MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1432
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 577

MMA Handicapper Stats: Timmy Toughnutz

Timmy Toughnutz (Polack bets)

MMA MHandicapper - Timmy Toughnutz

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	124 (60%)	Right	101 (61%)	Right	8 (89%)	Right	15 (48%)
Wrong	82 (40%)	Wrong	65 (39%)	Wrong	1 (11%)	Wrong	16 (52%)
Avg Odds	1.90	Avg Odds	1.87	Avg Odds	1.71	Avg Odds	2.18
Units Bet	705.2	Units Bet	564.5	Units Bet	31.6	Units Bet	109.2
Avg Bet	3.42	Avg Bet	3.40	Avg Bet	3.51	Avg Bet	3.52
Units Profit	116.20	Units Profit	89.48	Units Profit	15.92	Units Profit	10.79
ROI %	16%	ROI %	16%	ROI %	50%	ROI %	10%

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	7.5	-7.5	-100%			-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
31st Dec '18	PFL 11: Finals	5	1.1	23%	3.6 / 2.5 (145%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	25.4	-1.2	-5%	4.5 / 19.7 (23%)		-5.7 / 5.7 (-100%)
15th Dec '18	Fight Night Milwaukee	10.4	8.2	78%	5.5 / 9.7 (57%)		2.6 / 0.7 (373%)
15th Dec '18	Bellator 212	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Dec '18	UFC 231	9.5	5.8	61%	7.3 / 8 (91%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
1st Dec '18	UFC Fight Night 142	15	16.5	110%	16.5 / 15 (110%)
30th Nov '18	TUF Finale	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
24th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 141	29	-29.0	-100%	-15.0 / 15 (-100%)		-14.0 / 14 (-100%)
17th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night 140	18	-0.5	-3%	-7.6 / 14 (-54%)		7.0 / 4 (175%)
10th Nov '18	UFC Fight Night Denver	15.6	12.4	80%	8.4 / 8.6 (98%)		4.0 / 7 (57%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	11	9.1	83%			9.1 / 11 (83%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	10	-1.0	-10%	-1.0 / 10 (-10%)
12th Oct '18	Bellator 207	14	9.8	70%	9.8 / 14 (70%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	11	7.1	65%	7.1 / 11 (65%)
29th Sep '18	Bellator 206	9	6.8	75%	5.0 / 7 (71%)		1.8 / 2 (90%)
22nd Sep '18	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	2.8	-2.8	-100%	-2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)
15th Sep '18	UFC FIght Night Moscow	11	-11.0	-100%	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	10	-3.6	-36%	-5.7 / 8.75 (-65%)		2.1 / 1.25 (164%)
1st Sep '18	Cage Warriors 96	5	4.6	91%	4.6 / 5 (91%)
30th Aug '18	PFL 7	3.5	5.1	145%	5.1 / 3.5 (145%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	21.1	0.8	4%	0.5 / 16.3 (3%)		0.3 / 4.8 (5%)
16th Aug '18	PFL 6	2.6	-2.6	-100%	-2.6 / 2.6 (-100%)
10th Aug '18	LFA 47	4.8	2.0	42%	2.0 / 4.8 (42%)
4th Aug '18	UFC 227	25.25	21.9	87%	18.3 / 20.25 (90%)		3.6 / 5 (72%)
31st Jul '18	DWTNCS 15	5.1	5.4	107%	5.4 / 5.1 (107%)
28th Jul '18	UFC on Fox 30	13	0.1	1%	0.1 / 13 (1%)
24th Jul '18	DWTNCS 14	4	-0.4	-9%	-0.4 / 4 (-9%)
22nd Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 134	17.1	5.0	29%	5.0 / 17.1 (29%)
17th Jul '18	DWTNCS 13	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Jul '18	UFC Fight Night 133	11	-2.2	-20%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)		1.8 / 7 (25%)
7th Jul '18	UFC 226	12	-5.5	-46%	-5.5 / 12 (-46%)
7th Jul '18	TUF 27 Finale	4	-4.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 132	34	26.5	78%	26.5 / 34 (78%)
12th Jun '18	DWTNCS 9	1	0.7	69%	0.7 / 1 (69%)
9th Jun '18	UFC 225	22	15.5	71%	11.9 / 17 (70%)		3.7 / 5 (73%)
1st Jun '18	UFC Fight Night 131	16.5	6.7	41%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	1.9 / 1.5 (125%)	9.9 / 10 (99%)
27th May '18	UFC Fight Night 130	20.1	-20.1	-100%	-13.1 / 13.1 (-100%)		-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
25th May '18	Bellator 200	1	1.1	110%	1.1 / 1 (110%)
19th May '18	UFC Fight Night 129	23	7.5	32%	7.5 / 23 (32%)
12th May '18	UFC 224	15.5	4.3	28%	4.3 / 15.5 (28%)
28th Apr '18	Bellator 198	11	1.8	17%	1.8 / 11 (17%)
21st Apr '18	UFC Fight Night 128	22.5	-3.5	-16%	-4.5 / 21.2 (-21%)	1.0 / 1.3 (77%)
14th Apr '18	UFC on Fox 29	10	-2.4	-24%	-2.4 / 10 (-24%)
7th Apr '18	UFC 223	26.5	10.9	41%	4.0 / 14 (29%)	6.9 / 12.5 (55%)
17th Mar '18	UFC Fight Night 127	14	11.0	79%	11.0 / 14 (79%)
3rd Mar '18	UFC 222	16.35	-1.3	-8%	-4.1 / 9.1 (-45%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	4.8 / 5.25 (91%)
24th Feb '18	UFC on Fox 28	22	6.7	31%	3.3 / 19 (17%)		3.4 / 3 (115%)
18th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 126	10.8	-0.3	-3%	-0.3 / 10.8 (-3%)
17th Feb '18	Bellator 194	2	1.7	83%		1.7 / 2 (83%)
10th Feb '18	UFC 221	18.28	-0.7	-4%	-3.8 / 13.28 (-28%)	3.1 / 5 (63%)
4th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 125	14.1	3.5	25%	3.5 / 14.1 (25%)
27th Jan '18	UFC on Fox 27	17.25	6.3	37%	5.3 / 15 (35%)	1.0 / 2.25 (44%)
20th Jan '18	UFC 220	18.5	0.8	4%	0.8 / 18.5 (4%)
14th Jan '18	UFC Fight Night 124	11.2	4.0	36%	1.7 / 6.2 (27%)	2.3 / 5 (47%)

Winning Events: 33 (60%)
Losing Events: 22 (40%)

Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	7.5	-7.5	-100%			-7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)	/ 1 (0%)	-7.50
2018	697.73	123.7	18%	89.5 / 564.48 (16%)	15.9 / 31.55 (50%)	18.3 / 101.7 (18%)	33 / 21 (61%)	2.29

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	632.23	84.2	13%	55.4 / 500.98 (11%)	14.3 / 29.55 (48%)	14.5 / 101.7 (14%)
Bellator	40	18.1	45%	17.7 / 33 (54%)	1.7 / 2 (83%)	-1.2 / 5 (-24%)
PFL	11.1	3.6	32%	6.1 / 8.6 (71%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
Other	21.9	10.3	47%	10.3 / 21.9 (47%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	22 (13%)	18	82 %	124.10	20.96	0.95	17%
Slight Favorites	90 (54%)	52	58 %	315.70	14.38	0.16	5%
Slight Underdogs	38 (23%)	23	61 %	102.50	45.29	1.19	44%
Big Underdogs	16 (10%)	8	50 %	22.18	8.86	0.55	40%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	29 (17%)	15	52 %	117.25	-0.92	-0.03	-1%
Co-Main Event	19 (11%)	15	79 %	74.40	38.57	2.03	52%
Position 3-5	46 (28%)	22	48 %	136.35	-3.32	-0.07	-2%
6+ (Undercard)	72 (43%)	49	68 %	236.48	55.15	0.77	23%

by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	16 (10%)	7	44 %	60.60	-17.06	-1.07	-28%
Light Heavy	11 (7%)	7	64 %	43.10	20.70	1.88	48%
Middleweight	11 (7%)	3	27 %	32.70	-14.85	-1.35	-45%
Welterweight	28 (17%)	17	61 %	98.43	22.11	0.79	22%
Lightweight	30 (18%)	21	70 %	97.80	27.62	0.92	28%
Featherweight	24 (14%)	18	75 %	88.70	33.77	1.41	38%
Bantamweight	16 (10%)	8	50 %	54.05	0.77	0.05	1%
Flyweight	13 (8%)	8	62 %	45.40	5.30	0.41	12%

Women's Fights	17 (10%)	12	71 %	43.70	11.12	0.65	25%
Bantamweight	4 (2%)	3	75 %	7.50	2.91	0.73	39%
Bantamweight	4 (2%)	3	75 %	7.70	-0.03	-0.01	-0%
Strawweight	9 (5%)	6	67 %	28.50	8.25	0.92	29%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	60 (81%)	47	78 %
Slight Favorites	12 (16%)	7	58 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (3%)	2	100 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	74	56	76 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (25%)	2	100 %
50-65%	4 (50%)	4	100 %
35-50%	2 (25%)	1	50 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	0 %
	8	7	88 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (100%)	7	88 %	1.74	2.25	1.44	4.1 (51%)
	8	7	88 %	1.74			4.1 (51%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night 124	11.2	4.0	36%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,040.05
20th Jan	UFC 220	18.5	0.8	4%		$10.40	$1,040.05	$1,048.08
27th Jan	UFC on Fox 27	17.25	6.3	37%		$10.48	$1,048.08	$1,114.11
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night 125	14.1	3.5	25%		$11.14	$1,114.11	$1,153.65
10th Feb	UFC 221	18.28	-0.7	-4%		$11.54	$1,153.65	$1,146.09
17th Feb	Bellator 194	2	1.7	83%		$11.46	$1,146.09	$1,165.20
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night 126	10.8	-0.3	-3%		$11.65	$1,165.20	$1,161.81
24th Feb	UFC on Fox 28	22	6.7	31%		$11.62	$1,161.81	$1,239.81
3rd Mar	UFC 222	16.35	-1.3	-8%		$12.40	$1,239.81	$1,223.61
17th Mar	UFC Fight Night 127	14	11.0	79%		$12.24	$1,223.61	$1,358.80
7th Apr	UFC 223	26.5	10.9	41%		$13.59	$1,358.80	$1,507.31
14th Apr	UFC on Fox 29	10	-2.4	-24%		$15.07	$1,507.31	$1,470.60
21st Apr	UFC Fight Night 128	22.5	-3.5	-16%		$14.71	$1,470.60	$1,418.71
28th Apr	Bellator 198	11	1.8	17%		$14.19	$1,418.71	$1,444.73
12th May	UFC 224	15.5	4.3	28%		$14.45	$1,444.73	$1,507.18
19th May	UFC Fight Night 129	23	7.5	32%		$15.07	$1,507.18	$1,619.65
25th May	Bellator 200	1	1.1	110%		$16.20	$1,619.65	$1,637.46
27th May	UFC Fight Night 130	20.1	-20.1	-100%		$16.37	$1,637.46	$1,308.33
1st Jun	UFC Fight Night 131	16.5	6.7	41%		$13.08	$1,308.33	$1,396.41
9th Jun	UFC 225	22	15.5	71%		$13.96	$1,396.41	$1,613.36
12th Jun	DWTNCS 9	1	0.7	69%		$16.13	$1,613.36	$1,624.49
23rd Jun	UFC Fight Night 132	34	26.5	78%		$16.24	$1,624.49	$2,054.55
7th Jul	TUF 27 Finale	4	-4.0	-100%		$20.55	$2,054.55	$1,972.37
7th Jul	UFC 226	12	-5.5	-46%		$19.72	$1,972.37	$1,864.52
14th Jul	UFC Fight Night 133	11	-2.2	-20%		$18.65	$1,864.52	$1,822.57
17th Jul	DWTNCS 13	2	-2.0	-100%		$18.23	$1,822.57	$1,786.12
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night 134	17.1	5.0	29%		$17.86	$1,786.12	$1,875.68
24th Jul	DWTNCS 14	4	-0.4	-9%		$18.76	$1,875.68	$1,868.91
28th Jul	UFC on Fox 30	13	0.1	1%		$18.69	$1,868.91	$1,871.25
31st Jul	DWTNCS 15	5.1	5.4	107%		$18.71	$1,871.25	$1,973.00
4th Aug	UFC 227	25.25	21.9	87%		$19.73	$1,973.00	$2,404.51
10th Aug	LFA 47	4.8	2.0	42%		$24.05	$2,404.51	$2,452.60
16th Aug	PFL 6	2.6	-2.6	-100%		$24.53	$2,452.60	$2,388.84
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	21.1	0.8	4%		$23.89	$2,388.84	$2,407.52
30th Aug	PFL 7	3.5	5.1	145%		$24.08	$2,407.52	$2,529.70
1st Sep	Cage Warriors 96	5	4.6	91%		$25.30	$2,529.70	$2,644.85
8th Sep	UFC 228	10	-3.6	-36%		$26.45	$2,644.85	$2,549.56
15th Sep	UFC FIght Night Moscow	11	-11.0	-100%	$5	$25.50	$2,549.56	$2,264.11
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo	2.8	-2.8	-100%	$5	$22.64	$2,264.11	$2,195.72
29th Sep	Bellator 206	9	6.8	75%	$5	$21.96	$2,195.72	$2,339.31
6th Oct	UFC 229	11	7.1	65%	$5	$23.39	$2,339.31	$2,500.92
12th Oct	Bellator 207	14	9.8	70%	$5	$25.01	$2,500.92	$2,740.05
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	10	-1.0	-10%	$5	$27.40	$2,740.05	$2,708.97
3rd Nov	UFC 230	11	9.1	83%		$27.09	$2,708.97	$2,956.68
10th Nov	UFC Fight Night Denver	15.6	12.4	80%	$5	$29.57	$2,956.68	$3,318.95
17th Nov	UFC Fight Night 140	18	-0.5	-3%	$5	$33.19	$3,318.95	$3,295.98
24th Nov	UFC Fight Night 141	29	-29.0	-100%	$5	$32.96	$3,295.98	$2,335.14
30th Nov	TUF Finale	10	-10.0	-100%		$23.35	$2,335.14	$2,101.63
1st Dec	UFC Fight Night 142	15	16.5	110%		$21.02	$2,101.63	$2,448.40
8th Dec	UFC 231	9.5	5.8	61%	$5	$24.48	$2,448.40	$2,584.74
15th Dec	Bellator 212	3	-3.0	-100%	$5	$25.85	$2,584.74	$2,502.19
15th Dec	Fight Night Milwaukee	10.4	8.2	78%	$5	$25.02	$2,502.19	$2,701.15
29th Dec	UFC 232	25.4	-1.2	-5%	$5	$27.01	$2,701.15	$2,664.61
31st Dec	PFL 11: Finals	5	1.1	23%	$5	$26.65	$2,664.61	$2,689.59
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	7.5	-7.5	-100%	$5	$26.90	$2,689.59	$2,482.87

ROI % from starting bank balance: 148.29% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '18	Magomed Magomedkerimov	Ray Cooper III	2.45	2.5	Sub, R2 (2:18)
2.	Dec '18	Alex Volkanovski	Chad Mendes	2.25	4	TKO, R2 (4:14)
3.	Dec '18	Curtis Millender	Siyar Bahadurzada	1.65	4.7	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Dec '18	Montel Jackson	Brian Kelleher	1.67	4.5	Sub, R1 (1:40)
5.	Dec '18	Joaquim Silva	Jared Gordon	2.10	2	TKO, R3 (2:39)
6.	Dec '18	Mike Rodriguez	Adam Milstead	2.25	2	TKO, R1 (2:59)
7.	Dec '18	Edson Barboza	Daniel Hooker	1.87	3.5	TKO, R3 (2:19)
8.	Dec '18	Max Holloway	Brian Ortega	1.91	3.5	TKO, R4 (5:0)
9.	Dec '18	Max Holloway	Brian Ortega	1.91	4.5	TKO, R4 (5:0)
10.	Dec '18	Tony Martin	Jake Matthews	2.10	5	Sub, R3 (1:19)
11.	Dec '18	Wilson Reis	Ben Nguyen	2.20	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Dec '18	Justin Willis	Mark Hunt	2.00	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Nov '18	Ricardo Lamas	Darren Elkins	1.61	4	TKO, R3 (4:9)
14.	Nov '18	Eric Shelton	Joseph Morales	1.87	4.6	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Nov '18	Bobby Moffett	Chas Skelly	2.10	4	Sub, R2 (2:43)
16.	Oct '18	Andre Soukhamthath	Jonathan Martinez	1.65	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Oct '18	Stevie Ray	Jessin Ayari	1.65	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Oct '18	Mandel Nallo	Carrington Banks	2.46	4	TKO, R2 (0:57)
19.	Oct '18	Ryan Bader	Matt Mitrione	1.39	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Oct '18	Khabib Nurmagomedov	Conor McGregor	1.59	3	Sub, R4 (3:2)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '18	Bevon Lewis	Urijah Hall	1.95	3	TKO, R3 (1:32)	No
2.	Dec '18	Andre Ewell	Nathaniel Wood	1.87	3.5	Sub, R3 (4:12)	No
3.	Dec '18	Jim Miller	Charles Oliveira	3.30	2.2	Sub, R1 (1:15)	No
4.	Nov '18	Darren Stewart	Edmen Shahbazyan	2.00	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Nov '18	Alex Perez	Joseph Benavidez	1.74	5	TKO, R1 (4:19)	No
6.	Nov '18	Curtis Blaydes	Francis Ngannou	1.39	10	TKO, R1 (0:45)	No
7.	Nov '18	Sergey Pavlovich	Alistair Overeem	1.80	5	TKO, R1 (4:21)	No
8.	Nov '18	Khalil Rountree	Johnny Walker	1.57	4	TKO, R1 (1:57)	No
9.	Nov '18	Guido Cannetti	Marlon Vera	3.55	1	Sub, R2 (1:31)	No
10.	Nov '18	Poliana Botelho	Cynthia Calvillo	1.74	5	Sub, R1 (4:48)	No
11.	Oct '18	Marcelo Golm	Arjan Bhullar	2.20	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Oct '18	Marcelo Golm	Arjan Bhullar	2.60	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Sep '18	Renan Barao	Andre Ewell	1.63	2.8	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Sep '18	Mark Hunt	Aleksei Oleinik	1.80	6	Sub, R1 (4:26)	No
15.	Sep '18	Mark Hunt	Aleksei Oleinik	1.59	5	Sub, R1 (4:26)	No
16.	Sep '18	Cody Stamann	Aljamain Sterling	2.20	2	Sub, R2 (3:42)	No
17.	Sep '18	Alex White	Jim Miller	1.67	5	Sub, R1 (1:29)	No
18.	Aug '18	James Vick	Justin Gaethje	1.66	5.6	TKO, R1 (1:27)	No
19.	Aug '18	Pavel Kusch	Ray Cooper III	1.77	2.6	TKO, R1 (0:18)	No
20.	Aug '18	Kevin Holland	Thiago Santos	4.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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