MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6363
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2350

MMA Handicapper Stats: Ultimate Fight Picks

Ultimate Fight Picks (UFP)

MMA MHandicapper - Ultimate Fight Picks

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	31 (62%)	Right	20 (71%)	Right	7 (100%)	Right	4 (27%)
Wrong	19 (38%)	Wrong	8 (29%)	Wrong	0 (0%)	Wrong	11 (73%)
Avg Odds	1.90	Avg Odds	1.85	Avg Odds	1.71	Avg Odds	2.11
Units Bet	238.0	Units Bet	116.0	Units Bet	31.5	Units Bet	90.5
Avg Bet	4.76	Avg Bet	4.14	Avg Bet	4.50	Avg Bet	6.03
Units Profit	23.08	Units Profit	38.40	Units Profit	21.55	Units Profit	-36.86
ROI %	10%	ROI %	33%	ROI %	68%	ROI %	-41%

Ultimate Fight Picks : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
19th Jan '19	UFC on ESPN+ 1	11	-11.0	-100%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Dec '18	UFC 232	6	3.4	57%	3.4 / 6 (57%)
3rd Nov '18	UFC 230	6	6.2	103%			6.2 / 6 (103%)
27th Oct '18	UFC Fight Night 138	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Oct '18	Bellator 207	5	2.2	44%	2.2 / 5 (44%)
6th Oct '18	UFC 229	5	2.5	49%	2.5 / 5 (49%)
4th Feb '18	UFC Fight Night 125	10	-10.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
27th Jan '18	UFC on Fox 27	10	2.0	20%	2.0 / 10 (20%)
20th Jan '18	UFC 220	12	10.9	91%	10.9 / 12 (91%)
14th Jan '18	UFC Fight Night 124	5	2.5	50%		2.5 / 5 (50%)
31st Dec '17	UFC 219	9	-0.1	-1%	4.9 / 4 (122%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
16th Dec '17	UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos	10	8.9	89%	8.9 / 10 (89%)
9th Dec '17	UFC Fight Night 123	8	-2.6	-33%	-2.6 / 8 (-33%)
2nd Dec '17	UFC 218	12	11.7	97%		4.5 / 5 (89%)	7.2 / 7 (103%)
25th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum	15	14.6	97%	9.2 / 10 (92%)		5.4 / 5 (108%)
18th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney	11	-11.0	-100%			-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
11th Nov '17	UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia	20	-10.0	-50%	1.0 / 9 (11%)		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
4th Nov '17	UFC 217	10	-6.7	-67%		1.8 / 1.5 (123%)	-8.5 / 8.5 (-100%)
28th Oct '17	UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
21st Oct '17	UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk	6	3.2	53%	3.2 / 6 (53%)
7th Oct '17	UFC 216	10	6.5	65%	2.5 / 5 (50%)	4.0 / 5 (80%)
22nd Sep '17	UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2	30	6.7	22%	5.0 / 8 (62%)	8.8 / 15 (58%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
16th Sep '17	UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch	17	3.3	19%	1.5 / 2 (73%)		1.8 / 15 (12%)

Winning Events: 14 (61%)
Losing Events: 9 (39%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.35 units
Most Staked On One Event: 30.00 units
Best Event: 14.55 units
Worst Event: -11.00 units
Average Event: 1.00 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 26.21
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -32.66

Ultimate Fight Picks : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2019	11	-11.0	-100%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	/ 1 (0%)	-11.00
2018	64	14.7	23%	11.0 / 48 (23%)	2.5 / 5 (50%)	1.2 / 11 (11%)	7 / 2 (78%)	1.63
2017	163	19.4	12%	33.4 / 62 (54%)	19.0 / 26.5 (72%)	-33.1 / 74.5 (-44%)	7 / 6 (54%)	1.49

Ultimate Fight Picks : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Ultimate Fight Picks : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	233	20.9	9%	36.2 / 111 (33%)	21.5 / 31.5 (68%)	-36.9 / 90.5 (-41%)
Bellator	5	2.2	44%	2.2 / 5 (44%)

Ultimate Fight Picks : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	6 (21%)	6	100 %	29.00	13.83	2.31	48%
Slight Favorites	11 (38%)	8	73 %	40.00	0.12	0.01	0%
Slight Underdogs	10 (34%)	6	60 %	43.00	22.45	2.24	52%
Big Underdogs	2 (7%)	1	50 %	4.00	2.00	1.00	50%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (24%)	5	71 %	34.00	15.15	2.16	45%
Co-Main Event	1 (3%)	1	100 %	5.00	7.00	7.00	140%
Position 3-5	11 (38%)	8	73 %	38.00	14.73	1.34	39%
6+ (Undercard)	10 (34%)	7	70 %	39.00	1.52	0.15	4%

Ultimate Fight Picks : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (7%)	2	100 %	10.00	9.95	4.97	99%
Light Heavy	3 (10%)	2	67 %	13.00	-0.84	-0.28	-6%
Middleweight	3 (10%)	2	67 %	12.50	-0.38	-0.13	-3%
Welterweight	5 (17%)	5	100 %	22.50	18.02	3.60	80%
Lightweight	6 (21%)	3	50 %	23.00	-4.14	-0.69	-18%
Featherweight	5 (17%)	5	100 %	22.00	19.90	3.98	90%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Flyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	2.00	0.88	0.88	44%

Women's Fights	3 (10%)	1	33 %	9.00	-3.00	-1.00	-33%
Flyweight	1 (3%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-5.00	-100%
Strawweight	2 (7%)	1	50 %	4.00	2.00	1.00	50%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	34 (87%)	24	71 %
Slight Favorites	5 (13%)	2	40 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	39	26	67 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (29%)	2	100 %
50-65%	4 (57%)	4	100 %
35-50%	1 (14%)	1	100 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	7	7	100 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (14%)	1	100 %	1.50	1.50	1.50	0.5 (50%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (43%)	3	100 %	1.58	1.67	1.53	1.8 (58%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (14%)	1	100 %	2.23	2.23	2.23	1.2 (123%)
X Wins Inside Distance	2 (29%)	2	100 %	1.84	1.89	1.80	1.7 (84%)
	7	7	100 %	1.71			5.2 (74%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Ultimate Fight Picks 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch	17	3.3	19%	$5	$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,027.79
22nd Sep	UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2	30	6.7	22%	$5	$10.28	$1,027.79	$1,091.76
7th Oct	UFC 216	10	6.5	65%	$5	$10.92	$1,091.76	$1,157.72
21st Oct	UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk	6	3.2	53%	$5	$11.58	$1,157.72	$1,189.77
28th Oct	UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo	5	-5.0	-100%		$11.90	$1,189.77	$1,130.28
4th Nov	UFC 217	10	-6.7	-67%		$11.30	$1,130.28	$1,055.06
11th Nov	UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia	20	-10.0	-50%		$10.55	$1,055.06	$949.55
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney	11	-11.0	-100%		$9.50	$949.55	$845.10
25th Nov	UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum	15	14.6	97%		$8.45	$845.10	$968.10
2nd Dec	UFC 218	12	11.7	97%		$9.68	$968.10	$1,080.98
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night 123	8	-2.6	-33%		$10.81	$1,080.98	$1,052.87
16th Dec	UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos	10	8.9	89%		$10.53	$1,052.87	$1,146.32
31st Dec	UFC 219	9	-0.1	-1%		$11.46	$1,146.32	$1,144.94
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night 124	5	2.5	50%		$11.45	$1,144.94	$1,173.57
20th Jan	UFC 220	12	10.9	91%		$11.74	$1,173.57	$1,301.48
27th Jan	UFC on Fox 27	10	2.0	20%		$13.01	$1,301.48	$1,327.51
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night 125	10	-10.0	-100%		$13.28	$1,327.51	$1,194.76
6th Oct	UFC 229	5	2.5	49%		$11.95	$1,194.76	$1,224.03
12th Oct	Bellator 207	5	2.2	44%		$12.24	$1,224.03	$1,250.96
27th Oct	UFC Fight Night 138	5	-5.0	-100%		$12.51	$1,250.96	$1,188.41
3rd Nov	UFC 230	6	6.2	103%		$11.88	$1,188.41	$1,262.12
29th Dec	UFC 232	6	3.4	57%		$12.62	$1,262.12	$1,305.29
19th Jan	UFC on ESPN+ 1	11	-11.0	-100%		$13.05	$1,305.29	$1,161.71

ROI % from starting bank balance: 16.17% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Ultimate Fight Picks : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '18	Michael Chiesa	Carlos Condit	1.57	6	Sub, R2 (0:56)
2.	Oct '18	Ryan Bader	Matt Mitrione	1.44	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Oct '18	Dominick Reyes	Ovince St Preux	1.49	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jan '18	Andre Fili	Dennis Bermudez	2.40	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jan '18	Stipe Miocic	Francis Ngannou	2.55	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
6.	Jan '18	Enrique Barzola	Matt Bessette	1.45	7	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Dec '17	Carla Esparza	Cynthia Calvillo	3.00	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Dec '17	Matheus Nicolau	Louis Smolka	1.44	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Dec '17	Alessio Di Chirico	Oluwale Bamgbose	1.85	2.5	TKO, R2 (2:14)
10.	Dec '17	Nordine Taleb	Danny Roberts	1.70	2.5	TKO, R1 (0:59)
11.	Dec '17	Rafael dos Anjos	Robbie Lawler	2.00	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
12.	Dec '17	Scott Holtzman	Darrell Horcher	1.80	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Nov '17	Li Jingliang	Zak Ottow	1.53	5	TKO, R1 (2:57)
14.	Nov '17	Wang Guan	Alex Caceres	2.30	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Nov '17	Dustin Poirier	Anthony Pettis	2.00	5	TKO, R3 (2:8)
16.	Oct '17	Darren Till	Donald Cerrone	2.30	4	TKO, R1 (4:20)
17.	Oct '17	Brad Tavares	Thales Leites	1.50	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Sep '17	Teruto Ishihara	Rolando Dy	1.67	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Sep '17	Teruto Ishihara	Rolando Dy	1.62	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Sep '17	Gokhan Saki	Luis Henrique da Silva	1.57	3	TKO, R1 (4:45)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jan '19	Alexander Hernandez	Donald Cerrone	1.65	6	TKO, R2 (3:43)	No
2.	Oct '18	Volkan Oezdemir	Anthony Smith	1.62	5	Sub, R3 (4:26)	No
3.	Feb '18	Desmond Green	Michel Prazeres	2.30	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jan '18	Derek Brunson	Ronaldo Souza	2.30	5	TKO, R1 (3:50)	No
5.	Dec '17	Liz Carmouche	Alexis Davis	1.75	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Nov '17	Michel Quinones	Sage Northcutt	2.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Nov '17	Viviane Pereira	Tatiana Suarez	3.15	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Oct '17	Damian Stasiak	Brian Kelleher	2.00	2	TKO, R3 (3:39)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Ultimate Fight Picks : Progress Chart

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