| |
MMA Handicapper Stats: BigMarley3 |
|
|
BigMarley3 : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 37 (62%)
Losing Events: 23 (38%)
Average Staked Per Event: 13.36 units
Most Staked On One Event: 37.10 units
Best Event: 33.65 units
Worst Event: -19.82 units
Average Event: 2.67 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 8, Units: 80.08
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -24.80 |
BigMarley3 : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2019 |
128.98 |
33.5 |
26% |
19.9 / 59.98 (33%) |
0.3 / 9 (3%) |
13.3 / 60 (22%) |
5 / 4 (56%) |
3.72 |
| 2018 |
617.95 |
128.5 |
21% |
64.3 / 382.8 (17%) |
-24.7 / 68.26 (-36%) |
88.9 / 166.89 (53%) |
26 / 15 (63%) |
3.13 |
| 2017 |
54.79 |
-1.6 |
-3% |
8.5 / 37.35 (23%) |
-2.7 / 7.4 (-37%) |
-7.4 / 10.04 (-73%) |
6 / 4 (60%) |
-0.16 |
|
BigMarley3 : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
|
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
BigMarley3 : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
780.04 |
148.3 |
19% |
86.5 / 475.13 (18%) |
-27.1 / 84.66 (-32%) |
89.0 / 220.25 (40%) |
|
Bellator |
21.68 |
12.1 |
56% |
6.3 / 5 (125%) |
|
5.8 / 16.68 (35%) |
|
BigMarley3 : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
7 (5%) |
6 |
86 % |
42.00 |
11.96 |
1.71 |
28% |
| Slight Favorites |
58 (42%) |
30 |
52 % |
234.58 |
-10.55 |
-0.18 |
-4% |
| Slight Underdogs |
56 (41%) |
28 |
50 % |
169.05 |
61.35 |
1.10 |
36% |
| Big Underdogs |
17 (12%) |
7 |
41 % |
34.50 |
29.95 |
1.76 |
87% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
22 (16%) |
14 |
64 % |
66.68 |
40.16 |
1.83 |
60% |
| Co-Main Event |
24 (17%) |
12 |
50 % |
75.20 |
-1.00 |
-0.04 |
-1% |
| Position 3-5 |
28 (20%) |
14 |
50 % |
110.56 |
11.20 |
0.40 |
10% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
64 (46%) |
31 |
48 % |
227.69 |
42.36 |
0.66 |
19% |
|
BigMarley3 : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
9 (7%) |
7 |
78 % |
24.17 |
26.08 |
2.90 |
108% |
| Light Heavy |
10 (7%) |
6 |
60 % |
36.09 |
-3.97 |
-0.40 |
-11% |
| Middleweight |
11 (8%) |
3 |
27 % |
44.95 |
-0.70 |
-0.06 |
-2% |
| Welterweight |
24 (17%) |
15 |
63 % |
81.36 |
26.48 |
1.10 |
33% |
| Lightweight |
24 (17%) |
10 |
42 % |
77.22 |
-3.19 |
-0.13 |
-4% |
| Featherweight |
17 (12%) |
7 |
41 % |
75.36 |
3.43 |
0.20 |
5% |
| Bantamweight |
14 (10%) |
6 |
43 % |
40.64 |
4.86 |
0.35 |
12% |
| Flyweight |
7 (5%) |
6 |
86 % |
25.00 |
22.90 |
3.27 |
92% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
22 (16%) |
11 |
50 % |
75.34 |
16.84 |
0.77 |
22% |
| Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
3.00 |
7.20 |
7.20 |
240% |
| Bantamweight |
3 (2%) |
2 |
67 % |
11.90 |
6.75 |
2.25 |
57% |
| Bantamweight |
6 (4%) |
2 |
33 % |
14.50 |
-2.47 |
-0.41 |
-17% |
| Strawweight |
12 (9%) |
6 |
50 % |
45.94 |
5.36 |
0.45 |
12% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
79 (87%) |
68 |
86 % |
| Slight Favorites |
12 (13%) |
7 |
58 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
91 |
75 |
82 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
4 (16%) |
4 |
100 % |
| 50-65% |
8 (32%) |
3 |
38 % |
| 35-50% |
3 (12%) |
1 |
33 % |
| <35% chance |
10 (40%) |
1 |
10 % |
|
25 |
9 |
36 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail BigMarley3 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 28th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo |
2.6 |
2.0 |
77% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,020.00 |
| 3rd Nov |
Bellator 186 |
1.68 |
1.0 |
60% |
|
$10.20 |
$1,020.00 |
$1,030.22 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC 217 |
5 |
1.9 |
38% |
|
$10.30 |
$1,030.22 |
$1,049.79 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia |
7.1 |
5.2 |
73% |
|
$10.50 |
$1,049.79 |
$1,104.38 |
| 18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney |
7.6 |
-0.2 |
-3% |
|
$11.04 |
$1,104.38 |
$1,102.18 |
| 25th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum |
7.35 |
5.0 |
68% |
|
$11.02 |
$1,102.18 |
$1,157.28 |
| 2nd Dec |
UFC 218 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.57 |
$1,157.28 |
$1,041.56 |
| 9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night 123 |
4.4 |
0.0 |
0% |
|
$10.42 |
$1,041.56 |
$1,041.56 |
| 16th Dec |
UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos |
3.4 |
-0.8 |
-25% |
|
$10.42 |
$1,041.56 |
$1,032.70 |
| 31st Dec |
UFC 219 |
5.66 |
-5.7 |
-100% |
|
$10.33 |
$1,032.70 |
$974.25 |
| 14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 124 |
3.16 |
0.5 |
17% |
|
$9.74 |
$974.25 |
$979.38 |
| 20th Jan |
UFC 220 |
10.5 |
-2.0 |
-19% |
|
$9.79 |
$979.38 |
$960.29 |
| 27th Jan |
UFC on Fox 27 |
4.96 |
4.0 |
81% |
|
$9.60 |
$960.29 |
$998.85 |
| 4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 125 |
8.8 |
4.1 |
47% |
|
$9.99 |
$998.85 |
$1,039.80 |
| 10th Feb |
UFC 221 |
3.2 |
2.0 |
63% |
|
$10.40 |
$1,039.80 |
$1,060.60 |
| 18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 126 |
8.6 |
1.1 |
13% |
|
$10.61 |
$1,060.60 |
$1,072.27 |
| 24th Feb |
UFC on Fox 28 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.72 |
$1,072.27 |
$1,029.38 |
| 3rd Mar |
UFC 222 |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.29 |
$1,029.38 |
$957.32 |
| 17th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 127 |
4.26 |
-4.3 |
-100% |
|
$9.57 |
$957.32 |
$916.54 |
| 7th Apr |
UFC 223 |
16 |
5.5 |
34% |
$120 |
$9.17 |
$916.54 |
$846.95 |
| 14th Apr |
UFC on Fox 29 |
14 |
-11.8 |
-84% |
$120 |
$8.47 |
$846.95 |
$627.01 |
| 21st Apr |
UFC Fight Night 128 |
13 |
-13.0 |
-100% |
$120 |
$6.27 |
$627.01 |
$425.50 |
| 28th Apr |
Bellator 198 |
5 |
6.3 |
125% |
$120 |
$4.25 |
$425.50 |
$332.09 |
| 12th May |
UFC 224 |
20.5 |
-6.9 |
-34% |
$120 |
$3.32 |
$332.09 |
$189.14 |
| 19th May |
UFC Fight Night 129 |
37.1 |
13.9 |
37% |
$120 |
$1.89 |
$189.14 |
$95.41 |
| 25th May |
Bellator 200 |
10 |
9.8 |
98% |
$120 |
$0.95 |
$95.41 |
$0.00 |
| Reloaded an additional $1000 |
| 27th May |
UFC Fight Night 130 |
33 |
27.1 |
82% |
$120 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,151.08 |
| 1st Jun |
UFC Fight Night 131 |
14.15 |
2.3 |
16% |
$120 |
$11.51 |
$1,151.08 |
$1,057.31 |
| 9th Jun |
UFC 225 |
29 |
18.7 |
65% |
$120 |
$10.57 |
$1,057.31 |
$1,135.49 |
| 23rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night 132 |
8 |
5.0 |
62% |
$120 |
$11.35 |
$1,135.49 |
$1,072.27 |
| 7th Jul |
TUF 27 Finale |
18 |
-9.3 |
-52% |
$120 |
$10.72 |
$1,072.27 |
$852.58 |
| 7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
14 |
-1.1 |
-8% |
$120 |
$8.53 |
$852.58 |
$722.78 |
| 14th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
6.75 |
5.9 |
88% |
$120 |
$7.23 |
$722.78 |
$645.68 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
18 |
-8.5 |
-47% |
$120 |
$6.46 |
$645.68 |
$471.09 |
| 28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
20.4 |
-1.2 |
-6% |
$120 |
$4.71 |
$471.09 |
$345.27 |
| 4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
27.2 |
-2.0 |
-8% |
$120 |
$3.45 |
$345.27 |
$218.19 |
| 25th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
22 |
10.6 |
48% |
$120 |
$2.18 |
$218.19 |
$121.27 |
| 8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
29 |
-5.6 |
-19% |
$120 |
$1.21 |
$121.27 |
$0.00 |
| Reloaded an additional $1000 |
| 15th Sep |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
10 |
10.4 |
104% |
$120 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$984.41 |
| 22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
12.5 |
0.8 |
6% |
$120 |
$9.84 |
$984.41 |
$871.86 |
| 6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
19.6 |
-8.0 |
-41% |
$120 |
$8.72 |
$871.86 |
$682.11 |
| 27th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
16.24 |
18.6 |
114% |
$120 |
$6.82 |
$682.11 |
$688.72 |
| 3rd Nov |
UFC 230 |
11.7 |
11.9 |
102% |
$120 |
$6.89 |
$688.72 |
$650.86 |
| 10th Nov |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
21.4 |
15.4 |
72% |
$120 |
$6.51 |
$650.86 |
$631.09 |
| 17th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 140 |
14.24 |
2.4 |
17% |
$120 |
$6.31 |
$631.09 |
$526.36 |
| 24th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 141 |
17.07 |
8.1 |
47% |
$120 |
$5.26 |
$526.36 |
$448.85 |
| 30th Nov |
TUF Finale |
13 |
3.2 |
24% |
$120 |
$4.49 |
$448.85 |
$343.06 |
| 1st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
12.02 |
14.9 |
124% |
$120 |
$3.43 |
$343.06 |
$274.22 |
| 8th Dec |
UFC 231 |
28.12 |
5.6 |
20% |
$120 |
$2.74 |
$274.22 |
$169.64 |
| 15th Dec |
Fight Night Milwaukee |
12.6 |
-12.6 |
-100% |
$120 |
$1.70 |
$169.64 |
$28.26 |
| 29th Dec |
UFC 232 |
19.88 |
17.7 |
89% |
$120 |
$0.28 |
$28.26 |
$0.00 |
| Reloaded an additional $1000 |
| 19th Jan |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
13.22 |
11.1 |
84% |
$120 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$991.30 |
| 26th Jan |
Bellator Los Angeles |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$120 |
$9.91 |
$991.30 |
$821.74 |
| 2nd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 144 |
21.64 |
-4.8 |
-22% |
$120 |
$8.22 |
$821.74 |
$661.96 |
| 9th Feb |
UFC 234 |
18 |
8.8 |
49% |
$120 |
$6.62 |
$661.96 |
$600.47 |
| 17th Feb |
UFC on ESPN 1 |
19.82 |
-19.8 |
-100% |
$120 |
$6.00 |
$600.47 |
$361.46 |
| 23rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 145 |
8 |
6.5 |
81% |
$120 |
$3.61 |
$361.46 |
$264.95 |
| 2nd Mar |
UFC 235 |
16.3 |
33.6 |
206% |
$120 |
$2.65 |
$264.95 |
$234.10 |
| 9th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 146 |
9 |
-6.9 |
-77% |
$120 |
$2.34 |
$234.10 |
$97.83 |
| 16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 147 |
18 |
10.0 |
56% |
$120 |
$0.98 |
$97.83 |
$0.00 |
| Reloaded an additional $1000 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -500.00% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
BigMarley3 : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Mar '19 |
 Marc Diakiese |
Joseph Duffy |
2.80 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 2. |
Mar '19 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
Curtis Millender |
2.05 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:35) |
|
|
| 3. |
Mar '19 |
Diego Sanchez |
Mickey Gall |
3.55 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (4:13) |
|
|
| 4. |
Mar '19 |
Johnny Walker |
Misha Cirkunov |
1.77 |
1.3 |
TKO, R1 (0:36) |
|
|
| 5. |
Mar '19 |
Kamaru Usman |
Tyron Woodley |
2.65 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
| 6. |
Feb '19 |
Ricky Simon |
Rani Yahya |
1.88 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 7. |
Feb '19 |
Charles Oliveira |
David Teymur |
2.10 |
8 |
Sub, R2 (0:55) |
|
|
| 8. |
Jan '19 |
Paige VanZant |
Rachael Ostovich |
1.67 |
1.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:50) |
|
|
| 9. |
Jan '19 |
Donald Cerrone |
Alexander Hernandez |
2.65 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (3:43) |
|
|
| 10. |
Jan '19 |
Henry Cejudo |
T.J. Dillashaw |
2.78 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:32) |
|
|
| 11. |
Dec '18 |
Amanda Nunes |
Cristiane Justino |
3.40 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (0:51) |
|
|
| 12. |
Dec '18 |
Gunnar Nelson |
Alex Oliveira |
1.81 |
4.96 |
Sub, R2 (4:17) |
|
|
| 13. |
Dec '18 |
Gilbert Burns |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
2.00 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 14. |
Dec '18 |
Max Holloway |
Brian Ortega |
1.86 |
1.16 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
|
|
| 15. |
Dec '18 |
Max Holloway |
Brian Ortega |
1.86 |
10 |
TKO, R4 (5:0) |
|
|
| 16. |
Dec '18 |
Mauricio Rua |
Tyson Pedro |
4.70 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:43) |
|
|
| 17. |
Dec '18 |
Wilson Reis |
Ben Nguyen |
2.30 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 18. |
Nov '18 |
Rashad Coulter |
Hu Yaozong |
1.78 |
1.29 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 19. |
Nov '18 |
Francis Ngannou |
Curtis Blaydes |
2.85 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (0:45) |
|
|
| 20. |
Nov '18 |
Ricardo Lamas |
Darren Elkins |
1.63 |
1.6 |
TKO, R3 (4:9) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Mar '19 |
John Phillips |
Jack Marshman |
2.50 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Mar '19 |
Gunnar Nelson |
Leon Edwards |
2.35 |
4 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Mar '19 |
Zak Ottow |
Alex Morono |
2.59 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (3:34) |
No |
|
|
| 4. |
Feb '19 |
Lucie Pudilova |
Liz Carmouche |
2.24 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Feb '19 |
Cain Velasquez |
Francis Ngannou |
1.55 |
1.82 |
TKO, R1 (0:26) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Feb '19 |
James Vick |
Paul Felder |
2.13 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Feb '19 |
Callan Potter |
Jalin Turner |
3.20 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:53) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Feb '19 |
Ricardo Ramos |
Said Nurmagomedov |
1.78 |
1.29 |
TKO, R1 (2:28) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Feb '19 |
Renato Moicano |
Jose Aldo |
1.68 |
7.35 |
TKO, R2 (0:44) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Jan '19 |
Te Edwards |
Dennis Bermudez |
1.81 |
3.72 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Dec '18 |
B.J. Penn |
Ryan Hall |
4.75 |
1 |
Sub, R1 (2:46) |
No |
|
|
| 12. |
Dec '18 |
Carlos Condit |
Michael Chiesa |
2.55 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (0:56) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Dec '18 |
Matthew Lopez |
Brad Katona |
2.62 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Dec '18 |
Eryk Anders |
Elias Theodorou |
2.04 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Dec '18 |
Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
Valentina Shevchenko |
4.00 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Nov '18 |
Alex Perez |
Joseph Benavidez |
1.80 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (4:19) |
No |
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| 17. |
Nov '18 |
Kenan Song |
Alex Morono |
1.91 |
5.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Nov '18 |
Poliana Botelho |
Cynthia Calvillo |
1.71 |
5.64 |
Sub, R1 (4:48) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Nov '18 |
Thiago Moises |
Beneil Dariush |
2.35 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Nov '18 |
Chris Weidman |
Ronaldo Souza |
1.59 |
1.7 |
TKO, R3 (2:46) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
BigMarley3 : Progress Chart |
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