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MMA Handicapper Stats: Ultimate Fight Picks

Ultimate Fight Picks (UFP)


MMA MHandicapper - Ultimate Fight Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 32 (63%) Right 21 (72%) Right 7 (100%) Right 4 (27%)
Wrong 19 (37%) Wrong 8 (28%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 11 (73%)
Avg Odds 1.89 Avg Odds 1.85 Avg Odds 1.71 Avg Odds 2.11
Units Bet 238.0 Units Bet 116.0 Units Bet 31.5 Units Bet 90.5
Avg Bet 4.67 Avg Bet 4.00 Avg Bet 4.50 Avg Bet 6.03
Units Profit 23.08 Units Profit 38.40 Units Profit 21.55 Units Profit -36.86
ROI % 10% ROI % 33% ROI % 68% ROI % -41%
View Handicapper's Profile

Ultimate Fight Picks : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 11 -11.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 6 3.4 57% 3.4 / 6 (57%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 6 6.2 103% 6.2 / 6 (103%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 5 2.2 44% 2.2 / 5 (44%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 5 2.5 49% 2.5 / 5 (49%)
4th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 125 10 -10.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 10 2.0 20% 2.0 / 10 (20%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 12 10.9 91% 10.9 / 12 (91%)
14th Jan '18 UFC Fight Night 124 5 2.5 50% 2.5 / 5 (50%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 9 -0.1 -1% 4.9 / 4 (122%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 10 8.9 89% 8.9 / 10 (89%)
9th Dec '17 UFC Fight Night 123 8 -2.6 -33% -2.6 / 8 (-33%)
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 12 11.7 97% 4.5 / 5 (89%) 7.2 / 7 (103%)
25th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 15 14.6 97% 9.2 / 10 (92%) 5.4 / 5 (108%)
18th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 11 -11.0 -100% -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
11th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 20 -10.0 -50% 1.0 / 9 (11%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 10 -6.7 -67% 1.8 / 1.5 (123%) -8.5 / 8.5 (-100%)
28th Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
21st Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 6 3.2 53% 3.2 / 6 (53%)
7th Oct '17 UFC 216 10 6.5 65% 2.5 / 5 (50%) 4.0 / 5 (80%)
22nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 30 6.7 22% 5.0 / 8 (62%) 8.8 / 15 (58%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
16th Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 17 3.3 19% 1.5 / 2 (73%) 1.8 / 15 (12%)


Winning Events: 14 (61%)
Losing Events: 9 (39%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.35 units
Most Staked On One Event: 30.00 units
Best Event: 14.55 units
Worst Event: -11.00 units
Average Event: 1.00 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 26.21
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -32.66

Ultimate Fight Picks : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 11 -11.0 -100% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) / 1 (0%) -11.00
2018 64 14.7 23% 11.0 / 48 (23%) 2.5 / 5 (50%) 1.2 / 11 (11%) 7 / 2 (78%) 1.63
2017 163 19.4 12% 33.4 / 62 (54%) 19.0 / 26.5 (72%) -33.1 / 74.5 (-44%) 7 / 6 (54%) 1.49

Ultimate Fight Picks : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Ultimate Fight Picks : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 233 20.9 9% 36.2 / 111 (33%) 21.5 / 31.5 (68%) -36.9 / 90.5 (-41%)
Bellator 5 2.2 44% 2.2 / 5 (44%)

Ultimate Fight Picks : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (21%) 6 100 % 29.00 13.83 2.31 48%
Slight Favorites 11 (38%) 8 73 % 40.00 0.12 0.01 0%
Slight Underdogs 10 (34%) 6 60 % 43.00 22.45 2.24 52%
Big Underdogs 2 (7%) 1 50 % 4.00 2.00 1.00 50%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (24%) 5 71 % 34.00 15.15 2.16 45%
Co-Main Event 1 (3%) 1 100 % 5.00 7.00 7.00 140%
Position 3-5 11 (38%) 8 73 % 38.00 14.73 1.34 39%
6+ (Undercard) 10 (34%) 7 70 % 39.00 1.52 0.15 4%

Ultimate Fight Picks : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (7%) 2 100 % 10.00 9.95 4.97 99%
Light Heavy 3 (10%) 2 67 % 13.00 -0.84 -0.28 -6%
Middleweight 3 (10%) 2 67 % 12.50 -0.38 -0.13 -3%
Welterweight 5 (17%) 5 100 % 22.50 18.02 3.60 80%
Lightweight 6 (21%) 3 50 % 23.00 -4.14 -0.69 -18%
Featherweight 5 (17%) 5 100 % 22.00 19.90 3.98 90%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 2.00 0.88 0.88 44%
               
Women's Fights 3 (10%) 1 33 % 9.00 -3.00 -1.00 -33%
Bantamweight 1 (3%) 0 % 5.00 -5.00 -5.00 -100%
Strawweight 2 (7%) 1 50 % 4.00 2.00 1.00 50%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 34 (87%) 24 71 %
Slight Favorites 5 (13%) 2 40 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
39 26 67 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (29%) 2 100 %
50-65% 4 (57%) 4 100 %
35-50% 1 (14%) 1 100 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
7 7 100 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (14%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.50Pick was correct 1.50Pick was correct 0.5 (50%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (43%) 3 100 % 1.58 1.67Pick was correct 1.53Pick was correct 1.8 (58%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (14%) 1 100 % 2.23 2.23Pick was correct 2.23Pick was correct 1.2 (123%)
X Wins Inside Distance 2 (29%) 2 100 % 1.84 1.89Pick was correct 1.80Pick was correct 1.7 (84%)
7 7 100 % 1.71     5.2 (74%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Ultimate Fight Picks 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
16th Sep UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 17 3.3 19% $5 $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,027.79
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 30 6.7 22% $5 $10.28 $1,027.79 $1,091.76
7th Oct UFC 216 10 6.5 65% $5 $10.92 $1,091.76 $1,157.72
21st Oct UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 6 3.2 53% $5 $11.58 $1,157.72 $1,189.77
28th Oct UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 5 -5.0 -100% $11.90 $1,189.77 $1,130.28
4th Nov UFC 217 10 -6.7 -67% $11.30 $1,130.28 $1,055.06
11th Nov UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 20 -10.0 -50% $10.55 $1,055.06 $949.55
18th Nov UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 11 -11.0 -100% $9.50 $949.55 $845.10
25th Nov UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 15 14.6 97% $8.45 $845.10 $968.10
2nd Dec UFC 218 12 11.7 97% $9.68 $968.10 $1,080.98
9th Dec UFC Fight Night 123 8 -2.6 -33% $10.81 $1,080.98 $1,052.87
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 10 8.9 89% $10.53 $1,052.87 $1,146.32
31st Dec UFC 219 9 -0.1 -1% $11.46 $1,146.32 $1,144.94
14th Jan UFC Fight Night 124 5 2.5 50% $11.45 $1,144.94 $1,173.57
20th Jan UFC 220 12 10.9 91% $11.74 $1,173.57 $1,301.48
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 10 2.0 20% $13.01 $1,301.48 $1,327.51
4th Feb UFC Fight Night 125 10 -10.0 -100% $13.28 $1,327.51 $1,194.76
6th Oct UFC 229 5 2.5 49% $11.95 $1,194.76 $1,224.03
12th Oct Bellator 207 5 2.2 44% $12.24 $1,224.03 $1,250.96
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 5 -5.0 -100% $12.51 $1,250.96 $1,188.41
3rd Nov UFC 230 6 6.2 103% $11.88 $1,188.41 $1,262.12
29th Dec UFC 232 6 3.4 57% $12.62 $1,262.12 $1,305.29
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 11 -11.0 -100% $13.05 $1,305.29 $1,161.71


ROI % from starting bank balance: 16.17% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Ultimate Fight Picks : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Michael Chiesa Carlos Condit 1.57 6 Sub, R2 (0:56) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '18 Ryan Bader Matt Mitrione 1.44 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '18 Dominick Reyes Ovince St Preux 1.49 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '18 Andre Fili Dennis Bermudez 2.40 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '18 Stipe Miocic Francis Ngannou 2.55 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '18 Enrique Barzola Matt Bessette 1.45 7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '17 Carla Esparza Cynthia Calvillo 3.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '17 Matheus Nicolau Louis Smolka 1.44 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '17 Alessio Di Chirico Oluwale Bamgbose 1.85 2.5 TKO, R2 (2:14) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '17 Nordine Taleb Danny Roberts 1.70 2.5 TKO, R1 (0:59) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '17 Rafael dos Anjos Robbie Lawler 2.00 5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '17 Scott Holtzman Darrell Horcher 1.80 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '17 Li Jingliang Zak Ottow 1.53 5 TKO, R1 (2:57) MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '17 Wang Guan Alex Caceres 2.30 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '17 Dustin Poirier Anthony Pettis 2.00 5 TKO, R3 (2:8) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '17 Paid Pick Darren Till Donald Cerrone 2.30 4 TKO, R1 (4:20) MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '17 Paid Pick Brad Tavares Thales Leites 1.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '17 Paid Pick Teruto Ishihara Rolando Dy 1.67 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '17 Paid Pick Teruto Ishihara Rolando Dy 1.62 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '17 Paid Pick Gokhan Saki Luis Henrique da Silva 1.57 3 TKO, R1 (4:45) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jan '19 Alexander Hernandez Donald Cerrone 1.65 6 TKO, R2 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '18 Volkan Oezdemir Anthony Smith 1.62 5 Sub, R3 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '18 Desmond Green Michel Prazeres 2.30 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '18 Derek Brunson Ronaldo Souza 2.30 5 TKO, R1 (3:50) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '17 Liz Carmouche Alexis Davis 1.75 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '17 Michel Quinones Sage Northcutt 2.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '17 Viviane Pereira Tatiana Suarez 3.15 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '17 Damian Stasiak Brian Kelleher 2.00 2 TKO, R3 (3:39) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Ultimate Fight Picks : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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