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MMA Handicapper Stats: Keith Shillan

Keith Shillan (TheMMATakeover)


MMA MHandicapper - Keith Shillan

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 4 (19%) Right 2 (15%) Right 2 (40%) Right 0 (0%)
Wrong 17 (81%) Wrong 11 (85%) Wrong 3 (60%) Wrong 3 (100%)
Avg Odds 1.98 Avg Odds 1.86 Avg Odds 2.33 Avg Odds 2.09
Units Bet 27.5 Units Bet 16.0 Units Bet 4.5 Units Bet 7.0
Avg Bet 1.31 Avg Bet 1.23 Avg Bet 0.90 Avg Bet 2.33
Units Profit -18.09 Units Profit -11.74 Units Profit 0.65 Units Profit -7.00
ROI % -66% ROI % -73% ROI % 14% ROI % -100%
View Handicapper's Profile

Keith Shillan: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
14th Apr '18 UFC on Fox 29 5.5 -5.5 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
7th Apr '18 UFC 223 3 -3.0 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
17th Mar '18 UFC Fight Night 127 6.5 -1.6 -24% -0.1 / 2 (-5%) 1.0 / 2 (50%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
3rd Mar '18 UFC 222 7 -4.9 -69% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 1.1 / 1 (115%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
24th Feb '18 UFC on Fox 28 5.5 -3.1 -57% -1.6 / 4 (-41%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 0 (0%)
Losing Events: 5 (100%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.50 units
Most Staked On One Event: 7.00 units
Best Event: 0.00 units
Worst Event: -5.50 units
Average Event: -3.62 units

Max Win Streak: Events: , Units: 0.00
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -18.09

Keith Shillan: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2018 27.5 -18.1 -66% -11.7 / 16 (-73%) 0.7 / 4.5 (14%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%) / 5 (0%) -3.62

Keith Shillan: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Keith Shillan: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 27.5 -18.1 -66% -11.7 / 16 (-73%) 0.7 / 4.5 (14%) -7.0 / 7 (-100%)

Keith Shillan: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (8%) 0 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Slight Favorites 8 (62%) 1 13 % 11.50 -9.59 -1.20 -83%
Slight Underdogs 3 (23%) 1 33 % 2.50 -0.15 -0.05 -6%
Big Underdogs 1 (8%) 0 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (23%) 0 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -0.83 -100%
Co-Main Event 2 (15%) 0 0 % 4.00 -4.00 -2.00 -100%
Position 3-5 6 (46%) 2 33 % 7.50 -3.24 -0.54 -43%
6+ (Undercard) 2 (15%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%

Keith Shillan: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (15%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%
Light Heavy 1 (8%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.35 1.35 135%
Middleweight 3 (23%) 1 33 % 3.00 -1.09 -0.36 -36%
Lightweight 1 (8%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Featherweight 2 (15%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -1.00 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (8%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 3 (23%) 0 % 6.50 -6.50 -2.17 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (8%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Strawweight 2 (15%) 0 % 5.50 -5.50 -2.75 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 7 (88%) 3 43 %
Slight Favorites 1 (13%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 0 %
8 3 38 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 0 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 0 %
35-50% 4 (80%) 1 25 %
<35% chance 1 (20%) 1 100 %
5 2 40 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (20%) 0 0 % 2.47 2.47Pick was incorrect 2.47Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 2 (40%) 1 50 % 2.07 2.15Pick was correct 2.00Pick was incorrect 0.1 (7%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (20%) 1 100 % 3.00 3.00Pick was correct 3.00Pick was correct 2.0 (200%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (20%) 0 0 % 2.24 2.24Pick was incorrect 2.24Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
5 2 40 % 2.33     0.2 (3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Keith Shillan's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
24th Feb UFC on Fox 28 5.5 -3.1 -57% $10.00 $1,000.00 $968.50
3rd Mar UFC 222 7 -4.9 -69% $9.69 $968.50 $921.53
17th Mar UFC Fight Night 127 6.5 -1.6 -24% $9.22 $921.53 $906.87
7th Apr UFC 223 3 -3.0 -100% $9.07 $906.87 $879.66
14th Apr UFC on Fox 29 5.5 -5.5 -100% $8.80 $879.66 $831.28


ROI % from starting bank balance: -16.87% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Keith Shillan: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '18 Charles Byrd John Phillips 1.91 1 Sub, R1 (3:58) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '18 Ilir Latifi Ovince St Preux 2.35 1 Sub, R1 (3:48) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '18 Cortney Casey Michelle Waterson 1.67 2.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '18 Marvin Vettori Israel Adesanya 3.20 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '18 Justin Gaethje Dustin Poirier 2.15 0.5 TKO, R4 (0:33) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '18 Joanna Jedrzejczyk Rose Namajunas 1.74 3 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '18 Fabricio Werdum Alexander Volkov 1.54 1 TKO, R4 (1:38) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '18 Hector Lombard C.B. Dollaway 1.83 1 No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '18 Stefan Struve Andrei Arlovski 1.59 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '18 Frankie Edgar Brian Ortega 1.67 1 TKO, R1 (4:44) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '18 Sara McMann Marion Reneau 1.51 1 Sub, R2 (3:40) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '18 Renan Barao Brian Kelleher 1.67 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '18 Josh Emmett Jeremy Stephens 2.45 1 TKO, R2 (1:35) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Keith Shillan: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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