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MMA Handicapper Stats: Timothy Palaski |
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Timothy Palaski: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 40 (63%)
Losing Events: 24 (38%)
Average Staked Per Event: 12.30 units
Most Staked On One Event: 34.00 units
Best Event: 26.47 units
Worst Event: -29.00 units
Average Event: 2.55 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 49.43
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -39.54 |
Timothy Palaski: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2019 |
89.2 |
39.5 |
44% |
13.6 / 34 (40%) |
3.0 / 3.9 (77%) |
22.9 / 51.3 (45%) |
7 / 3 (70%) |
3.95 |
| 2018 |
697.73 |
123.7 |
18% |
89.5 / 564.48 (16%) |
15.9 / 31.55 (50%) |
18.3 / 101.7 (18%) |
33 / 21 (61%) |
2.29 |
|
Timothy Palaski: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
Timothy Palaski: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
706.63 |
123.7 |
18% |
69.0 / 534.98 (13%) |
17.3 / 33.45 (52%) |
37.5 / 138.2 (27%) |
|
Bellator |
47.3 |
25.6 |
54% |
17.7 / 33 (54%) |
1.7 / 2 (83%) |
6.2 / 12.3 (51%) |
|
PFL |
11.1 |
3.6 |
32% |
6.1 / 8.6 (71%) |
|
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
| Other |
21.9 |
10.3 |
47% |
10.3 / 21.9 (47%) |
|
|
|
Timothy Palaski: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
24 (14%) |
20 |
83 % |
135.10 |
26.05 |
1.09 |
19% |
| Slight Favorites |
95 (54%) |
55 |
58 % |
334.70 |
18.35 |
0.19 |
5% |
| Slight Underdogs |
39 (22%) |
24 |
62 % |
105.50 |
50.84 |
1.30 |
48% |
| Big Underdogs |
17 (10%) |
8 |
47 % |
23.18 |
7.86 |
0.46 |
34% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
30 (17%) |
16 |
53 % |
121.25 |
1.73 |
0.06 |
1% |
| Co-Main Event |
19 (11%) |
15 |
79 % |
74.40 |
38.57 |
2.03 |
52% |
| Position 3-5 |
51 (29%) |
26 |
51 % |
159.35 |
6.10 |
0.12 |
4% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
75 (43%) |
50 |
67 % |
243.48 |
56.70 |
0.76 |
23% |
|
Timothy Palaski: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
16 (9%) |
7 |
44 % |
60.60 |
-17.06 |
-1.07 |
-28% |
| Light Heavy |
13 (7%) |
9 |
69 % |
54.10 |
25.79 |
1.98 |
48% |
| Middleweight |
11 (6%) |
3 |
27 % |
32.70 |
-14.85 |
-1.35 |
-45% |
| Welterweight |
28 (16%) |
17 |
61 % |
98.43 |
22.11 |
0.79 |
22% |
| Lightweight |
31 (18%) |
21 |
68 % |
100.80 |
24.62 |
0.79 |
24% |
| Featherweight |
25 (14%) |
19 |
76 % |
91.70 |
39.32 |
1.57 |
43% |
| Bantamweight |
19 (11%) |
10 |
53 % |
65.05 |
3.90 |
0.21 |
6% |
| Flyweight |
14 (8%) |
8 |
57 % |
46.40 |
4.30 |
0.31 |
9% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
18 (10%) |
13 |
72 % |
48.70 |
14.97 |
0.83 |
31% |
| Bantamweight |
4 (2%) |
3 |
75 % |
7.50 |
2.91 |
0.73 |
39% |
| Bantamweight |
4 (2%) |
3 |
75 % |
7.70 |
-0.03 |
-0.01 |
-0% |
| Strawweight |
10 (6%) |
7 |
70 % |
33.50 |
12.09 |
1.21 |
36% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
80 (83%) |
66 |
83 % |
| Slight Favorites |
14 (15%) |
9 |
64 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
2 (2%) |
2 |
100 % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
96 |
77 |
80 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
2 (22%) |
2 |
100 % |
| 50-65% |
5 (56%) |
5 |
100 % |
| 35-50% |
2 (22%) |
1 |
50 % |
| <35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
9 |
8 |
89 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) |
9 (100%) |
8 |
89 % |
1.74 |
2.25 |
1.44 |
4.8 (54%) |
|
9 |
8 |
89 % |
1.74 |
|
|
4.8 (54%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Timothy Palaski's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 124 |
11.2 |
4.0 |
36% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,040.05 |
| 20th Jan |
UFC 220 |
18.5 |
0.8 |
4% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,040.05 |
$1,048.08 |
| 27th Jan |
UFC on Fox 27 |
17.25 |
6.3 |
37% |
|
$10.48 |
$1,048.08 |
$1,114.11 |
| 4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 125 |
14.1 |
3.5 |
25% |
|
$11.14 |
$1,114.11 |
$1,153.65 |
| 10th Feb |
UFC 221 |
18.28 |
-0.7 |
-4% |
|
$11.54 |
$1,153.65 |
$1,146.09 |
| 17th Feb |
Bellator 194 |
2 |
1.7 |
83% |
|
$11.46 |
$1,146.09 |
$1,165.20 |
| 18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 126 |
10.8 |
-0.3 |
-3% |
|
$11.65 |
$1,165.20 |
$1,161.81 |
| 24th Feb |
UFC on Fox 28 |
22 |
6.7 |
31% |
|
$11.62 |
$1,161.81 |
$1,239.81 |
| 3rd Mar |
UFC 222 |
16.35 |
-1.3 |
-8% |
|
$12.40 |
$1,239.81 |
$1,223.61 |
| 17th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 127 |
14 |
11.0 |
79% |
|
$12.24 |
$1,223.61 |
$1,358.80 |
| 7th Apr |
UFC 223 |
26.5 |
10.9 |
41% |
|
$13.59 |
$1,358.80 |
$1,507.31 |
| 14th Apr |
UFC on Fox 29 |
10 |
-2.4 |
-24% |
|
$15.07 |
$1,507.31 |
$1,470.60 |
| 21st Apr |
UFC Fight Night 128 |
22.5 |
-3.5 |
-16% |
|
$14.71 |
$1,470.60 |
$1,418.71 |
| 28th Apr |
Bellator 198 |
11 |
1.8 |
17% |
|
$14.19 |
$1,418.71 |
$1,444.73 |
| 12th May |
UFC 224 |
15.5 |
4.3 |
28% |
|
$14.45 |
$1,444.73 |
$1,507.18 |
| 19th May |
UFC Fight Night 129 |
23 |
7.5 |
32% |
|
$15.07 |
$1,507.18 |
$1,619.65 |
| 25th May |
Bellator 200 |
1 |
1.1 |
110% |
|
$16.20 |
$1,619.65 |
$1,637.46 |
| 27th May |
UFC Fight Night 130 |
20.1 |
-20.1 |
-100% |
|
$16.37 |
$1,637.46 |
$1,308.33 |
| 1st Jun |
UFC Fight Night 131 |
16.5 |
6.7 |
41% |
|
$13.08 |
$1,308.33 |
$1,396.41 |
| 9th Jun |
UFC 225 |
22 |
15.5 |
71% |
|
$13.96 |
$1,396.41 |
$1,613.36 |
| 12th Jun |
DWTNCS 9 |
1 |
0.7 |
69% |
|
$16.13 |
$1,613.36 |
$1,624.49 |
| 23rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night 132 |
34 |
26.5 |
78% |
|
$16.24 |
$1,624.49 |
$2,054.55 |
| 7th Jul |
TUF 27 Finale |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$20.55 |
$2,054.55 |
$1,972.37 |
| 7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
12 |
-5.5 |
-46% |
|
$19.72 |
$1,972.37 |
$1,864.52 |
| 14th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
11 |
-2.2 |
-20% |
|
$18.65 |
$1,864.52 |
$1,822.57 |
| 17th Jul |
DWTNCS 13 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$18.23 |
$1,822.57 |
$1,786.12 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
17.1 |
5.0 |
29% |
|
$17.86 |
$1,786.12 |
$1,875.68 |
| 24th Jul |
DWTNCS 14 |
4 |
-0.4 |
-9% |
|
$18.76 |
$1,875.68 |
$1,868.91 |
| 28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
13 |
0.1 |
1% |
|
$18.69 |
$1,868.91 |
$1,871.25 |
| 31st Jul |
DWTNCS 15 |
5.1 |
5.4 |
107% |
|
$18.71 |
$1,871.25 |
$1,973.00 |
| 4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
25.25 |
21.9 |
87% |
|
$19.73 |
$1,973.00 |
$2,404.51 |
| 10th Aug |
LFA 47 |
4.8 |
2.0 |
42% |
|
$24.05 |
$2,404.51 |
$2,452.60 |
| 16th Aug |
PFL 6 |
2.6 |
-2.6 |
-100% |
|
$24.53 |
$2,452.60 |
$2,388.84 |
| 25th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
21.1 |
0.8 |
4% |
|
$23.89 |
$2,388.84 |
$2,407.52 |
| 30th Aug |
PFL 7 |
3.5 |
5.1 |
145% |
|
$24.08 |
$2,407.52 |
$2,529.70 |
| 1st Sep |
Cage Warriors 96 |
5 |
4.6 |
91% |
|
$25.30 |
$2,529.70 |
$2,644.85 |
| 8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
10 |
-3.6 |
-36% |
|
$26.45 |
$2,644.85 |
$2,549.56 |
| 15th Sep |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$25.50 |
$2,549.56 |
$2,264.11 |
| 22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
2.8 |
-2.8 |
-100% |
$5 |
$22.64 |
$2,264.11 |
$2,195.72 |
| 29th Sep |
Bellator 206 |
9 |
6.8 |
75% |
$5 |
$21.96 |
$2,195.72 |
$2,339.31 |
| 6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
11 |
7.1 |
65% |
$5 |
$23.39 |
$2,339.31 |
$2,500.92 |
| 12th Oct |
Bellator 207 |
14 |
9.8 |
70% |
$5 |
$25.01 |
$2,500.92 |
$2,740.05 |
| 27th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
10 |
-1.0 |
-10% |
$5 |
$27.40 |
$2,740.05 |
$2,708.97 |
| 3rd Nov |
UFC 230 |
11 |
9.1 |
83% |
|
$27.09 |
$2,708.97 |
$2,956.68 |
| 10th Nov |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
15.6 |
12.4 |
80% |
$5 |
$29.57 |
$2,956.68 |
$3,318.95 |
| 17th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 140 |
18 |
-0.5 |
-3% |
$5 |
$33.19 |
$3,318.95 |
$3,295.98 |
| 24th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 141 |
29 |
-29.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$32.96 |
$3,295.98 |
$2,335.14 |
| 30th Nov |
TUF Finale |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$23.35 |
$2,335.14 |
$2,101.63 |
| 1st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
15 |
16.5 |
110% |
|
$21.02 |
$2,101.63 |
$2,448.40 |
| 8th Dec |
UFC 231 |
9.5 |
5.8 |
61% |
$5 |
$24.48 |
$2,448.40 |
$2,584.74 |
| 15th Dec |
Bellator 212 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$25.85 |
$2,584.74 |
$2,502.19 |
| 15th Dec |
Fight Night Milwaukee |
10.4 |
8.2 |
78% |
$5 |
$25.02 |
$2,502.19 |
$2,701.15 |
| 29th Dec |
UFC 232 |
25.4 |
-1.2 |
-5% |
$5 |
$27.01 |
$2,701.15 |
$2,664.61 |
| 31st Dec |
PFL 11: Finals |
5 |
1.1 |
23% |
$5 |
$26.65 |
$2,664.61 |
$2,689.59 |
| 19th Jan |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
7.5 |
-7.5 |
-100% |
$5 |
$26.90 |
$2,689.59 |
$2,482.87 |
| 26th Jan |
Bellator Los Angeles |
3 |
2.4 |
81% |
|
$24.83 |
$2,482.87 |
$2,543.25 |
| 2nd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 144 |
15 |
-0.8 |
-5% |
|
$25.43 |
$2,543.25 |
$2,523.92 |
| 9th Feb |
UFC 234 |
9.5 |
7.0 |
74% |
|
$25.24 |
$2,523.92 |
$2,700.71 |
| 16th Feb |
Bellator 216 |
4.3 |
5.0 |
117% |
|
$27.01 |
$2,700.71 |
$2,836.20 |
| 17th Feb |
UFC on ESPN 1 |
4 |
3.0 |
74% |
|
$28.36 |
$2,836.20 |
$2,920.56 |
| 23rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 145 |
5 |
4.6 |
93% |
$5 |
$29.21 |
$2,920.56 |
$3,050.77 |
| 2nd Mar |
UFC 235 |
17 |
14.4 |
85% |
$5 |
$30.51 |
$3,050.77 |
$3,485.34 |
| 9th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 146 |
8.9 |
-2.0 |
-22% |
$5 |
$34.85 |
$3,485.34 |
$3,410.63 |
| 16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 147 |
15 |
13.3 |
89% |
$5 |
$34.11 |
$3,410.63 |
$3,859.90 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 285.99% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Timothy Palaski: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Mar '19 |
 Mike Grundy |
Nad Narimani |
2.85 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (4:42) |
|
|
| 2. |
Mar '19 |
Dominick Reyes |
Volkan Oezdemir |
1.42 |
6 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 3. |
Mar '19 |
Weili Zhang |
Tecia Torres |
1.77 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 4. |
Feb '19 |
Ricky Simon |
Rani Yahya |
1.87 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 5. |
Feb '19 |
Johnny Walker |
Justin Ledet |
1.52 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:15) |
|
|
| 6. |
Feb '19 |
Marlon Moraes |
Raphael Assuncao |
1.66 |
4 |
Sub, R1 (3:17) |
|
|
| 7. |
Dec '18 |
Magomed Magomedkerimov |
Ray Cooper III |
2.45 |
2.5 |
Sub, R2 (2:18) |
|
|
| 8. |
Dec '18 |
Alex Volkanovski |
Chad Mendes |
2.25 |
4 |
TKO, R2 (4:14) |
|
|
| 9. |
Dec '18 |
Curtis Millender |
Siyar Bahadurzada |
1.65 |
4.7 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 10. |
Dec '18 |
Montel Jackson |
Brian Kelleher |
1.67 |
4.5 |
Sub, R1 (1:40) |
|
|
| 11. |
Dec '18 |
Joaquim Silva |
Jared Gordon |
2.10 |
2 |
TKO, R3 (2:39) |
|
|
| 12. |
Dec '18 |
Mike Rodriguez |
Adam Milstead |
2.25 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:59) |
|
|
| 13. |
Dec '18 |
Edson Barboza |
Daniel Hooker |
1.87 |
3.5 |
TKO, R3 (2:19) |
|
|
| 14. |
Dec '18 |
Max Holloway |
Brian Ortega |
1.91 |
3.5 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
|
|
| 15. |
Dec '18 |
Max Holloway |
Brian Ortega |
1.91 |
4.5 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
|
|
| 16. |
Dec '18 |
Tony Martin |
Jake Matthews |
2.10 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (1:19) |
|
|
| 17. |
Dec '18 |
Wilson Reis |
Ben Nguyen |
2.20 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 18. |
Dec '18 |
Justin Willis |
Mark Hunt |
2.00 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 19. |
Nov '18 |
Ricardo Lamas |
Darren Elkins |
1.61 |
4 |
TKO, R3 (4:9) |
|
|
| 20. |
Nov '18 |
Eric Shelton |
Joseph Morales |
1.87 |
4.6 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Feb '19 |
Raulian Paiva |
Kai Kara-France |
2.95 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Feb '19 |
David Teymur |
Charles Oliveira |
1.97 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (0:55) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Feb '19 |
Ricardo Ramos |
Said Nurmagomedov |
1.67 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:28) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Dec '18 |
Bevon Lewis |
Urijah Hall |
1.95 |
3 |
TKO, R3 (1:32) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Dec '18 |
Andre Ewell |
Nathaniel Wood |
1.87 |
3.5 |
Sub, R3 (4:12) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Dec '18 |
Jim Miller |
Charles Oliveira |
3.30 |
2.2 |
Sub, R1 (1:15) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Nov '18 |
Darren Stewart |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
2.00 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Nov '18 |
Alex Perez |
Joseph Benavidez |
1.74 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (4:19) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Nov '18 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Francis Ngannou |
1.39 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (0:45) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Nov '18 |
Sergey Pavlovich |
Alistair Overeem |
1.80 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (4:21) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Nov '18 |
Khalil Rountree |
Johnny Walker |
1.57 |
4 |
TKO, R1 (1:57) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Nov '18 |
Guido Cannetti |
Marlon Vera |
3.55 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:31) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Nov '18 |
Poliana Botelho |
Cynthia Calvillo |
1.74 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (4:48) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Oct '18 |
Marcelo Golm |
Arjan Bhullar |
2.20 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Oct '18 |
Marcelo Golm |
Arjan Bhullar |
2.60 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Sep '18 |
Renan Barao |
Andre Ewell |
1.63 |
2.8 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Sep '18 |
Mark Hunt |
Aleksei Oleinik |
1.80 |
6 |
Sub, R1 (4:26) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Sep '18 |
Mark Hunt |
Aleksei Oleinik |
1.59 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (4:26) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Sep '18 |
Cody Stamann |
Aljamain Sterling |
2.20 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (3:42) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Sep '18 |
Alex White |
Jim Miller |
1.67 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (1:29) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Timothy Palaski: Progress Chart |
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