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MMA Handicapper Stats: Daniel Mehrabian

Daniel Mehrabian (Glaznor)

MMA MHandicapper - Daniel Mehrabian

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 87 (37%) Right 34 (46%) Right 23 (37%) Right 30 (30%)
Wrong 149 (63%) Wrong 40 (54%) Wrong 39 (63%) Wrong 70 (70%)
Avg Odds 2.79 Avg Odds 2.38 Avg Odds 2.71 Avg Odds 3.28
Units Bet 446.1 Units Bet 149.8 Units Bet 100.5 Units Bet 195.9
Avg Bet 1.89 Avg Bet 2.02 Avg Bet 1.62 Avg Bet 1.96
Units Profit 28.60 Units Profit 21.60 Units Profit -30.06 Units Profit 37.06
ROI % 6% ROI % 14% ROI % -30% ROI % 19%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 10 -10.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 15 -0.5 -3% -0.5 / 15 (-3%)
26th Jan '19 Bellator Los Angeles 15 29.0 193% 29.0 / 15 (193%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 5 4.2 83% 4.2 / 5 (83%)
14th Jan '18 UFC Fight Night 124 3.5 -1.5 -43% -0.5 / 2.5 (-20%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 3.5 0.4 12% 0.8 / 1 (78%) 0.6 / 1.5 (42%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 3.1 3.8 123% 4.9 / 2 (245%) -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
9th Dec '17 UFC Fight Night 123 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 2 3.9 196% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 4.4 / 1.5 (295%)
2nd Dec '17 TUF 26 Finale 1 1.1 112% 1.1 / 1 (112%)
25th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
18th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 9 -3.2 -35% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.2 / 7 (-17%)
11th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 4 5.9 147% 3.8 / 3 (127%) 2.1 / 1 (207%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 2 0.2 10% 0.2 / 2 (10%)
21st Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
7th Oct '17 UFC 216 5 -0.8 -17% 0.2 / 4 (4%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Sep '17 Bellator 183 Henderson vs. Freire 3.75 -2.4 -63% -0.4 / 1.75 (-21%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
22nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 7 0.9 13% 0.6 / 0.5 (110%) -0.5 / 3.5 (-14%) 0.8 / 3 (28%)
16th Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 10 -2.9 -29% -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%) 1.0 / 0.5 (205%) 2.6 / 3 (86%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 18 -14.5 -80% -1.2 / 4.75 (-26%) -3.3 / 3.25 (-100%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
2nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 8.75 12.0 137% -0.3 / 2 (-13%) 1.1 / 1 (111%) 11.1 / 5.75 (194%)
1st Sep '17 Invicta FC 25 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Aug '17 DWTNCS 8 4 -0.2 -4% 1.8 / 2 (91%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
26th Aug '17 Bellator 182 9.75 -5.2 -53% -0.9 / 5.5 (-17%) -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
22nd Aug '17 DWTNCS 7 4 1.5 38% 1.0 / 2.5 (39%) 1.1 / 1 (105%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
15th Aug '17 DWTNCS 6 6.5 6.9 106% 5.2 / 6 (86%) 1.7 / 0.5 (340%)
8th Aug '17 DWTNCS 5 3.25 1.1 35% 1.1 / 3.25 (35%)
5th Aug '17 UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 9.5 -6.1 -64% 0.6 / 1.75 (34%) 0.8 / 0.25 (320%) -7.5 / 7.5 (-100%)
1st Aug '17 DWTNCS 4 4 5.3 133% 4.2 / 2.75 (151%) 1.2 / 1.25 (93%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 12.5 -5.6 -45% -1.6 / 3.25 (-49%) 0.7 / 1 (71%) -4.7 / 8.25 (-57%)
25th Jul '17 DWTNF 3 5 2.2 43% 2.2 / 5 (43%)
22nd Jul '17 UFC on Fox 25 9.75 -8.4 -86% -0.1 / 1.5 (-9%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -7.8 / 7.75 (-100%)
16th Jul '17 UFC Fight Night 113 8.5 -7.3 -85% 0.3 / 1 (25%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
14th Jul '17 Bellator 181 Campos vs. Girtz 3 3.25 1.3 39% 0.3 / 2.25 (11%) 1.0 / 1 (102%)
8th Jul '17 UFC 213 10.25 5.2 51% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.2 / 3.25 (37%) 4.5 / 6.5 (69%)
7th Jul '17 TUF Season 25 Finale 7.25 -7.3 -100% -7.3 / 7.25 (-100%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 76 18.4 24% -12.7 / 16 (-79%) -15.0 / 15 (-100%) 46.0 / 45 (102%)
24th Jun '17 Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 16 -3.0 -19% 3.0 / 10 (30%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 27 21.5 80% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 28.5 / 20 (143%)
10th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 45 -7.0 -16% 0.5 / 10 (5%) -7.0 / 20 (-35%) -0.5 / 15 (-4%)
3rd Jun '17 UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 53 -4.5 -8% 0.5 / 18 (3%) -0.2 / 12 (-2%) -4.7 / 23 (-20%)


Winning Events: 19 (46%)
Losing Events: 22 (54%)

Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2019 45 22.7 50% 27.7 / 40 (69%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 2 / 2 (50%) 5.67
2018 3.5 -1.5 -43% -0.5 / 2.5 (-20%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) / 1 (0%) -1.50
2017 397.6 7.4 2% -6.1 / 109.75 (-6%) -24.6 / 93 (-26%) 38.1 / 194.85 (20%) 17 / 19 (47%) 0.21

Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 370.6 -7.0 -2% -20.6 / 100.25 (-21%) -31.6 / 91.25 (-35%) 45.2 / 179.1 (25%)
Bellator 47.75 19.7 41% 30.7 / 32.25 (95%) -2.5 / 5 (-50%) -8.5 / 10.5 (-81%)
Other 27.75 15.8 57% 11.5 / 17.25 (66%) 4.0 / 4.25 (95%) 0.3 / 6.25 (5%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (4%) 1 33 % 13.00 -5.83 -1.94 -45%
Slight Favorites 12 (16%) 7 58 % 21.00 3.50 0.29 17%
Slight Underdogs 39 (53%) 20 51 % 78.75 -5.12 -0.13 -7%
Big Underdogs 20 (27%) 6 30 % 37.00 29.05 1.45 79%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 21 (28%) 12 57 % 52.50 -4.28 -0.20 -8%
Co-Main Event 11 (15%) 7 64 % 19.25 39.56 3.60 206%
Position 3-5 19 (26%) 8 42 % 33.25 -1.51 -0.08 -5%
6+ (Undercard) 23 (31%) 7 30 % 44.75 -12.16 -0.53 -27%

by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 7 (9%) 2 29 % 13.50 -1.26 -0.18 -9%
Light Heavy 10 (14%) 8 80 % 20.25 6.90 0.69 34%
Middleweight 8 (11%) 3 38 % 16.00 -6.06 -0.76 -38%
Welterweight 12 (16%) 8 67 % 22.50 16.10 1.34 72%
Lightweight 15 (20%) 2 13 % 32.25 -26.77 -1.78 -83%
Featherweight 4 (5%) 4 100 % 19.50 46.33 11.58 238%
Bantamweight 6 (8%) 3 50 % 10.00 -3.23 -0.54 -32%
Flyweight 4 (5%) 1 25 % 2.00 -0.90 -0.23 -45%
               
Women's Fights 8 (11%) 3 38 % 13.75 -9.50 -1.19 -69%
Bantamweight 3 (4%) 1 33 % 3.75 -2.92 -0.97 -78%
Bantamweight 1 (1%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Strawweight 4 (5%) 2 50 % 7.00 -3.58 -0.89 -51%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 117 (66%) 89 76 %
Slight Favorites 33 (19%) 13 39 %
Slight Underdogs 25 (14%) 11 44 %
Big Underdogs 2 (1%) 0 0 %
177 113 64 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 115 (50%) 86 75 %
50-65% 48 (21%) 27 56 %
35-50% 33 (14%) 12 36 %
<35% chance 33 (14%) 9 27 %
229 134 59 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 65 (28%) 46 71 % 1.51 8.90Pick was correct 1.14Pick was correct 12.8 (20%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 31 (14%) 16 52 % 2.00 3.05Pick was correct 1.37Pick was correct -0.1 (-0%)
Goes to Decision 12 (5%) 8 67 % 1.46 1.77Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was correct -0.5 (-4%)
Does not go to Decision 27 (12%) 17 63 % 1.49 2.45Pick was correct 1.17Pick was correct -0.9 (-3%)
Fight Starts Round X 14 (6%) 10 71 % 1.20 1.35Pick was correct 1.15Pick was incorrect -1.8 (-13%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (0%) 0 0 % 1.53 1.53Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 7 (3%) 1 14 % 4.88 8.90Pick was correct 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.9 (27%)
X Does NOT Win by KO 3 (1%) 3 100 % 1.05 1.06Pick was correct 1.02Pick was correct 0.1 (5%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (0%) 0 0 % 7.55 7.55Pick was incorrect 7.55Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Does NOT Win by Sub 6 (3%) 6 100 % 1.12 1.30Pick was correct 1.02Pick was correct 0.8 (13%)
X Wins by Decision 24 (10%) 5 21 % 2.79 8.00Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -7.5 (-31%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision 7 (3%) 7 100 % 1.10 1.22Pick was correct 1.05Pick was correct 0.7 (10%)
X Wins Inside Distance 22 (10%) 12 55 % 2.04 5.84Pick was incorrect 1.15Pick was correct 1.4 (6%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 4 (2%) 3 75 % 1.16 1.19Pick was correct 1.11Pick was correct -0.5 (-13%)
X Wins in Round X 5 (2%) 0 0 % 3.66 12.75Pick was incorrect 1.77Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-100%)
229 134 59 % 1.66     -0.6 (-0%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
3rd Jun UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 53 -4.5 -8% $10.00 $1,000.00 $955.19
10th Jun UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 45 -7.0 -16% $9.55 $955.19 $887.97
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 27 21.5 80% $8.88 $887.97 $1,079.27
24th Jun Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 16 -3.0 -19% $10.79 $1,079.27 $1,046.89
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 76 18.4 24% $10.47 $1,046.89 $1,239.34
7th Jul TUF Season 25 Finale 7.25 -7.3 -100% $12.39 $1,239.34 $1,149.48
8th Jul UFC 213 10.25 5.2 51% $11.49 $1,149.48 $1,209.53
14th Jul Bellator 181 Campos vs. Girtz 3 3.25 1.3 39% $12.10 $1,209.53 $1,224.92
16th Jul UFC Fight Night 113 8.5 -7.3 -85% $12.25 $1,224.92 $1,136.11
22nd Jul UFC on Fox 25 9.75 -8.4 -86% $11.36 $1,136.11 $1,040.85
25th Jul DWTNF 3 5 2.2 43% $10.41 $1,040.85 $1,063.48
29th Jul UFC 214 12.5 -5.6 -45% $10.63 $1,063.48 $1,003.90
1st Aug DWTNCS 4 4 5.3 133% $10.04 $1,003.90 $1,057.32
5th Aug UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 9.5 -6.1 -64% $10.57 $1,057.32 $992.83
8th Aug DWTNCS 5 3.25 1.1 35% $9.93 $992.83 $1,004.04
15th Aug DWTNCS 6 6.5 6.9 106% $5 $10.04 $1,004.04 $1,067.96
22nd Aug DWTNCS 7 4 1.5 38% $10.68 $1,067.96 $1,084.19
26th Aug Bellator 182 9.75 -5.2 -53% $10.84 $1,084.19 $1,028.17
29th Aug DWTNCS 8 4 -0.2 -4% $10.28 $1,028.17 $1,026.34
1st Sep Invicta FC 25 1 -1.0 -100% $10.26 $1,026.34 $1,016.07
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 8.75 12.0 137% $10.16 $1,016.07 $1,137.92
9th Sep UFC 215 18 -14.5 -80% $11.38 $1,137.92 $973.27
16th Sep UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 10 -2.9 -29% $9.73 $973.27 $944.95
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 7 0.9 13% $9.45 $944.95 $953.47
23rd Sep Bellator 183 Henderson vs. Freire 3.75 -2.4 -63% $9.53 $953.47 $930.82
7th Oct UFC 216 5 -0.8 -17% $9.31 $930.82 $922.95
21st Oct UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 1.5 -1.5 -100% $9.23 $922.95 $909.10
4th Nov UFC 217 2 0.2 10% $9.09 $909.10 $910.92
11th Nov UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 4 5.9 147% $9.11 $910.92 $964.38
18th Nov UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 9 -3.2 -35% $9.64 $964.38 $933.84
25th Nov UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 2.5 -2.5 -100% $9.34 $933.84 $910.50
2nd Dec TUF 26 Finale 1 1.1 112% $9.10 $910.50 $920.72
2nd Dec UFC 218 2 3.9 196% $9.21 $920.72 $956.84
9th Dec UFC Fight Night 123 1 -1.0 -100% $9.57 $956.84 $947.27
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 3.1 3.8 123% $9.47 $947.27 $983.26
31st Dec UFC 219 3.5 0.4 12% $9.83 $983.26 $987.29
14th Jan UFC Fight Night 124 3.5 -1.5 -43% $9.87 $987.29 $972.49
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 5 4.2 83% $9.72 $972.49 $1,013.01
26th Jan Bellator Los Angeles 15 29.0 193% $10.13 $1,013.01 $1,306.78
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 15 -0.5 -3% $13.07 $1,306.78 $1,300.25
9th Feb UFC 234 10 -10.0 -100% $13.00 $1,300.25 $1,170.22


ROI % from starting bank balance: 17.02% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Feb '19 Thiago Alves Max Griffin 2.90 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '19 Henry Corrales Aaron Pico 4.40 10 TKO, R1 (1:7) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '19 Glover Teixeira Karl Roberson 1.83 5 Sub, R1 (3:21) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '17 Carla Esparza Cynthia Calvillo 3.55 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '17 Jake Collier Marcel Fortuna 2.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '17 Dustin Poirier Anthony Pettis 2.05 2 TKO, R3 (2:8) MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '17 Patricky Freire Benson Henderson 2.75 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '17 Keita Nakamura Alex Morono 2.10 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '17 Ilir Latifi Tyson Pedro 2.20 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '17 Rafael dos Anjos Neil Magny 1.61 1 Sub, R1 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '17 Ketlen Vieira Sara McMann 3.30 0.25 Sub, R2 (4:16) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '17 T.J. Dillashaw Cody Garbrandt 2.20 1 TKO, R2 (2:41) MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '17 Alexander Volkov Stefan Struve 1.74 1 TKO, R3 (3:34) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '17 Fernando Gonzalez Brennan Ward 1.83 2.5 Sub, R3 (3:2) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '17 Kennedy Nzechukwu Anton Berzin 3.20 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '17 Benito Lopez Steven Peterson 1.87 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '17 Paid Pick Charles Byrd Randall Wallace 1.56 2.5 Sub, R2 (2:3) MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '17 Paid Pick Grant Dawson Adrian Diaz 2.55 0.5 Sub, R2 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '17 Paid Pick Grant Dawson Adrian Diaz 2.40 2 Sub, R2 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '17 Cameron Olson Karl Reed 2.40 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Feb '19 Dong Hyun Kim (2) Devonte Smith 2.95 5 TKO, R1 (3:53) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '19 Justin Ledet Johnny Walker 2.75 5 TKO, R1 (0:15) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '19 Raphael Assuncao Marlon Moraes 2.95 5 Sub, R1 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jan '19 Fedor Emelianenko Ryan Bader 3.58 5 TKO, R1 (0:35) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '17 Edson Barboza Khabib Nurmagomedov 3.50 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '17 Sergio Pettis Henry Cejudo 3.50 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '17 Rashad Coulter Tai Tuivasa 2.55 1 TKO, R1 (4:35) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '17 Bojan Velickovic Jake Matthews 2.20 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '17 Adam Piccolotti Goiti Yamauchi 1.63 1 Sub, R1 (3:19) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '17 Justin Linn Aaron Pico 6.00 0.25 TKO, R1 (3:45) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '17 Azunna Anyanwu Justin Ledet 4.50 0.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '17 Tony Martin Olivier Aubin-Mercier 2.10 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '17 Krzysztof Jotko Urijah Hall 1.48 5 TKO, R2 (2:25) Yes MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '17 David Branch Luke Rockhold 4.60 0.25 Sub, R2 (4:5) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '17 Michael Bisping Georges St-Pierre 2.20 1 Sub, R3 (4:23) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '17 Valentina Shevchenko Amanda Nunes 1.83 3 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '17 Raquel Pa’aluhi Yana Kunitskaya 1.67 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '17 Talita Bernardo Marion Reneau 3.60 0.5 TKO, R3 (4:54) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '17 Desmond Green Rustam Khabilov 3.55 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '17 Veta Arteaga Bruna Ellen 1.53 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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