MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6363
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2349

MMA Handicapper Stats: Recon

Recon (Recon)

MMA MHandicapper - Recon

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	63 (62%)	Right	37 (66%)	Right	26 (57%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	39 (38%)	Wrong	19 (34%)	Wrong	20 (43%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	1.71	Avg Odds	1.67	Avg Odds	1.77	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	121.6	Units Bet	71.4	Units Bet	50.2	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	1.19	Avg Bet	1.28	Avg Bet	1.09	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	7.36	Units Profit	6.28	Units Profit	1.08	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	6%	ROI %	9%	ROI %	2%	ROI %	nan%

Recon : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
17th Feb '19	UFC on ESPN 1	3	-3.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
9th Feb '19	UFC 234	1	-1.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	3	-0.0	-1%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	1.0 / 2 (49%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	8	-0.6	-7%	-1.9 / 5 (-39%)	1.4 / 3 (46%)
15th Dec '18	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	2	1.8	91%	1.8 / 2 (91%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	1	1.4	135%	1.4 / 1 (135%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	1	0.4	41%	0.4 / 1 (41%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	1	1.1	114%	1.1 / 1 (114%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	3	-0.4	-13%	-0.4 / 3 (-13%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	1	0.9	91%	0.9 / 1 (91%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	1	0.4	36%	0.4 / 1 (36%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	1	0.6	61%		0.6 / 1 (61%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	4	1.3	34%	0.4 / 1 (45%)	0.9 / 3 (30%)
29th Sep '18	Bellator 206	2	0.9	45%	0.9 / 2 (45%)
22nd Sep '18	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	1	0.7	65%	0.7 / 1 (65%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	2.5	-2.5	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	4.5	-3.0	-67%	-1.5 / 3 (-50%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	4	0.3	8%	-0.3 / 2 (-16%)	0.6 / 2 (32%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	5	2.0	41%	0.7 / 2 (36%)	1.3 / 3 (44%)
28th Jul '18	UFC on Fox 30	3	0.9	31%		0.9 / 3 (31%)
14th Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 133	1	0.6	57%	0.6 / 1 (57%)
7th Jul '18	UFC 226	3.5	-2.1	-61%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.6 / 3 (-55%)
23rd Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 132	2	-0.6	-31%		-0.6 / 2 (-31%)
9th Jun '18	UFC 225	3.8	0.4	10%	1.0 / 1.3 (80%)	-0.6 / 2.5 (-26%)
1st Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 131	1	0.4	36%	0.4 / 1 (36%)
27th May '18	UFC Fight Night 130	3.94	-3.1	-78%	-2.6 / 2.6 (-100%)	-0.5 / 1.34 (-35%)
25th May '18	Bellator 200	1	0.4	36%	0.4 / 1 (36%)
19th May '18	UFC Fight Night 129	4	1.0	24%	0.1 / 2.75 (3%)	0.9 / 1.25 (71%)
12th May '18	UFC 224	1.25	0.2	20%	0.5 / 1 (50%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
21st Apr '18	UFC Fight Night 128	2.19	-0.3	-11%	0.8 / 1.14 (70%)	-1.1 / 1.05 (-100%)
14th Apr '18	UFC on Fox 29	3.5	-0.7	-21%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-0.2 / 3 (-8%)
7th Apr '18	UFC 223	2.95	-0.6	-19%	-0.3 / 1.05 (-27%)	-0.3 / 1.9 (-15%)
17th Mar '18	UFC Fight Night 127	4	1.9	47%	1.4 / 2 (70%)	0.5 / 2 (24%)
3rd Mar '18	UFC 222	5.72	-0.9	-16%	-0.8 / 2.97 (-27%)	-0.1 / 2.75 (-4%)
24th Feb '18	UFC on Fox 28	9.14	1.5	16%	1.0 / 5.99 (17%)	0.5 / 3.15 (16%)
18th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 126	4.6	1.7	37%	0.6 / 2.6 (23%)	1.1 / 2 (56%)
10th Feb '18	UFC 221	11	3.2	29%	1.5 / 8 (19%)	1.7 / 3 (56%)
27th Jan '18	UFC on Fox 27	6	2.2	36%	2.2 / 6 (36%)

Winning Events: 24 (63%)
Losing Events: 14 (37%)

Average Staked Per Event: 3.23 units
Most Staked On One Event: 11.00 units
Best Event: 3.19 units
Worst Event: -3.07 units
Average Event: 0.19 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 8.55
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -5.50

Recon : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	7	-4.0	-57%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-1.0 / 4 (-25%)		/ 3 (0%)	-1.34
2018	115.59	11.4	10%	9.3 / 68.4 (14%)	2.1 / 47.19 (4%)		24 / 11 (69%)	0.33

Recon : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Recon : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	119.59	6.1	5%	5.0 / 68.4 (7%)	1.1 / 51.19 (2%)
Bellator	3	1.3	42%	1.3 / 3 (42%)

Recon : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	23 (40%)	19	83 %	34.10	5.08	0.22	15%
Slight Favorites	23 (40%)	12	52 %	25.94	-0.68	-0.03	-3%
Slight Underdogs	11 (19%)	6	55 %	10.36	-0.31	-0.03	-3%
Big Underdogs	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.00	2.20	2.20	220%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	12 (21%)	7	58 %	13.60	-0.87	-0.07	-6%
Co-Main Event	7 (12%)	5	71 %	11.90	1.20	0.17	10%
Position 3-5	16 (28%)	12	75 %	20.80	3.93	0.25	19%
6+ (Undercard)	23 (40%)	14	61 %	25.10	2.02	0.09	8%

Recon : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	5 (9%)	4	80 %	7.00	3.29	0.66	47%
Light Heavy	4 (7%)	4	100 %	3.50	2.02	0.50	58%
Middleweight	7 (12%)	6	86 %	7.50	3.04	0.43	41%
Welterweight	9 (16%)	3	33 %	9.95	-3.86	-0.43	-39%
Lightweight	5 (9%)	4	80 %	10.00	5.17	1.03	52%
Featherweight	7 (12%)	5	71 %	8.95	2.52	0.36	28%
Bantamweight	8 (14%)	4	50 %	7.60	-2.56	-0.32	-34%
Flyweight	6 (10%)	3	50 %	6.86	-2.60	-0.43	-38%

Women's Fights	7 (12%)	5	71 %	10.04	-0.74	-0.11	-7%
Featherweight	2 (3%)	1	50 %	4.00	-2.51	-1.25	-63%
Bantamweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	0.61	0.51	0.51	83%
Flyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	0.50	0.27	0.27	53%
Strawweight	3 (5%)	2	67 %	4.93	1.00	0.33	20%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	13 (27%)	11	85 %
50-65%	21 (44%)	12	57 %
35-50%	10 (21%)	3	30 %
<35% chance	4 (8%)	0	0 %
	48	26	54 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (2%)	1	100 %	2.25	2.25	2.25	1.3 (125%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (10%)	4	80 %	1.71	2.55	1.44	2.4 (49%)
Does not go to Decision	16 (33%)	10	63 %	1.53	1.83	1.30	-1.1 (-7%)
Fight Starts Round X	3 (6%)	3	100 %	1.45	1.67	1.35	1.4 (46%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	2 (4%)	2	100 %	1.34	1.36	1.32	0.7 (34%)
X Wins by KO	5 (10%)	0	0 %	2.23	3.75	1.71	-5.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (6%)	0	0 %	3.32	4.75	2.77	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (6%)	0	0 %	2.45	2.90	1.96	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (2%)	0	0 %	1.85	1.85	1.85	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	9 (19%)	6	67 %	1.97	2.85	1.42	4.4 (49%)
	48	26	54 %	1.78			-2.9 (-6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Recon 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
27th Jan	UFC on Fox 27	6	2.2	36%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,021.60
10th Feb	UFC 221	11	3.2	29%		$10.22	$1,021.60	$1,054.19
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night 126	4.6	1.7	37%		$10.54	$1,054.19	$1,072.32
24th Feb	UFC on Fox 28	9.14	1.5	16%		$10.72	$1,072.32	$1,088.20
3rd Mar	UFC 222	5.72	-0.9	-16%		$10.88	$1,088.20	$1,078.27
17th Mar	UFC Fight Night 127	4	1.9	47%		$10.78	$1,078.27	$1,098.65
7th Apr	UFC 223	2.95	-0.6	-19%		$10.99	$1,098.65	$1,092.34
14th Apr	UFC on Fox 29	3.5	-0.7	-21%		$10.92	$1,092.34	$1,084.25
21st Apr	UFC Fight Night 128	2.19	-0.3	-11%		$10.84	$1,084.25	$1,081.54
12th May	UFC 224	1.25	0.2	20%		$10.82	$1,081.54	$1,084.24
19th May	UFC Fight Night 129	4	1.0	24%		$10.84	$1,084.24	$1,094.63
25th May	Bellator 200	1	0.4	36%		$10.95	$1,094.63	$1,098.57
27th May	UFC Fight Night 130	3.94	-3.1	-78%		$10.99	$1,098.57	$1,064.81
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 131	1	0.4	36%		$10.65	$1,064.81	$1,068.64
9th Jun	UFC 225	3.8	0.4	10%		$10.69	$1,068.64	$1,072.86
23rd Jun	UFC Fight Night 132	2	-0.6	-31%		$10.73	$1,072.86	$1,066.26
7th Jul	UFC 226	3.5	-2.1	-61%		$10.66	$1,066.26	$1,043.45
14th Jul	UFC Fight Night 133	1	0.6	57%		$10.43	$1,043.45	$1,049.39
28th Jul	UFC on Fox 30	3	0.9	31%		$10.49	$1,049.39	$1,059.15
4th Aug	UFC 227	5	2.0	41%		$10.59	$1,059.15	$1,080.76
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	4	0.3	8%		$10.81	$1,080.76	$1,084.33
8th Sep	UFC 228	4.5	-3.0	-67%		$10.84	$1,084.33	$1,051.80
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	2.5	-2.5	-100%		$10.52	$1,051.80	$1,025.50
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	1	0.7	65%		$10.26	$1,025.50	$1,032.17
29th Sep	Bellator 206	2	0.9	45%		$10.32	$1,032.17	$1,041.46
6th Oct	UFC 229	4	1.3	34%		$10.41	$1,041.46	$1,055.52
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	1	0.6	61%		$10.56	$1,055.52	$1,061.96
3rd Nov	UFC 230	1	0.4	36%		$10.62	$1,061.96	$1,065.78
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	1	0.9	91%		$10.66	$1,065.78	$1,075.48
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	3	-0.4	-13%		$10.75	$1,075.48	$1,071.39
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	1	1.1	114%		$10.71	$1,071.39	$1,083.60
30th Nov	TUF Finale	1	0.4	41%		$10.84	$1,083.60	$1,088.05
8th Dec	UFC 231	1	1.4	135%		$10.88	$1,088.05	$1,102.74
15th Dec	UFC Fight Night Milwaukee	2	1.8	91%		$11.03	$1,102.74	$1,122.81
29th Dec	UFC 232	8	-0.6	-7%	$9.99	$11.23	$1,122.81	$1,106.42
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	3	-0.0	-1%	$9.99	$11.06	$1,106.42	$1,096.20
9th Feb	UFC 234	1	-1.0	-100%	$9.99	$10.96	$1,096.20	$1,075.25
17th Feb	UFC on ESPN 1	3	-3.0	-100%	$9.99	$10.75	$1,075.25	$1,033.00

ROI % from starting bank balance: 3.30% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Recon : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '18	Jon Jones	Alexander Gustafsson	1.37	1	TKO, R3 (2:2)
2.	Dec '18	Walt Harris	Andrei Arlovski	1.69	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Dec '18	Joaquim Silva	Jared Gordon	2.45	1	TKO, R3 (2:39)
4.	Dec '18	Zak Cummings	Trevor Smith	1.37	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Dec '18	Elias Theodorou	Eryk Anders	2.35	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Nov '18	Pedro Munhoz	Bryan Caraway	1.41	1	TKO, R1 (2:39)
7.	Nov '18	Alistair Overeem	Sergey Pavlovich	2.14	1	TKO, R1 (4:21)
8.	Nov '18	Santiago Ponzinibbio	Neil Magny	1.31	2	TKO, R4 (2:22)
9.	Nov '18	Eric Shelton	Joseph Morales	1.91	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Nov '18	Karl Roberson	Jack Marshman	1.36	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Sep '18	Gegard Mousasi	Rory MacDonald	1.45	2	TKO, R2 (3:23)
12.	Oct '18	Dominick Reyes	Ovince St Preux	1.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Sep '18	Thiago Santos	Eryk Anders	1.65	1	TKO, R3 (5:0)
14.	Sep '18	Jarred Brooks	Roberto Sanchez	1.50	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Aug '18	Michael Johnson	Andre Fili	1.69	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Aug '18	Renato Moicano	Cub Swanson	1.36	2	Sub, R1 (4:15)
17.	Jul '18	Junior dos Santos	Blagoy Ivanov	1.57	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
18.	Jun '18	David Teymur	Nik Lentz	1.36	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	May '18	Gegard Mousasi	Rafael Carvalho	1.36	1	TKO, R1 (3:35)
20.	May '18	Enrique Barzola	Brandon Davis	1.56	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '19	Jimmie Rivera	Aljamain Sterling	1.74	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jan '19	T.J. Dillashaw	Henry Cejudo	1.48	1	TKO, R1 (0:32)	No
3.	Dec '18	Cristiane Justino	Amanda Nunes	1.38	3	TKO, R1 (0:51)	No
4.	Nov '18	Poliana Botelho	Cynthia Calvillo	1.74	1	Sub, R1 (4:48)	No
5.	Sep '18	Mark Hunt	Aleksei Oleinik	1.59	1	Sub, R1 (4:26)	No
6.	Sep '18	Cody Stamann	Aljamain Sterling	2.15	1	Sub, R2 (3:42)	No
7.	Sep '18	Charles Byrd	Darren Stewart	1.50	1	TKO, R2 (2:17)	No
8.	Aug '18	James Vick	Justin Gaethje	1.63	1	TKO, R1 (1:27)	No
9.	Jul '18	Max Griffin	Curtis Millender	2.45	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	May '18	Stephen Thompson	Darren Till	1.87	0.6	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
11.	May '18	Nordine Taleb	Claudio Silva	1.39	1	Sub, R1 (4:31)	No
12.	May '18	Stephen Thompson	Darren Till	1.63	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
13.	May '18	Zak Cummings	Michel Prazeres	1.71	0.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Apr '18	Matthew Lopez	Alejandro Perez	1.78	0.5	TKO, R2 (3:42)	No
15.	Apr '18	Calvin Kattar	Renato Moicano	1.91	0.55	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Mar '18	Frankie Edgar	Brian Ortega	1.63	0.8	TKO, R1 (4:44)	No
17.	Mar '18	Andre Soukhamthath	Sean O'Malley	2.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Feb '18	Eric Shelton	Alex Perez	2.30	1.56	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Feb '18	Thiago Alves	Curtis Millender	1.63	1.6	TKO, R2 (4:17)	No
20.	Feb '18	Ben Nguyen	Jussier Formiga	2.02	2	Sub, R3 (1:41)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Recon : Progress Chart

Chart

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