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MMA Handicapper Stats: Highland Paddy

Highland Paddy (ScottishJock)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	14 (36%)	Right	12 (44%)	Right	1 (100%)	Right	1 (9%)
Wrong	25 (64%)	Wrong	15 (56%)	Wrong	0 (0%)	Wrong	10 (91%)
Avg Odds	2.34	Avg Odds	1.83	Avg Odds	3.00	Avg Odds	6.87
Units Bet	98.8	Units Bet	70.3	Units Bet	2.0	Units Bet	26.5
Avg Bet	2.53	Avg Bet	2.60	Avg Bet	2.00	Avg Bet	2.41
Units Profit	-33.36	Units Profit	-14.16	Units Profit	4.00	Units Profit	-23.20
ROI %	-34%	ROI %	-20%	ROI %	200%	ROI %	-88%

Highland Paddy: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
9th Dec '17	UFC Fight Night 123	11	-11.0	-100%	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17	UFC 218	33.5	-22.4	-67%	-5.9 / 17 (-35%)		-16.5 / 16.5 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17	TUF 26 Finale	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
25th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum	9.75	-0.9	-9%	-0.9 / 9.75 (-9%)
11th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia	14.5	1.5	10%	1.5 / 8.5 (18%)	4.0 / 2 (200%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
4th Nov '17	UFC 217	14.5	1.2	8%	3.7 / 12 (31%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
28th Oct '17	UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo	12.5	1.3	10%	1.5 / 9 (17%)		-0.2 / 3.5 (-6%)

Winning Events: 3 (43%)
Losing Events: 4 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.11 units
Most Staked On One Event: 33.50 units
Best Event: 1.51 units
Worst Event: -22.43 units
Average Event: -4.77 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 3.98
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -37.33

Highland Paddy: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2017	98.75	-33.4	-34%	-14.2 / 70.25 (-20%)	4.0 / 2 (200%)	-23.2 / 26.5 (-88%)	3 / 4 (43%)	-4.77

Highland Paddy: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Highland Paddy: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	98.75	-33.4	-34%	-14.2 / 70.25 (-20%)	4.0 / 2 (200%)	-23.2 / 26.5 (-88%)

Highland Paddy: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	8 (30%)	4	50 %	21.00	-8.02	-1.00	-38%
Slight Favorites	7 (26%)	4	57 %	27.00	-8.16	-1.17	-30%
Slight Underdogs	10 (37%)	4	40 %	20.75	3.53	0.35	17%
Big Underdogs	2 (7%)	0	0 %	1.50	-1.50	-0.75	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (11%)	0	0 %	17.50	-17.50	-5.83	-100%
Co-Main Event	5 (19%)	2	40 %	9.50	2.30	0.46	24%
Position 3-5	9 (33%)	5	56 %	20.75	3.94	0.44	19%
6+ (Undercard)	10 (37%)	5	50 %	22.50	-2.90	-0.29	-13%

Highland Paddy: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (7%)	1	50 %	3.25	2.00	1.00	62%
Middleweight	5 (19%)	2	40 %	9.50	-3.14	-0.63	-33%
Welterweight	5 (19%)	2	40 %	15.00	-5.92	-1.18	-39%
Lightweight	5 (19%)	3	60 %	16.00	-0.74	-0.15	-5%
Featherweight	3 (11%)	1	33 %	14.00	-8.37	-2.79	-60%
Bantamweight	3 (11%)	1	33 %	6.00	3.20	1.07	53%
Flyweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.50	0.60	0.60	40%

Women's Fights	3 (11%)	1	33 %	5.00	-1.78	-0.59	-36%
Bantamweight	1 (4%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Strawweight	2 (7%)	1	50 %	3.00	0.22	0.11	7%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	14 (44%)	8	57 %
Slight Favorites	6 (19%)	4	67 %
Slight Underdogs	11 (34%)	6	55 %
Big Underdogs	1 (3%)	0	0 %
	32	18	56 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	2 (29%)	1	50 %
35-50%	3 (43%)	1	33 %
<35% chance	2 (29%)	2	100 %
	7	4	57 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO	1 (14%)	1	100 %	1.83	1.83	1.83	0.8 (83%)
X Wins by Decision	4 (57%)	1	25 %	2.34	2.70	1.83	-1.6 (-41%)
Others	2 (29%)	2	100 %	3.00	3.00	3.00	4.0 (200%)
	7	4	57 %	2.40			3.2 (46%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Highland Paddy's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
28th Oct	UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo	12.5	1.3	10%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,012.86
4th Nov	UFC 217	14.5	1.2	8%		$10.13	$1,012.86	$1,024.81
11th Nov	UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia	14.5	1.5	10%		$10.25	$1,024.81	$1,040.29
25th Nov	UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum	9.75	-0.9	-9%		$10.40	$1,040.29	$1,030.87
2nd Dec	TUF 26 Finale	3	-3.0	-100%		$10.31	$1,030.87	$999.95
2nd Dec	UFC 218	33.5	-22.4	-67%		$10.00	$999.95	$775.66
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night 123	11	-11.0	-100%		$7.76	$775.66	$690.34

ROI % from starting bank balance: -30.97% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Highland Paddy: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '17	David Teymur	Drakkar Klose	1.53	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Dec '17	Paul Felder	Charles Oliveira	1.90	1.5	TKO, R2 (4:6)
3.	Dec '17	Henry Cejudo	Sergio Pettis	1.40	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Nov '17	Yan Xiaonan	Kailin Curran	1.61	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Nov '17	Wang Guan	Alex Caceres	2.25	2.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Nov '17	Clay Guida	Joe Lauzon	2.10	2.5	TKO, R1 (1:7)
7.	Nov '17	Cezar Ferreira	Nate Marquardt	1.44	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Nov '17	Matt Brown	Diego Sanchez	1.30	2	TKO, R1 (3:44)
9.	Nov '17	Stephen Thompson	Jorge Masvidal	1.62	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Nov '17	T.J. Dillashaw	Cody Garbrandt	2.30	4	TKO, R2 (2:41)
11.	Oct '17	Thiago Santos	Jack Hermansson	2.10	2	TKO, R1 (4:59)
12.	Oct '17	Francisco Trinaldo	Jim Miller	1.57	4	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '17	Cub Swanson	Brian Ortega	1.80	11	Sub, R2 (3:22)	No
2.	Dec '17	Alex Oliveira	Yancy Medeiros	1.40	5	TKO, R3 (2:3)	No
3.	Dec '17	Michelle Waterson	Tecia Torres	2.75	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Dec '17	Justin Gaethje	Eddie Alvarez	1.50	4	TKO, R3 (3:59)	No
5.	Dec '17	Eric Spicely	Gerald Meerschaert	2.62	1	TKO, R2 (2:18)	No
6.	Dec '17	Terrion Ware	Sean O'Malley	2.87	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Dec '17	Joe Soto	Brett Johns	2.50	1	Sub, R1 (0:30)	No
8.	Nov '17	Yanan Wu	Gina Mazany	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Nov '17	Muslim Salikhov	Alex Garcia	1.50	2	Sub, R2 (3:22)	No
10.	Nov '17	Chase Sherman	Shamil Abdurakhimov	2.10	0.75	TKO, R1 (1:24)	No
11.	Nov '17	Sheymon da Silva Moraes	Zabit Magomedsharipov	5.00	0.5	Sub, R3 (4:30)	No
12.	Nov '17	Anthony Pettis	Dustin Poirier	1.80	2.5	TKO, R3 (2:8)	No
13.	Nov '17	Michael Bisping	Georges St-Pierre	2.00	4	Sub, R3 (4:23)	No
14.	Oct '17	Demian Maia	Colby Covington	1.85	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Oct '17	Jack Marshman	Antonio Carlos Junior	1.24	1	Sub, R1 (4:30)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Highland Paddy: Progress Chart

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