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Profitable MMA Handicappers: 572

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Louie Knuxx

Louie Knuxx (louieknuxx)


MMA MHandicapper - Louie Knuxx

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 110 (48%) Right 56 (57%) Right 8 (35%) Right 46 (43%)
Wrong 118 (52%) Wrong 43 (43%) Wrong 15 (65%) Wrong 60 (57%)
Avg Odds 2.28 Avg Odds 2.06 Avg Odds 2.54 Avg Odds 2.47
Units Bet 654.6 Units Bet 353.6 Units Bet 41.0 Units Bet 260.0
Avg Bet 2.87 Avg Bet 3.57 Avg Bet 1.78 Avg Bet 2.45
Units Profit 62.77 Units Profit 49.25 Units Profit -12.64 Units Profit 26.16
ROI % 10% ROI % 14% ROI % -31% ROI % 10%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 25.5 -14.9 -59% -7.0 / 12 (-59%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -6.9 / 12.5 (-55%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 28.5 -2.1 -7% 0.3 / 13 (2%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -0.9 / 14 (-6%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 23 -9.7 -42% 2.0 / 7.5 (27%) 1.3 / 2.5 (52%) -13.0 / 13 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 27.5 2.6 9% -1.8 / 9.5 (-19%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 5.4 / 17 (32%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 6 1.3 22% 1.3 / 6 (22%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 22.5 10.5 47% 6.0 / 7 (86%) 2.8 / 2.5 (110%) 1.7 / 13 (13%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 15 -1.5 -10% -1.6 / 6.5 (-25%) 0.1 / 8.5 (1%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 20.5 -4.7 -23% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) -1.2 / 17 (-7%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 19 6.3 33% 9.2 / 3 (305%) -2.8 / 16 (-18%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 16.5 -1.5 -9% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.5 / 13.5 (11%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 25.1 10.6 42% 1.2 / 10.1 (12%) 9.4 / 15 (63%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 3 2.5 84% 2.5 / 3 (84%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 18 -4.8 -27% -1.5 / 10 (-15%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.4 / 7 (-34%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 25.5 -8.9 -35% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%) 2.1 / 14.5 (15%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 18 -4.8 -27% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -1.8 / 15 (-12%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 20 23.2 116% 16.2 / 13 (124%) 7.1 / 7 (101%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 21 17.1 81% 8.5 / 14 (61%) 8.5 / 7 (122%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 25 -9.9 -39% -7.6 / 14 (-54%) -0.5 / 5 (-10%) -1.8 / 6 (-30%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 19 18.4 97% 10.0 / 9 (111%) 1.4 / 1 (140%) 7.0 / 9 (78%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 22 1.7 8% 0.2 / 15 (1%) 3.5 / 1 (350%) -1.9 / 6 (-32%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 35 9.1 26% 8.4 / 27 (31%) 2.3 / 1 (230%) -1.6 / 7 (-22%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 30 -8.1 -27% -4.1 / 26 (-16%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 24 8.7 36% 4.7 / 14 (33%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 7.0 / 7 (100%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 30 10.5 35% 8.0 / 21 (38%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 4.4 / 7 (63%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 15.5 12.6 81% 6.1 / 13 (47%) 0.9 / 1.5 (57%) 5.7 / 1 (567%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 22 -14.8 -67% -1.8 / 9 (-20%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 24 -8.7 -36% -4.7 / 20 (-23%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 25 8.8 35% 5.3 / 23 (23%) 3.5 / 2 (174%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 25.5 9.9 39% 2.4 / 21.5 (11%) 1.3 / 1 (125%) 6.2 / 3 (208%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 19 7.4 39% 7.4 / 19 (39%)
13th Apr '18 Bellator 197 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)


Winning Events: 17 (55%)
Losing Events: 14 (45%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 654.6 62.8 10% 49.2 / 353.6 (14%) -12.6 / 41 (-31%) 26.2 / 260 (10%) 17 / 14 (55%) 2.02

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 647.6 64.3 10% 53.2 / 349.6 (15%) -12.6 / 41 (-31%) 23.6 / 257 (9%)
Bellator 7 -1.5 -21% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 2.5 / 3 (84%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 7 (7%) 5 71 % 37.00 3.90 0.56 11%
Slight Favorites 40 (40%) 23 58 % 167.50 -3.03 -0.08 -2%
Slight Underdogs 34 (34%) 20 59 % 106.60 38.47 1.13 36%
Big Underdogs 18 (18%) 8 44 % 42.50 9.92 0.55 23%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 12 (12%) 11 92 % 41.00 40.65 3.39 99%
Co-Main Event 8 (8%) 3 38 % 23.50 -2.22 -0.28 -9%
Position 3-5 31 (31%) 13 42 % 113.50 -22.30 -0.72 -20%
6+ (Undercard) 47 (47%) 29 62 % 172.60 36.12 0.77 21%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 11 (11%) 7 64 % 31.00 15.61 1.42 50%
Light Heavy 8 (8%) 6 75 % 30.00 11.68 1.46 39%
Middleweight 8 (8%) 5 63 % 28.00 7.40 0.93 26%
Welterweight 18 (18%) 11 61 % 61.60 11.02 0.61 18%
Lightweight 16 (16%) 11 69 % 68.00 21.94 1.37 32%
Featherweight 11 (11%) 4 36 % 35.50 -12.36 -1.12 -35%
Bantamweight 9 (9%) 4 44 % 33.50 1.20 0.13 4%
Flyweight 7 (7%) 3 43 % 25.00 -1.96 -0.28 -8%
               
Women's Fights 11 (11%) 5 45 % 41.00 -5.28 -0.48 -13%
Featherweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 7.00 -0.72 -0.36 -10%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 9.00 3.00 1.50 33%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -4.00 -100%
Strawweight 6 (6%) 3 50 % 21.00 -3.56 -0.59 -17%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 169 (71%) 139 82 %
Slight Favorites 47 (20%) 27 57 %
Slight Underdogs 19 (8%) 10 53 %
Big Underdogs 2 (1%) 1 50 %
237 177 75 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 21 (36%) 15 71 %
50-65% 13 (22%) 4 31 %
35-50% 11 (19%) 5 45 %
<35% chance 14 (24%) 5 36 %
59 29 49 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.72 1.72Pick was correct 1.72Pick was correct 0.7 (72%)
Goes to Decision 1 (2%) 0 0 % 1.24 1.24Pick was incorrect 1.24Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision 21 (36%) 14 67 % 1.40 2.52Pick was incorrect 1.11Pick was correct -2.1 (-10%)
X Wins by KO 4 (7%) 2 50 % 2.40 2.95Pick was correct 1.67Pick was incorrect 1.8 (46%)
X Wins by Sub 9 (15%) 4 44 % 3.94 23.00Pick was incorrect 2.40Pick was correct 1.6 (18%)
X Wins by Decision 6 (10%) 2 33 % 2.42 4.50Pick was correct 1.50Pick was correct 0.0 (0%)
X Wins Inside Distance 8 (14%) 3 38 % 1.75 2.73Pick was incorrect 1.27Pick was correct -3.6 (-45%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (2%) 0 0 % 3.75 3.75Pick was incorrect 3.75Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 8 (14%) 3 38 % 2.01 3.30Pick was correct 1.40Pick was incorrect -0.8 (-10%)
59 29 49 % 1.87     -4.4 (-7%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
13th Apr Bellator 197 4 -4.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $960.00
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 19 7.4 39% $9.60 $960.00 $1,031.04
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 25.5 9.9 39% $10.31 $1,031.04 $1,133.43
12th May UFC 224 25 8.8 35% $11.33 $1,133.43 $1,232.76
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 24 -8.7 -36% $12.33 $1,232.76 $1,125.76
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 22 -14.8 -67% $11.26 $1,125.76 $959.14
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 15.5 12.6 81% $9.59 $959.14 $1,079.84
9th Jun UFC 225 30 10.5 35% $10.80 $1,079.84 $1,192.83
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 24 8.7 36% $11.93 $1,192.83 $1,296.07
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 30 -8.1 -27% $12.96 $1,296.07 $1,191.61
7th Jul UFC 226 35 9.1 26% $11.92 $1,191.61 $1,300.46
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 22 1.7 8% $13.00 $1,300.46 $1,323.12
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 19 18.4 97% $13.23 $1,323.12 $1,567.02
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 25 -9.9 -39% $15.67 $1,567.02 $1,412.39
4th Aug UFC 227 21 17.1 81% $14.12 $1,412.39 $1,653.30
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 20 23.2 116% $16.53 $1,653.30 $2,037.03
8th Sep UFC 228 18 -4.8 -27% $20.37 $2,037.03 $1,938.49
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 25.5 -8.9 -35% $19.38 $1,938.49 $1,766.08
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 18 -4.8 -27% $17.66 $1,766.08 $1,680.46
29th Sep Bellator 206 3 2.5 84% $16.80 $1,680.46 $1,722.57
6th Oct UFC 229 25.1 10.6 42% $17.23 $1,722.57 $1,905.46
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 16.5 -1.5 -9% $19.05 $1,905.46 $1,876.95
3rd Nov UFC 230 19 6.3 33% $18.77 $1,876.95 $1,996.07
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 20.5 -4.7 -23% $19.96 $1,996.07 $1,902.16
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 15 -1.5 -10% $19.02 $1,902.16 $1,873.35
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 22.5 10.5 47% $18.73 $1,873.35 $2,070.25
30th Nov TUF Finale 6 1.3 22% $20.70 $2,070.25 $2,096.96
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 27.5 2.6 9% $20.97 $2,096.96 $2,150.70
8th Dec UFC 231 23 -9.7 -42% $21.51 $2,150.70 $1,942.08
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 28.5 -2.1 -7% $19.42 $1,942.08 $1,901.40
29th Dec UFC 232 25.5 -14.9 -59% $19.01 $1,901.40 $1,617.33


ROI % from starting bank balance: 61.73% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Alex Volkanovski Chad Mendes 2.48 2 TKO, R2 (4:14) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Rob Font Sergio Pettis 1.58 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Mike Rodriguez Adam Milstead 2.78 2.5 TKO, R1 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Elias Theodorou Eryk Anders 1.90 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Tony Martin Jake Matthews 2.20 3.5 Sub, R3 (1:19) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Alistair Overeem Sergey Pavlovich 2.06 3 TKO, R1 (4:21) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Li Jingliang David Zawada 1.71 4 TKO, R3 (4:7) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Johnny Walker Khalil Rountree 3.27 1.5 TKO, R1 (1:57) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Adam Wieczorek 4.10 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Adam Wieczorek 4.00 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '18 Tony Martin Ryan LaFlare 2.75 2.1 TKO, R3 (1:0) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '18 Tony Martin Ryan LaFlare 2.75 2 TKO, R3 (1:0) MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '18 Thiago Santos Eryk Anders 1.71 5 TKO, R3 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '18 Justin Gaethje James Vick 2.38 4 TKO, R1 (1:27) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '18 Rani Yahya Luke Sanders 1.90 3 Sub, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '18 Justin Gaethje James Vick 2.37 2 TKO, R1 (1:27) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '18 Justin Gaethje James Vick 2.30 4 TKO, R1 (1:27) MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '18 Sheymon da Silva Moraes Matt Sayles 1.90 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '18 J.J. Aldrich Polyana Viana 2.86 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '18 Sheymon da Silva Moraes Matt Sayles 2.00 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 Andrei Arlovski Walt Harris 2.37 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Andre Ewell Nathaniel Wood 2.16 4 Sub, R3 (4:12) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Cat Zingano Megan Anderson 1.71 3 TKO, R1 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Daniel Hooker Edson Barboza 1.90 2.5 TKO, R3 (2:19) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Daniel Hooker Edson Barboza 1.71 4 TKO, R3 (2:19) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Kyle Bochniak Hakeem Dawodu 2.59 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Mark Hunt Justin Willis 1.90 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Tai Tuivasa Junior dos Santos 2.40 3 TKO, R2 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Bartosz Fabinski Michel Prazeres 3.27 2 Sub, R1 (1:2) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Poliana Botelho Cynthia Calvillo 1.74 3 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Thiago Moises Beneil Dariush 2.50 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '18 Jessin Ayari Stevie Ray 2.53 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '18 Tonya Evinger Aspen Ladd 2.40 3 TKO, R1 (3:26) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '18 Sergio Pettis Jussier Formiga 1.70 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '18 Carlo Pedersoli Jr. Alex Oliveira 4.00 1 TKO, R1 (0:39) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '18 Gillian Robertson Mayra Bueno Silva 2.00 4 Sub, R1 (4:55) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Andrei Arlovski Shamil Abdurakhimov 2.00 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '18 Cody Stamann Aljamain Sterling 2.13 3 Sub, R2 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '18 Jose Torres Alex Perez 2.29 3 TKO, R1 (3:36) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '18 Brett Johns Pedro Munhoz 3.62 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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