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MMA Handicapper Stats: Wyatt Matheson

Wyatt Matheson (Triton)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	49 (51%)	Right	33 (58%)	Right	3 (38%)	Right	13 (42%)
Wrong	47 (49%)	Wrong	24 (42%)	Wrong	5 (63%)	Wrong	18 (58%)
Avg Odds	1.93	Avg Odds	1.80	Avg Odds	2.01	Avg Odds	2.22
Units Bet	380.5	Units Bet	253.5	Units Bet	13.8	Units Bet	113.3
Avg Bet	3.96	Avg Bet	4.45	Avg Bet	1.72	Avg Bet	3.65
Units Profit	47.97	Units Profit	30.17	Units Profit	0.81	Units Profit	16.99
ROI %	13%	ROI %	12%	ROI %	6%	ROI %	15%

Wyatt Matheson: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
24th Jan '21	UFC 257	9.25	-9.3	-100%		-6.3 / 6.25 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
19th Dec '20	UFC Vegas 17	7.5	13.4	179%	4.2 / 5 (83%)	9.2 / 2.5 (370%)
31st Oct '20	UFC Vegas 12	5	1.7	34%	1.7 / 5 (34%)
11th Jul '20	UFC 251	10.5	5.0	48%	5.0 / 10.5 (48%)
30th May '20	UFC Fight Night 172	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
14th Mar '20	UFC Fight Night 169	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
7th Dec '19	UFC on ESPN 7	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
2nd Nov '19	UFC 244	10	-1.4	-14%	-1.4 / 10 (-14%)
28th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 160	4	-4.0	-100%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
14th Sep '19	UFC Fight Night 158	13	1.8	13%	4.3 / 10.5 (40%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
20th Jul '19	UFC on ESPN 4	14.5	16.5	114%	10.1 / 11 (92%)		6.4 / 3.5 (183%)
13th Jul '19	UFC Fight Night 155	3	6.1	202%			6.1 / 3 (202%)
6th Jul '19	UFC 239	10	7.1	71%	8.1 / 9 (90%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Jun '19	UFC on ESPN 3	3	2.0	68%			2.0 / 3 (68%)
22nd Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 154	5	11.3	225%	11.3 / 5 (225%)
8th Jun '19	UFC 238	18.25	-5.6	-31%	-4.6 / 17.25 (-27%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
1st Jun '19	UFC Fight Night 153	5	-5.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
18th May '19	UFC Fight Night 152	3	0.8	27%	0.8 / 3 (27%)
11th May '19	UFC 237	10	-1.0	-10%	-1.0 / 10 (-10%)
4th May '19	UFC Fight Night 150	10	11.2	112%	11.2 / 10 (112%)
27th Apr '19	UFC on ESPN 3	11	-2.3	-21%	-2.9 / 10 (-29%)	0.6 / 1 (61%)
20th Apr '19	UFC Fight Night 149	5	2.4	48%	2.4 / 5 (48%)
13th Apr '19	UFC 236	16	-2.3	-14%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)		7.7 / 6 (128%)
30th Mar '19	UFC on ESPN 2	5	4.0	80%	4.0 / 5 (80%)
23rd Mar '19	UFC Fight Night 148	8	-8.0	-100%			-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19	UFC 235	15.75	-4.1	-26%	1.0 / 5 (20%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-3.1 / 8.75 (-35%)
23rd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 145	6	-6.0	-100%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	7.5	5.5	73%	1.7 / 3.5 (47%)		3.8 / 4 (95%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	2.5	0.5	21%	0.3 / 1.5 (22%)	0.2 / 1 (20%)
2nd Feb '19	UFC Fight Night 144	19	-10.6	-56%	2.4 / 6 (39%)		-13.0 / 13 (-100%)
26th Jan '19	Bellator Los Angeles	5	3.0	61%	3.0 / 5 (61%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	11.25	-7.9	-71%	-4.9 / 8.25 (-60%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
31st Dec '18	Rizin 14	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	15	-8.4	-56%	-8.4 / 15 (-56%)
15th Dec '18	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	17.5	-17.5	-100%			-17.5 / 17.5 (-100%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	6	-1.9	-32%	2.1 / 2 (103%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	6	4.1	68%			4.1 / 6 (68%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	12	6.6	55%	3.8 / 7 (54%)		2.8 / 5 (56%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	35	51.9	148%	16.3 / 20 (81%)		35.6 / 15 (238%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	15	9.4	63%	3.8 / 10 (38%)		5.6 / 5 (111%)

Winning Events: 20 (49%)
Losing Events: 21 (51%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.28 units
Most Staked On One Event: 35.00 units
Best Event: 51.93 units
Worst Event: -17.50 units
Average Event: 1.17 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 72.01
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -43.75

Wyatt Matheson: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2021	9.25	-9.3	-100%		-6.3 / 6.25 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	/ 1 (0%)	-9.25
2020	33	10.1	31%	0.9 / 30.5 (3%)	9.2 / 2.5 (370%)		3 / 2 (60%)	2.02
2019	223.75	10.9	5%	19.7 / 161 (12%)	-2.2 / 5 (-44%)	-6.6 / 57.75 (-11%)	13 / 13 (50%)	0.42
2018	114.5	36.2	32%	9.6 / 62 (16%)		26.6 / 52.5 (51%)	4 / 5 (44%)	4.02

Wyatt Matheson: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Wyatt Matheson: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	372.5	47.9	13%	30.1 / 245.5 (12%)	0.8 / 13.75 (6%)	17.0 / 113.25 (15%)
Bellator	5	3.0	61%	3.0 / 5 (61%)
Other	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Wyatt Matheson: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	16 (24%)	13	81 %	70.50	9.05	0.57	13%
Slight Favorites	27 (41%)	14	52 %	103.25	-11.40	-0.42	-11%
Slight Underdogs	15 (23%)	6	40 %	52.75	-2.73	-0.18	-5%
Big Underdogs	8 (12%)	6	75 %	27.00	35.25	4.41	131%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	15 (23%)	9	60 %	59.50	2.62	0.17	4%
Co-Main Event	10 (15%)	7	70 %	34.50	18.27	1.83	53%
Position 3-5	19 (29%)	13	68 %	78.75	24.17	1.27	31%
6+ (Undercard)	22 (33%)	10	45 %	80.75	-14.89	-0.68	-18%

Wyatt Matheson: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	9 (14%)	7	78 %	32.00	8.63	0.96	27%
Light Heavy	10 (15%)	2	20 %	38.00	-17.25	-1.72	-45%
Middleweight	8 (12%)	6	75 %	32.50	9.53	1.19	29%
Welterweight	10 (15%)	9	90 %	42.50	34.08	3.41	80%
Lightweight	10 (15%)	5	50 %	37.50	-4.54	-0.45	-12%
Featherweight	6 (9%)	5	83 %	22.00	18.17	3.03	83%
Bantamweight	7 (11%)	1	14 %	27.00	-14.50	-2.07	-54%

Women's Fights	6 (9%)	4	67 %	22.00	-3.95	-0.66	-18%
Bantamweight	2 (3%)	2	100 %	4.00	2.47	1.23	62%
Flyweight	1 (2%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-5.00	-100%
Strawweight	3 (5%)	2	67 %	13.00	-1.42	-0.47	-11%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	57 (76%)	43	75 %
Slight Favorites	14 (19%)	9	64 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (3%)	1	50 %
Big Underdogs	2 (3%)	2	100 %
	75	55	73 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (17%)	0	0 %
50-65%	2 (33%)	0	0 %
35-50%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	3 (50%)	1	33 %
	6	1	17 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO	1 (17%)	0	0 %	1.65	1.65	1.65	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (50%)	1	33 %	5.76	9.25	4.70	1.7 (57%)
X Wins Inside Distance	2 (33%)	0	0 %	1.44	1.71	1.24	-2.0 (-100%)
	6	1	17 %	2.38			-1.3 (-22%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Wyatt Matheson's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
3rd Nov	UFC 230	15	9.4	63%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,093.97
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	35	51.9	148%		$10.94	$1,093.97	$1,662.03
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	12	6.6	55%		$16.62	$1,662.03	$1,771.70
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	6	4.1	68%		$17.72	$1,771.70	$1,844.12
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	5	-5.0	-100%		$18.44	$1,844.12	$1,751.92
8th Dec	UFC 231	6	-1.9	-32%		$17.52	$1,751.92	$1,717.93
15th Dec	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	17.5	-17.5	-100%		$17.18	$1,717.93	$1,417.29
29th Dec	UFC 232	15	-8.4	-56%		$14.17	$1,417.29	$1,298.69
31st Dec	Rizin 14	3	-3.0	-100%		$12.99	$1,298.69	$1,259.73
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	11.25	-7.9	-71%		$12.60	$1,259.73	$1,159.74
26th Jan	Bellator Los Angeles	5	3.0	61%		$11.60	$1,159.74	$1,195.10
2nd Feb	UFC Fight Night 144	19	-10.6	-56%		$11.95	$1,195.10	$1,067.82
9th Feb	UFC 234	2.5	0.5	21%		$10.68	$1,067.82	$1,073.51
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	7.5	5.5	73%		$10.74	$1,073.51	$1,132.21
23rd Feb	UFC Fight Night 145	6	-6.0	-100%		$11.32	$1,132.21	$1,064.28
2nd Mar	UFC 235	15.75	-4.1	-26%		$10.64	$1,064.28	$1,020.66
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night 148	8	-8.0	-100%		$10.21	$1,020.66	$939.01
30th Mar	UFC on ESPN 2	5	4.0	80%		$9.39	$939.01	$976.56
13th Apr	UFC 236	16	-2.3	-14%		$9.77	$976.56	$954.02
20th Apr	UFC Fight Night 149	5	2.4	48%		$9.54	$954.02	$977.10
27th Apr	UFC on ESPN 3	11	-2.3	-21%		$9.77	$977.10	$954.52
4th May	UFC Fight Night 150	10	11.2	112%		$9.55	$954.52	$1,061.46
11th May	UFC 237	10	-1.0	-10%		$10.61	$1,061.46	$1,050.85
18th May	UFC Fight Night 152	3	0.8	27%		$10.51	$1,050.85	$1,059.25
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 153	5	-5.0	-100%		$10.59	$1,059.25	$1,006.29
8th Jun	UFC 238	18.25	-5.6	-31%		$10.06	$1,006.29	$949.64
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night 154	5	11.3	225%		$9.50	$949.64	$1,056.48
29th Jun	UFC on ESPN 3	3	2.0	68%		$10.56	$1,056.48	$1,078.05
6th Jul	UFC 239	10	7.1	71%		$10.78	$1,078.05	$1,154.59
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night 155	3	6.1	202%		$11.55	$1,154.59	$1,224.72
20th Jul	UFC on ESPN 4	14.5	16.5	114%		$12.25	$1,224.72	$1,427.14
14th Sep	UFC Fight Night 158	13	1.8	13%		$14.27	$1,427.14	$1,452.12
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night 160	4	-4.0	-100%		$14.52	$1,452.12	$1,394.04
2nd Nov	UFC 244	10	-1.4	-14%		$13.94	$1,394.04	$1,374.84
7th Dec	UFC on ESPN 7	3	-3.0	-100%		$13.75	$1,374.84	$1,333.60
14th Mar	UFC Fight Night 169	5	-5.0	-100%		$13.34	$1,333.60	$1,266.92
30th May	UFC Fight Night 172	5	-5.0	-100%		$12.67	$1,266.92	$1,203.57
11th Jul	UFC 251	10.5	5.0	48%		$12.04	$1,203.57	$1,263.75
31st Oct	UFC Vegas 12	5	1.7	34%		$12.64	$1,263.75	$1,285.17
19th Dec	UFC Vegas 17	7.5	13.4	179%		$12.85	$1,285.17	$1,457.59
24th Jan	UFC 257	9.25	-9.3	-100%		$14.58	$1,457.59	$1,322.77

ROI % from starting bank balance: 32.28% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Wyatt Matheson: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '20	Michel Pereira	Kalinn Williams	1.83	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Oct '20	Greg Hardy	Maurice Greene	1.34	5	TKO, R2 (1:12)
3.	Jul '20	Kamaru Usman	Jorge Masvidal	1.48	10.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
4.	Nov '19	Stephen Thompson	Vicente Luque	1.72	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Sep '19	Misha Cirkunov	Jim Crute	2.95	5	Sub, R1 (3:38)
6.	Jul '19	Walt Harris	Aleksei Oleinik	1.71	1	TKO, R1 (0:12)
7.	Jul '19	Leon Edwards	Rafael dos Anjos	1.77	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
8.	Jul '19	Greg Hardy	Juan Adams	2.15	5	TKO, R1 (0:45)
9.	Jul '19	Walt Harris	Aleksei Oleinik	1.71	3.5	TKO, R1 (0:12)
10.	Jul '19	Jorge Masvidal	Ben Askren	3.10	1	TKO, R1 (0:5)
11.	Jun '19	Randy Brown	Bryan Barberena	3.25	5	TKO, R3 (2:54)
12.	Jun '19	Tony Ferguson	Donald Cerrone	1.74	7.25	TKO, R2 (5:0)
13.	Jul '19	Jorge Masvidal	Ben Askren	2.80	5	TKO, R1 (0:5)
14.	May '19	Davi Ramos	Austin Hubbard	1.27	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	May '19	Jared Cannonier	Anderson Silva	1.80	5	TKO, R1 (4:47)
16.	Apr '19	Angela Hill	Jodie Esquibel	1.42	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Apr '19	Alistair Overeem	Aleksei Oleinik	1.45	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:45)
18.	May '19	Matt Sayles	Kyle Nelson	1.74	5	Sub, R3 (3:16)
19.	May '19	Merab Dvalishvili	Brad Katona	2.50	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Apr '19	Alistair Overeem	Aleksei Oleinik	1.50	3.5	TKO, R1 (4:45)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	May '20	Tyron Woodley	Gilbert Burns	1.77	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	Mar '20	Kevin Lee	Charles Oliveira	1.87	5	Sub, R3 (0:28)	No
3.	Dec '19	Matt Sayles	Bryce Mitchell	1.95	3	Sub, R1 (4:20)	No
4.	Nov '19	Johnny Walker	Corey Anderson	1.67	5	TKO, R1 (2:7)	No
5.	Sep '19	Khalil Rountree	Ion Cutelaba	1.83	4	TKO, R1 (2:35)	No
6.	Sep '19	Nikita Krylov	Glover Teixeira	2.15	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Sep '19	Marcin Tybura	Augusto Sakai	1.91	2.5	TKO, R1 (0:59)	No
8.	Sep '19	Nikita Krylov	Glover Teixeira	1.74	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jul '19	Luke Rockhold	Jan Blachowicz	1.67	3	TKO, R2 (1:39)	No
10.	Jun '19	Bevon Lewis	Darren Stewart	1.61	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Jun '19	Donald Cerrone	Tony Ferguson	2.60	5	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
12.	Jun '19	Alexander Gustafsson	Anthony Smith	1.41	3	Sub, R4 (2:38)	No
13.	Apr '19	Eryk Anders	Khalil Rountree	1.65	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Apr '19	Andre Soukhamthath	Montel Jackson	4.55	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Apr '19	Andrei Arlovski	Augusto Sakai	2.25	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	May '19	Rose Namajunas	Jessica Andrade	2.45	5	TKO, R2 (2:58)	No
17.	Feb '19	Jan Blachowicz	Thiago Santos	2.15	3	TKO, R3 (0:39)	No
18.	Feb '19	John Dodson	Petr Yan	3.50	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Feb '19	David Teymur	Charles Oliveira	2.10	3	Sub, R2 (0:55)	No
20.	Dec '18	Darrion Caldwell	Kyoji Horiguchi	1.65	3	Sub, R3 (1:19)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Wyatt Matheson: Progress Chart

Chart

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