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MMA Handicapper Stats: bill 04111

bill 04111 (Bill04111)


MMA MHandicapper - bill 04111

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 11 (55%) Right 5 (45%) Right 5 (83%) Right 1 (33%)
Wrong 9 (45%) Wrong 6 (55%) Wrong 1 (17%) Wrong 2 (67%)
Avg Odds 1.71 Avg Odds 1.57 Avg Odds 1.65 Avg Odds 2.84
Units Bet 47.5 Units Bet 31.5 Units Bet 9.5 Units Bet 6.5
Avg Bet 2.38 Avg Bet 2.86 Avg Bet 1.58 Avg Bet 2.17
Units Profit -12.20 Units Profit -8.19 Units Profit 1.45 Units Profit -5.46
ROI % -26% ROI % -26% ROI % 15% ROI % -84%
View Handicapper's Profile

bill 04111: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 2 -1.0 -48% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 1.5 (-31%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 9 -7.6 -85% -4.6 / 6 (-77%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 125 10.5 -2.6 -25% -3.2 / 10 (-32%) 0.6 / 0.5 (110%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 12 1.1 9% -1.6 / 7 (-22%) 2.6 / 5 (53%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 8 3.9 49% 2.7 / 7 (38%) 1.3 / 1 (125%)


Winning Events: 2 (29%)
Losing Events: 5 (71%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.79 units
Most Staked On One Event: 12.00 units
Best Event: 3.91 units
Worst Event: -7.64 units
Average Event: -1.74 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 5.00
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -17.20

bill 04111: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 8 -7.0 -87% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -5.5 / 6.5 (-84%) / 3 (0%) -2.32
2018 39.5 -5.2 -13% -6.7 / 30 (-22%) 1.4 / 9.5 (15%) 2 / 2 (50%) -1.31

bill 04111: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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bill 04111: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 47.5 -12.2 -26% -8.2 / 31.5 (-26%) 1.4 / 9.5 (15%) -5.5 / 6.5 (-84%)

bill 04111: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 7 (64%) 5 71 % 24.00 -0.69 -0.10 -3%
Slight Favorites 1 (9%) 0 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Slight Underdogs 3 (27%) 0 0 % 4.50 -4.50 -1.50 -100%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 % 0.00 0.00 0.00 0%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (27%) 0 0 % 9.00 -9.00 -3.00 -100%
Co-Main Event 2 (18%) 1 50 % 2.50 0.16 0.08 6%
Position 3-5 3 (27%) 1 33 % 6.00 -4.64 -1.55 -77%
6+ (Undercard) 3 (27%) 3 100 % 14.00 5.29 1.76 38%

bill 04111: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (9%) 1 100 % 1.00 0.36 0.36 36%
Light Heavy 2 (18%) 1 50 % 3.00 -0.34 -0.17 -11%
Middleweight 3 (27%) 1 33 % 13.00 -6.15 -2.05 -47%
Welterweight 3 (27%) 1 33 % 9.00 -3.56 -1.19 -40%
Lightweight 1 (9%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Featherweight 1 (9%) 1 100 % 5.00 2.00 2.00 40%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 1 (20%) 1 100 %
Slight Favorites 2 (40%) 1 50 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (40%) 1 50 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
5 3 60 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 4 (57%) 3 75 %
50-65% 1 (14%) 1 100 %
35-50% 2 (29%) 2 100 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
7 6 86 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 4 (57%) 3 75 % 1.53 2.25Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 1.0 (24%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (14%) 1 100 % 2.10 2.10Pick was correct 2.10Pick was correct 1.1 (110%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (29%) 2 100 % 1.64 1.80Pick was correct 1.50Pick was correct 1.3 (65%)
7 6 86 % 1.62     3.4 (48%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail bill 04111's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
20th Jan UFC 220 8 3.9 49% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,039.10
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 12 1.1 9% $10.39 $1,039.10 $1,050.43
4th Feb UFC Fight Night 125 10.5 -2.6 -25% $10.50 $1,050.43 $1,023.11
10th Feb UFC 221 9 -7.6 -85% $10.23 $1,023.11 $944.95
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 2 -1.0 -48% $9.45 $944.95 $935.86
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 1 -1.0 -100% $9.36 $935.86 $926.50
2nd Mar UFC 235 5 -5.0 -100% $9.27 $926.50 $880.18


ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.98% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

bill 04111: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '18 Tai Tuivasa Cyril Asker 1.36 1 TKO, R1 (2:18) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '18 Thiago Santos Anthony Smith 1.37 5 TKO, R2 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '18 Niko Price George Sullivan 1.36 4 Sub, R2 (4:21) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '18 Enrique Barzola Matt Bessette 1.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '18 Daniel Cormier Volkan Oezdemir 1.33 2 TKO, R2 (2:0) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '19 Jan Blachowicz Thiago Santos 2.20 1 TKO, R3 (0:39) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '19 James Vick Paul Felder 2.40 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '18 Li Jingliang Jake Matthews 1.54 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '18 Li Jingliang Jake Matthews 1.53 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '18 Eryk Anders Lyoto Machida 1.36 5 Split Decision (5 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '18 Derek Brunson Ronaldo Souza 2.25 3 TKO, R1 (3:50) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

bill 04111: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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