MMA Handicapper Stats: FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0 |
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FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 5 (45%) Losing Events: 6 (55%)
Average Staked Per Event: 12.91 units Most Staked On One Event: 19.00 units Best Event: 15.65 units Worst Event: -15.00 units Average Event: 0.01 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 32.40 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -30.24 |
FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2019 |
20 |
-0.9 |
-4% |
-0.9 / 20 (-4%) |
|
|
1 / 1 (50%) |
-0.44 |
2018 |
122 |
1.0 |
1% |
1.0 / 122 (1%) |
|
|
4 / 5 (44%) |
0.11 |
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FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
142 |
0.1 |
0% |
0.1 / 142 (0%) |
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FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
9 (14%) |
7 |
78 % |
13.00 |
1.33 |
0.15 |
10% |
Slight Favorites |
13 (20%) |
5 |
38 % |
40.00 |
-13.66 |
-1.05 |
-34% |
Slight Underdogs |
25 (38%) |
12 |
48 % |
61.00 |
9.55 |
0.38 |
16% |
Big Underdogs |
18 (28%) |
4 |
22 % |
28.00 |
2.90 |
0.16 |
10% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
6 (9%) |
3 |
50 % |
11.00 |
-1.75 |
-0.29 |
-16% |
Co-Main Event |
6 (9%) |
3 |
50 % |
10.00 |
4.41 |
0.73 |
44% |
Position 3-5 |
19 (29%) |
8 |
42 % |
42.00 |
-3.06 |
-0.16 |
-7% |
6+ (Undercard) |
34 (52%) |
14 |
41 % |
79.00 |
0.53 |
0.02 |
1% |
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FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
4 (6%) |
3 |
75 % |
9.00 |
12.55 |
3.14 |
139% |
Light Heavy |
4 (6%) |
4 |
100 % |
10.00 |
8.91 |
2.23 |
89% |
Middleweight |
13 (20%) |
6 |
46 % |
30.00 |
1.18 |
0.09 |
4% |
Welterweight |
11 (17%) |
2 |
18 % |
26.00 |
-19.79 |
-1.80 |
-76% |
Lightweight |
5 (8%) |
1 |
20 % |
9.00 |
-0.30 |
-0.06 |
-3% |
Featherweight |
9 (14%) |
5 |
56 % |
17.00 |
6.34 |
0.70 |
37% |
Bantamweight |
6 (9%) |
2 |
33 % |
15.00 |
-5.55 |
-0.92 |
-37% |
Flyweight |
2 (3%) |
|
0 % |
6.00 |
-6.00 |
-3.00 |
-100% |
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|
|
|
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|
|
Women's Fights |
11 (17%) |
5 |
45 % |
20.00 |
2.78 |
0.25 |
14% |
Featherweight |
2 (3%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.00 |
-0.69 |
-0.35 |
-35% |
Bantamweight |
3 (5%) |
2 |
67 % |
7.00 |
3.24 |
1.08 |
46% |
Flyweight |
1 (2%) |
|
0 % |
2.00 |
-2.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
5 (8%) |
2 |
40 % |
9.00 |
2.23 |
0.45 |
25% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
<35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
|
|
0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
3rd Mar |
UFC 222 |
19 |
7.9 |
42% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,078.96 |
17th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 127 |
7 |
15.6 |
224% |
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$10.79 |
$1,078.96 |
$1,247.82 |
7th Apr |
UFC 223 |
14 |
8.9 |
63% |
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$12.48 |
$1,247.82 |
$1,358.34 |
14th Apr |
UFC on Fox 29 |
15 |
-2.8 |
-19% |
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$13.58 |
$1,358.34 |
$1,319.63 |
21st Apr |
UFC Fight Night 128 |
10 |
-4.3 |
-43% |
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$13.20 |
$1,319.63 |
$1,262.88 |
12th May |
UFC 224 |
19 |
2.7 |
14% |
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$12.63 |
$1,262.88 |
$1,297.03 |
19th May |
UFC Fight Night 129 |
14 |
-9.1 |
-65% |
|
$12.97 |
$1,297.03 |
$1,179.00 |
27th May |
UFC Fight Night 130 |
15 |
-15.0 |
-100% |
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$11.79 |
$1,179.00 |
$1,002.15 |
1st Jun |
UFC Fight Night 131 |
9 |
-2.8 |
-32% |
|
$10.02 |
$1,002.15 |
$973.59 |
6th Jul |
UFC 239 |
11 |
-3.3 |
-30% |
|
$9.74 |
$973.59 |
$941.58 |
13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 155 |
9 |
2.4 |
27% |
|
$9.42 |
$941.58 |
$964.17 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -3.58% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
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1. |
Jul '19 |
Karl Roberson |
Wellington Turman |
1.54 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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2. |
Jul '19 |
Andre Fili |
Sheymon da Silva Moraes |
2.20 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (3:7) |
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3. |
Jul '19 |
Josh Emmett |
Mirsad Bektic |
2.45 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:25) |
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4. |
Jul '19 |
Urijah Faber |
Ricky Simon |
3.30 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:46) |
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5. |
Jul '19 |
Germaine de Randamie |
Aspen Ladd |
1.91 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:16) |
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6. |
Jul '19 |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
Jack Marshman |
1.19 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (1:12) |
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7. |
Jul '19 |
Claudia Gadelha |
Randa Markos |
1.43 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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8. |
Jul '19 |
Arnold Allen |
Gilbert Melendez |
1.29 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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9. |
Jul '19 |
Michael Chiesa |
Diego Sanchez |
1.31 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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10. |
Jul '19 |
Amanda Nunes |
Holly Holm |
1.31 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:10) |
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11. |
Jul '19 |
Jon Jones |
Thiago Santos |
1.19 |
1 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
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12. |
Jun '18 |
Marlon Moraes |
Jimmie Rivera |
2.05 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (0:33) |
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13. |
May '18 |
Michel Prazeres |
Zak Cummings |
2.45 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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14. |
May '18 |
Aleksei Oleinik |
Junior Albini |
2.10 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (1:45) |
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15. |
May '18 |
Cezar Ferreira |
Karl Roberson |
2.20 |
4 |
Sub, R1 (4:45) |
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16. |
May '18 |
Davi Ramos |
Nick Hein |
1.74 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (4:15) |
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17. |
Apr '18 |
David Branch |
Thiago Santos |
2.85 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:30) |
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18. |
Apr '18 |
Adam Wieczorek |
Arjan Bhullar |
4.05 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (1:59) |
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19. |
Apr '18 |
Devin Clark |
Mike Rodriguez |
1.95 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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20. |
Mar '18 |
Paul Craig |
Magomed Ankalaev |
5.25 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (4:59) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
FIGHT FORECASTER 3.0: Progress Chart |
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