|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Beef Stew |
|
Beef Stew: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 36 (58%) Losing Events: 26 (42%)
Average Staked Per Event: 7.81 units Most Staked On One Event: 25.00 units Best Event: 12.00 units Worst Event: -13.36 units Average Event: -0.09 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 14.01 Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -13.36 |
Beef Stew: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-5.00 |
2020 |
15 |
-7.6 |
-50% |
-7.6 / 15 (-50%) |
|
|
1 / 2 (33%) |
-2.52 |
2019 |
188 |
11.5 |
6% |
10.0 / 160 (6%) |
-2.7 / 18 (-15%) |
4.3 / 10 (43%) |
19 / 9 (68%) |
0.41 |
2018 |
276 |
-4.4 |
-2% |
2.5 / 265 (1%) |
-6.9 / 11 (-63%) |
|
16 / 14 (53%) |
-0.15 |
|
Beef Stew: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Beef Stew: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
424 |
-26.5 |
-6% |
-21.1 / 385 (-5%) |
-9.7 / 29 (-33%) |
4.3 / 10 (43%) |
Bellator |
55 |
19.5 |
35% |
19.5 / 55 (35%) |
|
|
Other |
5 |
1.6 |
32% |
1.6 / 5 (32%) |
|
|
|
Beef Stew: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
56 (66%) |
43 |
77 % |
300.00 |
5.47 |
0.10 |
2% |
Slight Favorites |
22 (26%) |
11 |
50 % |
110.00 |
-19.81 |
-0.90 |
-18% |
Slight Underdogs |
6 (7%) |
4 |
67 % |
30.00 |
19.25 |
3.21 |
64% |
Big Underdogs |
1 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
5.00 |
-5.00 |
-5.00 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
30 (35%) |
21 |
70 % |
170.00 |
11.27 |
0.38 |
7% |
Co-Main Event |
10 (12%) |
7 |
70 % |
50.00 |
3.25 |
0.33 |
7% |
Position 3-5 |
15 (18%) |
10 |
67 % |
75.00 |
-9.37 |
-0.62 |
-12% |
6+ (Undercard) |
30 (35%) |
20 |
67 % |
150.00 |
-5.24 |
-0.17 |
-3% |
|
Beef Stew: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
10 (12%) |
10 |
100 % |
60.00 |
24.74 |
2.47 |
41% |
Light Heavy |
9 (11%) |
3 |
33 % |
45.00 |
-23.21 |
-2.58 |
-52% |
Middleweight |
11 (13%) |
6 |
55 % |
55.00 |
-13.57 |
-1.23 |
-25% |
Welterweight |
9 (11%) |
5 |
56 % |
45.00 |
-9.80 |
-1.09 |
-22% |
Lightweight |
13 (15%) |
11 |
85 % |
70.00 |
18.01 |
1.39 |
26% |
Featherweight |
13 (15%) |
12 |
92 % |
70.00 |
26.09 |
2.01 |
37% |
Bantamweight |
5 (6%) |
3 |
60 % |
25.00 |
-5.30 |
-1.06 |
-21% |
Flyweight |
4 (5%) |
2 |
50 % |
20.00 |
0.08 |
0.02 |
0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
11 (13%) |
6 |
55 % |
55.00 |
-17.13 |
-1.56 |
-31% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
5.00 |
1.92 |
1.92 |
38% |
Bantamweight |
2 (2%) |
|
0 % |
10.00 |
-10.00 |
-5.00 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
2 (2%) |
|
0 % |
10.00 |
-10.00 |
-5.00 |
-100% |
Strawweight |
6 (7%) |
5 |
83 % |
30.00 |
0.95 |
0.16 |
3% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
2 (100%) |
2 |
100 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
2 |
2 |
100 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
10 (100%) |
6 |
60 % |
50-65% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
<35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
10 |
6 |
60 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
Does not go to Decision |
3 (30%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.14 |
1.14 |
1.14 |
-3.0 (-100%) |
Fight Starts Round X |
7 (70%) |
6 |
86 % |
1.23 |
1.40 |
1.16 |
0.2 (3%) |
|
10 |
6 |
60 % |
1.20 |
|
|
-2.8 (-28%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Beef Stew's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
24th Feb |
UFC on Fox 28 |
20 |
-13.4 |
-67% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$866.39 |
7th Apr |
UFC 223 |
10 |
1.6 |
16% |
|
$8.66 |
$866.39 |
$880.05 |
14th Apr |
UFC on Fox 29 |
10 |
4.7 |
47% |
|
$8.80 |
$880.05 |
$921.18 |
12th May |
Bellator 199 |
5 |
1.8 |
36% |
|
$9.21 |
$921.18 |
$937.93 |
27th May |
UFC Fight Night 130 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.38 |
$937.93 |
$891.03 |
1st Jun |
UFC Fight Night 131 |
5 |
1.8 |
35% |
|
$8.91 |
$891.03 |
$906.66 |
9th Jun |
UFC 225 |
15 |
-2.3 |
-15% |
|
$9.07 |
$906.66 |
$886.00 |
7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
10 |
-3.9 |
-39% |
|
$8.86 |
$886.00 |
$851.54 |
14th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
10 |
9.4 |
94% |
|
$8.52 |
$851.54 |
$931.83 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.32 |
$931.83 |
$885.24 |
28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
10 |
12.0 |
120% |
|
$8.85 |
$885.24 |
$991.46 |
4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.91 |
$991.46 |
$892.32 |
25th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
10 |
9.8 |
98% |
|
$8.92 |
$892.32 |
$980.06 |
8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
11 |
-1.5 |
-14% |
|
$9.80 |
$980.06 |
$965.43 |
15th Sep |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
10 |
1.6 |
16% |
|
$9.65 |
$965.43 |
$980.77 |
29th Sep |
Bellator 206 |
5 |
2.0 |
40% |
|
$9.81 |
$980.77 |
$1,000.38 |
6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.38 |
$950.36 |
12th Oct |
Bellator 207 |
15 |
6.4 |
43% |
|
$9.50 |
$950.36 |
$1,011.00 |
27th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.11 |
$1,011.00 |
$960.45 |
3rd Nov |
UFC 230 |
20 |
-1.1 |
-5% |
|
$9.60 |
$960.45 |
$950.02 |
10th Nov |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
10 |
5.5 |
55% |
|
$9.50 |
$950.02 |
$1,002.57 |
17th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 140 |
5 |
1.6 |
33% |
|
$10.03 |
$1,002.57 |
$1,019.01 |
24th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 141 |
10 |
-4.1 |
-41% |
|
$10.19 |
$1,019.01 |
$977.32 |
25th Nov |
Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 |
5 |
1.6 |
32% |
|
$9.77 |
$977.32 |
$992.83 |
30th Nov |
TUF Finale |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.93 |
$992.83 |
$943.19 |
1st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
10 |
4.5 |
45% |
|
$9.43 |
$943.19 |
$985.77 |
8th Dec |
UFC 231 |
15 |
-6.0 |
-40% |
|
$9.86 |
$985.77 |
$926.62 |
15th Dec |
Bellator 212 |
10 |
1.8 |
18% |
|
$9.27 |
$926.62 |
$943.47 |
15th Dec |
UFC Fight Night Milwaukee |
5 |
1.7 |
33% |
|
$9.43 |
$943.47 |
$959.19 |
29th Dec |
UFC 232 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.59 |
$959.19 |
$911.23 |
19th Jan |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.11 |
$911.23 |
$865.67 |
26th Jan |
Bellator Los Angeles |
10 |
2.5 |
25% |
|
$8.66 |
$865.67 |
$887.31 |
2nd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 144 |
5 |
2.9 |
57% |
|
$8.87 |
$887.31 |
$912.67 |
23rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 145 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.13 |
$912.67 |
$867.03 |
2nd Mar |
UFC 235 |
10 |
5.3 |
53% |
|
$8.67 |
$867.03 |
$913.28 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night 148 |
5 |
1.9 |
38% |
|
$9.13 |
$913.28 |
$930.85 |
30th Mar |
UFC on ESPN 2 |
5 |
6.8 |
135% |
|
$9.31 |
$930.85 |
$993.68 |
13th Apr |
UFC 236 |
10 |
-2.1 |
-21% |
|
$9.94 |
$993.68 |
$972.39 |
27th Apr |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
5 |
3.2 |
65% |
|
$9.72 |
$972.39 |
$1,003.76 |
11th May |
Bellator 221 |
5 |
2.0 |
40% |
|
$10.04 |
$1,003.76 |
$1,023.83 |
11th May |
UFC 237 |
5 |
1.1 |
22% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,023.83 |
$1,035.21 |
18th May |
UFC Fight Night 152 |
10 |
3.6 |
36% |
|
$10.35 |
$1,035.21 |
$1,072.37 |
1st Jun |
UFC Fight Night 153 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.72 |
$1,072.37 |
$1,018.75 |
8th Jun |
UFC 238 |
5 |
0.8 |
17% |
|
$10.19 |
$1,018.75 |
$1,027.24 |
29th Jun |
UFC on ESPN 3 |
5 |
2.7 |
54% |
|
$10.27 |
$1,027.24 |
$1,055.00 |
6th Jul |
UFC 239 |
10 |
-3.6 |
-36% |
|
$10.55 |
$1,055.00 |
$1,016.70 |
13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 155 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.17 |
$1,016.70 |
$965.87 |
27th Jul |
UFC 240 |
25 |
7.8 |
31% |
|
$9.66 |
$965.87 |
$1,041.07 |
17th Aug |
UFC 241 |
3 |
0.5 |
18% |
|
$10.41 |
$1,041.07 |
$1,046.75 |
7th Sep |
UFC 242 |
5 |
0.8 |
16% |
|
$10.47 |
$1,046.75 |
$1,055.12 |
21st Sep |
UFC Fight Night 159 |
5 |
0.9 |
18% |
|
$10.55 |
$1,055.12 |
$1,064.71 |
28th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 160 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.65 |
$1,064.71 |
$1,011.48 |
5th Oct |
UFC 243 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.11 |
$1,011.48 |
$960.90 |
12th Oct |
UFC on ESPN+ 19 |
5 |
1.3 |
26% |
|
$9.61 |
$960.90 |
$973.55 |
18th Oct |
UFC ESPN 6 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.74 |
$973.55 |
$924.87 |
26th Oct |
Bellator 232 |
5 |
2.9 |
59% |
|
$9.25 |
$924.87 |
$952.07 |
16th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 164 |
10 |
3.9 |
39% |
|
$9.52 |
$952.07 |
$989.10 |
15th Dec |
UFC 245 |
5 |
1.3 |
25% |
|
$9.89 |
$989.10 |
$1,001.46 |
18th Jan |
UFC 246 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.01 |
$1,001.46 |
$951.39 |
25th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 166 |
5 |
2.4 |
49% |
|
$9.51 |
$951.39 |
$974.59 |
15th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 167 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.75 |
$974.59 |
$925.86 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.26 |
$925.86 |
$879.57 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -12.04% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Beef Stew: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Sep '23 |
Israel Adesanya |
Sean Strickland |
1.22 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Feb '20 |
Corey Anderson |
Jan Blachowicz |
1.71 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (3:8) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Jan '20 |
Maycee Barber |
Roxanne Modafferi |
1.13 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Oct '19 |
Maki Pitolo |
Callan Potter |
1.32 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Sep '19 |
Macy Chiasson |
Lina Lansberg |
1.22 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Jul '19 |
Ricky Simon |
Urijah Faber |
1.29 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:46) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Jul '19 |
Luke Rockhold |
Jan Blachowicz |
1.74 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (1:39) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Jun '19 |
Alexander Gustafsson |
Anthony Smith |
1.38 |
5 |
Sub, R4 (2:38) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Apr '19 |
Max Holloway |
Dustin Poirier |
1.40 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Feb '19 |
Jan Blachowicz |
Thiago Santos |
1.91 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (0:39) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Jan '19 |
T.J. Dillashaw |
Henry Cejudo |
1.50 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:32) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Dec '18 |
Ilir Latifi |
Corey Anderson |
1.57 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Dec '18 |
Eryk Anders |
Elias Theodorou |
1.95 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Dec '18 |
Claudia Gadelha |
Nina Nunes |
1.33 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Nov '18 |
Darren Stewart |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
1.91 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Nov '18 |
Lauren Mueller |
Yanan Wu |
1.26 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (4:0) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Nov '18 |
David Branch |
Jared Cannonier |
1.25 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (0:29) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Oct '18 |
Volkan Oezdemir |
Anthony Smith |
1.57 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (4:26) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Aug '18 |
Brett Johns |
Pedro Munhoz |
3.05 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Aug '18 |
Jose Torres |
Alex Perez |
2.15 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (3:36) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Beef Stew: Progress Chart |
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