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MMA Handicapper Stats: Beef Stew

Beef Stew (BeefStew)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Beef Stew

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 40 (67%) Right 39 (68%) Right 1 (33%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 20 (33%) Wrong 18 (32%) Wrong 2 (67%) Wrong 0 (0%)
Avg Odds 1.46 Avg Odds 1.47 Avg Odds 1.29 Avg Odds 0.00
Units Bet 311.0 Units Bet 300.0 Units Bet 11.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 5.18 Avg Bet 5.26 Avg Bet 3.67 Avg Bet 0.00
Units Profit -3.70 Units Profit 3.21 Units Profit -6.91 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % -1% ROI % 1% ROI % -63% ROI % 0%
View Handicapper's Profile

Beef Stew: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 10 5.3 53% 5.3 / 10 (53%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 5 2.9 57% 2.9 / 5 (57%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 10 2.5 25% 2.5 / 10 (25%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 5 1.7 33% 1.7 / 5 (33%)
15th Dec '18 Bellator 212 10 1.8 18% 1.8 / 10 (18%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 15 -6.0 -40% -6.0 / 15 (-40%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 10 4.5 45% 4.5 / 10 (45%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 5 1.6 32% 1.6 / 5 (32%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 10 -4.1 -41% -4.1 / 10 (-41%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 5 1.6 33% 1.6 / 5 (33%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 10 5.5 55% 5.5 / 10 (55%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 20 -1.1 -5% -1.1 / 20 (-5%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 15 6.4 43% 6.4 / 15 (43%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 5 2.0 40% 2.0 / 5 (40%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 10 1.6 16% 1.6 / 10 (16%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 11 -1.5 -14% 0.4 / 5 (8%) -1.9 / 6 (-32%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 10 9.8 98% 9.8 / 10 (98%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 10 12.0 120% 12.0 / 10 (120%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 10 9.4 94% 9.4 / 10 (94%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 10 -3.9 -39% -3.9 / 10 (-39%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 15 -2.3 -15% -2.3 / 15 (-15%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 5 1.8 35% 1.8 / 5 (35%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th May '18 Bellator 199 5 1.8 36% 1.8 / 5 (36%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 10 4.7 47% 4.7 / 10 (47%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 10 1.6 16% 1.6 / 10 (16%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 20 -13.4 -67% -13.4 / 20 (-67%)


Winning Events: 19 (54%)
Losing Events: 16 (46%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.89 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.00 units
Best Event: 12.00 units
Worst Event: -13.36 units
Average Event: -0.11 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 12.00
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -13.36

Beef Stew: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 35 0.7 2% 0.7 / 35 (2%) 3 / 2 (60%) 0.14
2018 276 -4.4 -2% 2.5 / 265 (1%) -6.9 / 11 (-63%) 16 / 14 (53%) -0.15

Beef Stew: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Beef Stew: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 261 -19.8 -8% -12.9 / 250 (-5%) -6.9 / 11 (-63%)
Bellator 45 14.5 32% 14.5 / 45 (32%)
Other 5 1.6 32% 1.6 / 5 (32%)

Beef Stew: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 35 (61%) 29 83 % 190.00 17.25 0.49 9%
Slight Favorites 16 (28%) 7 44 % 80.00 -21.53 -1.35 -27%
Slight Underdogs 5 (9%) 3 60 % 25.00 12.50 2.50 50%
Big Underdogs 1 (2%) 0 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 18 (32%) 13 72 % 105.00 9.12 0.51 9%
Co-Main Event 6 (11%) 4 67 % 30.00 1.47 0.25 5%
Position 3-5 10 (18%) 6 60 % 50.00 -10.05 -1.00 -20%
6+ (Undercard) 23 (40%) 16 70 % 115.00 2.67 0.12 2%

Beef Stew: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (11%) 6 100 % 40.00 14.45 2.41 36%
Light Heavy 6 (11%) 2 33 % 30.00 -15.71 -2.62 -52%
Middleweight 8 (14%) 5 63 % 40.00 -6.43 -0.80 -16%
Welterweight 5 (9%) 2 40 % 25.00 -11.11 -2.22 -44%
Lightweight 8 (14%) 7 88 % 45.00 12.10 1.51 27%
Featherweight 11 (19%) 10 91 % 55.00 22.59 2.05 41%
Bantamweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 15.00 -1.55 -0.52 -10%
Flyweight 4 (7%) 2 50 % 20.00 0.08 0.02 0%
               
Women's Fights 6 (11%) 3 50 % 30.00 -11.20 -1.87 -37%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
Strawweight 4 (7%) 3 75 % 20.00 -1.20 -0.30 -6%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
0 0 0 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 3 (100%) 1 33 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
3 1 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Does not go to Decision 1 (33%) 0 0 % 1.14 1.14Pick was incorrect 1.14Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Fight Starts Round X 2 (67%) 1 50 % 1.38 1.40Pick was incorrect 1.36Pick was incorrect -0.6 (-32%)
3 1 33 % 1.29     -1.6 (-55%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Beef Stew's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 20 -13.4 -67% $10.00 $1,000.00 $866.39
7th Apr UFC 223 10 1.6 16% $8.66 $866.39 $880.05
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 10 4.7 47% $8.80 $880.05 $921.18
12th May Bellator 199 5 1.8 36% $9.21 $921.18 $937.93
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 5 -5.0 -100% $9.38 $937.93 $891.03
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 5 1.8 35% $8.91 $891.03 $906.66
9th Jun UFC 225 15 -2.3 -15% $9.07 $906.66 $886.00
7th Jul UFC 226 10 -3.9 -39% $8.86 $886.00 $851.54
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 10 9.4 94% $8.52 $851.54 $931.83
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 5 -5.0 -100% $9.32 $931.83 $885.24
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 10 12.0 120% $8.85 $885.24 $991.46
4th Aug UFC 227 10 -10.0 -100% $9.91 $991.46 $892.32
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 10 9.8 98% $8.92 $892.32 $980.06
8th Sep UFC 228 11 -1.5 -14% $9.80 $980.06 $965.43
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 10 1.6 16% $9.65 $965.43 $980.77
29th Sep Bellator 206 5 2.0 40% $9.81 $980.77 $1,000.38
6th Oct UFC 229 5 -5.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.38 $950.36
12th Oct Bellator 207 15 6.4 43% $9.50 $950.36 $1,011.00
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 5 -5.0 -100% $10.11 $1,011.00 $960.45
3rd Nov UFC 230 20 -1.1 -5% $9.60 $960.45 $950.02
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 10 5.5 55% $9.50 $950.02 $1,002.57
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 5 1.6 33% $10.03 $1,002.57 $1,019.01
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 10 -4.1 -41% $10.19 $1,019.01 $977.32
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 5 1.6 32% $9.77 $977.32 $992.83
30th Nov TUF Finale 5 -5.0 -100% $9.93 $992.83 $943.19
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 10 4.5 45% $9.43 $943.19 $985.77
8th Dec UFC 231 15 -6.0 -40% $9.86 $985.77 $926.62
15th Dec Bellator 212 10 1.8 18% $9.27 $926.62 $943.47
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 5 1.7 33% $9.43 $943.47 $959.19
29th Dec UFC 232 5 -5.0 -100% $9.59 $959.19 $911.23
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 5 -5.0 -100% $9.11 $911.23 $865.67
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 10 2.5 25% $8.66 $865.67 $887.31
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 5 2.9 57% $8.87 $887.31 $912.67
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 5 -5.0 -100% $9.13 $912.67 $867.03
2nd Mar UFC 235 10 5.3 53% $8.67 $867.03 $913.28


ROI % from starting bank balance: -8.67% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Beef Stew: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Johnny Walker Misha Cirkunov 1.54 5 TKO, R1 (0:36) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Zabit Magomedsharipov Jeremy Stephens 1.53 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '19 Marlon Moraes Raphael Assuncao 1.57 5 Sub, R1 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Michael Chandler Brent Primus 1.18 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Drakkar Klose Bobby Green 1.33 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Max Holloway Brian Ortega 1.80 5 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Alexey Kunchenko Yushin Okami 1.28 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Junior dos Santos Tai Tuivasa 1.63 5 TKO, R2 (2:30) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Tito Ortiz Chuck Liddell 1.32 5 TKO, R1 (4:24) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Yan Xiaonan Syuri Kondo 1.18 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Nad Narimani Anderson dos Santos 1.33 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 Mark Delarosa Joby Sanchez 1.42 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Beneil Dariush Thiago Moises 1.69 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Shane Burgos Kurt Holobaugh 1.29 5 Sub, R1 (2:11) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Karl Roberson Jack Marshman 1.36 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '19 Ryan Bader Fedor Emelianenko 1.25 10 TKO, R1 (0:35) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Daniel Cormier Derrick Lewis 1.12 5 Sub, R2 (2:14) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '18 Gegard Mousasi Rory MacDonald 1.40 5 TKO, R2 (3:23) MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '18 Ryan Bader Matt Mitrione 1.40 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '18 Ryan Bader Matt Mitrione 1.48 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '19 Jan Blachowicz Thiago Santos 1.91 5 TKO, R3 (0:39) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '19 T.J. Dillashaw Henry Cejudo 1.50 5 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Ilir Latifi Corey Anderson 1.57 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Eryk Anders Elias Theodorou 1.95 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Claudia Gadelha Nina Ansaroff 1.33 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Darren Stewart Edmen Shahbazyan 1.91 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Lauren Mueller Yanan Wu 1.26 5 Sub, R1 (4:0) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 David Branch Jared Cannonier 1.25 5 TKO, R2 (0:29) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '18 Volkan Oezdemir Anthony Smith 1.57 5 Sub, R3 (4:26) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '18 Brett Johns Pedro Munhoz 3.05 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '18 Jose Torres Alex Perez 2.15 5 TKO, R1 (3:36) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '18 Glover Teixeira Corey Anderson 1.65 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '18 Lando Vannata Drakkar Klose 1.57 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. May '18 Stephen Thompson Darren Till 1.59 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jun '18 Rafael dos Anjos Colby Covington 1.77 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '18 Sara McMann Marion Reneau 1.48 5 Sub, R2 (3:40) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '18 Mike Perry Max Griffin 1.33 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '18 Josh Emmett Jeremy Stephens 2.20 5 TKO, R2 (1:35) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Beef Stew: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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