MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1414
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 572

MMA Handicapper Stats: Josh P

Josh P (DogWatch247)

MMA MHandicapper - Josh P

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	64 (47%)	Right	57 (53%)	Right	6 (33%)	Right	1 (10%)
Wrong	72 (53%)	Wrong	51 (47%)	Wrong	12 (67%)	Wrong	9 (90%)
Avg Odds	2.33	Avg Odds	2.13	Avg Odds	3.18	Avg Odds	4.63
Units Bet	398.3	Units Bet	341.4	Units Bet	42.4	Units Bet	14.5
Avg Bet	2.93	Avg Bet	3.16	Avg Bet	2.36	Avg Bet	1.45
Units Profit	85.04	Units Profit	78.49	Units Profit	10.80	Units Profit	-4.25
ROI %	21%	ROI %	23%	ROI %	25%	ROI %	-29%

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	20.05	1.3	6%	-4.5 / 15.55 (-29%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	6.3 / 4 (156%)
15th Dec '18	Fight Night Milwaukee	3	-3.0	-100%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	17.5	11.1	64%	11.1 / 17.5 (64%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	6.2	5.4	87%	5.4 / 6.2 (87%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	9.1	2.0	22%	3.0 / 8.1 (37%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Nov '18	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	6	12.8	213%	12.8 / 6 (213%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	12.5	-0.4	-3%	0.1 / 12 (1%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	10	10.9	109%	9.5 / 5 (190%)	1.4 / 5 (29%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	4	1.2	30%		1.2 / 4 (30%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	10.7	-5.0	-47%	-5.0 / 10.7 (-47%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	16.75	7.4	44%	7.9 / 16.25 (49%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
22nd Sep '18	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	5	-5.0	-100%	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	6	3.5	58%	2.0 / 3 (65%)	1.5 / 3 (51%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	15	11.7	78%	12.7 / 14 (91%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	8.95	-4.9	-55%	-4.9 / 8.95 (-55%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	9.2	-5.1	-55%	-5.1 / 9.2 (-55%)
28th Jul '18	UFC on Fox 30	8.5	7.2	84%	7.2 / 8.5 (84%)
22nd Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 134	6.6	1.6	25%	2.1 / 6.1 (35%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
14th Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 133	4.5	0.5	11%	0.5 / 4.5 (11%)
7th Jul '18	UFC 226	14	-4.3	-30%	0.7 / 9 (8%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
7th Jul '18	TUF 27 Finale	4	3.6	89%	3.6 / 4 (89%)
23rd Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 132	12	2.6	22%	2.6 / 12 (22%)
16th Jun '18	Cage Warriors 94	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Jun '18	UFC 225	14	15.3	110%	15.3 / 14 (110%)
1st Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 131	6.63	-3.9	-59%	-0.3 / 3 (-8%)	-3.6 / 3.63 (-100%)
27th May '18	UFC Fight Night 130	14.8	2.4	16%	-2.7 / 9.8 (-28%)	8.1 / 2 (405%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
19th May '18	UFC Fight Night 129	12.3	-12.3	-100%	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)	-5.3 / 5.3 (-100%)
12th May '18	UFC 224	13	1.8	14%	-5.6 / 11 (-51%)	7.4 / 2 (370%)
28th Apr '18	Bellator 198	1.5	2.1	140%	2.1 / 1.5 (140%)
21st Apr '18	UFC Fight Night 128	17	16.2	95%	16.2 / 17 (95%)
14th Apr '18	UFC on Fox 29	6.5	-6.5	-100%	-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
7th Apr '18	UFC 223	15	6.9	46%	6.9 / 15 (46%)
17th Mar '18	UFC Fight Night 127	6	11.1	185%	11.1 / 6 (185%)
3rd Mar '18	UFC 222	28	7.7	27%	7.7 / 28 (27%)
24th Feb '18	UFC on Fox 28	12	-8.7	-72%	-8.7 / 12 (-72%)
18th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 126	8	5.9	74%	5.9 / 8 (74%)
10th Feb '18	UFC 221	17	0.6	3%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	6.6 / 11 (60%)
4th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 125	15	-6.7	-45%	-3.7 / 12 (-31%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Winning Events: 25 (64%)
Losing Events: 14 (36%)

Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2018	398.28	85.0	21%	78.5 / 341.35 (23%)	10.8 / 42.43 (25%)	-4.2 / 14.5 (-29%)	25 / 14 (64%)	2.18

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	394.78	84.9	22%	78.4 / 337.85 (23%)	10.8 / 42.43 (25%)	-4.2 / 14.5 (-29%)
Bellator	1.5	2.1	140%	2.1 / 1.5 (140%)
Other	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	7 (6%)	6	86 %	48.20	13.65	1.95	28%
Slight Favorites	37 (34%)	23	62 %	141.95	26.19	0.71	18%
Slight Underdogs	44 (41%)	24	55 %	118.00	35.20	0.80	30%
Big Underdogs	20 (19%)	4	20 %	33.20	3.45	0.17	10%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	32 (30%)	19	59 %	137.70	41.67	1.30	30%
Co-Main Event	14 (13%)	10	71 %	49.00	33.99	2.43	69%
Position 3-5	25 (23%)	9	36 %	50.95	1.84	0.07	4%
6+ (Undercard)	36 (33%)	18	50 %	101.45	-0.96	-0.03	-1%

by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	13 (12%)	10	77 %	38.40	36.35	2.80	95%
Light Heavy	16 (15%)	5	31 %	39.75	-10.77	-0.67	-27%
Middleweight	9 (8%)	3	33 %	26.20	-4.86	-0.54	-19%
Welterweight	18 (17%)	11	61 %	78.40	19.82	1.10	25%
Lightweight	10 (9%)	5	50 %	29.00	5.16	0.52	18%
Featherweight	13 (12%)	9	69 %	55.50	34.08	2.62	61%
Bantamweight	11 (10%)	5	45 %	24.25	-1.87	-0.17	-8%
Flyweight	6 (6%)	2	33 %	13.50	-3.25	-0.54	-24%

Women's Fights	12 (11%)	7	58 %	36.35	3.84	0.32	11%
Featherweight	2 (2%)		0 %	4.90	-4.90	-2.45	-100%
Bantamweight	2 (2%)	2	100 %	3.75	3.39	1.69	90%
Bantamweight	4 (4%)	3	75 %	6.50	5.10	1.27	78%
Strawweight	4 (4%)	2	50 %	21.20	0.26	0.06	1%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	6 (21%)	5	83 %
Slight Favorites	8 (29%)	2	25 %
Slight Underdogs	11 (39%)	4	36 %
Big Underdogs	3 (11%)	1	33 %
	28	12	43 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (11%)	2	100 %
50-65%	3 (17%)	1	33 %
35-50%	2 (11%)	1	50 %
<35% chance	11 (61%)	2	18 %
	18	6	33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (6%)	1	100 %	1.60	1.60	1.60	0.6 (60%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (6%)	1	100 %	1.51	1.51	1.51	0.5 (51%)
X Wins by KO	1 (6%)	0	0 %	4.48	4.48	4.48	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (17%)	1	33 %	5.24	13.75	2.59	-0.4 (-14%)
X Wins by Decision	4 (22%)	0	0 %	4.38	10.00	2.50	-4.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	5 (28%)	1	20 %	2.02	4.25	1.29	-3.7 (-74%)
Others	3 (17%)	2	67 %	6.11	12.45	4.70	6.7 (225%)
	18	6	33 %	3.02			-1.3 (-7%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night 125	15	-6.7	-45%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$932.64
10th Feb	UFC 221	17	0.6	3%		$9.33	$932.64	$938.11
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night 126	8	5.9	74%		$9.38	$938.11	$993.71
24th Feb	UFC on Fox 28	12	-8.7	-72%		$9.94	$993.71	$907.58
3rd Mar	UFC 222	28	7.7	27%		$9.08	$907.58	$977.10
17th Mar	UFC Fight Night 127	6	11.1	185%		$9.77	$977.10	$1,085.56
7th Apr	UFC 223	15	6.9	46%		$10.86	$1,085.56	$1,160.46
14th Apr	UFC on Fox 29	6.5	-6.5	-100%		$11.60	$1,160.46	$1,085.03
21st Apr	UFC Fight Night 128	17	16.2	95%		$10.85	$1,085.03	$1,260.37
28th Apr	Bellator 198	1.5	2.1	140%		$12.60	$1,260.37	$1,286.84
12th May	UFC 224	13	1.8	14%		$12.87	$1,286.84	$1,310.00
19th May	UFC Fight Night 129	12.3	-12.3	-100%		$13.10	$1,310.00	$1,148.87
27th May	UFC Fight Night 130	14.8	2.4	16%		$11.49	$1,148.87	$1,175.87
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 131	6.63	-3.9	-59%		$11.76	$1,175.87	$1,130.24
9th Jun	UFC 225	14	15.3	110%		$11.30	$1,130.24	$1,303.73
16th Jun	Cage Warriors 94	1	-1.0	-100%		$13.04	$1,303.73	$1,290.69
23rd Jun	UFC Fight Night 132	12	2.6	22%		$12.91	$1,290.69	$1,324.25
7th Jul	TUF 27 Finale	4	3.6	89%		$13.24	$1,324.25	$1,371.55
7th Jul	UFC 226	14	-4.3	-30%		$13.72	$1,371.55	$1,313.11
14th Jul	UFC Fight Night 133	4.5	0.5	11%		$13.13	$1,313.11	$1,319.66
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night 134	6.6	1.6	25%		$13.20	$1,319.66	$1,341.43
28th Jul	UFC on Fox 30	8.5	7.2	84%		$13.41	$1,341.43	$1,437.48
4th Aug	UFC 227	9.2	-5.1	-55%		$14.37	$1,437.48	$1,364.17
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	8.95	-4.9	-55%		$13.64	$1,364.17	$1,297.27
8th Sep	UFC 228	15	11.7	78%		$12.97	$1,297.27	$1,449.41
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	6	3.5	58%		$14.49	$1,449.41	$1,499.97
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	5	-5.0	-100%		$15.00	$1,499.97	$1,424.97
6th Oct	UFC 229	16.75	7.4	44%		$14.25	$1,424.97	$1,530.58
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	10.7	-5.0	-47%		$15.31	$1,530.58	$1,454.05
3rd Nov	UFC 230	4	1.2	30%		$14.54	$1,454.05	$1,471.21
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	10	10.9	109%		$14.71	$1,471.21	$1,631.99
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	12.5	-0.4	-3%		$16.32	$1,631.99	$1,625.50
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	6	12.8	213%		$16.26	$1,625.50	$1,833.57
25th Nov	Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3	1	-1.0	-100%		$18.34	$1,833.57	$1,815.23
30th Nov	TUF Finale	9.1	2.0	22%		$18.15	$1,815.23	$1,851.54
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	6.2	5.4	87%		$18.52	$1,851.54	$1,951.52
8th Dec	UFC 231	17.5	11.1	64%		$19.52	$1,951.52	$2,168.92
15th Dec	Fight Night Milwaukee	3	-3.0	-100%		$21.69	$2,168.92	$2,103.85
29th Dec	UFC 232	20.05	1.3	6%		$21.04	$2,103.85	$2,131.24

ROI % from starting bank balance: 113.12% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '18	Max Holloway	Brian Ortega	1.85	4	TKO, R4 (5:0)
2.	Dec '18	Jessica Eye	Katlyn Chookagian	2.60	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Dec '18	Jessica Eye	Katlyn Chookagian	2.20	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Dec '18	Jon Jones	Alexander Gustafsson	1.37	8.1	TKO, R3 (2:2)
5.	Nov '18	Kamaru Usman	Rafael dos Anjos	1.37	8.1	U Decision (5 rounds)
6.	Dec '18	Tony Martin	Jake Matthews	2.20	2	Sub, R3 (1:19)
7.	Dec '18	Junior dos Santos	Tai Tuivasa	1.71	4.2	TKO, R2 (2:30)
8.	Nov '18	Francis Ngannou	Curtis Blaydes	3.20	2	TKO, R1 (0:45)
9.	Nov '18	Ricardo Lamas	Darren Elkins	1.51	8	TKO, R3 (4:9)
10.	Dec '18	Max Holloway	Brian Ortega	1.78	8	TKO, R4 (5:0)
11.	Nov '18	Donald Cerrone	Mike Perry	2.90	5	Sub, R1 (4:46)
12.	Oct '18	Arjan Bhullar	Marcelo Golm	1.54	3.7	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Nov '18	Francis Ngannou	Curtis Blaydes	3.10	4	TKO, R1 (0:45)
14.	Oct '18	Khabib Nurmagomedov	Conor McGregor	1.57	8	Sub, R4 (3:2)
15.	Oct '18	Khabib Nurmagomedov	Conor McGregor	1.67	2	Sub, R4 (3:2)
16.	Oct '18	Aspen Ladd	Tonya Evinger	1.87	2.25	TKO, R1 (3:26)
17.	Sep '18	Jan Blachowicz	Nikita Krylov	2.15	1	Sub, R2 (2:41)
18.	Sep '18	Aleksei Oleinik	Mark Hunt	2.80	1	Sub, R1 (4:26)
19.	Oct '18	Tony Martin	Ryan LaFlare	2.70	1.5	TKO, R3 (1:0)
20.	Sep '18	Tyron Woodley	Darren Till	1.91	11	Sub, R2 (4:19)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '18	Ilir Latifi	Corey Anderson	1.65	1.55	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Dec '18	Carlos Condit	Michael Chiesa	2.65	2	Sub, R2 (0:56)	No
3.	Dec '18	Cat Zingano	Megan Anderson	1.78	3.9	TKO, R1 (1:1)	No
4.	Dec '18	Bobby Green	Drakkar Klose	3.50	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Dec '18	Jimi Manuwa	Thiago Santos	2.76	1.5	TKO, R2 (0:41)	No
6.	Dec '18	Matthew Lopez	Brad Katona	2.95	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Nov '18	Chuck Liddell	Tito Ortiz	3.25	1	TKO, R1 (4:24)	No
8.	Nov '18	Bartosz Fabinski	Michel Prazeres	3.00	1.5	Sub, R1 (1:2)	No
9.	Nov '18	Neil Magny	Santiago Ponzinibbio	3.60	2.5	TKO, R4 (2:22)	No
10.	Sep '18	Hector Lombard	Thales Leites	2.05	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Sep '18	Eryk Anders	Thiago Santos	2.45	1	TKO, R3 (5:0)	No
12.	Sep '18	Evan Dunham	Francisco Trinaldo	3.35	1	TKO, R2 (4:12)	No
13.	Sep '18	Eryk Anders	Thiago Santos	2.25	1.5	TKO, R3 (5:0)	No
14.	Sep '18	Andrei Arlovski	Shamil Abdurakhimov	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Oct '18	Volkan Oezdemir	Anthony Smith	1.65	7	Sub, R3 (4:26)	No
16.	Aug '18	James Vick	Justin Gaethje	1.78	2	TKO, R1 (1:27)	No
17.	Aug '18	Kalindra Faria	Joanne Calderwood	2.45	1.5	Sub, R1 (4:59)	No
18.	Oct '18	Sergio Pettis	Jussier Formiga	1.74	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Aug '18	Andre Fili	Michael Johnson	2.30	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Aug '18	Angela Hill	Cortney Casey	1.87	1.2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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