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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mon Pal

Mon Pal (ldmma24)


MMA MHandicapper - Mon Pal

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 43 (51%) Right 31 (53%) Right 8 (62%) Right 4 (31%)
Wrong 42 (49%) Wrong 28 (47%) Wrong 5 (38%) Wrong 9 (69%)
Avg Odds 1.65 Avg Odds 1.62 Avg Odds 1.43 Avg Odds 2.15
Units Bet 251.3 Units Bet 177.8 Units Bet 31.0 Units Bet 42.5
Avg Bet 2.96 Avg Bet 3.01 Avg Bet 2.38 Avg Bet 3.27
Units Profit -52.98 Units Profit -34.48 Units Profit -4.92 Units Profit -13.58
ROI % -21% ROI % -19% ROI % -16% ROI % -32%
View Handicapper's Profile

Mon Pal: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
11th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 5 5.0 100% 5.0 / 5 (100%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
23rd Sep '17 Bellator 183 Henderson vs. Freire 34 -22.0 -65% -15.0 / 27 (-55%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
22nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 16 -16.0 -100% -10.0 / 10 (-100%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 24.25 -15.2 -63% -4.1 / 10.25 (-40%) -3.1 / 6 (-52%) -8.0 / 8 (-100%)
2nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 30.5 10.6 35% -0.3 / 10.5 (-3%) 3.3 / 10 (33%) 7.5 / 10 (75%)
26th Aug '17 Bellator 182 13.5 0.4 3% -1.7 / 8.5 (-20%) 2.1 / 5 (42%)
22nd Aug '17 DWTNCS 7 8 -2.0 -25% -2.0 / 8 (-25%)
15th Aug '17 DWTNCS 6 10.5 7.2 68% 6.0 / 8.5 (71%) 1.1 / 2 (57%)
8th Aug '17 DWTNCS 5 16.5 1.6 10% 1.6 / 16.5 (10%)
5th Aug '17 UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 14.5 -5.2 -36% -1.5 / 8.5 (-17%) -3.7 / 6 (-62%)
1st Aug '17 DWTNCS 4 5 2.0 40% 2.0 / 5 (40%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 17 -10.2 -60% -7.2 / 14 (-51%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
22nd Jul '17 UFC on Fox 25 10 -1.3 -13% 1.7 / 7 (25%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
16th Jul '17 UFC Fight Night 113 11.5 -4.6 -40% -6.4 / 9 (-71%) 1.8 / 2.5 (73%)
8th Jul '17 UFC 213 14 5.9 42% 5.0 / 13 (38%) 1.0 / 1 (95%)
7th Jul '17 TUF Season 25 Finale 16 -4.3 -27% -2.8 / 12 (-23%) -1.6 / 4 (-39%)


Winning Events: 7 (41%)
Losing Events: 10 (59%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.78 units
Most Staked On One Event: 34.00 units
Best Event: 10.59 units
Worst Event: -21.96 units
Average Event: -3.12 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 10.99
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -58.13

Mon Pal: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2017 251.25 -53.0 -21% -34.5 / 177.75 (-19%) -4.9 / 31 (-16%) -13.6 / 42.5 (-32%) 7 / 10 (41%) -3.12

Mon Pal: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Mon Pal: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 163.75 -40.2 -25% -25.5 / 104.25 (-24%) -6.1 / 29 (-21%) -8.7 / 30.5 (-28%)
Bellator 47.5 -21.6 -45% -16.6 / 35.5 (-47%) -4.9 / 12 (-41%)
Other 40 8.8 22% 7.7 / 38 (20%) 1.1 / 2 (57%)

Mon Pal: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 31 (53%) 21 68 % 109.00 -10.93 -0.35 -10%
Slight Favorites 12 (20%) 5 42 % 34.25 -18.80 -1.57 -55%
Slight Underdogs 13 (22%) 5 38 % 30.50 -0.75 -0.06 -2%
Big Underdogs 3 (5%) 0 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -1.33 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 10 (17%) 6 60 % 39.50 -3.62 -0.36 -9%
Co-Main Event 8 (14%) 5 63 % 23.00 3.79 0.47 16%
Position 3-5 20 (34%) 7 35 % 70.75 -32.60 -1.63 -46%
6+ (Undercard) 21 (36%) 13 62 % 44.50 -2.05 -0.10 -5%

Mon Pal: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 6.50 -0.76 -0.25 -12%
Light Heavy 8 (14%) 4 50 % 22.75 -5.28 -0.66 -23%
Middleweight 6 (10%) 4 67 % 15.50 -0.05 -0.01 -0%
Welterweight 13 (22%) 6 46 % 41.00 -17.27 -1.33 -42%
Lightweight 10 (17%) 6 60 % 41.00 -3.68 -0.37 -9%
Featherweight 8 (14%) 3 38 % 21.00 -6.39 -0.80 -30%
Bantamweight 5 (8%) 4 80 % 14.00 4.95 0.99 35%
Flyweight 3 (5%) 2 67 % 9.00 1.00 0.33 11%
               
Women's Fights 3 (5%) 0 % 7.00 -7.00 -2.33 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Strawweight 1 (2%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 27 (84%) 18 67 %
Slight Favorites 5 (16%) 1 20 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
32 19 59 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 9 (64%) 6 67 %
50-65% 5 (36%) 3 60 %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
14 9 64 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 11 (79%) 6 55 % 1.48 1.67Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-18%)
Goes to Decision 1 (7%) 1 100 % 1.95 1.95Pick was correct 1.95Pick was correct 1.0 (95%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (14%) 2 100 % 1.25 1.29Pick was correct 1.22Pick was correct 0.5 (25%)
14 9 64 % 1.46     -0.5 (-4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Mon Pal's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
7th Jul TUF Season 25 Finale 16 -4.3 -27% $10.00 $1,000.00 $956.77
8th Jul UFC 213 14 5.9 42% $6 $9.57 $956.77 $1,007.29
16th Jul UFC Fight Night 113 11.5 -4.6 -40% $10.07 $1,007.29 $961.01
22nd Jul UFC on Fox 25 10 -1.3 -13% $9.61 $961.01 $948.89
29th Jul UFC 214 17 -10.2 -60% $6 $9.49 $948.89 $846.27
1st Aug DWTNCS 4 5 2.0 40% $8.46 $846.27 $863.20
5th Aug UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 14.5 -5.2 -36% $8.63 $863.20 $818.47
8th Aug DWTNCS 5 16.5 1.6 10% $8.18 $818.47 $831.88
15th Aug DWTNCS 6 10.5 7.2 68% $8.32 $831.88 $891.46
22nd Aug DWTNCS 7 8 -2.0 -25% $8.91 $891.46 $873.63
26th Aug Bellator 182 13.5 0.4 3% $8.74 $873.63 $877.15
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 30.5 10.6 35% $8.77 $877.15 $970.00
9th Sep UFC 215 24.25 -15.2 -63% $9.70 $970.00 $822.81
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 16 -16.0 -100% $8.23 $822.81 $691.16
23rd Sep Bellator 183 Henderson vs. Freire 34 -22.0 -65% $6.91 $691.16 $539.39
4th Nov UFC 217 5 -5.0 -100% $5.39 $539.39 $512.42
11th Nov UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 5 5.0 100% $5.12 $512.42 $538.04


ROI % from starting bank balance: -46.20% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Mon Pal: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Sep '17 Aaron Pico Justin Linn 1.20 10 TKO, R1 (3:45) MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '17 Dustin Poirier Anthony Pettis 2.00 5 TKO, R3 (2:8) MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '17 Alex White Mitch Clarke 1.57 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:36) MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '17 Aleksandar Rakic Francimar Barroso 1.86 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '17 Michel Prazeres Mads Burnell 1.30 5 Sub, R3 (1:26) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '17 Andrey Koreshkov Chidi Njokuani 1.36 5 TKO, R1 (4:8) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '17 Benito Lopez Steven Peterson 2.00 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '17 Rafael dos Anjos Neil Magny 1.53 2.5 Sub, R1 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '17 Jaime Alvarez Martin Day 1.53 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '17 Grant Dawson Adrian Diaz 2.40 2.5 Sub, R2 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '17 Charles Byrd Randall Wallace 1.36 4 Sub, R2 (2:3) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '17 Mike Rodriguez Jamelle Jones 1.40 3 TKO, R1 (2:15) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '17 Ricky Simon Donavon Frelow 1.24 6 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '17 Julio Arce Peter Petties 1.30 5 TKO, R2 (2:20) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '17 Jordan Rinaldi Alvaro Herrera 1.44 2.5 Sub, R1 (2:1) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '17 Jack Hermansson Brad Scott 1.36 2.5 TKO, R1 (3:50) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '17 Kyler Phillips James Gray Jr 1.40 5 TKO, R1 (0:46) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '17 Jon Jones Daniel Cormier 1.36 5 TKO, R3 (3:1) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '17 Jeremy Kennedy Kyle Bochniak 1.40 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '17 Jimmie Rivera Thomas Almeida 1.44 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '17 Adam Piccolotti Goiti Yamauchi 1.57 10 Sub, R1 (3:19) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '17 Lorenz Larkin Paul Daley 1.36 7 TKO, R2 (2:40) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '17 Michael Bisping Georges St-Pierre 2.20 5 Sub, R3 (4:23) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '17 Luke Jumeau Shinsho Anzai 1.36 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '17 Rolando Dy Teruto Ishihara 1.91 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '17 Tyson Pedro Ilir Latifi 1.72 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '17 Gavin Tucker Rick Glenn 1.36 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '17 Desmond Green Rustam Khabilov 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '17 Brennan Ward Fernando Gonzalez 2.00 1.5 Sub, R3 (3:2) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '17 Veta Arteaga Bruna Ellen 1.50 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '17 Mark Cherico Mike Santiago 1.72 2 TKO, R1 (2:59) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '17 Anton Berzin Kennedy Nzechukwu 1.36 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '17 Valentina Shevchenko Amanda Nunes 1.91 3 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '17 Bryan Barberena Leon Edwards 3.60 2.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '17 Everett Sims Shelton Graves 1.91 2.5 TKO, R3 (2:38) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '17 Andre Soukhamthath Alejandro Perez 2.10 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '17 Hector Sandoval Dustin Ortiz 2.75 1 TKO, R1 (0:15) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '17 Martin Bravo Humberto Bandenay 1.30 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:26) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '17 Jimi Manuwa Volkan Oezdemir 1.53 5 TKO, R1 (0:42) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '17 Renan Barao Aljamain Sterling 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Mon Pal: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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