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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 1540
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 650

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Smurf Bets

Smurf Bets (SmurfBets)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Smurf Bets

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 31 (50%) Right 26 (49%) Right 5 (56%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 31 (50%) Wrong 27 (51%) Wrong 4 (44%) Wrong 0 (0%)
Avg Odds 2.01 Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 2.12 Avg Odds 0.00
Units Bet 301.0 Units Bet 268.0 Units Bet 33.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 4.85 Avg Bet 5.06 Avg Bet 3.67 Avg Bet 0.00
Units Profit -6.12 Units Profit -15.66 Units Profit 9.54 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % -2% ROI % -6% ROI % 29% ROI % 0%
View Handicapper's Profile

Smurf Bets: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 38.5 -3.4 -9% -10.2 / 25 (-41%) 6.9 / 13.5 (51%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 10 8.9 89% 4.5 / 5 (91%) 4.3 / 5 (87%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 37.5 1.3 4% 1.3 / 37.5 (4%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 28.5 7.8 27% 7.8 / 28.5 (27%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 51 -12.3 -24% -12.3 / 51 (-24%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 40 -1.2 -3% -3.1 / 35 (-9%) 1.8 / 5 (36%)
18th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 49.5 -21.7 -44% -18.2 / 40 (-46%) -3.5 / 9.5 (-37%)
11th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 30 13.8 46% 13.8 / 30 (46%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 16 0.7 5% 0.7 / 16 (5%)


Winning Events: 5 (56%)
Losing Events: 4 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 33.44 units
Most Staked On One Event: 51.00 units
Best Event: 13.76 units
Worst Event: -21.74 units
Average Event: -0.68 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 18.01
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -35.26

Smurf Bets: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 86 6.9 8% -4.3 / 67.5 (-6%) 11.2 / 18.5 (61%) 2 / 1 (67%) 2.30
2018 79.5 -4.5 -6% -4.5 / 79.5 (-6%) 1 / 1 (50%) -2.26
2017 135.5 -8.5 -6% -6.8 / 121 (-6%) -1.7 / 14.5 (-12%) 2 / 2 (50%) -2.12

Smurf Bets: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Smurf Bets: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 301 -6.1 -2% -15.7 / 268 (-6%) 9.5 / 33 (29%)

Smurf Bets: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 13 (25%) 10 77 % 96.00 2.93 0.23 3%
Slight Favorites 13 (25%) 6 46 % 65.00 -16.07 -1.24 -25%
Slight Underdogs 14 (26%) 7 50 % 70.00 3.30 0.24 5%
Big Underdogs 13 (25%) 3 23 % 37.00 -5.83 -0.45 -16%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 8 (15%) 4 50 % 40.00 -0.65 -0.08 -2%
Co-Main Event 7 (13%) 3 43 % 37.00 -6.87 -0.98 -19%
Position 3-5 15 (28%) 10 67 % 66.50 22.24 1.48 33%
6+ (Undercard) 22 (42%) 8 36 % 119.50 -33.24 -1.51 -28%

Smurf Bets: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (9%) 3 60 % 16.50 18.67 3.73 113%
Light Heavy 5 (9%) 1 20 % 24.50 -14.95 -2.99 -61%
Middleweight 3 (6%) 0 % 8.50 -8.50 -2.83 -100%
Welterweight 8 (15%) 3 38 % 38.50 -11.10 -1.39 -29%
Lightweight 12 (23%) 6 50 % 73.50 -10.02 -0.84 -14%
Featherweight 3 (6%) 2 67 % 18.00 1.84 0.61 10%
Bantamweight 7 (13%) 3 43 % 38.00 -14.77 -2.11 -39%
Flyweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 15.00 -1.36 -0.68 -9%
               
Women's Fights 8 (15%) 7 88 % 35.50 24.52 3.07 69%
Featherweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 5.00 1.75 1.75 35%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 5.00 2.86 2.86 57%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
Strawweight 5 (9%) 5 100 % 20.50 24.91 4.98 122%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
0 0 0 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (22%) 2 100 %
50-65% 2 (22%) 2 100 %
35-50% 2 (22%) 1 50 %
<35% chance 3 (33%) 0 0 %
9 5 56 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (56%) 4 80 % 1.85 2.40Pick was incorrect 1.36Pick was correct 2.3 (46%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (22%) 0 0 % 3.10 3.20Pick was incorrect 3.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (11%) 1 100 % 1.24 1.24Pick was correct 1.24Pick was incorrect 0.2 (24%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (11%) 0 0 % 11.00 11.00Pick was incorrect 11.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
9 5 56 % 2.12     -0.5 (-5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Smurf Bets's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Nov UFC 217 16 0.7 5% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,007.32
11th Nov UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 30 13.8 46% $10.07 $1,007.32 $1,145.88
18th Nov UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 49.5 -21.7 -44% $11.46 $1,145.88 $896.78
31st Dec UFC 219 40 -1.2 -3% $8.97 $896.78 $885.69
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 51 -12.3 -24% $8.86 $885.69 $776.85
6th Oct UFC 229 28.5 7.8 27% $7.77 $776.85 $837.18
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 37.5 1.3 4% $8.37 $837.18 $848.48
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 10 8.9 89% $8.48 $848.48 $923.94
2nd Mar UFC 235 38.5 -3.4 -9% $9.24 $923.94 $892.95


ROI % from starting bank balance: -10.71% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Smurf Bets: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Cody Stamann Alejandro Perez 1.55 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Ben Askren Robbie Lawler 1.41 5 Sub, R1 (3:20) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '19 Thiago Santos Jan Blachowicz 1.91 5 TKO, R3 (0:39) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '19 Nik Lentz Scott Holtzman 2.55 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '19 Kron Gracie Alex Caceres 1.36 5 Sub, R1 (2:6) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '19 Cynthia Calvillo Cortney Casey 1.31 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '19 Francis Ngannou Cain Velasquez 2.55 5 TKO, R1 (0:26) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '18 Derrick Lewis Alexander Volkov 2.40 5 TKO, R3 (4:49) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '18 Michelle Waterson Felice Herrig 2.00 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '18 Aspen Ladd Tonya Evinger 1.57 5 TKO, R1 (3:26) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '18 Tony Ferguson Anthony Pettis 1.28 5 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '18 Gregor Gillespie Vinc Pichel 1.26 10 Sub, R2 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '18 Belal Muhammad Chance Rencountre 1.26 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jun '18 Desmond Green Gleison Tibau 1.34 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '17 Cristiane Justino Holly Holm 1.35 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '17 Carla Esparza Cynthia Calvillo 3.45 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '17 Myles Jury Rick Glenn 1.59 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '17 Nadia Kassem Alex Chambers 1.63 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '17 Ryan Benoit Ashkan Mokhtarian 1.36 10 TKO, R3 (2:38) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '17 Marlon Moraes John Dodson 2.00 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '19 Jeremy Stephens Zabit Magomedsharipov 3.25 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Cody Garbrandt Pedro Munhoz 1.71 5 TKO, R1 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Tyron Woodley Kamaru Usman 1.65 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Anthony Smith Jon Jones 7.60 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '19 Renan Barao Luke Sanders 2.55 5 TKO, R2 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '19 Bryan Barberena Vicente Luque 4.50 2.5 TKO, R3 (4:54) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '19 James Vick Paul Felder 1.87 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '19 Jimmie Rivera Aljamain Sterling 1.66 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '18 Jalin Turner Vicente Luque 7.00 1 TKO, R1 (3:52) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '18 Alan Patrick Scott Holtzman 3.65 2.5 TKO, R3 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '18 Conor McGregor Khabib Nurmagomedov 2.65 5 Sub, R4 (3:2) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '18 Gian Villante Sam Alvey 2.30 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '18 Jimmie Rivera Marlon Moraes 2.00 11 TKO, R1 (0:33) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '17 Marc Diakiese Daniel Hooker 1.57 5 Sub, R3 (0:42) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '17 Louis Smolka Matheus Nicolau 3.55 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '17 Khalil Rountree Michal Oleksiejczuk 1.33 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '17 Edson Barboza Khabib Nurmagomedov 3.70 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '17 Tim Means Belal Muhammad 1.50 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '17 Rashad Coulter Tai Tuivasa 2.60 2 TKO, R1 (4:35) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '17 Marcin Tybura Fabricio Werdum 3.75 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Smurf Bets: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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