MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1432
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 577

MMA Handicapper Stats: 420MMApicks

420MMApicks (420MMApicks)

MMA MHandicapper - 420MMApicks

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	127 (64%)	Right	71 (68%)	Right	33 (59%)	Right	23 (62%)
Wrong	70 (36%)	Wrong	33 (32%)	Wrong	23 (41%)	Wrong	14 (38%)
Avg Odds	1.76	Avg Odds	1.72	Avg Odds	1.71	Avg Odds	1.96
Units Bet	505.4	Units Bet	323.4	Units Bet	110.5	Units Bet	71.4
Avg Bet	2.57	Avg Bet	3.11	Avg Bet	1.97	Avg Bet	1.93
Units Profit	65.54	Units Profit	57.34	Units Profit	-3.84	Units Profit	12.04
ROI %	13%	ROI %	18%	ROI %	-3%	ROI %	17%

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	19	-10.2	-53%	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)		-1.2 / 10 (-12%)
31st Dec '18	PFL 11: Finals	2.5	3.8	150%	3.8 / 2.5 (150%)
31st Dec '18	Rizin 14	2.5	-2.5	-100%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	15	-1.5	-10%	-1.5 / 15 (-10%)
15th Dec '18	Bellator 213	7	-3.1	-44%	1.9 / 2 (97%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
15th Dec '18	Fight Night Milwaukee	11	8.5	77%	8.5 / 11 (77%)
15th Dec '18	Bellator 212	10.08	-1.0	-10%		0.0 / 9.08 (0%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	13.47	3.0	22%	1.5 / 11 (14%)	1.5 / 2.47 (61%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	7	6.6	94%			6.6 / 7 (94%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	4	1.6	41%	1.6 / 4 (41%)
25th Nov '18	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	3.7	1.0	27%	1.0 / 3.7 (27%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	14.25	9.8	69%	6.5 / 9.25 (70%)		3.3 / 5 (66%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	16	-1.4	-8%	-1.4 / 16 (-8%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	18.59	3.1	17%		5.9 / 9.39 (63%)	-2.8 / 9.2 (-31%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	5	4.0	81%			4.0 / 5 (81%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	11.65	15.4	132%	14.4 / 9.5 (152%)	1.0 / 2.15 (47%)
20th Oct '18	PFL 10	3	0.9	29%			0.9 / 3 (29%)
13th Oct '18	Bellator 208	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Oct '18	PFL 9	3.1	2.0	65%	2.0 / 3.1 (65%)
12th Oct '18	Bellator 207	4.5	0.7	16%	3.2 / 2 (160%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	10	-4.3	-43%	-4.3 / 10 (-43%)
5th Oct '18	PFL 8	5.75	-1.0	-17%	-1.0 / 5.75 (-17%)
29th Sep '18	Bellator 206	13.5	-4.0	-29%	-0.5 / 10 (-5%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18	Cage Warriors 97	3.1	2.0	65%	2.0 / 3.1 (65%)
22nd Sep '18	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	22.6	-14.0	-62%	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)	-5.0 / 13.6 (-37%)
21st Sep '18	Bellator 205	4	2.1	51%	2.1 / 4 (51%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	18.65	7.3	39%	-1.1 / 6 (-19%)	3.1 / 4.15 (75%)	5.3 / 8.5 (62%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	14.5	-11.3	-78%	-8.5 / 8.5 (-100%)	0.2 / 3 (7%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
30th Aug '18	PFL 7	4.14	3.3	80%	3.3 / 4.14 (80%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	27.22	7.7	28%	3.2 / 6 (54%)	2.3 / 17.22 (13%)	2.2 / 4 (54%)
17th Aug '18	Bellator 204	2	1.4	70%			1.4 / 2 (70%)
16th Aug '18	PFL 6	3.6	2.0	56%	2.0 / 3.6 (56%)
7th Aug '18	DWTNCS 16	4.8	2.7	56%		1.0 / 2.8 (36%)	1.7 / 2 (84%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	16	-8.6	-54%	-7.6 / 15 (-51%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Jul '18	DWTNCS 15	5.4	1.4	26%		-0.4 / 3.4 (-12%)	1.8 / 2 (92%)
28th Jul '18	UFC on Fox 30	7	5.3	76%	5.3 / 7 (76%)
24th Jul '18	DWTNCS 14	6.75	4.0	59%		4.0 / 6.75 (59%)
22nd Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 134	12	-1.5	-12%	-1.5 / 12 (-12%)
17th Jul '18	DWTNCS 13	8.3	1.9	23%	3.9 / 6.3 (62%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 133	12	8.0	66%	8.0 / 12 (66%)
10th Jul '18	DWTNCS 12	7.2	0.1	1%		-0.3 / 5 (-5%)	0.4 / 2.2 (16%)
7th Jul '18	UFC 226	15	8.6	57%	10.6 / 13 (81%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Jul '18	TUF 27 Finale	14	1.7	12%	1.7 / 14 (12%)
26th Jun '18	DWTNCS 11	2	3.0	150%	1.1 / 1 (105%)	2.0 / 1 (195%)
23rd Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 132	13	8.4	65%	7.3 / 8 (92%)	1.1 / 5 (21%)
9th Jun '18	UFC 225	8	2.5	31%	2.3 / 6 (38%)	0.2 / 2 (10%)
1st Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 131	11	-5.8	-53%	-5.8 / 11 (-53%)
27th May '18	UFC Fight Night 130	7	4.4	63%	4.4 / 7 (63%)
19th May '18	UFC Fight Night 129	11	0.8	7%	1.8 / 10 (18%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th May '18	UFC 224	30.5	-4.2	-14%	6.7 / 16.5 (40%)	-10.9 / 14 (-78%)
21st Apr '18	UFC Fight Night 128	12	3.0	25%	3.0 / 12 (25%)

Winning Events: 35 (69%)
Losing Events: 16 (31%)

Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	19	-10.2	-53%	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)		-1.2 / 10 (-12%)	/ 1 (0%)	-10.15
2018	486.35	75.7	16%	66.3 / 314.44 (21%)	-3.8 / 110.51 (-3%)	13.2 / 61.4 (21%)	35 / 15 (70%)	1.51

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	396.43	46.9	12%	37.1 / 267.75 (14%)	-4.6 / 76.98 (-6%)	14.4 / 51.7 (28%)
Bellator	43.08	-5.9	-14%	4.7 / 20 (24%)	-3.5 / 12.58 (-28%)	-7.1 / 10.5 (-68%)
PFL	22.09	11.0	50%	10.1 / 19.09 (53%)		0.9 / 3 (29%)
Other	43.75	13.6	31%	5.4 / 16.6 (33%)	4.3 / 20.95 (20%)	3.9 / 6.2 (62%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	25 (24%)	19	76 %	92.35	9.41	0.38	10%
Slight Favorites	56 (54%)	38	68 %	166.59	13.61	0.24	8%
Slight Underdogs	19 (18%)	13	68 %	54.50	30.40	1.60	56%
Big Underdogs	4 (4%)	1	25 %	10.00	3.92	0.98	39%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	16 (15%)	9	56 %	53.00	5.56	0.35	10%
Co-Main Event	11 (11%)	10	91 %	31.30	16.71	1.52	53%
Position 3-5	33 (32%)	22	67 %	93.29	10.26	0.31	11%
6+ (Undercard)	44 (42%)	30	68 %	145.85	24.80	0.56	17%

by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	10 (10%)	5	50 %	27.25	6.45	0.64	24%
Light Heavy	10 (10%)	7	70 %	34.70	8.13	0.81	23%
Middleweight	18 (17%)	13	72 %	51.80	9.77	0.54	19%
Welterweight	21 (20%)	17	81 %	61.24	25.75	1.23	42%
Lightweight	13 (13%)	9	69 %	38.20	2.52	0.19	7%
Featherweight	6 (6%)	5	83 %	16.00	7.09	1.18	44%
Bantamweight	11 (11%)	5	45 %	42.50	-9.02	-0.82	-21%
Flyweight	3 (3%)	1	33 %	8.00	-4.67	-1.56	-58%

Women's Fights	12 (12%)	9	75 %	43.75	11.32	0.94	26%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	3.00	1.18	1.18	39%
Bantamweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	5.00	9.25	9.25	185%
Bantamweight	5 (5%)	5	100 %	16.00	10.81	2.16	68%
Strawweight	5 (5%)	2	40 %	19.75	-9.92	-1.98	-50%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	44 (75%)	38	86 %
Slight Favorites	15 (25%)	10	67 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	59	48	81 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	39 (46%)	30	77 %
50-65%	31 (37%)	19	61 %
35-50%	9 (11%)	4	44 %
<35% chance	5 (6%)	2	40 %
	84	55	65 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.50	1.50	1.50	0.5 (50%)
Goes to Decision	5 (6%)	3	60 %	1.59	2.75	1.24	-0.8 (-15%)
Does not go to Decision	43 (51%)	30	70 %	1.43	2.05	1.19	-0.8 (-2%)
X Wins by KO	4 (5%)	0	0 %	2.04	5.90	1.07	-4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	1 (1%)	0	0 %	3.00	3.00	3.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	25 (30%)	18	72 %	1.76	3.20	1.26	8.4 (34%)
X Wins in Round X	5 (6%)	3	60 %	1.66	2.00	1.56	-0.2 (-3%)
	84	55	65 %	1.57			2.2 (3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
21st Apr	UFC Fight Night 128	12	3.0	25%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,029.87
12th May	UFC 224	30.5	-4.2	-14%		$10.30	$1,029.87	$986.77
19th May	UFC Fight Night 129	11	0.8	7%		$9.87	$986.77	$994.18
27th May	UFC Fight Night 130	7	4.4	63%		$9.94	$994.18	$1,038.07
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 131	11	-5.8	-53%		$10.38	$1,038.07	$978.09
9th Jun	UFC 225	8	2.5	31%		$9.78	$978.09	$1,002.42
23rd Jun	UFC Fight Night 132	13	8.4	65%		$10.02	$1,002.42	$1,086.63
26th Jun	DWTNCS 11	2	3.0	150%		$10.87	$1,086.63	$1,119.23
7th Jul	TUF 27 Finale	14	1.7	12%		$11.19	$1,119.23	$1,137.92
7th Jul	UFC 226	15	8.6	57%		$11.38	$1,137.92	$1,235.29
10th Jul	DWTNCS 12	7.2	0.1	1%		$12.35	$1,235.29	$1,236.42
14th Jul	UFC Fight Night 133	12	8.0	66%		$12.36	$1,236.42	$1,335.00
17th Jul	DWTNCS 13	8.3	1.9	23%		$13.35	$1,335.00	$1,360.18
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night 134	12	-1.5	-12%		$13.60	$1,360.18	$1,340.11
24th Jul	DWTNCS 14	6.75	4.0	59%		$13.40	$1,340.11	$1,393.72
28th Jul	UFC on Fox 30	7	5.3	76%		$13.94	$1,393.72	$1,467.94
31st Jul	DWTNCS 15	5.4	1.4	26%		$14.68	$1,467.94	$1,488.62
4th Aug	UFC 227	16	-8.6	-54%		$14.89	$1,488.62	$1,360.32
7th Aug	DWTNCS 16	4.8	2.7	56%		$13.60	$1,360.32	$1,396.68
16th Aug	PFL 6	3.6	2.0	56%		$13.97	$1,396.68	$1,424.61
17th Aug	Bellator 204	2	1.4	70%		$14.25	$1,424.61	$1,444.43
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	27.22	7.7	28%		$14.44	$1,444.43	$1,555.69
30th Aug	PFL 7	4.14	3.3	80%		$15.56	$1,555.69	$1,607.21
8th Sep	UFC 228	14.5	-11.3	-78%		$16.07	$1,607.21	$1,425.60
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	18.65	7.3	39%		$14.26	$1,425.60	$1,529.43
21st Sep	Bellator 205	4	2.1	51%		$15.29	$1,529.43	$1,560.82
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	22.6	-14.0	-62%		$15.61	$1,560.82	$1,342.31
29th Sep	Cage Warriors 97	3.1	2.0	65%		$13.42	$1,342.31	$1,369.15
29th Sep	Bellator 206	13.5	-4.0	-29%		$13.69	$1,369.15	$1,314.93
5th Oct	PFL 8	5.75	-1.0	-17%		$13.15	$1,314.93	$1,302.44
6th Oct	UFC 229	10	-4.3	-43%		$13.02	$1,302.44	$1,246.00
12th Oct	Bellator 207	4.5	0.7	16%		$12.46	$1,246.00	$1,254.72
13th Oct	Bellator 208	2	-2.0	-100%		$12.55	$1,254.72	$1,229.63
13th Oct	PFL 9	3.1	2.0	65%		$12.30	$1,229.63	$1,254.22
20th Oct	PFL 10	3	0.9	29%		$12.54	$1,254.22	$1,264.97
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	11.65	15.4	132%		$12.65	$1,264.97	$1,460.09
3rd Nov	UFC 230	5	4.0	81%		$14.60	$1,460.09	$1,518.93
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	18.59	3.1	17%		$15.19	$1,518.93	$1,565.74
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	16	-1.4	-8%		$15.66	$1,565.74	$1,544.61
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	14.25	9.8	69%		$15.45	$1,544.61	$1,695.91
25th Nov	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	3.7	1.0	27%		$16.96	$1,695.91	$1,712.87
30th Nov	TUF Finale	4	1.6	41%		$17.13	$1,712.87	$1,740.84
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	7	6.6	94%		$17.41	$1,740.84	$1,855.51
8th Dec	UFC 231	13.47	3.0	22%		$18.56	$1,855.51	$1,911.05
15th Dec	Bellator 212	10.08	-1.0	-10%		$19.11	$1,911.05	$1,891.94
15th Dec	Fight Night Milwaukee	11	8.5	77%		$18.92	$1,891.94	$2,051.98
15th Dec	Bellator 213	7	-3.1	-44%		$20.52	$2,051.98	$1,989.23
29th Dec	UFC 232	15	-1.5	-10%		$19.89	$1,989.23	$1,959.73
31st Dec	Rizin 14	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$19.60	$1,959.73	$1,910.74
31st Dec	PFL 11: Finals	2.5	3.8	150%		$19.11	$1,910.74	$1,982.39
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	19	-10.2	-53%		$19.82	$1,982.39	$1,781.17

ROI % from starting bank balance: 78.12% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '18	Magomed Magomedkerimov	Ray Cooper III	2.50	2.5	Sub, R2 (2:18)
2.	Dec '18	Curtis Millender	Siyar Bahadurzada	1.69	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Dec '18	Montel Jackson	Brian Kelleher	1.69	4	Sub, R1 (1:40)
4.	Dec '18	Lyoto Machida	Rafael Carvalho	1.97	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Dec '18	Jack Hermansson	Gerald Meerschaert	1.69	3	Sub, R1 (4:25)
6.	Dec '18	Rob Font	Sergio Pettis	1.65	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Dec '18	Edson Barboza	Daniel Hooker	1.95	4	TKO, R3 (2:19)
8.	Dec '18	Valentina Shevchenko	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	1.33	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Dec '18	Elias Theodorou	Eryk Anders	1.95	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Nov '18	Kamaru Usman	Rafael dos Anjos	1.41	4	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Nov '18	Deron Winn	Tom Lawlor	1.74	2.7	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Nov '18	Alistair Overeem	Sergey Pavlovich	2.05	2.5	TKO, R1 (4:21)
13.	Nov '18	Rashad Coulter	Hu Yaozong	1.57	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Nov '18	Santiago Ponzinibbio	Neil Magny	1.40	5	TKO, R4 (2:22)
15.	Nov '18	Ian Heinisch	Cezar Ferreira	2.55	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Nov '18	Weili Zhang	Jessica Aguilar	1.57	1.75	Sub, R1 (3:41)
17.	Oct '18	Sean Strickland	Nordine Taleb	2.15	4.5	TKO, R2 (3:10)
18.	Oct '18	Talita Bernardo	Sarah Moras	2.85	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Oct '18	Chris Wade	Robert Watley	1.67	1.5	Split Decision (2 rounds)
20.	Oct '18	Chris Wade	Robert Watley	1.63	1.6	Split Decision (2 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '18	Darrion Caldwell	Kyoji Horiguchi	1.51	2.5	Sub, R3 (1:19)	No
2.	Jan '19	T.J. Dillashaw	Henry Cejudo	1.48	5	TKO, R1 (0:32)	No
3.	Jan '19	Alexander Hernandez	Donald Cerrone	1.63	4	TKO, R2 (3:43)	No
4.	Dec '18	Andre Ewell	Nathaniel Wood	1.95	3	Sub, R3 (4:12)	No
5.	Dec '18	Ilir Latifi	Corey Anderson	1.65	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Dec '18	Brian Ortega	Max Holloway	2.10	3	TKO, R4 (5:0)	No
7.	Nov '18	Chuck Liddell	Tito Ortiz	3.40	1	TKO, R1 (4:24)	No
8.	Nov '18	Poliana Botelho	Cynthia Calvillo	1.63	5	Sub, R1 (4:48)	No
9.	Nov '18	Bartosz Fabinski	Michel Prazeres	2.40	3	Sub, R1 (1:2)	No
10.	Oct '18	Chael Sonnen	Fedor Emelianenko	3.10	2	TKO, R1 (4:45)	No
11.	Oct '18	Felice Herrig	Michelle Waterson	1.91	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Oct '18	Kelvin Tiller	Jared Rosholt	1.56	1.8	U Decision (2 rounds)	No
13.	Oct '18	Kelvin Tiller	Jared Rosholt	1.51	1.95	U Decision (2 rounds)	No
14.	Oct '18	Alexander Volkov	Derrick Lewis	1.57	3	TKO, R3 (4:49)	No
15.	Sep '18	Andrey Koreshkov	Douglas Lima	1.71	3	Sub, R5 (3:4)	No
16.	Sep '18	Hector Lombard	Thales Leites	2.10	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Sep '18	Renan Barao	Andre Ewell	1.65	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Sep '18	Luis Henrique	Ryan Spann	2.35	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Sep '18	Mark Hunt	Aleksei Oleinik	1.59	3	Sub, R1 (4:26)	No
20.	Sep '18	Alex White	Jim Miller	1.71	3	Sub, R1 (1:29)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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