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MMA Handicapper Stats: @theDFSniper

@theDFSniper (DFSniper)


MMA MHandicapper - @theDFSniper

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 73 (46%) Right 45 (47%) Right 18 (43%) Right 10 (48%)
Wrong 86 (54%) Wrong 51 (53%) Wrong 24 (57%) Wrong 11 (52%)
Avg Odds 2.12 Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 2.33 Avg Odds 2.31
Units Bet 353.4 Units Bet 233.2 Units Bet 75.4 Units Bet 44.8
Avg Bet 2.22 Avg Bet 2.43 Avg Bet 1.80 Avg Bet 2.14
Units Profit -13.00 Units Profit -24.33 Units Profit 1.60 Units Profit 9.73
ROI % -4% ROI % -10% ROI % 2% ROI % 22%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
31st Dec '18 Rizin 14 1.09 -1.1 -100% -1.1 / 1.09 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 16 15.7 98% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 8.5 / 8 (106%) 11.2 / 4 (281%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 9 -1.9 -22% 4.1 / 3 (135%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 11.5 -11.5 -100% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 12 4.0 34% -1.6 / 4 (-41%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 6.7 / 7 (95%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 5.6 2.0 36% 2.0 / 5.6 (36%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 6 -2.9 -49% 0.1 / 3 (3%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 2 -0.0 -1% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.0 / 1 (99%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 7 3.6 52% 2.5 / 4 (62%) 1.2 / 3 (38%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 2 3.1 156% 1.8 / 1 (185%) 1.3 / 1 (127%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 7 -2.5 -36% 0.5 / 4 (13%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 12 -12.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 10.5 -5.0 -47% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.5 / 3 (84%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 11.75 14.4 122% 7.3 / 4.5 (163%) 4.1 / 4.25 (96%) 2.9 / 3 (98%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 19 6.3 33% 6.3 / 19 (33%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 12.6 -6.2 -49% -2.5 / 8.9 (-28%) -3.7 / 3.7 (-100%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 4.4 -4.4 -100% -3.9 / 3.9 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
24th Jul '18 DWTNCS 14 3.9 -1.5 -38% -1.5 / 3.9 (-38%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 17.1 -1.7 -10% -0.8 / 12.1 (-7%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 2.1 / 2 (107%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 13.2 5.0 38% 7.0 / 11.2 (62%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 12 -3.9 -32% 0.0 / 3 (0%) -3.9 / 9 (-43%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 7.1 -2.6 -37% -4.6 / 4.6 (-100%) 2.0 / 2.5 (80%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 4.5 -1.9 -41% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 1.1 / 1.5 (76%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 7.25 2.1 30% 3.4 / 6 (57%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 8 -4.4 -55% -4.4 / 8 (-55%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 11.5 5.5 48% 1.6 / 9 (18%) 3.9 / 2.5 (155%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 13.5 0.2 1% 2.2 / 11.5 (19%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 12 -2.2 -18% -2.2 / 12 (-18%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 2.5 -2.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 5.5 -3.0 -54% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) 1.5 / 1 (155%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 6 -1.6 -27% -1.6 / 6 (-27%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 8.5 0.2 2% -0.6 / 5 (-11%) 0.8 / 3.5 (21%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 9 5.3 59% 3.4 / 6 (57%) 1.9 / 3 (63%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 7.7 -0.1 -2% -1.3 / 5.5 (-24%) 2.2 / 1.2 (182%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 10 -0.0 -0% -1.2 / 7 (-17%) 1.2 / 3 (38%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 8 -5.0 -63% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 0.0 / 3 (0%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
4th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 125 8.75 3.1 36% 3.6 / 4.5 (79%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.6 / 2.25 (69%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 8.5 -2.7 -32% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) 0.7 / 3.5 (19%) 0.6 / 1 (61%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 12 2.3 19% -0.8 / 10 (-8%) 3.1 / 2 (155%)
14th Jan '18 UFC Fight Night 124 8.5 -3.2 -38% -2.1 / 6 (-35%) -1.1 / 2.5 (-46%)


Winning Events: 15 (37%)
Losing Events: 26 (63%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 356.44 -13.0 -4% -24.3 / 233.2 (-10%) 1.6 / 78.4 (2%) 9.7 / 44.84 (22%) 15 / 26 (37%) -0.32

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 345.85 -12.4 -4% -24.8 / 223.7 (-11%) 1.6 / 78.4 (2%) 10.8 / 43.75 (25%)
Other 10.59 -0.6 -6% 0.5 / 9.5 (5%) -1.1 / 1.09 (-100%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 16 (17%) 15 94 % 61.70 22.36 1.40 36%
Slight Favorites 28 (29%) 8 29 % 80.50 -43.29 -1.55 -54%
Slight Underdogs 39 (41%) 21 54 % 74.00 10.60 0.27 14%
Big Underdogs 13 (14%) 1 8 % 17.00 -14.00 -1.08 -82%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 13 (14%) 5 38 % 36.10 -11.00 -0.85 -30%
Co-Main Event 10 (10%) 5 50 % 19.60 1.72 0.17 9%
Position 3-5 24 (25%) 13 54 % 56.90 -2.66 -0.11 -5%
6+ (Undercard) 49 (51%) 22 45 % 120.60 -12.38 -0.25 -10%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 12 (13%) 6 50 % 27.00 -3.63 -0.30 -13%
Light Heavy 8 (8%) 4 50 % 19.50 3.95 0.49 20%
Middleweight 8 (8%) 3 38 % 16.00 -3.78 -0.47 -24%
Welterweight 16 (17%) 9 56 % 38.10 6.24 0.39 16%
Lightweight 13 (14%) 6 46 % 32.80 -3.11 -0.24 -9%
Featherweight 8 (8%) 5 63 % 19.60 -0.30 -0.04 -2%
Bantamweight 13 (14%) 4 31 % 35.10 -12.40 -0.95 -35%
Flyweight 6 (6%) 3 50 % 15.00 -3.87 -0.65 -26%
               
Women's Fights 12 (13%) 5 42 % 30.10 -7.43 -0.62 -25%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 2.00 2.00 2.00 100%
Bantamweight 7 (7%) 2 29 % 17.50 -8.83 -1.26 -50%
Strawweight 4 (4%) 2 50 % 10.60 -0.60 -0.15 -6%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 47 (85%) 34 72 %
Slight Favorites 7 (13%) 6 86 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (2%) 1 100 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
55 41 75 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 12 (22%) 11 92 %
50-65% 12 (22%) 7 58 %
35-50% 19 (35%) 9 47 %
<35% chance 12 (22%) 2 17 %
55 29 53 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (9%) 3 60 % 1.59 2.05Pick was incorrect 1.28Pick was correct -0.7 (-14%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 15 (27%) 9 60 % 2.34 3.15Pick was incorrect 1.65Pick was correct 6.1 (41%)
Goes to Decision 2 (4%) 2 100 % 1.50 1.80Pick was correct 1.29Pick was correct 1.1 (54%)
Does not go to Decision 13 (24%) 9 69 % 1.66 2.75Pick was incorrect 1.24Pick was correct 1.8 (14%)
X Wins by KO 3 (5%) 0 0 % 5.87 7.85Pick was incorrect 4.10Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 4 (7%) 1 25 % 4.79 14.63Pick was incorrect 2.68Pick was correct -1.3 (-33%)
X Does NOT Win by Sub 4 (7%) 3 75 % 1.23 2.15Pick was incorrect 1.04Pick was correct -0.8 (-20%)
X Wins Inside Distance 7 (13%) 2 29 % 2.11 4.73Pick was incorrect 1.51Pick was incorrect -1.9 (-27%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (2%) 0 0 % 11.00 11.00Pick was incorrect 11.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Others 1 (2%) 0 0 % 2.12 2.12Pick was incorrect 2.12Pick was incorrect 0.0 (0%)
55 29 53 % 2.02     0.3 (1%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
14th Jan UFC Fight Night 124 8.5 -3.2 -38% $10.00 $1,000.00 $967.55
20th Jan UFC 220 12 2.3 19% $9.68 $967.55 $989.39
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 8.5 -2.7 -32% $9.89 $989.39 $962.35
4th Feb UFC Fight Night 125 8.75 3.1 36% $9.62 $962.35 $992.33
10th Feb UFC 221 8 -5.0 -63% $9.92 $992.33 $942.71
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 10 -0.0 -0% $9.43 $942.71 $942.45
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 7.7 -0.1 -2% $9.42 $942.45 $941.30
3rd Mar UFC 222 9 5.3 59% $9.41 $941.30 $990.96
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 8.5 0.2 2% $9.91 $990.96 $992.73
7th Apr UFC 223 6 -1.6 -27% $9.93 $992.73 $976.84
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 5.5 -3.0 -54% $9.77 $976.84 $948.02
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 2.5 -2.5 -100% $9.48 $948.02 $924.32
12th May UFC 224 12 -2.2 -18% $9.24 $924.32 $904.45
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 13.5 0.2 1% $9.04 $904.45 $906.17
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 11.5 5.5 48% $9.06 $906.17 $956.01
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 8 -4.4 -55% $9.56 $956.01 $914.06
9th Jun UFC 225 7.25 2.1 30% $9.14 $914.06 $933.71
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 4.5 -1.9 -41% $9.34 $933.71 $916.29
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 7.1 -2.6 -37% $9.16 $916.29 $892.47
7th Jul UFC 226 12 -3.9 -32% $8.92 $892.47 $857.66
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 13.2 5.0 38% $8.58 $857.66 $900.54
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 17.1 -1.7 -10% $9.01 $900.54 $885.53
24th Jul DWTNCS 14 3.9 -1.5 -38% $8.86 $885.53 $872.25
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 4.4 -4.4 -100% $8.72 $872.25 $833.87
4th Aug UFC 227 12.6 -6.2 -49% $8.34 $833.87 $782.17
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 19 6.3 33% $7.82 $782.17 $831.51
8th Sep UFC 228 11.75 14.4 122% $8.32 $831.51 $950.91
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 10.5 -5.0 -47% $9.51 $950.91 $903.55
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 12 -12.0 -100% $9.04 $903.55 $795.12
6th Oct UFC 229 7 -2.5 -36% $7.95 $795.12 $775.24
3rd Nov UFC 230 2 3.1 156% $7.75 $775.24 $799.43
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 7 3.6 52% $7.99 $799.43 $828.45
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 2 -0.0 -1% $8.28 $828.45 $828.35
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 6 -2.9 -49% $8.28 $828.35 $804.12
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 5.6 2.0 36% $8.04 $804.12 $820.20
30th Nov TUF Finale 2 -2.0 -100% $8.20 $820.20 $803.80
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 12 4.0 34% $8.04 $803.80 $836.18
8th Dec UFC 231 11.5 -11.5 -100% $8.36 $836.18 $740.02
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 9 -1.9 -22% $7.40 $740.02 $725.59
29th Dec UFC 232 16 15.7 98% $7.26 $725.59 $839.50
31st Dec Rizin 14 1.09 -1.1 -100% $8.39 $839.50 $830.35


ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.97% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Mike Rodriguez Adam Milstead 2.35 3 TKO, R1 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Wilson Reis Ben Nguyen 2.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '18 Alistair Overeem Sergey Pavlovich 2.05 1.5 TKO, R1 (4:21) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '18 Tito Ortiz Chuck Liddell 1.36 5.6 TKO, R1 (4:24) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '18 Mark Delarosa Joby Sanchez 1.43 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Yair Rodriguez Chan Sung Jung 2.20 1 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Adam Wieczorek 2.85 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '18 Jussier Formiga Sergio Pettis 2.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '18 Tyron Woodley Darren Till 2.30 1 Sub, R2 (4:19) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '18 Diego Sanchez Craig White 2.75 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '18 Darren Stewart Charles Byrd 2.65 1 TKO, R2 (2:17) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '18 Rani Yahya Luke Sanders 1.83 3 Sub, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '18 Joanne Calderwood Kalindra Faria 1.59 3 Sub, R1 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '18 Andrew Sanchez Markus Perez 1.83 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '18 Cortney Casey Angela Hill 2.20 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '18 Michael Johnson Andre Fili 1.71 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '18 Ricardo Ramos Kyung Ho Kang 1.45 4.4 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '18 Chase Hooper Canaan Kawaihae 1.71 1.4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '18 Aleksandar Rakic Justin Ledet 2.30 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '18 Manny Bermudez Davey Grant 1.43 4.7 Sub, R1 (0:59) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 Siyar Bahadurzada Curtis Millender 2.20 4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Valentina Shevchenko 4.00 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Katlyn Chookagian Jessica Eye 1.59 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Matthew Lopez Brad Katona 3.35 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Tai Tuivasa Junior dos Santos 2.40 3 TKO, R2 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Darren Stewart Edmen Shahbazyan 2.05 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Rafael dos Anjos Kamaru Usman 3.50 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Hu Yaozong Rashad Coulter 2.35 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Hector Aldana Laureano Staropoli 2.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '18 Gray Maynard Nik Lentz 2.95 2 TKO, R2 (1:19) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '18 Renan Barao Andre Ewell 1.77 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '18 Gillian Robertson Mayra Bueno Silva 1.80 4 Sub, R1 (4:55) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '18 Mark Hunt Aleksei Oleinik 1.80 4 Sub, R1 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '18 Andrei Arlovski Shamil Abdurakhimov 2.05 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '18 Desmond Green Mairbek Taisumov 4.50 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '18 John Moraga Deiveson Figueiredo 2.45 3 TKO, R2 (3:8) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '18 Yuri Alcantara Cory Sandhagen 3.10 2 TKO, R2 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '18 Jose Torres Alex Perez 2.15 2 TKO, R1 (3:36) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '18 Brett Johns Pedro Munhoz 3.10 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '18 Chris Birchler Jim Crute 5.25 0.5 TKO, R1 (4:23) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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