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Total MMA Handicappers: 1432 Profitable MMA Handicappers: 577 |
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Profit / Loss by Organization |
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Straight Pick Stats |
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Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
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| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Main Event | 18 (19%) | 9 | 50 % | 64.50 | 13.47 | 0.75 | 21% |
| Co-Main Event | 11 (12%) | 4 | 36 % | 48.00 | 5.26 | 0.48 | 11% |
| Position 3-5 | 26 (28%) | 16 | 62 % | 88.00 | -2.15 | -0.08 | -2% |
| 6+ (Undercard) | 39 (41%) | 21 | 54 % | 183.50 | 15.90 | 0.41 | 9% |
by Weight Class
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Heavyweight | 10 (11%) | 3 | 30 % | 39.00 | 2.73 | 0.27 | 7% |
| Light Heavy | 8 (9%) | 5 | 63 % | 40.50 | 12.44 | 1.56 | 31% |
| Middleweight | 5 (5%) | 4 | 80 % | 22.00 | 3.55 | 0.71 | 16% |
| Welterweight | 12 (13%) | 5 | 42 % | 26.00 | -2.00 | -0.17 | -8% |
| Lightweight | 18 (19%) | 8 | 44 % | 63.50 | -21.97 | -1.22 | -35% |
| Featherweight | 13 (14%) | 6 | 46 % | 65.50 | -8.60 | -0.66 | -13% |
| Bantamweight | 7 (7%) | 7 | 100 % | 41.50 | 21.47 | 3.07 | 52% |
| Flyweight | 5 (5%) | 2 | 40 % | 13.00 | -7.16 | -1.43 | -55% |
| Women's Fights | 16 (17%) | 10 | 63 % | 73.00 | 32.01 | 2.00 | 44% |
| Featherweight | 4 (4%) | 2 | 50 % | 15.00 | -2.58 | -0.64 | -17% |
| Bantamweight | 2 (2%) | 1 | 50 % | 16.00 | 3.46 | 1.73 | 22% |
| Bantamweight | 3 (3%) | 1 | 33 % | 5.00 | -1.92 | -0.64 | -38% |
| Strawweight | 7 (7%) | 6 | 86 % | 37.00 | 33.05 | 4.72 | 89% |
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)
Straight picks within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| Big Favorites | 62 (91%) | 53 | 85 % |
| Slight Favorites | 6 (9%) | 2 | 33 % |
| Slight Underdogs | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| Big Underdogs | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 68 | 55 | 81 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| >65% chance | 24 (49%) | 19 | 79 % |
| 50-65% | 16 (33%) | 10 | 63 % |
| 35-50% | 3 (6%) | 2 | 67 % |
| <35% chance | 6 (12%) | 2 | 33 % |
| 49 | 33 | 67 % |
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
| Prop Type | Picks | Correct | % Correct | Avg Odds |
Longest Odds |
Shortest Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) | 12 (24%) | 7 | 58 % | 1.47 | 1.87 |
1.25 |
-1.0 (-8%) |
| Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) | 1 (2%) | 1 | 100 % | 1.32 | 1.32 |
1.32 |
0.3 (32%) |
| Goes to Decision | 4 (8%) | 3 | 75 % | 1.36 | 1.54 |
1.27 |
-0.1 (-2%) |
| Does not go to Decision | 16 (33%) | 15 | 94 % | 1.41 | 1.71 |
1.13 |
5.4 (33%) |
| Fight Starts Round X | 2 (4%) | 1 | 50 % | 1.55 | 1.67 |
1.45 |
-0.3 (-16%) |
| X Wins by KO | 5 (10%) | 2 | 40 % | 2.64 | 4.48 |
1.83 |
2.2 (44%) |
| X Wins by Sub | 1 (2%) | 1 | 100 % | 3.67 | 3.67 |
3.67 |
2.7 (267%) |
| X Wins by Decision | 3 (6%) | 0 | 0 % | 3.01 | 6.75 |
1.94 |
-3.0 (-100%) |
| X Wins Inside Distance | 5 (10%) | 3 | 60 % | 2.02 | 4.75 |
1.37 |
0.9 (17%) |
| 49 | 33 | 67 % | 1.63 | 7.0 (14%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.
Tail handicapper's bets
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date | Event | Bet | Won | ROI | Fee | 1 unit = | Start | End |
| 2nd Dec | TUF 26 Finale | 4 | 0.9 | 23% | $10.00 | $1,000.00 | $1,009.24 | |
| 2nd Dec | UFC 218 | 9.5 | 1.5 | 16% | $10.09 | $1,009.24 | $1,024.37 | |
| 9th Dec | UFC Fight Night 123 | 6 | -4.1 | -68% | $10.24 | $1,024.37 | $982.55 | |
| 16th Dec | UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos | 11 | -0.4 | -3% | $9.83 | $982.55 | $979.01 | |
| 31st Dec | UFC 219 | 15 | -1.8 | -12% | $9.79 | $979.01 | $961.51 | |
| 14th Jan | UFC Fight Night 124 | 33 | 1.4 | 4% | $9.62 | $961.51 | $974.88 | |
| 20th Jan | UFC 220 | 51 | 21.5 | 42% | $9.75 | $974.88 | $1,184.47 | |
| 27th Jan | UFC on Fox 27 | 24 | 8.6 | 36% | $11.84 | $1,184.47 | $1,286.56 | |
| 4th Feb | UFC Fight Night 125 | 15 | 0.9 | 6% | $12.87 | $1,286.56 | $1,298.11 | |
| 10th Feb | UFC 221 | 26 | 15.8 | 61% | $12.98 | $1,298.11 | $1,502.77 | |
| 18th Feb | UFC Fight Night 126 | 12 | -4.8 | -40% | $15.03 | $1,502.77 | $1,431.27 | |
| 24th Feb | UFC on Fox 28 | 27 | 10.0 | 37% | $14.31 | $1,431.27 | $1,574.15 | |
| 3rd Mar | UFC 222 | 9 | 5.0 | 56% | $15.74 | $1,574.15 | $1,652.92 | |
| 17th Mar | UFC Fight Night 127 | 11 | -11.0 | -100% | $16.53 | $1,652.92 | $1,471.10 | |
| 7th Apr | UFC 223 | 19.5 | 21.3 | 109% | $14.71 | $1,471.10 | $1,783.94 | |
| 14th Apr | UFC on Fox 29 | 7.5 | 5.3 | 70% | $17.84 | $1,783.94 | $1,878.06 | |
| 21st Apr | UFC Fight Night 128 | 16 | 14.3 | 90% | $18.78 | $1,878.06 | $2,147.04 | |
| 12th May | UFC 224 | 2 | -2.0 | -100% | $21.47 | $2,147.04 | $2,104.10 | |
| 19th May | UFC Fight Night 129 | 9 | 1.5 | 16% | $10 | $21.04 | $2,104.10 | $2,124.84 |
| 27th May | UFC Fight Night 130 | 15.5 | 0.0 | 0% | $21.25 | $2,124.84 | $2,125.82 | |
| 1st Jun | UFC Fight Night 131 | 9 | 2.3 | 26% | $21.26 | $2,125.82 | $2,175.76 | |
| 9th Jun | UFC 225 | 12.5 | 2.3 | 18% | $21.76 | $2,175.76 | $2,225.69 | |
| 23rd Jun | UFC Fight Night 132 | 11.5 | 4.7 | 41% | $22.26 | $2,225.69 | $2,329.94 | |
| 7th Jul | TUF 27 Finale | 18 | -1.0 | -5% | $23.30 | $2,329.94 | $2,307.03 | |
| 7th Jul | UFC 226 | 16.5 | -8.1 | -49% | $23.07 | $2,307.03 | $2,119.72 | |
| 14th Jul | UFC Fight Night 133 | 11.5 | -4.5 | -39% | $21.20 | $2,119.72 | $2,025.20 | |
| 22nd Jul | UFC Fight Night 134 | 8.5 | -1.3 | -16% | $20.25 | $2,025.20 | $1,998.37 | |
| 28th Jul | UFC on Fox 30 | 17 | -4.0 | -24% | $19.98 | $1,998.37 | $1,918.29 | |
| 4th Aug | UFC 227 | 13 | -0.1 | -1% | $19.18 | $1,918.29 | $1,915.60 | |
| 25th Aug | UFC Fight Night 135 | 12.5 | 6.8 | 55% | $10 | $19.16 | $1,915.60 | $2,036.58 |
| 8th Sep | UFC 228 | 13.5 | -2.4 | -18% | $20.37 | $2,036.58 | $1,987.41 | |
| 15th Sep | UFC FIght Night Moscow | 8 | 0.2 | 2% | $19.87 | $1,987.41 | $1,990.84 | |
| 22nd Sep | UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo | 9.5 | 4.3 | 46% | $19.91 | $1,990.84 | $2,077.42 | |
| 6th Oct | UFC 229 | 15.5 | -0.8 | -5% | $20.77 | $2,077.42 | $2,060.67 | |
| 27th Oct | UFC Fight Night 138 | 2.5 | -2.5 | -100% | $20.61 | $2,060.67 | $2,009.15 | |
| 3rd Nov | UFC 230 | 7 | 2.7 | 38% | $20.09 | $2,009.15 | $2,062.50 | |
| 10th Nov | UFC Fight Night Denver | 13.5 | -3.0 | -22% | $20.62 | $2,062.50 | $2,000.18 | |
| 17th Nov | UFC Fight Night 140 | 7 | 0.8 | 12% | $20.00 | $2,000.18 | $2,016.76 | |
| 24th Nov | UFC Fight Night 141 | 13.5 | -4.4 | -33% | $20.17 | $2,016.76 | $1,927.19 | |
| 30th Nov | TUF Finale | 15 | 0.2 | 2% | $19.27 | $1,927.19 | $1,931.54 | |
| 1st Dec | UFC Fight Night 142 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 17% | $19.32 | $1,931.54 | $1,960.24 | |
| 8th Dec | UFC 231 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 34% | $19.60 | $1,960.24 | $2,056.09 | |
| 15th Dec | Fight Night Milwaukee | 10 | 3.3 | 33% | $20.56 | $2,056.09 | $2,122.96 | |
| 29th Dec | UFC 232 | 7.5 | -7.5 | -100% | $21.23 | $2,122.96 | $1,963.74 | |
| 19th Jan | UFC on ESPN+ 1 | 11.5 | -0.0 | -0% | $19.64 | $1,963.74 | $1,962.82 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 96.28% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.
Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | |||
| 1. | Dec '18 | Rob Font | Sergio Pettis | 1.67 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) | 
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| 2. | Dec '18 | Brad Katona | Matthew Lopez | 1.61 | 2.5 | U Decision (3 rounds) | 
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| 3. | Dec '18 | Max Holloway | Brian Ortega | 2.00 | 4 | TKO, R4 (5:0) |
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| 4. | Nov '18 | Pedro Munhoz | Bryan Caraway | 1.37 | 5 | TKO, R1 (2:39) |
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| 5. | Nov '18 | Li Jingliang | David Zawada | 1.53 | 3 | TKO, R3 (4:7) |
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| 6. | Nov '18 | Santiago Ponzinibbio | Neil Magny | 1.53 | 3 | TKO, R4 (2:22) |
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| 7. | Nov '18 | Maycee Barber | Hannah Cifers | 1.24 | 6 | TKO, R2 (2:1) |
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| 8. | Oct '18 | Jussier Formiga | Sergio Pettis | 2.55 | 1 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 9. | Oct '18 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Conor McGregor | 1.57 | 3 | Sub, R4 (3:2) |
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| 10. | Sep '18 | Tyron Woodley | Darren Till | 2.05 | 1.5 | Sub, R2 (4:19) |
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| 11. | Aug '18 | Cory Sandhagen | Yuri Alcantara | 1.48 | 5 | TKO, R2 (1:1) |
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| 12. | Aug '18 | Deiveson Figueiredo | John Moraga | 1.65 | 2 | TKO, R2 (3:8) |
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| 13. | Aug '18 |  Drew Dober |
Jon Tuck | 1.45 | 2.5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 14. | Jul '18 | Katlyn Chookagian | Alexis Davis | 1.54 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 15. | Jul '18 | Danny Roberts | David Zawada | 1.39 | 2.5 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 16. | Jul '18 | Alex Volkanovski | Darren Elkins | 1.41 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 17. | Jul '18 | Daniel Hooker | Gilbert Burns | 1.83 | 2 | TKO, R1 (2:28) |
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| 18. | Jul '18 | Israel Adesanya | Brad Tavares | 1.87 | 2 | U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 19. | Jul '18 | Brad Katona | Jay Cucciniello | 1.38 | 6 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 20. | Jun '18 | Holly Holm | Megan Anderson | 1.49 | 4 | U Decision (3 rounds) | 
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Last 20 Losses
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | Hedge? | |||
| 1. | Jan '19 | Belal Muhammad | Geoff Neal | 2.75 | 1 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 2. | Jan '19 | T.J. Dillashaw | Henry Cejudo | 1.48 | 5 | TKO, R1 (0:32) | No |
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| 3. | Dec '18 | Alexander Gustafsson | Jon Jones | 3.55 | 1.5 | TKO, R3 (2:2) | No |
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| 4. | Dec '18 | Cristiane Justino | Amanda Nunes | 1.48 | 3 | TKO, R1 (0:51) | No |
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| 5. | Dec '18 | Cat Zingano | Megan Anderson | 1.77 | 3 | TKO, R1 (1:1) | No |
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| 6. | Dec '18 | Daniel Hooker | Edson Barboza | 1.83 | 2 | TKO, R3 (2:19) | No |
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| 7. | Nov '18 | Alex Perez | Joseph Benavidez | 1.71 | 2 | TKO, R1 (4:19) | No |
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| 8. | Nov '18 | Rafael dos Anjos | Kamaru Usman | 3.55 | 1 | U Decision (5 rounds) | No |
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| 9. | Nov '18 | Justin Frazier | Juan Espino | 2.40 | 2 | Sub, R1 (3:36) | No |
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| 10. | Nov '18 | Curtis Blaydes | Francis Ngannou | 1.40 | 2.5 | TKO, R1 (0:45) | No |
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| 11. | Nov '18 | Chan Sung Jung | Yair Rodriguez | 2.05 | 1.5 | TKO, R5 (4:59) | No |
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| 12. | Nov '18 | Luis Pena | Mike Trizano | 1.63 | 4 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 13. | Oct '18 | Alexander Volkov | Derrick Lewis | 1.67 | 2 | TKO, R3 (4:49) | No |
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| 14. | Oct '18 | Anthony Pettis | Tony Ferguson | 4.10 | 1 | TKO, R2 (5:0) | No |
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| 15. | Sep '18 | Luigi Vendramini | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 7.00 | 0.5 | TKO, R2 (1:20) | No |
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| 16. | Sep '18 | Mark Hunt | Aleksei Oleinik | 1.80 | 3 | Sub, R1 (4:26) | No |
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| 17. | Jul '18 | Matheus Nicolau | Dustin Ortiz | 1.53 | 3 | TKO, R1 (3:49) | No |
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| 18. | Jul '18 | Olivier Aubin-Mercier | Alexander Hernandez | 1.83 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 19. | Jul '18 | Tecia Torres | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | 3.65 | 1 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 20. | Jul '18 | Emil Meek | Bartosz Fabinski | 1.69 | 1 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
Progress Chart
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