|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Cage Prophet |
|
Cage Prophet: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
2nd Mar '19 |
UFC 235 |
53 |
-44.9 |
-85% |
-30.9 / 39 (-79%) |
|
-14.0 / 14 (-100%) |
1st Dec '18 |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
-10.0 / 10 (-100%) |
|
|
10th Nov '18 |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
11.5 |
-8.5 |
-74% |
-6.0 / 9 (-66%) |
|
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
3rd Nov '18 |
UFC 230 |
7 |
-5.6 |
-80% |
-0.6 / 2 (-31%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
27th Oct '18 |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
132% |
|
0.2 / 0.2 (110%) |
2.7 / 2 (134%) |
6th Oct '18 |
UFC 229 |
18.5 |
-14.0 |
-76% |
-7.5 / 12 (-63%) |
|
-6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) |
15th Sep '18 |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
7.5 |
-5.1 |
-68% |
-3.7 / 5.5 (-68%) |
|
-1.3 / 2 (-67%) |
8th Sep '18 |
UFC 228 |
4 |
-0.7 |
-17% |
0.3 / 3 (11%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
25th Aug '18 |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
1 |
0.0 |
3% |
0.0 / 1 (3%) |
|
|
4th Aug '18 |
UFC 227 |
2.5 |
-1.5 |
-60% |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
-0.5 / 1.5 (-33%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
28th Jul '18 |
UFC on Fox 30 |
9.5 |
1.1 |
11% |
1.3 / 6 (21%) |
|
-0.2 / 3.5 (-6%) |
10th Jul '18 |
DWTNCS 12 |
2 |
-0.7 |
-36% |
-0.7 / 2 (-36%) |
|
|
7th Jul '18 |
UFC 226 |
7.8 |
1.1 |
14% |
1.6 / 5 (33%) |
|
-0.5 / 2.8 (-18%) |
9th Jun '18 |
UFC 225 |
9.5 |
1.4 |
14% |
-1.2 / 5.5 (-21%) |
1.8 / 3 (58%) |
0.8 / 1 (78%) |
7th Apr '18 |
UFC 223 |
3 |
0.1 |
2% |
0.3 / 2 (13%) |
0.3 / 0.5 (63%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
16th Dec '17 |
UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
-7.0 / 7 (-100%) |
|
|
9th Dec '17 |
UFC Fight Night 123 |
9 |
-5.0 |
-56% |
0.0 / 4 (0%) |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
2nd Dec '17 |
UFC 218 |
12 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
-0.8 / 7 (-12%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
1.8 / 4 (46%) |
25th Nov '17 |
UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum |
4 |
-2.8 |
-70% |
-1.8 / 3 (-60%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
4th Nov '17 |
UFC 217 |
13 |
-1.7 |
-13% |
-1.5 / 6 (-24%) |
0.8 / 6 (13%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
7th Oct '17 |
UFC 216 |
0.6 |
-0.6 |
-100% |
|
-0.6 / 0.6 (-100%) |
|
16th Sep '17 |
UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch |
11.75 |
9.2 |
78% |
4.3 / 6.25 (69%) |
0.3 / 1.5 (18%) |
4.6 / 4 (116%) |
9th Sep '17 |
UFC 215 |
7.25 |
5.1 |
71% |
2.8 / 5 (56%) |
|
2.4 / 2.25 (105%) |
2nd Sep '17 |
UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov |
10.5 |
2.0 |
19% |
-0.5 / 4.5 (-11%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
3.0 / 5.5 (54%) |
29th Aug '17 |
DWTNCS 8 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
|
|
26th Aug '17 |
Bellator 182 |
4 |
3.3 |
81% |
1.3 / 2 (63%) |
2.0 / 2 (100%) |
|
22nd Aug '17 |
DWTNCS 7 |
4 |
-1.4 |
-35% |
-1.4 / 4 (-35%) |
|
|
15th Aug '17 |
DWTNCS 6 |
3 |
1.7 |
55% |
1.2 / 2 (58%) |
0.5 / 1 (50%) |
|
8th Aug '17 |
DWTNCS 5 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
|
|
5th Aug '17 |
UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno |
3 |
2.5 |
83% |
1.2 / 2 (61%) |
|
1.3 / 1 (128%) |
29th Jul '17 |
UFC 214 |
10.5 |
1.1 |
11% |
1.0 / 5 (21%) |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
2.6 / 3 (86%) |
22nd Jul '17 |
UFC on Fox 25 |
4 |
-1.5 |
-37% |
-0.5 / 3 (-16%) |
|
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
Winning Events: 13 (41%) Losing Events: 19 (59%)
Average Staked Per Event: 7.93 units Most Staked On One Event: 53.00 units Best Event: 9.22 units Worst Event: -44.87 units Average Event: -2.51 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 16.38 Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -68.98 |
Cage Prophet: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2019 |
53 |
-44.9 |
-85% |
-30.9 / 39 (-79%) |
|
-14.0 / 14 (-100%) |
/ 1 (0%) |
-44.87 |
2018 |
96 |
-39.5 |
-41% |
-26.7 / 63.5 (-42%) |
0.3 / 6.7 (4%) |
-13.1 / 25.8 (-51%) |
6 / 8 (43%) |
-2.82 |
2017 |
104.6 |
3.9 |
4% |
-2.7 / 61.75 (-4%) |
-1.0 / 15.1 (-7%) |
7.7 / 27.75 (28%) |
7 / 10 (41%) |
0.23 |
|
Cage Prophet: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
Cage Prophet: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
239.6 |
-82.2 |
-34% |
-59.6 / 153.25 (-39%) |
-3.2 / 18.8 (-17%) |
-19.4 / 67.55 (-29%) |
Bellator |
4 |
3.3 |
81% |
1.3 / 2 (63%) |
2.0 / 2 (100%) |
|
Other |
10 |
-1.5 |
-15% |
-2.0 / 9 (-22%) |
0.5 / 1 (50%) |
|
|
Cage Prophet: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
23 (25%) |
17 |
74 % |
26.25 |
-0.88 |
-0.04 |
-3% |
Slight Favorites |
32 (35%) |
14 |
44 % |
79.25 |
-32.43 |
-1.01 |
-41% |
Slight Underdogs |
27 (30%) |
10 |
37 % |
52.50 |
-20.74 |
-0.77 |
-40% |
Big Underdogs |
9 (10%) |
0 |
0 % |
6.25 |
-6.25 |
-0.69 |
-100% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
12 (13%) |
3 |
25 % |
27.00 |
-20.36 |
-1.70 |
-75% |
Co-Main Event |
12 (13%) |
5 |
42 % |
15.00 |
-6.43 |
-0.54 |
-43% |
Position 3-5 |
33 (36%) |
12 |
36 % |
74.25 |
-42.82 |
-1.30 |
-58% |
6+ (Undercard) |
33 (36%) |
20 |
61 % |
47.00 |
8.73 |
0.26 |
19% |
|
Cage Prophet: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
6 (7%) |
1 |
17 % |
18.00 |
-13.67 |
-2.28 |
-76% |
Light Heavy |
9 (10%) |
5 |
56 % |
16.25 |
0.35 |
0.04 |
2% |
Middleweight |
3 (3%) |
2 |
67 % |
4.00 |
0.80 |
0.27 |
20% |
Welterweight |
15 (16%) |
6 |
40 % |
22.00 |
-11.27 |
-0.75 |
-51% |
Lightweight |
19 (21%) |
10 |
53 % |
27.50 |
-0.25 |
-0.01 |
-1% |
Featherweight |
18 (20%) |
7 |
39 % |
21.75 |
-3.80 |
-0.21 |
-17% |
Bantamweight |
9 (10%) |
4 |
44 % |
39.25 |
-32.46 |
-3.61 |
-83% |
Flyweight |
4 (4%) |
1 |
25 % |
4.25 |
-1.66 |
-0.42 |
-39% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
8 (9%) |
5 |
63 % |
11.25 |
1.65 |
0.21 |
15% |
Bantamweight |
3 (3%) |
2 |
67 % |
3.25 |
1.35 |
0.45 |
41% |
Strawweight |
5 (5%) |
3 |
60 % |
8.00 |
0.30 |
0.06 |
4% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
58 (46%) |
37 |
64 % |
Slight Favorites |
50 (39%) |
23 |
46 % |
Slight Underdogs |
18 (14%) |
10 |
56 % |
Big Underdogs |
1 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
127 |
70 |
55 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
1 (4%) |
1 |
100 % |
50-65% |
9 (35%) |
4 |
44 % |
35-50% |
5 (19%) |
3 |
60 % |
<35% chance |
11 (42%) |
1 |
9 % |
|
26 |
9 |
35 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Cage Prophet's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
22nd Jul |
UFC on Fox 25 |
4 |
-1.5 |
-37% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$985.20 |
29th Jul |
UFC 214 |
10.5 |
1.1 |
11% |
|
$9.85 |
$985.20 |
$996.14 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno |
3 |
2.5 |
83% |
|
$9.96 |
$996.14 |
$1,020.91 |
8th Aug |
DWTNCS 5 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.21 |
$1,020.91 |
$1,015.81 |
15th Aug |
DWTNCS 6 |
3 |
1.7 |
55% |
|
$10.16 |
$1,015.81 |
$1,032.63 |
22nd Aug |
DWTNCS 7 |
4 |
-1.4 |
-35% |
|
$10.33 |
$1,032.63 |
$1,018.05 |
26th Aug |
Bellator 182 |
4 |
3.3 |
81% |
|
$10.18 |
$1,018.05 |
$1,051.24 |
29th Aug |
DWTNCS 8 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.51 |
$1,051.24 |
$1,045.99 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov |
10.5 |
2.0 |
19% |
|
$10.46 |
$1,045.99 |
$1,067.09 |
9th Sep |
UFC 215 |
7.25 |
5.1 |
71% |
|
$10.67 |
$1,067.09 |
$1,121.94 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch |
11.75 |
9.2 |
78% |
|
$11.22 |
$1,121.94 |
$1,225.38 |
7th Oct |
UFC 216 |
0.6 |
-0.6 |
-100% |
|
$12.25 |
$1,225.38 |
$1,218.03 |
4th Nov |
UFC 217 |
13 |
-1.7 |
-13% |
|
$12.18 |
$1,218.03 |
$1,197.93 |
25th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum |
4 |
-2.8 |
-70% |
|
$11.98 |
$1,197.93 |
$1,164.49 |
2nd Dec |
UFC 218 |
12 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$11.64 |
$1,164.49 |
$1,164.33 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night 123 |
9 |
-5.0 |
-56% |
|
$11.64 |
$1,164.33 |
$1,106.12 |
16th Dec |
UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.06 |
$1,106.12 |
$1,028.69 |
7th Apr |
UFC 223 |
3 |
0.1 |
2% |
|
$10.29 |
$1,028.69 |
$1,029.33 |
9th Jun |
UFC 225 |
9.5 |
1.4 |
14% |
|
$10.29 |
$1,029.33 |
$1,043.39 |
7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
7.8 |
1.1 |
14% |
|
$10.43 |
$1,043.39 |
$1,055.17 |
10th Jul |
DWTNCS 12 |
2 |
-0.7 |
-36% |
|
$10.55 |
$1,055.17 |
$1,047.64 |
28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
9.5 |
1.1 |
11% |
|
$10.48 |
$1,047.64 |
$1,058.96 |
4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
2.5 |
-1.5 |
-60% |
|
$10.59 |
$1,058.96 |
$1,043.07 |
25th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
1 |
0.0 |
3% |
|
$10.43 |
$1,043.07 |
$1,043.33 |
8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
4 |
-0.7 |
-17% |
|
$10.43 |
$1,043.33 |
$1,036.44 |
15th Sep |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
7.5 |
-5.1 |
-68% |
|
$10.36 |
$1,036.44 |
$983.75 |
6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
18.5 |
-14.0 |
-76% |
|
$9.84 |
$983.75 |
$845.83 |
27th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
132% |
|
$8.46 |
$845.83 |
$870.38 |
3rd Nov |
UFC 230 |
7 |
-5.6 |
-80% |
|
$8.70 |
$870.38 |
$821.38 |
10th Nov |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
11.5 |
-8.5 |
-74% |
|
$8.21 |
$821.38 |
$751.77 |
1st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
|
$7.52 |
$751.77 |
$676.60 |
2nd Mar |
UFC 235 |
53 |
-44.9 |
-85% |
|
$6.77 |
$676.60 |
$372.97 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -62.70% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Cage Prophet: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Mar '19 |
Cody Garbrandt |
Pedro Munhoz |
1.68 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (4:52) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Mar '19 |
Cody Garbrandt |
Pedro Munhoz |
1.71 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (4:52) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Mar '19 |
Tyron Woodley |
Kamaru Usman |
1.63 |
2 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Mar '19 |
Cody Garbrandt |
Pedro Munhoz |
1.67 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (4:52) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Dec '18 |
Tai Tuivasa |
Junior dos Santos |
2.35 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (2:30) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Nov '18 |
Luis Pena |
Mike Trizano |
1.59 |
2 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Nov '18 |
Mike Perry |
Donald Cerrone |
1.51 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (4:46) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Nov '18 |
Chan Sung Jung |
Yair Rodriguez |
1.88 |
1 |
TKO, R5 (4:59) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Nov '18 |
Chas Skelly |
Bobby Moffett |
1.91 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (2:43) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Nov '18 |
Jason Knight |
Jordan Rinaldi |
1.39 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Oct '18 |
Alexander Volkov |
Derrick Lewis |
1.55 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (4:49) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Oct '18 |
Felice Herrig |
Michelle Waterson |
1.76 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Oct '18 |
Ovince St Preux |
Dominick Reyes |
2.70 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Oct '18 |
Conor McGregor |
Khabib Nurmagomedov |
2.41 |
1 |
Sub, R4 (3:2) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Sep '18 |
Andrei Arlovski |
Shamil Abdurakhimov |
2.13 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Sep '18 |
Nikita Krylov |
Jan Blachowicz |
1.85 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (2:41) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Sep '18 |
Niko Price |
Abdul Razak Alhassan |
2.04 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:43) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Aug '18 |
Jon Tuck |
Drew Dober |
2.90 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Oct '18 |
Conor McGregor |
Khabib Nurmagomedov |
2.25 |
4 |
Sub, R4 (3:2) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Aug '18 |
Cub Swanson |
Renato Moicano |
4.35 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (4:15) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Cage Prophet: Progress Chart |
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