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MMA Handicapper Stats: Wyatt Matheson

Wyatt Matheson (Triton)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	26 (50%)	Right	18 (62%)	Right	1 (50%)	Right	7 (33%)
Wrong	26 (50%)	Wrong	11 (38%)	Wrong	1 (50%)	Wrong	14 (67%)
Avg Odds	1.91	Avg Odds	1.76	Avg Odds	1.82	Avg Odds	2.16
Units Bet	189.5	Units Bet	97.3	Units Bet	3.0	Units Bet	89.3
Avg Bet	3.64	Avg Bet	3.35	Avg Bet	1.50	Avg Bet	4.25
Units Profit	8.57	Units Profit	7.09	Units Profit	-1.80	Units Profit	3.28
ROI %	5%	ROI %	7%	ROI %	-60%	ROI %	4%

Wyatt Matheson: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	8	-8.0	-100%			-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	15.75	-4.1	-26%	1.0 / 5 (20%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-3.1 / 8.75 (-35%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	6	-6.0	-100%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	7.5	5.5	73%	1.7 / 3.5 (47%)		3.8 / 4 (95%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	2.5	0.5	21%	0.3 / 1.5 (22%)	0.2 / 1 (20%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	19	-10.6	-56%	2.4 / 6 (39%)		-13.0 / 13 (-100%)
26th Jan '19	Bellator Los Angeles	5	3.0	61%	3.0 / 5 (61%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	11.25	-7.9	-71%	-4.9 / 8.25 (-60%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
31st Dec '18	Rizin 14	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	15	-8.4	-56%	-8.4 / 15 (-56%)
15th Dec '18	Fight Night Milwaukee	17.5	-17.5	-100%			-17.5 / 17.5 (-100%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	6	-1.9	-32%	2.1 / 2 (103%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	6	4.1	68%			4.1 / 6 (68%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	12	6.6	55%	3.8 / 7 (54%)		2.8 / 5 (56%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	35	51.9	148%	16.3 / 20 (81%)		35.6 / 15 (238%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	15	9.4	63%	3.8 / 10 (38%)		5.6 / 5 (111%)

Winning Events: 7 (41%)
Losing Events: 10 (59%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.15 units
Most Staked On One Event: 35.00 units
Best Event: 51.93 units
Worst Event: -17.50 units
Average Event: 0.50 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 72.01
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -43.75

Wyatt Matheson: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	75	-27.6	-37%	-2.6 / 35.25 (-7%)	-1.8 / 3 (-60%)	-23.3 / 36.75 (-63%)	3 / 5 (38%)	-3.45
2018	114.5	36.2	32%	9.6 / 62 (16%)		26.6 / 52.5 (51%)	4 / 5 (44%)	4.02

Wyatt Matheson: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Wyatt Matheson: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	181.5	8.5	5%	7.0 / 89.25 (8%)	-1.8 / 3 (-60%)	3.3 / 89.25 (4%)
Bellator	5	3.0	61%	3.0 / 5 (61%)
Other	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Wyatt Matheson: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	9 (31%)	7	78 %	39.00	0.05	0.01	0%
Slight Favorites	8 (28%)	5	63 %	25.00	-0.63	-0.08	-3%
Slight Underdogs	8 (28%)	3	38 %	22.25	-9.48	-1.18	-43%
Big Underdogs	4 (14%)	3	75 %	11.00	17.15	4.29	156%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (24%)	5	71 %	24.50	12.04	1.72	49%
Co-Main Event	3 (10%)	2	67 %	12.00	-1.19	-0.40	-10%
Position 3-5	7 (24%)	5	71 %	23.50	1.97	0.28	8%
6+ (Undercard)	12 (41%)	6	50 %	37.25	-5.73	-0.48	-15%

Wyatt Matheson: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	5.00	3.05	3.05	61%
Light Heavy	3 (10%)	1	33 %	13.00	-7.00	-2.33	-54%
Middleweight	4 (14%)	4	100 %	14.50	9.53	2.38	66%
Welterweight	2 (7%)	2	100 %	4.50	2.78	1.39	62%
Lightweight	6 (21%)	3	50 %	17.25	-0.71	-0.12	-4%
Featherweight	4 (14%)	4	100 %	14.00	17.47	4.37	125%
Bantamweight	5 (17%)		0 %	17.00	-17.00	-3.40	-100%

Women's Fights	4 (14%)	3	75 %	12.00	-1.03	-0.26	-9%
Bantamweight	2 (7%)	2	100 %	4.00	2.47	1.23	62%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-5.00	-100%
Strawweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	3.00	1.50	1.50	50%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	48 (87%)	35	73 %
Slight Favorites	3 (5%)	2	67 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (4%)	1	50 %
Big Underdogs	2 (4%)	2	100 %
	55	40	73 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (100%)	0	0 %
50-65%	0 (0%)	0	0 %
35-50%	0 (0%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	1	0	0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (100%)	0	0 %	1.24	1.24	1.24	-1.0 (-100%)
	1	0	0 %	1.24			-1.0 (-100%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Wyatt Matheson's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
3rd Nov	UFC 230	15	9.4	63%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,093.97
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	35	51.9	148%		$10.94	$1,093.97	$1,662.03
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	12	6.6	55%		$16.62	$1,662.03	$1,771.70
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	6	4.1	68%		$17.72	$1,771.70	$1,844.12
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	5	-5.0	-100%		$18.44	$1,844.12	$1,751.92
8th Dec	UFC 231	6	-1.9	-32%		$17.52	$1,751.92	$1,717.93
15th Dec	Fight Night Milwaukee	17.5	-17.5	-100%		$17.18	$1,717.93	$1,417.29
29th Dec	UFC 232	15	-8.4	-56%		$14.17	$1,417.29	$1,298.69
31st Dec	Rizin 14	3	-3.0	-100%		$12.99	$1,298.69	$1,259.73
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	11.25	-7.9	-71%		$12.60	$1,259.73	$1,159.74
26th Jan	Bellator Los Angeles	5	3.0	61%		$11.60	$1,159.74	$1,195.10
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	19	-10.6	-56%		$11.95	$1,195.10	$1,067.82
9th Feb	UFC 234	2.5	0.5	21%		$10.68	$1,067.82	$1,073.51
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	7.5	5.5	73%		$10.74	$1,073.51	$1,132.21
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	6	-6.0	-100%		$11.32	$1,132.21	$1,064.28
2nd Mar	UFC 235	15.75	-4.1	-26%		$10.64	$1,064.28	$1,020.66
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	8	-8.0	-100%		$10.21	$1,020.66	$939.01

ROI % from starting bank balance: -6.10% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Wyatt Matheson: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '19	Vicente Luque	Bryan Barberena	1.30	0.5	TKO, R3 (4:54)
2.	Feb '19	Israel Adesanya	Anderson Silva	1.22	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Feb '19	Markus Perez	Anthony Hernandez	2.70	2	Sub, R2 (1:7)
4.	Feb '19	Markus Perez	Anthony Hernandez	2.95	1	Sub, R2 (1:7)
5.	Jan '19	Donald Cerrone	Alexander Hernandez	2.65	1.25	TKO, R2 (3:43)
6.	Mar '19	Jon Jones	Anthony Smith	1.20	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Feb '19	Cynthia Calvillo	Cortney Casey	1.50	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Dec '18	Curtis Millender	Siyar Bahadurzada	1.66	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Dec '18	Max Holloway	Brian Ortega	2.03	2	TKO, R4 (5:0)
10.	Nov '18	Ricardo Lamas	Darren Elkins	1.61	2	TKO, R3 (4:9)
11.	Nov '18	Ricardo Lamas	Darren Elkins	1.52	5	TKO, R3 (4:9)
12.	Nov '18	Germaine de Randamie	Raquel Pennington	1.61	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Nov '18	Mike Trizano	Luis Pena	4.30	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jan '19	Ryan Bader	Fedor Emelianenko	1.61	5	TKO, R1 (0:35)
15.	Nov '18	Davi Ramos	John Gunther	1.16	4	Sub, R1 (1:57)
16.	Nov '18	Yair Rodriguez	Chan Sung Jung	3.32	5	TKO, R5 (4:59)
17.	Nov '18	Germaine de Randamie	Raquel Pennington	1.63	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Nov '18	Israel Adesanya	Derek Brunson	1.38	10	TKO, R1 (4:51)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '19	Jan Blachowicz	Thiago Santos	2.15	3	TKO, R3 (0:39)	No
2.	Feb '19	John Dodson	Petr Yan	3.50	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '19	David Teymur	Charles Oliveira	2.10	3	Sub, R2 (0:55)	No
4.	Dec '18	Darrion Caldwell	Kyoji Horiguchi	1.65	3	Sub, R3 (1:19)	No
5.	Jan '19	Alexander Hernandez	Donald Cerrone	1.65	2	TKO, R2 (3:43)	No
6.	Jan '19	Ariane Lipski	Joanne Calderwood	1.52	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Dec '18	Andre Ewell	Nathaniel Wood	2.05	6.5	Sub, R3 (4:12)	No
8.	Dec '18	Andre Ewell	Nathaniel Wood	2.08	0.5	Sub, R3 (4:12)	No
9.	Dec '18	Andre Ewell	Nathaniel Wood	2.18	4	Sub, R3 (4:12)	No
10.	Dec '18	Tyson Pedro	Mauricio Rua	1.37	5	TKO, R3 (0:43)	No
11.	Nov '18	Luis Pena	Mike Trizano	1.54	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Wyatt Matheson: Progress Chart

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