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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1430
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 586

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: akatako diary

akatako diary (akatakodiary)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - akatako diary

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 85 (56%) Right 76 (55%) Right 6 (60%) Right 3 (100%)
Wrong 66 (44%) Wrong 62 (45%) Wrong 4 (40%) Wrong 0 (0%)
Avg Odds 1.74 Avg Odds 1.74 Avg Odds 1.81 Avg Odds 1.68
Units Bet 395.1 Units Bet 367.6 Units Bet 23.5 Units Bet 4.0
Avg Bet 2.62 Avg Bet 2.66 Avg Bet 2.35 Avg Bet 1.33
Units Profit -5.28 Units Profit -10.12 Units Profit 2.07 Units Profit 2.78
ROI % -1% ROI % -3% ROI % 9% ROI % 69%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 26 5.9 23% 5.1 / 20 (25%) 0.8 / 6 (13%)
15th Dec '18 Bellator 213 6 -2.3 -39% -2.3 / 6 (-39%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 24 -2.4 -10% -5.4 / 16 (-34%) 3.0 / 8 (38%)
15th Dec '18 Bellator 212 4 0.8 21% 0.8 / 4 (21%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 18 3.5 19% 3.5 / 18 (19%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 15 -5.3 -35% -4.3 / 14 (-31%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 14 -1.9 -13% -1.9 / 14 (-13%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 5 1.3 26% 1.3 / 5 (26%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 9 -2.0 -22% -2.0 / 9 (-22%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 20 -9.2 -46% -9.2 / 20 (-46%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 10.5 2.5 24% 2.5 / 10.5 (24%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 11 4.9 45% 4.9 / 11 (45%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 16 3.1 19% 3.1 / 16 (19%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 9 -6.1 -68% -6.1 / 9 (-68%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 10.5 1.7 16% 1.7 / 10.5 (16%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 11 -1.6 -15% -1.6 / 11 (-15%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 19.5 -0.3 -1% -0.3 / 19.5 (-1%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 11.5 2.9 25% 2.9 / 11.5 (25%)
24th Jul '18 DWTNCS 14 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 20 -5.9 -30% -7.0 / 18.5 (-38%) 1.1 / 1.5 (72%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 12 -3.8 -32% -3.8 / 12 (-32%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 27.5 1.2 4% 2.7 / 21 (13%) -1.5 / 6.5 (-22%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 7.5 -7.5 -100% -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 20.6 -4.7 -23% -4.7 / 20.6 (-23%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 23 5.0 22% 3.9 / 21.5 (18%) 1.1 / 1.5 (73%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 11 6.8 62% 6.2 / 10 (62%) 0.6 / 1 (60%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 11.5 -1.2 -10% -1.9 / 9.5 (-20%) 0.7 / 2 (34%)


Winning Events: 12 (43%)
Losing Events: 16 (57%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 378.1 -19.5 -5% -24.4 / 350.6 (-7%) 2.1 / 23.5 (9%) 2.8 / 4 (69%) 12 / 16 (43%) -0.70

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 361.1 -17.3 -5% -22.2 / 333.6 (-7%) 2.1 / 23.5 (9%) 2.8 / 4 (69%)
Bellator 10 -1.5 -15% -1.5 / 10 (-15%)
Other 7 -0.7 -10% -0.7 / 7 (-10%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 42 (30%) 34 81 % 140.00 8.10 0.19 6%
Slight Favorites 51 (37%) 24 47 % 134.50 -24.65 -0.48 -18%
Slight Underdogs 33 (24%) 15 45 % 76.60 9.02 0.27 12%
Big Underdogs 12 (9%) 3 25 % 16.50 -2.59 -0.22 -16%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 27 (20%) 10 37 % 84.00 -25.95 -0.96 -31%
Co-Main Event 20 (14%) 10 50 % 45.10 1.64 0.08 4%
Position 3-5 39 (28%) 20 51 % 104.00 -21.14 -0.54 -20%
6+ (Undercard) 52 (38%) 36 69 % 134.50 35.33 0.68 26%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 14 (10%) 7 50 % 40.00 -3.39 -0.24 -8%
Light Heavy 11 (8%) 5 45 % 30.60 -10.33 -0.94 -34%
Middleweight 12 (9%) 5 42 % 32.50 -4.13 -0.34 -13%
Welterweight 23 (17%) 12 52 % 59.00 -4.62 -0.20 -8%
Lightweight 17 (12%) 8 47 % 46.00 -4.25 -0.25 -9%
Featherweight 16 (12%) 10 63 % 41.00 1.11 0.07 3%
Bantamweight 11 (8%) 8 73 % 29.00 5.42 0.49 19%
Flyweight 13 (9%) 9 69 % 34.00 9.38 0.72 28%
               
Women's Fights 21 (15%) 12 57 % 55.50 0.69 0.03 1%
Featherweight 3 (2%) 2 67 % 5.00 4.88 1.63 98%
Bantamweight 3 (2%) 2 67 % 10.00 0.24 0.08 2%
Bantamweight 6 (4%) 3 50 % 15.00 -1.70 -0.28 -11%
Strawweight 9 (7%) 5 56 % 25.50 -2.73 -0.30 -11%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 4 (100%) 4 100 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
4 4 100 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 5 (42%) 5 100 %
50-65% 4 (33%) 2 50 %
35-50% 1 (8%) 1 100 %
<35% chance 2 (17%) 0 0 %
12 8 67 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (42%) 4 80 % 1.57 2.52Pick was correct 1.30Pick was correct 1.5 (30%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (8%) 0 0 % 1.75 1.75Pick was incorrect 1.75Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 4 (33%) 4 100 % 1.52 1.73Pick was correct 1.29Pick was correct 2.2 (54%)
X Wins by KO 2 (17%) 0 0 % 3.10 3.15Pick was incorrect 3.05Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
12 8 67 % 1.71     0.7 (5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 11.5 -1.2 -10% $10.00 $1,000.00 $988.06
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 11 6.8 62% $9.88 $988.06 $1,055.68
9th Jun UFC 225 23 5.0 22% $10.56 $1,055.68 $1,108.17
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 20.6 -4.7 -23% $11.08 $1,108.17 $1,056.53
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 7.5 -7.5 -100% $10.57 $1,056.53 $977.29
7th Jul UFC 226 27.5 1.2 4% $9.77 $977.29 $989.27
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 12 -3.8 -32% $9.89 $989.27 $951.73
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 20 -5.9 -30% $9.52 $951.73 $895.56
24th Jul DWTNCS 14 2 -2.0 -100% $8.96 $895.56 $877.65
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 11.5 2.9 25% $8.78 $877.65 $903.23
4th Aug UFC 227 19.5 -0.3 -1% $9.03 $903.23 $900.83
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 11 -1.6 -15% $9.01 $900.83 $886.29
8th Sep UFC 228 10.5 1.7 16% $8.86 $886.29 $901.04
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 3 -3.0 -100% $9.01 $901.04 $874.00
6th Oct UFC 229 9 -6.1 -68% $8.74 $874.00 $820.69
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 16 3.1 19% $8.21 $820.69 $845.82
3rd Nov UFC 230 11 4.9 45% $8.46 $845.82 $887.35
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 10.5 2.5 24% $8.87 $887.35 $909.88
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 20 -9.2 -46% $9.10 $909.88 $825.95
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 9 -2.0 -22% $8.26 $825.95 $809.39
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 5 1.3 26% $8.09 $809.39 $819.75
30th Nov TUF Finale 14 -1.9 -13% $8.20 $819.75 $804.52
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 15 -5.3 -35% $8.05 $804.52 $761.83
8th Dec UFC 231 18 3.5 19% $7.62 $761.83 $788.55
15th Dec Bellator 212 4 0.8 21% $7.89 $788.55 $795.17
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 24 -2.4 -10% $7.95 $795.17 $776.17
15th Dec Bellator 213 6 -2.3 -39% $7.76 $776.17 $758.16
29th Dec UFC 232 26 5.9 23% $7.58 $758.16 $802.67


ROI % from starting bank balance: -19.73% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jan '19 Geoff Neal Belal Muhammad 1.55 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '19 Donald Cerrone Alexander Hernandez 2.55 4 TKO, R2 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '19 Paige VanZant Rachael Ostovich 1.62 3 Sub, R2 (1:50) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '19 Glover Teixeira Karl Roberson 1.92 3 Sub, R1 (3:21) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '19 Joseph Benavidez Dustin Ortiz 1.40 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Megan Anderson Cat Zingano 2.28 3 TKO, R1 (1:1) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Curtis Millender Siyar Bahadurzada 1.71 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Walt Harris Andrei Arlovski 1.52 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Amanda Nunes Cristiane Justino 3.06 1 TKO, R1 (0:51) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Jon Jones Alexander Gustafsson 1.32 3 TKO, R3 (2:2) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Lyoto Machida Rafael Carvalho 1.84 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Charles Oliveira Jim Miller 1.35 3 Sub, R1 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '18 Rob Font Sergio Pettis 1.63 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '18 Michael Chandler Brent Primus 1.21 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '18 Elias Theodorou Eryk Anders 1.94 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '18 Gilbert Burns Olivier Aubin-Mercier 2.18 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '18 Valentina Shevchenko Joanna Jedrzejczyk 1.31 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '18 Max Holloway Brian Ortega 2.10 3 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '18 Keita Nakamura Salim Touahri 1.59 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Dec '18 Wilson Reis Ben Nguyen 2.17 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 B.J. Penn Ryan Hall 4.36 1 Sub, R1 (2:46) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Chad Mendes Alex Volkanovski 1.72 3 TKO, R2 (4:14) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Carlos Condit Michael Chiesa 2.32 2 Sub, R2 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Gerald Meerschaert Jack Hermansson 2.43 1 Sub, R1 (4:25) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Daniel Hooker Edson Barboza 1.90 3 TKO, R3 (2:19) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Kevin Lee Al Iaquinta 1.35 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Ed Ruth Neiman Gracie 1.26 4 Sub, R4 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Katlyn Chookagian Jessica Eye 1.55 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Alex Oliveira Gunnar Nelson 2.28 4 Sub, R2 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Tyson Pedro Mauricio Rua 1.23 3 TKO, R3 (0:43) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Mark Hunt Justin Willis 2.05 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Tai Tuivasa Junior dos Santos 2.36 3 TKO, R2 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Darren Stewart Edmen Shahbazyan 2.01 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Alex Perez Joseph Benavidez 1.89 4 TKO, R1 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Syuri Kondo Yan Xiaonan 4.28 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '18 Curtis Blaydes Francis Ngannou 1.52 3 TKO, R1 (0:45) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Neil Magny Santiago Ponzinibbio 3.03 2 TKO, R4 (2:22) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Cezar Ferreira Ian Heinisch 1.59 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '18 Poliana Botelho Cynthia Calvillo 1.59 3 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '18 Darren Elkins Ricardo Lamas 2.53 3 TKO, R3 (4:9) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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