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MMA Handicapper Stats: The Count |
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The Count: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 10 (53%) Losing Events: 9 (47%)
Average Staked Per Event: 10.61 units Most Staked On One Event: 24.50 units Best Event: 12.34 units Worst Event: -8.00 units Average Event: 0.38 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 19.34 Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -12.08 |
The Count: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2017 |
201.5 |
7.2 |
4% |
12.6 / 116 (11%) |
-18.8 / 30 (-63%) |
13.4 / 55.5 (24%) |
10 / 9 (53%) |
0.38 |
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The Count: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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The Count: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
170.25 |
-9.6 |
-6% |
0.5 / 97.25 (1%) |
-18.8 / 30 (-63%) |
8.7 / 43 (20%) |
Bellator |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
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|
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
Other |
27.25 |
20.8 |
76% |
12.1 / 18.75 (65%) |
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8.7 / 8.5 (103%) |
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The Count: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
12 (30%) |
8 |
67 % |
46.50 |
-4.84 |
-0.40 |
-10% |
Slight Favorites |
11 (28%) |
7 |
64 % |
35.50 |
1.83 |
0.17 |
5% |
Slight Underdogs |
15 (38%) |
9 |
60 % |
32.00 |
14.71 |
0.98 |
46% |
Big Underdogs |
2 (5%) |
1 |
50 % |
2.00 |
0.90 |
0.45 |
45% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
6 (15%) |
6 |
100 % |
22.50 |
13.26 |
2.21 |
59% |
Co-Main Event |
5 (13%) |
5 |
100 % |
10.50 |
7.81 |
1.56 |
74% |
Position 3-5 |
13 (33%) |
8 |
62 % |
36.75 |
3.49 |
0.27 |
10% |
6+ (Undercard) |
16 (40%) |
6 |
38 % |
46.25 |
-11.97 |
-0.75 |
-26% |
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The Count: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
3 (8%) |
2 |
67 % |
8.75 |
1.15 |
0.38 |
13% |
Light Heavy |
6 (15%) |
3 |
50 % |
15.50 |
-0.39 |
-0.07 |
-3% |
Middleweight |
5 (13%) |
3 |
60 % |
18.00 |
0.40 |
0.08 |
2% |
Welterweight |
5 (13%) |
4 |
80 % |
12.50 |
4.77 |
0.95 |
38% |
Lightweight |
6 (15%) |
2 |
33 % |
18.00 |
-4.65 |
-0.78 |
-26% |
Featherweight |
5 (13%) |
3 |
60 % |
13.75 |
4.92 |
0.98 |
36% |
Bantamweight |
5 (13%) |
4 |
80 % |
11.50 |
5.25 |
1.05 |
46% |
Flyweight |
2 (5%) |
2 |
100 % |
9.50 |
3.06 |
1.53 |
32% |
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Women's Fights |
3 (8%) |
2 |
67 % |
8.50 |
-1.92 |
-0.64 |
-23% |
Bantamweight |
2 (5%) |
1 |
50 % |
7.00 |
-3.00 |
-1.50 |
-43% |
Strawweight |
1 (3%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.50 |
1.08 |
1.08 |
72% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
25 (89%) |
18 |
72 % |
Slight Favorites |
3 (11%) |
2 |
67 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
28 |
20 |
71 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
3 (16%) |
2 |
67 % |
50-65% |
10 (53%) |
3 |
30 % |
35-50% |
6 (32%) |
2 |
33 % |
<35% chance |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
19 |
7 |
37 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail The Count's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
7th Jul |
TUF Season 25 Finale |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
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$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$980.00 |
29th Jul |
UFC 214 |
8 |
3.2 |
40% |
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$9.80 |
$980.00 |
$1,010.97 |
1st Aug |
DWTNCS 4 |
5 |
2.5 |
49% |
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$10.11 |
$1,010.97 |
$1,035.99 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno |
9.5 |
-3.4 |
-36% |
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$10.36 |
$1,035.99 |
$1,000.62 |
8th Aug |
DWTNCS 5 |
18.25 |
12.3 |
68% |
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$10.01 |
$1,000.62 |
$1,124.10 |
15th Aug |
DWTNCS 6 |
4 |
6.0 |
150% |
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$11.24 |
$1,124.10 |
$1,191.65 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov |
19 |
1.0 |
5% |
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$11.92 |
$1,191.65 |
$1,203.50 |
9th Sep |
UFC 215 |
24.5 |
-5.2 |
-21% |
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$12.03 |
$1,203.50 |
$1,140.74 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch |
19 |
-6.9 |
-36% |
|
$11.41 |
$1,140.74 |
$1,062.48 |
22nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 |
11 |
7.0 |
64% |
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$10.62 |
$1,062.48 |
$1,137.27 |
23rd Sep |
Bellator 183 Henderson vs. Freire |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
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$11.37 |
$1,137.27 |
$1,091.78 |
7th Oct |
UFC 216 |
9 |
5.7 |
64% |
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$10.92 |
$1,091.78 |
$1,154.42 |
21st Oct |
UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk |
13.25 |
-6.7 |
-50% |
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$11.54 |
$1,154.42 |
$1,077.65 |
28th Oct |
UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo |
11 |
6.5 |
59% |
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$10.78 |
$1,077.65 |
$1,147.69 |
4th Nov |
UFC 217 |
7 |
4.1 |
59% |
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$11.48 |
$1,147.69 |
$1,195.09 |
11th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia |
6.5 |
-6.5 |
-100% |
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$11.95 |
$1,195.09 |
$1,117.41 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney |
12.5 |
2.5 |
20% |
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$11.17 |
$1,117.41 |
$1,144.78 |
25th Nov |
UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum |
10 |
-1.0 |
-10% |
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$11.45 |
$1,144.78 |
$1,133.33 |
2nd Dec |
UFC 218 |
8 |
-8.0 |
-100% |
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$11.33 |
$1,133.33 |
$1,042.67 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 4.27% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
The Count: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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1. |
Nov '17 |
Yan Xiaonan |
Kailin Curran |
1.72 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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2. |
Nov '17 |
Li Jingliang |
Zak Ottow |
1.53 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (2:57) |
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3. |
Nov '17 |
Wang Guan |
Alex Caceres |
2.24 |
1.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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4. |
Nov '17 |
Adam Wieczorek |
Anthony Hamilton |
1.62 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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5. |
Nov '17 |
Ryan Benoit |
Ashkan Mokhtarian |
1.37 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (2:38) |
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6. |
Nov '17 |
Paulo Costa |
Johny Hendricks |
1.39 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (1:23) |
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7. |
Oct '17 |
Pedro Munhoz |
Rob Font |
2.55 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (4:3) |
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8. |
Oct '17 |
Derek Brunson |
Lyoto Machida |
1.60 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (2:30) |
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9. |
Oct '17 |
Darren Till |
Donald Cerrone |
2.20 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:20) |
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10. |
Sep '17 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
Tony Martin |
1.83 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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11. |
Sep '17 |
Ilir Latifi |
Tyson Pedro |
2.12 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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12. |
Sep '17 |
Rafael dos Anjos |
Neil Magny |
1.55 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (3:43) |
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13. |
Sep '17 |
Amanda Nunes |
Valentina Shevchenko |
2.00 |
2 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
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14. |
Nov '17 |
T.J. Dillashaw |
Cody Garbrandt |
2.09 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (2:41) |
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15. |
Oct '17 |
Tony Ferguson |
Kevin Lee |
1.57 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (4:2) |
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16. |
Aug '17 |
Grant Dawson |
Adrian Diaz |
2.37 |
3 |
Sub, R2 (1:15) |
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17. |
Aug '17 |
Cameron Olson |
Karl Reed |
2.90 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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18. |
Aug '17 |
Mike Rodriguez |
Jamelle Jones |
1.30 |
4.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:15) |
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19. |
Aug '17 |
Shelton Graves |
Everett Sims |
2.40 |
0.75 |
TKO, R3 (2:38) |
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20. |
Aug '17 |
Ricky Simon |
Donavon Frelow |
1.27 |
4.5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
The Count: Progress Chart |
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