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MMA Handicapper Stats: Sebs Show

Sebs Show (SebsShow)


MMA MHandicapper - Sebs Show

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 378 (51%) Right 198 (58%) Right 44 (49%) Right 136 (43%)
Wrong 370 (49%) Wrong 144 (42%) Wrong 45 (51%) Wrong 181 (57%)
Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 1.74 Avg Odds 2.02 Avg Odds 2.36
Units Bet 1,820.5 Units Bet 1,029.8 Units Bet 142.4 Units Bet 648.3
Avg Bet 2.43 Avg Bet 3.01 Avg Bet 1.60 Avg Bet 2.05
Units Profit 18.53 Units Profit 17.13 Units Profit 5.20 Units Profit -3.81
ROI % 1% ROI % 2% ROI % 4% ROI % -1%
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Sebs Show: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
12th Oct '19 UFC on ESPN+ 19 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
5th Oct '19 UFC 243 4.25 -4.3 -100% -4.3 / 4.25 (-100%)
28th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 160 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
21st Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 159 4.5 -4.5 -100% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
14th Sep '19 UFC Fight Night 158 3.75 -3.8 -100% -3.8 / 3.75 (-100%)
7th Sep '19 UFC 242 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
31st Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 157 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
27th Aug '19 DWCS 26 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
20th Aug '19 DWCS 25 2 23.1 1,156% 23.1 / 2 (1,156%)
17th Aug '19 UFC 241 5 6.1 122% 6.1 / 5 (122%)
14th Aug '19 DWCS 24 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
10th Aug '19 UFC Fight Night 156 5 22.3 446% 22.3 / 5 (446%)
7th Aug '19 DWCS 23 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Aug '19 UFC on ESPN 5 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
31st Jul '19 DWCS 22 1.25 3.1 251% 3.1 / 1.25 (251%)
27th Jul '19 UFC 240 5 10.6 213% 10.6 / 5 (213%)
24th Jul '19 DWCS 21 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Jul '19 UFC on ESPN 4 5 18.8 377% 18.8 / 5 (377%)
17th Jul '19 DWCS 20 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Jul '19 UFC Fight Night 155 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
10th Jul '19 DWTNCS 19 1 4.2 415% 4.2 / 1 (415%)
6th Jul '19 UFC 239 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Jun '19 UFC on ESPN 3 4.8 -4.8 -100% -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
26th Jun '19 DWTNCS 18 1 7.1 706% 7.1 / 1 (706%)
22nd Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 154 5.63 10.1 180% 10.1 / 5.63 (180%)
19th Jun '19 DWTNCS 17 0.37 -0.4 -100% -0.4 / 0.37 (-100%)
8th Jun '19 UFC 238 2 2.9 144% 2.9 / 2 (144%)
1st Jun '19 UFC Fight Night 153 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
18th May '19 UFC Fight Night 152 2 0.7 35% 0.7 / 2 (35%)
11th May '19 UFC 237 2 13.6 680% 13.6 / 2 (680%)
4th May '19 UFC Fight Night 150 2 9.1 453% 9.1 / 2 (453%)
27th Apr '19 UFC on ESPN 3 3.8 -3.8 -100% -3.8 / 3.8 (-100%)
20th Apr '19 UFC Fight Night 149 9 -6.6 -73% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -0.1 / 2.5 (-4%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
13th Apr '19 UFC 236 10 -6.9 -69% 0.7 / 2.5 (26%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)
30th Mar '19 UFC on ESPN 2 10 -2.2 -22% 3.3 / 4.5 (73%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
23rd Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 148 9.97 -10.0 -100% -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%) -9.2 / 9.17 (-100%)
16th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 147 9.83 13.4 136% 9.1 / 4.83 (188%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 4.8 / 4.5 (107%)
9th Mar '19 UFC Fight Night 146 10 4.7 47% 0.6 / 3.5 (17%) 6.1 / 4.5 (136%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Mar '19 UFC 235 10 6.7 67% -0.6 / 2.5 (-25%) 7.3 / 7.5 (97%)
23rd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 145 5.5 5.0 92% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 0.5 / 0.5 (100%) 6.5 / 3 (218%)
17th Feb '19 UFC on ESPN 1 7.73 -7.7 -100% -4.2 / 4.17 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -3.1 / 3.06 (-100%)
9th Feb '19 UFC 234 9.26 4.9 53% 2.0 / 2.26 (88%) 2.9 / 7 (41%)
2nd Feb '19 UFC Fight Night 144 6.93 -1.5 -22% 1.4 / 4 (35%) -2.9 / 2.93 (-100%)
19th Jan '19 UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.2 -5.2 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -4.2 / 4.2 (-100%)
29th Dec '18 UFC 232 15.05 -15.1 -100% -5.1 / 5.05 (-100%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
15th Dec '18 Fight Night Milwaukee 17 0.5 3% 2.5 / 9.5 (27%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 7 (-21%)
8th Dec '18 UFC 231 26 3.5 13% 9.8 / 12.5 (78%) 2.7 / 4.5 (60%) -9.0 / 9 (-100%)
1st Dec '18 UFC Fight Night 142 15.97 -2.4 -15% 0.0 / 6 (0%) 0.5 / 1.97 (27%) -3.0 / 8 (-37%)
30th Nov '18 TUF Finale 21 13.0 62% 6.2 / 12 (52%) 0.9 / 1 (87%) 5.9 / 8 (74%)
25th Nov '18 Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 11.1 0.2 2% -4.6 / 4.6 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.5 (67%) 3.8 / 5 (75%)
24th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 141 23.67 -9.9 -42% -5.4 / 10 (-54%) -2.0 / 3.67 (-55%) -2.5 / 10 (-25%)
17th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night 140 36.88 -7.2 -20% -6.6 / 27.88 (-24%) -0.6 / 9 (-7%)
10th Nov '18 UFC Fight Night Denver 28.58 -0.8 -3% -4.2 / 21.07 (-20%) 0.5 / 2.51 (20%) 2.8 / 5 (56%)
3rd Nov '18 UFC 230 23.6 -8.9 -38% -0.8 / 15.5 (-5%) -8.1 / 8.1 (-100%)
27th Oct '18 UFC Fight Night 138 12.25 -0.7 -6% -3.2 / 8 (-40%) 2.5 / 4.25 (59%)
12th Oct '18 Bellator 207 6.75 3.0 44% 3.0 / 6.75 (44%)
6th Oct '18 UFC 229 29.77 -5.0 -17% 0.0 / 24.77 (0%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
29th Sep '18 Bellator 206 5 2.2 43% 2.2 / 5 (43%)
22nd Sep '18 UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 31.5 6.0 19% 10.0 / 15.2 (66%) -4.0 / 16.3 (-25%)
15th Sep '18 UFC FIght Night Moscow 24.41 0.7 3% -2.8 / 8.41 (-34%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 6.6 / 13 (51%)
8th Sep '18 UFC 228 31 -1.7 -5% -4.0 / 18 (-22%) 4.2 / 4 (105%) -1.9 / 9 (-21%)
25th Aug '18 UFC Fight Night 135 19.2 7.3 38% 5.3 / 16 (33%) 2.0 / 3.2 (63%)
17th Aug '18 Bellator 204 4.38 2.0 46% 2.0 / 4.38 (46%)
7th Aug '18 DWTNCS 16 5 0.4 9% 0.4 / 5 (9%)
4th Aug '18 UFC 227 13.88 -0.4 -3% 2.1 / 11.3 (19%) -2.6 / 2.58 (-100%)
31st Jul '18 DWTNCS 15 3 1.1 36% 1.1 / 3 (36%)
28th Jul '18 UFC on Fox 30 21.04 -8.3 -39% -11.0 / 16.04 (-68%) 2.7 / 5 (55%)
24th Jul '18 DWTNCS 14 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
22nd Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 134 20.72 10.0 48% 10.0 / 20.72 (48%)
17th Jul '18 DWTNCS 13 2.5 2.1 83% 2.1 / 2.5 (83%)
14th Jul '18 UFC Fight Night 133 15.35 -7.4 -48% -7.4 / 15.35 (-48%)
13th Jul '18 Bellator 202 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
10th Jul '18 DWTNCS 12 4 2.1 53% 2.1 / 4 (53%)
7th Jul '18 UFC 226 18 -6.0 -33% -6.0 / 18 (-33%)
7th Jul '18 TUF 27 Finale 14.5 5.1 35% 5.1 / 14.5 (35%)
26th Jun '18 DWTNCS 11 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
23rd Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 132 15.86 11.1 70% 6.9 / 7.5 (93%) 4.1 / 8.36 (49%)
19th Jun '18 DWTNCS 10 7.5 -2.0 -26% -2.0 / 7.5 (-26%)
12th Jun '18 DWTNCS 9 6 1.1 19% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.1 / 5 (43%)
9th Jun '18 UFC 225 15.02 10.1 67% 10.1 / 15.02 (67%)
1st Jun '18 UFC Fight Night 131 17 -3.3 -20% -0.7 / 7 (-10%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 3.3 / 4 (84%)
27th May '18 UFC Fight Night 130 18 -0.6 -3% 0.6 / 11 (5%) 2.8 / 3 (95%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
19th May '18 UFC Fight Night 129 15 3.4 22% -1.8 / 10 (-18%) 5.2 / 5 (104%)
12th May '18 Bellator 199 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th May '18 UFC 224 13.5 2.7 20% 2.7 / 13.5 (20%)
28th Apr '18 Bellator 198 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
21st Apr '18 UFC Fight Night 128 19.5 -7.8 -40% -9.3 / 14.5 (-64%) 1.5 / 5 (30%)
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 21 -2.8 -13% -2.8 / 21 (-13%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 14.56 -2.3 -16% 0.7 / 11.56 (6%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 19.138 -13.6 -71% -8.6 / 14.138 (-61%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 19.2 2.1 11% 7.1 / 14.2 (50%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 22.5 -4.9 -22% -1.9 / 19.5 (-10%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
18th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 126 21 0.3 1% 0.3 / 21 (1%)
10th Feb '18 UFC 221 19.16 4.8 25% 2.8 / 15.5 (18%) 2.0 / 3.66 (55%)
4th Feb '18 UFC Fight Night 125 17.66 -12.6 -72% -12.6 / 17.66 (-72%)
27th Jan '18 UFC on Fox 27 12.69 7.3 57% 7.3 / 12.69 (57%)
20th Jan '18 UFC 220 30.27 -7.0 -23% -6.0 / 29.27 (-20%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Jan '18 Bellator 192 7.6 -2.5 -33% -2.5 / 7.6 (-33%)
14th Jan '18 UFC Fight Night 124 22.91 -3.3 -14% -3.3 / 22.91 (-14%)
31st Dec '17 UFC 219 29.32 -2.1 -7% -4.1 / 24.32 (-17%) 1.1 / 2 (56%) 0.9 / 3 (30%)
16th Dec '17 UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 22.49 -0.2 -1% -0.2 / 22.49 (-1%)
9th Dec '17 UFC Fight Night 123 34.5 -7.2 -21% -7.2 / 34.5 (-21%)
2nd Dec '17 UFC 218 29.5 11.3 38% 8.5 / 26 (33%) 2.8 / 3.5 (79%)
2nd Dec '17 TUF 26 Finale 7.5 -0.2 -3% 2.3 / 5 (46%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
25th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 25.74 2.3 9% 4.6 / 21.74 (21%) -2.3 / 4 (-59%)
18th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 24.51 1.2 5% 4.2 / 15.51 (27%) -3.1 / 9 (-34%)
11th Nov '17 UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 22 -2.8 -13% -1.8 / 11 (-16%) -0.9 / 3.5 (-25%) -0.1 / 7.5 (-2%)
4th Nov '17 UFC 217 37.55 5.6 15% 12.2 / 21.25 (57%) -1.0 / 10.8 (-9%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
3rd Nov '17 Bellator 186 6 4.9 82% 4.9 / 6 (82%)
28th Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 32.51 15.6 48% 11.9 / 25.5 (47%) 1.0 / 2.01 (50%) 2.7 / 5 (53%)
21st Oct '17 UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 22.737 3.8 17% 4.8 / 14.5 (33%) -1.1 / 8.237 (-13%)
20th Oct '17 Bellator 185 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
7th Oct '17 UFC 216 29.45 0.3 1% 2.2 / 7 (31%) -1.0 / 13.75 (-7%) -0.8 / 8.7 (-9%)
6th Oct '17 Bellator 184 Dantas vs. Caldwell 10.5 4.9 46% 4.9 / 10.5 (46%)
23rd Sep '17 Bellator 183 Henderson vs. Freire 4.11 -4.1 -100% -1.6 / 1.61 (-100%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
22nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 21.5 2.5 12% 2.8 / 4 (70%) 4.4 / 5.5 (80%) -4.7 / 12 (-39%)
16th Sep '17 UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 21.5 -1.9 -9% -3.4 / 6.5 (-53%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 3.5 / 13 (27%)
9th Sep '17 UFC 215 38.45 -10.7 -28% 6.4 / 18.63 (35%) -10.5 / 11.5 (-91%) -6.7 / 8.32 (-81%)
2nd Sep '17 UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 14.74 9.1 62% 0.1 / 2.86 (5%) 8.9 / 11.88 (75%)
29th Aug '17 DWTNCS 8 16.92 12.1 72% 8.7 / 10.61 (82%) 5.4 / 4.31 (125%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
26th Aug '17 Bellator 182 2.95 2.5 84% 2.5 / 2.95 (84%)
22nd Aug '17 DWTNCS 7 12.37 -6.6 -53% -3.1 / 7.37 (-43%) 0.8 / 0.75 (111%) -4.3 / 4.25 (-100%)
15th Aug '17 DWTNCS 6 11.415 4.2 36% 1.5 / 7.315 (20%) 2.0 / 3.6 (55%) 0.7 / 0.5 (141%)
8th Aug '17 DWTNCS 5 6 4.1 68% 1.3 / 2.75 (49%) 2.7 / 3.25 (84%)
5th Aug '17 UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 15 1.8 12% 1.3 / 6.25 (20%) 0.6 / 8.75 (7%)
29th Jul '17 UFC 214 36.46 -3.1 -9% 1.7 / 9 (19%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -4.6 / 27.21 (-17%)
25th Jul '17 DWTNF 3 3.51 -3.5 -100% -3.5 / 3.51 (-100%)
22nd Jul '17 UFC on Fox 25 22.533 -6.6 -29% -3.1 / 11.42 (-27%) -2.6 / 2.57 (-100%) -0.9 / 8.543 (-11%)
18th Jul '17 Dana White's TNCS 2 1.82 1.6 89% 1.6 / 1.82 (89%)
16th Jul '17 UFC Fight Night 113 30.8 -6.4 -21% -10.3 / 10.25 (-100%) 3.9 / 20.55 (19%)
11th Jul '17 Dana White's TNCS 1 2 -0.0 -2% 1.0 / 1 (95%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Jul '17 UFC 213 20.55 -1.4 -7% -2.0 / 9.5 (-21%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.1 / 10.55 (11%)
7th Jul '17 TUF Season 25 Finale 19.25 1.7 9% 4.3 / 4.25 (102%) 3.0 / 1.7 (175%) -5.6 / 13.3 (-42%)
25th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 112 15.5 -4.5 -29% -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) 2.6 / 3 (86%) -6.4 / 11.75 (-54%)
24th Jun '17 Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 8.5 -4.8 -56% 1.7 / 2 (87%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
17th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 111 15.79 5.8 37% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 7.8 / 13.79 (57%)
10th Jun '17 UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 11.975 12.5 104% 3.9 / 3.5 (110%) 8.7 / 8.475 (102%)
3rd Jun '17 UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 16 -8.0 -50% 4.0 / 4 (100%) -12.0 / 12 (-100%)
28th May '17 UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 14.63 -6.2 -43% -3.0 / 2.95 (-100%) -3.3 / 11.68 (-28%)
19th May '17 Bellator 179 Daley vs. MacDonald 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
13th May '17 UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 7.95 0.2 3% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) 4.7 / 3.45 (137%)
22nd Apr '17 UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 7.6 -7.6 -100% -7.6 / 7.6 (-100%)


Winning Events: 64 (45%)
Losing Events: 78 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.83 units
Most Staked On One Event: 38.45 units
Best Event: 23.12 units
Worst Event: -15.05 units
Average Event: 0.16 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 29.90
Max Losing Streak: Events: 8, Units: -32.50

Sebs Show: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2019 204.27 64.4 32% 7.2 / 33.26 (22%) 2.4 / 11.6 (21%) 54.7 / 159.41 (34%) 18 / 26 (41%) 1.46
2018 874.668 -53.2 -6% -32.8 / 638.688 (-5%) -3.5 / 53.89 (-7%) -16.8 / 182.09 (-9%) 25 / 30 (45%) -0.97
2017 743.13 11.0 1% 42.7 / 357.875 (12%) 6.3 / 82.19 (8%) -38.0 / 303.065 (-13%) 21 / 22 (49%) 0.26

Sebs Show: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Sebs Show: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 1634.023 -6.3 -0% 23.3 / 933.718 (3%) -6.2 / 130.52 (-5%) -23.4 / 569.785 (-4%)
Bellator 76.29 -12.4 -16% -4.1 / 41.46 (-10%) 1.7 / 2 (87%) -10.1 / 32.83 (-31%)
Other 111.755 40.9 37% -2.2 / 54.645 (-4%) 9.7 / 15.16 (64%) 33.4 / 41.95 (80%)

Sebs Show: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 117 (34%) 83 71 % 436.24 8.79 0.08 2%
Slight Favorites 132 (39%) 71 54 % 401.22 -38.09 -0.29 -9%
Slight Underdogs 77 (23%) 40 52 % 168.67 50.20 0.65 30%
Big Underdogs 16 (5%) 4 25 % 23.69 -3.77 -0.24 -16%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 62 (18%) 36 58 % 194.03 20.78 0.34 11%
Co-Main Event 36 (11%) 19 53 % 118.44 -7.19 -0.20 -6%
Position 3-5 99 (29%) 57 58 % 303.70 -4.14 -0.04 -1%
6+ (Undercard) 145 (42%) 86 59 % 413.65 7.68 0.05 2%

Sebs Show: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 29 (8%) 17 59 % 90.68 -8.14 -0.28 -9%
Light Heavy 37 (11%) 21 57 % 107.95 -15.04 -0.41 -14%
Middleweight 36 (11%) 26 72 % 127.73 12.54 0.35 10%
Welterweight 60 (18%) 37 62 % 164.63 24.37 0.41 15%
Lightweight 51 (15%) 24 47 % 165.49 -27.50 -0.54 -17%
Featherweight 40 (12%) 21 53 % 108.44 12.00 0.30 11%
Bantamweight 47 (14%) 33 70 % 145.39 21.22 0.45 15%
Flyweight 18 (5%) 5 28 % 37.24 -8.26 -0.46 -22%
               
Women's Fights 24 (7%) 14 58 % 82.28 5.94 0.25 7%
Featherweight 3 (1%) 3 100 % 16.52 6.82 2.27 41%
Bantamweight 3 (1%) 2 67 % 10.00 3.57 1.19 36%
Bantamweight 7 (2%) 5 71 % 18.04 2.98 0.43 17%
Strawweight 11 (3%) 4 36 % 37.72 -7.43 -0.68 -20%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 568 (80%) 427 75 %
Slight Favorites 113 (16%) 71 63 %
Slight Underdogs 30 (4%) 16 53 %
Big Underdogs 2 (0%) 2 100 %
713 516 72 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 157 (49%) 104 66 %
50-65% 86 (27%) 44 51 %
35-50% 55 (17%) 27 49 %
<35% chance 21 (7%) 5 24 %
319 180 56 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 118 (37%) 73 62 % 1.49 2.26Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was incorrect -7.6 (-6%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 34 (11%) 17 50 % 1.81 2.60Pick was incorrect 1.34Pick was incorrect -2.1 (-6%)
Goes to Decision 39 (12%) 30 77 % 1.39 3.00Pick was correct 1.22Pick was incorrect 2.8 (7%)
Does not go to Decision 27 (8%) 17 63 % 1.26 1.50Pick was incorrect 1.14Pick was correct -5.7 (-21%)
X Wins by KO 7 (2%) 1 14 % 1.77 2.40Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was incorrect -5.2 (-74%)
X Wins by Sub 21 (7%) 7 33 % 3.54 13.00Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct 10.6 (50%)
X Wins by Decision 20 (6%) 11 55 % 2.41 4.90Pick was incorrect 1.72Pick was correct 5.3 (27%)
X Wins Inside Distance 52 (16%) 23 44 % 1.82 3.20Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was correct -8.3 (-16%)
X Does NOT Win Inside Distance 1 (0%) 1 100 % 1.53 1.53Pick was correct 1.53Pick was correct 0.5 (53%)
319 180 56 % 1.64     -9.7 (-3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Sebs Show's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
22nd Apr UFC Fight Night 108 Swanson vs. Lobov 7.6 -7.6 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $924.00
13th May UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 7.95 0.2 3% $9.24 $924.00 $926.20
19th May Bellator 179 Daley vs. MacDonald 4 -4.0 -100% $9.26 $926.20 $889.15
28th May UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira 14.63 -6.2 -43% $8.89 $889.15 $833.66
3rd Jun UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway 16 -8.0 -50% $8.34 $833.66 $766.97
10th Jun UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis 11.975 12.5 104% $7.67 $766.97 $862.87
17th Jun UFC Fight Night 111 15.79 5.8 37% $8.63 $862.87 $913.24
24th Jun Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva 8.5 -4.8 -56% $9.13 $913.24 $869.77
25th Jun UFC Fight Night 112 15.5 -4.5 -29% $8.70 $869.77 $830.35
7th Jul TUF Season 25 Finale 19.25 1.7 9% $8.30 $830.35 $844.34
8th Jul UFC 213 20.55 -1.4 -7% $8.44 $844.34 $832.76
11th Jul Dana White's TNCS 1 2 -0.0 -2% $8.33 $832.76 $832.36
16th Jul UFC Fight Night 113 30.8 -6.4 -21% $8.32 $832.36 $779.20
18th Jul Dana White's TNCS 2 1.82 1.6 89% $7.79 $779.20 $791.77
22nd Jul UFC on Fox 25 22.533 -6.6 -29% $7.92 $791.77 $739.66
25th Jul DWTNF 3 3.51 -3.5 -100% $7.40 $739.66 $713.70
29th Jul UFC 214 36.46 -3.1 -9% $7.14 $713.70 $691.46
5th Aug UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno 15 1.8 12% $6.91 $691.46 $704.11
8th Aug DWTNCS 5 6 4.1 68% $7.04 $704.11 $732.73
15th Aug DWTNCS 6 11.415 4.2 36% $7.33 $732.73 $763.24
22nd Aug DWTNCS 7 12.37 -6.6 -53% $7.63 $763.24 $713.11
26th Aug Bellator 182 2.95 2.5 84% $7.13 $713.11 $730.88
29th Aug DWTNCS 8 16.92 12.1 72% $7.31 $730.88 $819.32
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov 14.74 9.1 62% $8.19 $819.32 $893.74
9th Sep UFC 215 38.45 -10.7 -28% $8.94 $893.74 $797.91
16th Sep UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch 21.5 -1.9 -9% $7.98 $797.91 $782.60
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2 21.5 2.5 12% $7.83 $782.60 $802.24
23rd Sep Bellator 183 Henderson vs. Freire 4.11 -4.1 -100% $8.02 $802.24 $769.27
6th Oct Bellator 184 Dantas vs. Caldwell 10.5 4.9 46% $7.69 $769.27 $806.80
7th Oct UFC 216 29.45 0.3 1% $8.07 $806.80 $809.58
20th Oct Bellator 185 5 -5.0 -100% $8.10 $809.58 $769.10
21st Oct UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk 22.737 3.8 17% $7.69 $769.10 $798.01
28th Oct UFC Fight Night 119 Sao Paulo 32.51 15.6 48% $7.98 $798.01 $922.48
3rd Nov Bellator 186 6 4.9 82% $9.22 $922.48 $967.61
4th Nov UFC 217 37.55 5.6 15% $9.68 $967.61 $1,022.27
11th Nov UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia 22 -2.8 -13% $10.22 $1,022.27 $993.95
18th Nov UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney 24.51 1.2 5% $9.94 $993.95 $1,005.42
25th Nov UFC Fight Night 122 Bisping vs. Gastellum 25.74 2.3 9% $10.05 $1,005.42 $1,028.28
2nd Dec TUF 26 Finale 7.5 -0.2 -3% $10.28 $1,028.28 $1,026.27
2nd Dec UFC 218 29.5 11.3 38% $10.26 $1,026.27 $1,141.74
9th Dec UFC Fight Night 123 34.5 -7.2 -21% $11.42 $1,141.74 $1,059.71
16th Dec UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos 22.49 -0.2 -1% $10.60 $1,059.71 $1,057.62
31st Dec UFC 219 29.32 -2.1 -7% $10.58 $1,057.62 $1,035.58
14th Jan UFC Fight Night 124 22.91 -3.3 -14% $10.36 $1,035.58 $1,001.75
20th Jan UFC 220 30.27 -7.0 -23% $10.02 $1,001.75 $931.71
20th Jan Bellator 192 7.6 -2.5 -33% $9.32 $931.71 $908.43
27th Jan UFC on Fox 27 12.69 7.3 57% $9.08 $908.43 $974.35
4th Feb UFC Fight Night 125 17.66 -12.6 -72% $15 $9.74 $974.35 $836.29
10th Feb UFC 221 19.16 4.8 25% $8.36 $836.29 $876.13
18th Feb UFC Fight Night 126 21 0.3 1% $8.76 $876.13 $878.50
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 22.5 -4.9 -22% $8.78 $878.50 $835.70
3rd Mar UFC 222 19.2 2.1 11% $8.36 $835.70 $853.24
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 19.138 -13.6 -71% $8.53 $853.24 $737.56
7th Apr UFC 223 14.56 -2.3 -16% $7.38 $737.56 $720.31
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 21 -2.8 -13% $7.20 $720.31 $700.28
21st Apr UFC Fight Night 128 19.5 -7.8 -40% $7.00 $700.28 $645.35
28th Apr Bellator 198 1.5 -1.5 -100% $6.45 $645.35 $635.67
12th May UFC 224 13.5 2.7 20% $6.36 $635.67 $652.63
12th May Bellator 199 5 -5.0 -100% $6.53 $652.63 $620.00
19th May UFC Fight Night 129 15 3.4 22% $6.20 $620.00 $640.90
27th May UFC Fight Night 130 18 -0.6 -3% $6.41 $640.90 $637.20
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 131 17 -3.3 -20% $6.37 $637.20 $615.89
9th Jun UFC 225 15.02 10.1 67% $6.16 $615.89 $677.92
12th Jun DWTNCS 9 6 1.1 19% $6.78 $677.92 $685.61
19th Jun DWTNCS 10 7.5 -2.0 -26% $6.86 $685.61 $671.99
23rd Jun UFC Fight Night 132 15.86 11.1 70% $6.72 $671.99 $746.33
26th Jun DWTNCS 11 5 -5.0 -100% $7.46 $746.33 $709.01
7th Jul TUF 27 Finale 14.5 5.1 35% $7.09 $709.01 $745.42
7th Jul UFC 226 18 -6.0 -33% $7.45 $745.42 $700.69
10th Jul DWTNCS 12 4 2.1 53% $7.01 $700.69 $715.46
13th Jul Bellator 202 5 -5.0 -100% $7.15 $715.46 $679.69
14th Jul UFC Fight Night 133 15.35 -7.4 -48% $6.80 $679.69 $629.72
17th Jul DWTNCS 13 2.5 2.1 83% $6.30 $629.72 $642.72
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night 134 20.72 10.0 48% $6.43 $642.72 $706.68
24th Jul DWTNCS 14 2 -2.0 -100% $7.07 $706.68 $692.55
28th Jul UFC on Fox 30 21.04 -8.3 -39% $6.93 $692.55 $635.35
31st Jul DWTNCS 15 3 1.1 36% $6.35 $635.35 $642.21
4th Aug UFC 227 13.88 -0.4 -3% $6.42 $642.21 $639.37
7th Aug DWTNCS 16 5 0.4 9% $6.39 $639.37 $642.10
17th Aug Bellator 204 4.38 2.0 46% $6.42 $642.10 $654.92
25th Aug UFC Fight Night 135 19.2 7.3 38% $6.55 $654.92 $702.52
8th Sep UFC 228 31 -1.7 -5% $7.03 $702.52 $690.79
15th Sep UFC FIght Night Moscow 24.41 0.7 3% $6.91 $690.79 $695.88
22nd Sep UFC Fight Night Sao Paulo 31.5 6.0 19% $6.96 $695.88 $737.63
29th Sep Bellator 206 5 2.2 43% $7.38 $737.63 $753.67
6th Oct UFC 229 29.77 -5.0 -17% $7.54 $753.67 $716.08
12th Oct Bellator 207 6.75 3.0 44% $7.16 $716.08 $737.56
27th Oct UFC Fight Night 138 12.25 -0.7 -6% $7.38 $737.56 $732.57
3rd Nov UFC 230 23.6 -8.9 -38% $7.33 $732.57 $667.24
10th Nov UFC Fight Night Denver 28.58 -0.8 -3% $6.67 $667.24 $661.58
17th Nov UFC Fight Night 140 36.88 -7.2 -20% $6.62 $661.58 $613.80
24th Nov UFC Fight Night 141 23.67 -9.9 -42% $6.14 $613.80 $552.98
25th Nov Golden Boy Liddell vs Ortiz 3 11.1 0.2 2% $5.53 $552.98 $553.94
30th Nov TUF Finale 21 13.0 62% $5.54 $553.94 $625.94
1st Dec UFC Fight Night 142 15.97 -2.4 -15% $6.26 $625.94 $610.61
8th Dec UFC 231 26 3.5 13% $6.11 $610.61 $631.81
15th Dec Fight Night Milwaukee 17 0.5 3% $6.32 $631.81 $635.15
29th Dec UFC 232 15.05 -15.1 -100% $6.35 $635.15 $539.56
19th Jan UFC on ESPN+ 1 5.2 -5.2 -100% $5.40 $539.56 $511.50
2nd Feb UFC Fight Night 144 6.93 -1.5 -22% $5.12 $511.50 $503.68
9th Feb UFC 234 9.26 4.9 53% $5.04 $503.68 $528.38
17th Feb UFC on ESPN 1 7.73 -7.7 -100% $5.28 $528.38 $487.53
23rd Feb UFC Fight Night 145 5.5 5.0 92% $4.88 $487.53 $512.07
2nd Mar UFC 235 10 6.7 67% $5.12 $512.07 $546.21
9th Mar UFC Fight Night 146 10 4.7 47% $5.46 $546.21 $572.04
16th Mar UFC Fight Night 147 9.83 13.4 136% $5.72 $572.04 $648.50
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night 148 9.97 -10.0 -100% $6.48 $648.50 $583.84
30th Mar UFC on ESPN 2 10 -2.2 -22% $5.84 $583.84 $571.00
13th Apr UFC 236 10 -6.9 -69% $5.71 $571.00 $531.88
20th Apr UFC Fight Night 149 9 -6.6 -73% $5.32 $531.88 $496.78
27th Apr UFC on ESPN 3 3.8 -3.8 -100% $4.97 $496.78 $477.90
4th May UFC Fight Night 150 2 9.1 453% $4.78 $477.90 $521.21
11th May UFC 237 2 13.6 680% $5.21 $521.21 $592.09
18th May UFC Fight Night 152 2 0.7 35% $5.92 $592.09 $596.25
1st Jun UFC Fight Night 153 1.5 -1.5 -100% $5.96 $596.25 $587.31
8th Jun UFC 238 2 2.9 144% $5.87 $587.31 $604.25
19th Jun DWTNCS 17 0.37 -0.4 -100% $6.04 $604.25 $602.02
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night 154 5.63 10.1 180% $6.02 $602.02 $663.11
26th Jun DWTNCS 18 1 7.1 706% $6.63 $663.11 $709.91
29th Jun UFC on ESPN 3 4.8 -4.8 -100% $7.10 $709.91 $675.84
6th Jul UFC 239 5 -5.0 -100% $6.76 $675.84 $642.04
10th Jul DWTNCS 19 1 4.2 415% $6.42 $642.04 $668.72
13th Jul UFC Fight Night 155 5 -5.0 -100% $6.69 $668.72 $635.28
17th Jul DWCS 20 1 -1.0 -100% $6.35 $635.28 $628.93
20th Jul UFC on ESPN 4 5 18.8 377% $6.29 $628.93 $747.44
24th Jul DWCS 21 1 -1.0 -100% $7.47 $747.44 $739.96
27th Jul UFC 240 5 10.6 213% $7.40 $739.96 $818.65
31st Jul DWCS 22 1.25 3.1 251% $8.19 $818.65 $844.32
3rd Aug UFC on ESPN 5 5 -5.0 -100% $8.44 $844.32 $802.11
7th Aug DWCS 23 1 -1.0 -100% $8.02 $802.11 $794.08
10th Aug UFC Fight Night 156 5 22.3 446% $7.94 $794.08 $971.08
14th Aug DWCS 24 1 -1.0 -100% $9.71 $971.08 $961.37
17th Aug UFC 241 5 6.1 122% $9.61 $961.37 $1,019.82
20th Aug DWCS 25 2 23.1 1,156% $10.20 $1,019.82 $1,255.64
27th Aug DWCS 26 2 -2.0 -100% $15 $12.56 $1,255.64 $1,215.53
31st Aug UFC Fight Night 157 5 -5.0 -100% $15 $12.16 $1,215.53 $1,139.75
7th Sep UFC 242 5 -5.0 -100% $15 $11.40 $1,139.75 $1,067.76
14th Sep UFC Fight Night 158 3.75 -3.8 -100% $15 $10.68 $1,067.76 $1,012.72
21st Sep UFC Fight Night 159 4.5 -4.5 -100% $15 $10.13 $1,012.72 $952.15
28th Sep UFC Fight Night 160 5 -5.0 -100% $15 $9.52 $952.15 $889.54
5th Oct UFC 243 4.25 -4.3 -100% $15 $8.90 $889.54 $836.74
12th Oct UFC on ESPN+ 19 3 -3.0 -100% $15 $8.37 $836.74 $796.63


ROI % from starting bank balance: -20.34% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Sebs Show: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '19 Matt Frevola Jalin Turner 2.10 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '19 Paul Craig Kennedy Nzechukwu 2.80 1 Sub, R3 (4:20) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Josh Emmett Michael Johnson 2.00 2.5 TKO, R3 (4:14) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Mike Grundy Nad Narimani 2.62 2.5 TKO, R2 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Jorge Masvidal Darren Till 3.15 2.33 TKO, R2 (3:5) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '19 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Curtis Millender 2.05 2 Sub, R1 (2:35) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '19 Diego Sanchez Mickey Gall 3.75 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '19 Ricky Simon Rani Yahya 1.88 2.26 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '19 Thiago Alves Max Griffin 2.70 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Rob Font Sergio Pettis 1.61 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Mike Rodriguez Adam Milstead 2.40 0.5 TKO, R1 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '18 Mike Rodriguez Adam Milstead 2.40 2.5 TKO, R1 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '18 Max Holloway Brian Ortega 2.00 5 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '18 Brad Katona Matthew Lopez 1.55 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '18 Gunnar Nelson Alex Oliveira 1.71 4 Sub, R2 (4:17) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '18 Pedro Munhoz Bryan Caraway 1.40 5 TKO, R1 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Kamaru Usman Rafael dos Anjos 1.40 4 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Kevin Aguilar Rick Glenn 1.87 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '18 Jim Crute Paul Craig 1.50 4 Sub, R3 (4:51) MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '18 Pingyuan Liu Martin Day 1.53 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '19 Gadzhimurad Antigulov Michal Oleksiejczuk 2.75 3 TKO, R1 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '19 Randy Costa Brandon Davis 2.35 1 Sub, R2 (1:12) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '19 Mark Delarosa Alex Perez 3.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '19 Sergio Moraes Tony Martin 2.82 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '19 Misha Cirkunov Johnny Walker 2.40 2 TKO, R1 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '19 Klidson Farias de Abreu Magomed Ankalaev 2.95 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '19 Benito Lopez Manny Bermudez 3.04 4.17 Sub, R1 (3:9) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '19 Renato Moicano Jose Aldo 1.76 2 TKO, R2 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '18 Bevon Lewis Urijah Hall 1.99 5.05 TKO, R3 (1:32) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '18 Daniel Hooker Edson Barboza 1.95 3.5 TKO, R3 (2:19) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '18 Tai Tuivasa Junior dos Santos 2.50 2 TKO, R2 (2:30) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '18 Oscar Ivan Cota Jay Silva 1.44 4.6 Sub, R3 (2:13) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '18 Su Mudaerji Louis Smolka 2.50 2 Sub, R2 (2:7) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '18 Vincent Morales Yadong Song 4.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '18 Curtis Blaydes Francis Ngannou 1.48 4 TKO, R1 (0:45) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '18 Humberto Bandenay Austin Arnett 1.40 2.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '18 Bartosz Fabinski Michel Prazeres 2.30 0.5 Sub, R1 (1:2) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '18 Bartosz Fabinski Michel Prazeres 2.30 2.5 Sub, R1 (1:2) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '18 Khalil Rountree Johnny Walker 1.57 3.52 TKO, R1 (1:57) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '18 Poliana Botelho Cynthia Calvillo 1.71 3 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Sebs Show: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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