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MMA Handicapper Stats: kramer

kramer (thekman)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	17 (52%)	Right	16 (64%)	Right	1 (33%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	16 (48%)	Wrong	9 (36%)	Wrong	2 (67%)	Wrong	5 (100%)
Avg Odds	1.79	Avg Odds	1.53	Avg Odds	1.78	Avg Odds	12.35
Units Bet	251.0	Units Bet	205.0	Units Bet	26.0	Units Bet	20.0
Avg Bet	7.61	Avg Bet	8.20	Avg Bet	8.67	Avg Bet	4.00
Units Profit	-33.98	Units Profit	-3.56	Units Profit	-10.42	Units Profit	-20.00
ROI %	-14%	ROI %	-2%	ROI %	-40%	ROI %	-100%

kramer : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
29th Jul '17	UFC 214	55	2.4	4%	2.4 / 55 (4%)
22nd Jul '17	UFC on Fox 25	71	-14.1	-20%	-9.1 / 66 (-14%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
16th Jul '17	UFC Fight Night 113	71	-6.7	-9%	-1.7 / 66 (-3%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
11th Jul '17	Dana White's TNCS 1	11	-11.0	-100%		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
8th Jul '17	UFC 213	43	-4.6	-11%	4.9 / 18 (27%)	0.6 / 15 (4%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)

Winning Events: 1 (20%)
Losing Events: 4 (80%)

Average Staked Per Event: 50.20 units
Most Staked On One Event: 71.00 units
Best Event: 2.41 units
Worst Event: -14.10 units
Average Event: -6.80 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 2.41
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -36.39

kramer : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2017	251	-34.0	-14%	-3.6 / 205 (-2%)	-10.4 / 26 (-40%)	-20.0 / 20 (-100%)	1 / 4 (20%)	-6.80

kramer : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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kramer : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	240	-23.0	-10%	-3.6 / 205 (-2%)	0.6 / 15 (4%)	-20.0 / 20 (-100%)
Other	11	-11.0	-100%		-11.0 / 11 (-100%)

kramer : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	15 (60%)	10	67 %	119.00	-16.01	-1.07	-13%
Slight Favorites	7 (28%)	4	57 %	63.00	-12.30	-1.76	-20%
Slight Underdogs	3 (12%)	2	67 %	23.00	24.74	8.25	108%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (12%)	2	67 %	27.00	7.91	2.64	29%
Co-Main Event	3 (12%)	2	67 %	33.00	-0.12	-0.04	-0%
Position 3-5	5 (20%)	3	60 %	47.00	4.62	0.92	10%
6+ (Undercard)	14 (56%)	9	64 %	98.00	-15.98	-1.14	-16%

kramer : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (8%)	1	50 %	4.00	-2.88	-1.44	-72%
Light Heavy	2 (8%)	1	50 %	22.00	-5.42	-2.71	-25%
Middleweight	3 (12%)	2	67 %	17.00	17.91	5.97	105%
Welterweight	7 (28%)	5	71 %	59.00	-0.24	-0.03	-0%
Lightweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	2.00	0.92	0.92	46%
Featherweight	4 (16%)	2	50 %	44.00	-6.59	-1.65	-15%
Bantamweight	4 (16%)	2	50 %	35.00	-15.49	-3.87	-44%
Flyweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	11.00	3.01	3.01	27%

Women's Fights	1 (4%)	1	100 %	11.00	5.21	5.21	47%
Strawweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	11.00	5.21	5.21	47%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	13 (57%)	8	62 %
Slight Favorites	10 (43%)	9	90 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	23	17	74 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	2 (25%)	2	100 %
50-65%	3 (38%)	1	33 %
35-50%	3 (38%)	1	33 %
<35% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	8	4	50 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (50%)	3	75 %	1.63	2.25	1.42	1.1 (27%)
X Wins by KO	1 (13%)	0	0 %	2.68	2.68	2.68	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	3 (38%)	1	33 %	1.89	2.05	1.69	-1.3 (-44%)
	8	4	50 %	1.81			-1.2 (-15%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail kramer 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
8th Jul	UFC 213	43	-4.6	-11%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$954.36
11th Jul	Dana White's TNCS 1	11	-11.0	-100%		$9.54	$954.36	$849.38
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night 113	71	-6.7	-9%		$8.49	$849.38	$792.24
22nd Jul	UFC on Fox 25	71	-14.1	-20%		$7.92	$792.24	$680.54
29th Jul	UFC 214	55	2.4	4%		$6.81	$680.54	$696.94

ROI % from starting bank balance: -30.31% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

kramer : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '17	Ricardo Lamas	Jason Knight	2.05	11	TKO, R1 (4:34)
2.	Jul '17	Robbie Lawler	Donald Cerrone	1.65	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Jul '17	Tyron Woodley	Demian Maia	1.52	11	U Decision (5 rounds)
4.	Jul '17	Jeremy Kennedy	Kyle Bochniak	1.35	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jul '17	Jimmie Rivera	Thomas Almeida	1.53	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jul '17	Chris Weidman	Kelvin Gastelum	2.29	11	Sub, R3 (3:45)
7.	Jul '17	Alexandre Pantoja	Neil Seery	1.27	11	Sub, R3 (2:31)
8.	Jul '17	Danny Roberts	Bobby Nash	1.59	11	TKO, R2 (3:59)
9.	Jul '17	Cynthia Calvillo	Joanne Wood	1.47	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jul '17	Khalil Rountree	Paul Craig	1.51	11	TKO, R1 (4:56)
11.	Jul '17	Rob Font	Douglas Silva de Andrade	1.33	2	Sub, R2 (4:36)
12.	Jul '17	Chad Laprise	Brian Camozzi	1.11	1	TKO, R3 (1:27)
13.	Jul '17	Belal Muhammad	Jordan Mein	1.78	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Jul '17	Anthony Pettis	Jim Miller	1.46	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jul '17	Curtis Blaydes	Daniel Omielanczuk	1.12	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Jul '17	Robert Whittaker	Yoel Romero	1.94	5	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '17	Jimi Manuwa	Volkan Oezdemir	1.56	11	TKO, R1 (0:42)	No
2.	Jul '17	Renan Barao	Aljamain Sterling	1.80	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Jul '17	Brian Kelleher	Marlon Vera	1.46	11	Sub, R1 (2:18)	No
4.	Jul '17	Ryan LaFlare	Alex Oliveira	1.58	11	TKO, R2 (1:50)	No
5.	Jul '17	Dennis Bermudez	Darren Elkins	1.45	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jul '17	Daniel Teymur	Danny Henry	1.46	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jul '17	Gunnar Nelson	Santiago Ponzinibbio	1.51	11	TKO, R1 (1:22)	No
8.	Jul '17	Gerald Meerschaert	Thiago Santos	2.37	1	TKO, R2 (2:4)	Yes
9.	Jul '17	Travis Browne	Aleksei Oleinik	1.45	3	Sub, R2 (3:44)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

kramer : Progress Chart

Chart

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