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Total MMA Handicappers: 1540
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 650

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Mma Value

Mma Value (MmaValue)


MMA MHandicapper - Mma Value

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 68 (49%) Right 43 (45%) Right 14 (61%) Right 11 (50%)
Wrong 72 (51%) Wrong 52 (55%) Wrong 9 (39%) Wrong 11 (50%)
Avg Odds 2.23 Avg Odds 2.23 Avg Odds 2.19 Avg Odds 2.25
Units Bet 343.3 Units Bet 250.8 Units Bet 46.5 Units Bet 46.0
Avg Bet 2.45 Avg Bet 2.64 Avg Bet 2.02 Avg Bet 2.09
Units Profit 42.56 Units Profit 20.81 Units Profit 17.21 Units Profit 4.54
ROI % 12% ROI % 8% ROI % 37% ROI % 10%
View Handicapper's Profile

Mma Value: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 5.5 -0.8 -15% 1.2 / 3.5 (34%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 9 -4.1 -46% -4.1 / 9 (-46%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 2 1.9 95% 1.9 / 2 (95%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 5 0.2 4% 0.2 / 5 (4%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 5 0.2 4% 0.2 / 5 (4%)
31st Dec '18 PFL 11: Finals 18 -0.6 -3% -0.6 / 18 (-3%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 11 7.1 65% 7.1 / 11 (65%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 10 10.1 101% 5.0 / 2 (250%) 2.4 / 4 (61%) 2.7 / 4 (68%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 9 0.0 0% 2.5 / 6.5 (38%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 3 3.3 110% 3.3 / 3 (110%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 3 -1.0 -33% -1.0 / 3 (-33%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 6 4.2 70% 4.2 / 6 (70%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 11 6.7 61% 6.7 / 11 (61%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 10 4.3 43% 4.3 / 3 (142%) 2.0 / 5 (41%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 7.5 6.5 87% 9.0 / 5 (180%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th Oct '18 PFL 9 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 10 2.6 26% 2.9 / 2 (145%) 2.7 / 5 (54%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
5th Oct '18 PFL 8 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 3 1.7 57% 1.7 / 3 (57%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 3 4.1 137% 4.1 / 3 (137%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 10 -6.9 -69% -6.9 / 10 (-69%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 15 -9.2 -62% -8.7 / 14.5 (-60%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
30th Aug '18 PFL 7 2 3.2 160% 3.2 / 2 (160%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 7 -2.9 -41% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 2.1 / 2 (107%)
16th Aug '18 PFL 6 3 2.6 87% 2.6 / 3 (87%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 18 11.6 65% 5.5 / 9 (61%) 3.9 / 7 (56%) 2.2 / 2 (110%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 11 7.3 66% 4.2 / 9 (46%) 3.1 / 2 (155%)
24th Jul '18 DWTNCS 14 5 -5.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
17th Jul '18 DWTNCS 13 5 2.2 43% 2.2 / 5 (43%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 11 -2.0 -18% -2.0 / 11 (-18%)
14th Jul '18 Bellator 203 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Jul '18 Bellator 202 2 3.3 165% 3.3 / 2 (165%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 11 -6.3 -57% -4.3 / 9 (-48%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 4 6.8 170% 6.8 / 4 (170%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 8.5 4.2 50% 2.2 / 7.5 (29%) 2.0 / 1 (200%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 15 11.4 76% 8.4 / 12 (70%) 1.1 / 1 (110%) 1.9 / 2 (94%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 10 -3.1 -31% -3.1 / 10 (-31%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 10 -5.8 -58% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.8 / 7 (-40%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 12 7.9 66% 3.6 / 4 (90%) 4.3 / 8 (54%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 10 -3.9 -39% -7.0 / 7 (-100%) 3.1 / 3 (104%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 10 2.2 22% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 7.2 / 5 (144%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 10 -4.8 -48% -4.8 / 10 (-48%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 6.8 -0.6 -9% -0.6 / 6.8 (-9%)


Winning Events: 25 (54%)
Losing Events: 21 (46%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.42 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.00 units
Best Event: 11.64 units
Worst Event: -9.25 units
Average Event: 0.97 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 22.41
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -16.15

Mma Value: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 26.5 -2.6 -10% -3.7 / 19 (-19%) 1.2 / 3.5 (34%) -0.1 / 4 (-2%) 3 / 2 (60%) -0.52
2018 314.8 47.2 15% 24.5 / 231.8 (11%) 16.0 / 43 (37%) 6.6 / 40 (17%) 22 / 19 (54%) 1.15

Mma Value: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Mma Value: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 294.3 46.2 16% 18.9 / 207.3 (9%) 20.7 / 43 (48%) 6.5 / 44 (15%)
Bellator 11.5 -1.5 -13% -1.0 / 11 (-9%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
PFL 25.5 2.7 11% 2.7 / 25.5 (11%)
Other 10 -2.8 -28% 0.2 / 7 (2%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Mma Value: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (6%) 4 67 % 33.00 -3.61 -0.60 -11%
Slight Favorites 29 (31%) 16 55 % 109.60 9.18 0.32 8%
Slight Underdogs 34 (36%) 16 47 % 74.50 15.25 0.45 20%
Big Underdogs 26 (27%) 7 27 % 33.70 0.00 0.00 0%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 18 (19%) 8 44 % 34.70 5.99 0.33 17%
Co-Main Event 9 (9%) 3 33 % 20.50 -5.40 -0.60 -26%
Position 3-5 31 (33%) 10 32 % 84.80 -11.69 -0.38 -14%
6+ (Undercard) 37 (39%) 22 59 % 110.80 31.92 0.86 29%

Mma Value: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 9 (9%) 3 33 % 19.00 -1.85 -0.21 -10%
Light Heavy 9 (9%) 3 33 % 18.80 -3.38 -0.38 -18%
Middleweight 10 (11%) 4 40 % 28.00 -4.80 -0.48 -17%
Welterweight 20 (21%) 9 45 % 55.00 5.94 0.30 11%
Lightweight 18 (19%) 8 44 % 57.00 -7.10 -0.39 -12%
Featherweight 10 (11%) 4 40 % 15.50 1.02 0.10 7%
Bantamweight 8 (8%) 3 38 % 17.50 -2.48 -0.31 -14%
Flyweight 5 (5%) 3 60 % 12.00 5.60 1.12 47%
               
Women's Fights 6 (6%) 6 100 % 28.00 27.87 4.64 100%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 3.00 2.00 2.00 67%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 2 100 % 16.00 15.67 7.83 98%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 2 100 % 7.00 7.20 3.60 103%
Strawweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 2.00 3.00 3.00 150%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 32 (71%) 24 75 %
Slight Favorites 10 (22%) 6 60 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (4%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 1 (2%) 0 0 %
45 31 69 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 7 (25%) 6 86 %
50-65% 8 (29%) 7 88 %
35-50% 5 (18%) 4 80 %
<35% chance 8 (29%) 2 25 %
28 19 68 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (18%) 5 100 % 1.60 1.83Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 3.1 (62%)
Goes to Decision 6 (21%) 5 83 % 1.38 1.41Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 0.9 (15%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (7%) 2 100 % 1.57 1.61Pick was correct 1.54Pick was correct 1.1 (57%)
X Wins by KO 3 (11%) 2 67 % 2.25 3.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct 1.0 (33%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (7%) 0 0 % 6.00 9.00Pick was incorrect 4.50Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.87 1.87Pick was correct 1.87Pick was correct 0.9 (87%)
X Wins Inside Distance 7 (25%) 3 43 % 3.22 6.10Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.5 (21%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 2 (7%) 1 50 % 1.89 2.00Pick was correct 1.80Pick was incorrect 0.0 (0%)
28 19 68 % 1.97     6.5 (23%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mma Value's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
7th Apr UFC 223 6.8 -0.6 -9% $10.00 $1,000.00 $993.70
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 10 -4.8 -48% $9.94 $993.70 $946.22
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 10 2.2 22% $9.46 $946.22 $967.23
12th May UFC 224 10 -3.9 -39% $9.67 $967.23 $929.59
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 12 7.9 66% $9.30 $929.59 $1,003.03
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 10 -5.8 -58% $10.03 $1,003.03 $944.86
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 10 -3.1 -31% $9.45 $944.86 $915.12
9th Jun UFC 225 15 11.4 76% $9.15 $915.12 $1,019.48
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 8.5 4.2 50% $10.19 $1,019.48 $1,062.38
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 4 6.8 170% $10.62 $1,062.38 $1,134.63
7th Jul UFC 226 11 -6.3 -57% $11.35 $1,134.63 $1,063.15
13th Jul Bellator 202 2 3.3 165% $10.63 $1,063.15 $1,098.23
14th Jul Bellator 203 2 -2.0 -100% $10.98 $1,098.23 $1,076.26
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 11 -2.0 -18% $10.76 $1,076.26 $1,054.74
17th Jul DWTNCS 13 5 2.2 43% $10.55 $1,054.74 $1,077.67
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 5 -5.0 -100% $10.78 $1,077.67 $1,023.78
24th Jul DWTNCS 14 5 -5.0 -100% $10.24 $1,023.78 $972.60
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 11 7.3 66% $9.73 $972.60 $1,043.16
4th Aug UFC 227 18 11.6 65% $10.43 $1,043.16 $1,164.59
16th Aug PFL 6 3 2.6 87% $11.65 $1,164.59 $1,194.97
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 7 -2.9 -41% $11.95 $1,194.97 $1,160.79
30th Aug PFL 7 2 3.2 160% $11.61 $1,160.79 $1,197.93
8th Sep UFC 228 15 -9.2 -62% $11.98 $1,197.93 $1,087.12
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 10 -6.9 -69% $10.87 $1,087.12 $1,012.11
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 3 4.1 137% $10.12 $1,012.11 $1,053.63
29th Sep Bellator 206 3 1.7 57% $10.54 $1,053.63 $1,071.55
5th Oct PFL 8 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.72 $1,071.55 $1,066.19
6th Oct UFC 229 10 2.6 26% $10.66 $1,066.19 $1,093.94
12th Oct Bellator 207 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.94 $1,093.94 $1,077.53
13th Oct Bellator 208 3 -3.0 -100% $10.78 $1,077.53 $1,045.20
13th Oct PFL 9 2 -2.0 -100% $10.45 $1,045.20 $1,024.30
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 7.5 6.5 87% $10.24 $1,024.30 $1,090.88
3rd Nov UFC 230 10 4.3 43% $10.91 $1,090.88 $1,137.69
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 11 6.7 61% $11.38 $1,137.69 $1,213.54
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 6 4.2 70% $12.14 $1,213.54 $1,264.77
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 3 -1.0 -33% $12.65 $1,264.77 $1,252.13
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 3 3.3 110% $12.52 $1,252.13 $1,293.45
8th Dec UFC 231 9 0.0 0% $12.93 $1,293.45 $1,293.45
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 10 10.1 101% $12.93 $1,293.45 $1,424.50
29th Dec UFC 232 11 7.1 65% $14.24 $1,424.50 $1,525.59
31st Dec PFL 11: Finals 18 -0.6 -3% $15.26 $1,525.59 $1,516.58
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 5 0.2 4% $15.17 $1,516.58 $1,519.62
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 5 0.2 4% $15.20 $1,519.62 $1,522.66
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 2 1.9 95% $15.23 $1,522.66 $1,551.66
2nd Mar UFC 235 9 -4.1 -46% $15.52 $1,551.66 $1,488.04
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 5.5 -0.8 -15% $14.88 $1,488.04 $1,475.75


ROI % from starting bank balance: 47.57% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mma Value: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '19 Francis Ngannou Cain Velasquez 2.60 2 TKO, R1 (0:26) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '19 Mara Romero Borella Taila Santos 2.60 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Kamaru Usman Tyron Woodley 2.45 2 U Decision (5 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Kayla Harrison Moriel Charneski 1.12 11 TKO, R1 (3:39) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Magomed Magomedkerimov Ray Cooper III 2.55 2 Sub, R2 (2:18) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Curtis Millender Siyar Bahadurzada 1.65 11 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Zak Ottow Dwight Grant 3.50 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Max Holloway Brian Ortega 1.80 2.5 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Gilbert Burns Olivier Aubin-Mercier 2.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Wilson Reis Ben Nguyen 2.10 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Michel Prazeres Bartosz Fabinski 1.74 3 Sub, R1 (1:2) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 Cynthia Calvillo Poliana Botelho 2.50 2 Sub, R1 (4:48) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Germaine de Randamie Raquel Pennington 1.61 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Jordan Rinaldi Jason Knight 3.25 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Sheymon da Silva Moraes Julio Arce 4.00 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '18 Talita Bernardo Sarah Moras 2.80 5 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Douglas Lima Andrey Koreshkov 2.35 2 Sub, R5 (3:4) MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '18 Jussier Formiga Sergio Pettis 2.45 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '18 Francisco Trinaldo Evan Dunham 1.53 2 TKO, R2 (4:12) MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '18 Rogerio Nogueira Sam Alvey 4.05 1 TKO, R2 (0:35) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '19 Mickey Gall Diego Sanchez 1.42 5 TKO, R2 (4:13) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Misha Cirkunov Johnny Walker 2.30 2 TKO, R1 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '19 James Vick Paul Felder 1.87 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '19 Raphael Assuncao Marlon Moraes 2.90 2 Sub, R1 (3:17) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '19 Justin Ledet Johnny Walker 3.25 1 TKO, R1 (0:15) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Abusupiyan Magomedov Louis Taylor 1.43 5 TKO, R1 (0:33) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Alex Oliveira Gunnar Nelson 2.25 2 Sub, R2 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Neil Magny Santiago Ponzinibbio 3.60 1 TKO, R4 (2:22) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Derrick Lewis Daniel Cormier 5.85 1 Sub, R2 (2:14) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '18 Robert Watley Chris Wade 2.10 2 Split Decision (2 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '18 Timothy Johnson Cheick Kongo 1.77 3 TKO, R1 (3:49) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '18 Max Coga Lance Palmer 7.07 0.5 U Decision (2 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '18 Matt Mitrione Ryan Bader 3.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '18 Rory MacDonald Gegard Mousasi 3.40 1 TKO, R2 (3:23) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '18 C.B. Dollaway Khalid Murtazaliev 2.35 3 TKO, R2 (5:0) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '18 Andrei Arlovski Shamil Abdurakhimov 2.05 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Nikita Krylov Jan Blachowicz 1.87 3 Sub, R2 (2:41) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '18 Niko Price Abdul Razak Alhassan 2.10 2 TKO, R1 (0:43) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '18 John Dodson Jimmie Rivera 2.30 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '18 Alex White Jim Miller 1.77 5 Sub, R1 (1:29) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mma Value: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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