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MMA Handicapper Stats: Detroit Dirt Dozen |
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Detroit Dirt Dozen: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 43 (51%)
Losing Events: 41 (49%)
Average Staked Per Event: 43.20 units
Most Staked On One Event: 143.00 units
Best Event: 48.09 units
Worst Event: -44.01 units
Average Event: -1.20 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 59.52
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -101.95 |
Detroit Dirt Dozen: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2019 |
979 |
-40.0 |
-4% |
-40.0 / 979 (-4%) |
|
|
3 / 6 (33%) |
-4.44 |
| 2018 |
2242 |
-122.9 |
-5% |
-135.5 / 2221 (-6%) |
|
12.6 / 21 (60%) |
25 / 26 (49%) |
-2.41 |
| 2017 |
407.5 |
62.2 |
15% |
41.2 / 355 (12%) |
4.6 / 19 (24%) |
16.4 / 33.5 (49%) |
15 / 9 (63%) |
2.59 |
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Detroit Dirt Dozen: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Detroit Dirt Dozen: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
3350.5 |
-19.8 |
-1% |
-53.4 / 3277 (-2%) |
4.6 / 19 (24%) |
29.0 / 54.5 (53%) |
|
Bellator |
233 |
-65.5 |
-28% |
-65.5 / 233 (-28%) |
|
|
| Other |
45 |
-15.4 |
-34% |
-15.4 / 45 (-34%) |
|
|
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Detroit Dirt Dozen: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
217 (38%) |
165 |
76 % |
1,562.00 |
44.78 |
0.21 |
3% |
| Slight Favorites |
133 (23%) |
67 |
50 % |
796.00 |
-190.93 |
-1.44 |
-24% |
| Slight Underdogs |
166 (29%) |
84 |
51 % |
946.00 |
135.88 |
0.82 |
14% |
| Big Underdogs |
55 (10%) |
14 |
25 % |
251.00 |
-124.05 |
-2.26 |
-49% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
81 (14%) |
49 |
60 % |
648.00 |
30.28 |
0.37 |
5% |
| Co-Main Event |
65 (11%) |
36 |
55 % |
399.00 |
-29.11 |
-0.45 |
-7% |
| Position 3-5 |
160 (28%) |
88 |
55 % |
884.00 |
-133.28 |
-0.83 |
-15% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
265 (46%) |
157 |
59 % |
1,624.00 |
-2.20 |
-0.01 |
-0% |
|
Detroit Dirt Dozen: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
55 (10%) |
26 |
47 % |
338.00 |
-12.07 |
-0.22 |
-4% |
| Light Heavy |
57 (10%) |
34 |
60 % |
398.00 |
-41.32 |
-0.72 |
-10% |
| Middleweight |
48 (8%) |
32 |
67 % |
317.00 |
-40.82 |
-0.85 |
-13% |
| Welterweight |
94 (16%) |
62 |
66 % |
615.00 |
95.07 |
1.01 |
15% |
| Lightweight |
89 (16%) |
50 |
56 % |
576.00 |
-9.40 |
-0.11 |
-2% |
| Featherweight |
69 (12%) |
41 |
59 % |
407.00 |
-2.77 |
-0.04 |
-1% |
| Bantamweight |
46 (8%) |
22 |
48 % |
287.00 |
-113.75 |
-2.47 |
-40% |
| Flyweight |
29 (5%) |
15 |
52 % |
136.00 |
-14.14 |
-0.49 |
-10% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
84 (15%) |
48 |
57 % |
481.00 |
4.89 |
0.06 |
1% |
| Featherweight |
6 (1%) |
4 |
67 % |
47.00 |
5.09 |
0.85 |
11% |
| Bantamweight |
12 (2%) |
6 |
50 % |
58.00 |
-1.68 |
-0.14 |
-3% |
| Flyweight |
27 (5%) |
14 |
52 % |
163.00 |
-4.43 |
-0.16 |
-3% |
| Strawweight |
39 (7%) |
24 |
62 % |
213.00 |
5.90 |
0.15 |
3% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
23 (53%) |
21 |
91 % |
| Slight Favorites |
10 (23%) |
4 |
40 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
8 (19%) |
2 |
25 % |
| Big Underdogs |
2 (5%) |
2 |
100 % |
|
43 |
29 |
67 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 50-65% |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 35-50% |
2 (100%) |
2 |
100 % |
| <35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
2 |
2 |
100 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) |
1 (50%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
2.00 |
2.00 |
1.0 (100%) |
| Does not go to Decision |
1 (50%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
2.00 |
2.00 |
1.0 (100%) |
|
2 |
2 |
100 % |
2.00 |
|
|
2.0 (100%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Detroit Dirt Dozen's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 7th Jul |
TUF Season 25 Finale |
5 |
5.0 |
100% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,050.00 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC on Fox 25 |
14 |
-0.4 |
-3% |
|
$10.50 |
$1,050.00 |
$1,045.50 |
| 29th Jul |
UFC 214 |
18 |
-8.9 |
-49% |
|
$10.46 |
$1,045.50 |
$952.60 |
| 1st Aug |
DWTNCS 4 |
6 |
2.0 |
33% |
|
$9.53 |
$952.60 |
$971.55 |
| 5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno |
14 |
-7.5 |
-53% |
|
$9.72 |
$971.55 |
$898.93 |
| 26th Aug |
Bellator 182 |
5 |
0.0 |
0% |
|
$8.99 |
$898.93 |
$898.98 |
| 2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov |
16 |
1.0 |
6% |
|
$8.99 |
$898.98 |
$907.61 |
| 9th Sep |
UFC 215 |
16 |
-14.5 |
-91% |
|
$9.08 |
$907.61 |
$776.00 |
| 16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch |
21 |
2.5 |
12% |
|
$7.76 |
$776.00 |
$795.06 |
| 22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 |
15 |
2.4 |
16% |
|
$7.95 |
$795.06 |
$814.28 |
| 23rd Sep |
ACB 70 Barnatt VS. Askham |
1 |
0.7 |
74% |
|
$8.14 |
$814.28 |
$820.31 |
| 23rd Sep |
Bellator 183 Henderson vs. Freire |
11 |
4.2 |
39% |
|
$8.20 |
$820.31 |
$855.13 |
| 7th Oct |
UFC 216 |
23 |
-6.3 |
-27% |
|
$8.55 |
$855.13 |
$801.56 |
| 21st Oct |
UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk |
13 |
13.4 |
103% |
|
$8.02 |
$801.56 |
$908.97 |
| 28th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo |
17 |
9.3 |
54% |
|
$9.09 |
$908.97 |
$993.17 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC 217 |
19 |
36.9 |
194% |
|
$9.93 |
$993.17 |
$1,359.19 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia |
24 |
-10.2 |
-42% |
|
$13.59 |
$1,359.19 |
$1,220.93 |
| 18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney |
38 |
15.5 |
41% |
|
$12.21 |
$1,220.93 |
$1,410.68 |
| 25th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum |
12 |
-8.9 |
-74% |
|
$14.11 |
$1,410.68 |
$1,284.87 |
| 2nd Dec |
TUF 26 Finale |
11 |
5.5 |
50% |
|
$12.85 |
$1,284.87 |
$1,355.53 |
| 2nd Dec |
UFC 218 |
28.5 |
-7.1 |
-25% |
|
$13.56 |
$1,355.53 |
$1,258.69 |
| 9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night 123 |
38 |
28.0 |
74% |
|
$12.59 |
$1,258.69 |
$1,611.02 |
| 16th Dec |
UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos |
20 |
-11.7 |
-59% |
|
$16.11 |
$1,611.02 |
$1,422.51 |
| 31st Dec |
UFC 219 |
22 |
11.3 |
51% |
|
$14.23 |
$1,422.51 |
$1,583.37 |
| 14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night 124 |
45 |
2.6 |
6% |
|
$15.83 |
$1,583.37 |
$1,625.29 |
| 20th Jan |
UFC 220 |
27 |
-4.2 |
-16% |
|
$16.25 |
$1,625.29 |
$1,556.22 |
| 20th Jan |
Bellator 192 |
2 |
3.1 |
155% |
|
$15.56 |
$1,556.22 |
$1,604.46 |
| 27th Jan |
UFC on Fox 27 |
31 |
18.0 |
58% |
|
$16.04 |
$1,604.46 |
$1,892.47 |
| 4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 125 |
32 |
-5.9 |
-18% |
|
$18.92 |
$1,892.47 |
$1,780.44 |
| 10th Feb |
UFC 221 |
26 |
-6.8 |
-26% |
|
$17.80 |
$1,780.44 |
$1,660.04 |
| 18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night 126 |
36 |
15.8 |
44% |
$5 |
$16.60 |
$1,660.04 |
$1,917.34 |
| 24th Feb |
UFC on Fox 28 |
36 |
4.2 |
12% |
$5 |
$19.17 |
$1,917.34 |
$1,992.71 |
| 3rd Mar |
UFC 222 |
14 |
-8.6 |
-61% |
$5 |
$19.93 |
$1,992.71 |
$1,817.33 |
| 17th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 127 |
15 |
-8.2 |
-54% |
$5 |
$18.17 |
$1,817.33 |
$1,663.78 |
| 24th Mar |
Invicta FC 28: Inoue vs. Jandiroba |
3 |
2.2 |
73% |
|
$16.64 |
$1,663.78 |
$1,700.38 |
| 7th Apr |
UFC 223 |
59 |
3.2 |
5% |
$5 |
$17.00 |
$1,700.38 |
$1,749.61 |
| 13th Apr |
Bellator 197 |
11 |
1.5 |
14% |
$5 |
$17.50 |
$1,749.61 |
$1,771.72 |
| 14th Apr |
UFC on Fox 29 |
29 |
17.1 |
59% |
$5 |
$17.72 |
$1,771.72 |
$2,069.83 |
| 21st Apr |
UFC Fight Night 128 |
29 |
20.0 |
69% |
$5 |
$20.70 |
$2,069.83 |
$2,478.12 |
| 28th Apr |
Bellator 198 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$24.78 |
$2,478.12 |
$2,200.53 |
| 12th May |
UFC 224 |
22 |
1.6 |
7% |
$5 |
$22.01 |
$2,200.53 |
$2,231.83 |
| 19th May |
UFC Fight Night 129 |
33 |
11.5 |
35% |
$5 |
$22.32 |
$2,231.83 |
$2,484.34 |
| 25th May |
Bellator 200 |
3 |
1.0 |
33% |
$5 |
$24.84 |
$2,484.34 |
$2,504.19 |
| 27th May |
UFC Fight Night 130 |
20 |
-17.6 |
-88% |
$5 |
$25.04 |
$2,504.19 |
$2,057.20 |
| 1st Jun |
UFC Fight Night 131 |
26 |
8.4 |
32% |
$5 |
$20.57 |
$2,057.20 |
$2,224.95 |
| 9th Jun |
UFC 225 |
34 |
-20.9 |
-62% |
$5 |
$22.25 |
$2,224.95 |
$1,754.44 |
| 23rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night 132 |
43 |
-14.6 |
-34% |
$5 |
$17.54 |
$1,754.44 |
$1,493.23 |
| 7th Jul |
TUF 27 Finale |
15 |
-15.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$14.93 |
$1,493.23 |
$1,264.25 |
| 7th Jul |
UFC 226 |
41 |
-8.2 |
-20% |
$5 |
$12.64 |
$1,264.25 |
$1,156.21 |
| 14th Jul |
UFC Fight Night 133 |
22 |
7.4 |
34% |
$5 |
$11.56 |
$1,156.21 |
$1,237.30 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night 134 |
57 |
20.4 |
36% |
$5 |
$12.37 |
$1,237.30 |
$1,484.43 |
| 28th Jul |
UFC on Fox 30 |
28 |
-8.5 |
-30% |
$5 |
$14.84 |
$1,484.43 |
$1,352.81 |
| 31st Jul |
DWTNCS 15 |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$13.53 |
$1,352.81 |
$1,199.00 |
| 4th Aug |
UFC 227 |
36 |
-10.5 |
-29% |
$5 |
$11.99 |
$1,199.00 |
$1,068.23 |
| 10th Aug |
LFA 47 |
13 |
-13.0 |
-100% |
$5 |
$10.68 |
$1,068.23 |
$924.36 |
| 25th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 135 |
39 |
-15.0 |
-39% |
$5 |
$9.24 |
$924.36 |
$780.31 |
| 8th Sep |
UFC 228 |
28 |
2.5 |
9% |
$5 |
$7.80 |
$780.31 |
$794.51 |
| 15th Sep |
UFC FIght Night Moscow |
30 |
-10.0 |
-33% |
$5 |
$7.95 |
$794.51 |
$709.68 |
| 22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo |
97 |
-31.4 |
-32% |
$5 |
$7.10 |
$709.68 |
$481.69 |
| 29th Sep |
Bellator 206 |
55 |
-17.2 |
-31% |
$5 |
$4.82 |
$481.69 |
$393.60 |
| 6th Oct |
UFC 229 |
55 |
4.6 |
8% |
$5 |
$3.94 |
$393.60 |
$406.89 |
| 12th Oct |
Bellator 207 |
25 |
-20.6 |
-83% |
$5 |
$4.07 |
$406.89 |
$317.92 |
| 13th Oct |
Bellator 208 |
33 |
-9.9 |
-30% |
$5 |
$3.18 |
$317.92 |
$281.45 |
| 27th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 138 |
66 |
27.9 |
42% |
$5 |
$2.81 |
$281.45 |
$355.01 |
| 3rd Nov |
UFC 230 |
111 |
5.7 |
5% |
$5 |
$3.55 |
$355.01 |
$370.07 |
| 10th Nov |
UFC Fight Night Denver |
88 |
19.7 |
22% |
$5 |
$3.70 |
$370.07 |
$437.98 |
| 15th Nov |
Bellator 209 |
22 |
-5.1 |
-23% |
$5 |
$4.38 |
$437.98 |
$410.84 |
| 17th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 140 |
57 |
5.7 |
10% |
$5 |
$4.11 |
$410.84 |
$429.39 |
| 24th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 141 |
132 |
-18.4 |
-14% |
$5 |
$4.29 |
$429.39 |
$345.18 |
| 25th Nov |
Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 |
11 |
3.7 |
33% |
|
$3.45 |
$345.18 |
$357.84 |
| 30th Nov |
TUF Finale |
143 |
9.5 |
7% |
$5 |
$3.58 |
$357.84 |
$387.01 |
| 1st Dec |
UFC Fight Night 142 |
132 |
-19.9 |
-15% |
$5 |
$3.87 |
$387.01 |
$305.00 |
| 8th Dec |
UFC 231 |
132 |
18.0 |
14% |
$5 |
$3.05 |
$305.00 |
$354.95 |
| 15th Dec |
UFC Fight Night Milwaukee |
132 |
-44.0 |
-33% |
|
$3.55 |
$354.95 |
$198.75 |
| 29th Dec |
UFC 232 |
44 |
-2.7 |
-6% |
$5 |
$1.99 |
$198.75 |
$188.44 |
| 19th Jan |
UFC on ESPN+ 1 |
143 |
41.0 |
29% |
$5 |
$1.88 |
$188.44 |
$260.75 |
| 26th Jan |
Bellator Los Angeles |
44 |
-16.0 |
-36% |
$5 |
$2.61 |
$260.75 |
$213.92 |
| 2nd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 144 |
132 |
-12.6 |
-10% |
$5 |
$2.14 |
$213.92 |
$182.00 |
| 9th Feb |
UFC 234 |
99 |
-3.0 |
-3% |
$5 |
$1.82 |
$182.00 |
$171.53 |
| 16th Feb |
Bellator 216 |
11 |
4.5 |
41% |
|
$1.72 |
$171.53 |
$179.23 |
| 17th Feb |
UFC on ESPN 1 |
132 |
48.1 |
36% |
$5 |
$1.79 |
$179.23 |
$260.42 |
| 23rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night 145 |
143 |
-41.9 |
-29% |
$5 |
$2.60 |
$260.42 |
$146.26 |
| 2nd Mar |
UFC 235 |
132 |
-43.2 |
-33% |
|
$1.46 |
$146.26 |
$83.14 |
| 9th Mar |
UFC Fight Night 146 |
143 |
-16.9 |
-12% |
|
$0.83 |
$83.14 |
$69.11 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -93.09% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Detroit Dirt Dozen: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
| 1. |
Mar '19 |
Yana Santos |
Marion Reneau |
1.54 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 2. |
Mar '19 |
Matt Schnell |
Louis Smolka |
2.05 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (3:18) |
|
|
| 3. |
Mar '19 |
Niko Price |
Tim Means |
2.85 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (4:50) |
|
|
| 4. |
Mar '19 |
Beneil Dariush |
Drew Dober |
1.51 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (4:41) |
|
|
| 5. |
Mar '19 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
Curtis Millender |
2.00 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (2:35) |
|
|
| 6. |
Mar '19 |
Junior dos Santos |
Derrick Lewis |
1.51 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (1:58) |
|
|
| 7. |
Mar '19 |
Diego Sanchez |
Mickey Gall |
3.55 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (4:13) |
|
|
| 8. |
Mar '19 |
Zabit Magomedsharipov |
Jeremy Stephens |
1.40 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 9. |
Mar '19 |
Johnny Walker |
Misha Cirkunov |
1.77 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (0:36) |
|
|
| 10. |
Mar '19 |
Ben Askren |
Robbie Lawler |
1.36 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (3:20) |
|
|
| 11. |
Feb '19 |
 Damir Ismagulov |
Joel Alvarez |
1.38 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 12. |
Feb '19 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
Gian Villante |
1.53 |
11 |
TKO, R1 (1:34) |
|
|
| 13. |
Feb '19 |
Chris Fishgold |
Daniel Teymur |
1.40 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (1:10) |
|
|
| 14. |
Feb '19 |
Damir Hadzovic |
Marco Polo Reyes |
2.10 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (2:3) |
|
|
| 15. |
Feb '19 |
Magomed Ankalaev |
Klidson Farias de Abreu |
1.41 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 16. |
Feb '19 |
Petr Yan |
John Dodson |
1.37 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 17. |
Feb '19 |
Michael Page |
Paul Daley |
1.41 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
| 18. |
Feb '19 |
Cynthia Calvillo |
Cortney Casey |
1.36 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
| 19. |
Feb '19 |
Manny Bermudez |
Benito Lopez |
1.43 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (3:9) |
|
|
| 20. |
Feb '19 |
Nik Lentz |
Scott Holtzman |
2.55 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Detroit Dirt Dozen: Progress Chart |
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