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MMA Handicapper Stats: 420MMApicks

420MMApicks (420MMApicks)


MMA MHandicapper - 420MMApicks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 127 (64%) Right 71 (68%) Right 33 (59%) Right 23 (62%)
Wrong 70 (36%) Wrong 33 (32%) Wrong 23 (41%) Wrong 14 (38%)
Avg Odds 1.76 Avg Odds 1.72 Avg Odds 1.71 Avg Odds 1.96
Units Bet 505.4 Units Bet 323.4 Units Bet 110.5 Units Bet 71.4
Avg Bet 2.57 Avg Bet 3.11 Avg Bet 1.97 Avg Bet 1.93
Units Profit 65.54 Units Profit 57.34 Units Profit -3.84 Units Profit 12.04
ROI % 13% ROI % 18% ROI % -3% ROI % 17%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 19 -10.2 -53% -9.0 / 9 (-100%) -1.2 / 10 (-12%)
31st Dec '18 PFL 11: Finals 2.5 3.8 150% 3.8 / 2.5 (150%)
31st Dec '18 Rizin 14 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 15 -1.5 -10% -1.5 / 15 (-10%)
15th Dec '18 Bellator 213 7 -3.1 -44% 1.9 / 2 (97%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 11 8.5 77% 8.5 / 11 (77%)
15th Dec '18 Bellator 212 10.08 -1.0 -10% 0.0 / 9.08 (0%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 13.47 3.0 22% 1.5 / 11 (14%) 1.5 / 2.47 (61%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 7 6.6 94% 6.6 / 7 (94%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 4 1.6 41% 1.6 / 4 (41%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 3.7 1.0 27% 1.0 / 3.7 (27%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 14.25 9.8 69% 6.5 / 9.25 (70%) 3.3 / 5 (66%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 16 -1.4 -8% -1.4 / 16 (-8%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 18.59 3.1 17% 5.9 / 9.39 (63%) -2.8 / 9.2 (-31%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 5 4.0 81% 4.0 / 5 (81%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 11.65 15.4 132% 14.4 / 9.5 (152%) 1.0 / 2.15 (47%)
20th Oct '18 PFL 10 3 0.9 29% 0.9 / 3 (29%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 PFL 9 3.1 2.0 65% 2.0 / 3.1 (65%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 4.5 0.7 16% 3.2 / 2 (160%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 10 -4.3 -43% -4.3 / 10 (-43%)
5th Oct '18 PFL 8 5.75 -1.0 -17% -1.0 / 5.75 (-17%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 13.5 -4.0 -29% -0.5 / 10 (-5%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Cage Warriors 97 3.1 2.0 65% 2.0 / 3.1 (65%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 22.6 -14.0 -62% -9.0 / 9 (-100%) -5.0 / 13.6 (-37%)
21st Sep '18 Bellator 205 4 2.1 51% 2.1 / 4 (51%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 18.65 7.3 39% -1.1 / 6 (-19%) 3.1 / 4.15 (75%) 5.3 / 8.5 (62%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 14.5 -11.3 -78% -8.5 / 8.5 (-100%) 0.2 / 3 (7%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
30th Aug '18 PFL 7 4.14 3.3 80% 3.3 / 4.14 (80%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 27.22 7.7 28% 3.2 / 6 (54%) 2.3 / 17.22 (13%) 2.2 / 4 (54%)
17th Aug '18 Bellator 204 2 1.4 70% 1.4 / 2 (70%)
16th Aug '18 PFL 6 3.6 2.0 56% 2.0 / 3.6 (56%)
7th Aug '18 DWTNCS 16 4.8 2.7 56% 1.0 / 2.8 (36%) 1.7 / 2 (84%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 16 -8.6 -54% -7.6 / 15 (-51%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Jul '18 DWTNCS 15 5.4 1.4 26% -0.4 / 3.4 (-12%) 1.8 / 2 (92%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 7 5.3 76% 5.3 / 7 (76%)
24th Jul '18 DWTNCS 14 6.75 4.0 59% 4.0 / 6.75 (59%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 12 -1.5 -12% -1.5 / 12 (-12%)
17th Jul '18 DWTNCS 13 8.3 1.9 23% 3.9 / 6.3 (62%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 12 8.0 66% 8.0 / 12 (66%)
10th Jul '18 DWTNCS 12 7.2 0.1 1% -0.3 / 5 (-5%) 0.4 / 2.2 (16%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 15 8.6 57% 10.6 / 13 (81%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 14 1.7 12% 1.7 / 14 (12%)
26th Jun '18 DWTNCS 11 2 3.0 150% 1.1 / 1 (105%) 2.0 / 1 (195%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 13 8.4 65% 7.3 / 8 (92%) 1.1 / 5 (21%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 8 2.5 31% 2.3 / 6 (38%) 0.2 / 2 (10%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 11 -5.8 -53% -5.8 / 11 (-53%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 7 4.4 63% 4.4 / 7 (63%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 11 0.8 7% 1.8 / 10 (18%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 30.5 -4.2 -14% 6.7 / 16.5 (40%) -10.9 / 14 (-78%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 12 3.0 25% 3.0 / 12 (25%)


Winning Events: 35 (69%)
Losing Events: 16 (31%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 19 -10.2 -53% -9.0 / 9 (-100%) -1.2 / 10 (-12%) / 1 (0%) -10.15
2018 486.35 75.7 16% 66.3 / 314.44 (21%) -3.8 / 110.51 (-3%) 13.2 / 61.4 (21%) 35 / 15 (70%) 1.51

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 396.43 46.9 12% 37.1 / 267.75 (14%) -4.6 / 76.98 (-6%) 14.4 / 51.7 (28%)
Bellator 43.08 -5.9 -14% 4.7 / 20 (24%) -3.5 / 12.58 (-28%) -7.1 / 10.5 (-68%)
PFL 22.09 11.0 50% 10.1 / 19.09 (53%) 0.9 / 3 (29%)
Other 43.75 13.6 31% 5.4 / 16.6 (33%) 4.3 / 20.95 (20%) 3.9 / 6.2 (62%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 25 (24%) 19 76 % 92.35 9.41 0.38 10%
Slight Favorites 56 (54%) 38 68 % 166.59 13.61 0.24 8%
Slight Underdogs 19 (18%) 13 68 % 54.50 30.40 1.60 56%
Big Underdogs 4 (4%) 1 25 % 10.00 3.92 0.98 39%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 16 (15%) 9 56 % 53.00 5.56 0.35 10%
Co-Main Event 11 (11%) 10 91 % 31.30 16.71 1.52 53%
Position 3-5 33 (32%) 22 67 % 93.29 10.26 0.31 11%
6+ (Undercard) 44 (42%) 30 68 % 145.85 24.80 0.56 17%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 10 (10%) 5 50 % 27.25 6.45 0.64 24%
Light Heavy 10 (10%) 7 70 % 34.70 8.13 0.81 23%
Middleweight 18 (17%) 13 72 % 51.80 9.77 0.54 19%
Welterweight 21 (20%) 17 81 % 61.24 25.75 1.23 42%
Lightweight 13 (13%) 9 69 % 38.20 2.52 0.19 7%
Featherweight 6 (6%) 5 83 % 16.00 7.09 1.18 44%
Bantamweight 11 (11%) 5 45 % 42.50 -9.02 -0.82 -21%
Flyweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 8.00 -4.67 -1.56 -58%
               
Women's Fights 12 (12%) 9 75 % 43.75 11.32 0.94 26%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.18 1.18 39%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 5.00 9.25 9.25 185%
Bantamweight 5 (5%) 5 100 % 16.00 10.81 2.16 68%
Strawweight 5 (5%) 2 40 % 19.75 -9.92 -1.98 -50%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 44 (75%) 38 86 %
Slight Favorites 15 (25%) 10 67 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
59 48 81 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 39 (46%) 30 77 %
50-65% 31 (37%) 19 61 %
35-50% 9 (11%) 4 44 %
<35% chance 5 (6%) 2 40 %
84 55 65 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.50Pick was correct 1.50Pick was correct 0.5 (50%)
Goes to Decision 5 (6%) 3 60 % 1.59 2.75Pick was incorrect 1.24Pick was correct -0.8 (-15%)
Does not go to Decision 43 (51%) 30 70 % 1.43 2.05Pick was incorrect 1.19Pick was correct -0.8 (-2%)
X Wins by KO 4 (5%) 0 0 % 2.04 5.90Pick was incorrect 1.07Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (1%) 0 0 % 3.00 3.00Pick was incorrect 3.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 25 (30%) 18 72 % 1.76 3.20Pick was correct 1.26Pick was correct 8.4 (34%)
X Wins in Round X 5 (6%) 3 60 % 1.66 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.56Pick was incorrect -0.2 (-3%)
84 55 65 % 1.57     2.2 (3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 12 3.0 25% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,029.87
12th May UFC 224 30.5 -4.2 -14% $10.30 $1,029.87 $986.77
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 11 0.8 7% $9.87 $986.77 $994.18
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 7 4.4 63% $9.94 $994.18 $1,038.07
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 11 -5.8 -53% $10.38 $1,038.07 $978.09
9th Jun UFC 225 8 2.5 31% $9.78 $978.09 $1,002.42
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 13 8.4 65% $10.02 $1,002.42 $1,086.63
26th Jun DWTNCS 11 2 3.0 150% $10.87 $1,086.63 $1,119.23
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 14 1.7 12% $11.19 $1,119.23 $1,137.92
7th Jul UFC 226 15 8.6 57% $11.38 $1,137.92 $1,235.29
10th Jul DWTNCS 12 7.2 0.1 1% $12.35 $1,235.29 $1,236.42
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 12 8.0 66% $12.36 $1,236.42 $1,335.00
17th Jul DWTNCS 13 8.3 1.9 23% $13.35 $1,335.00 $1,360.18
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 12 -1.5 -12% $13.60 $1,360.18 $1,340.11
24th Jul DWTNCS 14 6.75 4.0 59% $13.40 $1,340.11 $1,393.72
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 7 5.3 76% $13.94 $1,393.72 $1,467.94
31st Jul DWTNCS 15 5.4 1.4 26% $14.68 $1,467.94 $1,488.62
4th Aug UFC 227 16 -8.6 -54% $14.89 $1,488.62 $1,360.32
7th Aug DWTNCS 16 4.8 2.7 56% $13.60 $1,360.32 $1,396.68
16th Aug PFL 6 3.6 2.0 56% $13.97 $1,396.68 $1,424.61
17th Aug Bellator 204 2 1.4 70% $14.25 $1,424.61 $1,444.43
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 27.22 7.7 28% $14.44 $1,444.43 $1,555.69
30th Aug PFL 7 4.14 3.3 80% $15.56 $1,555.69 $1,607.21
8th Sep UFC 228 14.5 -11.3 -78% $16.07 $1,607.21 $1,425.60
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 18.65 7.3 39% $14.26 $1,425.60 $1,529.43
21st Sep Bellator 205 4 2.1 51% $15.29 $1,529.43 $1,560.82
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 22.6 -14.0 -62% $15.61 $1,560.82 $1,342.31
29th Sep Cage Warriors 97 3.1 2.0 65% $13.42 $1,342.31 $1,369.15
29th Sep Bellator 206 13.5 -4.0 -29% $13.69 $1,369.15 $1,314.93
5th Oct PFL 8 5.75 -1.0 -17% $13.15 $1,314.93 $1,302.44
6th Oct UFC 229 10 -4.3 -43% $13.02 $1,302.44 $1,246.00
12th Oct Bellator 207 4.5 0.7 16% $12.46 $1,246.00 $1,254.72
13th Oct Bellator 208 2 -2.0 -100% $12.55 $1,254.72 $1,229.63
13th Oct PFL 9 3.1 2.0 65% $12.30 $1,229.63 $1,254.22
20th Oct PFL 10 3 0.9 29% $12.54 $1,254.22 $1,264.97
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 11.65 15.4 132% $12.65 $1,264.97 $1,460.09
3rd Nov UFC 230 5 4.0 81% $14.60 $1,460.09 $1,518.93
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 18.59 3.1 17% $15.19 $1,518.93 $1,565.74
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 16 -1.4 -8% $15.66 $1,565.74 $1,544.61
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 14.25 9.8 69% $15.45 $1,544.61 $1,695.91
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 3.7 1.0 27% $16.96 $1,695.91 $1,712.87
30th Nov TUF Finale 4 1.6 41% $17.13 $1,712.87 $1,740.84
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 7 6.6 94% $17.41 $1,740.84 $1,855.51
8th Dec UFC 231 13.47 3.0 22% $18.56 $1,855.51 $1,911.05
15th Dec Bellator 212 10.08 -1.0 -10% $19.11 $1,911.05 $1,891.94
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 11 8.5 77% $18.92 $1,891.94 $2,051.98
15th Dec Bellator 213 7 -3.1 -44% $20.52 $2,051.98 $1,989.23
29th Dec UFC 232 15 -1.5 -10% $19.89 $1,989.23 $1,959.73
31st Dec Rizin 14 2.5 -2.5 -100% $19.60 $1,959.73 $1,910.74
31st Dec PFL 11: Finals 2.5 3.8 150% $19.11 $1,910.74 $1,982.39
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 19 -10.2 -53% $19.82 $1,982.39 $1,781.17


ROI % from starting bank balance: 78.12% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Magomed Magomedkerimov Ray Cooper III 2.50 2.5 Sub, R2 (2:18) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Curtis Millender Siyar Bahadurzada 1.69 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Montel Jackson Brian Kelleher 1.69 4 Sub, R1 (1:40) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Lyoto Machida Rafael Carvalho 1.97 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Jack Hermansson Gerald Meerschaert 1.69 3 Sub, R1 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Rob Font Sergio Pettis 1.65 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Edson Barboza Daniel Hooker 1.95 4 TKO, R3 (2:19) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Valentina Shevchenko Joanna Jedrzejczyk 1.33 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Elias Theodorou Eryk Anders 1.95 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Kamaru Usman Rafael dos Anjos 1.41 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Deron Winn Tom Lawlor 1.74 2.7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 Alistair Overeem Sergey Pavlovich 2.05 2.5 TKO, R1 (4:21) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Rashad Coulter Hu Yaozong 1.57 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Santiago Ponzinibbio Neil Magny 1.40 5 TKO, R4 (2:22) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Ian Heinisch Cezar Ferreira 2.55 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '18 Weili Zhang Jessica Aguilar 1.57 1.75 Sub, R1 (3:41) MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '18 Sean Strickland Nordine Taleb 2.15 4.5 TKO, R2 (3:10) MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '18 Talita Bernardo Sarah Moras 2.85 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '18 Chris Wade Robert Watley 1.67 1.5 Split Decision (2 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '18 Chris Wade Robert Watley 1.63 1.6 Split Decision (2 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 Darrion Caldwell Kyoji Horiguchi 1.51 2.5 Sub, R3 (1:19) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '19 T.J. Dillashaw Henry Cejudo 1.48 5 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '19 Alexander Hernandez Donald Cerrone 1.63 4 TKO, R2 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Andre Ewell Nathaniel Wood 1.95 3 Sub, R3 (4:12) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Ilir Latifi Corey Anderson 1.65 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Brian Ortega Max Holloway 2.10 3 TKO, R4 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Chuck Liddell Tito Ortiz 3.40 1 TKO, R1 (4:24) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Poliana Botelho Cynthia Calvillo 1.63 5 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Bartosz Fabinski Michel Prazeres 2.40 3 Sub, R1 (1:2) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '18 Chael Sonnen Fedor Emelianenko 3.10 2 TKO, R1 (4:45) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '18 Felice Herrig Michelle Waterson 1.91 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '18 Kelvin Tiller Jared Rosholt 1.56 1.8 U Decision (2 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '18 Kelvin Tiller Jared Rosholt 1.51 1.95 U Decision (2 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '18 Alexander Volkov Derrick Lewis 1.57 3 TKO, R3 (4:49) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '18 Andrey Koreshkov Douglas Lima 1.71 3 Sub, R5 (3:4) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '18 Hector Lombard Thales Leites 2.10 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Renan Barao Andre Ewell 1.65 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '18 Luis Henrique Ryan Spann 2.35 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '18 Mark Hunt Aleksei Oleinik 1.59 3 Sub, R1 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '18 Alex White Jim Miller 1.71 3 Sub, R1 (1:29) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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