 |
|
Total MMA Handicappers: 1432 Profitable MMA Handicappers: 577 |
| Handicapper Directory | MMA Betting Tips | MMA Stats | Betting Tools | MMA Betting Blog | Chat | *VIP* | Register |
| Leaderboard | Free UFC Betting Tips | Buy Picks | Past MMA Events | Help! |
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Profit / Loss by Organization |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Straight Pick Stats |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Main Event | 21 (17%) | 14 | 67 % | 64.86 | 41.98 | 2.00 | 65% |
| Co-Main Event | 19 (16%) | 10 | 53 % | 54.85 | 4.05 | 0.21 | 7% |
| Position 3-5 | 25 (20%) | 12 | 48 % | 98.56 | 0.75 | 0.03 | 1% |
| 6+ (Undercard) | 57 (47%) | 28 | 49 % | 215.10 | 37.15 | 0.65 | 17% |
by Weight Class
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Heavyweight | 8 (7%) | 7 | 88 % | 22.35 | 27.90 | 3.49 | 125% |
| Light Heavy | 9 (7%) | 5 | 56 % | 34.79 | -4.97 | -0.55 | -14% |
| Middleweight | 10 (8%) | 3 | 30 % | 43.95 | 0.30 | 0.03 | 1% |
| Welterweight | 19 (16%) | 12 | 63 % | 66.36 | 19.08 | 1.00 | 29% |
| Lightweight | 20 (16%) | 8 | 40 % | 62.22 | -13.39 | -0.67 | -22% |
| Featherweight | 16 (13%) | 7 | 44 % | 68.01 | 10.78 | 0.67 | 16% |
| Bantamweight | 12 (10%) | 5 | 42 % | 36.35 | 3.49 | 0.29 | 10% |
| Flyweight | 7 (6%) | 6 | 86 % | 25.00 | 22.90 | 3.27 | 92% |
| Women's Fights | 21 (17%) | 11 | 52 % | 74.34 | 17.84 | 0.85 | 24% |
| Featherweight | 1 (1%) | 1 | 100 % | 3.00 | 7.20 | 7.20 | 240% |
| Bantamweight | 3 (2%) | 2 | 67 % | 11.90 | 6.75 | 2.25 | 57% |
| Bantamweight | 5 (4%) | 2 | 40 % | 13.50 | -1.47 | -0.29 | -11% |
| Strawweight | 12 (10%) | 6 | 50 % | 45.94 | 5.36 | 0.45 | 12% |
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)
Straight picks within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| Big Favorites | 63 (90%) | 54 | 86 % |
| Slight Favorites | 7 (10%) | 5 | 71 % |
| Slight Underdogs | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| Big Underdogs | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 70 | 59 | 84 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| >65% chance | 4 (17%) | 4 | 100 % |
| 50-65% | 8 (33%) | 3 | 38 % |
| 35-50% | 3 (13%) | 1 | 33 % |
| <35% chance | 9 (38%) | 1 | 11 % |
| 24 | 9 | 38 % |
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
| Prop Type | Picks | Correct | % Correct | Avg Odds |
Longest Odds |
Shortest Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) | 2 (8%) | 1 | 50 % | 1.59 | 1.65 |
1.54 |
-0.4 (-18%) |
| Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) | 4 (17%) | 2 | 50 % | 1.90 | 2.20 |
1.74 |
-0.3 (-8%) |
| Goes to Decision | 3 (13%) | 3 | 100 % | 1.35 | 1.51 |
1.27 |
1.1 (36%) |
| Does not go to Decision | 1 (4%) | 0 | 0 % | 1.71 | 1.71 |
1.71 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
| Fight Doesn't Start Round X | 1 (4%) | 1 | 100 % | 1.26 | 1.26 |
1.26 |
0.3 (26%) |
| X Wins by KO | 5 (21%) | 1 | 20 % | 4.87 | 7.50 |
3.75 |
-0.7 (-15%) |
| X Wins by Sub | 2 (8%) | 0 | 0 % | 3.86 | 4.75 |
3.25 |
-2.0 (-100%) |
| X Wins by Decision | 1 (4%) | 0 | 0 % | 6.75 | 6.75 |
6.75 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
| Others | 5 (21%) | 1 | 20 % | 2.21 | 3.39 |
1.74 |
-2.2 (-43%) |
| 24 | 9 | 38 % | 2.20 | -6.2 (-26%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.
Tail handicapper's bets
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date | Event | Bet | Won | ROI | Fee | 1 unit = | Start | End |
| 28th Oct | UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo | 2.6 | 2.0 | 77% | $10.00 | $1,000.00 | $1,020.00 | |
| 3rd Nov | Bellator 186 | 1.68 | 1.0 | 60% | $10.20 | $1,020.00 | $1,030.22 | |
| 4th Nov | UFC 217 | 5 | 1.9 | 38% | $10.30 | $1,030.22 | $1,049.79 | |
| 11th Nov | UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia | 7.1 | 5.2 | 73% | $10.50 | $1,049.79 | $1,104.38 | |
| 18th Nov | UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney | 7.6 | -0.2 | -3% | $11.04 | $1,104.38 | $1,102.18 | |
| 25th Nov | UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum | 7.35 | 5.0 | 68% | $11.02 | $1,102.18 | $1,157.28 | |
| 2nd Dec | UFC 218 | 10 | -10.0 | -100% | $11.57 | $1,157.28 | $1,041.56 | |
| 9th Dec | UFC Fight Night 123 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0% | $10.42 | $1,041.56 | $1,041.56 | |
| 16th Dec | UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos | 3.4 | -0.8 | -25% | $10.42 | $1,041.56 | $1,032.70 | |
| 31st Dec | UFC 219 | 5.66 | -5.7 | -100% | $10.33 | $1,032.70 | $974.25 | |
| 14th Jan | UFC Fight Night 124 | 3.16 | 0.5 | 17% | $9.74 | $974.25 | $979.38 | |
| 20th Jan | UFC 220 | 10.5 | -2.0 | -19% | $9.79 | $979.38 | $960.29 | |
| 27th Jan | UFC on Fox 27 | 4.96 | 4.0 | 81% | $9.60 | $960.29 | $998.85 | |
| 4th Feb | UFC Fight Night 125 | 8.8 | 4.1 | 47% | $9.99 | $998.85 | $1,039.80 | |
| 10th Feb | UFC 221 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 63% | $10.40 | $1,039.80 | $1,060.60 | |
| 18th Feb | UFC Fight Night 126 | 8.6 | 1.1 | 13% | $10.61 | $1,060.60 | $1,072.27 | |
| 24th Feb | UFC on Fox 28 | 4 | -4.0 | -100% | $10.72 | $1,072.27 | $1,029.38 | |
| 3rd Mar | UFC 222 | 7 | -7.0 | -100% | $10.29 | $1,029.38 | $957.32 | |
| 17th Mar | UFC Fight Night 127 | 4.26 | -4.3 | -100% | $9.57 | $957.32 | $916.54 | |
| 7th Apr | UFC 223 | 16 | 5.5 | 34% | $120 | $9.17 | $916.54 | $846.95 |
| 14th Apr | UFC on Fox 29 | 14 | -11.8 | -84% | $120 | $8.47 | $846.95 | $627.01 |
| 21st Apr | UFC Fight Night 128 | 13 | -13.0 | -100% | $120 | $6.27 | $627.01 | $425.50 |
| 28th Apr | Bellator 198 | 5 | 6.3 | 125% | $120 | $4.25 | $425.50 | $332.09 |
| 12th May | UFC 224 | 20.5 | -6.9 | -34% | $120 | $3.32 | $332.09 | $189.14 |
| 19th May | UFC Fight Night 129 | 37.1 | 13.9 | 37% | $120 | $1.89 | $189.14 | $95.41 |
| 25th May | Bellator 200 | 10 | 9.8 | 98% | $120 | $0.95 | $95.41 | $0.00 |
| Reloaded an additional $1000 | ||||||||
| 27th May | UFC Fight Night 130 | 33 | 27.1 | 82% | $120 | $10.00 | $1,000.00 | $1,151.08 |
| 1st Jun | UFC Fight Night 131 | 14.15 | 2.3 | 16% | $120 | $11.51 | $1,151.08 | $1,057.31 |
| 9th Jun | UFC 225 | 29 | 18.7 | 65% | $120 | $10.57 | $1,057.31 | $1,135.49 |
| 23rd Jun | UFC Fight Night 132 | 8 | 5.0 | 62% | $120 | $11.35 | $1,135.49 | $1,072.27 |
| 7th Jul | TUF 27 Finale | 18 | -9.3 | -52% | $120 | $10.72 | $1,072.27 | $852.58 |
| 7th Jul | UFC 226 | 14 | -1.1 | -8% | $120 | $8.53 | $852.58 | $722.78 |
| 14th Jul | UFC Fight Night 133 | 6.75 | 5.9 | 88% | $120 | $7.23 | $722.78 | $645.68 |
| 22nd Jul | UFC Fight Night 134 | 18 | -8.5 | -47% | $120 | $6.46 | $645.68 | $471.09 |
| 28th Jul | UFC on Fox 30 | 20.4 | -1.2 | -6% | $120 | $4.71 | $471.09 | $345.27 |
| 4th Aug | UFC 227 | 27.2 | -2.0 | -8% | $120 | $3.45 | $345.27 | $218.19 |
| 25th Aug | UFC Fight Night 135 | 22 | 10.6 | 48% | $120 | $2.18 | $218.19 | $121.27 |
| 8th Sep | UFC 228 | 29 | -5.6 | -19% | $120 | $1.21 | $121.27 | $0.00 |
| Reloaded an additional $1000 | ||||||||
| 15th Sep | UFC FIght Night Moscow | 10 | 10.4 | 104% | $120 | $10.00 | $1,000.00 | $984.41 |
| 22nd Sep | UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo | 12.5 | 0.8 | 6% | $120 | $9.84 | $984.41 | $871.86 |
| 6th Oct | UFC 229 | 19.6 | -8.0 | -41% | $120 | $8.72 | $871.86 | $682.11 |
| 27th Oct | UFC Fight Night 138 | 16.24 | 18.6 | 114% | $120 | $6.82 | $682.11 | $688.72 |
| 3rd Nov | UFC 230 | 11.7 | 11.9 | 102% | $120 | $6.89 | $688.72 | $650.86 |
| 10th Nov | UFC Fight Night Denver | 21.4 | 15.4 | 72% | $120 | $6.51 | $650.86 | $631.09 |
| 17th Nov | UFC Fight Night 140 | 14.24 | 2.4 | 17% | $120 | $6.31 | $631.09 | $526.36 |
| 24th Nov | UFC Fight Night 141 | 17.07 | 8.1 | 47% | $120 | $5.26 | $526.36 | $448.85 |
| 30th Nov | TUF Finale | 13 | 3.2 | 24% | $120 | $4.49 | $448.85 | $343.06 |
| 1st Dec | UFC Fight Night 142 | 12.02 | 14.9 | 124% | $120 | $3.43 | $343.06 | $274.22 |
| 8th Dec | UFC 231 | 28.12 | 5.6 | 20% | $120 | $2.74 | $274.22 | $169.64 |
| 15th Dec | Fight Night Milwaukee | 12.6 | -12.6 | -100% | $120 | $1.70 | $169.64 | $28.26 |
| 29th Dec | UFC 232 | 19.88 | 17.7 | 89% | $120 | $0.28 | $28.26 | $0.00 |
| Reloaded an additional $1000 | ||||||||
| 19th Jan | UFC on ESPN+ 1 | 13.22 | 11.1 | 84% | $120 | $10.00 | $1,000.00 | $991.30 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -300.87% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.
Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | |||
| 1. | Jan '19 | Paige VanZant | Rachael Ostovich | 1.67 | 1.5 | Sub, R2 (1:50) | 
|
|
| 2. | Jan '19 |  Donald Cerrone |
Alexander Hernandez | 2.65 | 3 | TKO, R2 (3:43) |
|
|
| 3. | Jan '19 | Henry Cejudo |
T.J. Dillashaw | 2.78 | 5 | TKO, R1 (0:32) | 
|
|
| 4. | Dec '18 | Amanda Nunes |
Cristiane Justino | 3.40 | 3 | TKO, R1 (0:51) |
|
|
| 5. | Dec '18 | Gunnar Nelson |
Alex Oliveira | 1.81 | 4.96 | Sub, R2 (4:17) |
|
|
| 6. | Dec '18 | Gilbert Burns |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier | 2.00 | 2 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 7. | Dec '18 | Max Holloway |
Brian Ortega | 1.86 | 1.16 | TKO, R4 (5:0) |
|
|
| 8. | Dec '18 | Max Holloway |
Brian Ortega | 1.86 | 10 | TKO, R4 (5:0) |
|
|
| 9. | Dec '18 | Mauricio Rua | Tyson Pedro | 4.70 | 1 | TKO, R3 (0:43) |
|
|
| 10. | Dec '18 | Wilson Reis |
Ben Nguyen | 2.30 | 4 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 11. | Nov '18 | Rashad Coulter | Hu Yaozong | 1.78 | 1.29 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 12. | Nov '18 | Francis Ngannou |
Curtis Blaydes | 2.85 | 3 | TKO, R1 (0:45) |
|
|
| 13. | Nov '18 | Ricardo Lamas | Darren Elkins | 1.63 | 1.6 | TKO, R3 (4:9) |
|
|
| 14. | Nov '18 | Ashley Yoder |
Amanda Cooper | 1.67 | 7.5 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 15. | Nov '18 | Donald Cerrone |
Mike Perry | 2.80 | 3 | Sub, R1 (4:46) |
|
|
| 16. | Nov '18 | Germaine de Randamie |
Raquel Pennington | 1.61 | 9.9 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 17. | Nov '18 | Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
Adam Wieczorek | 3.10 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 18. | Oct '18 | Talita Bernardo | Sarah Moras | 2.75 | 1 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 19. | Oct '18 | Sean Strickland |
Nordine Taleb | 2.00 | 6 | TKO, R2 (3:10) | 
|
|
| 20. | Oct '18 | Anthony Smith |
Volkan Oezdemir | 2.61 | 3 | Sub, R3 (4:26) |
|
Last 20 Losses
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | Hedge? | |||
| 1. | Jan '19 | Te Edwards |
Dennis Bermudez | 1.81 | 3.72 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
|
|
| 2. | Dec '18 | B.J. Penn | Ryan Hall | 4.75 | 1 | Sub, R1 (2:46) | No |
|
|
| 3. | Dec '18 | Carlos Condit |
Michael Chiesa | 2.55 | 3 | Sub, R2 (0:56) | No |
|
|
| 4. | Dec '18 | Matthew Lopez | Brad Katona | 2.62 | 1 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
|
|
| 5. | Dec '18 | Eryk Anders |
Elias Theodorou | 2.04 | 2 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
|
|
| 6. | Dec '18 | Joanna Jedrzejczyk |
Valentina Shevchenko | 4.00 | 2 | U Decision (5 rounds) | No |
|
|
| 7. | Nov '18 | Alex Perez |
Joseph Benavidez | 1.80 | 5 | TKO, R1 (4:19) | No |
|
|
| 8. | Nov '18 | Kenan Song |
Alex Morono | 1.91 | 5.5 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
|
|
| 9. | Nov '18 | Poliana Botelho |
Cynthia Calvillo | 1.71 | 5.64 | Sub, R1 (4:48) | No |
|
|
| 10. | Nov '18 | Thiago Moises | Beneil Dariush | 2.35 | 1 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
|
|
| 11. | Nov '18 | Chris Weidman | Ronaldo Souza | 1.59 | 1.7 | TKO, R3 (2:46) | No |
|
|
| 12. | Oct '18 | Gray Maynard |
Nik Lentz | 2.80 | 6 | TKO, R2 (1:19) | No |
|
|
| 13. | Sep '18 | Hector Lombard | Thales Leites | 1.80 | 1.25 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
|
|
| 14. | Sep '18 | Luis Henrique |
Ryan Spann | 2.58 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
|
|
| 15. | Sep '18 | Alex White |
Jim Miller | 1.71 | 6 | Sub, R1 (1:29) | No |
|
|
| 16. | Sep '18 | Karolina Kowalkiewicz |
Jessica Andrade | 4.30 | 2 | TKO, R1 (1:58) | No |
|
|
| 17. | Sep '18 | Darren Till |
Tyron Woodley | 1.94 | 5 | Sub, R2 (4:19) | No |
|
|
| 18. | Aug '18 | Tim Williams |
Eryk Anders | 7.50 | 2 | TKO, R3 (4:42) | No |
|
|
| 19. | Aug '18 | Luke Sanders |
Rani Yahya | 2.00 | 5 | Sub, R1 (1:31) | No |
|
|
| 20. | Aug '18 | Matt Sayles | Sheymon da Silva Moraes | 2.05 | 1.05 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
Progress Chart
Chart
