MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6358
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2347

MMA Handicapper Stats: akatako diary

akatako diary (akatakodiary)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	282 (58%)	Right	229 (56%)	Right	40 (68%)	Right	13 (72%)
Wrong	203 (42%)	Wrong	179 (44%)	Wrong	19 (32%)	Wrong	5 (28%)
Avg Odds	1.68	Avg Odds	1.70	Avg Odds	1.59	Avg Odds	1.54
Units Bet	1,792.7	Units Bet	1,519.2	Units Bet	211.5	Units Bet	62.0
Avg Bet	3.70	Avg Bet	3.72	Avg Bet	3.58	Avg Bet	3.44
Units Profit	-41.28	Units Profit	-47.85	Units Profit	1.42	Units Profit	5.15
ROI %	-2%	ROI %	-3%	ROI %	1%	ROI %	8%

akatako diary: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
4th Sep '21	UFC FN	28	5.2	19%	1.4 / 20 (7%)	3.8 / 8 (48%)
6th Feb '21	UFC FN	1.55	4.7	300%	4.7 / 1.55 (300%)
16th Jan '21	UFC FN	10	-1.9	-19%	-1.9 / 10 (-19%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	20	-4.2	-21%	-4.2 / 20 (-21%)
13th Dec '20	UFC 256	7	-2.0	-28%	-2.0 / 7 (-28%)
21st Nov '20	UFC 255	6	-1.7	-28%	0.3 / 4 (7%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 14	4	4.1	102%	1.5 / 3 (51%)	2.6 / 1 (255%)
8th Nov '20	UFC Vegas 13	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	5	1.6	32%	1.6 / 5 (32%)
24th Oct '20	UFC 254	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
17th Oct '20	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	27	-13.7	-51%	-1.7 / 15 (-11%)	-12.0 / 12 (-100%)
10th Oct '20	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	10	-3.1	-31%	-3.1 / 10 (-31%)
10th Oct '20	Bellator 248	8	-3.8	-48%	-3.8 / 8 (-48%)
26th Sep '20	UFC 253	20	-4.6	-23%	-4.6 / 20 (-23%)
19th Sep '20	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	8	0.1	1%	0.1 / 8 (1%)
12th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 184	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
11th Sep '20	Bellator 245	10	2.8	28%	2.8 / 10 (28%)
5th Sep '20	UFC Fight Night 183	6	4.0	67%	4.0 / 6 (67%)
29th Aug '20	UFC Fight Night 182	10	4.1	41%	4.1 / 10 (41%)
22nd Aug '20	UFC Vegas 7	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
15th Aug '20	UFC 252	25	1.9	8%	6.9 / 20 (34%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Aug '20	UFC Vegas 6	14	5.9	42%	5.9 / 14 (42%)
8th Aug '20	Bellator 243	5	2.2	44%	2.2 / 5 (44%)
25th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 3	13	-13.0	-100%	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
18th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 2	26	6.6	25%	5.1 / 23 (22%)	1.4 / 3 (48%)
15th Jul '20	UFC Fight Island 1	20	-6.8	-34%	-6.8 / 20 (-34%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	15	-0.2	-1%	2.4 / 5 (48%)	-2.6 / 10 (-26%)
27th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 175	20	9.6	48%	3.9 / 10 (39%)	5.7 / 10 (57%)
20th Jun '20	UFC Fight Night 174	10	-3.7	-37%	-3.7 / 10 (-37%)
6th Jun '20	UFC 250	10	-3.6	-36%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-0.6 / 7 (-9%)
30th May '20	UFC Fight Night 172	8	-2.2	-27%	-2.2 / 8 (-27%)
16th May '20	UFC Fight Night 171	14	-7.6	-54%	-7.6 / 14 (-54%)
14th May '20	UFC Fight Night 170	15	-15.0	-100%	-15.0 / 15 (-100%)
10th May '20	UFC 249	13	7.1	54%	7.1 / 13 (54%)
14th Mar '20	UFC Fight Night 169	10	5.3	53%	4.0 / 5 (79%)	1.4 / 5 (27%)
8th Mar '20	UFC 248	10	7.6	76%	7.6 / 10 (76%)
29th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night	7	-7.0	-100%	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
15th Feb '20	UFC Fight Night 167	20	-2.8	-14%	-2.8 / 20 (-14%)
9th Feb '20	UFC 247	5	2.4	49%			2.4 / 5 (49%)
18th Jan '20	UFC 246	25	-6.9	-28%	-6.5 / 14 (-47%)	4.6 / 6 (77%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
31st Dec '19	Rizin 20	11	1.8	16%	1.8 / 11 (16%)
29th Dec '19	Bellator 237	10	-3.3	-33%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)		1.7 / 5 (35%)
22nd Dec '19	Bellator Hawaii	5	2.4	49%			2.4 / 5 (49%)
21st Dec '19	UFC Fight Night 165	9	-1.1	-12%	-1.1 / 9 (-12%)
15th Dec '19	UFC 245	30	6.8	23%	6.8 / 30 (23%)
7th Dec '19	UFC on ESPN 7	14	11.7	83%	11.7 / 14 (83%)
16th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 164	18	8.6	48%	8.6 / 18 (48%)
9th Nov '19	UFC Fight Night 163	7	-1.7	-24%	-1.7 / 7 (-24%)
2nd Nov '19	UFC 244	28	-7.7	-27%	-7.7 / 28 (-27%)
26th Oct '19	Bellator 232	12	6.8	57%	5.2 / 9 (58%)		1.6 / 3 (54%)
26th Oct '19	UFC Fight Night 162	11	-7.7	-70%	-7.7 / 11 (-70%)
18th Oct '19	UFC ESPN 6	10	6.6	66%	6.6 / 10 (66%)
12th Oct '19	UFC on ESPN+ 19	23	8.8	38%	8.6 / 22 (39%)	0.3 / 1 (29%)
12th Oct '19	Rizin 19	7	2.7	39%	2.7 / 7 (39%)
5th Oct '19	UFC 243	11	-4.5	-41%	-2.5 / 9 (-28%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
28th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 160	10	-7.6	-76%	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)	0.4 / 2 (22%)
21st Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 159	5	-2.6	-52%	-2.6 / 5 (-52%)
14th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 158	5	-2.3	-45%	-2.3 / 5 (-45%)
7th Sep '19	UFC 242	18	-11.8	-66%	-11.8 / 18 (-66%)
31st Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 157	7	2.9	41%	2.3 / 6 (38%)	0.6 / 1 (63%)
17th Aug '19	UFC 241	18	-13.2	-73%	-13.2 / 18 (-73%)
10th Aug '19	UFC Fight Night 156	16	2.0	12%	1.1 / 13 (9%)		0.8 / 3 (28%)
3rd Aug '19	UFC on ESPN 5	21	-9.6	-46%	-9.6 / 21 (-46%)
27th Jul '19	UFC 240	34	-6.2	-18%	0.4 / 17 (2%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)	3.5 / 7 (49%)
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	25	-11.5	-46%	-13.8 / 21 (-66%)	2.3 / 4 (58%)
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	20	9.2	46%	9.2 / 20 (46%)
12th Jul '19	Bellator 224	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	35	2.4	7%	6.0 / 19 (32%)	-1.2 / 6 (-19%)	-2.5 / 10 (-25%)
29th Jun '19	UFC on ESPN 3	24	7.4	31%	3.7 / 19 (20%)	3.7 / 5 (74%)
22nd Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 154	18	-5.0	-28%	-5.0 / 18 (-28%)
22nd Jun '19	Bellator London	5	1.8	35%	1.8 / 5 (35%)
14th Jun '19	Bellator 222	6	1.5	25%	1.5 / 6 (25%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	21	6.8	32%	3.0 / 17 (18%)	3.8 / 4 (94%)
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	10	3.8	38%	1.4 / 7 (20%)		2.4 / 3 (81%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	31	1.1	4%	2.2 / 23 (10%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	1.9 / 5 (39%)
11th May '19	Bellator 221	4	1.6	39%	1.6 / 4 (39%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	24.5	5.5	23%	9.5 / 20.5 (46%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
27th Apr '19	Bellator 220	5	1.4	28%	1.4 / 5 (28%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	37	-0.9	-2%	1.4 / 19 (7%)	-2.3 / 18 (-13%)
20th Apr '19	UFC Fight Night 149	11	-3.8	-35%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	2.2 / 5 (44%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	23	6.7	29%	6.7 / 23 (29%)
31st Mar '19	One FC - A New Era	12	4.1	34%	4.1 / 12 (34%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	34	-7.8	-23%	-9.0 / 28 (-32%)	1.2 / 6 (20%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	26	-12.3	-47%	-12.3 / 26 (-47%)
16th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 147	36	-9.7	-27%	-4.1 / 23 (-18%)	-5.6 / 13 (-43%)
9th Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 146	32	2.4	7%	0.7 / 27 (3%)	1.7 / 5 (34%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	25.5	-0.6	-2%	-3.1 / 22.5 (-14%)	2.5 / 3 (84%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	21	0.2	1%	-2.2 / 12 (-18%)	2.4 / 9 (27%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	35	7.7	22%	4.9 / 31 (16%)	2.8 / 4 (70%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	10	4.3	43%	1.2 / 5 (23%)	3.1 / 5 (62%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	16	12.4	77%	12.4 / 16 (77%)
26th Jan '19	Bellator Los Angeles	4	1.8	44%	1.8 / 4 (44%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	28	24.3	87%	20.2 / 20 (101%)	4.2 / 8 (52%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	26	5.9	23%	5.1 / 20 (25%)	0.8 / 6 (13%)
15th Dec '18	Bellator 213	6	-2.3	-39%	-2.3 / 6 (-39%)
15th Dec '18	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	24	-2.4	-10%	-5.4 / 16 (-34%)	3.0 / 8 (38%)
15th Dec '18	Bellator 212	4	0.8	21%	0.8 / 4 (21%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	18	3.5	19%	3.5 / 18 (19%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	15	-5.3	-35%	-4.3 / 14 (-31%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	14	-1.9	-13%	-1.9 / 14 (-13%)
25th Nov '18	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	5	1.3	26%	1.3 / 5 (26%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	9	-2.0	-22%	-2.0 / 9 (-22%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	20	-9.2	-46%	-9.2 / 20 (-46%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	10.5	2.5	24%	2.5 / 10.5 (24%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	11	4.9	45%	4.9 / 11 (45%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	16	3.1	19%	3.1 / 16 (19%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	9	-6.1	-68%	-6.1 / 9 (-68%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	10.5	1.7	16%	1.7 / 10.5 (16%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	11	-1.6	-15%	-1.6 / 11 (-15%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	19.5	-0.3	-1%	-0.3 / 19.5 (-1%)
28th Jul '18	UFC on Fox 30	11.5	2.9	25%	2.9 / 11.5 (25%)
24th Jul '18	DWTNCS 14	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
22nd Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 134	20	-5.9	-30%	-7.0 / 18.5 (-38%)		1.1 / 1.5 (72%)
14th Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 133	12	-3.8	-32%	-3.8 / 12 (-32%)
7th Jul '18	UFC 226	27.5	1.2	4%	2.7 / 21 (13%)	-1.5 / 6.5 (-22%)
7th Jul '18	TUF 27 Finale	7.5	-7.5	-100%	-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
23rd Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 132	20.6	-4.7	-23%	-4.7 / 20.6 (-23%)
9th Jun '18	UFC 225	23	5.0	22%	3.9 / 21.5 (18%)		1.1 / 1.5 (73%)
1st Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 131	11	6.8	62%	6.2 / 10 (62%)		0.6 / 1 (60%)
27th May '18	UFC Fight Night 130	11.5	-1.2	-10%	-1.9 / 9.5 (-20%)	0.7 / 2 (34%)

Winning Events: 60 (50%)
Losing Events: 61 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.82 units
Most Staked On One Event: 37.00 units
Best Event: 24.31 units
Worst Event: -15.00 units
Average Event: -0.34 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 56.41
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -35.19

akatako diary: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	39.55	8.0	20%	4.2 / 31.55 (13%)	3.8 / 8 (48%)		2 / 1 (67%)	2.67
2020	454	-64.5	-14%	-47.4 / 375 (-13%)	-9.5 / 64 (-15%)	-7.6 / 15 (-50%)	15 / 22 (41%)	-1.74
2019	921	34.7	4%	19.7 / 762 (3%)	5.0 / 116 (4%)	9.9 / 43 (23%)	31 / 22 (58%)	0.65
2018	378.1	-19.5	-5%	-24.4 / 350.6 (-7%)	2.1 / 23.5 (9%)	2.8 / 4 (69%)	12 / 16 (43%)	-0.70

akatako diary: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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akatako diary: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	1669.65	-60.9	-4%	-61.7 / 1409.15 (-4%)	1.4 / 211.5 (1%)	-0.6 / 49 (-1%)
Bellator	86	11.7	14%	5.9 / 73 (8%)		5.8 / 13 (44%)
Other	37	7.9	21%	7.9 / 37 (21%)

akatako diary: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	141 (34%)	107	76 %	617.00	19.54	0.14	3%
Slight Favorites	163 (40%)	83	51 %	629.50	-55.47	-0.34	-9%
Slight Underdogs	75 (18%)	34	45 %	210.10	15.76	0.21	8%
Big Underdogs	31 (8%)	6	19 %	62.55	-27.68	-0.89	-44%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	95 (23%)	45	47 %	422.05	-47.64	-0.50	-11%
Co-Main Event	65 (16%)	35	54 %	236.60	-6.08	-0.09	-3%
Position 3-5	110 (27%)	58	53 %	393.50	-46.58	-0.42	-12%
6+ (Undercard)	140 (34%)	92	66 %	467.00	52.45	0.37	11%

akatako diary: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	46 (11%)	27	59 %	179.55	6.34	0.14	4%
Light Heavy	33 (8%)	16	48 %	151.10	-28.93	-0.88	-19%
Middleweight	37 (9%)	18	49 %	136.00	-15.26	-0.41	-11%
Welterweight	75 (18%)	38	51 %	260.50	-37.10	-0.49	-14%
Lightweight	49 (12%)	25	51 %	173.50	-6.26	-0.13	-4%
Featherweight	51 (12%)	32	63 %	186.00	9.72	0.19	5%
Bantamweight	33 (8%)	19	58 %	134.00	-10.92	-0.33	-8%
Flyweight	27 (7%)	17	63 %	94.00	10.68	0.40	11%

Women's Fights	59 (14%)	38	64 %	204.50	23.88	0.40	12%
Featherweight	5 (1%)	4	80 %	11.00	8.14	1.63	74%
Bantamweight	9 (2%)	7	78 %	32.00	7.69	0.85	24%
Flyweight	14 (3%)	8	57 %	40.00	2.45	0.17	6%
Strawweight	31 (8%)	19	61 %	121.50	5.61	0.18	5%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	36 (100%)	31	86 %
Slight Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	36	31	86 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	28 (46%)	21	75 %
50-65%	27 (44%)	18	67 %
35-50%	3 (5%)	2	67 %
<35% chance	3 (5%)	1	33 %
	61	42	69 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	7 (11%)	6	86 %	1.54	2.52	1.24	2.6 (37%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	13 (21%)	8	62 %	1.75	2.42	1.44	1.5 (11%)
Goes to Decision	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.35	1.35	1.35	0.4 (35%)
Does not go to Decision	30 (49%)	21	70 %	1.42	1.93	1.11	0.1 (0%)
X Wins by KO	5 (8%)	1	20 %	2.15	3.15	1.59	-3.4 (-68%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (3%)	2	100 %	1.70	1.70	1.70	1.4 (70%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (2%)	1	100 %	3.55	3.55	3.55	2.6 (255%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.72	1.72	1.72	0.7 (72%)
Others	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.95	1.95	1.95	1.0 (95%)
	61	42	69 %	1.58			6.7 (11%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail akatako diary's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
27th May	UFC Fight Night 130	11.5	-1.2	-10%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$988.06
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 131	11	6.8	62%		$9.88	$988.06	$1,055.68
9th Jun	UFC 225	23	5.0	22%		$10.56	$1,055.68	$1,108.17
23rd Jun	UFC Fight Night 132	20.6	-4.7	-23%		$11.08	$1,108.17	$1,056.53
7th Jul	TUF 27 Finale	7.5	-7.5	-100%		$10.57	$1,056.53	$977.29
7th Jul	UFC 226	27.5	1.2	4%		$9.77	$977.29	$989.27
14th Jul	UFC Fight Night 133	12	-3.8	-32%		$9.89	$989.27	$951.73
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night 134	20	-5.9	-30%		$9.52	$951.73	$895.56
24th Jul	DWTNCS 14	2	-2.0	-100%		$8.96	$895.56	$877.65
28th Jul	UFC on Fox 30	11.5	2.9	25%		$8.78	$877.65	$903.23
4th Aug	UFC 227	19.5	-0.3	-1%		$9.03	$903.23	$900.83
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	11	-1.6	-15%		$9.01	$900.83	$886.29
8th Sep	UFC 228	10.5	1.7	16%		$8.86	$886.29	$901.04
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	3	-3.0	-100%		$9.01	$901.04	$874.00
6th Oct	UFC 229	9	-6.1	-68%		$8.74	$874.00	$820.69
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	16	3.1	19%		$8.21	$820.69	$845.82
3rd Nov	UFC 230	11	4.9	45%		$8.46	$845.82	$887.35
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	10.5	2.5	24%		$8.87	$887.35	$909.88
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	20	-9.2	-46%		$9.10	$909.88	$825.95
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	9	-2.0	-22%		$8.26	$825.95	$809.39
25th Nov	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	5	1.3	26%		$8.09	$809.39	$819.75
30th Nov	TUF Finale	14	-1.9	-13%		$8.20	$819.75	$804.52
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	15	-5.3	-35%		$8.05	$804.52	$761.83
8th Dec	UFC 231	18	3.5	19%		$7.62	$761.83	$788.55
15th Dec	Bellator 212	4	0.8	21%		$7.89	$788.55	$795.17
15th Dec	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	24	-2.4	-10%		$7.95	$795.17	$776.17
15th Dec	Bellator 213	6	-2.3	-39%		$7.76	$776.17	$758.16
29th Dec	UFC 232	26	5.9	23%		$7.58	$758.16	$802.67
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	28	24.3	87%		$8.03	$802.67	$997.82
26th Jan	Bellator Los Angeles	4	1.8	44%		$9.98	$997.82	$1,015.38
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	16	12.4	77%		$10.15	$1,015.38	$1,140.88
9th Feb	UFC 234	10	4.3	43%		$11.41	$1,140.88	$1,189.49
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	35	7.7	22%		$11.89	$1,189.49	$1,280.60
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	21	0.2	1%		$12.81	$1,280.60	$1,282.96
2nd Mar	UFC 235	25.5	-0.6	-2%		$12.83	$1,282.96	$1,275.52
9th Mar	UFC Fight Night 146	32	2.4	7%		$12.76	$1,275.52	$1,305.61
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night 147	36	-9.7	-27%		$13.06	$1,305.61	$1,178.88
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	26	-12.3	-47%		$11.79	$1,178.88	$1,034.24
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	34	-7.8	-23%		$10.34	$1,034.24	$953.99
31st Mar	One FC - A New Era	12	4.1	34%		$9.54	$953.99	$993.20
13th Apr	UFC 236	23	6.7	29%		$9.93	$993.20	$1,059.63
20th Apr	UFC Fight Night 149	11	-3.8	-35%		$10.60	$1,059.63	$1,019.37
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	37	-0.9	-2%		$10.19	$1,019.37	$1,010.00
27th Apr	Bellator 220	5	1.4	28%		$10.10	$1,010.00	$1,024.14
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	24.5	5.5	23%		$10.24	$1,024.14	$1,080.67
11th May	Bellator 221	4	1.6	39%		$10.81	$1,080.67	$1,097.75
11th May	UFC 237	31	1.1	4%		$10.98	$1,097.75	$1,110.34
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	10	3.8	38%		$11.10	$1,110.34	$1,152.84
8th Jun	UFC 238	21	6.8	32%		$11.53	$1,152.84	$1,231.35
14th Jun	Bellator 222	6	1.5	25%		$12.31	$1,231.35	$1,249.97
22nd Jun	Bellator London	5	1.8	35%		$12.50	$1,249.97	$1,271.84
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night 154	18	-5.0	-28%		$12.72	$1,271.84	$1,208.17
29th Jun	UFC on ESPN 3	24	7.4	31%		$12.08	$1,208.17	$1,297.80
6th Jul	UFC 239	35	2.4	7%		$12.98	$1,297.80	$1,328.34
12th Jul	Bellator 224	2	-2.0	-100%		$13.28	$1,328.34	$1,301.78
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	20	9.2	46%		$13.02	$1,301.78	$1,421.75
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	25	-11.5	-46%		$14.22	$1,421.75	$1,258.02
27th Jul	UFC 240	34	-6.2	-18%		$12.58	$1,258.02	$1,180.35
3rd Aug	UFC on ESPN 5	21	-9.6	-46%		$11.80	$1,180.35	$1,066.77
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night 156	16	2.0	12%		$10.67	$1,066.77	$1,087.94
17th Aug	UFC 241	18	-13.2	-73%		$10.88	$1,087.94	$944.53
31st Aug	UFC Fight Night 157	7	2.9	41%		$9.45	$944.53	$971.70
7th Sep	UFC 242	18	-11.8	-66%		$9.72	$971.70	$856.65
14th Sep	UFC Fight Night 158	5	-2.3	-45%		$8.57	$856.65	$837.29
21st Sep	UFC Fight Night 159	5	-2.6	-52%		$8.37	$837.29	$815.69
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night 160	10	-7.6	-76%		$8.16	$815.69	$754.02
5th Oct	UFC 243	11	-4.5	-41%		$7.54	$754.02	$719.97
12th Oct	Rizin 19	7	2.7	39%		$7.20	$719.97	$739.63
12th Oct	UFC on ESPN+ 19	23	8.8	38%		$7.40	$739.63	$805.03
18th Oct	UFC ESPN 6	10	6.6	66%		$8.05	$805.03	$857.92
26th Oct	UFC Fight Night 162	11	-7.7	-70%		$8.58	$857.92	$791.92
26th Oct	Bellator 232	12	6.8	57%		$7.92	$791.92	$845.92
2nd Nov	UFC 244	28	-7.7	-27%		$8.46	$845.92	$781.07
9th Nov	UFC Fight Night 163	7	-1.7	-24%		$7.81	$781.07	$767.95
16th Nov	UFC Fight Night 164	18	8.6	48%		$7.68	$767.95	$834.00
7th Dec	UFC on ESPN 7	14	11.7	83%	$5	$8.34	$834.00	$926.42
15th Dec	UFC 245	30	6.8	23%		$9.26	$926.42	$989.63
21st Dec	UFC Fight Night 165	9	-1.1	-12%		$9.90	$989.63	$978.95
22nd Dec	Bellator Hawaii	5	2.4	49%		$9.79	$978.95	$1,002.69
29th Dec	Bellator 237	10	-3.3	-33%		$10.03	$1,002.69	$969.93
31st Dec	Rizin 20	11	1.8	16%		$9.70	$969.93	$987.39
18th Jan	UFC 246	25	-6.9	-28%		$9.87	$987.39	$919.22
9th Feb	UFC 247	5	2.4	49%		$9.19	$919.22	$941.70
15th Feb	UFC Fight Night 167	20	-2.8	-14%		$9.42	$941.70	$915.24
29th Feb	UFC Fight Night	7	-7.0	-100%		$9.15	$915.24	$851.17
8th Mar	UFC 248	10	7.6	76%		$8.51	$851.17	$915.61
14th Mar	UFC Fight Night 169	10	5.3	53%		$9.16	$915.61	$964.32
10th May	UFC 249	13	7.1	54%		$9.64	$964.32	$1,032.49
14th May	UFC Fight Night 170	15	-15.0	-100%		$10.32	$1,032.49	$877.62
16th May	UFC Fight Night 171	14	-7.6	-54%		$8.78	$877.62	$811.36
30th May	UFC Fight Night 172	8	-2.2	-27%		$8.11	$811.36	$793.67
6th Jun	UFC 250	10	-3.6	-36%		$7.94	$793.67	$765.10
20th Jun	UFC Fight Night 174	10	-3.7	-37%		$7.65	$765.10	$736.45
27th Jun	UFC Fight Night 175	20	9.6	48%		$7.36	$736.45	$806.96
11th Jul	UFC 251	15	-0.2	-1%		$8.07	$806.96	$805.55
15th Jul	UFC Fight Island 1	20	-6.8	-34%		$8.06	$805.55	$751.01
18th Jul	UFC Fight Island 2	26	6.6	25%		$7.51	$751.01	$800.40
25th Jul	UFC Fight Island 3	13	-13.0	-100%		$8.00	$800.40	$696.35
8th Aug	Bellator 243	5	2.2	44%		$6.96	$696.35	$711.81
8th Aug	UFC Vegas 6	14	5.9	42%		$7.12	$711.81	$754.16
15th Aug	UFC 252	25	1.9	8%		$7.54	$754.16	$768.45
22nd Aug	UFC Vegas 7	10	-10.0	-100%		$7.68	$768.45	$691.61
29th Aug	UFC Fight Night 182	10	4.1	41%		$6.92	$691.61	$719.76
5th Sep	UFC Fight Night 183	6	4.0	67%		$7.20	$719.76	$748.52
11th Sep	Bellator 245	10	2.8	28%		$7.49	$748.52	$769.55
12th Sep	UFC Fight Night 184	5	-5.0	-100%		$7.70	$769.55	$731.07
19th Sep	UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley	8	0.1	1%		$7.31	$731.07	$731.69
26th Sep	UFC 253	20	-4.6	-23%		$7.32	$731.69	$698.04
10th Oct	Bellator 248	8	-3.8	-48%		$6.98	$698.04	$671.30
10th Oct	UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen	10	-3.1	-31%		$6.71	$671.30	$650.63
17th Oct	UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie	27	-13.7	-51%		$6.51	$650.63	$561.62
24th Oct	UFC 254	10	-10.0	-100%		$5.62	$561.62	$505.46
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	5	1.6	32%		$5.05	$505.46	$513.52
8th Nov	UFC Vegas 13	3	-3.0	-100%		$5.14	$513.52	$498.11
14th Nov	UFC Vegas 14	4	4.1	102%		$4.98	$498.11	$518.47
21st Nov	UFC 255	6	-1.7	-28%		$5.18	$518.47	$509.65
13th Dec	UFC 256	7	-2.0	-28%		$5.10	$509.65	$499.66
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	20	-4.2	-21%		$5.00	$499.66	$478.85
16th Jan	UFC FN	10	-1.9	-19%		$4.79	$478.85	$469.95
6th Feb	UFC FN	1.55	4.7	300%		$4.70	$469.95	$491.80
4th Sep	UFC FN	28	5.2	19%		$4.92	$491.80	$517.45

ROI % from starting bank balance: -48.25% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

akatako diary: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '21	Khalil Rountree	Modestas Bukauskas	2.45	5	TKO, R2 (2:30)
2.	Sep '21	Alex Morono	David Zawada	1.83	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Feb '21	Alexander Volkov	Alistair Overeem	4.00	1.55	TKO, R2 (2:6)
4.	Jan '21	Max Holloway	Calvin Kattar	1.63	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Dec '20	Anthony Pettis	Alex Morono	1.49	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Dec '20	Jose Aldo	Marlon Vera	1.68	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Dec '20	Gavin Tucker	Billy Quarantillo	2.52	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Nov '20	Tim Means	Mike Perry	2.15	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Nov '20	Kanako Murata	Randa Markos	1.51	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Oct '20	Greg Hardy	Maurice Greene	1.32	5	TKO, R2 (1:12)
11.	Oct '20	Jim Crute	Modestas Bukauskas	1.33	10	TKO, R1 (2:1)
12.	Oct '20	Edson Barboza	Makwan Amirkhani	1.38	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Oct '20	Michael Page	Ross Houston	1.39	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Sep '20	Israel Adesanya	Paulo Costa	1.54	10	TKO, R2 (3:59)
15.	Sep '20	Mackenzie Dern	Randa Markos	1.62	5	Sub, R1 (3:44)
16.	Sep '20	Phil Davis	Lyoto Machida	1.28	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Sep '20	Alistair Overeem	Augusto Sakai	1.67	6	TKO, R5 (0:26)
18.	Aug '20	Alex Caceres	Austin Springer	1.45	5	Sub, R1 (3:38)
19.	Aug '20	Aleksandar Rakic	Anthony Smith	1.36	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Aug '20	Vinc Pichel	Jim Miller	1.79	5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '21	Luigi Vendramini	Paddy Pimblett	2.27	5	TKO, R1 (4:25)	No
2.	Sep '21	Darren Till	Derek Brunson	1.62	5	Sub, R3 (2:13)	No
3.	Jan '21	Santiago Ponzinibbio	Li Jingliang	1.33	5	TKO, R1 (4:25)	No
4.	Dec '20	Geoff Neal	Stephen Thompson	1.88	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Dec '20	Greg Hardy	Marcin Tybura	1.87	5	TKO, R2 (4:31)	No
6.	Dec '20	Ronaldo Souza	Kevin Holland	1.88	2	TKO, R1 (1:45)	No
7.	Dec '20	Tony Ferguson	Charles Oliveira	1.60	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Nov '20	Jordan Wright	Joaquin Buckley	3.15	2	TKO, R2 (0:18)	No
9.	Oct '20	Jared Cannonier	Robert Whittaker	1.88	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Oct '20	Chan Sung Jung	Brian Ortega	1.55	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
11.	Oct '20	Marlon Moraes	Cory Sandhagen	2.22	5	TKO, R2 (1:3)	No
12.	Oct '20	Cheick Kongo	Timothy Johnson	1.79	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Sep '20	Dominick Reyes	Jan Blachowicz	1.38	10	TKO, R2 (4:36)	No
14.	Sep '20	Gerald Meerschaert	Khamzat Chimaev	4.43	3	TKO, R1 (0:17)	No
15.	Sep '20	Angela Hill	Michelle Waterson	1.88	5	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	Aug '20	Mizuki Inoue	Amanda Lemos	1.80	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Aug '20	Pedro Munhoz	Frankie Edgar	1.42	5	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
18.	Aug '20	John Dodson	Merab Dvalishvili	3.00	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Jul '20	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Carla Esparza	1.54	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Jul '20	Nicolas Dalby	Jesse Ronson	1.36	5	Sub, R1 (2:48)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

akatako diary: Progress Chart

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