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Total MMA Handicappers: 1414 Profitable MMA Handicappers: 572 |
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Profit / Loss by Organization |
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Straight Pick Stats |
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Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
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| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Main Event | 29 (19%) | 16 | 55 % | 197.80 | 53.17 | 1.83 | 27% |
| Co-Main Event | 22 (14%) | 10 | 45 % | 110.60 | 5.26 | 0.24 | 5% |
| Position 3-5 | 40 (26%) | 22 | 55 % | 259.00 | 34.80 | 0.87 | 13% |
| 6+ (Undercard) | 63 (41%) | 37 | 59 % | 387.00 | 91.89 | 1.46 | 24% |
by Weight Class
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | Units Bet | Units Profit | Profit per Pick | ROI | |
| Heavyweight | 14 (9%) | 8 | 57 % | 82.30 | 39.29 | 2.81 | 48% |
| Light Heavy | 6 (4%) | 3 | 50 % | 44.00 | -13.48 | -2.25 | -31% |
| Middleweight | 20 (13%) | 11 | 55 % | 133.50 | 7.12 | 0.36 | 5% |
| Welterweight | 28 (18%) | 12 | 43 % | 182.00 | -34.30 | -1.23 | -19% |
| Lightweight | 28 (18%) | 16 | 57 % | 169.50 | 15.41 | 0.55 | 9% |
| Featherweight | 19 (12%) | 11 | 58 % | 125.60 | -18.49 | -0.97 | -15% |
| Bantamweight | 15 (10%) | 10 | 67 % | 91.50 | 61.50 | 4.10 | 67% |
| Flyweight | 8 (5%) | 2 | 25 % | 38.50 | 32.90 | 4.11 | 85% |
| Women's Fights | 16 (10%) | 12 | 75 % | 87.50 | 95.17 | 5.95 | 109% |
| Bantamweight | 3 (2%) | 2 | 67 % | 23.50 | 32.05 | 10.68 | 136% |
| Bantamweight | 3 (2%) | 2 | 67 % | 11.00 | 8.39 | 2.80 | 76% |
| Strawweight | 10 (6%) | 8 | 80 % | 53.00 | 54.73 | 5.47 | 103% |
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)
Straight picks within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| Big Favorites | 21 (100%) | 18 | 86 % |
| Slight Favorites | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| Slight Underdogs | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| Big Underdogs | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 21 | 18 | 86 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| Picks | Correct | % Correct | |
| >65% chance | 2 (67%) | 1 | 50 % |
| 50-65% | 1 (33%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 35-50% | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| <35% chance | 0 (0%) | 0 | 0 % |
| 3 | 1 | 33 % |
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
| Prop Type | Picks | Correct | % Correct | Avg Odds |
Longest Odds |
Shortest Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
| Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) | 1 (33%) | 0 | 0 % | 1.65 | 1.65 |
1.65 |
-1.0 (-100%) |
| Does not go to Decision | 2 (67%) | 1 | 50 % | 1.46 | 1.53 |
1.40 |
-0.5 (-23%) |
| 3 | 1 | 33 % | 1.52 | -1.5 (-49%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.
Tail handicapper's bets
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date | Event | Bet | Won | ROI | Fee | 1 unit = | Start | End |
| 3rd Jun | UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway | 40 | 9.6 | 24% | $10.00 | $1,000.00 | $1,096.00 | |
| 17th Jun | UFC Fight Night 111 | 10 | 3.5 | 35% | $10.96 | $1,096.00 | $1,134.36 | |
| 25th Jun | UFC Fight Night 112 | 5 | -5.0 | -100% | $11.34 | $1,134.36 | $1,077.64 | |
| 8th Jul | UFC 213 | 10 | 2.4 | 24% | $10.78 | $1,077.64 | $1,103.51 | |
| 16th Jul | UFC Fight Night 113 | 20 | 5.8 | 29% | $11.04 | $1,103.51 | $1,167.51 | |
| 22nd Jul | UFC on Fox 25 | 30 | -17.8 | -59% | $11.68 | $1,167.51 | $959.69 | |
| 29th Jul | UFC 214 | 26 | -26.0 | -100% | $9.60 | $959.69 | $710.17 | |
| 2nd Sep | UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov | 13.1 | 7.2 | 55% | $7.10 | $710.17 | $761.43 | |
| 9th Sep | UFC 215 | 44 | 28.0 | 64% | $7.61 | $761.43 | $975.01 | |
| 16th Sep | UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch | 44 | 27.4 | 62% | $9.75 | $975.01 | $1,242.21 | |
| 22nd Sep | UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 | 11 | -11.0 | -100% | $12.42 | $1,242.21 | $1,105.57 | |
| 23rd Sep | Bellator 183 Henderson vs. Freire | 11 | -11.0 | -100% | $11.06 | $1,105.57 | $983.95 | |
| 6th Oct | Bellator 184 Dantas vs. Caldwell | 22.1 | 18.6 | 84% | $9.84 | $983.95 | $1,166.97 | |
| 7th Oct | UFC 216 | 34 | 29.8 | 88% | $11.67 | $1,166.97 | $1,514.74 | |
| 21st Oct | UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk | 11 | -11.0 | -100% | $15.15 | $1,514.74 | $1,348.12 | |
| 28th Oct | UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo | 22 | 6.4 | 29% | $13.48 | $1,348.12 | $1,434.13 | |
| 4th Nov | UFC 217 | 74 | 94.1 | 127% | $14.34 | $1,434.13 | $2,783.36 | |
| 11th Nov | UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia | 41.5 | -0.4 | -1% | $27.83 | $2,783.36 | $2,772.23 | |
| 18th Nov | UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney | 10 | -3.0 | -30% | $27.72 | $2,772.23 | $2,690.45 | |
| 25th Nov | UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum | 35 | -17.3 | -49% | $26.90 | $2,690.45 | $2,225.01 | |
| 2nd Dec | TUF 26 Finale | 5 | 9.8 | 196% | $22.25 | $2,225.01 | $2,443.05 | |
| 2nd Dec | UFC 218 | 20 | -1.7 | -9% | $24.43 | $2,443.05 | $2,401.52 | |
| 9th Dec | UFC Fight Night 123 | 11 | 10.5 | 95% | $24.02 | $2,401.52 | $2,652.48 | |
| 16th Dec | UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos | 11 | -11.0 | -100% | $26.52 | $2,652.48 | $2,360.71 | |
| 31st Dec | UFC 219 | 27 | 19.2 | 71% | $23.61 | $2,360.71 | $2,812.79 | |
| 14th Jan | UFC Fight Night 124 | 20 | -20.0 | -100% | $28.13 | $2,812.79 | $2,250.23 | |
| 20th Jan | UFC 220 | 11 | 17.0 | 155% | $22.50 | $2,250.23 | $2,633.89 | |
| 27th Jan | UFC on Fox 27 | 13 | -6.2 | -48% | $26.34 | $2,633.89 | $2,469.53 | |
| 4th Feb | UFC Fight Night 125 | 19 | 8.0 | 42% | $24.70 | $2,469.53 | $2,668.33 | |
| 10th Feb | UFC 221 | 27 | -5.6 | -21% | $26.68 | $2,668.33 | $2,518.64 | |
| 18th Feb | UFC Fight Night 126 | 10 | -1.9 | -19% | $25.19 | $2,518.64 | $2,470.78 | |
| 24th Feb | UFC on Fox 28 | 26 | 7.5 | 29% | $24.71 | $2,470.78 | $2,656.09 | |
| 3rd Mar | UFC 222 | 24 | 3.0 | 12% | $26.56 | $2,656.09 | $2,735.77 | |
| 17th Mar | UFC Fight Night 127 | 9 | 5.5 | 61% | $27.36 | $2,735.77 | $2,886.23 | |
| 7th Apr | UFC 223 | 17 | 5.7 | 33% | $28.86 | $2,886.23 | $3,049.31 | |
| 14th Apr | UFC on Fox 29 | 28 | -18.7 | -67% | $30.49 | $3,049.31 | $2,480.61 | |
| 21st Apr | UFC Fight Night 128 | 25 | 13.2 | 53% | $24.81 | $2,480.61 | $2,808.05 | |
| 12th May | UFC 224 | 21.5 | 13.1 | 61% | $28.08 | $2,808.05 | $3,174.50 | |
| 19th May | UFC Fight Night 129 | 12 | 11.5 | 96% | $31.74 | $3,174.50 | $3,539.56 | |
| 27th May | UFC Fight Night 130 | 8.5 | -2.8 | -33% | $35.40 | $3,539.56 | $3,441.66 | |
| 1st Jun | UFC Fight Night 131 | 5 | 1.8 | 36% | $34.42 | $3,441.66 | $3,503.61 | |
| 9th Jun | UFC 225 | 13 | -6.6 | -51% | $35.04 | $3,503.61 | $3,270.97 | |
| 23rd Jun | UFC Fight Night 132 | 5 | 2.5 | 50% | $32.71 | $3,270.97 | $3,352.75 | |
| 7th Jul | UFC 226 | 18 | -1.5 | -8% | $33.53 | $3,352.75 | $3,304.13 | |
| 4th Aug | UFC 227 | 15 | 1.9 | 13% | $33.04 | $3,304.13 | $3,366.91 | |
| 25th Aug | UFC Fight Night 135 | 21 | -0.5 | -2% | $33.67 | $3,366.91 | $3,351.75 | |
| 15th Sep | UFC FIght Night Moscow | 4 | -4.0 | -100% | $33.52 | $3,351.75 | $3,217.68 | |
| 22nd Sep | UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo | 13 | 1.2 | 10% | $32.18 | $3,217.68 | $3,257.84 | |
| 6th Oct | UFC 229 | 26 | -9.8 | -38% | $32.58 | $3,257.84 | $2,938.57 | |
| 3rd Nov | UFC 230 | 5 | 3.6 | 71% | $29.39 | $2,938.57 | $3,043.07 | |
| 10th Nov | UFC Fight Night Denver | 7 | 3.8 | 54% | $30.43 | $3,043.07 | $3,158.70 | |
| 24th Nov | UFC Fight Night 141 | 4.2 | -4.2 | -100% | $31.59 | $3,158.70 | $3,026.04 | |
| 1st Dec | UFC Fight Night 142 | 7 | 8.0 | 114% | $30.26 | $3,026.04 | $3,268.12 | |
| 8th Dec | UFC 231 | 22 | 12.9 | 58% | $32.68 | $3,268.12 | $3,688.33 | |
| 15th Dec | Fight Night Milwaukee | 18 | -5.9 | -33% | $36.88 | $3,688.33 | $3,472.15 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 247.22% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.
Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | |||
| 1. | Dec '18 | Jack Hermansson | Gerald Meerschaert | 1.67 | 3 | Sub, R1 (4:25) | 
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| 2. | Dec '18 | Elias Theodorou | Eryk Anders | 1.90 | 3.5 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | 
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| 3. | Dec '18 | Nina Ansaroff | Claudia Gadelha | 3.84 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) | 
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| 4. | Dec '18 | Max Holloway | Brian Ortega | 1.93 | 5 | TKO, R4 (5:0) |
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| 5. | Dec '18 | Mauricio Rua | Tyson Pedro | 5.00 | 3 | TKO, R3 (0:43) | 
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| 6. | Nov '18 | Donald Cerrone | Mike Perry | 2.70 | 4 | Sub, R1 (4:46) | 
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| 7. | Oct '18 | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Conor McGregor | 1.62 | 10 | Sub, R4 (3:2) | 
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| 8. | Sep '18 | Thiago Santos | Eryk Anders | 1.63 | 4 | TKO, R3 (5:0) |
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| 9. | Aug '18 | Cortney Casey | Angela Hill | 2.15 | 3 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 10. | Aug '18 | Michael Johnson | Andre Fili | 2.20 | 3 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 11. | Aug '18 | Drew Dober | Jon Tuck | 1.50 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 12. | Aug '18 | Pedro Munhoz | Brett Johns | 1.51 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 13. | Aug '18 | T.J. Dillashaw | Cody Garbrandt | 1.87 | 5 | TKO, R1 (4:10) |
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| 14. | Jul '18 | Daniel Hooker | Gilbert Burns | 1.87 | 5 | TKO, R1 (2:28) |
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| 15. | Jul '18 | Anthony Pettis | Michael Chiesa | 2.40 | 3 | Sub, R2 (0:52) |
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| 16. | Jun '18 | Leon Edwards | Donald Cerrone | 1.50 | 5 | U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 17. | Jun '18 | Curtis Blaydes | Alistair Overeem | 1.59 | 4 | TKO, R3 (2:56) |
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| 18. | Jun '18 | David Teymur | Nik Lentz | 1.36 | 5 | U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 19. | May '18 | Michel Prazeres | Zak Cummings | 2.80 | 3 | Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 20. | May '18 | Vicente Luque | Chad Laprise | 1.50 | 5 | TKO, R1 (4:16) | 
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Last 20 Losses
| Date | Straight Pick | Opponent | Odds | Bet | Result | Hedge? | |||
| 1. | Dec '18 | Bobby Green | Drakkar Klose | 3.25 | 2.5 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 2. | Dec '18 | Jared Gordon | Joaquim Silva | 1.87 | 3 | TKO, R3 (2:39) | No |
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| 3. | Dec '18 | Sergio Pettis | Rob Font | 2.50 | 2.5 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 4. | Dec '18 | Daniel Hooker | Edson Barboza | 1.87 | 3 | TKO, R3 (2:19) | No | 
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| 5. | Dec '18 | Alex Oliveira | Gunnar Nelson | 2.28 | 3.5 | Sub, R2 (4:17) | No |
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| 6. | Dec '18 | Joanna Jedrzejczyk | Valentina Shevchenko | 3.89 | 3 | U Decision (5 rounds) | No |
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| 7. | Dec '18 | Ben Nguyen | Wilson Reis | 1.78 | 4 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 8. | Nov '18 | Curtis Blaydes | Francis Ngannou | 1.48 | 4.2 | TKO, R1 (0:45) | No |
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| 9. | Nov '18 | Amanda Cooper | Ashley Yoder | 2.30 | 3 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 10. | Oct '18 | Ryan LaFlare | Tony Martin | 1.77 | 3.5 | TKO, R3 (1:0) | No |
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| 11. | Oct '18 | Alexander Volkov | Derrick Lewis | 1.68 | 4 | TKO, R3 (4:49) | No |
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| 12. | Oct '18 | Sergio Pettis | Jussier Formiga | 1.61 | 4.5 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No | 
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| 13. | Sep '18 | Hector Lombard | Thales Leites | 2.30 | 4 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 14. | Sep '18 | Kajan Johnson | Rustam Khabilov | 7.00 | 1 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 15. | Sep '18 | Andrei Arlovski | Shamil Abdurakhimov | 2.27 | 3 | U Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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| 16. | Aug '18 | John Moraga | Deiveson Figueiredo | 2.40 | 3 | TKO, R2 (3:8) | No |
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| 17. | Aug '18 | Luke Sanders | Rani Yahya | 2.00 | 3 | Sub, R1 (1:31) | No |
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| 18. | Aug '18 | James Vick | Justin Gaethje | 1.75 | 4 | TKO, R1 (1:27) | No |
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| 19. | Jul '18 | Stipe Miocic | Daniel Cormier | 1.50 | 5 | TKO, R1 (4:33) | No |
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| 20. | Jul '18 | Paul Felder | Mike Perry | 1.67 | 5 | Split Decision (3 rounds) | No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
Progress Chart
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