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MMA Handicapper Stats: Matt Dawg

Matt Dawg (mattdawg38)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Matt Dawg

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 8 (62%) Right 7 (58%) Right 1 (100%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 5 (38%) Wrong 5 (42%) Wrong 0 (0%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 1.55 Avg Odds 1.57 Avg Odds 1.40 Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 14.0 Units Bet 13.0 Units Bet 1.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 1.08 Avg Bet 1.08 Avg Bet 1.00 Avg Bet nan
Units Profit -0.38 Units Profit -0.78 Units Profit 0.40 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % -3% ROI % -6% ROI % 40% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

Matt Dawg: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 2 -0.7 -34% -0.7 / 2 (-34%)
21st Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 3 -0.6 -20% -0.6 / 3 (-20%)
7th Oct '17 UFC 216 1 0.4 40% 0.4 / 1 (40%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
5th Aug '17 UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 1 0.6 63% 0.6 / 1 (63%)
22nd Jul '17 UFC on Fox 25 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
7th Jul '17 TUF Season 25 Finale 3 2.1 71% 2.1 / 3 (71%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 1 0.7 74% 0.7 / 1 (74%)
24th Jun '17 Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)


Winning Events: 4 (44%)
Losing Events: 5 (56%)

Average Staked Per Event: 1.56 units
Most Staked On One Event: 3.00 units
Best Event: 2.12 units
Worst Event: -1.00 units
Average Event: -0.04 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 2.86
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -1.27

Matt Dawg: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 0.0 nan% / (nan%) nan
2017 14 -0.4 -3% -0.8 / 13 (-6%) 0.4 / 1 (40%) 4 / 5 (44%) -0.04

Matt Dawg: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Matt Dawg: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 13 0.6 5% 0.2 / 12 (2%) 0.4 / 1 (40%)
Bellator 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Matt Dawg: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (42%) 3 60 % 6.00 -0.97 -0.19 -16%
Slight Favorites 6 (50%) 3 50 % 6.00 -1.01 -0.17 -17%
Slight Underdogs 1 (8%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.20 1.20 120%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 4 (33%) 2 50 % 4.00 -0.06 -0.01 -1%
Co-Main Event 4 (33%) 3 75 % 5.00 0.65 0.16 13%
Position 3-5 1 (8%) 1 100 % 1.00 0.33 0.33 33%
6+ (Undercard) 3 (25%) 1 33 % 3.00 -1.70 -0.57 -57%

Matt Dawg: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Light Heavy 1 (8%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Middleweight 1 (8%) 1 100 % 1.00 0.33 0.33 33%
Welterweight 3 (25%) 1 33 % 3.00 -1.37 -0.46 -46%
Lightweight 2 (17%) 2 100 % 2.00 1.94 0.97 97%
Bantamweight 1 (8%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 4 (33%) 3 75 % 5.00 0.32 0.08 6%
Bantamweight 1 (8%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Strawweight 3 (25%) 3 100 % 4.00 1.32 0.44 33%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (100%) 1 100 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
1 1 100 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Does not go to Decision 1 (100%) 1 100 % 1.40 1.40Pick was correct 1.40Pick was correct 0.4 (40%)
1 1 100 % 1.40     0.4 (40%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Matt Dawg's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
24th Jun Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 1 -1.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $990.00
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 1 0.7 74% $9.90 $990.00 $997.33
7th Jul TUF Season 25 Finale 3 2.1 71% $9.97 $997.33 $1,018.51
22nd Jul UFC on Fox 25 1 -1.0 -100% $10.19 $1,018.51 $1,008.33
5th Aug UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 1 0.6 63% $10.08 $1,008.33 $1,014.63
9th Sep UFC 215 1 -1.0 -100% $10.15 $1,014.63 $1,004.48
7th Oct UFC 216 1 0.4 40% $10.04 $1,004.48 $1,008.50
21st Oct UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 3 -0.6 -20% $10.09 $1,008.50 $1,002.45
4th Nov UFC 217 2 -0.7 -34% $10.02 $1,002.45 $995.71


ROI % from starting bank balance: -0.43% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Matt Dawg: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Nov '17 Paulo Costa Johny Hendricks 1.33 1 TKO, R2 (1:23) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '17 Karolina Kowalkiewicz Jodie Esquibel 1.20 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '17 Alexa Grasso Randa Markos 1.63 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '17 Jesse Taylor Dhiego Lima 1.63 1 Sub, R2 (0:43) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '17 Justin Gaethje Michael Johnson 2.20 1 TKO, R2 (4:48) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '17 Tecia Torres Juliana Lima 1.30 1 Sub, R2 (0:53) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '17 Kevin Lee Michael Chiesa 1.74 1 Sub, R1 (4:37) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Nov '17 Cody Garbrandt T.J. Dillashaw 1.53 1 TKO, R2 (2:41) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '17 Donald Cerrone Darren Till 1.67 1 TKO, R1 (4:20) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '17 Valentina Shevchenko Amanda Nunes 1.80 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '17 Ryan LaFlare Alex Oliveira 1.50 1 TKO, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '17 Phil Davis Ryan Bader 1.80 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Matt Dawg: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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