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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1540
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 650

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Recon

Recon (Recon)


MMA MHandicapper - Recon

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 64 (62%) Right 38 (66%) Right 26 (57%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 40 (38%) Wrong 20 (34%) Wrong 20 (43%) Wrong 0 (0%)
Avg Odds 1.71 Avg Odds 1.67 Avg Odds 1.77 Avg Odds 0.00
Units Bet 121.6 Units Bet 71.4 Units Bet 50.2 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 1.17 Avg Bet 1.23 Avg Bet 1.09 Avg Bet 0.00
Units Profit 7.36 Units Profit 6.28 Units Profit 1.08 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 6% ROI % 9% ROI % 2% ROI % 0%
View Handicapper's Profile

Recon : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 3 -3.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 3 -0.0 -1% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.0 / 2 (49%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 8 -0.6 -7% -1.9 / 5 (-39%) 1.4 / 3 (46%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 2 1.8 91% 1.8 / 2 (91%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 1 1.4 135% 1.4 / 1 (135%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 1 0.4 41% 0.4 / 1 (41%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 1 1.1 114% 1.1 / 1 (114%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 3 -0.4 -13% -0.4 / 3 (-13%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 1 0.9 91% 0.9 / 1 (91%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 1 0.4 36% 0.4 / 1 (36%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 1 0.6 61% 0.6 / 1 (61%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 4 1.3 34% 0.4 / 1 (45%) 0.9 / 3 (30%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 2 0.9 45% 0.9 / 2 (45%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 1 0.7 65% 0.7 / 1 (65%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 2.5 -2.5 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 4.5 -3.0 -67% -1.5 / 3 (-50%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 4 0.3 8% -0.3 / 2 (-16%) 0.6 / 2 (32%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 5 2.0 41% 0.7 / 2 (36%) 1.3 / 3 (44%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 3 0.9 31% 0.9 / 3 (31%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 1 0.6 57% 0.6 / 1 (57%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 3.5 -2.1 -61% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.6 / 3 (-55%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 2 -0.6 -31% -0.6 / 2 (-31%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 3.8 0.4 10% 1.0 / 1.3 (80%) -0.6 / 2.5 (-26%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 1 0.4 36% 0.4 / 1 (36%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 3.94 -3.1 -78% -2.6 / 2.6 (-100%) -0.5 / 1.34 (-35%)
25th May '18 Bellator 200 1 0.4 36% 0.4 / 1 (36%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 4 1.0 24% 0.1 / 2.75 (3%) 0.9 / 1.25 (71%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 1.25 0.2 20% 0.5 / 1 (50%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 2.19 -0.3 -11% 0.8 / 1.14 (70%) -1.1 / 1.05 (-100%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 3.5 -0.7 -21% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.2 / 3 (-8%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 2.95 -0.6 -19% -0.3 / 1.05 (-27%) -0.3 / 1.9 (-15%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 4 1.9 47% 1.4 / 2 (70%) 0.5 / 2 (24%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 5.72 -0.9 -16% -0.8 / 2.97 (-27%) -0.1 / 2.75 (-4%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 9.14 1.5 16% 1.0 / 5.99 (17%) 0.5 / 3.15 (16%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 4.6 1.7 37% 0.6 / 2.6 (23%) 1.1 / 2 (56%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 11 3.2 29% 1.5 / 8 (19%) 1.7 / 3 (56%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 6 2.2 36% 2.2 / 6 (36%)


Winning Events: 24 (63%)
Losing Events: 14 (37%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.23 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.00 units
Best Event: 3.19 units
Worst Event: -3.07 units
Average Event: 0.19 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 8.55
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -5.50

Recon : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 7 -4.0 -57% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -1.0 / 4 (-25%) / 3 (0%) -1.34
2018 115.59 11.4 10% 9.3 / 68.4 (14%) 2.1 / 47.19 (4%) 24 / 11 (69%) 0.33

Recon : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Recon : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 119.59 6.1 5% 5.0 / 68.4 (7%) 1.1 / 51.19 (2%)
Bellator 3 1.3 42% 1.3 / 3 (42%)

Recon : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 23 (40%) 19 83 % 34.10 5.08 0.22 15%
Slight Favorites 23 (40%) 12 52 % 25.94 -0.68 -0.03 -3%
Slight Underdogs 11 (19%) 6 55 % 10.36 -0.31 -0.03 -3%
Big Underdogs 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.00 2.20 2.20 220%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 12 (21%) 7 58 % 13.60 -0.87 -0.07 -6%
Co-Main Event 7 (12%) 5 71 % 11.90 1.20 0.17 10%
Position 3-5 16 (28%) 12 75 % 20.80 3.93 0.25 19%
6+ (Undercard) 23 (40%) 14 61 % 25.10 2.02 0.09 8%

Recon : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (9%) 4 80 % 7.00 3.29 0.66 47%
Light Heavy 4 (7%) 4 100 % 3.50 2.02 0.50 58%
Middleweight 7 (12%) 6 86 % 7.50 3.04 0.43 41%
Welterweight 9 (16%) 3 33 % 9.95 -3.86 -0.43 -39%
Lightweight 5 (9%) 4 80 % 10.00 5.17 1.03 52%
Featherweight 7 (12%) 5 71 % 8.95 2.52 0.36 28%
Bantamweight 8 (14%) 4 50 % 7.60 -2.56 -0.32 -34%
Flyweight 6 (10%) 3 50 % 6.86 -2.60 -0.43 -38%
               
Women's Fights 7 (12%) 5 71 % 10.04 -0.74 -0.11 -7%
Featherweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 4.00 -2.51 -1.25 -63%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 0.61 0.51 0.51 83%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 0.50 0.27 0.27 53%
Strawweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 4.93 1.00 0.33 20%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
0 0 0 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 13 (27%) 11 85 %
50-65% 21 (44%) 12 57 %
35-50% 10 (21%) 3 30 %
<35% chance 4 (8%) 0 0 %
48 26 54 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (2%) 1 100 % 2.25 2.25Pick was correct 2.25Pick was correct 1.3 (125%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (10%) 4 80 % 1.71 2.55Pick was correct 1.44Pick was incorrect 2.4 (49%)
Does not go to Decision 16 (33%) 10 63 % 1.53 1.83Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was correct -1.1 (-7%)
Fight Starts Round X 3 (6%) 3 100 % 1.45 1.67Pick was correct 1.35Pick was incorrect 1.4 (46%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 2 (4%) 2 100 % 1.34 1.36Pick was correct 1.32Pick was incorrect 0.7 (34%)
X Wins by KO 5 (10%) 0 0 % 2.23 3.75Pick was incorrect 1.71Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (6%) 0 0 % 3.32 4.75Pick was incorrect 2.77Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 3 (6%) 0 0 % 2.45 2.90Pick was incorrect 1.96Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (2%) 0 0 % 1.85 1.85Pick was incorrect 1.85Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 9 (19%) 6 67 % 1.97 2.85Pick was incorrect 1.42Pick was correct 4.4 (49%)
48 26 54 % 1.78     -2.9 (-6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Recon 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 6 2.2 36% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,021.60
10th Feb UFC 221 11 3.2 29% $10.22 $1,021.60 $1,054.19
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 4.6 1.7 37% $10.54 $1,054.19 $1,072.32
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 9.14 1.5 16% $10.72 $1,072.32 $1,088.20
3rd Mar UFC 222 5.72 -0.9 -16% $10.88 $1,088.20 $1,078.27
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 4 1.9 47% $10.78 $1,078.27 $1,098.65
7th Apr UFC 223 2.95 -0.6 -19% $10.99 $1,098.65 $1,092.34
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 3.5 -0.7 -21% $10.92 $1,092.34 $1,084.25
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 2.19 -0.3 -11% $10.84 $1,084.25 $1,081.54
12th May UFC 224 1.25 0.2 20% $10.82 $1,081.54 $1,084.24
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 4 1.0 24% $10.84 $1,084.24 $1,094.63
25th May Bellator 200 1 0.4 36% $10.95 $1,094.63 $1,098.57
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 3.94 -3.1 -78% $10.99 $1,098.57 $1,064.81
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 1 0.4 36% $10.65 $1,064.81 $1,068.64
9th Jun UFC 225 3.8 0.4 10% $10.69 $1,068.64 $1,072.86
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 2 -0.6 -31% $10.73 $1,072.86 $1,066.26
7th Jul UFC 226 3.5 -2.1 -61% $10.66 $1,066.26 $1,043.45
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 1 0.6 57% $10.43 $1,043.45 $1,049.39
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 3 0.9 31% $10.49 $1,049.39 $1,059.15
4th Aug UFC 227 5 2.0 41% $10.59 $1,059.15 $1,080.76
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 4 0.3 8% $10.81 $1,080.76 $1,084.33
8th Sep UFC 228 4.5 -3.0 -67% $10.84 $1,084.33 $1,051.80
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 2.5 -2.5 -100% $10.52 $1,051.80 $1,025.50
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 1 0.7 65% $10.26 $1,025.50 $1,032.17
29th Sep Bellator 206 2 0.9 45% $10.32 $1,032.17 $1,041.46
6th Oct UFC 229 4 1.3 34% $10.41 $1,041.46 $1,055.52
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 1 0.6 61% $10.56 $1,055.52 $1,061.96
3rd Nov UFC 230 1 0.4 36% $10.62 $1,061.96 $1,065.78
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 1 0.9 91% $10.66 $1,065.78 $1,075.48
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 3 -0.4 -13% $10.75 $1,075.48 $1,071.39
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 1 1.1 114% $10.71 $1,071.39 $1,083.60
30th Nov TUF Finale 1 0.4 41% $10.84 $1,083.60 $1,088.05
8th Dec UFC 231 1 1.4 135% $10.88 $1,088.05 $1,102.74
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 2 1.8 91% $11.03 $1,102.74 $1,122.81
29th Dec UFC 232 8 -0.6 -7% $9.99 $11.23 $1,122.81 $1,106.42
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 3 -0.0 -1% $9.99 $11.06 $1,106.42 $1,096.20
9th Feb UFC 234 1 -1.0 -100% $9.99 $10.96 $1,096.20 $1,075.25
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 3 -3.0 -100% $9.99 $10.75 $1,075.25 $1,033.00


ROI % from starting bank balance: 3.30% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Recon : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Paid Pick Jon Jones Alexander Gustafsson 1.37 1 TKO, R3 (2:2) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Paid Pick Walt Harris Andrei Arlovski 1.69 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Joaquim Silva Jared Gordon 2.45 1 TKO, R3 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Zak Cummings Trevor Smith 1.37 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Elias Theodorou Eryk Anders 2.35 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Pedro Munhoz Bryan Caraway 1.41 1 TKO, R1 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Alistair Overeem Sergey Pavlovich 2.14 1 TKO, R1 (4:21) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Santiago Ponzinibbio Neil Magny 1.31 2 TKO, R4 (2:22) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Eric Shelton Joseph Morales 1.91 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Karl Roberson Jack Marshman 1.36 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '18 Gegard Mousasi Rory MacDonald 1.45 2 TKO, R2 (3:23) MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '18 Dominick Reyes Ovince St Preux 1.45 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '18 Thiago Santos Eryk Anders 1.65 1 TKO, R3 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '18 Jarred Brooks Roberto Sanchez 1.50 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '18 Michael Johnson Andre Fili 1.69 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '18 Renato Moicano Cub Swanson 1.36 2 Sub, R1 (4:15) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '18 Junior dos Santos Blagoy Ivanov 1.57 1 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '18 David Teymur Nik Lentz 1.36 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. May '18 Gegard Mousasi Rafael Carvalho 1.36 1 TKO, R1 (3:35) MMA Bookmaker
20. May '18 Enrique Barzola Brandon Davis 1.56 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '19 Paid Pick Jimmie Rivera Aljamain Sterling 1.74 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '19 Paid Pick T.J. Dillashaw Henry Cejudo 1.48 1 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Cristiane Justino Amanda Nunes 1.38 3 TKO, R1 (0:51) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '18 Poliana Botelho Cynthia Calvillo 1.74 1 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '18 Mark Hunt Aleksei Oleinik 1.59 1 Sub, R1 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '18 Cody Stamann Aljamain Sterling 2.15 1 Sub, R2 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '18 Charles Byrd Darren Stewart 1.50 1 TKO, R2 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '18 James Vick Justin Gaethje 1.63 1 TKO, R1 (1:27) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '18 Max Griffin Curtis Millender 2.45 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '18 Stephen Thompson Darren Till 1.87 0.6 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '18 Nordine Taleb Claudio Silva 1.39 1 Sub, R1 (4:31) No MMA Bookmaker
12. May '18 Stephen Thompson Darren Till 1.63 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '18 Zak Cummings Michel Prazeres 1.71 0.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '18 Matthew Lopez Alejandro Perez 1.78 0.5 TKO, R2 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '18 Calvin Kattar Renato Moicano 1.91 0.55 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '18 Frankie Edgar Brian Ortega 1.63 0.8 TKO, R1 (4:44) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '18 Andre Soukhamthath Sean O'Malley 2.45 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '18 Eric Shelton Alex Perez 2.30 1.56 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '18 Thiago Alves Curtis Millender 1.63 1.6 TKO, R2 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '18 Ben Nguyen Jussier Formiga 2.02 2 Sub, R3 (1:41) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Recon : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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