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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1414
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 572

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Josh P

Josh P (DogWatch247)


MMA MHandicapper - Josh  P

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 64 (47%) Right 57 (53%) Right 6 (33%) Right 1 (10%)
Wrong 72 (53%) Wrong 51 (47%) Wrong 12 (67%) Wrong 9 (90%)
Avg Odds 2.33 Avg Odds 2.13 Avg Odds 3.18 Avg Odds 4.63
Units Bet 398.3 Units Bet 341.4 Units Bet 42.4 Units Bet 14.5
Avg Bet 2.93 Avg Bet 3.16 Avg Bet 2.36 Avg Bet 1.45
Units Profit 85.04 Units Profit 78.49 Units Profit 10.80 Units Profit -4.25
ROI % 21% ROI % 23% ROI % 25% ROI % -29%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 20.05 1.3 6% -4.5 / 15.55 (-29%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 6.3 / 4 (156%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 3 -3.0 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 17.5 11.1 64% 11.1 / 17.5 (64%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 6.2 5.4 87% 5.4 / 6.2 (87%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 9.1 2.0 22% 3.0 / 8.1 (37%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 6 12.8 213% 12.8 / 6 (213%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 12.5 -0.4 -3% 0.1 / 12 (1%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 10 10.9 109% 9.5 / 5 (190%) 1.4 / 5 (29%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 4 1.2 30% 1.2 / 4 (30%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 10.7 -5.0 -47% -5.0 / 10.7 (-47%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 16.75 7.4 44% 7.9 / 16.25 (49%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 5 -5.0 -100% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 6 3.5 58% 2.0 / 3 (65%) 1.5 / 3 (51%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 15 11.7 78% 12.7 / 14 (91%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 8.95 -4.9 -55% -4.9 / 8.95 (-55%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 9.2 -5.1 -55% -5.1 / 9.2 (-55%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 8.5 7.2 84% 7.2 / 8.5 (84%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 6.6 1.6 25% 2.1 / 6.1 (35%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 4.5 0.5 11% 0.5 / 4.5 (11%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 14 -4.3 -30% 0.7 / 9 (8%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 4 3.6 89% 3.6 / 4 (89%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 12 2.6 22% 2.6 / 12 (22%)
16th Jun '18 Cage Warriors 94 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 14 15.3 110% 15.3 / 14 (110%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 6.63 -3.9 -59% -0.3 / 3 (-8%) -3.6 / 3.63 (-100%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 14.8 2.4 16% -2.7 / 9.8 (-28%) 8.1 / 2 (405%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 12.3 -12.3 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%) -5.3 / 5.3 (-100%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 13 1.8 14% -5.6 / 11 (-51%) 7.4 / 2 (370%)
28th Apr '18 Bellator 198 1.5 2.1 140% 2.1 / 1.5 (140%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 17 16.2 95% 16.2 / 17 (95%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 6.5 -6.5 -100% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 15 6.9 46% 6.9 / 15 (46%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 6 11.1 185% 11.1 / 6 (185%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 28 7.7 27% 7.7 / 28 (27%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 12 -8.7 -72% -8.7 / 12 (-72%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 8 5.9 74% 5.9 / 8 (74%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 17 0.6 3% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 6.6 / 11 (60%)
4th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 125 15 -6.7 -45% -3.7 / 12 (-31%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)


Winning Events: 25 (64%)
Losing Events: 14 (36%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 398.28 85.0 21% 78.5 / 341.35 (23%) 10.8 / 42.43 (25%) -4.2 / 14.5 (-29%) 25 / 14 (64%) 2.18

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 394.78 84.9 22% 78.4 / 337.85 (23%) 10.8 / 42.43 (25%) -4.2 / 14.5 (-29%)
Bellator 1.5 2.1 140% 2.1 / 1.5 (140%)
Other 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 7 (6%) 6 86 % 48.20 13.65 1.95 28%
Slight Favorites 37 (34%) 23 62 % 141.95 26.19 0.71 18%
Slight Underdogs 44 (41%) 24 55 % 118.00 35.20 0.80 30%
Big Underdogs 20 (19%) 4 20 % 33.20 3.45 0.17 10%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 32 (30%) 19 59 % 137.70 41.67 1.30 30%
Co-Main Event 14 (13%) 10 71 % 49.00 33.99 2.43 69%
Position 3-5 25 (23%) 9 36 % 50.95 1.84 0.07 4%
6+ (Undercard) 36 (33%) 18 50 % 101.45 -0.96 -0.03 -1%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 13 (12%) 10 77 % 38.40 36.35 2.80 95%
Light Heavy 16 (15%) 5 31 % 39.75 -10.77 -0.67 -27%
Middleweight 9 (8%) 3 33 % 26.20 -4.86 -0.54 -19%
Welterweight 18 (17%) 11 61 % 78.40 19.82 1.10 25%
Lightweight 10 (9%) 5 50 % 29.00 5.16 0.52 18%
Featherweight 13 (12%) 9 69 % 55.50 34.08 2.62 61%
Bantamweight 11 (10%) 5 45 % 24.25 -1.87 -0.17 -8%
Flyweight 6 (6%) 2 33 % 13.50 -3.25 -0.54 -24%
               
Women's Fights 12 (11%) 7 58 % 36.35 3.84 0.32 11%
Featherweight 2 (2%) 0 % 4.90 -4.90 -2.45 -100%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 2 100 % 3.75 3.39 1.69 90%
Bantamweight 4 (4%) 3 75 % 6.50 5.10 1.27 78%
Strawweight 4 (4%) 2 50 % 21.20 0.26 0.06 1%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 6 (21%) 5 83 %
Slight Favorites 8 (29%) 2 25 %
Slight Underdogs 11 (39%) 4 36 %
Big Underdogs 3 (11%) 1 33 %
28 12 43 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (11%) 2 100 %
50-65% 3 (17%) 1 33 %
35-50% 2 (11%) 1 50 %
<35% chance 11 (61%) 2 18 %
18 6 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.60 1.60Pick was correct 1.60Pick was correct 0.6 (60%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (6%) 1 100 % 1.51 1.51Pick was correct 1.51Pick was incorrect 0.5 (51%)
X Wins by KO 1 (6%) 0 0 % 4.48 4.48Pick was incorrect 4.48Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (17%) 1 33 % 5.24 13.75Pick was incorrect 2.59Pick was correct -0.4 (-14%)
X Wins by Decision 4 (22%) 0 0 % 4.38 10.00Pick was incorrect 2.50Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 5 (28%) 1 20 % 2.02 4.25Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was correct -3.7 (-74%)
Others 3 (17%) 2 67 % 6.11 12.45Pick was incorrect 4.70Pick was correct 6.7 (225%)
18 6 33 % 3.02     -1.3 (-7%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Feb UFC Fight Night 125 15 -6.7 -45% $10.00 $1,000.00 $932.64
10th Feb UFC 221 17 0.6 3% $9.33 $932.64 $938.11
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 8 5.9 74% $9.38 $938.11 $993.71
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 12 -8.7 -72% $9.94 $993.71 $907.58
3rd Mar UFC 222 28 7.7 27% $9.08 $907.58 $977.10
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 6 11.1 185% $9.77 $977.10 $1,085.56
7th Apr UFC 223 15 6.9 46% $10.86 $1,085.56 $1,160.46
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 6.5 -6.5 -100% $11.60 $1,160.46 $1,085.03
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 17 16.2 95% $10.85 $1,085.03 $1,260.37
28th Apr Bellator 198 1.5 2.1 140% $12.60 $1,260.37 $1,286.84
12th May UFC 224 13 1.8 14% $12.87 $1,286.84 $1,310.00
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 12.3 -12.3 -100% $13.10 $1,310.00 $1,148.87
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 14.8 2.4 16% $11.49 $1,148.87 $1,175.87
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 6.63 -3.9 -59% $11.76 $1,175.87 $1,130.24
9th Jun UFC 225 14 15.3 110% $11.30 $1,130.24 $1,303.73
16th Jun Cage Warriors 94 1 -1.0 -100% $13.04 $1,303.73 $1,290.69
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 12 2.6 22% $12.91 $1,290.69 $1,324.25
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 4 3.6 89% $13.24 $1,324.25 $1,371.55
7th Jul UFC 226 14 -4.3 -30% $13.72 $1,371.55 $1,313.11
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 4.5 0.5 11% $13.13 $1,313.11 $1,319.66
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 6.6 1.6 25% $13.20 $1,319.66 $1,341.43
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 8.5 7.2 84% $13.41 $1,341.43 $1,437.48
4th Aug UFC 227 9.2 -5.1 -55% $14.37 $1,437.48 $1,364.17
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 8.95 -4.9 -55% $13.64 $1,364.17 $1,297.27
8th Sep UFC 228 15 11.7 78% $12.97 $1,297.27 $1,449.41
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 6 3.5 58% $14.49 $1,449.41 $1,499.97
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 5 -5.0 -100% $15.00 $1,499.97 $1,424.97
6th Oct UFC 229 16.75 7.4 44% $14.25 $1,424.97 $1,530.58
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 10.7 -5.0 -47% $15.31 $1,530.58 $1,454.05
3rd Nov UFC 230 4 1.2 30% $14.54 $1,454.05 $1,471.21
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 10 10.9 109% $14.71 $1,471.21 $1,631.99
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 12.5 -0.4 -3% $16.32 $1,631.99 $1,625.50
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 6 12.8 213% $16.26 $1,625.50 $1,833.57
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 1 -1.0 -100% $18.34 $1,833.57 $1,815.23
30th Nov TUF Finale 9.1 2.0 22% $18.15 $1,815.23 $1,851.54
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 6.2 5.4 87% $18.52 $1,851.54 $1,951.52
8th Dec UFC 231 17.5 11.1 64% $19.52 $1,951.52 $2,168.92
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 3 -3.0 -100% $21.69 $2,168.92 $2,103.85
29th Dec UFC 232 20.05 1.3 6% $21.04 $2,103.85 $2,131.24


ROI % from starting bank balance: 113.12% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Max Holloway Brian Ortega 1.85 4 TKO, R4 (5:0) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Jessica Eye Katlyn Chookagian 2.60 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Jessica Eye Katlyn Chookagian 2.20 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Jon Jones Alexander Gustafsson 1.37 8.1 TKO, R3 (2:2) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '18 Kamaru Usman Rafael dos Anjos 1.37 8.1 U Decision (5 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Tony Martin Jake Matthews 2.20 2 Sub, R3 (1:19) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Junior dos Santos Tai Tuivasa 1.71 4.2 TKO, R2 (2:30) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Francis Ngannou Curtis Blaydes 3.20 2 TKO, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Ricardo Lamas Darren Elkins 1.51 8 TKO, R3 (4:9) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Max Holloway Brian Ortega 1.78 8 TKO, R4 (5:0) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Donald Cerrone Mike Perry 2.90 5 Sub, R1 (4:46) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '18 Arjan Bhullar Marcelo Golm 1.54 3.7 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Francis Ngannou Curtis Blaydes 3.10 4 TKO, R1 (0:45) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '18 Khabib Nurmagomedov Conor McGregor 1.57 8 Sub, R4 (3:2) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '18 Khabib Nurmagomedov Conor McGregor 1.67 2 Sub, R4 (3:2) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '18 Aspen Ladd Tonya Evinger 1.87 2.25 TKO, R1 (3:26) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Jan Blachowicz Nikita Krylov 2.15 1 Sub, R2 (2:41) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '18 Aleksei Oleinik Mark Hunt 2.80 1 Sub, R1 (4:26) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '18 Tony Martin Ryan LaFlare 2.70 1.5 TKO, R3 (1:0) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '18 Tyron Woodley Darren Till 1.91 11 Sub, R2 (4:19) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 Ilir Latifi Corey Anderson 1.65 1.55 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Carlos Condit Michael Chiesa 2.65 2 Sub, R2 (0:56) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Cat Zingano Megan Anderson 1.78 3.9 TKO, R1 (1:1) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Bobby Green Drakkar Klose 3.50 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Jimi Manuwa Thiago Santos 2.76 1.5 TKO, R2 (0:41) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Matthew Lopez Brad Katona 2.95 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Chuck Liddell Tito Ortiz 3.25 1 TKO, R1 (4:24) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Bartosz Fabinski Michel Prazeres 3.00 1.5 Sub, R1 (1:2) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Neil Magny Santiago Ponzinibbio 3.60 2.5 TKO, R4 (2:22) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '18 Hector Lombard Thales Leites 2.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '18 Eryk Anders Thiago Santos 2.45 1 TKO, R3 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '18 Evan Dunham Francisco Trinaldo 3.35 1 TKO, R2 (4:12) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '18 Eryk Anders Thiago Santos 2.25 1.5 TKO, R3 (5:0) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '18 Andrei Arlovski Shamil Abdurakhimov 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '18 Volkan Oezdemir Anthony Smith 1.65 7 Sub, R3 (4:26) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '18 James Vick Justin Gaethje 1.78 2 TKO, R1 (1:27) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '18 Kalindra Faria Joanne Calderwood 2.45 1.5 Sub, R1 (4:59) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '18 Sergio Pettis Jussier Formiga 1.74 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '18 Andre Fili Michael Johnson 2.30 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '18 Angela Hill Cortney Casey 1.87 1.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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