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MMA Handicapper Stats: WillyD

WillyD (willyg187)

MMA MHandicapper - WillyD

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 106 (40%) Right 47 (52%) Right 31 (36%) Right 28 (33%)
Wrong 156 (60%) Wrong 44 (48%) Wrong 56 (64%) Wrong 56 (67%)
Avg Odds 2.50 Avg Odds 2.07 Avg Odds 3.12 Avg Odds 2.56
Units Bet 348.4 Units Bet 163.5 Units Bet 65.1 Units Bet 119.8
Avg Bet 1.33 Avg Bet 1.80 Avg Bet 0.75 Avg Bet 1.43
Units Profit 13.05 Units Profit 24.15 Units Profit 11.30 Units Profit -22.40
ROI % 4% ROI % 15% ROI % 17% ROI % -19%
View Handicapper's Profile

WillyD : Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 12.05 0.9 7% 0.6 / 4.55 (14%) -0.7 / 6.5 (-12%) 1.0 / 1 (102%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 5.35 -3.2 -60% -2.1 / 2.1 (-100%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) 0.2 / 2 (8%)
11th May '19 Bellator 221 3 2.2 72% 2.2 / 3 (72%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 8.06 -0.6 -8% -2.1 / 6.31 (-33%) -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%) 1.8 / 1.45 (124%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 9.9 4.0 40% 3.0 / 8.9 (34%) 1.0 / 1 (100%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 14.9 0.8 5% 0.5 / 7 (7%) 2.3 / 5.9 (39%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 15.7 -3.1 -20% 0.2 / 12.35 (2%) -3.4 / 3.35 (-100%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 15.12 5.2 34% 2.2 / 6.52 (33%) 3.0 / 6.6 (45%) 0.1 / 2 (4%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 9.91 2.2 22% 2.0 / 5.4 (37%) 1.2 / 1.7 (69%) -1.0 / 2.81 (-36%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 12.4 -1.3 -10% -0.7 / 3.75 (-20%) -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%) 0.3 / 7.85 (4%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 13.44 -5.7 -43% -2.5 / 4.5 (-56%) 0.8 / 0.8 (100%) -4.0 / 8.14 (-49%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 8.35 2.3 27% 2.9 / 3.65 (79%) -1.6 / 1.6 (-100%) 1.0 / 3.1 (33%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 9.56 5.0 53% 2.6 / 5.5 (47%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) 2.7 / 3.81 (71%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 7.75 -0.7 -9% 1.6 / 4 (41%) -0.3 / 1.75 (-18%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 6.37 1.0 15% -1.0 / 4.12 (-25%) 2.0 / 2.25 (89%)
9th Feb '19 Bellator Newcastle 2.2 -2.2 -100% -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 6.5 -4.1 -63% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 0.6 / 1.85 (31%) -2.2 / 2.15 (-100%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 3.2 2.0 62% 2.0 / 3.2 (62%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 14.4 6.0 41% 2.3 / 5.5 (42%) 5.1 / 7.4 (69%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 12.18 1.6 13% 2.0 / 10.37 (19%) -0.4 / 1.78 (-23%) -0.0 / 0.03 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 6.9 0.6 9% 4.0 / 3.5 (114%) -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%) -2.3 / 2.3 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 11.29 -3.2 -28% 3.4 / 4.73 (71%) -6.6 / 6.56 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 13.1 -1.3 -10% -0.9 / 0.85 (-100%) -0.4 / 12.25 (-3%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 2.87 -0.8 -27% -2.6 / 2.57 (-100%) 1.8 / 0.3 (600%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 2 1.5 73% 1.5 / 2 (73%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 7.45 0.7 9% 0.3 / 1.25 (26%) -0.2 / 1.7 (-12%) 0.6 / 4.5 (13%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 11 -7.6 -69% -8.4 / 8.38 (-100%) 1.1 / 1 (110%) -0.3 / 1.62 (-21%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 13.28 6.2 47% 6.3 / 5.88 (108%) 0.3 / 2.25 (11%) -0.4 / 5.15 (-8%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 18.72 10.2 54% 3.5 / 5.5 (64%) -1.6 / 3.5 (-46%) 8.3 / 9.72 (85%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 0.58 -0.6 -100% -0.6 / 0.58 (-100%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 3 1.7 55% 1.7 / 3 (55%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 16.96 -4.9 -29% -2.4 / 4.36 (-54%) 3.0 / 2.65 (115%) -5.6 / 9.95 (-57%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 5 10.0 200% 10.0 / 5 (200%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 7.99 -2.9 -37% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -1.7 / 1.74 (-100%) 0.3 / 4.75 (6%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 6 0.3 5% 1.3 / 5 (26%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 5.71 2.3 40% 3.6 / 4.36 (83%) -1.4 / 1.35 (-100%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 16 -12.2 -76% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 1.8 / 2 (91%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 9.25 2.1 22% 2.5 / 8 (31%) -0.4 / 1.25 (-34%)
31st Jul '18 DWTNCS 15 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)


Winning Events: 22 (56%)
Losing Events: 17 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.93 units
Most Staked On One Event: 18.72 units
Best Event: 10.15 units
Worst Event: -12.18 units
Average Event: 0.33 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 16.34
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -12.18

WillyD : Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2019 178.16 10.6 6% 8.0 / 82.53 (10%) 9.6 / 45.02 (21%) -7.0 / 50.61 (-14%) 11 / 8 (58%) 0.56
2018 170.28 2.5 1% 16.2 / 80.98 (20%) 1.7 / 20.12 (8%) -15.4 / 69.18 (-22%) 11 / 9 (55%) 0.12

WillyD : Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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WillyD : Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 328.46 -0.4 -0% 14.1 / 153.93 (9%) 9.3 / 61.94 (15%) -23.8 / 112.59 (-21%)
Bellator 16.98 13.0 77% 11.1 / 8.58 (129%) 2.0 / 3.2 (62%) -0.0 / 5.2 (-1%)
Other 3 0.5 15% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.5 / 2 (73%)

WillyD : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 7 (8%) 7 100 % 25.90 10.81 1.54 42%
Slight Favorites 30 (33%) 15 50 % 68.65 -3.96 -0.13 -6%
Slight Underdogs 40 (44%) 16 40 % 55.98 -1.98 -0.05 -4%
Big Underdogs 14 (15%) 9 64 % 12.98 19.28 1.38 149%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 11 (12%) 7 64 % 28.99 13.12 1.19 45%
Co-Main Event 14 (15%) 8 57 % 24.35 4.36 0.31 18%
Position 3-5 22 (24%) 10 45 % 38.00 2.71 0.12 7%
6+ (Undercard) 43 (47%) 21 49 % 71.06 3.08 0.07 4%

WillyD : Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 12 (13%) 5 42 % 21.64 -2.47 -0.21 -11%
Light Heavy 5 (5%) 4 80 % 8.25 6.62 1.32 80%
Middleweight 12 (13%) 7 58 % 24.85 14.34 1.20 58%
Welterweight 16 (18%) 8 50 % 24.42 -0.19 -0.01 -1%
Lightweight 14 (15%) 6 43 % 23.50 1.27 0.09 5%
Featherweight 12 (13%) 9 75 % 18.78 13.08 1.09 70%
Bantamweight 9 (10%) 4 44 % 19.16 0.39 0.04 2%
Flyweight 2 (2%) 0 % 3.97 -3.97 -1.99 -100%
               
Women's Fights 9 (10%) 4 44 % 18.94 -4.92 -0.55 -26%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.11 0.89 0.89 80%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 2 100 % 4.50 3.32 1.66 74%
Strawweight 5 (5%) 1 20 % 10.33 -6.13 -1.23 -59%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 118 (83%) 94 80 %
Slight Favorites 22 (15%) 9 41 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (1%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
142 104 73 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 16 (11%) 14 88 %
50-65% 27 (18%) 12 44 %
35-50% 24 (16%) 9 38 %
<35% chance 80 (54%) 18 23 %
147 53 36 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 17 (12%) 8 47 % 1.67 3.50Pick was incorrect 1.20Pick was correct -5.3 (-31%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.50Pick was correct 1.50Pick was correct 0.5 (50%)
Goes to Decision 7 (5%) 4 57 % 1.73 2.75Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was incorrect -0.6 (-8%)
Does not go to Decision 4 (3%) 3 75 % 1.67 2.20Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 1.0 (24%)
Fight Starts Round X 4 (3%) 2 50 % 1.45 1.83Pick was incorrect 1.22Pick was incorrect -1.1 (-26%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 2 (1%) 2 100 % 1.44 1.44Pick was correct 1.44Pick was incorrect 0.9 (44%)
X Wins by KO 24 (16%) 8 33 % 3.22 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect 9.0 (37%)
X Wins by Sub 26 (18%) 8 31 % 4.03 13.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was incorrect 5.1 (20%)
X Wins by Decision 42 (29%) 9 21 % 3.09 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was correct -18.3 (-44%)
X Wins Inside Distance 18 (12%) 8 44 % 2.45 9.00Pick was incorrect 1.44Pick was correct 3.1 (17%)
Others 2 (1%) 0 0 % 6.74 7.00Pick was incorrect 6.50Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
147 53 36 % 2.60     -7.8 (-5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail WillyD 's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
31st Jul DWTNCS 15 1 -1.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $990.00
4th Aug UFC 227 9.25 2.1 22% $9.90 $990.00 $1,010.54
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 16 -12.2 -76% $10.11 $1,010.54 $887.46
8th Sep UFC 228 5.71 2.3 40% $8.87 $887.46 $907.59
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 6 0.3 5% $9.08 $907.59 $910.32
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 7.99 -2.9 -37% $9.10 $910.32 $883.63
29th Sep Bellator 206 5 10.0 200% $8.84 $883.63 $971.99
6th Oct UFC 229 16.96 -4.9 -29% $9.72 $971.99 $923.95
12th Oct Bellator 207 3 1.7 55% $9.24 $923.95 $939.20
13th Oct Bellator 208 0.58 -0.6 -100% $9.39 $939.20 $933.75
3rd Nov UFC 230 18.72 10.2 54% $9.34 $933.75 $1,028.53
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 13.28 6.2 47% $10.29 $1,028.53 $1,092.15
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 11 -7.6 -69% $10.92 $1,092.15 $1,008.85
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 7.45 0.7 9% $10.09 $1,008.85 $1,015.95
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 2 1.5 73% $10.16 $1,015.95 $1,030.76
30th Nov TUF Finale 2.87 -0.8 -27% $10.31 $1,030.76 $1,022.83
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 13.1 -1.3 -10% $10.23 $1,022.83 $1,009.99
8th Dec UFC 231 11.29 -3.2 -28% $10.10 $1,009.99 $977.66
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 6.9 0.6 9% $9.78 $977.66 $983.53
29th Dec UFC 232 12.18 1.6 13% $9.84 $983.53 $998.91
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 14.4 6.0 41% $9.99 $998.91 $1,058.35
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 3.2 2.0 62% $10.58 $1,058.35 $1,079.35
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 6.5 -4.1 -63% $10.79 $1,079.35 $1,035.36
9th Feb Bellator Newcastle 2.2 -2.2 -100% $10.35 $1,035.36 $1,012.59
9th Feb UFC 234 6.37 1.0 15% $10.13 $1,012.59 $1,022.53
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 7.75 -0.7 -9% $10.23 $1,022.53 $1,015.57
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 9.56 5.0 53% $10.16 $1,015.57 $1,066.62
2nd Mar UFC 235 8.35 2.3 27% $10.67 $1,066.62 $1,091.06
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 13.44 -5.7 -43% $10.91 $1,091.06 $1,028.59
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 12.4 -1.3 -10% $10.29 $1,028.59 $1,015.56
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 9.91 2.2 22% $10.16 $1,015.56 $1,037.57
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 15.12 5.2 34% $10.38 $1,037.57 $1,091.65
13th Apr UFC 236 15.7 -3.1 -20% $10.92 $1,091.65 $1,057.46
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 14.9 0.8 5% $10.57 $1,057.46 $1,065.85
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 9.9 4.0 40% $10.66 $1,065.85 $1,108.49
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 8.06 -0.6 -8% $11.08 $1,108.49 $1,101.65
11th May Bellator 221 3 2.2 72% $11.02 $1,101.65 $1,125.42
11th May UFC 237 5.35 -3.2 -60% $11.25 $1,125.42 $1,089.59
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 12.05 0.9 7% $10.90 $1,089.59 $1,099.36


ROI % from starting bank balance: 9.94% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

WillyD : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. May '19 Grant Dawson Mike Trizano 2.20 0.5 Sub, R2 (2:27) MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Ian Heinisch Antonio Carlos Junior 2.63 1.55 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Donald Cerrone Al Iaquinta 2.10 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '19 Takashi Sato Ben Saunders 1.45 4.4 TKO, R2 (1:18) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '19 Israel Adesanya Kelvin Gastelum 1.57 3.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '19 Alistair Overeem Aleksei Oleinik 1.50 5 TKO, R1 (4:45) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '19 Belal Muhammad Curtis Millender 1.73 2.1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '19 Brandon Davis Randy Costa 1.72 2 Sub, R2 (1:12) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '19 Cory Sandhagen John Lineker 2.20 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '19 Sodiq Yusuff Sheymon da Silva Moraes 1.73 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '19 Paul Craig Kennedy Nzechukwu 3.00 0.25 Sub, R3 (4:20) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '19 Jack Hermansson David Branch 1.80 2 Sub, R1 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '19 Chris Gutierrez Ryan MacDonald 1.57 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '19 Curtis Blaydes Justin Willis 1.40 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '19 Mike Grundy Nad Narimani 3.00 1 TKO, R2 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '19 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Curtis Millender 2.00 1 Sub, R1 (2:35) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '19 Diego Sanchez Mickey Gall 3.25 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '19 Edmen Shahbazyan Charles Byrd 1.83 1.65 TKO, R1 (0:38) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '19 Diego Sanchez Mickey Gall 3.75 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '19 Liz Carmouche Lucie Pudilova 1.80 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. May '19 Anderson Silva Jared Cannonier 2.25 1 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
2. May '19 Thiago Alves Laureano Staropoli 1.91 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. May '19 Juan Adams Arjan Bhullar 1.80 1.1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. May '19 Juan Adams Arjan Bhullar 1.80 1.91 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. May '19 Elias Theodorou Derek Brunson 2.00 1.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '19 Ronaldo Souza Jack Hermansson 1.57 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '19 Alex da Silva Alexander Yakovlev 2.30 1.25 Sub, R2 (3:10) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '19 Kevin Lee Rafael dos Anjos 2.00 2.5 Sub, R4 (3:47) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '19 Arman Tsarukyan Islam Makhachev 4.50 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '19 Boston Salmon Khalid Taha 1.80 3 TKO, R1 (0:25) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '19 Wilson Reis Alexandre Pantoja 2.75 1.75 TKO, R1 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '19 Michael Johnson Josh Emmett 1.85 1.77 TKO, R3 (4:14) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '19 Steven Peterson Luis Pena 3.25 0.4 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '19 John Phillips Jack Marshman 2.30 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '19 Gunnar Nelson Leon Edwards 2.20 1.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '19 Ben Rothwell Blagoy Ivanov 2.10 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '19 Curtis Millender Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 2.00 2 Sub, R1 (2:35) Yes MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '19 Misha Cirkunov Johnny Walker 2.45 1 TKO, R1 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '19 Marco Polo Reyes Damir Hadzovic 2.00 1.5 TKO, R2 (2:3) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '19 Alexandra Albu Emily Whitmire 1.91 0.5 Sub, R1 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

WillyD : Progress Chart
Chart

 
 
 
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