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MMA Handicapper Stats: Mkebeast

Mkebeast (mkebeast)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Mkebeast

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 115 (46%) Right 60 (44%) Right 36 (47%) Right 19 (50%)
Wrong 134 (54%) Wrong 75 (56%) Wrong 40 (53%) Wrong 19 (50%)
Avg Odds 1.98 Avg Odds 1.88 Avg Odds 2.14 Avg Odds 2.06
Units Bet 512.2 Units Bet 312.1 Units Bet 125.3 Units Bet 74.9
Avg Bet 2.06 Avg Bet 2.31 Avg Bet 1.65 Avg Bet 1.97
Units Profit -51.72 Units Profit -46.19 Units Profit -2.39 Units Profit -3.15
ROI % -10% ROI % -15% ROI % -2% ROI % -4%
View Handicapper's Profile

Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 9.65 1.1 11% 2.8 / 7.95 (35%) -1.7 / 1.7 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 12.43 3.2 25% 4.2 / 3.6 (115%) -3.0 / 5.95 (-50%) 2.0 / 2.88 (69%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 13.8 -2.0 -14% -4.7 / 4.7 (-100%) 1.7 / 7.48 (23%) 1.0 / 1.62 (62%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 7.92 1.3 17% 1.0 / 3.35 (30%) -1.7 / 1.65 (-100%) 2.0 / 2.92 (68%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 6.46 -0.2 -3% -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%) 2.0 / 4.26 (47%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 2.25 1.0 44% 1.0 / 2.25 (44%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 10.9 -0.9 -8% -1.4 / 6.9 (-20%) 2.5 / 2 (125%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 3.3 -3.3 -100% -3.3 / 3.3 (-100%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 5.44 -5.4 -100% -2.2 / 2.2 (-100%) -3.2 / 3.24 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 3.9 2.0 51% 2.0 / 3.9 (51%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 8.6 -0.5 -6% 1.5 / 3.6 (42%) -2.1 / 5 (-41%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 13.55 -6.3 -47% -9.1 / 9.05 (-100%) 2.7 / 4.5 (60%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 1.2 1.0 83% 1.0 / 1.2 (83%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 11.84 -0.9 -7% -2.4 / 9.2 (-26%) 1.5 / 2.64 (57%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 9 0.5 6% -2.5 / 7 (-36%) 3.0 / 2 (151%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 6.3 2.8 44% 1.8 / 4.7 (37%) 1.0 / 1.6 (63%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 9.65 -7.0 -73% -7.0 / 9.65 (-73%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 12.35 -5.6 -45% -5.6 / 10.2 (-55%) 0.0 / 2.15 (0%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 9.25 0.1 1% 0.1 / 9.25 (1%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 18.95 -19.0 -100% -3.7 / 3.65 (-100%) -4.3 / 4.3 (-100%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
28th Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 10.85 6.0 55% 6.0 / 10.85 (55%)
21st Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 16.62 -11.0 -66% -11.0 / 11 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.0 / 3.62 (55%)
7th Oct '17 UFC 216 6.53 1.4 21% 0.4 / 5.05 (7%) 1.0 / 1.48 (68%)
22nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 12.15 -7.4 -61% -4.1 / 8.9 (-47%) -1.9 / 1.85 (-100%) -1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)
16th Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 16.95 8.1 48% 3.0 / 11.55 (26%) 3.5 / 3.4 (104%) 1.5 / 2 (76%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 13.5 -2.7 -20% 2.2 / 8.6 (26%) -2.9 / 2.9 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 10.55 5.7 54% -0.0 / 3.55 (-0%) 2.0 / 3 (67%) 3.7 / 4 (94%)
5th Aug '17 UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 10.25 -1.7 -17% -3.8 / 8.2 (-46%) 2.1 / 2.05 (100%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 17 -14.8 -87% -7.3 / 9.5 (-77%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
22nd Jul '17 UFC on Fox 25 22.6 5.0 22% 6.5 / 13.8 (47%) 0.5 / 4.6 (11%) -2.0 / 4.2 (-47%)
18th Jul '17 Dana White's TNCS 2 1 1.5 150% 1.5 / 1 (150%)
16th Jul '17 UFC Fight Night 113 20.75 -6.9 -33% -0.5 / 11.7 (-4%) -2.9 / 5.55 (-52%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
8th Jul '17 UFC 213 22.17 -15.2 -69% -7.2 / 11.25 (-64%) -5.9 / 8.82 (-67%) -2.1 / 2.1 (-100%)
7th Jul '17 TUF Season 25 Finale 27.8 -9.6 -34% -12.2 / 21.8 (-56%) 0.1 / 4 (3%) 2.5 / 2 (126%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 18.3 11.3 62% 7.0 / 15.3 (46%) 4.2 / 3 (141%)
24th Jun '17 Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 3.4 -0.9 -25% -1.9 / 1.9 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.5 (70%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 17.75 14.3 81% 4.0 / 7.3 (55%) 8.3 / 8.45 (98%) 2.0 / 2 (101%)
10th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 26.54 4.3 16% -0.1 / 15.8 (-0%) -0.5 / 6.7 (-7%) 4.8 / 4.04 (120%)
3rd Jun '17 UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 18.85 6.6 35% -0.8 / 3.5 (-21%) 6.2 / 9.35 (66%) 1.2 / 6 (19%)
28th May '17 UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 25.02 -1.5 -6% 7.3 / 13.05 (56%) -4.1 / 7.25 (-57%) -4.7 / 4.72 (-100%)
13th May '17 UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 16.9 -5.0 -30% -4.0 / 10.6 (-38%) -0.5 / 3.7 (-14%) -0.5 / 2.6 (-19%)


Winning Events: 19 (45%)
Losing Events: 23 (55%)

Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 158.79 -20.3 -13% -26.1 / 105.2 (-25%) 0.8 / 39.91 (2%) 5.0 / 13.68 (37%) 9 / 11 (45%) -1.01
2017 354.43 -31.5 -9% -20.1 / 206.85 (-10%) -3.2 / 86.4 (-4%) -8.1 / 61.18 (-13%) 10 / 12 (45%) -1.43

Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 504.92 -54.4 -11% -46.3 / 306.25 (-15%) -4.9 / 123.81 (-4%) -3.1 / 74.86 (-4%)
Bellator 7.3 1.1 16% 0.1 / 5.8 (2%) 1.0 / 1.5 (70%)
Other 1 1.5 150% 1.5 / 1 (150%)

Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 30 (22%) 21 70 % 121.60 9.14 0.30 8%
Slight Favorites 53 (39%) 24 45 % 130.45 -42.30 -0.80 -32%
Slight Underdogs 35 (26%) 12 34 % 46.50 -7.50 -0.21 -16%
Big Underdogs 17 (13%) 3 18 % 13.50 -5.52 -0.32 -41%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 17 (13%) 9 53 % 56.35 -12.62 -0.74 -22%
Co-Main Event 10 (7%) 4 40 % 13.50 -3.00 -0.30 -22%
Position 3-5 46 (34%) 24 52 % 103.60 1.07 0.02 1%
6+ (Undercard) 61 (45%) 23 38 % 137.60 -30.63 -0.50 -22%

by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 9 (7%) 5 56 % 18.70 -1.05 -0.12 -6%
Light Heavy 17 (13%) 9 53 % 42.80 2.08 0.12 5%
Middleweight 19 (14%) 10 53 % 41.95 9.05 0.48 22%
Welterweight 28 (21%) 10 36 % 57.80 -27.35 -0.98 -47%
Lightweight 17 (13%) 10 59 % 46.50 -6.00 -0.35 -13%
Featherweight 14 (10%) 3 21 % 34.45 -17.28 -1.23 -50%
Bantamweight 10 (7%) 4 40 % 15.40 -1.40 -0.14 -9%
Flyweight 7 (5%) 2 29 % 17.20 -9.10 -1.30 -53%
               
Women's Fights 14 (10%) 7 50 % 37.25 4.87 0.35 13%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.95 1.95 195%
Bantamweight 4 (3%) 3 75 % 11.10 5.00 1.25 45%
Bantamweight 2 (1%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%
Strawweight 7 (5%) 3 43 % 23.15 -0.08 -0.01 -0%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 51 (89%) 40 78 %
Slight Favorites 6 (11%) 3 50 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
57 43 75 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 34 (32%) 27 79 %
50-65% 36 (34%) 16 44 %
35-50% 13 (12%) 8 62 %
<35% chance 24 (22%) 4 17 %
107 55 51 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 29 (27%) 18 62 % 1.56 2.75Pick was correct 1.29Pick was incorrect -0.9 (-3%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 8 (7%) 4 50 % 2.12 3.10Pick was incorrect 1.48Pick was correct 1.9 (23%)
Does not go to Decision 9 (8%) 7 78 % 1.36 1.61Pick was correct 1.13Pick was correct 0.5 (6%)
Fight Starts Round X 3 (3%) 2 67 % 1.72 1.87Pick was correct 1.57Pick was incorrect 0.4 (15%)
X Wins by KO 2 (2%) 0 0 % 3.40 4.70Pick was incorrect 2.66Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 4 (4%) 1 25 % 8.08 15.00Pick was incorrect 4.15Pick was incorrect 4.9 (122%)
X Wins by Decision 10 (9%) 1 10 % 4.24 7.24Pick was incorrect 1.76Pick was incorrect -4.9 (-49%)
X Wins Inside Distance 21 (20%) 8 38 % 1.98 8.30Pick was incorrect 1.17Pick was correct -4.2 (-20%)
X Wins in Round X 4 (4%) 0 0 % 7.68 17.00Pick was incorrect 5.00Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
Others 17 (16%) 14 82 % 1.58 2.35Pick was correct 1.24Pick was correct 6.2 (37%)
107 55 51 % 1.91     -2.1 (-2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail handicapper's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
13th May UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 16.9 -5.0 -30% $10.00 $1,000.00 $950.09
28th May UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 25.02 -1.5 -6% $9.50 $950.09 $935.94
3rd Jun UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 18.85 6.6 35% $9.36 $935.94 $997.94
10th Jun UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 26.54 4.3 16% $9.98 $997.94 $1,040.63
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 17.75 14.3 81% $10.41 $1,040.63 $1,189.56
24th Jun Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 3.4 -0.9 -25% $11.90 $1,189.56 $1,179.44
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 18.3 11.3 62% $11.79 $1,179.44 $1,312.44
7th Jul TUF Season 25 Finale 27.8 -9.6 -34% $13.12 $1,312.44 $1,186.93
8th Jul UFC 213 22.17 -15.2 -69% $11.87 $1,186.93 $1,006.28
16th Jul UFC Fight Night 113 20.75 -6.9 -33% $10.06 $1,006.28 $936.84
18th Jul Dana White's TNCS 2 1 1.5 150% $9.37 $936.84 $950.89
22nd Jul UFC on Fox 25 22.6 5.0 22% $9.51 $950.89 $998.68
29th Jul UFC 214 17 -14.8 -87% $9.99 $998.68 $850.88
5th Aug UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 10.25 -1.7 -17% $8.51 $850.88 $835.99
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 10.55 5.7 54% $8.36 $835.99 $884.00
9th Sep UFC 215 13.5 -2.7 -20% $8.84 $884.00 $860.14
16th Sep UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 16.95 8.1 48% $8.60 $860.14 $929.43
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 12.15 -7.4 -61% $9.29 $929.43 $860.65
7th Oct UFC 216 6.53 1.4 21% $8.61 $860.65 $872.27
21st Oct UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 16.62 -11.0 -66% $8.72 $872.27 $776.28
28th Oct UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 10.85 6.0 55% $7.76 $776.28 $822.85
4th Nov UFC 217 18.95 -19.0 -100% $8.23 $822.85 $666.92
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 9.25 0.1 1% $6.67 $666.92 $667.41
7th Jul UFC 226 12.35 -5.6 -45% $6.67 $667.41 $630.04
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 9.65 -7.0 -73% $6.30 $630.04 $585.94
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 6.3 2.8 44% $5.86 $585.94 $602.05
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 9 0.5 6% $6.02 $602.05 $605.12
4th Aug UFC 227 11.84 -0.9 -7% $6.05 $605.12 $599.78
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 1.2 1.0 83% $6.00 $599.78 $605.78
8th Sep UFC 228 13.55 -6.3 -47% $6.06 $605.78 $567.40
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 8.6 -0.5 -6% $5.67 $567.40 $564.28
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 1 -1.0 -100% $5.64 $564.28 $558.64
29th Sep Bellator 206 3.9 2.0 51% $5.59 $558.64 $569.81
6th Oct UFC 229 5.44 -5.4 -100% $5.70 $569.81 $538.81
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 3.3 -3.3 -100% $5.39 $538.81 $521.03
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 10.9 -0.9 -8% $5.21 $521.03 $516.34
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 2.25 1.0 44% $5.16 $516.34 $521.51
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 6.46 -0.2 -3% $5.22 $521.51 $520.48
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 7.92 1.3 17% $5.20 $520.48 $527.50
8th Dec UFC 231 13.8 -2.0 -14% $5.28 $527.50 $517.13
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 12.43 3.2 25% $5.17 $517.13 $533.53
29th Dec UFC 232 9.65 1.1 11% $5.34 $533.53 $539.13


ROI % from starting bank balance: -46.09% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '18 Curtis Millender Siyar Bahadurzada 1.69 1.45 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Amanda Nunes Cristiane Justino 2.95 1 TKO, R1 (0:51) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Walt Harris Andrei Arlovski 1.61 3.3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Rob Font Sergio Pettis 1.63 1.6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Mike Rodriguez Adam Milstead 2.45 1 TKO, R1 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '18 Joaquim Silva Jared Gordon 2.70 1 TKO, R3 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
7. Dec '18 Kai Kara-France Elias Garcia 1.30 3.35 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Santiago Ponzinibbio Neil Magny 1.44 2.25 TKO, R4 (2:22) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '18 Germaine de Randamie Raquel Pennington 1.57 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '18 Khalid Murtazaliev C.B. Dollaway 1.65 3.1 TKO, R2 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '18 Andrew Sanchez Markus Perez 1.83 1.2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '18 Ion Cutelaba Gadzhimurad Antigulov 2.45 1 TKO, R1 (4:25) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '18 Jose Aldo Jeremy Stephens 2.05 1 TKO, R1 (4:19) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '18 Pingyuan Liu Damian Stasiak 1.87 3.45 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '18 Junior dos Santos Blagoy Ivanov 1.61 1.65 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '18 Israel Adesanya Brad Tavares 1.87 1.15 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '18 Luis Pena Richie Smullen 1.43 5 Sub, R1 (3:32) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '18 Daniel Hooker Gilbert Burns 1.77 2.6 TKO, R1 (2:28) MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '18 Gegard Mousasi Rory MacDonald 1.51 3.9 TKO, R2 (3:23) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '18 Renato Moicano Cub Swanson 1.36 5 Sub, R1 (4:15) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '18 Bevon Lewis Urijah Hall 1.83 1.2 TKO, R3 (1:32) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '18 Carlos Condit Michael Chiesa 2.50 1 Sub, R2 (0:56) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '18 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Valentina Shevchenko 4.00 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '18 Jimi Manuwa Thiago Santos 2.75 1 TKO, R2 (0:41) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Dec '18 Chad Laprise Dhiego Lima 1.37 2.7 TKO, R1 (1:37) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '18 Kenan Song Alex Morono 1.83 1.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '18 David Zawada Li Jingliang 2.65 1 TKO, R3 (4:7) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '18 Luis Pena Mike Trizano 1.59 3.4 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '18 Volkan Oezdemir Anthony Smith 1.61 3.3 Sub, R3 (4:26) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '18 Tonya Evinger Aspen Ladd 2.50 1 TKO, R1 (3:26) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '18 Felice Herrig Michelle Waterson 1.83 1.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '18 Hector Lombard Thales Leites 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '18 Terrion Ware Merab Dvalishvili 5.15 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '18 Cody Stamann Aljamain Sterling 2.35 1 Sub, R2 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '18 Alex White Jim Miller 1.71 2.8 Sub, R1 (1:29) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '18 Charles Byrd Darren Stewart 1.44 2.25 TKO, R2 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '18 Cody Stamann Aljamain Sterling 2.10 2 Sub, R2 (3:42) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '18 Carla Esparza Tatiana Suarez 6.00 1 TKO, R3 (4:33) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '18 Matt Sayles Sheymon da Silva Moraes 1.91 2.2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '18 Cody Garbrandt T.J. Dillashaw 2.05 2 TKO, R1 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Progress Chart

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