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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 4679
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 1834

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: MMAOVERWATCH

MMAOVERWATCH (MMAOverWatch)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - MMAOVERWATCH

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 11 (46%) Right 5 (38%) Right 0 (0%) Right 6 (60%)
Wrong 13 (54%) Wrong 8 (62%) Wrong 1 (100%) Wrong 4 (40%)
Avg Odds 2.24 Avg Odds 2.29 Avg Odds 2.70 Avg Odds 2.15
Units Bet 22.1 Units Bet 8.8 Units Bet 3.0 Units Bet 10.3
Avg Bet 0.92 Avg Bet 0.68 Avg Bet 3.00 Avg Bet 1.03
Units Profit -6.64 Units Profit -1.90 Units Profit -3.00 Units Profit -1.74
ROI % -30% ROI % -22% ROI % -100% ROI % -17%
View Handicapper's Profile

MMAOVERWATCH : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 0.5 0.6 129% 0.6 / 0.5 (129%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 0.25 0.5 208% 0.5 / 0.25 (208%)
8th Aug '20 Bellator 243 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 0.5 0.3 53% 0.3 / 0.5 (53%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 8 -8.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 4 1.6 41% 0.1 / 2 (7%) 1.5 / 2 (75%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 0.5 0.7 135% 0.7 / 0.5 (135%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 0.5 0.6 120% 0.6 / 0.5 (120%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 1 1.2 117% 0.6 / 0.5 (110%) 0.6 / 0.5 (125%)
20th Jan '18 Bellator 192 0.5 0.7 144% 0.7 / 0.5 (144%)
9th Dec '17 UFC Fight Night 123 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17 TUF 26 Finale 0.8 -0.8 -100% -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
25th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
18th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 0.5 0.9 185% 0.9 / 0.5 (185%)


Winning Events: 9 (47%)
Losing Events: 10 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 1.16 units
Most Staked On One Event: 8.00 units
Best Event: 1.64 units
Worst Event: -8.00 units
Average Event: -0.35 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 3.17
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -8.00

MMAOVERWATCH : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 0.0 nan% / (nan%) nan
2020 2.25 0.4 19% 0.4 / 2.25 (19%) 3 / 2 (60%) 0.09
2018 17 -5.7 -33% -0.5 / 6 (-9%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -2.2 / 8 (-27%) 5 / 4 (56%) -0.63
2017 2.8 -1.4 -49% -1.4 / 2.8 (-49%) 1 / 4 (20%) -0.28

MMAOVERWATCH : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MMAOVERWATCH : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 21.05 -6.9 -33% -1.9 / 8.8 (-22%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -2.0 / 9.25 (-21%)
Bellator 1 0.2 22% 0.2 / 1 (22%)

MMAOVERWATCH : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Slight Favorites 2 (15%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%
Slight Underdogs 10 (77%) 5 50 % 6.00 0.90 0.09 15%
Big Underdogs 1 (8%) 0 0 % 0.80 -0.80 -0.80 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 1 (8%) 0 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Co-Main Event 3 (23%) 2 67 % 2.30 0.95 0.32 41%
Position 3-5 6 (46%) 2 33 % 4.50 -1.90 -0.32 -42%
6+ (Undercard) 3 (23%) 1 33 % 1.50 -0.45 -0.15 -30%

MMAOVERWATCH : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (23%) 1 33 % 2.00 -0.90 -0.30 -45%
Light Heavy 3 (23%) 2 67 % 2.00 1.32 0.44 66%
Welterweight 2 (15%) 1 50 % 1.00 0.42 0.21 42%
Lightweight 1 (8%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Featherweight 1 (8%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (8%) 0 % 0.80 -0.80 -0.80 -100%
Flyweight 1 (8%) 1 100 % 0.50 0.55 0.55 110%
               
Women's Fights 1 (8%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -100%
Strawweight 1 (8%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 13 (72%) 9 69 %
Slight Favorites 3 (17%) 3 100 %
Slight Underdogs 2 (11%) 2 100 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
18 14 78 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (67%) 1 50 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 1 (33%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
3 1 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (33%) 0 0 % 1.25 1.25Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (33%) 1 100 % 1.33 1.33Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 0.3 (33%)
X Wins by KO 1 (33%) 0 0 % 2.70 2.70Pick was incorrect 2.70Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
3 1 33 % 1.56     -1.7 (-56%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MMAOVERWATCH 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
18th Nov UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 0.5 0.9 185% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,009.25
25th Nov UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.09 $1,009.25 $1,004.20
2nd Dec TUF 26 Finale 0.8 -0.8 -100% $10.04 $1,004.20 $996.17
2nd Dec UFC 218 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.96 $996.17 $991.19
9th Dec UFC Fight Night 123 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.91 $991.19 $986.23
20th Jan UFC 220 1 1.2 117% $9.86 $986.23 $997.80
20th Jan Bellator 192 0.5 0.7 144% $9.98 $997.80 $1,004.97
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 0.5 0.6 120% $10.05 $1,004.97 $1,011.00
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 0.5 0.7 135% $10.11 $1,011.00 $1,017.82
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.18 $1,017.82 $1,012.73
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 0.5 -0.5 -100% $10.13 $1,012.73 $1,007.67
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 1.5 -1.5 -100% $10.08 $1,007.67 $992.55
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 4 1.6 41% $9.93 $992.55 $1,008.84
6th Oct UFC 229 8 -8.0 -100% $10.09 $1,008.84 $928.13
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 0.5 0.3 53% $9.28 $928.13 $930.58
8th Aug Bellator 243 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.31 $930.58 $925.92
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 0.25 0.5 208% $9.26 $925.92 $930.74
15th Aug UFC 252 0.5 0.6 129% $9.31 $930.74 $936.72
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 0.5 -0.5 -100% $9.37 $936.72 $932.04


ROI % from starting bank balance: -6.80% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MMAOVERWATCH : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Sep '18 Jan Blachowicz Nikita Krylov 2.15 1 Sub, R2 (2:41) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '18 Ilir Latifi Ovince St Preux 2.35 0.5 Sub, R1 (3:48) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '18 Derrick Lewis Marcin Tybura 2.20 0.5 TKO, R3 (2:48) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '18 Dustin Ortiz Alexandre Pantoja 2.10 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '17 Belal Muhammad Tim Means 2.85 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '18 Andrei Arlovski Shamil Abdurakhimov 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '18 Angela Hill Cortney Casey 1.77 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '18 Patrick Cummins Corey Anderson 2.00 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '18 Peter Sobotta Leon Edwards 2.85 0.5 TKO, R3 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '17 Cub Swanson Brian Ortega 1.95 0.5 Sub, R2 (3:22) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '17 Drakkar Klose David Teymur 2.75 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '17 Terrion Ware Sean O'Malley 3.30 0.8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '17 Chase Sherman Shamil Abdurakhimov 2.20 0.5 TKO, R1 (1:24) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MMAOVERWATCH : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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