1.01 -0.17 -11%
Lightweight 3 (16%) 1 33 % 6.29 -0.36 -0.12 -6%
Featherweight 4 (21%) 1 25 % 8.00 -2.78 -0.69 -35%
Bantamweight 1 (5%) 1 100 % 4.00 3.20 3.20 80%
Flyweight 1 (5%) 1 100 % 1.50 6.00 6.00 400%
               
Women's Fights 1 (5%) 0 % 2.46 -2.46 -2.46 -100%
Strawweight 1 (5%) 0 % 2.46 -2.46 -2.46 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 124 (63%) 95 77 %
Slight Favorites 53 (27%) 32 60 %
Slight Underdogs 19 (10%) 9 47 %
Big Underdogs 1 (1%) 0 0 %
197 136 69 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 67 (34%) 45 67 %
50-65% 65 (33%) 46 71 %
35-50% 31 (16%) 16 52 %
<35% chance 33 (17%) 9 27 %
196 116 59 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 21 (11%) 15 71 % 1.65 2.10Pick was incorrect 1.36Pick was correct 3.7 (18%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 20 (10%) 14 70 % 1.66 2.40Pick was incorrect 1.22Pick was correct 2.4 (12%)
Goes to Decision 1 (1%) 1 100 % 2.75 2.75Pick was correct 2.75Pick was correct 1.7 (175%)
Does not go to Decision 42 (21%) 27 64 % 1.54 2.62Pick was correct 1.20Pick was correct 0.8 (2%)
Fight Starts Round X 2 (1%) 2 100 % 1.38 1.38Pick was correct 1.38Pick was incorrect 0.8 (38%)
X Wins by KO 16 (8%) 7 44 % 1.90 2.75Pick was correct 1.50Pick was correct -1.9 (-12%)
X Does NOT Win by KO 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.27 1.27Pick was correct 1.27Pick was correct 0.3 (27%)
X Wins by Sub 8 (4%) 5 63 % 3.04 5.00Pick was incorrect 2.30Pick was incorrect 6.4 (80%)
X Wins by Decision 7 (4%) 4 57 % 2.19 5.20Pick was incorrect 1.66Pick was correct 0.3 (5%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision 5 (3%) 4 80 % 1.33 1.40Pick was correct 1.22Pick was correct 0.3 (5%)
X Wins Inside Distance 52 (27%) 26 50 % 1.91 7.80Pick was incorrect 1.28Pick was incorrect -1.6 (-3%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 9 (5%) 9 100 % 1.57 1.95Pick was correct 1.28Pick was correct 5.6 (62%)
X Wins in Round X 9 (5%) 1 11 % 9.11 34.00Pick was incorrect 2.25Pick was incorrect 10.0 (111%)
Others 3 (2%) 0 0 % 7.26 9.50Pick was incorrect 6.50Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
196 116 59 % 1.83     25.8 (13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
12th May UFC 224 12.87 9.6 74% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,095.82
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 6.84 9.2 134% $10.96 $1,095.82 $1,196.20
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 6.27 8.2 131% $11.96 $1,196.20 $1,294.55
9th Jun UFC 225 12.47 -5.7 -46% $12.95 $1,294.55 $1,220.16
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 5.5 -5.5 -100% $12.20 $1,220.16 $1,153.05
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 5 5.4 107% $11.53 $1,153.05 $1,215.02
7th Jul UFC 226 15.89 -11.3 -71% $12.15 $1,215.02 $1,077.85
10th Jul DWTNCS 12 1.5 1.5 101% $10.78 $1,077.85 $1,094.17
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 11.18 5.3 48% $10.94 $1,094.17 $1,152.57
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 3 2.9 98% $11.53 $1,152.57 $1,186.28
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 12.46 2.4 19% $11.86 $1,186.28 $1,214.69
31st Jul DWTNCS 15 2 -2.0 -100% $12.15 $1,214.69 $1,190.40
4th Aug UFC 227 27.51 51.3 186% $11.90 $1,190.40 $1,800.56
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 17.23 -7.9 -46% $18.01 $1,800.56 $1,657.53
8th Sep UFC 228 15 1.1 7% $16.58 $1,657.53 $1,675.20
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 14.97 -8.0 -54% $16.75 $1,675.20 $1,540.68
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 7.25 3.7 51% $15.41 $1,540.68 $1,597.29
29th Sep Bellator 206 2.5 2.1 83% $15.97 $1,597.29 $1,630.43
6th Oct UFC 229 16.87 7.7 46% $16.30 $1,630.43 $1,755.59
12th Oct Bellator 207 5 -5.0 -100% $17.56 $1,755.59 $1,667.81
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 7.38 -7.4 -100% $16.68 $1,667.81 $1,544.72
3rd Nov UFC 230 26.5 3.7 14% $15.45 $1,544.72 $1,601.66
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 21.04 -16.3 -78% $16.02 $1,601.66 $1,340.11
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 4.5 4.1 91% $13.40 $1,340.11 $1,394.79
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 11.46 -0.3 -3% $13.95 $1,394.79 $1,390.64
30th Nov TUF Finale 5.25 -5.3 -100% $13.91 $1,390.64 $1,317.63
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 8.75 -8.8 -100% $13.18 $1,317.63 $1,202.34
8th Dec UFC 231 8.5 1.5 17% $12.02 $1,202.34 $1,220.08
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 6.25 -6.3 -100% $12.20 $1,220.08 $1,143.82
29th Dec UFC 232 4.07 -4.1 -100% $11.44 $1,143.82 $1,097.27
31st Dec PFL 11: Finals 4.75 -4.8 -100% $10.97 $1,097.27 $1,045.15


ROI % from starting bank balance: 4.51% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Max Holloway Brian Ortega 1.90 2.75 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '18 Ronaldo Souza Chris Weidman 2.40 3 TKO, R3 (2:46) MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '18 Tony Martin Ryan LaFlare 2.62 1.48 TKO, R3 (1:0) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '18 Ricky Simon Montel Jackson 1.80 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '18 Henry Cejudo Demetrious Johnson 5.00 1.5 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '18 Damir Hadzovic Nick Hein 2.37 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '18 Mike Perry Paul Felder 2.30 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 Siyar Bahadurzada Curtis Millender 2.25 1.01 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Jim Miller Charles Oliveira 3.50 0.75 Sub, R1 (1:15) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Kyle Bochniak Hakeem Dawodu 2.62 1.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '18 Darren Stewart Edmen Shahbazyan 2.00 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '18 David Zawada Li Jingliang 2.40 2 TKO, R3 (4:7) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 2.87 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Thiago Moises Beneil Dariush 2.50 3.04 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '18 Andrei Arlovski Shamil Abdurakhimov 2.10 4.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '18 Randa Markos Nina Ansaroff 2.25 2.46 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '18 Darren Elkins Alex Volkanovski 3.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '18 Myles Jury Chad Mendes 2.40 3 TKO, R1 (2:52) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '18 Max Griffin Curtis Millender 2.37 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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