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MMA Handicapper Stats: Notorious Picks

Notorious Picks (NotoriousPicks)


MMA MHandicapper - Notorious Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 254 (46%) Right 124 (47%) Right 75 (40%) Right 55 (53%)
Wrong 301 (54%) Wrong 139 (53%) Wrong 113 (60%) Wrong 49 (47%)
Avg Odds 2.27 Avg Odds 2.04 Avg Odds 2.56 Avg Odds 2.47
Units Bet 1,092.5 Units Bet 637.2 Units Bet 260.8 Units Bet 194.4
Avg Bet 1.97 Avg Bet 2.42 Avg Bet 1.39 Avg Bet 1.87
Units Profit 46.41 Units Profit -11.78 Units Profit -9.28 Units Profit 67.46
ROI % 4% ROI % -2% ROI % -4% ROI % 35%
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Notorious Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Feb '21 UFC Fight Night 185 2 2.1 107% 2.1 / 2 (107%)
14th Feb '21 UFC 258 14 -11.9 -85% -12.0 / 12 (-100%) 0.1 / 2 (7%)
6th Feb '21 UFC FN 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Jan '21 UFC 257 9 6.2 69% 2.6 / 1 (257%) 4.6 / 7 (66%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Jan '21 UFC on ESPN 20 11.25 -8.6 -76% -8.8 / 8.75 (-100%) 0.1 / 2.5 (6%)
16th Jan '21 UFC FN 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
19th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 17 2.5 -0.9 -34% -0.9 / 2.5 (-34%)
13th Dec '20 UFC 256 11.06 -3.6 -33% -1.3 / 8.75 (-15%) -2.3 / 2.31 (-100%)
6th Dec '20 UFC Vegas 16 6.25 5.2 84% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 7.2 / 4.25 (171%)
29th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 15 1.5 2.3 155% 2.3 / 1.5 (155%)
21st Nov '20 UFC 255 3.75 -1.6 -41% 0.2 / 2 (10%) -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
14th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 14 9 0.3 3% 0.1 / 4.5 (3%) 0.2 / 4.5 (4%)
8th Nov '20 UFC Vegas 13 2 0.9 45% 1.9 / 1 (190%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Oct '20 UFC Vegas 12 1 4.6 458% 4.6 / 1 (458%)
24th Oct '20 UFC 254 6 -1.6 -27% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 1.4 / 3 (47%)
17th Oct '20 UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 3 -0.9 -32% 0.1 / 2 (3%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Oct '20 UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 2 0.6 29% 1.6 / 1 (158%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th Oct '20 UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
26th Sep '20 UFC 253 7.5 5.8 78% 2.1 / 3.5 (61%) 3.7 / 4 (92%)
19th Sep '20 UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 1 1.2 120% 1.2 / 1 (120%)
29th Aug '20 UFC Fight Night 182 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Aug '20 UFC Vegas 7 10.99 -11.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) -1.0 / 0.99 (-100%)
21st Aug '20 Bellator 244 3 3.8 125% 3.8 / 3 (125%)
15th Aug '20 UFC 252 5 1.1 22% 1.1 / 5 (22%)
8th Aug '20 UFC Vegas 6 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Aug '20 Bellator 243 2.5 1.3 53% 1.3 / 2.5 (53%)
1st Aug '20 UFC Vegas 5 22 -22.0 -100% -17.0 / 17 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
25th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 3 7 -0.2 -3% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 2.8 / 4 (69%)
25th Jul '20 Bellator 242 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 2 7 0.4 6% 1.4 / 6 (23%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Jul '20 UFC Fight Island 1 8 2.9 36% 3.4 / 4 (85%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.5 / 2 (75%)
11th Jul '20 UFC 251 19.87 13.0 65% 6.3 / 12.12 (52%) 1.1 / 2.75 (40%) 5.5 / 5 (110%)
27th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 175 7 0.9 13% 2.9 / 5 (58%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 174 11 8.5 78% 6.9 / 4 (173%) 1.6 / 7 (23%)
13th Jun '20 UFC Fight Night 173 5 0.9 17% 2.9 / 3 (95%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
6th Jun '20 UFC 250 12 -12.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
30th May '20 UFC Fight Night 172 3.52 -1.7 -48% -1.7 / 3.52 (-48%)
16th May '20 UFC Fight Night 171 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
14th May '20 UFC Fight Night 170 5.5 -0.8 -15% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 2.2 / 2.5 (88%)
10th May '20 UFC 249 4 4.3 108% 1.7 / 2 (85%) 2.1 / 1 (210%) 0.5 / 1 (54%)
14th Mar '20 UFC Fight Night 169 2.25 -0.1 -4% -0.1 / 2.25 (-4%)
8th Mar '20 UFC 248 7.8 6.2 80% 1.2 / 3 (40%) 5.0 / 4.8 (105%)
29th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 1 1.4 140% 1.4 / 1 (140%)
22nd Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 168 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
15th Feb '20 UFC Fight Night 167 1 1.1 110% 1.1 / 1 (110%)
9th Feb '20 UFC 247 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
25th Jan '20 UFC Fight Night 166 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
18th Jan '20 UFC 246 2.9 0.0 0% 0.0 / 2.9 (0%)
21st Dec '19 UFC Fight Night 165 2.5 0.7 28% 0.7 / 2.5 (28%)
15th Dec '19 UFC 245 6.65 -6.7 -100% -6.7 / 6.65 (-100%)
16th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 164 4 1.4 35% 1.4 / 4 (35%)
9th Nov '19 UFC Fight Night 163 3.5 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
9th Nov '19 Bellator 233 1 3.4 340% 3.4 / 1 (340%)
2nd Nov '19 UFC 244 11.99 11.5 96% 5.5 / 8.24 (67%) 3.0 / 2 (150%) 3.0 / 1.75 (169%)
26th Oct '19 Bellator 232 2.4 1.5 65% 1.5 / 2.4 (65%)
18th Oct '19 UFC ESPN 6 3 1.0 32% -0.3 / 2 (-17%) 1.3 / 1 (131%)
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 1 1.5 149% 1.5 / 1 (149%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 7.4 2.4 33% 2.4 / 7.4 (33%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 7.14 -7.1 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -6.6 / 6.64 (-100%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 3.9 -1.3 -34% 0.2 / 1.25 (18%) -0.6 / 1.66 (-35%) -1.0 / 0.99 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 4.36 -3.1 -72% -2.9 / 4.11 (-70%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 3.4 5.1 150% 0.5 / 0.4 (125%) 4.6 / 3 (153%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 5.47 -5.5 -100% -4.7 / 4.67 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
27th Apr '19 Bellator 220 3.2 1.0 31% 1.0 / 3.2 (31%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 6.71 -1.7 -25% -1.7 / 6.71 (-25%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 4 -4.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 11.27 5.9 52% -1.3 / 6.05 (-22%) 7.2 / 5.22 (139%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 5.74 -3.6 -63% -1.0 / 3.09 (-31%) -1.7 / 1.65 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 7.7 -6.8 -88% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -0.2 / 1.1 (-19%) -1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 9 4.3 48% 3.6 / 7 (51%) 0.8 / 2 (39%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 4.91 0.9 19% 0.2 / 3.31 (7%) 1.3 / 1 (130%) -0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 3.75 -3.8 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 6.19 -2.2 -35% -1.4 / 5.39 (-25%) -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
16th Feb '19 Bellator 216 6 3.3 55% 3.3 / 6 (55%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 10 -10.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 7 0.1 1% 2.1 / 5 (42%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 16.68 -10.0 -60% -3.6 / 6.47 (-56%) 1.6 / 2.25 (71%) -8.0 / 7.96 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 27 16.5 61% 1.4 / 2 (71%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 17.0 / 23 (74%)
15th Dec '18 UFC Fight Night Milwaukee 3.64 -3.6 -100% -2.7 / 2.7 (-100%) -0.9 / 0.94 (-100%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 3 4.4 147% 4.4 / 3 (147%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 4 -4.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 3 2.7 91% 2.7 / 3 (91%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 11 12.2 111% 3.3 / 7 (47%) 2.7 / 1 (275%) 6.2 / 3 (207%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 9.5 -0.9 -10% 0.1 / 6.5 (2%) -1.1 / 3 (-35%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 14.44 -2.3 -16% -7.0 / 9.34 (-75%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 5.7 / 4.1 (138%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 9.6 6.7 69% 1.8 / 4.6 (38%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 5.4 / 4.5 (120%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 12.34 -10.4 -84% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -5.8 / 5.84 (-100%) -2.6 / 4.5 (-57%)
13th Oct '18 Bellator 208 1.12 -1.1 -100% -1.1 / 1.12 (-100%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 2 2.1 106% 2.1 / 2 (106%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 18.44 2.8 15% -1.2 / 10.4 (-12%) -0.6 / 3.5 (-18%) 4.6 / 4.54 (102%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 8 4.1 51% 2.1 / 5 (42%) 2.0 / 3 (66%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 17.34 5.7 33% 4.1 / 15.34 (26%) 1.6 / 2 (80%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 15.5 -1.2 -8% 1.0 / 7.9 (13%) -2.4 / 2.42 (-100%) 0.1 / 5.18 (3%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 11.5 0.7 6% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 5.7 / 6.5 (87%)
1st Sep '18 Cage Warriors 96 2 1.5 77% 1.5 / 2 (77%)
30th Aug '18 PFL 7 2 3.0 150% 3.0 / 2 (150%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 23.54 -4.2 -18% -0.3 / 12.06 (-2%) -1.5 / 9 (-16%) -2.5 / 2.48 (-100%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 23.38 12.1 52% 8.2 / 16.38 (50%) 0.4 / 4 (10%) 3.5 / 3 (116%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 13.82 12.0 87% 7.0 / 8.6 (82%) 0.9 / 2.2 (43%) 4.0 / 3.02 (134%)
24th Jul '18 DWTNCS 14 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 11.68 8.6 74% 3.3 / 4.68 (70%) 5.4 / 7 (76%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 7.5 3.1 41% 3.6 / 7 (51%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Jul '18 Bellator 202 1.5 0.0 3% 0.0 / 1.5 (3%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 14.84 -2.1 -14% 2.2 / 8.4 (26%) -1.5 / 3.64 (-42%) -2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 7.45 -1.6 -22% 1.7 / 4.1 (42%) -1.6 / 1.6 (-100%) -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
28th Jun '18 BAMMA London: McKee vs Brazier 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
26th Jun '18 DWTNCS 11 6.12 -3.6 -60% -4.6 / 4.62 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.5 (65%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 27.5 -9.8 -36% 4.2 / 5 (83%) -17.5 / 17.5 (-100%) 3.6 / 5 (71%)
16th Jun '18 Cage Warriors 94 0.75 -0.8 -100% -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 39.2 28.9 74% 10.3 / 17 (61%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 24.5 / 16.2 (151%)
9th Jun '18 KSW 44 3.7 2.4 66% 2.4 / 3.7 (66%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 8.34 2.0 24% 2.5 / 4.5 (56%) -0.1 / 3.34 (-2%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 10.95 -7.2 -66% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) -1.2 / 4.95 (-24%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 14 11.4 82% 1.8 / 6 (30%) 4.1 / 5.5 (75%) 5.5 / 2.5 (219%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 20.87 -11.5 -55% -4.8 / 14.2 (-34%) -6.7 / 6.67 (-100%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 26 12.3 47% 4.1 / 9 (46%) 8.2 / 17 (48%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 28.8 -6.0 -21% -4.7 / 11.3 (-42%) -0.2 / 16.5 (-1%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 30.9 7.4 24% 14.6 / 11.3 (129%) -7.2 / 19.6 (-37%)
24th Mar '18 Invicta FC 28: Inoue vs. Jandiroba 3.3 1.9 57% 1.9 / 3.3 (57%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 7.5 7.6 102% 3.7 / 3.5 (105%) 3.9 / 4 (98%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 19.7 6.9 35% 8.6 / 18 (48%) -1.7 / 1.7 (-100%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 32.7 4.3 13% 0.7 / 27 (3%) 3.6 / 5.7 (63%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 9 5.5 61% 1.7 / 4 (44%) 3.8 / 5 (75%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 10.5 1.8 17% 1.4 / 4 (34%) 0.4 / 6.5 (7%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 12 -10.0 -84% -10.0 / 12 (-84%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 12.5 -1.0 -8% -1.0 / 12.5 (-8%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 25 -10.6 -42% -8.6 / 23 (-37%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 19 8.6 45% 6.4 / 15 (43%) 2.2 / 4 (55%)


Winning Events: 69 (53%)
Losing Events: 61 (47%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.37 units
Most Staked On One Event: 39.20 units
Best Event: 28.85 units
Worst Event: -22.00 units
Average Event: 0.40 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 35.52
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -24.60

Notorious Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2021 42.25 -18.1 -43% -17.0 / 24.75 (-69%) -0.1 / 16.5 (-0%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2 / 4 (33%) -3.02
2020 219.89 -4.6 -2% -19.6 / 131.02 (-15%) 7.6 / 54.52 (14%) 7.4 / 34.35 (22%) 22 / 20 (52%) -0.11
2019 170.86 -26.2 -15% -16.2 / 113.64 (-14%) 5.0 / 15.71 (32%) -15.0 / 41.51 (-36%) 15 / 15 (50%) -0.87
2018 597.96 103.2 17% 44.1 / 317.29 (14%) -21.8 / 174.1 (-13%) 80.9 / 106.57 (76%) 29 / 20 (59%) 2.11
2017 56.5 -2.9 -5% -3.1 / 50.5 (-6%) 0.2 / 6 (3%) 1 / 2 (33%) -0.97

Notorious Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Notorious Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 1026.87 32.4 3% -26.6 / 589.81 (-5%) -12.3 / 254.83 (-5%) 71.4 / 182.23 (39%)
Bellator 38.72 18.5 48% 15.4 / 27.02 (57%) 2.0 / 4.5 (45%) 1.1 / 7.2 (15%)
PFL 2 3.0 150% 3.0 / 2 (150%)
Other 19.87 -2.5 -13% -3.5 / 18.37 (-19%) 1.0 / 1.5 (65%)

Notorious Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 50 (17%) 39 78 % 214.90 21.28 0.43 10%
Slight Favorites 80 (27%) 43 54 % 199.67 -32.09 -0.40 -16%
Slight Underdogs 112 (38%) 41 37 % 165.51 -6.05 -0.05 -4%
Big Underdogs 49 (17%) 19 39 % 57.12 5.08 0.10 9%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 58 (20%) 32 55 % 170.55 -19.73 -0.34 -12%
Co-Main Event 34 (12%) 19 56 % 98.20 8.66 0.25 9%
Position 3-5 86 (30%) 38 44 % 171.25 -2.25 -0.03 -1%
6+ (Undercard) 112 (38%) 52 46 % 194.70 -0.23 -0.00 -0%

Notorious Picks: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 27 (9%) 13 48 % 54.97 -1.48 -0.05 -3%
Light Heavy 25 (9%) 14 56 % 52.15 11.44 0.46 22%
Middleweight 35 (12%) 19 54 % 105.64 -3.71 -0.11 -4%
Welterweight 47 (16%) 22 47 % 107.35 -9.61 -0.20 -9%
Lightweight 46 (16%) 19 41 % 103.24 -17.58 -0.38 -17%
Featherweight 28 (10%) 14 50 % 48.64 3.02 0.11 6%
Bantamweight 27 (9%) 9 33 % 52.23 -25.77 -0.95 -49%
Flyweight 16 (5%) 8 50 % 28.20 1.34 0.08 5%
               
Women's Fights 40 (14%) 24 60 % 84.78 30.58 0.76 36%
Featherweight 2 (1%) 2 100 % 6.50 2.37 1.18 36%
Bantamweight 5 (2%) 3 60 % 9.00 1.31 0.26 15%
Flyweight 8 (3%) 3 38 % 14.80 -0.43 -0.05 -3%
Strawweight 25 (9%) 16 64 % 54.48 27.32 1.09 50%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 188 (76%) 153 81 %
Slight Favorites 50 (20%) 26 52 %
Slight Underdogs 9 (4%) 6 67 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
247 185 75 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 44 (19%) 32 73 %
50-65% 40 (17%) 25 63 %
35-50% 73 (31%) 31 42 %
<35% chance 75 (32%) 16 21 %
232 104 45 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 11 (5%) 10 91 % 1.69 2.05Pick was correct 1.30Pick was correct 6.4 (58%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 28 (12%) 13 46 % 2.16 3.70Pick was incorrect 1.42Pick was incorrect 1.6 (6%)
Goes to Decision 16 (7%) 13 81 % 1.77 3.30Pick was correct 1.27Pick was correct 8.2 (52%)
Does not go to Decision 54 (23%) 32 59 % 1.62 2.55Pick was incorrect 1.22Pick was correct -2.5 (-5%)
Fight Starts Round X 5 (2%) 3 60 % 2.20 2.80Pick was correct 1.87Pick was incorrect 2.0 (40%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 5 (2%) 1 20 % 1.84 3.03Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was incorrect -3.6 (-72%)
X Wins by KO 32 (14%) 7 22 % 3.61 13.85Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was correct -5.5 (-17%)
X Wins by Sub 15 (6%) 0 0 % 5.25 13.00Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was incorrect -15.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 9 (4%) 5 56 % 2.66 9.00Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct 0.9 (10%)
X Wins Inside Distance 47 (20%) 19 40 % 2.54 11.05Pick was incorrect 1.36Pick was correct 3.8 (8%)
X Wins in Round X 7 (3%) 1 14 % 4.74 21.50Pick was incorrect 2.05Pick was incorrect -3.2 (-46%)
Others 3 (1%) 0 0 % 8.36 11.00Pick was incorrect 7.00Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
232 104 45 % 2.27     -9.8 (-4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Notorious Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
29th Jul UFC 214 19 8.6 45% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,086.39
4th Nov UFC 217 25 -10.6 -42% $10.86 $1,086.39 $971.23
31st Dec UFC 219 12.5 -1.0 -8% $9.71 $971.23 $961.96
20th Jan UFC 220 12 -10.0 -84% $9.62 $961.96 $865.30
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 3 -3.0 -100% $8.65 $865.30 $839.34
10th Feb UFC 221 10.5 1.8 17% $8.39 $839.34 $854.53
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 9 5.5 61% $8.55 $854.53 $901.59
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 32.7 4.3 13% $9.02 $901.59 $940.64
3rd Mar UFC 222 19.7 6.9 35% $9.41 $940.64 $1,005.96
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 7.5 7.6 102% $10.06 $1,005.96 $1,082.55
24th Mar Invicta FC 28: Inoue vs. Jandiroba 3.3 1.9 57% $10.83 $1,082.55 $1,102.95
7th Apr UFC 223 30.9 7.4 24% $11.03 $1,102.95 $1,184.93
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 28.8 -6.0 -21% $11.85 $1,184.93 $1,114.42
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 26 12.3 47% $11.14 $1,114.42 $1,251.64
12th May UFC 224 20.87 -11.5 -55% $0 $12.52 $1,251.64 $1,108.30
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 14 11.4 82% $11.08 $1,108.30 $1,235.00
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 10.95 -7.2 -66% $12.35 $1,235.00 $1,146.08
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 8.34 2.0 24% $11.46 $1,146.08 $1,168.72
9th Jun KSW 44 3.7 2.4 66% $11.69 $1,168.72 $1,197.08
9th Jun UFC 225 39.2 28.9 74% $0 $11.97 $1,197.08 $1,542.47
16th Jun Cage Warriors 94 0.75 -0.8 -100% $15.42 $1,542.47 $1,530.91
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 27.5 -9.8 -36% $15.31 $1,530.91 $1,381.21
26th Jun DWTNCS 11 6.12 -3.6 -60% $13.81 $1,381.21 $1,330.87
28th Jun BAMMA London: McKee vs Brazier 3 -3.0 -100% $13.31 $1,330.87 $1,290.94
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 7.45 -1.6 -22% $12.91 $1,290.94 $1,269.77
7th Jul UFC 226 14.84 -2.1 -14% $12.70 $1,269.77 $1,242.69
13th Jul Bellator 202 1.5 0.0 3% $12.43 $1,242.69 $1,243.19
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 7.5 3.1 41% $12.43 $1,243.19 $1,281.29
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 11.68 8.6 74% $12.81 $1,281.29 $1,391.81
24th Jul DWTNCS 14 1 -1.0 -100% $13.92 $1,391.81 $1,377.89
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 13.82 12.0 87% $13.78 $1,377.89 $1,543.41
4th Aug UFC 227 23.38 12.1 52% $15.43 $1,543.41 $1,729.47
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 23.54 -4.2 -18% $17.29 $1,729.47 $1,656.75
30th Aug PFL 7 2 3.0 150% $16.57 $1,656.75 $1,706.45
1st Sep Cage Warriors 96 2 1.5 77% $17.06 $1,706.45 $1,732.73
8th Sep UFC 228 11.5 0.7 6% $17.33 $1,732.73 $1,744.35
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 15.5 -1.2 -8% $17.44 $1,744.35 $1,722.82
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 17.34 5.7 33% $17.23 $1,722.82 $1,820.27
29th Sep Bellator 206 8 4.1 51% $18.20 $1,820.27 $1,894.67
6th Oct UFC 229 18.44 2.8 15% $18.95 $1,894.67 $1,947.21
12th Oct Bellator 207 2 2.1 106% $19.47 $1,947.21 $1,988.44
13th Oct Bellator 208 1.12 -1.1 -100% $19.88 $1,988.44 $1,966.17
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 12.34 -10.4 -84% $19.66 $1,966.17 $1,761.69
3rd Nov UFC 230 9.6 6.7 69% $17.62 $1,761.69 $1,879.12
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 14.44 -2.3 -16% $18.79 $1,879.12 $1,835.56
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 9.5 -0.9 -10% $18.36 $1,835.56 $1,818.47
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 11 12.2 111% $18.18 $1,818.47 $2,040.72
30th Nov TUF Finale 3 2.7 91% $20.41 $2,040.72 $2,096.50
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 4 -4.0 -100% $20.96 $2,096.50 $2,012.64
8th Dec UFC 231 3 4.4 147% $20.13 $2,012.64 $2,101.41
15th Dec UFC Fight Night Milwaukee 3.64 -3.6 -100% $21.01 $2,101.41 $2,024.92
29th Dec UFC 232 27 16.5 61% $20.25 $2,024.92 $2,358.53
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 16.68 -10.0 -60% $23.59 $2,358.53 $2,122.66
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 7 0.1 1% $21.23 $2,122.66 $2,124.43
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 10 -10.0 -100% $21.24 $2,124.43 $1,911.99
16th Feb Bellator 216 6 3.3 55% $19.12 $1,911.99 $1,975.15
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 6.19 -2.2 -35% $19.75 $1,975.15 $1,932.51
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 3.75 -3.8 -100% $19.33 $1,932.51 $1,860.04
2nd Mar UFC 235 1 -1.0 -100% $18.60 $1,860.04 $1,841.44
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 4.91 0.9 19% $18.41 $1,841.44 $1,858.46
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 9 4.3 48% $18.58 $1,858.46 $1,939.21
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 7.7 -6.8 -88% $19.39 $1,939.21 $1,807.10
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 5.74 -3.6 -63% $18.07 $1,807.10 $1,741.75
13th Apr UFC 236 11.27 5.9 52% $17.42 $1,741.75 $1,844.66
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 4 -4.0 -100% $18.45 $1,844.66 $1,770.87
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 6.71 -1.7 -25% $17.71 $1,770.87 $1,740.59
27th Apr Bellator 220 3.2 1.0 31% $17.41 $1,740.59 $1,757.86
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 5.47 -5.5 -100% $17.58 $1,757.86 $1,661.70
8th Jun UFC 238 3.4 5.1 150% $16.62 $1,661.70 $1,746.45
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 4.36 -3.1 -72% $17.46 $1,746.45 $1,691.70
6th Jul UFC 239 3.9 -1.3 -34% $16.92 $1,691.70 $1,668.96
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 7.14 -7.1 -100% $16.69 $1,668.96 $1,549.80
5th Oct UFC 243 7.4 2.4 33% $15.50 $1,549.80 $1,587.11
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 1 1.5 149% $15.87 $1,587.11 $1,610.76
18th Oct UFC ESPN 6 3 1.0 32% $16.11 $1,610.76 $1,626.42
26th Oct Bellator 232 2.4 1.5 65% $16.26 $1,626.42 $1,651.60
2nd Nov UFC 244 11.99 11.5 96% $16.52 $1,651.60 $1,841.32
9th Nov Bellator 233 1 3.4 340% $18.41 $1,841.32 $1,903.93
9th Nov UFC Fight Night 163 3.5 -3.5 -100% $19.04 $1,903.93 $1,837.29
16th Nov UFC Fight Night 164 4 1.4 35% $18.37 $1,837.29 $1,863.01
15th Dec UFC 245 6.65 -6.7 -100% $18.63 $1,863.01 $1,739.12
21st Dec UFC Fight Night 165 2.5 0.7 28% $17.39 $1,739.12 $1,751.50
18th Jan UFC 246 2.9 0.0 0% $17.52 $1,751.50 $1,751.51
25th Jan UFC Fight Night 166 2 -2.0 -100% $17.52 $1,751.51 $1,716.48
9th Feb UFC 247 0.5 -0.5 -100% $17.16 $1,716.48 $1,707.89
15th Feb UFC Fight Night 167 1 1.1 110% $17.08 $1,707.89 $1,726.68
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night 168 0.5 -0.5 -100% $17.27 $1,726.68 $1,718.05
29th Feb UFC Fight Night 1 1.4 140% $17.18 $1,718.05 $1,742.10
8th Mar UFC 248 7.8 6.2 80% $17.42 $1,742.10 $1,850.76
14th Mar UFC Fight Night 169 2.25 -0.1 -4% $18.51 $1,850.76 $1,849.10
10th May UFC 249 4 4.3 108% $18.49 $1,849.10 $1,929.27
14th May UFC Fight Night 170 5.5 -0.8 -15% $19.29 $1,929.27 $1,913.84
16th May UFC Fight Night 171 1 -1.0 -100% $19.14 $1,913.84 $1,894.70
30th May UFC Fight Night 172 3.52 -1.7 -48% $18.95 $1,894.70 $1,862.74
6th Jun UFC 250 12 -12.0 -100% $18.63 $1,862.74 $1,639.21
13th Jun UFC Fight Night 173 5 0.9 17% $16.39 $1,639.21 $1,653.26
20th Jun UFC Fight Night 174 11 8.5 78% $16.53 $1,653.26 $1,794.33
27th Jun UFC Fight Night 175 7 0.9 13% $17.94 $1,794.33 $1,810.61
11th Jul UFC 251 19.87 13.0 65% $18.11 $1,810.61 $2,045.17
15th Jul UFC Fight Island 1 8 2.9 36% $20.45 $2,045.17 $2,104.39
18th Jul UFC Fight Island 2 7 0.4 6% $21.04 $2,104.39 $2,112.89
25th Jul Bellator 242 1 -1.0 -100% $21.13 $2,112.89 $2,091.76
25th Jul UFC Fight Island 3 7 -0.2 -3% $20.92 $2,091.76 $2,086.95
1st Aug UFC Vegas 5 22 -22.0 -100% $20.87 $2,086.95 $1,627.82
8th Aug Bellator 243 2.5 1.3 53% $16.28 $1,627.82 $1,649.24
8th Aug UFC Vegas 6 5 -5.0 -100% $16.49 $1,649.24 $1,566.78
15th Aug UFC 252 5 1.1 22% $15.67 $1,566.78 $1,583.86
21st Aug Bellator 244 3 3.8 125% $15.84 $1,583.86 $1,643.25
22nd Aug UFC Vegas 7 10.99 -11.0 -100% $16.43 $1,643.25 $1,462.66
29th Aug UFC Fight Night 182 1 -1.0 -100% $14.63 $1,462.66 $1,448.03
19th Sep UFC FN - Covington vs Woodley 1 1.2 120% $14.48 $1,448.03 $1,465.41
26th Sep UFC 253 7.5 5.8 78% $14.65 $1,465.41 $1,551.09
4th Oct UFC FN - Holm vs Aldana 4 -4.0 -100% $15.51 $1,551.09 $1,489.05
10th Oct UFC FN - Moraes vs Sandhagen 2 0.6 29% $14.89 $1,489.05 $1,497.68
17th Oct UFC FN - Ortega vs Zombie 3 -0.9 -32% $14.98 $1,497.68 $1,483.46
24th Oct UFC 254 6 -1.6 -27% $14.83 $1,483.46 $1,459.72
31st Oct UFC Vegas 12 1 4.6 458% $14.60 $1,459.72 $1,526.57
8th Nov UFC Vegas 13 2 0.9 45% $15.27 $1,526.57 $1,540.31
14th Nov UFC Vegas 14 9 0.3 3% $15.40 $1,540.31 $1,545.07
21st Nov UFC 255 3.75 -1.6 -41% $15.45 $1,545.07 $1,521.12
29th Nov UFC Vegas 15 1.5 2.3 155% $15.21 $1,521.12 $1,556.49
6th Dec UFC Vegas 16 6.25 5.2 84% $15.56 $1,556.49 $1,638.20
13th Dec UFC 256 11.06 -3.6 -33% $16.38 $1,638.20 $1,579.10
19th Dec UFC Vegas 17 2.5 -0.9 -34% $15.79 $1,579.10 $1,565.68
16th Jan UFC FN 5 -5.0 -100% $15.66 $1,565.68 $1,487.39
20th Jan UFC on ESPN 20 11.25 -8.6 -76% $14.87 $1,487.39 $1,359.48
24th Jan UFC 257 9 6.2 69% $13.59 $1,359.48 $1,443.63
6th Feb UFC FN 1 -1.0 -100% $14.44 $1,443.63 $1,429.20
14th Feb UFC 258 14 -11.9 -85% $14.29 $1,429.20 $1,259.84
20th Feb UFC Fight Night 185 2 2.1 107% $12.60 $1,259.84 $1,286.92


ROI % from starting bank balance: 28.69% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Notorious Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '21 Julian Erosa Nate Landwehr 2.00 1 TKO, R1 (0:56) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Jared Gordon Danny Chavez 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '21 Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Amanda Ribas 3.57 1 TKO, R2 (0:54) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '20 Bill Algeo Spike Carlyle 2.55 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '20 Tim Means Mike Perry 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '20 Ashley Yoder Miranda Granger 2.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '20 Rafael dos Anjos Paul Felder 1.53 1.5 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '20 Glover Teixeira Thiago Santos 2.90 1 Sub, R3 (1:49) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '20 Fares Ziam Jamie Mullarkey 2.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '20 Ilia Topuria Youssef Zalal 2.58 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '20 Israel Adesanya Paulo Costa 1.61 3.5 TKO, R2 (3:59) MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '20 Randy Costa Journey Newson 2.20 1 TKO, R1 (0:41) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '20 Vadim Nemkov Ryan Bader 2.25 3 TKO, R2 (3:2) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '20 Stipe Miocic Daniel Cormier 2.03 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '20 Michael Chandler Benson Henderson 1.53 2.5 TKO, R1 (2:9) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '20 Deiveson Figueiredo Joseph Benavidez 1.48 5 Sub, R1 (4:48) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '20 Mounir Lazzez Abdul Razak Alhassan 3.70 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '20 Muslim Salikhov Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1.80 2.12 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '20 Alex Volkanovski Max Holloway 1.45 5 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '20 Petr Yan Jose Aldo 1.48 5 TKO, R5 (3:24) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '21 Ian Heinisch Kelvin Gastelum 2.90 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '21 Dhiego Lima Belal Muhammad 4.75 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '21 Gilbert Burns Kamaru Usman 3.10 5 TKO, R3 (0:34) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '21 Gilbert Burns Kamaru Usman 3.25 5 TKO, R3 (0:34) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '21 Manel Kape Alexandre Pantoja 2.12 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '21 Mason Jones Mike Davis 2.40 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '21 Gaetano Pirrello Ricky Simon 4.50 1 Sub, R2 (4:0) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '21 Douglas Silva de Andrade Lerone Murphy 3.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '21 Mounir Lazzez Warlley Alves 1.87 5.75 TKO, R1 (2:35) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '20 Jack Hermansson Marvin Vettori 2.10 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '20 Justin Jaynes Gabriel Benitez 2.85 1 TKO, R1 (4:6) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '20 Ariane Lipski Antonina Shevchenko 2.35 1 TKO, R2 (4:33) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '20 Randa Markos Kanako Murata 2.60 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '20 Roque Martinez Don'tale Mayes 2.85 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '20 Justin Gaethje Khabib Nurmagomedov 3.85 3 Sub, R2 (1:34) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '20 John Phillips Jun Yong Park 3.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '20 Cameron Else Kyler Phillips 4.80 1 TKO, R2 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '20 Heili Alateng Casey Kenney 3.76 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '20 Irene Aldana Holly Holm 2.02 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '20 Robbie Lawler Neil Magny 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Notorious Picks: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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