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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 4703
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1816

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Smurf Bets

Smurf Bets (SmurfBets)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Smurf Bets

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 56 (53%) Right 48 (53%) Right 8 (53%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 50 (47%) Wrong 43 (47%) Wrong 7 (47%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 1.96 Avg Odds 1.93 Avg Odds 2.15 Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 533.0 Units Bet 472.0 Units Bet 61.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 5.03 Avg Bet 5.19 Avg Bet 4.07 Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 12.33 Units Profit -3.56 Units Profit 15.89 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 2% ROI % -1% ROI % 26% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

Smurf Bets: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 10 3.9 39% 3.9 / 10 (39%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 10 -2.4 -24% -2.4 / 10 (-24%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 42.5 -0.1 -0% -0.1 / 42.5 (-0%)
30th May '20 UFC Fight Night 172 52.5 17.4 33% 17.4 / 52.5 (33%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 52 -7.4 -14% -5.3 / 37 (-14%) -2.1 / 15 (-14%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 65 7.0 11% -1.4 / 52 (-3%) 8.5 / 13 (65%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 38.5 -3.4 -9% -10.2 / 25 (-41%) 6.9 / 13.5 (51%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 10 8.9 89% 4.5 / 5 (91%) 4.3 / 5 (87%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 37.5 1.3 4% 1.3 / 37.5 (4%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 28.5 7.8 27% 7.8 / 28.5 (27%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 51 -12.3 -24% -12.3 / 51 (-24%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 40 -1.2 -3% -3.1 / 35 (-9%) 1.8 / 5 (36%)
18th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 49.5 -21.7 -44% -18.2 / 40 (-46%) -3.5 / 9.5 (-37%)
11th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 30 13.8 46% 13.8 / 30 (46%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 16 0.7 5% 0.7 / 16 (5%)


Winning Events: 8 (53%)
Losing Events: 7 (47%)

Average Staked Per Event: 35.53 units
Most Staked On One Event: 65.00 units
Best Event: 17.38 units
Worst Event: -21.74 units
Average Event: 0.82 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 18.01
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -35.26

Smurf Bets: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 62.5 1.4 2% 1.4 / 62.5 (2%) 1 / 2 (33%) 0.47
2020 52.5 17.4 33% 17.4 / 52.5 (33%) 1 / 0 (100%) 17.38
2019 203 6.6 3% -11.0 / 156.5 (-7%) 17.6 / 46.5 (38%) 3 / 2 (60%) 1.31
2018 79.5 -4.5 -6% -4.5 / 79.5 (-6%) 1 / 1 (50%) -2.26
2017 135.5 -8.5 -6% -6.8 / 121 (-6%) -1.7 / 14.5 (-12%) 2 / 2 (50%) -2.12

Smurf Bets: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Smurf Bets: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 533 12.3 2% -3.6 / 472 (-1%) 15.9 / 61 (26%)

Smurf Bets: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 26 (29%) 22 85 % 188.00 24.75 0.95 13%
Slight Favorites 24 (26%) 13 54 % 120.00 -9.04 -0.38 -8%
Slight Underdogs 20 (22%) 9 45 % 95.00 2.80 0.14 3%
Big Underdogs 21 (23%) 4 19 % 69.00 -22.08 -1.05 -32%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 14 (15%) 10 71 % 86.00 19.92 1.42 23%
Co-Main Event 11 (12%) 6 55 % 68.00 -1.83 -0.17 -3%
Position 3-5 24 (26%) 14 58 % 106.50 19.93 0.83 19%
6+ (Undercard) 41 (45%) 17 41 % 206.50 -44.44 -1.08 -22%

Smurf Bets: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (7%) 4 67 % 21.50 23.22 3.87 108%
Light Heavy 7 (8%) 3 43 % 40.50 -8.32 -1.19 -21%
Middleweight 8 (9%) 2 25 % 31.00 -9.14 -1.14 -29%
Welterweight 15 (16%) 6 40 % 68.00 -12.13 -0.81 -18%
Lightweight 17 (19%) 9 53 % 96.50 -10.31 -0.61 -11%
Featherweight 9 (10%) 5 56 % 53.00 -4.65 -0.52 -9%
Bantamweight 9 (10%) 5 56 % 48.00 -8.38 -0.93 -17%
Flyweight 4 (4%) 1 25 % 25.00 -11.36 -2.84 -45%
               
Women's Fights 16 (18%) 13 81 % 88.50 37.50 2.34 42%
Featherweight 3 (3%) 3 100 % 26.00 7.25 2.42 28%
Bantamweight 3 (3%) 3 100 % 20.00 13.63 4.54 68%
Flyweight 3 (3%) 0 % 12.00 -12.00 -4.00 -100%
Strawweight 7 (8%) 7 100 % 30.50 28.62 4.09 94%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 4 (27%) 4 100 %
50-65% 3 (20%) 2 67 %
35-50% 3 (20%) 2 67 %
<35% chance 5 (33%) 0 0 %
15 8 53 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 7 (47%) 6 86 % 1.68 2.40Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was correct 3.0 (43%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (33%) 1 20 % 2.82 4.30Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was incorrect -2.2 (-43%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (7%) 1 100 % 1.24 1.24Pick was correct 1.24Pick was incorrect 0.2 (24%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (13%) 0 0 % 9.23 11.00Pick was incorrect 7.95Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
15 8 53 % 2.15     -0.9 (-6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Smurf Bets's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Nov UFC 217 16 0.7 5% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,007.32
11th Nov UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 30 13.8 46% $10.07 $1,007.32 $1,145.88
18th Nov UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 49.5 -21.7 -44% $11.46 $1,145.88 $896.78
31st Dec UFC 219 40 -1.2 -3% $8.97 $896.78 $885.69
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 51 -12.3 -24% $8.86 $885.69 $776.85
6th Oct UFC 229 28.5 7.8 27% $7.77 $776.85 $837.18
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 37.5 1.3 4% $8.37 $837.18 $848.48
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 10 8.9 89% $8.48 $848.48 $923.94
2nd Mar UFC 235 38.5 -3.4 -9% $9.24 $923.94 $892.95
6th Jul UFC 239 65 7.0 11% $8.93 $892.95 $955.63
27th Jul UFC 240 52 -7.4 -14% $9.56 $955.63 $885.32
30th May UFC Fight Night 172 52.5 17.4 33% $8.85 $885.32 $1,039.16
2nd Jul UFC 276 42.5 -0.1 -0% $10.39 $1,039.16 $1,038.37
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 10 -2.4 -24% $10.38 $1,038.37 $1,013.08
30th Jul UFC 277 10 3.9 39% $10.13 $1,013.08 $1,052.81


ROI % from starting bank balance: 5.28% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Smurf Bets: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '22 Amanda Nunes Julianna Pena 1.39 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '22 Rafael Fiziev Rafael dos Anjos 1.51 5 TKO, R5 (0:18) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '22 Israel Adesanya Jared Cannonier 1.22 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '22 Jalin Turner Brad Riddell 1.73 5 Sub, R1 (0:45) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '22 Jim Miller Donald Cerrone 1.58 5 Sub, R2 (1:32) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '22 Ian Garry Gabriel Green 1.58 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Julija Stoliarenko Jessica-Rose Clark 2.37 5 Sub, R1 (0:42) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '20 Gilbert Burns Tyron Woodley 2.53 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '20 Augusto Sakai Blagoy Ivanov 1.91 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. May '20 Mackenzie Dern Hannah Cifers 1.26 5 Sub, R1 (2:36) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '20 Roosevelt Roberts Brok Weaver 1.30 5 Sub, R2 (3:26) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '20 Jamahal Hill Klidson Farias de Abreu 1.87 5 TKO, R1 (1:51) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '20 Casey Kenney Louis Smolka 1.38 5 Sub, R1 (3:3) MMA Bookmaker
14. May '20 Chris Gutierrez Vincent Morales 1.90 5 TKO, R2 (4:27) MMA Bookmaker
15. May '20 Billy Quarantillo Spike Carlyle 1.83 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '19 Hakeem Dawodu Yoshinori Horie 1.26 5 TKO, R3 (4:9) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '19 Cristiane Justino Felicia Spencer 1.24 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '19 Max Holloway Frankie Edgar 1.30 10 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '19 Jon Jones Thiago Santos 1.21 11 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '19 Amanda Nunes Holly Holm 1.28 11 TKO, R1 (4:10) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '22 Michael Johnson Jamie Mullarkey 3.00 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '22 Max Holloway Alex Volkanovski 2.70 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '22 Sean Strickland Alex Pereira 1.91 5 TKO, R1 (2:36) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '22 Brad Tavares Dricus Du Plessis 2.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '22 Urijah Hall Andre Muniz 3.85 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '20 Gabriel Green Daniel Rodriguez 3.75 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. May '20 Antonina Shevchenko Katlyn Chookagian 1.77 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '20 Tim Elliott Brandon Royval 1.67 5 Sub, R2 (3:18) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '19 Alexis Davis Viviane Araujo 2.71 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '19 Niko Price Geoff Neal 3.85 2 TKO, R2 (2:39) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '19 Olivier Aubin-Mercier Arman Tsarukyan 2.60 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '19 Alexandre Pantoja Deiveson Figueiredo 1.80 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '19 Ben Askren Jorge Masvidal 1.51 5 TKO, R1 (0:5) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '19 Diego Sanchez Michael Chiesa 4.30 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '19 Gilbert Melendez Arnold Allen 3.90 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '19 Alejandro Perez Yadong Song 2.90 5 TKO, R1 (2:4) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '19 Jeremy Stephens Zabit Magomedsharipov 3.25 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '19 Cody Garbrandt Pedro Munhoz 1.71 5 TKO, R1 (4:52) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '19 Tyron Woodley Kamaru Usman 1.65 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '19 Anthony Smith Jon Jones 7.60 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Smurf Bets: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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