MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6362
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2350

MMA Handicapper Stats: By Decision

By Decision (Bydecision)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	112 (50%)	Right	38 (44%)	Right	48 (51%)	Right	26 (63%)
Wrong	110 (50%)	Wrong	48 (56%)	Wrong	47 (49%)	Wrong	15 (37%)
Avg Odds	1.97	Avg Odds	1.91	Avg Odds	2.02	Avg Odds	1.97
Units Bet	323.0	Units Bet	128.8	Units Bet	139.5	Units Bet	54.7
Avg Bet	1.45	Avg Bet	1.50	Avg Bet	1.47	Avg Bet	1.33
Units Profit	-13.69	Units Profit	-17.18	Units Profit	1.62	Units Profit	1.86
ROI %	-4%	ROI %	-13%	ROI %	1%	ROI %	3%

By Decision: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
8th Sep '18	UFC 228	36.9	-5.9	-16%	-2.7 / 11.5 (-23%)	-1.3 / 17.4 (-7%)	-1.9 / 8 (-24%)
25th Aug '18	UFC Fight Night 135	24.5	2.8	11%	1.8 / 11 (16%)	3.0 / 11.5 (26%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
28th Jul '18	UFC on Fox 30	29.5	-0.5	-2%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	2.4 / 21 (11%)	-1.8 / 7.5 (-25%)
7th Jul '18	UFC 226	27.5	-2.3	-8%	5.5 / 6 (92%)	-5.3 / 19 (-28%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
7th Apr '18	UFC 223	9.25	-5.0	-54%	-5.7 / 6.75 (-85%)		0.7 / 2.5 (30%)
10th Feb '18	UFC 221	2.25	0.0	2%	-0.5 / 1.75 (-26%)	0.5 / 0.5 (100%)
27th Jan '18	UFC on Fox 27	8	-1.5	-19%	-1.1 / 4 (-26%)	-0.5 / 4 (-12%)
20th Jan '18	UFC 220	5.78	-5.8	-100%		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-0.8 / 0.78 (-100%)
14th Jan '18	UFC Fight Night 124	4	-0.2	-4%	-1.1 / 2 (-56%)	1.0 / 2 (48%)
31st Dec '17	UFC 219	9	-2.2	-25%	-3.2 / 4.75 (-67%)	0.9 / 4.25 (22%)
16th Dec '17	UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos	10	-1.8	-18%	-2.8 / 4.5 (-62%)	1.0 / 5.5 (19%)
9th Dec '17	UFC Fight Night 123	3.5	-0.1	-3%	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)	1.2 / 2.25 (51%)
2nd Dec '17	UFC 218	10.75	2.6	25%	1.3 / 6.25 (21%)	0.9 / 3.5 (25%)	0.4 / 1 (44%)
2nd Dec '17	TUF 26 Finale	1.5	-0.2	-12%	0.8 / 0.5 (165%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum	9.45	-2.6	-27%	-1.7 / 5 (-34%)	0.1 / 3.45 (4%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney	17.1	-2.8	-17%	-0.6 / 8.85 (-7%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)	2.3 / 3.75 (62%)
11th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia	33.25	8.5	25%	-2.2 / 12 (-18%)	0.9 / 14 (6%)	9.8 / 7.25 (135%)
4th Nov '17	UFC 217	28.42	0.3	1%	-0.9 / 12.9 (-7%)	3.8 / 0.5 (760%)	-2.6 / 15.02 (-17%)
21st Oct '17	UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk	15.08	-1.0	-6%	-2.5 / 6.5 (-38%)	0.4 / 6.92 (6%)	1.1 / 1.66 (67%)
20th Oct '17	Bellator 185	1.75	0.1	6%			0.1 / 1.75 (6%)
7th Oct '17	UFC 216	15.5	0.0	0%	0.5 / 7.25 (7%)	-0.5 / 8.25 (-5%)
22nd Sep '17	UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2	20	3.7	18%	0.1 / 15 (1%)	3.5 / 5 (71%)

Winning Events: 8 (36%)
Losing Events: 14 (64%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.68 units
Most Staked On One Event: 36.90 units
Best Event: 8.48 units
Worst Event: -5.85 units
Average Event: -0.62 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 8.76
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -11.57

By Decision: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2018	147.68	-18.2	-12%	-4.8 / 44 (-11%)	-5.2 / 80.4 (-6%)	-8.3 / 23.28 (-36%)	2 / 7 (22%)	-2.03
2017	175.3	4.5	3%	-12.4 / 84.75 (-15%)	6.8 / 59.12 (11%)	10.2 / 31.43 (32%)	6 / 7 (46%)	0.35

By Decision: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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By Decision: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	321.23	-13.8	-4%	-17.2 / 128.75 (-13%)	1.6 / 139.52 (1%)	1.8 / 52.96 (3%)
Bellator	1.75	0.1	6%			0.1 / 1.75 (6%)

By Decision: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	19 (22%)	8	42 %	33.75	-12.35	-0.65	-37%
Slight Favorites	29 (33%)	18	62 %	46.25	4.32	0.15	9%
Slight Underdogs	27 (31%)	11	41 %	41.25	-5.30	-0.20	-13%
Big Underdogs	12 (14%)	1	8 %	7.50	-3.85	-0.32	-51%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	11 (13%)	5	45 %	18.75	3.32	0.30	18%
Co-Main Event	11 (13%)	4	36 %	16.00	-1.84	-0.17	-12%
Position 3-5	20 (23%)	9	45 %	29.75	-1.46	-0.07	-5%
6+ (Undercard)	45 (52%)	20	44 %	64.25	-17.19	-0.38	-27%

By Decision: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	7 (8%)	4	57 %	8.65	6.22	0.89	72%
Light Heavy	4 (5%)	3	75 %	5.75	2.94	0.74	51%
Middleweight	9 (10%)	4	44 %	13.25	-4.65	-0.52	-35%
Welterweight	19 (22%)	7	37 %	36.00	-14.44	-0.76	-40%
Lightweight	11 (13%)	8	73 %	14.25	7.02	0.64	49%
Featherweight	8 (9%)	3	38 %	12.00	0.88	0.11	7%
Bantamweight	5 (6%)		0 %	9.00	-9.00	-1.80	-100%
Flyweight	4 (5%)	2	50 %	4.60	0.34	0.08	7%

Women's Fights	20 (23%)	7	35 %	25.25	-6.49	-0.32	-26%
Featherweight	1 (1%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%
Flyweight	3 (3%)		0 %	2.75	-2.75	-0.92	-100%
Strawweight	16 (18%)	7	44 %	22.00	-3.24	-0.20	-15%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	36 (59%)	28	78 %
Slight Favorites	17 (28%)	8	47 %
Slight Underdogs	8 (13%)	4	50 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	61	40	66 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	47 (35%)	37	79 %
50-65%	46 (35%)	30	65 %
35-50%	21 (16%)	9	43 %
<35% chance	19 (14%)	4	21 %
	133	80	60 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	31 (23%)	23	74 %	1.50	2.15	1.24	3.2 (10%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	9 (7%)	7	78 %	2.00	3.15	1.54	6.3 (70%)
Goes to Decision	3 (2%)	2	67 %	1.88	2.25	1.57	0.8 (27%)
Does not go to Decision	28 (21%)	22	79 %	1.49	2.50	1.12	5.8 (21%)
Fight Starts Round X	10 (8%)	6	60 %	1.27	1.47	1.09	-2.1 (-21%)
X Wins by KO	10 (8%)	2	20 %	2.41	7.50	1.60	-6.5 (-65%)
X Wins by Sub	9 (7%)	3	33 %	3.55	13.50	1.91	-1.8 (-19%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (2%)	1	50 %	3.03	3.44	2.70	1.4 (72%)
X Wins Inside Distance	22 (17%)	11	50 %	2.04	8.60	1.37	5.9 (27%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance	3 (2%)	2	67 %	1.37	2.10	1.17	-0.7 (-22%)
X Wins in Round X	6 (5%)	1	17 %	4.33	16.50	2.00	-4.0 (-67%)
	133	80	60 %	1.77			8.4 (6%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail By Decision's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2	20	3.7	18%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,036.60
7th Oct	UFC 216	15.5	0.0	0%		$10.37	$1,036.60	$1,037.10
20th Oct	Bellator 185	1.75	0.1	6%		$10.37	$1,037.10	$1,038.14
21st Oct	UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk	15.08	-1.0	-6%		$10.38	$1,038.14	$1,028.11
4th Nov	UFC 217	28.42	0.3	1%		$10.28	$1,028.11	$1,031.04
11th Nov	UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia	33.25	8.5	25%		$10.31	$1,031.04	$1,118.46
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney	17.1	-2.8	-17%		$11.18	$1,118.46	$1,086.77
25th Nov	UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum	9.45	-2.6	-27%		$10.87	$1,086.77	$1,058.55
2nd Dec	TUF 26 Finale	1.5	-0.2	-12%		$10.59	$1,058.55	$1,056.70
2nd Dec	UFC 218	10.75	2.6	25%		$10.57	$1,056.70	$1,084.60
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night 123	3.5	-0.1	-3%		$10.85	$1,084.60	$1,083.51
16th Dec	UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos	10	-1.8	-18%		$10.84	$1,083.51	$1,064.34
31st Dec	UFC 219	9	-2.2	-25%		$10.64	$1,064.34	$1,040.68
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night 124	4	-0.2	-4%		$10.41	$1,040.68	$1,038.84
20th Jan	UFC 220	5.78	-5.8	-100%		$10.39	$1,038.84	$978.79
27th Jan	UFC on Fox 27	8	-1.5	-19%		$9.79	$978.79	$963.93
10th Feb	UFC 221	2.25	0.0	2%		$9.64	$963.93	$964.42
7th Apr	UFC 223	9.25	-5.0	-54%		$9.64	$964.42	$916.32
7th Jul	UFC 226	27.5	-2.3	-8%		$9.16	$916.32	$895.15
28th Jul	UFC on Fox 30	29.5	-0.5	-2%		$8.95	$895.15	$890.89
25th Aug	UFC Fight Night 135	24.5	2.8	11%		$8.91	$890.89	$915.89
8th Sep	UFC 228	36.9	-5.9	-16%		$9.16	$915.89	$862.30

ROI % from starting bank balance: -13.77% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

By Decision: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '18	Tyron Woodley	Darren Till	2.20	4	Sub, R2 (4:19)
2.	Aug '18	Cortney Casey	Angela Hill	2.10	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Aug '18	Michael Johnson	Andre Fili	2.10	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Aug '18	Drew Dober	Jon Tuck	1.45	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '18	Derrick Lewis	Francis Ngannou	3.65	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jul '18	Mike Perry	Paul Felder	2.15	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jul '18	Daniel Cormier	Stipe Miocic	2.85	2	TKO, R1 (4:33)
8.	Apr '18	Olivier Aubin-Mercier	Evan Dunham	2.05	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:53)
9.	Feb '18	Yoel Romero	Luke Rockhold	2.60	0.5	TKO, R3 (1:48)
10.	Jan '18	Niko Price	George Sullivan	1.32	1	Sub, R2 (4:21)
11.	Jan '18	Andre Fili	Dennis Bermudez	1.63	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Jan '18	J.J. Aldrich	Danielle Taylor	1.74	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Dec '17	Myles Jury	Rick Glenn	1.59	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Dec '17	Nordine Taleb	Danny Roberts	1.71	1	TKO, R1 (0:59)
15.	Dec '17	Paul Felder	Charles Oliveira	2.05	0.75	TKO, R2 (4:6)
16.	Dec '17	Gillian Robertson	Emily Whitmire	2.65	0.5	Sub, R1 (2:12)
17.	Dec '17	David Teymur	Drakkar Klose	1.59	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Dec '17	Henry Cejudo	Sergio Pettis	1.43	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Nov '17	Yan Xiaonan	Kailin Curran	1.74	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Nov '17	Li Jingliang	Zak Ottow	1.54	1	TKO, R1 (2:57)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '18	Frank Camacho	Geoff Neal	2.60	5	TKO, R2 (1:23)	No
2.	Sep '18	Cody Stamann	Aljamain Sterling	2.40	2	Sub, R2 (3:42)	No
3.	Sep '18	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Jessica Andrade	4.65	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:58)	Yes
4.	Aug '18	John Moraga	Deiveson Figueiredo	2.35	0.5	TKO, R2 (3:8)	No
5.	Aug '18	Tim Williams	Eryk Anders	8.75	0.5	TKO, R3 (4:42)	Yes
6.	Aug '18	Markus Perez	Andrew Sanchez	2.05	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jul '18	Tecia Torres	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	3.35	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
8.	Jul '18	Rob Font	Raphael Assuncao	2.25	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
9.	Apr '18	Joe Lauzon	Chris Gruetzemacher	1.60	1	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
10.	Apr '18	Calvin Kattar	Renato Moicano	1.95	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Apr '18	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Rose Namajunas	1.95	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
12.	Apr '18	Al Iaquinta	Khabib Nurmagomedov	6.00	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	Yes
13.	Apr '18	Mike Rodriguez	Devin Clark	1.83	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Apr '18	Felice Herrig	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	2.55	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Feb '18	Mark Hunt	Curtis Blaydes	2.15	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Feb '18	Li Jingliang	Jake Matthews	1.69	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Jan '18	Austin Arnett	Cory Sandhagen	1.50	1	TKO, R2 (3:48)	No
18.	Jan '18	Justine Kish	Ji Yeon Kim	1.35	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Jan '18	Paige VanZant	Jessica-Rose Clark	2.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Jan '18	Michael Johnson	Darren Elkins	1.65	1	Sub, R2 (2:22)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

By Decision: Progress Chart

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