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MMA Handicapper Stats: Seraldo Montanjo

Seraldo Montanjo (seraldo)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Seraldo Montanjo

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 123 (45%) Right 67 (47%) Right 34 (42%) Right 22 (45%)
Wrong 150 (55%) Wrong 76 (53%) Wrong 47 (58%) Wrong 27 (55%)
Avg Odds 2.13 Avg Odds 2.10 Avg Odds 2.20 Avg Odds 2.08
Units Bet 506.3 Units Bet 290.7 Units Bet 113.9 Units Bet 101.8
Avg Bet 1.85 Avg Bet 2.03 Avg Bet 1.41 Avg Bet 2.08
Units Profit -20.56 Units Profit -0.49 Units Profit -12.93 Units Profit -7.13
ROI % -4% ROI % -0% ROI % -11% ROI % -7%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 20 -1.1 -5% 2.5 / 10 (25%) -2.6 / 9 (-29%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 10 -3.1 -31% -3.1 / 10 (-31%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 27.45 -6.3 -23% 1.7 / 19.45 (9%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 6 7.9 131% 3.5 / 3 (117%) 4.4 / 3 (146%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 14 -1.6 -11% -1.6 / 14 (-11%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 10 -4.0 -40% -4.0 / 10 (-40%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 22.8 -18.1 -80% -5.1 / 5.1 (-100%) -3.0 / 7.7 (-40%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 18 5.1 28% -0.5 / 8.5 (-6%) 3.4 / 6.5 (53%) 2.1 / 3 (70%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 25.5 9.9 39% 11.6 / 5.5 (211%) -2.1 / 14 (-15%) 0.4 / 6 (7%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 34 0.6 2% -6.7 / 14 (-48%) 2.9 / 15 (19%) 4.4 / 5 (87%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 13 -5.5 -42% 2.7 / 2 (134%) 0.8 / 2 (40%) -9.0 / 9 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 6 3.8 63% 3.8 / 6 (63%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 16.25 -5.4 -33% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) -5.4 / 7.5 (-71%) 3.4 / 5.25 (65%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 14.25 -2.4 -17% 1.6 / 6.25 (26%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.1 / 6 (-34%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 16 -5.3 -33% -5.5 / 8.5 (-64%) 0.9 / 4 (23%) -0.8 / 3.5 (-21%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 11.25 -1.0 -9% -0.5 / 3.5 (-13%) -1.8 / 2.75 (-65%) 1.2 / 5 (25%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 13 0.5 4% 4.5 / 6 (75%) -1.0 / 4 (-26%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 10.5 4.5 43% 6.1 / 7.5 (82%) 0.4 / 1 (37%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
24th Jul '18 DWTNCS 14 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 17 6.2 36% 2.0 / 5.5 (37%) 3.9 / 3.5 (111%) 0.3 / 8 (3%)
19th Jul '18 PFL 4 2 0.7 33% 0.7 / 2 (33%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 24 0.3 1% -0.2 / 10 (-2%) 0.5 / 14 (4%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 17 -2.3 -14% -3.2 / 11 (-29%) -1.5 / 4 (-39%) 2.4 / 2 (120%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 6.5 -6.5 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
26th Jun '18 DWTNCS 11 7 6.8 97% 6.8 / 7 (97%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 16.4 8.8 54% 3.9 / 4.5 (87%) -2.4 / 2.4 (-100%) 7.3 / 9.5 (77%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 16.5 -0.1 -1% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 1.2 / 9.5 (12%) 2.8 / 3 (92%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 18.5 -8.2 -44% -9.1 / 12.5 (-73%) 0.9 / 6 (15%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 14 -7.9 -56% -7.9 / 14 (-56%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 25.5 4.1 16% 4.1 / 25.5 (16%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 9.7 -1.5 -16% -1.5 / 9.7 (-16%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 9.5 6.4 67% 6.4 / 9.5 (67%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 8 0.5 6% 0.5 / 8 (6%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 14.2 1.8 13% 1.8 / 14.2 (13%)
17th Feb '18 Bellator 194 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 8 -3.4 -42% -3.4 / 8 (-42%)


Winning Events: 16 (43%)
Losing Events: 21 (57%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 506.3 -20.6 -4% -0.5 / 290.7 (-0%) -12.9 / 113.85 (-11%) -7.1 / 101.75 (-7%) 16 / 21 (43%) -0.56

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 486.8 -27.3 -6% -8.5 / 275.2 (-3%) -10.9 / 111.85 (-10%) -7.8 / 99.75 (-8%)
Bellator 9 0.8 9% 2.8 / 7 (40%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
PFL 2 0.7 33% 0.7 / 2 (33%)
Other 8.5 5.3 62% 5.3 / 8.5 (62%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 14 (10%) 11 79 % 39.00 8.71 0.62 22%
Slight Favorites 45 (31%) 24 53 % 111.70 -19.19 -0.43 -17%
Slight Underdogs 61 (43%) 26 43 % 110.25 9.90 0.16 9%
Big Underdogs 23 (16%) 6 26 % 29.75 0.08 0.00 0%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 16 (11%) 6 38 % 34.00 -5.94 -0.37 -17%
Co-Main Event 12 (8%) 7 58 % 29.50 3.11 0.26 11%
Position 3-5 43 (30%) 20 47 % 99.50 -6.49 -0.15 -7%
6+ (Undercard) 72 (50%) 34 47 % 127.70 8.83 0.12 7%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (3%) 1 25 % 3.50 -2.13 -0.53 -61%
Light Heavy 14 (10%) 7 50 % 26.00 3.80 0.27 15%
Middleweight 10 (7%) 5 50 % 20.20 -3.47 -0.35 -17%
Welterweight 40 (28%) 20 50 % 74.10 1.22 0.03 2%
Lightweight 25 (17%) 14 56 % 48.20 18.09 0.72 38%
Featherweight 23 (16%) 13 57 % 66.00 3.71 0.16 6%
Bantamweight 18 (13%) 5 28 % 36.70 -15.42 -0.86 -42%
Flyweight 8 (6%) 1 13 % 13.00 -8.00 -1.00 -62%
               
Women's Fights 1 (1%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.71 1.71 57%
Strawweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.71 1.71 57%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 49 (91%) 42 86 %
Slight Favorites 5 (9%) 2 40 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
54 44 81 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 62 (42%) 44 71 %
50-65% 32 (22%) 17 53 %
35-50% 28 (19%) 12 43 %
<35% chance 24 (16%) 5 21 %
146 78 53 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (2%) 2 67 % 1.66 1.80Pick was correct 1.45Pick was incorrect 0.6 (19%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (3%) 1 25 % 1.74 2.13Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was incorrect -2.4 (-59%)
Goes to Decision 16 (11%) 10 63 % 1.68 2.75Pick was incorrect 1.31Pick was correct 1.2 (8%)
Does not go to Decision 57 (39%) 37 65 % 1.47 2.60Pick was correct 1.13Pick was correct -2.4 (-4%)
Fight Starts Round X 5 (3%) 4 80 % 1.33 1.80Pick was correct 1.16Pick was incorrect 0.5 (9%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 4 (3%) 2 50 % 1.46 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.27Pick was incorrect -1.3 (-33%)
X Wins by KO 10 (7%) 1 10 % 1.96 4.75Pick was incorrect 0.60Pick was incorrect -7.6 (-76%)
X Wins by Sub 5 (3%) 1 20 % 4.25 8.50Pick was incorrect 2.85Pick was incorrect -1.9 (-38%)
X Wins by Decision 12 (8%) 5 42 % 3.52 10.00Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was incorrect 5.2 (43%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision 3 (2%) 1 33 % 1.30 1.37Pick was incorrect 1.17Pick was correct -1.8 (-61%)
X Wins Inside Distance 18 (12%) 8 44 % 2.56 6.70Pick was incorrect 1.46Pick was correct -1.1 (-6%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 2 (1%) 2 100 % 1.30 1.35Pick was correct 1.26Pick was correct 0.6 (31%)
X Wins in Round X 3 (2%) 0 0 % 7.15 22.00Pick was incorrect 3.25Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Doesn't Win in Round X 3 (2%) 3 100 % 1.24 1.35Pick was correct 1.13Pick was correct 0.7 (25%)
Others 1 (1%) 1 100 % 2.80 2.80Pick was correct 2.80Pick was correct 1.8 (180%)
146 78 53 % 1.77     -10.9 (-7%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
10th Feb UFC 221 8 -3.4 -42% $10.00 $1,000.00 $966.20
17th Feb Bellator 194 1 -1.0 -100% $9.66 $966.20 $956.54
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 14.2 1.8 13% $9.57 $956.54 $974.15
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 8 0.5 6% $9.74 $974.15 $978.63
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 9.5 6.4 67% $9.79 $978.63 $1,040.97
12th May UFC 224 9.7 -1.5 -16% $10.41 $1,040.97 $1,025.02
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 25.5 4.1 16% $10.25 $1,025.02 $1,067.15
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 14 -7.9 -56% $10.67 $1,067.15 $982.84
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 18.5 -8.2 -44% $9.83 $982.84 $902.33
9th Jun UFC 225 16.5 -0.1 -1% $9.02 $902.33 $901.57
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 16.4 8.8 54% $9.02 $901.57 $980.93
26th Jun DWTNCS 11 7 6.8 97% $9.81 $980.93 $1,047.34
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 6.5 -6.5 -100% $10.47 $1,047.34 $979.27
7th Jul UFC 226 17 -2.3 -14% $9.79 $979.27 $956.57
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 24 0.3 1% $9.57 $956.57 $959.49
19th Jul PFL 4 2 0.7 33% $9.59 $959.49 $965.89
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 17 6.2 36% $9.66 $965.89 $1,025.72
24th Jul DWTNCS 14 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.26 $1,025.72 $1,010.34
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 10.5 4.5 43% $10.10 $1,010.34 $1,055.95
4th Aug UFC 227 13 0.5 4% $10.56 $1,055.95 $1,060.81
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 11.25 -1.0 -9% $10.61 $1,060.81 $1,050.20
8th Sep UFC 228 16 -5.3 -33% $10.50 $1,050.20 $994.52
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 14.25 -2.4 -17% $9.95 $994.52 $970.32
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 16.25 -5.4 -33% $9.70 $970.32 $917.58
29th Sep Bellator 206 6 3.8 63% $9.18 $917.58 $952.26
6th Oct UFC 229 13 -5.5 -42% $9.52 $952.26 $899.70
13th Oct Bellator 208 2 -2.0 -100% $9.00 $899.70 $881.70
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 34 0.6 2% $8.82 $881.70 $886.84
3rd Nov UFC 230 25.5 9.9 39% $8.87 $886.84 $974.65
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 18 5.1 28% $9.75 $974.65 $1,024.07
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 22.8 -18.1 -80% $10.24 $1,024.07 $838.20
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 10 -4.0 -40% $8.38 $838.20 $804.42
30th Nov TUF Finale 14 -1.6 -11% $8.04 $804.42 $791.87
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 6 7.9 131% $7.92 $791.87 $854.28
8th Dec UFC 231 27.45 -6.3 -23% $8.54 $854.28 $800.88
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 10 -3.1 -31% $8.01 $800.88 $776.06
29th Dec UFC 232 20 -1.1 -5% $7.76 $776.06 $767.67


ROI % from starting bank balance: -23.23% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Alex Volkanovski Chad Mendes 2.50 5 TKO, R2 (4:14) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Joaquim Silva Jared Gordon 2.30 3 TKO, R3 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Max Holloway Brian Ortega 2.00 5 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Gilbert Burns Olivier Aubin-Mercier 2.24 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '18 Pedro Munhoz Bryan Caraway 1.42 5 TKO, R1 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Kevin Aguilar Rick Glenn 1.78 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Tony Martin Jake Matthews 2.17 3 Sub, R3 (1:19) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Alex Morono Kenan Song 1.99 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Mike Trizano Luis Pena 3.45 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Yair Rodriguez Chan Sung Jung 2.10 3 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Adam Wieczorek 2.75 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 Ronaldo Souza Chris Weidman 2.40 2 TKO, R3 (2:46) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Sheymon da Silva Moraes Julio Arce 3.65 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '18 Court McGee Alex Garcia 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '18 Don Madge Te Edwards 4.85 1 TKO, R2 (0:14) MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '18 Douglas Lima Andrey Koreshkov 2.13 2 Sub, R5 (3:4) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Quinton Jackson Wanderlei Silva 1.38 4 TKO, R2 (4:32) MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '18 Tony Martin Ryan LaFlare 2.34 2 TKO, R3 (1:0) MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '18 Jan Blachowicz Nikita Krylov 1.97 4 Sub, R2 (2:41) MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '18 Diego Sanchez Craig White 2.80 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 Siyar Bahadurzada Curtis Millender 2.55 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Daniel Hooker Edson Barboza 1.90 4 TKO, R3 (2:19) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Gerald Meerschaert Jack Hermansson 2.80 3 Sub, R1 (4:25) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Matthew Lopez Brad Katona 2.00 2.95 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Jimi Manuwa Thiago Santos 2.60 1 TKO, R2 (0:41) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Alex Oliveira Gunnar Nelson 2.19 2.5 Sub, R2 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Alex Oliveira Gunnar Nelson 1.92 3 Sub, R2 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Darren Stewart Edmen Shahbazyan 2.32 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Chris Gutierrez Raoni Barcelos 4.15 3 Sub, R2 (4:12) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 David Zawada Li Jingliang 2.26 3 TKO, R3 (4:7) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Martin Day Pingyuan Liu 2.90 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 Vincent Morales Yadong Song 3.45 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 2.54 0.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 2.55 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Guido Cannetti Marlon Vera 3.10 1 Sub, R2 (1:31) Yes MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '18 Bartosz Fabinski Michel Prazeres 2.95 3 Sub, R1 (1:2) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Chas Skelly Bobby Moffett 1.90 3 Sub, R2 (2:43) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Thiago Moises Beneil Dariush 2.28 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '18 Nordine Taleb Sean Strickland 1.90 2 TKO, R2 (3:10) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '18 Jessin Ayari Stevie Ray 2.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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