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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1834
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 765

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Smurf Bets

Smurf Bets (SmurfBets)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Smurf Bets

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 41 (49%) Right 33 (49%) Right 8 (53%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 42 (51%) Wrong 35 (51%) Wrong 7 (47%) Wrong 0 (0%)
Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 1.97 Avg Odds 2.15 Avg Odds 0.00
Units Bet 418.0 Units Bet 357.0 Units Bet 61.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 5.04 Avg Bet 5.25 Avg Bet 4.07 Avg Bet 0.00
Units Profit -6.46 Units Profit -22.35 Units Profit 15.89 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % -2% ROI % -6% ROI % 26% ROI % 0%
View Handicapper's Profile

Smurf Bets: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 52 -7.4 -14% -5.3 / 37 (-14%) -2.1 / 15 (-14%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 65 7.0 11% -1.4 / 52 (-3%) 8.5 / 13 (65%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 38.5 -3.4 -9% -10.2 / 25 (-41%) 6.9 / 13.5 (51%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 10 8.9 89% 4.5 / 5 (91%) 4.3 / 5 (87%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 37.5 1.3 4% 1.3 / 37.5 (4%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 28.5 7.8 27% 7.8 / 28.5 (27%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 51 -12.3 -24% -12.3 / 51 (-24%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 40 -1.2 -3% -3.1 / 35 (-9%) 1.8 / 5 (36%)
18th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 49.5 -21.7 -44% -18.2 / 40 (-46%) -3.5 / 9.5 (-37%)
11th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 30 13.8 46% 13.8 / 30 (46%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 16 0.7 5% 0.7 / 16 (5%)


Winning Events: 6 (55%)
Losing Events: 5 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 38.00 units
Most Staked On One Event: 65.00 units
Best Event: 13.76 units
Worst Event: -21.74 units
Average Event: -0.59 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 18.01
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -35.26

Smurf Bets: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 203 6.6 3% -11.0 / 156.5 (-7%) 17.6 / 46.5 (38%) 3 / 2 (60%) 1.31
2018 79.5 -4.5 -6% -4.5 / 79.5 (-6%) 1 / 1 (50%) -2.26
2017 135.5 -8.5 -6% -6.8 / 121 (-6%) -1.7 / 14.5 (-12%) 2 / 2 (50%) -2.12

Smurf Bets: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Smurf Bets: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 418 -6.5 -2% -22.3 / 357 (-6%) 15.9 / 61 (26%)

Smurf Bets: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 20 (29%) 16 80 % 153.00 12.49 0.62 8%
Slight Favorites 14 (21%) 6 43 % 70.00 -21.07 -1.50 -30%
Slight Underdogs 16 (24%) 7 44 % 75.00 -1.70 -0.11 -2%
Big Underdogs 18 (26%) 4 22 % 59.00 -12.08 -0.67 -20%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 10 (15%) 6 60 % 61.00 4.67 0.47 8%
Co-Main Event 9 (13%) 5 56 % 58.00 -1.37 -0.15 -2%
Position 3-5 20 (29%) 11 55 % 86.50 17.99 0.90 21%
6+ (Undercard) 28 (41%) 10 36 % 146.50 -46.49 -1.66 -32%

Smurf Bets: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (7%) 3 60 % 16.50 18.67 3.73 113%
Light Heavy 6 (9%) 2 33 % 35.50 -12.66 -2.11 -36%
Middleweight 4 (6%) 1 25 % 13.50 2.25 0.56 17%
Welterweight 11 (16%) 3 27 % 50.50 -23.10 -2.10 -46%
Lightweight 13 (19%) 6 46 % 76.50 -13.02 -1.00 -17%
Featherweight 7 (10%) 4 57 % 43.00 -3.81 -0.54 -9%
Bantamweight 7 (10%) 3 43 % 38.00 -14.77 -2.11 -39%
Flyweight 3 (4%) 1 33 % 20.00 -6.36 -2.12 -32%
               
Women's Fights 12 (18%) 10 83 % 63.50 30.45 2.54 48%
Featherweight 3 (4%) 3 100 % 26.00 7.25 2.42 28%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 5.00 2.86 2.86 57%
Bantamweight 2 (3%) 0 % 7.00 -7.00 -3.50 -100%
Strawweight 6 (9%) 6 100 % 25.50 27.34 4.56 107%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
0 0 0 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 4 (27%) 4 100 %
50-65% 3 (20%) 2 67 %
35-50% 3 (20%) 2 67 %
<35% chance 5 (33%) 0 0 %
15 8 53 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 7 (47%) 6 86 % 1.68 2.40Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was correct 3.0 (43%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (33%) 1 20 % 2.82 4.30Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was incorrect -2.2 (-43%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (7%) 1 100 % 1.24 1.24Pick was correct 1.24Pick was incorrect 0.2 (24%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (13%) 0 0 % 9.23 11.00Pick was incorrect 7.95Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
15 8 53 % 2.15     -0.9 (-6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Smurf Bets's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Nov UFC 217 16 0.7 5% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,007.32
11th Nov UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 30 13.8 46% $10.07 $1,007.32 $1,145.88
18th Nov UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 49.5 -21.7 -44% $11.46 $1,145.88 $896.78
31st Dec UFC 219 40 -1.2 -3% $8.97 $896.78 $885.69
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 51 -12.3 -24% $8.86 $885.69 $776.85
6th Oct UFC 229 28.5 7.8 27% $7.77 $776.85 $837.18
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 37.5 1.3 4% $8.37 $837.18 $848.48
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 10 8.9 89% $8.48 $848.48 $923.94
2nd Mar UFC 235 38.5 -3.4 -9% $9.24 $923.94 $892.95
6th Jul UFC 239 65 7.0 11% $8.93 $892.95 $955.63
27th Jul UFC 240 52 -7.4 -14% $9.56 $955.63 $885.32


ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.47% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Smurf Bets: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '19 Hakeem Dawodu Yoshinori Horie 1.26 5 TKO, R3 (4:9) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Cristiane Justino Felicia Spencer 1.24 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Max Holloway Frankie Edgar 1.30 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '19 Jon Jones Thiago Santos 1.21 11 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '19 Amanda Nunes Holly Holm 1.28 11 TKO, R1 (4:10) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '19 Jan Blachowicz Luke Rockhold 3.15 5 TKO, R2 (1:39) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '19 Claudia Gadelha Randa Markos 1.49 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '19 Cody Stamann Alejandro Perez 1.55 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '19 Ben Askren Robbie Lawler 1.41 5 Sub, R1 (3:20) MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '19 Thiago Santos Jan Blachowicz 1.91 5 TKO, R3 (0:39) MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '19 Nik Lentz Scott Holtzman 2.55 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '19 Kron Gracie Alex Caceres 1.36 5 Sub, R1 (2:6) MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 Cynthia Calvillo Cortney Casey 1.31 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 Francis Ngannou Cain Velasquez 2.55 5 TKO, R1 (0:26) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '18 Derrick Lewis Alexander Volkov 2.40 5 TKO, R3 (4:49) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '18 Michelle Waterson Felice Herrig 2.00 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '18 Aspen Ladd Tonya Evinger 1.57 5 TKO, R1 (3:26) MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '18 Tony Ferguson Anthony Pettis 1.28 5 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '18 Gregor Gillespie Vinc Pichel 1.26 10 Sub, R2 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '18 Belal Muhammad Chance Rencountre 1.26 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '19 Alexis Davis Viviane Araujo 2.71 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '19 Niko Price Geoff Neal 3.85 2 TKO, R2 (2:39) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '19 Olivier Aubin-Mercier Arman Tsarukyan 2.60 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '19 Alexandre Pantoja Deiveson Figueiredo 1.80 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '19 Ben Askren Jorge Masvidal 1.51 5 TKO, R1 (0:5) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '19 Diego Sanchez Michael Chiesa 4.30 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '19 Gilbert Melendez Arnold Allen 3.90 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '19 Alejandro Perez Yadong Song 2.90 5 TKO, R1 (2:4) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '19 Jeremy Stephens Zabit Magomedsharipov 3.25 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '19 Cody Garbrandt Pedro Munhoz 1.71 5 TKO, R1 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '19 Tyron Woodley Kamaru Usman 1.65 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '19 Anthony Smith Jon Jones 7.60 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '19 Renan Barao Luke Sanders 2.55 5 TKO, R2 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '19 Bryan Barberena Vicente Luque 4.50 2.5 TKO, R3 (4:54) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '19 James Vick Paul Felder 1.87 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '19 Jimmie Rivera Aljamain Sterling 1.66 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '18 Jalin Turner Vicente Luque 7.00 1 TKO, R1 (3:52) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '18 Alan Patrick Scott Holtzman 3.65 2.5 TKO, R3 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '18 Conor McGregor Khabib Nurmagomedov 2.65 5 Sub, R4 (3:2) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jun '18 Gian Villante Sam Alvey 2.30 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Smurf Bets: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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