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MMA Handicapper Stats: Timmy Toughnutz

Timmy Toughnutz (Polack bets)


MMA MHandicapper - Timmy Toughnutz

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 124 (60%) Right 101 (61%) Right 8 (89%) Right 15 (48%)
Wrong 82 (40%) Wrong 65 (39%) Wrong 1 (11%) Wrong 16 (52%)
Avg Odds 1.90 Avg Odds 1.87 Avg Odds 1.71 Avg Odds 2.18
Units Bet 705.2 Units Bet 564.5 Units Bet 31.6 Units Bet 109.2
Avg Bet 3.42 Avg Bet 3.40 Avg Bet 3.51 Avg Bet 3.52
Units Profit 116.20 Units Profit 89.48 Units Profit 15.92 Units Profit 10.79
ROI % 16% ROI % 16% ROI % 50% ROI % 10%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 7.5 -7.5 -100% -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
31st Dec '18 PFL 11: Finals 5 1.1 23% 3.6 / 2.5 (145%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 25.4 -1.2 -5% 4.5 / 19.7 (23%) -5.7 / 5.7 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 10.4 8.2 78% 5.5 / 9.7 (57%) 2.6 / 0.7 (373%)
15th Dec '18 Bellator 212 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 9.5 5.8 61% 7.3 / 8 (91%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 15 16.5 110% 16.5 / 15 (110%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 10 -10.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 29 -29.0 -100% -15.0 / 15 (-100%) -14.0 / 14 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 18 -0.5 -3% -7.6 / 14 (-54%) 7.0 / 4 (175%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 15.6 12.4 80% 8.4 / 8.6 (98%) 4.0 / 7 (57%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 11 9.1 83% 9.1 / 11 (83%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 10 -1.0 -10% -1.0 / 10 (-10%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 14 9.8 70% 9.8 / 14 (70%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 11 7.1 65% 7.1 / 11 (65%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 9 6.8 75% 5.0 / 7 (71%) 1.8 / 2 (90%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 2.8 -2.8 -100% -2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 11 -11.0 -100% -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 10 -3.6 -36% -5.7 / 8.75 (-65%) 2.1 / 1.25 (164%)
1st Sep '18 Cage Warriors 96 5 4.6 91% 4.6 / 5 (91%)
30th Aug '18 PFL 7 3.5 5.1 145% 5.1 / 3.5 (145%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 21.1 0.8 4% 0.5 / 16.3 (3%) 0.3 / 4.8 (5%)
16th Aug '18 PFL 6 2.6 -2.6 -100% -2.6 / 2.6 (-100%)
10th Aug '18 LFA 47 4.8 2.0 42% 2.0 / 4.8 (42%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 25.25 21.9 87% 18.3 / 20.25 (90%) 3.6 / 5 (72%)
31st Jul '18 DWTNCS 15 5.1 5.4 107% 5.4 / 5.1 (107%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 13 0.1 1% 0.1 / 13 (1%)
24th Jul '18 DWTNCS 14 4 -0.4 -9% -0.4 / 4 (-9%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 17.1 5.0 29% 5.0 / 17.1 (29%)
17th Jul '18 DWTNCS 13 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 11 -2.2 -20% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 1.8 / 7 (25%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 12 -5.5 -46% -5.5 / 12 (-46%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 4 -4.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 34 26.5 78% 26.5 / 34 (78%)
12th Jun '18 DWTNCS 9 1 0.7 69% 0.7 / 1 (69%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 22 15.5 71% 11.9 / 17 (70%) 3.7 / 5 (73%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 16.5 6.7 41% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 1.9 / 1.5 (125%) 9.9 / 10 (99%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 20.1 -20.1 -100% -13.1 / 13.1 (-100%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
25th May '18 Bellator 200 1 1.1 110% 1.1 / 1 (110%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 23 7.5 32% 7.5 / 23 (32%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 15.5 4.3 28% 4.3 / 15.5 (28%)
28th Apr '18 Bellator 198 11 1.8 17% 1.8 / 11 (17%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 22.5 -3.5 -16% -4.5 / 21.2 (-21%) 1.0 / 1.3 (77%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 10 -2.4 -24% -2.4 / 10 (-24%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 26.5 10.9 41% 4.0 / 14 (29%) 6.9 / 12.5 (55%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 14 11.0 79% 11.0 / 14 (79%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 16.35 -1.3 -8% -4.1 / 9.1 (-45%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 4.8 / 5.25 (91%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 22 6.7 31% 3.3 / 19 (17%) 3.4 / 3 (115%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 10.8 -0.3 -3% -0.3 / 10.8 (-3%)
17th Feb '18 Bellator 194 2 1.7 83% 1.7 / 2 (83%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 18.28 -0.7 -4% -3.8 / 13.28 (-28%) 3.1 / 5 (63%)
4th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 125 14.1 3.5 25% 3.5 / 14.1 (25%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 17.25 6.3 37% 5.3 / 15 (35%) 1.0 / 2.25 (44%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 18.5 0.8 4% 0.8 / 18.5 (4%)
14th Jan '18 UFC Fight Night 124 11.2 4.0 36% 1.7 / 6.2 (27%) 2.3 / 5 (47%)


Winning Events: 33 (60%)
Losing Events: 22 (40%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 7.5 -7.5 -100% -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%) / 1 (0%) -7.50
2018 697.73 123.7 18% 89.5 / 564.48 (16%) 15.9 / 31.55 (50%) 18.3 / 101.7 (18%) 33 / 21 (61%) 2.29

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 632.23 84.2 13% 55.4 / 500.98 (11%) 14.3 / 29.55 (48%) 14.5 / 101.7 (14%)
Bellator 40 18.1 45% 17.7 / 33 (54%) 1.7 / 2 (83%) -1.2 / 5 (-24%)
PFL 11.1 3.6 32% 6.1 / 8.6 (71%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
Other 21.9 10.3 47% 10.3 / 21.9 (47%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 22 (13%) 18 82 % 124.10 20.96 0.95 17%
Slight Favorites 90 (54%) 52 58 % 315.70 14.38 0.16 5%
Slight Underdogs 38 (23%) 23 61 % 102.50 45.29 1.19 44%
Big Underdogs 16 (10%) 8 50 % 22.18 8.86 0.55 40%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 29 (17%) 15 52 % 117.25 -0.92 -0.03 -1%
Co-Main Event 19 (11%) 15 79 % 74.40 38.57 2.03 52%
Position 3-5 46 (28%) 22 48 % 136.35 -3.32 -0.07 -2%
6+ (Undercard) 72 (43%) 49 68 % 236.48 55.15 0.77 23%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 16 (10%) 7 44 % 60.60 -17.06 -1.07 -28%
Light Heavy 11 (7%) 7 64 % 43.10 20.70 1.88 48%
Middleweight 11 (7%) 3 27 % 32.70 -14.85 -1.35 -45%
Welterweight 28 (17%) 17 61 % 98.43 22.11 0.79 22%
Lightweight 30 (18%) 21 70 % 97.80 27.62 0.92 28%
Featherweight 24 (14%) 18 75 % 88.70 33.77 1.41 38%
Bantamweight 16 (10%) 8 50 % 54.05 0.77 0.05 1%
Flyweight 13 (8%) 8 62 % 45.40 5.30 0.41 12%
               
Women's Fights 17 (10%) 12 71 % 43.70 11.12 0.65 25%
Bantamweight 4 (2%) 3 75 % 7.50 2.91 0.73 39%
Bantamweight 4 (2%) 3 75 % 7.70 -0.03 -0.01 -0%
Strawweight 9 (5%) 6 67 % 28.50 8.25 0.92 29%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 60 (81%) 47 78 %
Slight Favorites 12 (16%) 7 58 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (3%) 2 100 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
74 56 76 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (25%) 2 100 %
50-65% 4 (50%) 4 100 %
35-50% 2 (25%) 1 50 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
8 7 88 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 8 (100%) 7 88 % 1.74 2.25Pick was correct 1.44Pick was correct 4.1 (51%)
8 7 88 % 1.74     4.1 (51%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
14th Jan UFC Fight Night 124 11.2 4.0 36% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,040.05
20th Jan UFC 220 18.5 0.8 4% $10.40 $1,040.05 $1,048.08
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 17.25 6.3 37% $10.48 $1,048.08 $1,114.11
4th Feb UFC Fight Night 125 14.1 3.5 25% $11.14 $1,114.11 $1,153.65
10th Feb UFC 221 18.28 -0.7 -4% $11.54 $1,153.65 $1,146.09
17th Feb Bellator 194 2 1.7 83% $11.46 $1,146.09 $1,165.20
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 10.8 -0.3 -3% $11.65 $1,165.20 $1,161.81
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 22 6.7 31% $11.62 $1,161.81 $1,239.81
3rd Mar UFC 222 16.35 -1.3 -8% $12.40 $1,239.81 $1,223.61
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 14 11.0 79% $12.24 $1,223.61 $1,358.80
7th Apr UFC 223 26.5 10.9 41% $13.59 $1,358.80 $1,507.31
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 10 -2.4 -24% $15.07 $1,507.31 $1,470.60
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 22.5 -3.5 -16% $14.71 $1,470.60 $1,418.71
28th Apr Bellator 198 11 1.8 17% $14.19 $1,418.71 $1,444.73
12th May UFC 224 15.5 4.3 28% $14.45 $1,444.73 $1,507.18
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 23 7.5 32% $15.07 $1,507.18 $1,619.65
25th May Bellator 200 1 1.1 110% $16.20 $1,619.65 $1,637.46
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 20.1 -20.1 -100% $16.37 $1,637.46 $1,308.33
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 16.5 6.7 41% $13.08 $1,308.33 $1,396.41
9th Jun UFC 225 22 15.5 71% $13.96 $1,396.41 $1,613.36
12th Jun DWTNCS 9 1 0.7 69% $16.13 $1,613.36 $1,624.49
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 34 26.5 78% $16.24 $1,624.49 $2,054.55
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 4 -4.0 -100% $20.55 $2,054.55 $1,972.37
7th Jul UFC 226 12 -5.5 -46% $19.72 $1,972.37 $1,864.52
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 11 -2.2 -20% $18.65 $1,864.52 $1,822.57
17th Jul DWTNCS 13 2 -2.0 -100% $18.23 $1,822.57 $1,786.12
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 17.1 5.0 29% $17.86 $1,786.12 $1,875.68
24th Jul DWTNCS 14 4 -0.4 -9% $18.76 $1,875.68 $1,868.91
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 13 0.1 1% $18.69 $1,868.91 $1,871.25
31st Jul DWTNCS 15 5.1 5.4 107% $18.71 $1,871.25 $1,973.00
4th Aug UFC 227 25.25 21.9 87% $19.73 $1,973.00 $2,404.51
10th Aug LFA 47 4.8 2.0 42% $24.05 $2,404.51 $2,452.60
16th Aug PFL 6 2.6 -2.6 -100% $24.53 $2,452.60 $2,388.84
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 21.1 0.8 4% $23.89 $2,388.84 $2,407.52
30th Aug PFL 7 3.5 5.1 145% $24.08 $2,407.52 $2,529.70
1st Sep Cage Warriors 96 5 4.6 91% $25.30 $2,529.70 $2,644.85
8th Sep UFC 228 10 -3.6 -36% $26.45 $2,644.85 $2,549.56
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 11 -11.0 -100% $5 $25.50 $2,549.56 $2,264.11
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 2.8 -2.8 -100% $5 $22.64 $2,264.11 $2,195.72
29th Sep Bellator 206 9 6.8 75% $5 $21.96 $2,195.72 $2,339.31
6th Oct UFC 229 11 7.1 65% $5 $23.39 $2,339.31 $2,500.92
12th Oct Bellator 207 14 9.8 70% $5 $25.01 $2,500.92 $2,740.05
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 10 -1.0 -10% $5 $27.40 $2,740.05 $2,708.97
3rd Nov UFC 230 11 9.1 83% $27.09 $2,708.97 $2,956.68
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 15.6 12.4 80% $5 $29.57 $2,956.68 $3,318.95
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 18 -0.5 -3% $5 $33.19 $3,318.95 $3,295.98
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 29 -29.0 -100% $5 $32.96 $3,295.98 $2,335.14
30th Nov TUF Finale 10 -10.0 -100% $23.35 $2,335.14 $2,101.63
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 15 16.5 110% $21.02 $2,101.63 $2,448.40
8th Dec UFC 231 9.5 5.8 61% $5 $24.48 $2,448.40 $2,584.74
15th Dec Bellator 212 3 -3.0 -100% $5 $25.85 $2,584.74 $2,502.19
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 10.4 8.2 78% $5 $25.02 $2,502.19 $2,701.15
29th Dec UFC 232 25.4 -1.2 -5% $5 $27.01 $2,701.15 $2,664.61
31st Dec PFL 11: Finals 5 1.1 23% $5 $26.65 $2,664.61 $2,689.59
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 7.5 -7.5 -100% $5 $26.90 $2,689.59 $2,482.87


ROI % from starting bank balance: 148.29% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Magomed Magomedkerimov Ray Cooper III 2.45 2.5 Sub, R2 (2:18) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Paid Pick Alex Volkanovski Chad Mendes 2.25 4 TKO, R2 (4:14) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Paid Pick Curtis Millender Siyar Bahadurzada 1.65 4.7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Paid Pick Montel Jackson Brian Kelleher 1.67 4.5 Sub, R1 (1:40) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Paid Pick Joaquim Silva Jared Gordon 2.10 2 TKO, R3 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Paid Pick Mike Rodriguez Adam Milstead 2.25 2 TKO, R1 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Paid Pick Edson Barboza Daniel Hooker 1.87 3.5 TKO, R3 (2:19) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '18 Paid Pick Max Holloway Brian Ortega 1.91 3.5 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Paid Pick Max Holloway Brian Ortega 1.91 4.5 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Tony Martin Jake Matthews 2.10 5 Sub, R3 (1:19) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Wilson Reis Ben Nguyen 2.20 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Justin Willis Mark Hunt 2.00 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Paid Pick Ricardo Lamas Darren Elkins 1.61 4 TKO, R3 (4:9) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Paid Pick Eric Shelton Joseph Morales 1.87 4.6 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Bobby Moffett Chas Skelly 2.10 4 Sub, R2 (2:43) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '18 Andre Soukhamthath Jonathan Martinez 1.65 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '18 Paid Pick Stevie Ray Jessin Ayari 1.65 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '18 Paid Pick Mandel Nallo Carrington Banks 2.46 4 TKO, R2 (0:57) MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '18 Paid Pick Ryan Bader Matt Mitrione 1.39 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '18 Paid Pick Khabib Nurmagomedov Conor McGregor 1.59 3 Sub, R4 (3:2) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 Paid Pick Bevon Lewis Urijah Hall 1.95 3 TKO, R3 (1:32) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Paid Pick Andre Ewell Nathaniel Wood 1.87 3.5 Sub, R3 (4:12) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Paid Pick Jim Miller Charles Oliveira 3.30 2.2 Sub, R1 (1:15) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '18 Darren Stewart Edmen Shahbazyan 2.00 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '18 Alex Perez Joseph Benavidez 1.74 5 TKO, R1 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Paid Pick Curtis Blaydes Francis Ngannou 1.39 10 TKO, R1 (0:45) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Paid Pick Sergey Pavlovich Alistair Overeem 1.80 5 TKO, R1 (4:21) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Paid Pick Khalil Rountree Johnny Walker 1.57 4 TKO, R1 (1:57) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Paid Pick Guido Cannetti Marlon Vera 3.55 1 Sub, R2 (1:31) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Paid Pick Poliana Botelho Cynthia Calvillo 1.74 5 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '18 Marcelo Golm Arjan Bhullar 2.20 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '18 Paid Pick Marcelo Golm Arjan Bhullar 2.60 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '18 Paid Pick Renan Barao Andre Ewell 1.63 2.8 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '18 Paid Pick Mark Hunt Aleksei Oleinik 1.80 6 Sub, R1 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '18 Paid Pick Mark Hunt Aleksei Oleinik 1.59 5 Sub, R1 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '18 Cody Stamann Aljamain Sterling 2.20 2 Sub, R2 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Alex White Jim Miller 1.67 5 Sub, R1 (1:29) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '18 James Vick Justin Gaethje 1.66 5.6 TKO, R1 (1:27) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '18 Pavel Kusch Ray Cooper III 1.77 2.6 TKO, R1 (0:18) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '18 Kevin Holland Thiago Santos 4.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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