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Profitable MMA Handicappers: 577

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: CmesFirePicks

CmesFirePicks (CmesFirePicks)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - CmesFirePicks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 95 (58%) Right 50 (53%) Right 22 (69%) Right 23 (59%)
Wrong 70 (42%) Wrong 44 (47%) Wrong 10 (31%) Wrong 16 (41%)
Avg Odds 1.74 Avg Odds 1.69 Avg Odds 1.83 Avg Odds 1.80
Units Bet 610.0 Units Bet 384.0 Units Bet 82.0 Units Bet 144.0
Avg Bet 3.70 Avg Bet 4.09 Avg Bet 2.56 Avg Bet 3.69
Units Profit 78.23 Units Profit 32.48 Units Profit 19.50 Units Profit 26.24
ROI % 13% ROI % 8% ROI % 24% ROI % 18%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 11.5 -0.0 -0% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 1.3 / 0.5 (267%) 4.6 / 5 (92%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 7.5 -7.5 -100% -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 10 3.3 33% -0.7 / 4 (-17%) 1.0 / 2 (51%) 2.9 / 4 (72%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 14.5 4.9 34% 5.5 / 6.5 (85%) 1.0 / 2 (48%) -1.6 / 6 (-26%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 8.5 1.5 17% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%) 5.0 / 5 (100%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 15 0.2 2% -3.1 / 10 (-31%) 3.4 / 5 (67%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 13.5 -4.4 -33% -0.9 / 5.5 (-17%) 1.5 / 3 (49%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 7 0.8 12% 1.6 / 3 (53%) 1.3 / 2 (63%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 13.5 -3.0 -22% -4.0 / 11.5 (-35%) 1.0 / 2 (51%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 7 2.7 38% 0.4 / 3 (14%) 2.2 / 4 (56%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 15.5 -0.8 -5% 0.3 / 7 (4%) -1.1 / 8.5 (-13%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 9.5 4.3 46% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 4.8 / 9 (54%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 8 0.2 2% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 3.2 / 5 (63%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 13.5 -2.4 -18% 1.6 / 1.5 (105%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 1.0 / 7 (14%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 12.5 6.8 55% 4.8 / 9.5 (51%) 2.0 / 3 (68%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 13 -0.1 -1% -0.1 / 13 (-1%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 17 -4.0 -24% -4.9 / 8 (-61%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.9 / 7 (42%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 8.5 -1.3 -16% -3.0 / 6.5 (-46%) 1.7 / 2 (85%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 11.5 -4.5 -39% -3.0 / 10 (-30%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 16.5 -8.1 -49% -6.8 / 10.5 (-65%) 1.7 / 3 (57%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 18 -1.0 -5% -3.0 / 15 (-20%) 2.0 / 3 (67%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 11.5 4.7 41% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.9 / 2.5 (118%) 3.7 / 7 (53%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 12.5 2.3 18% 4.8 / 10 (48%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 9 2.3 26% 2.4 / 6 (40%) -0.0 / 3 (-1%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 15.5 0.0 0% -0.2 / 7.5 (-3%) 0.2 / 8 (3%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 9 1.5 16% 2.9 / 5 (57%) -1.4 / 4 (-35%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 16 14.3 90% 14.3 / 16 (90%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 7.5 5.3 70% 4.4 / 6 (73%) 0.9 / 1.5 (61%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 19.5 21.3 109% 19.8 / 17.5 (113%) 1.4 / 2 (71%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 11 -11.0 -100% -7.0 / 7 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 9 5.0 56% 5.0 / 9 (56%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 27 10.0 37% 10.0 / 27 (37%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 12 -4.8 -40% -4.8 / 12 (-40%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 26 15.8 61% 2.3 / 4 (57%) 4.2 / 11 (38%) 9.3 / 11 (85%)
4th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 125 15 0.9 6% 5.9 / 10 (59%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 24 8.6 36% -3.2 / 8 (-40%) 0.5 / 5 (10%) 11.3 / 11 (103%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 51 21.5 42% 21.5 / 51 (42%)
14th Jan '18 UFC Fight Night 124 33 1.4 4% 1.4 / 33 (4%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 15 -1.8 -12% -1.8 / 15 (-12%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 11 -0.4 -3% -0.4 / 11 (-3%)
9th Dec '17 UFC Fight Night 123 6 -4.1 -68% -2.1 / 4 (-52%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 9.5 1.5 16% -1.0 / 6.5 (-16%) 2.5 / 3 (85%)
2nd Dec '17 TUF 26 Finale 4 0.9 23% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.9 / 3 (64%)


Winning Events: 26 (58%)
Losing Events: 19 (42%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 11.5 -0.0 -0% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 1.3 / 0.5 (267%) 4.6 / 5 (92%) / 1 (0%) -0.05
2018 553 82.1 15% 44.8 / 340.5 (13%) 18.2 / 81.5 (22%) 19.2 / 131 (15%) 24 / 15 (62%) 2.10
2017 45.5 -3.8 -8% -6.3 / 37.5 (-17%) 2.5 / 8 (31%) 2 / 3 (40%) -0.76

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 610 78.2 13% 32.5 / 384 (8%) 19.5 / 82 (24%) 26.2 / 144 (18%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 32 (34%) 21 66 % 152.00 -3.27 -0.10 -2%
Slight Favorites 44 (47%) 22 50 % 183.00 4.90 0.11 3%
Slight Underdogs 12 (13%) 7 58 % 43.00 36.86 3.07 86%
Big Underdogs 6 (6%) 0 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -1.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 18 (19%) 9 50 % 64.50 13.47 0.75 21%
Co-Main Event 11 (12%) 4 36 % 48.00 5.26 0.48 11%
Position 3-5 26 (28%) 16 62 % 88.00 -2.15 -0.08 -2%
6+ (Undercard) 39 (41%) 21 54 % 183.50 15.90 0.41 9%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 10 (11%) 3 30 % 39.00 2.73 0.27 7%
Light Heavy 8 (9%) 5 63 % 40.50 12.44 1.56 31%
Middleweight 5 (5%) 4 80 % 22.00 3.55 0.71 16%
Welterweight 12 (13%) 5 42 % 26.00 -2.00 -0.17 -8%
Lightweight 18 (19%) 8 44 % 63.50 -21.97 -1.22 -35%
Featherweight 13 (14%) 6 46 % 65.50 -8.60 -0.66 -13%
Bantamweight 7 (7%) 7 100 % 41.50 21.47 3.07 52%
Flyweight 5 (5%) 2 40 % 13.00 -7.16 -1.43 -55%
               
Women's Fights 16 (17%) 10 63 % 73.00 32.01 2.00 44%
Featherweight 4 (4%) 2 50 % 15.00 -2.58 -0.64 -17%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 16.00 3.46 1.73 22%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 1 33 % 5.00 -1.92 -0.64 -38%
Strawweight 7 (7%) 6 86 % 37.00 33.05 4.72 89%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 62 (91%) 53 85 %
Slight Favorites 6 (9%) 2 33 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
68 55 81 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 24 (49%) 19 79 %
50-65% 16 (33%) 10 63 %
35-50% 3 (6%) 2 67 %
<35% chance 6 (12%) 2 33 %
49 33 67 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 12 (24%) 7 58 % 1.47 1.87Pick was correct 1.25Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-8%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.32 1.32Pick was correct 1.32Pick was correct 0.3 (32%)
Goes to Decision 4 (8%) 3 75 % 1.36 1.54Pick was incorrect 1.27Pick was correct -0.1 (-2%)
Does not go to Decision 16 (33%) 15 94 % 1.41 1.71Pick was correct 1.13Pick was correct 5.4 (33%)
Fight Starts Round X 2 (4%) 1 50 % 1.55 1.67Pick was correct 1.45Pick was incorrect -0.3 (-16%)
X Wins by KO 5 (10%) 2 40 % 2.64 4.48Pick was correct 1.83Pick was incorrect 2.2 (44%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (2%) 1 100 % 3.67 3.67Pick was correct 3.67Pick was correct 2.7 (267%)
X Wins by Decision 3 (6%) 0 0 % 3.01 6.75Pick was incorrect 1.94Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 5 (10%) 3 60 % 2.02 4.75Pick was incorrect 1.37Pick was correct 0.9 (17%)
49 33 67 % 1.63     7.0 (14%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
2nd Dec TUF 26 Finale 4 0.9 23% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,009.24
2nd Dec UFC 218 9.5 1.5 16% $10.09 $1,009.24 $1,024.37
9th Dec UFC Fight Night 123 6 -4.1 -68% $10.24 $1,024.37 $982.55
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 11 -0.4 -3% $9.83 $982.55 $979.01
31st Dec UFC 219 15 -1.8 -12% $9.79 $979.01 $961.51
14th Jan UFC Fight Night 124 33 1.4 4% $9.62 $961.51 $974.88
20th Jan UFC 220 51 21.5 42% $9.75 $974.88 $1,184.47
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 24 8.6 36% $11.84 $1,184.47 $1,286.56
4th Feb UFC Fight Night 125 15 0.9 6% $12.87 $1,286.56 $1,298.11
10th Feb UFC 221 26 15.8 61% $12.98 $1,298.11 $1,502.77
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 12 -4.8 -40% $15.03 $1,502.77 $1,431.27
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 27 10.0 37% $14.31 $1,431.27 $1,574.15
3rd Mar UFC 222 9 5.0 56% $15.74 $1,574.15 $1,652.92
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 11 -11.0 -100% $16.53 $1,652.92 $1,471.10
7th Apr UFC 223 19.5 21.3 109% $14.71 $1,471.10 $1,783.94
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 7.5 5.3 70% $17.84 $1,783.94 $1,878.06
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 16 14.3 90% $18.78 $1,878.06 $2,147.04
12th May UFC 224 2 -2.0 -100% $21.47 $2,147.04 $2,104.10
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 9 1.5 16% $10 $21.04 $2,104.10 $2,124.84
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 15.5 0.0 0% $21.25 $2,124.84 $2,125.82
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 9 2.3 26% $21.26 $2,125.82 $2,175.76
9th Jun UFC 225 12.5 2.3 18% $21.76 $2,175.76 $2,225.69
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 11.5 4.7 41% $22.26 $2,225.69 $2,329.94
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 18 -1.0 -5% $23.30 $2,329.94 $2,307.03
7th Jul UFC 226 16.5 -8.1 -49% $23.07 $2,307.03 $2,119.72
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 11.5 -4.5 -39% $21.20 $2,119.72 $2,025.20
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 8.5 -1.3 -16% $20.25 $2,025.20 $1,998.37
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 17 -4.0 -24% $19.98 $1,998.37 $1,918.29
4th Aug UFC 227 13 -0.1 -1% $19.18 $1,918.29 $1,915.60
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 12.5 6.8 55% $10 $19.16 $1,915.60 $2,036.58
8th Sep UFC 228 13.5 -2.4 -18% $20.37 $2,036.58 $1,987.41
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 8 0.2 2% $19.87 $1,987.41 $1,990.84
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 9.5 4.3 46% $19.91 $1,990.84 $2,077.42
6th Oct UFC 229 15.5 -0.8 -5% $20.77 $2,077.42 $2,060.67
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 2.5 -2.5 -100% $20.61 $2,060.67 $2,009.15
3rd Nov UFC 230 7 2.7 38% $20.09 $2,009.15 $2,062.50
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 13.5 -3.0 -22% $20.62 $2,062.50 $2,000.18
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 7 0.8 12% $20.00 $2,000.18 $2,016.76
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 13.5 -4.4 -33% $20.17 $2,016.76 $1,927.19
30th Nov TUF Finale 15 0.2 2% $19.27 $1,927.19 $1,931.54
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 8.5 1.5 17% $19.32 $1,931.54 $1,960.24
8th Dec UFC 231 14.5 4.9 34% $19.60 $1,960.24 $2,056.09
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 10 3.3 33% $20.56 $2,056.09 $2,122.96
29th Dec UFC 232 7.5 -7.5 -100% $21.23 $2,122.96 $1,963.74
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 11.5 -0.0 -0% $19.64 $1,963.74 $1,962.82


ROI % from starting bank balance: 96.28% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Rob Font Sergio Pettis 1.67 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Brad Katona Matthew Lopez 1.61 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Max Holloway Brian Ortega 2.00 4 TKO, R4 (5:0) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '18 Pedro Munhoz Bryan Caraway 1.37 5 TKO, R1 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '18 Li Jingliang David Zawada 1.53 3 TKO, R3 (4:7) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Santiago Ponzinibbio Neil Magny 1.53 3 TKO, R4 (2:22) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Maycee Barber Hannah Cifers 1.24 6 TKO, R2 (2:1) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '18 Jussier Formiga Sergio Pettis 2.55 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '18 Khabib Nurmagomedov Conor McGregor 1.57 3 Sub, R4 (3:2) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '18 Tyron Woodley Darren Till 2.05 1.5 Sub, R2 (4:19) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '18 Cory Sandhagen Yuri Alcantara 1.48 5 TKO, R2 (1:1) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '18 Deiveson Figueiredo John Moraga 1.65 2 TKO, R2 (3:8) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '18 Paid Pick Drew Dober Jon Tuck 1.45 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '18 Katlyn Chookagian Alexis Davis 1.54 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '18 Danny Roberts David Zawada 1.39 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '18 Alex Volkanovski Darren Elkins 1.41 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '18 Daniel Hooker Gilbert Burns 1.83 2 TKO, R1 (2:28) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '18 Israel Adesanya Brad Tavares 1.87 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '18 Brad Katona Jay Cucciniello 1.38 6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '18 Holly Holm Megan Anderson 1.49 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jan '19 Belal Muhammad Geoff Neal 2.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '19 T.J. Dillashaw Henry Cejudo 1.48 5 TKO, R1 (0:32) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Alexander Gustafsson Jon Jones 3.55 1.5 TKO, R3 (2:2) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Cristiane Justino Amanda Nunes 1.48 3 TKO, R1 (0:51) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Cat Zingano Megan Anderson 1.77 3 TKO, R1 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Daniel Hooker Edson Barboza 1.83 2 TKO, R3 (2:19) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 Alex Perez Joseph Benavidez 1.71 2 TKO, R1 (4:19) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Rafael dos Anjos Kamaru Usman 3.55 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Justin Frazier Juan Espino 2.40 2 Sub, R1 (3:36) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '18 Curtis Blaydes Francis Ngannou 1.40 2.5 TKO, R1 (0:45) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '18 Chan Sung Jung Yair Rodriguez 2.05 1.5 TKO, R5 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 Luis Pena Mike Trizano 1.63 4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '18 Alexander Volkov Derrick Lewis 1.67 2 TKO, R3 (4:49) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '18 Anthony Pettis Tony Ferguson 4.10 1 TKO, R2 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '18 Luigi Vendramini Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 7.00 0.5 TKO, R2 (1:20) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '18 Mark Hunt Aleksei Oleinik 1.80 3 Sub, R1 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '18 Matheus Nicolau Dustin Ortiz 1.53 3 TKO, R1 (3:49) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '18 Olivier Aubin-Mercier Alexander Hernandez 1.83 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '18 Tecia Torres Joanna Jedrzejczyk 3.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '18 Emil Meek Bartosz Fabinski 1.69 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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