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MMA Handicapper Stats: Lay the Juice

Lay the Juice (Lay the Juice)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Lay the Juice

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 114 (47%) Right 82 (63%) Right 20 (24%) Right 12 (38%)
Wrong 130 (53%) Wrong 48 (37%) Wrong 62 (76%) Wrong 20 (63%)
Avg Odds 2.03 Avg Odds 1.63 Avg Odds 2.93 Avg Odds 2.53
Units Bet 480.6 Units Bet 323.9 Units Bet 100.7 Units Bet 56.0
Avg Bet 1.97 Avg Bet 2.49 Avg Bet 1.23 Avg Bet 1.75
Units Profit -36.47 Units Profit -12.03 Units Profit -17.41 Units Profit -7.04
ROI % -8% ROI % -4% ROI % -17% ROI % -13%
View Handicapper's Profile

Lay the Juice: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 16.72 -9.5 -57% 1.5 / 2.02 (74%) -8.7 / 8.7 (-100%) -2.3 / 6 (-38%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 17.55 -8.7 -49% -1.9 / 1.85 (-100%) 0.2 / 8.7 (2%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 12.16 1.5 12% -0.8 / 10.16 (-8%) 2.3 / 2 (114%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 18.78 -2.1 -11% 0.0 / 11.28 (0%) -2.1 / 7.5 (-28%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 26.2 7.3 28% 7.3 / 19.78 (37%) -0.0 / 6.42 (-0%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 13.95 4.7 34% 1.0 / 11.95 (8%) 3.7 / 2 (185%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 7 2.0 29% 4.0 / 5 (80%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 11 8.5 78% 8.5 / 11 (78%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 9.1 -0.4 -4% 1.9 / 6.85 (28%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 6.5 5.1 78% 5.1 / 6.5 (78%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 12.75 -2.0 -15% -3.3 / 10 (-33%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) 2.1 / 2 (103%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 13 -5.0 -39% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 5.0 / 3 (165%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 7.93 -7.9 -100% -4.2 / 4.2 (-100%) -3.7 / 3.73 (-100%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 13.55 4.2 31% 0.3 / 10.55 (3%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 4.9 / 2 (243%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 3.9 -1.0 -26% -1.0 / 3.9 (-26%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 15.73 -0.4 -2% -1.4 / 14.13 (-10%) 1.0 / 1.6 (62%)
3rd Mar '18 KSW 42 4.2 -1.5 -35% -1.5 / 4.2 (-35%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 12.6 -4.2 -33% -2.5 / 10.95 (-23%) -1.7 / 1.65 (-100%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 10.7 2.9 27% 2.9 / 10.7 (27%)
4th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 125 8.098 -0.3 -4% -1.3 / 6.027 (-22%) 1.0 / 2.071 (48%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 1.5 1.0 67% 1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 3.85 -0.8 -19% -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%) 1.0 / 2.1 (48%)
20th Jan '18 Bellator 192 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
14th Jan '18 UFC Fight Night 124 7.6 0.8 11% 0.0 / 6.6 (0%) 0.8 / 1 (80%)
25th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 7.7 -0.7 -9% 0.3 / 6.7 (4%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 4.42 -2.0 -45% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.5 / 2.92 (-17%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 14.637 -5.3 -36% 3.0 / 3.95 (76%) -6.3 / 8.687 (-73%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
28th Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 10.45 6.0 57% 5.0 / 9.35 (53%) 1.0 / 1.1 (91%)
21st Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 5.5 -3.2 -58% -1.0 / 3.3 (-30%) -1.7 / 1.7 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
16th Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 9.25 -0.8 -9% -1.6 / 3.98 (-40%) -1.2 / 1.22 (-100%) 2.0 / 4.05 (49%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 17.2 -3.3 -19% -2.1 / 16 (-13%) -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
5th Aug '17 UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 8.2 0.7 9% 0.7 / 8.2 (9%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 16.76 -0.2 -1% -0.2 / 16.76 (-1%)
22nd Jul '17 UFC on Fox 25 25.1 -11.3 -45% -9.3 / 23.1 (-40%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
16th Jul '17 UFC Fight Night 113 22.46 -5.4 -24% -4.4 / 19.11 (-23%) -0.0 / 2.35 (-0%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Jul '17 UFC 213 11.3 11.1 98% 7.7 / 9.3 (83%) 3.4 / 2 (170%)
7th Jul '17 TUF Season 25 Finale 18.65 -5.8 -31% -2.0 / 14.9 (-14%) -3.8 / 3.75 (-100%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 16.9 -10.0 -59% -10.0 / 16.9 (-59%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 33.2 4.0 12% 4.0 / 33.2 (12%)


Winning Events: 14 (34%)
Losing Events: 27 (66%)

Average Staked Per Event: 11.72 units
Most Staked On One Event: 33.20 units
Best Event: 11.08 units
Worst Event: -11.30 units
Average Event: -0.89 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 22.54
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -18.14

Lay the Juice: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 91.41 -11.5 -13% -0.4 / 3.87 (-9%) -2.0 / 58.62 (-3%) -9.2 / 28.92 (-32%) 2 / 3 (40%) -2.29
2018 167.458 1.3 1% -1.2 / 134.807 (-1%) 0.8 / 19.051 (4%) 1.7 / 13.6 (13%) 8 / 13 (38%) 0.06
2017 221.727 -26.3 -12% -10.5 / 185.25 (-6%) -16.2 / 23.007 (-70%) 0.4 / 13.47 (3%) 4 / 11 (27%) -1.75

Lay the Juice: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Lay the Juice: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 474.395 -33.0 -7% -8.6 / 317.727 (-3%) -17.4 / 100.678 (-17%) -7.0 / 55.99 (-13%)
Bellator 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
Other 4.2 -1.5 -35% -1.5 / 4.2 (-35%)

Lay the Juice: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 58 (45%) 42 72 % 182.59 -17.40 -0.30 -10%
Slight Favorites 44 (34%) 30 68 % 97.99 10.92 0.25 11%
Slight Underdogs 20 (15%) 7 35 % 35.85 -7.35 -0.37 -21%
Big Underdogs 8 (6%) 3 38 % 7.50 1.80 0.22 24%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 24 (18%) 12 50 % 69.10 -10.32 -0.43 -15%
Co-Main Event 12 (9%) 6 50 % 29.97 -0.80 -0.07 -3%
Position 3-5 29 (22%) 15 52 % 60.77 -8.07 -0.28 -13%
6+ (Undercard) 65 (50%) 49 75 % 164.09 7.17 0.11 4%

Lay the Juice: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 11 (8%) 6 55 % 31.75 -4.60 -0.42 -14%
Light Heavy 11 (8%) 6 55 % 23.75 -0.80 -0.07 -3%
Middleweight 21 (16%) 14 67 % 49.43 1.47 0.07 3%
Welterweight 26 (20%) 17 65 % 70.88 0.12 0.00 0%
Lightweight 23 (18%) 15 65 % 57.81 1.48 0.06 3%
Featherweight 12 (9%) 6 50 % 31.50 -14.45 -1.20 -46%
Bantamweight 7 (5%) 4 57 % 21.48 -0.75 -0.11 -3%
Flyweight 4 (3%) 2 50 % 9.65 -3.40 -0.85 -35%
               
Women's Fights 15 (12%) 12 80 % 27.68 8.90 0.59 32%
Bantamweight 5 (4%) 4 80 % 10.62 3.70 0.74 35%
Bantamweight 3 (2%) 3 100 % 6.10 3.00 1.00 49%
Strawweight 7 (5%) 5 71 % 10.96 2.20 0.31 20%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 50 (86%) 37 74 %
Slight Favorites 8 (14%) 4 50 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
58 41 71 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 32 (26%) 23 72 %
50-65% 26 (21%) 12 46 %
35-50% 23 (19%) 7 30 %
<35% chance 43 (35%) 5 12 %
124 47 38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (7%) 6 67 % 1.60 1.87Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 0.3 (4%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (2%) 2 67 % 2.51 2.68Pick was correct 2.27Pick was incorrect 2.3 (77%)
Goes to Decision 6 (5%) 6 100 % 1.39 1.43Pick was correct 1.36Pick was correct 2.3 (39%)
Does not go to Decision 29 (23%) 16 55 % 1.53 2.75Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct -4.8 (-17%)
X Wins by KO 15 (12%) 2 13 % 3.12 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.56Pick was incorrect -7.7 (-51%)
X Wins by Sub 21 (17%) 3 14 % 4.24 20.50Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was correct -13.5 (-64%)
X Wins by Decision 16 (13%) 2 13 % 2.59 6.35Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was incorrect -9.1 (-57%)
X Wins Inside Distance 19 (15%) 8 42 % 2.68 9.31Pick was incorrect 1.56Pick was correct 1.6 (8%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (2%) 0 0 % 7.97 9.25Pick was incorrect 7.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Others 4 (3%) 2 50 % 1.57 2.60Pick was incorrect 1.28Pick was correct -1.2 (-30%)
124 47 38 % 2.22     -31.8 (-26%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Lay the Juice's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 33.2 4.0 12% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,040.00
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 16.9 -10.0 -59% $10.40 $1,040.00 $935.86
7th Jul TUF Season 25 Finale 18.65 -5.8 -31% $9.36 $935.86 $881.58
8th Jul UFC 213 11.3 11.1 98% $8.82 $881.58 $979.25
16th Jul UFC Fight Night 113 22.46 -5.4 -24% $9.79 $979.25 $925.94
22nd Jul UFC on Fox 25 25.1 -11.3 -45% $9.26 $925.94 $821.31
29th Jul UFC 214 16.76 -0.2 -1% $8.21 $821.31 $819.67
5th Aug UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 8.2 0.7 9% $8.20 $819.67 $825.82
9th Sep UFC 215 17.2 -3.3 -19% $8.26 $825.82 $798.15
16th Sep UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 9.25 -0.8 -9% $7.98 $798.15 $791.75
21st Oct UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 5.5 -3.2 -58% $7.92 $791.75 $766.42
28th Oct UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 10.45 6.0 57% $7.66 $766.42 $812.40
4th Nov UFC 217 14.637 -5.3 -36% $8.12 $812.40 $769.04
11th Nov UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 4.42 -2.0 -45% $7.69 $769.04 $753.66
25th Nov UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 7.7 -0.7 -9% $7.54 $753.66 $748.38
14th Jan UFC Fight Night 124 7.6 0.8 11% $7.48 $748.38 $754.41
20th Jan UFC 220 3.85 -0.8 -19% $7.54 $754.41 $748.75
20th Jan Bellator 192 2 -2.0 -100% $7.49 $748.75 $733.77
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 1.5 1.0 67% $7.34 $733.77 $741.11
4th Feb UFC Fight Night 125 8.098 -0.3 -4% $7.41 $741.11 $738.60
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 10.7 2.9 27% $7.39 $738.60 $760.02
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 12.6 -4.2 -33% $7.60 $760.02 $728.48
3rd Mar KSW 42 4.2 -1.5 -35% $7.28 $728.48 $717.91
3rd Mar UFC 222 15.73 -0.4 -2% $7.18 $717.91 $715.17
7th Apr UFC 223 3.9 -1.0 -26% $7.15 $715.17 $708.01
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 13.55 4.2 31% $7.08 $708.01 $737.70
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 2 -2.0 -100% $7.38 $737.70 $722.95
12th May UFC 224 7.93 -7.9 -100% $7.23 $722.95 $665.62
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 13 -5.0 -39% $6.66 $665.62 $632.01
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 12.75 -2.0 -15% $6.32 $632.01 $619.55
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 6.5 5.1 78% $6.20 $619.55 $650.98
7th Jul UFC 226 9.1 -0.4 -4% $6.51 $650.98 $648.70
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 0.5 -0.5 -100% $6.49 $648.70 $645.46
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 11 8.5 78% $6.45 $645.46 $700.49
4th Aug UFC 227 7 2.0 29% $7.00 $700.49 $714.50
30th Nov TUF Finale 13.95 4.7 34% $7.14 $714.50 $748.08
9th Feb UFC 234 26.2 7.3 28% $7.48 $748.08 $802.81
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 18.78 -2.1 -11% $8.03 $802.81 $785.66
2nd Mar UFC 235 12.16 1.5 12% $7.86 $785.66 $797.32
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 17.55 -8.7 -49% $7.97 $797.32 $728.35
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 16.72 -9.5 -57% $7.28 $728.35 $659.25


ROI % from starting bank balance: -34.08% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Lay the Juice: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '19 Leon Edwards Gunnar Nelson 1.74 2.02 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '18 Antonina Shevchenko Ji Yeon Kim 1.33 3.05 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '18 Tim Means Ricky Rainey 1.27 3.7 TKO, R1 (1:18) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '18 Roosevelt Roberts Darrell Horcher 1.31 3.2 Sub, R1 (4:50) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '18 Ion Cutelaba Gadzhimurad Antigulov 1.80 3 TKO, R1 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '18 Alexander Hernandez Olivier Aubin-Mercier 2.00 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '18 T.J. Dillashaw Cody Garbrandt 1.80 5 TKO, R1 (4:10) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '18 Dustin Poirier Eddie Alvarez 1.63 5 TKO, R2 (4:5) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '18 Daniel Hooker Gilbert Burns 1.87 1.15 TKO, R1 (2:28) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '18 Mike Perry Paul Felder 2.20 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '18 Yan Xiaonan Viviane Pereira 3.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jun '18 Leon Edwards Donald Cerrone 1.54 5.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jun '18 David Teymur Nik Lentz 1.34 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '18 Israel Adesanya Marvin Vettori 1.42 1.4 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Apr '18 Alex Oliveira Carlos Condit 1.53 1.9 Sub, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
16. Apr '18 Israel Adesanya Marvin Vettori 1.38 2.6 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Apr '18 Dustin Poirier Justin Gaethje 1.71 1.4 TKO, R4 (0:33) MMA Bookmaker
18. Apr '18 Ashlee Evans-Smith Bec Rawlings 1.53 1.9 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '18 Jordan Johnson Adam Milstead 1.35 2.85 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '18 Zak Ottow Mike Pyle 1.36 2.8 TKO, R1 (2:34) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '19 Tim Means Niko Price 1.54 1.85 TKO, R1 (4:50) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '18 Rick Glenn Kevin Aguilar 2.00 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '18 Gokhan Saki Khalil Rountree 1.83 1.2 TKO, R1 (1:36) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '18 Michael Chiesa Anthony Pettis 1.67 1.5 Sub, R2 (0:52) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '18 Jimmie Rivera Marlon Moraes 2.00 5 TKO, R1 (0:33) No MMA Bookmaker
6. May '18 Stephen Thompson Darren Till 2.05 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. May '18 Ronaldo Souza Kelvin Gastelum 1.71 4.2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '18 Brett Johns Aljamain Sterling 2.05 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '18 Arjan Bhullar Adam Wieczorek 1.31 3.25 Sub, R2 (1:59) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '18 Mike Rodriguez Devin Clark 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '18 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Rose Namajunas 2.05 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '18 Beneil Dariush Alexander Hernandez 1.27 3.73 TKO, R1 (0:42) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '18 Frankie Edgar Brian Ortega 1.61 1.65 TKO, R1 (4:44) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '18 Mamed Khalidov Tomasz Narkun 1.63 3.2 Sub, R3 (1:18) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '18 Mike Perry Max Griffin 1.36 5.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '18 Marcin Tybura Derrick Lewis 1.71 1.4 TKO, R3 (2:48) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '18 Yancy Medeiros Donald Cerrone 2.30 1 TKO, R1 (4:58) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '18 Eryk Anders Lyoto Machida 1.38 2.6 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jan '18 Douglas Lima Rory MacDonald 3.05 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '18 Quinton Jackson Chael Sonnen 1.61 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Lay the Juice: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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